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Darling confesses that there may be budget cuts on the way.

January 11th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment

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In an interview held over the weekend, chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling predicted that should the Labour Party be re-elected in this year’s anticipated elections they will be prepared to tightly rein in spending and curb Government borrowing. The treasury chief warned that the UK has little option but reduce the massive budget deficit entailing making the toughest public spending cuts seen in 20 years.

Darling’s comments signaled a change in direction or a possible split in Labour’s election strategy as until recently Gordon Brown’s has pinned the bulk of his preliminary electoral campaign and its possible success on the need to support economic recovery, instead of reducing the country’s current £178-billion-pound deficit. The International Monetary Fund has forecast that the UK’s GDP deficit will peak this year at 13.2 percent.

To the chagrin of many, city bankers look likely to suffer minimal impact from the bonus super tax imposed on them by the government last month.

Most banks who were available for comment hinted they are preparing to absorb if not all at least part of the cost of 50 per cent tax by inflating their bonus pools, and are prepared to run the risk of irritating the government and even their own shareholders in order to keep their staff happy. The banks are unofficially conceding that dividends are likely to be hit by their capitulation, and they are already under pressure as regulators have pressurized banks to increase their capital holdings, which will have a consequent effect on their profit margins.

Meanwhile, the Association of British Insurers (ABI) has written a letter to the remuneration committee chairmen of the UK’s top 350 companies warning boards against paying big bonuses and keeping directors safe from tax increases. ABI are concerned that investors will lose out amid fears that banks will absorb the supertax on bonuses at the expense of dividends. Last year was marked by a number of cases of shareholders rebelling against companies’ plans.

With Christmas trading a fading memory, it has been reported that city analysts are taking a close look at Tesco and attempting to determine how much the extra £100 million pounds’ worth of loyalty vouchers given to customers affected their Christmas trading. Fears are that by Tesco’s inflating their Clubcard loyalty scheme they could have "artificially" inflated their UK sales figures for the period, with estimates that the extra vouchers could have added around 1.5% the supermarket chain’s UK turnover for the Christmas , which is due to be released on Tuesday.

The Crown Estate, owner of the UK’s coastal seabeds, have granted development rights to energy companies that will herald the largest wind energy project ever seen in the world.

The announcement has the potential to see an additional 32 GigaWatts (GW) of clean electricity feeding into the UK grid, on top of 8 GW from previous rounds. 32 GW will mean enough offshore wind energy to supply nearly all the homes in the UK, with projection that investment in UK offshore wind overall could be worth £75 billion and support up to 70,000 jobs by the year 2020.

A total of nine development zones, with a capacity of just over 25 GW, have been allocated to Ten European Companies following a competitive tender.

Plans are currently under approval by the UK Government to construct what will be the fastest railway in Europe. The multi billion pound project would see trains travelling from London to the West Midlands at 250 mph from a new station to be constructed in the capital.

Construction is scheduled to begin in 2017, and the first trains should toll out of London 2025, carrying more than a thousand passengers at a time. The project is expected to cost as much as £60 billion.

Taking a short term view, the UK is currently investigating a variety of options on how to deal with increasing stocks of swine flu vaccines, with the British public showing a lack of interest in taking advantage of the free injection. The department of health is looking at either renegotiating existing contracts with the drug companies, such as GlaxoSmithKline and Baxter International to reduce the consignments. Other last attractive options are to sell the vaccines on to other countries or simply give them away. France and Germany also intend to cancel millions of doses of the H1N1 vaccines because of oversupply.

All of the five UK mobile networks are now reported to be in talks with Google over plans to market their new Nexus One mobile phone. Vodafone are the first operator to officially announce that had sealed a deal to offer the device, while no official launch date has been set as yet. The remaining four UK mobile phone operators. While it is expected that the big four will be providing support and service for the Nexus One, Google will be marketing their new baby exclusively online.

A little reminder that the internet doesn’t yet rule all of the World came with the news that UK greeting cards company Clinton have reported a rise in sales of 3.5 percent on last year for the weeks approaching Christmas, with like-for-like sales in the 22 weeks to Jan. 2 rising. However this upturn in sales appeared to be a drop in the ocean as the company continues to experience difficult trading conditions and has closed 12 of their stores in the last six months.

The pound stuttered slightly above the dollar in pre-weekend trading, while sliding backwards against the Euro.

  • Dollar 1.6025
  • Euro 1.1116

As brokers set off home for the weekend in their snow ploughs and sleds, the FTSE 100 edged just 7.52 points higher to 5,534.24. For the week the index was up 2.4 per cent, making for the third straight weekly gain.

In the US official figures have shown the unemployment rate holding steady at 10% despite the fact that employers unexpectedly cut 85,000 jobs in December. The US Labor Department had initially estimated that 11,000 jobs were cut in November, but now says that the economy had in fact added 4,000 jobs.

Since the recession began in 2007, 7.2 million jobs have been lost in the US, with 4.2 million of them in 2009 alone.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed for the weekend still on the up, eleven points to 10,618 while the NASDAQ also jumped 17 points to close on 2,3170.71.

General Motors (GM) reluctantly advised that they have begun "winding down" process for Saab, whilst continuing efforts to find a buyer for their Swedish car-making subsidiary.

GM intends to organize an "orderly" winding down at Saab, which they expects to take several months. The US group also confirmed that they are continuing to evaluate the several proposals they had received to acquire Saab, including the one from Formula One boss Bernie Ecclestone.

With the news that the exports had risen by 17.7% in December, China now claims to have overtaken Germany to become the world’s largest exporter.

December’s remarkable rise ends a 13-month decline in trade as a result of the global downturn.

Total Chinese exports for 2009 were £7.5 trillion, which marked a downturn in foreign of 13.9%, as the global economic downturn led to a fall in demand.

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Freezing Britain has to weigh up the costs.

January 8th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks

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While the UK and with it almost all of Western Europe and the West Coast of the US are caught in the grip of the longest running and most severe cold spell that it has seen for close to thirty years without a break in the foreseeable future, many analyst are now scratching their heads and asking themselves "what will this do to the price of oil?"

Since the weather began to turn incredibly difficult about a week ago the price of oil has risen steadily from the around $78 to $82 within the space of one week, the highest price it has been all of 2009, and to those of you who may have forgotten, sat on a low of $32 a barrel towards the end of December 2008. With the news that the major economies, and especially China, were starting to build up stockpiles of oil, hopes were that prices would begin to fall and settle around the ideal figure of between $68 to $72 a barrel.

Analysts fear that if the span weather persists, and predictions are that at least in the UK it could continue to the end of January, and the increase in demand could push the price up oil even further, as stocks diminish. Meanwhile leading bodies in UK industry bodies have asked head- teachers to minimize snow-linked school closures to reduce levels of absence from the workplace. Although 61 percent of 200 companies surveyed by the British Chambers of Commerce said less than one in 10 employees was absent, the Federation of Small Businesses warned that childcare-related absences following school closures would become a serious problem. The cold snap looks likely to cost the economy close to £700 million pounds a day, meaning total financial damage of £14.5 billion pounds if, as expected. The bad weather lasts a further three weeks.

As expected UK interest rates will remain unchanged at 0.5%, meaning that the cost of borrowing has remained at a record low since March 2009. Economist are not expecting to see a rates increase s in the near term, despite expectations that the UK will finally have exited recession in the last quarter of 2009.

Formula 1 boss, Bernie Ecclestone is looking to buy a Saab, not the car but the company, and intends to do so in partnership with the Luxembourg-based private investment company, Genii Capital, which recently invested in Renault’s Formula 1 team.

Ecclestone’s dramatic announcement came shortly after the deadline for expressions of interest in the company closed without any public bids.

As well as Ecclestone’s offer, a second bid s also emerged, from the Dutch sports car maker, Spyker Cars.

U.S. food giant Kraft has received a ticking off from the principal shareholder Warren Buffett who has also thrown a spanner in the works of their proposed transaction. The Buffett-owned holding company Berkshire Hathaway who Hold 9.4% of Kraft’s stock announced that they will be voting against it is the proposal to issue up to 370 million shares to facilitate the Cadbury deal.

A spokesman for Kraft reacted to Buffet’s statement by saying that "Mr. Buffett is our largest investor and one of the most respected investors in the world. We take his opinion very seriously. We agree Kraft shares are deeply undervalued. We would not do anything to hurt shareholder value and we intend to remain disciplined in this process." Shares fell 7 pence, or 0.9 percent, to 772 pence on trading.

In their annual Christmas trading statement, Majestic Wine announced a rise in sales of 11.7 percent between Nov. 3 and Jan. 4 in the UK, with champagne sales regaining their seasonal appeal over Christmas. While champagne sales grew 11 percent, fine wine sales climbed 30 percent and online trading rose by 20 percent.

Family-owned brewer Fuller Smith & Turner also managed to increase its profits, sales and dividend in the six months to September, largely bucking the trend prevalent in the brewery sector. With members of the controlling families owning more than half of the company equity and 60 percent of the voting rights, executive chairman Michael Turner pronounced the effect that company’s long-term, risk-averse strategy was paying dividends.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

  • Dollar 1,5967
  • Euro 1.1126

The U.K.’s largest home builder by market value Persimmon Plc has announced that they completed the sale of 8,976 new homes in 2009 with a total value of around £1.4 billion pounds. On the news their shares gained 1.2 percent, to 469 pence. Wolseley Plc, the world’s largest supplier of heating and plumbing gear seemed to be moving in a positive direction, with their shares added 4.7 percent, to 1,361 pence.

The Vodafone Group PLC expects to be able to offer Google Inc.’s Nexus One smart phone to its U.K. customers in the next few weeks, with their rivals reported to be already in advanced talks with the Internet giant about the device.

Vodafone, the world’s biggest mobile operator, is also in early discussions with Google about supporting the phone in France, Germany and Spain, a Vodafone spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires Wednesday, and hopes to offer it across the rest of Europe through the course of 2010.

JD Sports Fashion Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest sportswear chain said sales at stores rose 6.6 percent in the five weeks up to the Ist of January .2010. On the news their shares jumped 6.2 percent, to 550 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group on Wednesday reported a small increase in third-quarter sales, despite not slashing prices in the run-up to Christmas, as customers snapped up cashmere sweaters and clothing for kids. But the company cautioned that trading will remain challenging this year.

Group sales at the iconic British retailer rose 2.6% in the three months to Dec. 26. In the U.K. same-store sales rose 0.8%, with general merchandise up 1.2% and food up 0.4%. Underlying sales returned to growth for the first time in two years.

Still, the results missed the consensus forecast for a 1.2% increase in same-store sales, partly because this year’s trading period excluded the first day of the company’s post-Christmas sales, when it typically sees a surge in revenue. Online sales increased 32% and international sales climbed 6%

Britain’s Home Delivery Network said it would buy DHL’s UK parcel delivery operations, DHL Domestic, from Deutsche Post DHL (DPWGn.DE), growing its market share in a sector profiting from a boom in online shopping.

With many of the UK s leading retailers, among them John Lewis and Next reporting significant online growth, companies such as Home Delivery Network have felt the impact.

The parcel delivery company, headquartered in Merseyside, northwest England, said the combined businesses would have annual revenues of more than £600 million pounds, delivering over 180 million parcels a year, with a combined market share of 17 percent.

Britain’s currency recovered slightly over the last two days

  • Dollar 1,5992
  • Euro 1.1198

The FTSE100 finished trading on Thursday in a fairly static position at 5526.72 barely moving on the week’s trading.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Thursday up a further 24 points to 10,607 while the NASDAQ also dropped 8 points to 2,300.71.

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Lloyds to lay off another 5,000

November 11th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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Lloyds Banking Group is to cut 5,000 more jobs by the end of next year as it continues to reduce overlap following its merger with HBOS last year.

While almost half of these posts are among staff, 2,600 permanent jobs would be lost. The union Unite accused the bank of "corporate arrogance" and short-termism following the announcement, which will mean that Lloyds will have cut 15,000 jobs this year.

Japan’s second- largest carmaker Honda Motor Co have announced that they will be widening job cuts at its UK factory in Swindon, due to a major fall in demand in Europe as the end of government stimulus programs draws close.

According to a company spokesman, Honda plans to expand their voluntary early retirement plan, which succeeded in reducing the number of workers at the factory by 1,300 last December, although the spokesman declined to say how many additional jobs would be cut. The plant, which builds the CR-V and Civic models for the European market, saw production plunge by 75 percent to 400,000 units in the year until end September 2009.

A rapid recovery in UK commercial property values conditions could see the sector turn positive this year. The recovery comes after the deepest slump on record that looks like leading to an almost boom like situation according to forecasts. Real estate values are set to overturn most of the losses suffered in the first half as booming investor demand has taken prices back to near peak levels in some sectors.

As was widely expected, Cadbury have rejected the formal bid from Kraft on Monday, going as far as to describe the US food group’s offer as “derisory”. Roger Carr, Cadbury’s chairman, declared the formal offer “worse than the proposal the board has previously rejected” as it made no attempt to improve the terms of its original offer of two months ago. In the meantime Kraft’s share price has fallen steadily since their offer in early September, reducing the value of the bid from 745 pence a share to 717. Cadbury’s shares closed up 3 pence to 761 on the FTSE, while Kraft’s shares fell 31 cents in New York in midday trading to $26.47. However, Kraft have not rules out making an increased offer during the formal takeover offer period, which could last up to three months as analysts predict that the company may wait until towards the end of the offer period before making a final offer.

Company management at Sainsburys will be feeling the pressure as recent figures show that the supermarket group sales were expanding at the lowest rate of the UKs "big four " supermarkets. Sainsbury’s sales were shown to have risen by 4.7 percent in the 12 weeks to October 31, making for the lowest turnover expansion, less than the 5.6 percent recorded by Tesco, with Asda and Morrisons leading the way.

Unofficial reports have it that Orange UK sold more than 30,000 iPhones on launch day. Orange is the second carrier to offer the iPhone in the UK behind O2, while Vodafone has announced plans to begin offering the handset early in 2010, as well as the iPhone, Orange UK have also launched a so-called business homescreen for the soon to be launched Samsung Omnia Pro B7330. The Omnia Pro is reputed to be a smartphone based on a different concept from the iPhone, featuring Windows Mobile 6.5 and a full QWERTY keypad. Orange’s new homescreen provide quick access to email, voicemail, contacts, calendar and so on, “ensuring vital business applications are right at their employees’ finger tips”. The Samsung Omnia Pro B7330 will be soon available through Orange, coming as the carrier’s first “business WM6.5 device,” targeted at medium and large business customers.

For more information about The Samsung Omnia Pro B7330 Visit Compare-Mobile.co.uk

Sterling lost ground on Tuesday after a ratings agency said the UK was the major economy most at risk of losing its AAA credit rating , Since then the pound has weakened in value over the last two days against all the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6719
  • Pound/Euro 1.1161
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.468
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6852

The FTSE 100 has rallied strongly since the beginning of the week up 86 points to 5,230.55. The FTSE 250 also rose 38.3 points to 9,120.96. London equities principally made progress on Monday, largely thanks to strong trading in insurance stocks.

As US carmaker General Motors (GM) were seen to be making efforts to calm the waves after their surprise decision last week to retain ownership of their European plants, a spokesman for the company has forecast that Opel and Vauxhall will retain consider independence as well as receiving considerable financial support . The US carmaker has announced that that they will provide a “reasonable and sizeable” portion of the restructuring costs for Opel and Vauxhall, rather than seek 100 percent government aid. GM have forecast that they will need €3 billion ($4.5 billion) to restructure the Opel and Vauxhall operations and intend to raise at least partial funding from interested European governments.

The Dow Jones has made some major steps forward since the weekend, up 243 points to 10246.97, closing at the highest level since October 2008.

The NASDAQ also jumped, reaching 2151.08.

US software company Adobe Systems has announced that it is to cut almost 10% of its workforce, a total of 680 jobs. Adobe Systems best known for Photoshop, Flash and Acrobat, said the cuts were necessary to cut costs.

Gold extended its record-breaking run above the $1,100 mark on Monday while crude oil raised more than $2 a barrel as markets made a strong start to the new trading week. Gold hit a record at $1,110.85 a troy ounce, a rise of 26.5 per cent this year, before easing back to $1,107.00, up 1.1 per cent on the day as analysts digested the implications of India’s decision last week to buy half of the gold the International Monetary Fund has put up for sale.

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Brown agrees to bin the Tobin tax

November 10th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown was observed to be rapidly retreating from his proposal that a financial transactions tax be imposed to aid the global economy. Brown, made the speech on Saturday at a meeting of global finance ministers, suffered a backlash on his proposal to implement a miniscule “Tobin tax”. The Tobin tax originally saw the light of day in the early 1970s and was evolved by James Tobin, an influential American macroeconomist and recipient of the Nobel Prize for economics, of that time who proposed imposing a small tax on every amount exchanged from one currency into another. The US was among the first to criticise Mr. Brown who up till now has defended the financial sector against more aggressive moves on regulation by other European governments in the past.

A recent report has suggested that in the past six months alone, only one in ten UK savers have enjoyed an increase on the interest rates paid on their accounts despite the Bank of England’s base rate remaining static…

The study shows that 10% of variable savings accounts are paying lower rates than they were in May, with just 3.5% of variable rate accounts have seen interest rates increase over the same period, despite the implied competition for savers’ deposits.

According to the report, almost half of variable rate accounts are being paid less than 0.5%, while almost a quarter of the banks are offering returns below 0.1%.

The pound continued its recovery against the dollar over the weekend, rising also against all the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6835
  • Pound/Euro 1.232
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 151.2029
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6947

As Monday’s bidding deadline drew closer, shares in Cadbury eased by 0.5 percent to 758 pence. Market analysts expect US food company Kraft to make a formal offer on Monday under the current terms whilst leaving room for maneuver at a later stage. Kraft Foods offer is projected to be around £10 billion ($16.59 billion), and will setting the battle for control of the famed British confectionary company officially in motion.

Those apparently in the know have stated that Kraft had always planned to take its offer directly to Cadbury shareholders, This they will do on Monday, in response to the U.K. Takeover Panel’s deadline to either make a formal offer or back off for six months.

On early rumours that the debt-laden rail and coach operator National Express could launch a fully underwritten £250 million placing and open offer as early as next week, their shares added 4.3 per cent to 330 pence on early trading.

Meanwhile it was reported that Vodafone are preparing a fresh round of cost cutting in an attempt to offset falling revenue at the mobile phone operator.

Vodafone intend to reduce their operating expenses by £1 billion gradually by March 2011, however market analysts now say that the target might even be increased to £1.5 billion. Expectations are that Vodafone will report turnover of £21.6 billion for the six months to September 30, meaning an increase of 8.3 per cent on the same period in 2008, with profits of £7.5 billion, up 2.8 per cent.

Rising unemployment and economic uncertainty in the UK has helped one company report revenues to increase revenues by 15.6 per cent in the six months to September 30. BrightHouse, who rents high-end consumer durables to people who have a low or non-existent credit rating, enjoyed profit growth up £94.6 million for the period. The privately owned retail chain, who supply top-of-the-range television sets, electrical appliance and furniture on a kind of rent/buy agreement without requiring large deposits. Turnover was increased thanks to the opening of 11 new stores in the period, bringing the nationwide total to 188, although like-for-like revenue also rose by close to ten per cent. BrightHouse’s earnings were up 23.7 per cent from the same six-month period in 2008.

Battery-operated robotic hamsters costing about £6 each look like becoming the Christmas hit for 2009, with demand in the UK for outgunning supply. GoGo Pets are the hottest toy of the season, seemingly on a par with demand for the famous Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles, the smash hit of Christmas 1987. The interactive hamsters, Squiggles, Patches, Chunk, Pipsqueak and NumNums, respond to touch with squeaks and noises, and can be set to run about randomly in “explore” mode, and to “coo and chirp” calmly when held. Initial demand for the toys has proven so strong that retail giant Toys R Us had removed them from their Christmas toy catalogue to avoid disappointing customers.

On Friday, the FTSE 100 closed 17.1 points higher at 5,142.7 after a volatile session in which the market rose on early trading and then fell sharply after the release of a key US unemployment report, later recovering as the data was reassessed.

The FTSE 100 rose by 98 points, or 2 per cent for the week, its best weekly performance for a month. Meanwhile, the FTSE 250 rose 62.3 points to 9.082.7, leaving the mid-cap index up 170 points, or 2.2 per cent.

Irish airline Aer Lingus has announced a drop in sales of 9.7% in the third quarter, largely due to a drop in long-haul passenger traffic.

In the three months to September, long-haul numbers dropped 13%, offset by increase of 10%, passenger traffic in short-haul flights

Despite the reduction in turnover, share values s surged 11% to 62 Eurocents as investors recognized some clear signs that the loss-making airline was beginning to stabilise. Last month, the carrier said it would cut almost 800 jobs to try to save 97 million Euros a year (£90 million) by 2011.

The dollar jumped and Wall Street stocks look set to open lower after a crucial report on the US labour market showed unemployment at a fresh 26-year high. The unemployment rate rose from 9.8 per cent in September to 10.2 per cent last month, as the Labor Department announced that non-farm payrolls in October fell by 190,000, the highest since April 1983.

Despite the negative figures, the Dow Jones held its own, up 17.46 points to 10023.42. The NASDAQ also climbed a little, reaching 2112.44.

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House prices rise again in September.

October 8th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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For the third consecutive month of increase, UK housing prices have increased. They are reported to have risen by as much as 1.6% in September. Housing prices in the UK continue to remain considerably lower than in September 2008, as much as 7.4 percent. However since the end of 2008, prices have grown by 1.7 percent as increased demand and reduced inventory have combined to push housing prices up, especially in the recent months. House prices increased by 2.8% in the third quarter of 2009, making for the first rise since the third quarter of 2007, and the largest percentage growth since the first quarter of the same year. The increased demand for property is believed to stems from improved affordability, and the reduction in both interest rates.

It may come to pass that the U.K.’s largest government-controlled bank, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS) may have to surrender more than ten percent of their one million small business customers, The reason being that the European Commission has imposed a penalty on the RBS for receiving billions of pounds of state aid. Currently it is reported that the RBS, in a move designed to reduce their credit card risk portfolio are only issuing new cards to existing clients.

The Office for National Statistics has announced that U.K. manufacturing output has slumped 1.9% from the month in August whilst dropping 11.3% on a yearly basis. The wider industrial production measure fell 2.5% from July and slid 11.2% from August 2008.

The FTSE 100 rose by 2.26 percent on yesterday’s trading, or 113.65 points to close on 5137.98. The FTSE 250 was still on the rise, but at a reduced pace, closing up a further 25.12 points to close for the day on 9,226.35.

The pound made a minor recovery against the leading currencies, while continuing to hover around $1.60. The Sterling’s latest bout of weakness surrounding Sterling began after UK industrial production was shown to have slumped in August. Additional statistics released on Wednesday show that corporate profitability in the UK had deteriorated for a fifth successive quarter and is standing at its lowest level since 2001.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.5958
  • Pound/Euro 1.10863
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 141.422
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.64861

Europe’s largest discount airline, Ryanair Holdings Plc set aside as being of “no substance” recent reports claiming that the company is preparing to take control of Aer Lingus Group Plc through a rights issue. In another sign of the advantage that short-haul, low-cost carriers such as EasyJet hold over long-haul flag carriers during the current downturn, the company announced that it had handled more than 4.4 million passengers in September, an increase of 5.3 per cent over the corresponding month in 2008. The increase, the largest since April, was well above the 4.7 per cent rise the airline recorded in August, traditionally one of its busiest months. In any event, stock in EasyJet fell 0.3 percent, to 3.38 Euros.

According to Sir Terry Leahy, chief executive of Tesco, the worst is over for the UK economy as well as for the U.K.’s premier food retailer. Sir Terry’s revelation came after Tesco’s announced pre-tax profit for the first half of its financial year rose that had risen by 1 per cent to £1.42 billion. Sir Terry prediction is that that the UK would see a “slow and steady recovery” as the money pumped into the economy to stimulate it had to be paid back. He added that uncertainties over the financial outlook for 2010, such as public sector cuts, the proposed increase in value added tax and the threat of rising unemployment, would not be sufficient to prevent “a gradual recovery. Sir Terry also defended Tesco’s performance in the US, where its Fresh & Easy chain has reported losses of £85 million in the six months to the end of August. Shares in Tesco rose 0.4 percent, to 391.4 pence.

The management team at Matalan have reportedly held several meetings over the past few weeks to examine strategic options for the discount clothing and home-ware retailer. Subjects on the agenda included the possible sale of the company during 2010 with an asking price of around £1.5 billion pounds. If a sale was to go through, and discussions are at a very early stage, company founder John Hargreaves would be liable to realise hundreds of millions of pounds in profits from the sale. Matalan have invested significant sums of money in revamping their 200 UK stores have reported solid profits for June.

Shares in Vodafone, the World’s largest mobile phone service providers were under pressure for a second day, dropping 2 per cent to 137 pence. The share price fall could be attributed to a culmination of factors, among them, fears of a price war in India, and analyst’s predictions that AT&T was considering opening their mobile network to third-party voice applications such as Skype. A move that would put pressure on Vodafone’s Verizon Wireless division to emulate.

In the year to 30 September, the US budget deficit more than tripled to a record £877 billion ($1.4 trillion) according to US Congress estimate figures recently released. Analysts had previously predicted a slightly higher deficit but later revised their estimate, which has been attributed to increased government spending coupled with a huge drop in tax revenues. The actual deficit will be released by the Treasury Department later this month.

The Dow Jones index dropped a little on yesterday’s trading, closing on 9725.58, down 5.67 points. The NASDAQ index continued to rise, but at a slower pace, up just 6.76 points to close on 2,110.33.

The White House have announced that it was weighing policy options designed to create new jobs to ease the burden on America’s unemployed, currently numbering more than 15 million. A spokesman for the President hasted to rule out speculation that a second stimulus to provide a further boost to the US economy was on the cards. The majority of US economists believe that the country was on track to move out of recession. However the black cloud of increasing unemployment is hanging over the picture, with unemployment figures hitting 9.8 per cent, the highest rate since 1982.

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Lloyds agree to participate in the government sponsored insurance scheme – Eventually.

September 18th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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In spite of various and long ranging attempts to steer clear of it, Lloyds Banking Group now appear likely to participate in the government sponsored insurance scheme to freeze their toxic assets

Despite the fact that Lloyds signed up for the insurance scheme way back in March, giving itself the option of freezing £260 billion of toxic assets, mostly taken on when it acquired mortgage lender HBOS, the bank has made no serious attempts to participate in the scheme. It would mean that up to £20 billion would be freed for fresh lending but in turn would allowed the UK taxpayer to own close to thirds of the bank. When the deal was first signed in March, shares in stood at 36 pence per share, and yesterday they were almost three times that amount.

At their meeting on Thursday, European Union leaders are expected to urge sanctions for banks that pay excessive bonuses. Ahead of the meeting, UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown has insisted that there was broad backing for bonus restrictions. The EU leaders are likely to urge the Group of 20 (G20) richest nations to maintain their stimulus spending as signs of global recovery grow stronger. Many EU countries blamed excessive bonus taking as a principal cause of the crisis and are seeking to regulate how bonuses are paid at banks in the future.

Vodafone are seeking to assure their investors that they stand to benefit from the recent plans of UK mobile phone businesses of France Telecom and Deutsche Telekom to merge. If the merger does take place, Vodafone once the market leader in the UK, faces falling down the ladder to become the third largest British mobile operator. Currently Vodafone is the second largest UK network operator, behind Telefonica’s O2 subsidiary. Orange UK and T-Mobile UK are respectively the third and fourth largest UK mobile phone operators, but would become the market leader after the proposed merger. On the announcement, stock in Vodafone rose 0.2 percent, to 139.5 pence.

On the FTSE yesterday HSBC provided the foundation for the climb for a fifth straight day of gains. Shares in the bank’s shares gained 2.5 per cent to 717 pence amid growing optimism about its household consumer credit division, now renamed HSBC Finance.

Europe’s largest home-improvement retailer Kingfisher Plc are due to report their interim trading results. In anticipation, their stock rose 1.9 percent to 205.5 pence.

Stuart Rose, chairman and chief executive officer of the Marks & Spencer Group has dismissed the suggestion that his plan to remain as chairman of the company after the hiring of a new CEO was deterring candidates for the job. After that matter was put to rest, stock in M&S climbed 1.7 percent, to 373.8 pence.

Meanwhile Britain’s second-largest clothing retailer Next Plc announced pre-tax profits for the six months through the end of July profit had increased by 6.9 percent to reach £185.5 million pounds. Despite the fact, their stocks fell 1.2 percent, to 1,699 pence.

The UK’s FTSE 100 index continued to climb, rising 39.82 points to close at 5163.95 while the FTSE 250 rose on Thursday by a further 58.84 points to finish the day on 9364.08.

The pound, after making a minor recovery yesterday, fell back against the main currencies yesterday.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6443
  • Pound/Euro 1.1155
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.8274
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6914

The Dow Jones Industrial Average adjusted downwards but only slightly on Thursday trading, downing 7.79 points at 9,783.02. The NASDAQ also fell, but just a little, 6.4 points to 2126.75.

The European plane maker Airbus has raised its forecast for new aircraft demand over the next 20 years.

It predicted global demand for 25,000 new aircraft across the industry between 2009 and 2029, up from the 24,262 it forecast for 2007 to 2027.

Airbus have also said that passenger numbers would fall by 2% this year but rise 4.6% next year going on to add that that demand for aircraft would be susceptible to economic upturns and downturns.

Their principal rival the Boeing Company predicted in June that 29,000 new planes would be ordered between 2009 and 2029.

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The FSA to keep the Royal Bank of Scotland on a short leash.

September 7th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The Financial Services Authority has banned Royal Bank of Scotland from making repayments on bonds worth £920 million pounds next month. They are doing so as a result of concerns that the partly nationalised bank is too reliant on billions of pounds of taxpayer’s money to remain afloat. RBS is in advanced talks with the European Commission (EC) to decide the nature of fiscal restraints to be imposed on the bank in return for its government funding. Among other measures, the EC is likely to force the bank to cut its share in the small-business banking market.

The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has predicted that the UK economy should bounce back next year. They did hasten to add that the risk of the economy relapsing still remains high. The BCC announced in a recent statement that they expect the economy to grow 1.1% in 2010, almost double their previous forecast of 0.6% made as recently as June. According the report, unemployment will peak at around 3 million, fewer than the 3.2 million forecast previously.

At a weekend meeting of the G20 in London, finance ministers representing the world’s most powerful economies have reached agreement on a series of measures designed to regulate the global banking system.

The ministers are interested in implementing a system that will reward long-term performance rather than short-term risk-taking among the global banking community, without reaching agreement on specific limits on the amounts individual bankers get paid.

Britain, the US and Canada were reported to be against the proposal, which is due for further discussion at the summit of G20 leaders in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania later this month.

The UK economy should bounce back next year but the risk of a relapse remains high, a business group has warned.

The British Chambers of Commerce expects the economy to grow 1.1% in 2010, almost double its previous forecast of 0.6% made in June.

It says unemployment will peak at just above 3 million, fewer than the 3.2 million forecast previously.

However, it said that sustaining the recovery would prove challenging given the UK’s debt burden.

Vodafone and O2 have both tabled bids of about £3.5 billion to buy T-Mobile UK from owner Deutsche Telecom, with a successful bid from either firm liable to make them the largest mobile phone operator in the UK.

High street retail chain, Wilkinsons have succeeded in filling a large part of the vacuum left when Woolworths closed their doors towards the end of 2008. The company reported annual sales up by 6.2 percent to 1.4 billion pounds in the year to the end of January, a record for the family-owned group. Wilkinsons have announced their plans for expansion, in which they will open 15 new outlets by 2009, as they drive to reach a target of at least 500 outlets by 2012.

The U.K.’s largest recruitment company Hays Plc retreated 3.7 percent to 96.1 pence on the announcement that their full-year profit had declined by 44 percent due to reduced hiring in the recession.

The U.K. developer of software for William Hill Plc’s Web-gambling site Playtech Ltd announced a 38% increase on pre-tax profits. Their shares rose in value by 13.25 pence to 346 on the news.

Shares in Premier Farnell Plc the U.K. electronic and industrial products distributor dropped 7.2 percent to 151.3 pence after they reported earnings and turnover and profit that fell behind analysts’ estimates.

The FTSE 100 index ended a further 54.95 points higher at 4,851.70. The index has now risen by 38 percent from its six-year low in early March, on hopes that the worst of the global recession is behind us in the UK.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 rose again on Friday, up 141.05 points to close on 8,745.85.

The pound rose against the dollar, yen and Swiss franc, yet continued to falter against the Euro.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6398
  • Pound/Euro 1.1449
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 152.6881
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7361

The number of US workers claiming unemployment benefits has fallen last week but continued to be a cause for concern, with fears that unemployment figures will remain high even after the US moves out of recession.

New jobless claims fell by 4,000 to 570,000; however the number of workers continuing to claim unemployment benefits rose by 92,000 to 6.23 million.

Wall Street on Friday saw the markets continuing to rise, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 99.66 points to close on 9441.27 while the NASDAQ Composite index hurdled the 2,000 mark yet again, closing for the weekend on 2018.78.

The European Central Bank (ECB) remain cautious on the state of economy in the 16 nation Eurozone, forecasting that growth would be very gradual and is capable of being thrown into reverse again.

Evidence of the ECB’s continued wariness, was the news that they had left their main interest rate unchanged for the fourth consecutive month at 1 per cent, which is a record low.

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Even Britain admits it: We are lagging behind in the global financial recovery.

September 4th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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It now appears that the global economy is recovering at a much faster pace than many expected it would. However it appears that making up the rear, and probably by a distance, will be the UK economy that just can’t seem to shake itself out of the doldrums.

According to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) the UK economy is even liable to contact by 4.7% this year, a scenario which is much worse than predicted by the UK Treasury who called the rate of decline at 3.5% decline.

The OECD predicts that both the US and the Eurozone to officially call and end top their recessions by the end of the third quarter, encouraged by a series of positive financial indicators in recent months.

.Meanwhile UK financial analysts explain that the UK stodgy economy has been brought about by the fall in the growth for 2009, which has been driven entirely driven by to terribly negative downturns in fourth-quarter 2008 and first-quarter 2009, while forecasts for the UK in the third and fourth quarters of 2009 are, in fact, slightly better than were originally predicted. However they are not sufficient to pull the UK out of the recession.

Meanwhile UK Chancellor, Alastair Darling, forever thinking one move ahead, fears that Germany and France, having returned to a position of economic growth, will begin to reduce their stimulus spending.

Darling is determined to push the G20 nations to take whatever measures necessary to combat unemployment. He expects them to take similar measures to Britain’s £5 billion jobs package, as he is concerned that if the stimulus package is pulled away too soon, the return to growth might fizzle out.

Chancellor Darling is due to attend a meeting of G20 finance ministers in London on Friday and Saturday, prior to a global recovery debate to be held in Pittsburgh in three weeks, where he and Prime Minister Gordon Brown will be in attendance

Recent reports have shown that the service sector expanded at a faster rate in August than expected, adding further hope that the economy is recovering, albeit slowly.

This piece of positive news was offset by a warning from the financially embattled West Yorkshire Welcome Financial Services that the company may have to shed a further 500 jobs as it continues its battle for survival.

Yorkshire based Cattles, who own the company, are burdened by debts of over £2.4 billion and are under scrutiny due to accounting irregularities, have announce plans to close 30 of its 180 Welcome branches as well as reducing the number of employees in their s sales and support teams.

Cattles have already closed its Welcome Car Finance car loans business cutting more than 1,000 jobs.

The company said it remains in negotiations with key creditors about a deal that would give it breathing space on the repayment of its debt

Deutsche Telekom have made no secret that they are interested in offloading their UK mobile phone unit T-Mobile UK, and have begun talks with the UK’s Vodafone, France Telecom, and Telefónica of Spain in hope of completing a rapid sale. One of the possibilities being discussed is a possible merger between T-Mobile UK and France Telecom’s Orange UK, a possibility suggested by Telecom. Representatives of Deutsche Telekom are seemingly hopeful that significant progress can be made by mid to late-October.

Electrical goods retailer DSG International were so anxious to withdraw from the Polish market that they sold off their interest there for a nominal €1, just three months after retreating from Hungary leaving a single Euro note there also. DSG have enjoyed considerably more success in the Nordic region however that is partially offsetting a continued weak performance in the UK and Ireland, where DSG operations Curries, PC World and Dixons electric goods retailing chains. Shares in DSG rose by 0.59 pence to 27.58 pence on the news.

Gains on London equity markets faded by the close on Thursday as falling oil and drug stocks offset gains for miners and financial stocks.

The FTSE 100 index ended a further 20.80 points lower at 4,796.75. Meanwhile the FTSE 250 made up for most of Wednesday’s reverses, rising 84.87 points to close on 8,604.80

The pound climbed to its highest level for a week on Thursday after a survey of the UK services sector raised some hopes that the country’s economy could return to growth in the third quarter.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6322
  • Pound/Euro 1.1454
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 151.1341
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7338

On Wall Street, the markets continued to be relatively stable, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 11.86 points to close on 9292.53 while the NASDAQ Composite index rose a mere 5.94 points to close on 1973.01

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Whitehall casts an anxious eye over Lloyds as they prepare a massive rights issue.

August 11th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Money Management, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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Last week’s announcement of Lloyds Banking Group’s intentions mount a rights issue planned to raise up to £20 billion in a rights issue has caused no uncertain amount to Chancellor Alasdair Darling and his team as well as those private sector investors who have seen fit to buy some of the bank’s shares. .

In an understandable nut possibly ill timed attempt to reduce the reliance on the UK government, Lloyds’ management began to test the water on the concept that the terms of its participation in the government’s asset protection scheme (APS) might be open to re-negotiation after their second-quarter results were much more positive than analysts anticipated.

However it does appear that the bank will not be met with too many friendly faces when they set about convincing Darling to take a second look at the basic terms of the scheme after several months of highly complex negotiations have been put to bed. ..

Chancellor Darling’s long held standpoint on the APS as the international model for cleaning up toxic assets is believed to be untouchable. In addition, government officials are reported to be of the opinion that raising Lloyd’s ability to raise sufficient capital is questionable, and any attempts to sidestep the scheme would be not only be unwise, infeasible or sufficient to satisfy regulators.

The financial implications of Lloyds opting out of the APS could be fundamental, with the bank having to rise between £30 billion and £40 billion in capital to satisfy the regulator’s stress test. In addition, the UK government could be entitled to demand compensation for carrying £575 billion of the banks liabilities since March of this year.

The Financial Services Authority reported yesterday that the number of new financial companies seeking UK regulatory authorisation have risen by ten per cent during the second quarter, making for the first increase since early 2008.

Independent financial advisers, including those who offer life assurance and other retail ¬products were reported to comprise the single largest group.

Next in line were financial advisory services, private equity shops and corporate finance boutiques. Cottage financial service industries that have been established by ex-city financiers who fled the mainstream banks during the recent turmoil in the financial sector.

The number of firms cancelling their authorisation with the FSA also slowed by 18 per cent in the three months to June, according to another recent study.

On the FTSE yesterday, shares in the BT Group were very much in demand after positive analyst reports.

The reports stated that BT’s broadband business looked set to benefit from Tiscali’s exit from the UK and Vodafone’s failure to capture a share of the market. Shares in BT rose 2 per cent to 134 pence.

Banks led the fallers amid the growing debate about whether Lloyds Banking Group should pursue their controversial rights issue scheme.

Lloyds fell 4 per cent to 98 pence, while shares in Royal Bank of Scotland dropped 3.6 per cent to 45 pence and Barclays also lost 1.8 per cent to close on 358½ pence,

Enterprise Inns slid 1.9 per cent to 172 pence after two of the company’s senior directors took advantage of their share’s rebound.

Ted Tuppen, group chief executive, raised more than £500,000 after selling 300,000 shares at 167 pence each, while CEO Simon Townsend cashed in 67,500 shares for 173 pence. Enterprise share values have jumped by more than three times since December, when both directors increased their shareholdings.

Shares in IT services group Logica were up 1.3 per cent to 113 pence after claims that the company was a potential bid target for BAE Systems.

BAE, 1.5 per cent higher at 325½ pence have been known to be actively on the lookout for acquisitions in an attempt to expand their security operations currently focused on the defence sector, making Logica’s public service operations a credible target..

There was unexplainably strong volume in instrument maker Spectris, whose shares closed 2 per cent higher at 576 pence.

The FTSE 100 drifted from its high of the year, losing 9.36 points, or 0.2 per cent, to 4,722.2.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 closed just half a point down on 8,421.46

The pound stepped backwards against the other major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6483
  • Pound/Euro 1.1654
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 159.6125
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7853

The news that the US banks stand to collect a record $38.5 billion in overdraft fees this year has left a bitter taste in the mouths of many. Even more so when considering that the bulk of the revenue will come out of the pockets of already financially stretched consumers, struggling to keep their heads above water during the current financial downturn.

Overdraft fees have almost doubled during the last decade, and seem inappropriate when considering the political pressure applied to banks to ease the burden on after being bailed out by taxpayers.

The Federal Reserve is working on rules on overdraft fees, and rules on customer charges could be a priority of the Obama administration’s proposed Consumer Protection Agency if approved by Congress.

US stocks drifted from last week’s highs on Monday, with investors looking to bank profits even as several experts gave a relatively bullish analysis for equities.

However sellers far outnumbered buyers on Monday’s trading

On trading Monday, the Dow Jones index eroded a little down 32.12 points, to close on 9,337.95. The NASDAQ also dropped below the 2,000 mark again, down 8.01 points to close at 1992.24.

Latest reports prior to President Obama’s visit are that Mexico has moved into its deepest recession of modern times.

Figures to be announced on gross domestic product in the second quarter is expected to report a 10.4 per cent fall, following a first-quarter drop of 8.2 per cent, according to the finance ministry.

The International Monetary Fund predicts that, for the full year, the economy will fall by 7.3 per cent, the worst performance in Latin America.

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