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UK house prices go back into neutral

March 10th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Savings Accounts, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

According to information released by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) it looks increasingly likely that further price increases in the domestic property market may be put on hold, as more properties continue to come on to the market. RICS announced that in February more instructions to sell came on the market than enquiries to buy, making for the second month in a row that this has happened. Analysts have always speculated that

The rise in house prices during 2009 has been because there was a shortage of both new and second hand properties for sale. In spite of the rise in volumes, however, the average price paid for private homes during the year fell 9 per cent to £166,000.

That well known bearer of bad news and inaccurate predictions the Confederation for British Industry (CBI) have come up with another winner. This time they suggest that the cash-strapped U.K. government should aim to balance its budget two years earlier than currently planned. The CBI say that such a move would go a long way to calming investor fears that Britain could lose its top-notch credit rating. They have yet to come up with suggestions of how Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling or whoever is lucky enough to replace him should go about this mammoth task, although the traditional spending cuts and reforms to public services were mentioned rather than tax increases.

In the last few weeks, newspaper polls continue to point in the direction of a coalition government for Britain in the coming elections. This will mean the first minority government since 1974, and those who remember that far back, don’t recall it as a particularly pleasant experience.

It appears that the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has their feet more firmly on the ground than some of the other public bodies. They have proved it once again by suggesting that the UK government reduce their economic growth target for 2011 from 2.3 percent down to 2.1 percent. At same time, the BCC issued a strongly worded suggestion to the government to abandon proposals to raise national insurance. To complete a cheery picture, the UK trade organisation also suggested that the UK government should rapidly address public sector pensions as well as taking a close look at public sector levels to make any progress on tackling the UK’s ever increasing budget deficit.

One of the biggest clouds hanging over the future of the Royal Mail service has finally been lifted after an agreement was reached with postal workers which means that they could be eligible to salary increase of around seven percent over the next three years, as well as a more stable job security. In return for these favours, the Communication Workers Union (CWU) need to promise to cooperate in structural changes to the organisation that will eventually transform it .

The deal, which is still to be accepted in a ballot vote by CWU members, is designed to avert the threat of further union disruption and give the green light for the Royal Mail to proceed with their proposed £2 billion modernisation programme. With their union troubles hopefully behind them, the stage will be set for Royal Mail to face some of their other challenges, including revaluating their pension fund deficit, which currently stand as £3.4 billion to at least three times that sum.

The company that manages the Channel Tunnel, the aptly named Eurotunnel, announce that they had succeed in making a £1.3 million last year, despite the effects of the "poor economic environment" as well as one or two setbacks that they experienced in 2009, which they must hope will be one-offs. These included the tunnel being closed after the fire in late 2008, not returning to normal levels until February of last year, as well as the heavy snow that made it impassible in December of 2009.

There is a buzz in the city that states that Northern Rock are about to announce multi-million pound losses in 2009, and for the third year running, Pre-tax losses are expected to be around 400 million pounds, meaning that . The bank has made losses totaling of £2 billion since being bailed out by the UK government in 2007.

Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Money, who at one time were said to be interest in acquiring Northern Rock, and are to launch themselves as a retail bank later this year, have come with a fairly innovative new proposal for potential customers. The proposal we that Virgin Bank will charge a fixed monthly fee for current account customers, payable in advance. A spokesman for the company did hasten to point out that the fees will be low and will replace high overdraft charges.

Virgin Money’s launch comes at a time when consumers have lost confidence in existing High Street banks and Virgin’s high profile as a high street trader who gets things done.

Another major UK retailer, supermarket giant Tesco are also set to expand into the banking industry, already offering credit cards, savings accounts and insurance via its Tesco Personal Finance (TPF) brand through their in-store banks.

In the meantime, supermarket chain WM Morrison are expected to report a 16 percent increase of their in full-year pre-tax profit for 2009 to £757 million when its results are announced on Thursday. Sales are expected to have risen to £15.5 billion. The supermarket’s increased penetration in the south of England has led to industry-beating sales growth and large gains in market share.

Money markets continued to be unfavourable for Sterling with the pound closing yesterday on $1.499 while also falling against the Euro on €1.1028.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index slowed down after a few days of heavy rises, up just five points, to close on 5,602.3.

Stateside, ailing insurance giant AIG have announced that they are to sell of yet another of their overseas insurance business, American Life Insurance Company (Alico) to rival MetLife for $15.5 billion (£10.3 billion), in a drive to raise funds to pay off their $182.3 billion federal bail-out.

MetLife will pay out $6.8 billion in cash and a further $8.7 billion in shares for Alico, which operates in more than 50 countries.

The announcement comes a week after AIG agreed to sell its Asian business AIA to UK group Prudential for $35.5 billion.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was holding its own, closing up 21 points on 10,585.62. The NASDAQ Composite was still climbing, rising 21 points to close on 2,347.13

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OECD states their concerns on the long term effects of quantative easing in the UK

November 20th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has predicted that the recovery and growth seen in the second half of 2009 is expected to continue in 2010. Their recent figures show that its 30 member countries, including the US and UK have more than doubled its growth projections for next year. However a spokesman from the OECD warned the developed nations not to expect a smooth ride and that "growth was being held back by still substantial headwinds" and would be restrained for some time in the near future. They went on to explain that some of the very measures that were being used to help the richer nation’s economies to recover might return like a boomerang upon them. The feeling was at the OECD was that the UK, needed to come up with a concrete plan to ease concerns about the stability of their public finances, and that the results that could be achieved through continuing the country’s quantitative easing programme remained uncertain. The UK, which now has overall debt of £825 billion, is set to borrow a record £175 billion over the next two years with further details of how and why due to be set out in Chancellor Darling’s pre-Budget report on 9 December.

US investment bank JP Morgan have announced that they are to complete their take-over of UK stockbroker Cazenove. Morgan are reported to be paying a further £1 billion ($1.67 billion) for the remaining 50% of Cazenove that is not in their hands. JP Morgan and Cazenove reached a joint venture agreement in 2004, where they merged their investment banking operations.

The news that Marks and Spencer have chosen Marc Bolland, current head of Wm Morrison, as its new chief executive, saw a dramatic and immediate shift in fortunes for both companies, at least in stock market terms. Shares in M&S rose 6 per cent to close on 390 pence while Morrisons’ fell by 5 per cent to 281 pence, making for a combined £600 million swing”.

Dutch born Bolland’s appointment puts a long awaited end to the speculation of who will replace incumbent chairman, Sir Stuart Rose, who will remain with the company as part-time chairman until mid-2011.

ITN were expected to reveal the first trading first-ever loss on Thursday as the company launched a set of austerity measures which will be required to put the company back on track. ITN, who produce news bulletins for ITV, as well as for Channel 4, is owned by four media companies, ITV Daily Mail & General Trust, United Business Media and Thomson Reuters, each of whom hold a 20 percent share, except ITV who hold 40 percent. Reasons given for the drop in sales and profit were mainly the recession, which has affected advertising revenues on all commercial broadcasters, and the closure of Setanta Sports News, the news channel operated by the Ireland-based sports channel network that went into administration this year. Revenue from Setanta made up approximately 5 per cent of ITN’s sales in 2008. ITN made a profit of £4.1 million on turnover of £105 million.

Postal and parcel delivery company UK Mail, who only this moth adopted their new trading title from Business Post, have announced a rise in their interim profits, despite of a fall in revenues caused by a recession driven fall in demand. A spokesman for the company pointed out that their parcel business, which holds around a 7 per cent share of the UK market, has witnessed an upturn is sales during the period of postal strikes, as the public began to seek alternatives to Royal Mail’s service. However the company, which also handles around 17 million items of mail a day, said the strikes affected the volumes of mail handled by the company much less significantly than they had hoped for. UK Mail, who relies on the Royal Mail for “last mile” delivery of its sorted post, pointed out that the impact the strikes had been less severe than anticipated.

Sterling lost some of its gains against the major currencies in midweek trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6636
  • Pound/Euro 1.1163
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 148.0862
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6881

The UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 index lost the bulk of its early gains for the week, down 78 points to 5,267.70. The FTSE 250 took its usual midweek tumble down 165 points to 9,237.

New home construction in the US have taken a surprise drop fall in October, down 10.6% to an annual rate of 529,000 homes, making for the lowest level in housing starts since April of this year, Reasons for the decrease in demand was put down to .a fall in demand for both single and family housing.

On the news, the Dow Jones average slumped 105 points to close on 10332.42. The NASDAQ also took a tumble, but for reasons of its own and finished the day on Thursday on 2156.92.

Internet giant America on Line (AOL) have announced that they are to lay off more than 2,000 of their staff , representing one third of their entire work forces when it completes its spinoff from Time Warner, with whom they have been in partnership since 2001. Representatives from Time Warner have stated that the separation will be completed by the end of 2009.

Also cutting jobs are Air France-KLM who plans to cut their work force by cut 1,700 during 2010. Their decision comes after the airline posted a worse than predicted third quarter loss of 147 million Euros (£131 million) the job losses are in addition to the 3,000 already cut in 2009.

Silver, platinum, palladium and copper have reached fresh highs for the year while gold continued to extend its record-breaking run breaching the $1,150 mark, seen as the next key milestone in the rally, to reach a record $1,152.74 an ounce, before easing back to $1,148.

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Its Lloyd and RBS out of the high street, and Richard Branson and PayPal in.

November 4th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Saving, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

financial news

The announcements that Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) and Lloyds Banking Group are to sell off hundreds of branches has added a smile to the face of.

Alistair Darling as well as the European Commission, who had insisted that the banks sell off some of their branches. In a recent statement, the chancellor confirmed his opinion that the sales, were in the "best interest" of the wider UK banking sector.

Lloyds will dispose of more than 600 branches over the next four years, while RBS will sell 318 of their high street outlets. The Spanish banking group, Santander will be allowed to bid for Royal Bank of Scotland’s branches when they are put up for sale. Under competition rules agreed between London and Brussels, Santander will be eligible to bid for some of the branches as the currently hold less than 8 per cent of the UK small business lending market. Meanwhile, Sir Richard Branson is reported to be interested in moving into the world of high street banking as his Virgin Money group has applied to the Financial Services Authority (FSA) for a banking licence.

There are even some contentious rumors around that no less a company than PayPal might find them on the UK high street. Reports have it that PayPal already have an EU banking license, granted to them in May 2007, so why not a place for the outsiders!

Britain’s fourth-biggest supermarket group, WM Morrison have sent a message to their major suppliers that they will be looking for increased support for their increased and more aggressive promotion campaigns, The campaigns are aimed to increase their market share in what has become an increasingly competitive market. Morrison’s move comes as the prices of basic food stuffs begin to drop.

Europe’s biggest low-cost airline Ryanair announced on Monday that it is considering slowing down its rapid expansion program, and instead break with tradition by distributing cash earmarked to buy new aircraft to their shareholders instead. The company raised the possibility of the strategic shift while announcing a 46 per cent rise in second-quarter profits. The company has kept its full-year profit forecast steady, although they expect that figures for the third and fourth quarters will be less than rosy.

Sterling continued to weaken against the dollar, whilst rising slightly against the Euro and holding its own against the rest of the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6398
  • Pound/Euro 1.1168
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 148.3102
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6874

The FTSE spent time under the 5,000-point mark on Tuesday with banking stocks taking the biggest toll. At close of trading, the FTSE 100 was seen to be holding its own on 5,037.2.

The FTSE 250 continues to suffer from a consistent run of heavy losses, falling more than 15% of its peal of 10,000 just a few weeks ago. At close of trading yesterday it was sitting on 8,756.68.

Troubled US commercial lender CIT Group, filed for bankruptcy on Sunday after attempts at a restructuring or bail-out failed. In a statement, CIT, who have been a key figure on the American banking scene for more than a century, announced that they had requested that the court quickly confirm its prepackaged bankruptcy plan. The plan, which has broad support from its debt holders, and in particular from Carl Icahn its billionaire investor. Icahn has agreed to provide a $1 billion line of credit, allowing the company to remain confident that they would be able to emerge from bankruptcy by the end of the year.

The US Dow Jones index made some recoveries from the last two days trading; up 61 points to 9,774.1 The NASDAQ were also fairly stable, reaching 2047.46.

The market was taken by surprise by the announcement of a swing to profitability by the auto manufacturing giant Ford. The company posted its first quarterly profit in more than a year, thanks to the implementation of cost-cutting and the government’s “cash-for-clunkers” rebates helped produce earnings of nearly $billion, or 29 cents a share, during the third quarter. Shares in Ford closed up 8.3 per cent at $7.58.

Australia’s economy continues to be the rising star of the global economies, so much so that it central bank has increased its interest rate for the second consecutive month, up a quarter percent to 3.5%. The Australian economy is the only one in the developed world to expand in the first half of 2009, with the continent largely managing to steer clear of recession, only entering into negative growth for the last quarter of 2008. The bank’s confidence was justifiably increased by the release last week of the lowest inflation figures in Australia for 10 years.

The price of gold price hit a fresh record high on Tuesday as India agreed to buy 200 tonnes of bullion from the International Monetary Fund. The move caused traders to speculate that there would be further purchases by the emerging economies. India’s purchase valued at around $6.7 billion, accounts for half of the IMF’s expected disposal of gold and signals a growing appetite among developing countries’ central banks for bullion in the wake of the global economic and financial crisis, coming after China had revealed earlier in the year that it had quietly almost doubled its gold reserves to become the world’s fifth-biggest holder.

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Mandelson seeks to ban the Phoenix Four

September 14th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Gold, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

After an inquiry found they had taken unreasonably large rewards from the now bankrupt car maker MG Rover Group Ltd, UK Business Secretary Peter Mandelson is seeking a ban on the investors involved in the collapse from running other companies

A recently released 800-page government-commissioned report into the demise of MG Rover, who went belly up in 2005 with debts amounting to £1.3 billion states that directors of Phoenix Venture Holdings, Peter Beale, John Edwards, Nick Stephenson, John Towers and Kevin Howe had drawn a combined 42 million pounds in pay and benefits over five years.

About 6,000 people lost their jobs when the car maker collapsed.

Lord Mandelson, business secretary, has also announced his confidence that following the sale of General Motors’ European business to Magna International, a Canadian car-parts supplier, and Russia’s Sberbank jobs were safe at Vauxhall’s plants in the UK. GM’s decision to sell Opel to the Canadian and Russian partnership ended months of uncertainty over the fate of the car maker.

Magna has already made a commitment to the German government not to shut any of its four factories there, however t there is still unease and uncertainty among Britain’s trade unions that either the Luton or Ellesmere Port plant, might be slated for closure by Magna. Without giving any specific reason why, Lord Mandelson, in a statement issued before the weekend. Said he was satisfied with the deal and that the immediate uncertainty about GM’s future in Europe has been removed.

The star of the show on the FTSE Friday was the rail maintenance group, Jarvis, whose shares jumped to their highest level in more than a year after the company reported an “extremely preliminary” takeover inquiry.

Their stock, which has been stuck below the 15 pence since a profits warning way back in November 2007 wiped 75 per cent off its value, has increased in value by close to 70 percent from 17 pence to 24 pence with two days of trading after the company released a statement to the markets on the approach

Analysts speculated that that any of the other companies involved the rail maintenance sector might be interested in the company, with others suggesting that an overseas buyer might also be a candidate.

The UK’s fourth-biggest supermarket group WM Morrison warned of lower sales growth on the back of more moderate rises in food prices, as it lifted profits and raised its interim dividend by 35 per cent.

Morrisons, who increased their underlying profits by 22 per cent, also announced that they are embarking on an expansion drive containing its fresh food shop within a shop concept, as it seeks expansion.

A spokesman for the company did warn that a natural reduction in comparative growth rates was liable to be caused by easing food price inflation, along with strong like-for-like sales growth. Shares in the group dropped by 0.8 pence to 283.7 pence.

As the market continued to digest news it was under investigation by the Serious Fraud Office and Office of Fair Trading over allegations of anti-competitive business practices, shares in Sports Direct International dropped 0.9 per cent to 107.9 pence.

The FTSE 100 index made it back over the 5,000 points, rising. 23.79 points to close at 5,011.47

The FTSE 250 rose again on Friday, up 82.18 points to close for the weekend to close on 9,207.89

The pound rose against the dollar yet took a minor tumble against the Euro on Friday’s trading, as well as the other major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.616
  • Pound/Euro 1.1433
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 150.5651
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7281

According to a recent declaration by Treasury secretary Tim Geithner, the US is starting to pare back its emergency support for banks and financial markets, stating that the US financial system was no longer in need of extensive government prop-ups.

Almost a year since the collapse of Lehman Brothers, which triggered a financial panic that tipped the world into a deep recession, Geithner has announced that the time had come to ease the US economy from crisis to recovery mode.

Pointing to the evidence of a return to partial stability in global financial markets, Mr. Geithner announced that the US would allow their $2,500 billion guarantee for industry to expire as scheduled this month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average faltered by just a little on Friday down 12.07 points to 9695.44 while the NASDAQ Composite rose by 0.2 points to close on 2080.9.

Fast-falling corporate inventories meant Japanese gross domestic product grew more slowly in the second quarter of this year than was initially forecast, according to government data released on Friday, but analysts stated that the world’s second largest economy’s recovery remained on track.

In the three months to June, GDP expanded 0.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis, revised data issued by the cabinet showed, down from the 0.9 per cent growth initially estimated last month.

Global oil consumption will contract less than previously feared this year and grow strongly in 2010, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA) the developed countries’ energy watchdog, another of the signs of optimism for the economic welfare of the World popping up on a regular basis these days.

The IEA now expect global oil demand to drop 1. 9 million barrels a day for 2009, less than the 2.3 million forecasts as recently as last month, making for the third revision since May, when the organisation forecast a contraction of 2.6 million barrels per day. .

Gold reached $1,011.55 a troy ounce on Friday, just 1.9 per cent below the record $1,030.80 reached in March 2008.

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