While the UK and with it almost all of Western Europe and the West Coast of the US are caught in the grip of the longest running and most severe cold spell that it has seen for close to thirty years without a break in the foreseeable future, many analyst are now scratching their heads and asking themselves "what will this do to the price of oil?"

Since the weather began to turn incredibly difficult about a week ago the price of oil has risen steadily from the around $78 to $82 within the space of one week, the highest price it has been all of 2009, and to those of you who may have forgotten, sat on a low of $32 a barrel towards the end of December 2008. With the news that the major economies, and especially China, were starting to build up stockpiles of oil, hopes were that prices would begin to fall and settle around the ideal figure of between $68 to $72 a barrel.

Analysts fear that if the span weather persists, and predictions are that at least in the UK it could continue to the end of January, and the increase in demand could push the price up oil even further, as stocks diminish. Meanwhile leading bodies in UK industry bodies have asked head- teachers to minimize snow-linked school closures to reduce levels of absence from the workplace. Although 61 percent of 200 companies surveyed by the British Chambers of Commerce said less than one in 10 employees was absent, the Federation of Small Businesses warned that childcare-related absences following school closures would become a serious problem. The cold snap looks likely to cost the economy close to £700 million pounds a day, meaning total financial damage of £14.5 billion pounds if, as expected. The bad weather lasts a further three weeks.

As expected UK interest rates will remain unchanged at 0.5%, meaning that the cost of borrowing has remained at a record low since March 2009. Economist are not expecting to see a rates increase s in the near term, despite expectations that the UK will finally have exited recession in the last quarter of 2009.

Formula 1 boss, Bernie Ecclestone is looking to buy a Saab, not the car but the company, and intends to do so in partnership with the Luxembourg-based private investment company, Genii Capital, which recently invested in Renault’s Formula 1 team.

Ecclestone’s dramatic announcement came shortly after the deadline for expressions of interest in the company closed without any public bids.

As well as Ecclestone’s offer, a second bid s also emerged, from the Dutch sports car maker, Spyker Cars.

U.S. food giant Kraft has received a ticking off from the principal shareholder Warren Buffett who has also thrown a spanner in the works of their proposed transaction. The Buffett-owned holding company Berkshire Hathaway who Hold 9.4% of Kraft’s stock announced that they will be voting against it is the proposal to issue up to 370 million shares to facilitate the Cadbury deal.

A spokesman for Kraft reacted to Buffet’s statement by saying that "Mr. Buffett is our largest investor and one of the most respected investors in the world. We take his opinion very seriously. We agree Kraft shares are deeply undervalued. We would not do anything to hurt shareholder value and we intend to remain disciplined in this process." Shares fell 7 pence, or 0.9 percent, to 772 pence on trading.

In their annual Christmas trading statement, Majestic Wine announced a rise in sales of 11.7 percent between Nov. 3 and Jan. 4 in the UK, with champagne sales regaining their seasonal appeal over Christmas. While champagne sales grew 11 percent, fine wine sales climbed 30 percent and online trading rose by 20 percent.

Family-owned brewer Fuller Smith & Turner also managed to increase its profits, sales and dividend in the six months to September, largely bucking the trend prevalent in the brewery sector. With members of the controlling families owning more than half of the company equity and 60 percent of the voting rights, executive chairman Michael Turner pronounced the effect that company’s long-term, risk-averse strategy was paying dividends.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

• Dollar 1,5967
• Euro 1.1126

The U.K.’s largest home builder by market value Persimmon Plc has announced that they completed the sale of 8,976 new homes in 2009 with a total value of around £1.4 billion pounds. On the news their shares gained 1.2 percent, to 469 pence. Wolseley Plc, the world’s largest supplier of heating and plumbing gear seemed to be moving in a positive direction, with their shares added 4.7 percent, to 1,361 pence.

The Vodafone Group PLC expects to be able to offer Google Inc.’s Nexus One smart phone to its U.K. customers in the next few weeks, with their rivals reported to be already in advanced talks with the Internet giant about the device.

Vodafone, the world’s biggest mobile operator, is also in early discussions with Google about supporting the phone in France, Germany and Spain, a Vodafone spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires Wednesday, and hopes to offer it across the rest of Europe through the course of 2010.

JD Sports Fashion Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest sportswear chain said sales at stores rose 6.6 percent in the five weeks up to the Ist of January .2010. On the news their shares jumped 6.2 percent, to 550 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group on Wednesday reported a small increase in third-quarter sales, despite not slashing prices in the run-up to Christmas, as customers snapped up cashmere sweaters and clothing for kids. But the company cautioned that trading will remain challenging this year.

Group sales at the iconic British retailer rose 2.6% in the three months to Dec. 26. In the U.K. same-store sales rose 0.8%, with general merchandise up 1.2% and food up 0.4%. Underlying sales returned to growth for the first time in two years.

Still, the results missed the consensus forecast for a 1.2% increase in same-store sales, partly because this year’s trading period excluded the first day of the company’s post-Christmas sales, when it typically sees a surge in revenue. Online sales increased 32% and international sales climbed 6%

Britain’s Home Delivery Network said it would buy DHL’s UK parcel delivery operations, DHL Domestic, from Deutsche Post DHL (DPWGn.DE), growing its market share in a sector profiting from a boom in online shopping.

With many of the UK s leading retailers, among them John Lewis and Next reporting significant online growth, companies such as Home Delivery Network have felt the impact.

The parcel delivery company, headquartered in Merseyside, northwest England, said the combined businesses would have annual revenues of more than £600 million pounds, delivering over 180 million parcels a year, with a combined market share of 17 percent.

Britain’s currency recovered slightly over the last two days

• Dollar 1,5992
• Euro 1.1198

The FTSE100 finished trading on Thursday in a fairly static position at 5526.72 barely moving on the week’s trading.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Thursday up a further 24 points to 10,607 while the NASDAQ also dropped 8 points to 2,300.71.

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Tags: Bank, Banking, Bernie Ecclestone, British Chambers of Commerce, British Economy, British Pound, Cadbury, Currency, DHL, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Federation of Small Businesses, Financial News, Freezing Britain, FTSE, Fuller Smith & Turner, Genii Capital, Home Delivery Network, Interest Rates, JD Sports Fashion Plc, John Lewis, Kraft, Lehman Brothers, Majestic Wine, Marks & Spencer, Michael Turner, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Nexus One, Oil, Persimmon Plc, Peter Mandelson, Recession, Saab, Spyker Cars, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Vodafone, Wall Street, Warren Buffett, Wolseley Plc

The UK looks like being in the financial doldrums for years to come, largely due to placing too much faith n the financial service sector and not enough on building up the heavy to medium sized industries that once made Britain Great. Financial experts are now convinced that that the reasons why the UK is taking longer than their European rivals to move out of the recession is too much of an emphasis been placed on saving the banks and too little on pushing industry forward as the French and German governments succeeded in doing. The mood on the street is that Britain has got to get a grip on its public finances.

This mood is emphasized by recent statements made by head of the Confederation of British Industry General Richard Lambert who reminded all of us that didn’t know it that how to reduce the 175 billion pound deficit will become a major battleground ahead of the next election, due next year, which the Conservatives are expected to win. General Lambert did point out that in his opinion there is very little to choose between both main parties’ deficit-reduction plans.

Meanwhile public borrowing in 2009 is almost treble what it was the previous t year with some analysts even forecasting that could even surpass the government’s forecast of £175 billion pounds, equivalent to no less than 12 percent of GDP. Chancellor Alistair Darling, who for some reason thinks he will be around to make it happen, has pledged to halve the deficit within the next four years and to even balance the budget by 2018, although he has yet to explain how.

What does appear likely to happen in the near future is that the UK Financial Services Authority (FSA) begins responsibility for financial stability as well as market regulation, consumer protection and investigating financial crime in the UK. Under a new bill that entered Parliament yesterday, to be known as the. Financial Services bill, a formal three-member Council for Financial Stability will be created. The council will consist of the finance minister, the governor of the Bank of England and the head of the FSA, who will be jointly responsible for overseeing UK financial stability. The Treasury will also start be held responsible for publishing annual reports on the stability of the UK financial system. The FSA will also gain long awaited veto power over bankers’ pay arrangements. This new authority will allow them to act if they believe that a bank employee’s contract would damage the bank’s risk management.

A recent survey has predicted that it may take until 2014 for UK property prices to return to the levels they peaked at in 2007 peak, the height of the country’s biggest housing boom.

After a surprise rebound this year, the survey predicts that U.K. house prices will probably fall next year, with predictions of an average drop of about 1.6 percent being bandied about.

The 7 percent gain in average prices in the UK that have been going on since April were driven by a shortage of properties for sale and are unlikely to be sustained, while Britain’s longest recession on record fuels unemployment and makes banks hesitant to lend.

National Grid, the company that operates electricity and gas networks in the UK as well as in the US, has reported a 16 per cent rise in underlying pre-tax profit for the six months to the end of September. The rise comes despite a steep fall in energy use, demonstrating what the company describes the success of their extremely low risk business model. Pre-tax profits, were £649 million in the first half of 2009, up from £91 million from the equivalent period of 2008. The company benefited from the favourable effect of 2008’s high UK retail price inflation, which governs the charges that National Grid is allowed to earn from energy suppliers for using its networks. The company was also helped by the steep fall in interest rates, as about a third of its debt is at floating rates.

The world’s largest maker of household cleaners Reckitt Benckiser is close to a “multibillion pound cross-border transaction,” most likely candidate being industry giant Colgate. The news added 1.1 percent to Reckitt’s shares which closed at 3,140 pence.

Brewers SABMiller Plc who produces the Pilsner Urquell and Miller Genuine Draft beers among others saw their shares rise 3.4 percent to 1,714 pence on trading before the weekend. The rise was a result of their announcement of first-half profits that beat analysts’ estimates, as well their plans to launch a four year cost reduction program to save around £200 million annually by 2014.

U.K. pub owner Fuller Smith & Turner Plc, producers of London Pride ale, has announced first-half profits up 47 percent, as the company benefited from acquisitions and by selling more of its own beer brands. A spokesman for the company said that they expect the second half to be “significantly tougher,” as factors including good weather and the benefits of the purchases are unlikely to be repeated The company has added 11 pubs over the past year, seven in central London acquired from Punch Taverns Plc.

There was a lot of movement on the FTSE 100 before the index closed for the weekend. In the travel sector both Thomas Cook and Tui Travel sank at least 4 percent. Wolseley Plc and Taylor Wimpey Plc led a retreat among home builders after reports that unemployment will continue to force down property prices. Cable & Wireless Plc added 1.8 percent after positive market reports on the company’s performance.

The pound fell against the dollar, the euro and the yen on concern that the U.K.’s worst budget deficit since records began will hamper the nation’s recovery. The pound slid to its lowest level in more than two weeks against the U.S. currency. Britain’s £11.4 billion-pound budget deficit in October was the worst for the month since records began in 1993, according to data released on Friday by the Office for National Statistics.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6504
• Pound/Euro 1.1099
• Pound/Japanese Yen 146.7564
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6803

U.K. stocks declined for a fourth day with the benchmark FTSE 100 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 5,251.41, bringing this week’s loss to 0.9 percent. The gauge has rebounded 50 percent from this year’s low on March 3 amid signs government stimulus policies and record-low interest rates are leading the UK economy out of recession, albeit at a slow pace. The FTSE 250 dropped another 70 points to close on 9,167.60

Stateside the Dow Jones average had a quiet day on Friday; closing on 10318.16 The NASDAQ dropped just ten points on the day’s trading to close on 2146.04.

Gold maintained a grip near its all-time high while oil prices dipped and base metals eased as commodity markets paused for breath after their recent strong run.

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Tags: Alistair Darling, Bank, Bank of England, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Cable & Wireless Plc, Confederation of British Industry, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, Employment, Financial News, Financial Stability, FSA, FTSE, Fuller Smith & Turner Plc, General Lambert, Gold, London Pride ale, Miller Genuine Draft, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, National Grid, Pilsner Urquell, Punch Taverns Plc, Recession, Reckitt Benckiser, Richard Lambert, SABMiller Plc, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Taylor Wimpey Plc, Thomas Cook, Tui Travel, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK Financial Services Authority, UK government, UK Recession, Unemployment, Wolseley Plc