Chancellor Alistair Darling will say in his pre-Budget report that the economy performed worse in 2009 than he first predicted, Treasury sources have said.

Darling is expected to say that the UK economy shrank by 4.75% this year – more than the 3.5% originally forecast in the Budget in March.

The adjustment follows the economy’s unexpectedly poor performance in the first three months of the year. The chancellor looks likely to stick to 2010 forecasts of growth between 1-1.5%, despite the emergence of Dubai’s financial problems which now raises fresh fears that UK banks could face more write-downs on bad debts, and chimes with warnings earlier this week from the International Monetary Fund, who said that global banks had only worked through half their toxic assets since the banking crisis broke two years ago. Investors had been hoping the British financial sector had worked through much its toxic debt, which included exposure to America’s sub-prime mortgage market.

Despite this week’s setbacks, economic analysts continue to predict that the UK economy should emerge from recession by the end of the year, with the Northern Ireland and Scotland facing a more challenging recovery. The prediction came as revised gross domestic product (GDP) figures showed the UK recession was shallower than previously thought between July and September. Revised estimates from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed a 0.3% fall in UK output in the third quarter, compared with the 0.4% slide originally stated. While UK business confidence surveys on the "mainland" bear out signs of recovery, Northern Ireland business activity continued to fall in October, albeit at the slowest rate since the start of 2008. The reasons apparently are local margins remaining under pressure, is that the manufacturing sector in the province is still reporting a lack of demand and heavy competition in difficult markets. The combination of these factors looks like meaning Northern Ireland will likely lag the UK recovery. Scotland’s growth will continue to lag behind the rest of the UK’s, according to a leading economic think tank. Similar sources also announced that they had observed some "disturbing weaknesses" in the Scottish economy and predicted growth of -4.9% this year and 0.7% in 2010. Job cuts are expected to continue, with the unemployment rate reaching as high as 8% in 2010. The only prescription for growth for both Northern Ireland and Scotland would be to switch to a more export-led economy, exploiting global markets

Jaguar Land Rover had seen its sales rise 23% in the second quarter after its new models were well-received.

Owner Tata Motors said new products such as the upgraded Range Rover, Range Rover Sport and Discovery 4 had had successful launches.

Although Jaguar Land Rover made a net loss of £60 million in the July-September quarter, it was much less than the £240 million loss it made a year earlier.

India’s Tata Motors made a net profit of £2.8 million in the third quarter of, 2008, compared with a loss of £127,000 for the same period last year.

Borders U.K., the bookstore chain once owned by U.S.- based Borders Group Inc., has called in administrators after failing to find a buyer for its stores. A total of 1,150 employees are affected, according to the statement.

“All stores currently remain open for business as normal whilst the administrators undertake a review of the company’s affairs and seek a purchaser for all or some of the company’s stores in which there has already been interest,” Philip Duffy, principal administrator announced in a statement.

U.K. media have reported that HMV Group Plc’s Waterstone’s books chain is considering buying some of the stores. A spokesman for HMV declined to comment on this when contacted by Bloomberg News earlier.

The steep advertising downturn pushed U.K. publisher Daily Mail & General Trust PLC’s into a net loss for its full fiscal year, as management focused on cutting costs and its £1.05 billion ($1.76 billion) debt pile, but the company said there are signs that trading conditions are improving.

Daily Mail, which publishes the Daily Mail and its sister Sunday paper and the Metro free-sheet, posted a net loss of £303.4 million for the 12 months ended Oct. 4, compared to zero net profit a year earlier.

According to brokers, Thursday’s activity on the FTSE was very similar to when Lehman Brothers collapsed, warning that Dubai’s problems could be the catalyst for the market to fall further. RBS, which is 70 per owned by the UK taxpayer, fell 7.8 per cent, wiping off £1.73 billion of its market value. Barclays lost 8 per cent, cutting its capitalisation by £2.65 billion. HSBC fell 4.8 per cent losing £6.2 billion of its value and Lloyds Banking Group lost 5.6 per cent, wiping off £1.5 billion.

All in all around £44 billion was wiped off London’s biggest companies amid growing fears the UK financial sector could be heavily exposed to Dubai World, the state-owned conglomerate which yesterday asked for a standstill on its £36 billion debt pile. The FTSE 100 tumbled 170.68 points or more than 3 per cent to 5194.1 in its biggest one-day percentage fall since the market plunged to six-year lows in March. Encouragingly enough, the exchange recovered well on Friday, closing on 5245.73.

The pound declined against the dollar after a drop in stocks across the world prompted investors to sell U.K. assets and on speculation the government will downgrade its forecast for the economy. Sterling slipped to the weakest level since Nov. 3 against the U.S. currency as the MSCI World Index declined for a second day after Dubai’s attempt to reschedule its debt continued to rattle investors.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6553
• Pound/Euro 1.10996
• Pound/Japanese Yen 142.7188
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6565

US shares have fallen on worries about Dubai’s debt problems, with the Dow Jones ending down 154 points, or 1.5%, at 10,309.92, in a shorter trading day.

It was the first chance for markets in the US to react to news that state-owned Dubai World had asked for more time to repay its debts.

US markets were closed for a holiday on Thursday when other world markets suffered steep losses.

The Dow Jones average dropped 154.58 points on Friday’s trading to close on 10309.92 The NASDAQ lost 37.61 points to close on 2138.44

financial

• Daylight saving time [/caption] Daylight saving time (DST; also summer time in British...
• Setting a Wine Budget When it comes to collecting wine, collecting wine bottles, or...
• Buying A Stock For Its 16% Yield Since I decided to kick the old job (which was...

Tags: Alastair Darling, Bank, Banking, Barclays, Borders Group Inc, British Economy, British Pound, Daily Mail, Discovery 4, Dow Jones, Dubai World, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, General Trust PLC, HMV Group Plc, International Monetary Fund, Jaguar Land Rover, Lehman Brothers, Lloyds Banking Group, Money, MSCI World Index, NASDAQ, Office for National Statistics, Philip Duffy, pre-Budget report, Range Rover, Range Rover Sport, RBS, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Tata Motors, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Waterstone's

As had been widely predicted, the UK Monetary Policy Committee has chosen to hold interest rates at 0.5 percent as well as continuing with the existing programme of buying £175 billion of assets. The Bank of England will have to decide in November whether to continue expanding its programme of money creation and asset purchases.

Two of Britain’s biggest banks, Lloyds Banking Group and Royal Bank of Scotland face what could be a crucial month for them. Their future will be laid bare as they hear around the end of the month what Neelie Kroes, the EU Competition Commissioner, has decided exactly what concessions Lloyds must make as it integrates HBOS as well as ruling on the amount of state aid that Lloyds and RBS have received and what actions to take regarding the aid. Shares in RBS closed yesterday at 49.65 pence, down on the 50.5 pence value when the government acquired its 70 per cent stake. Shares in Lloyds closed on 95.66 pence, a poor performance compared with the value of 122.6 pence that the shares were sitting on when the UK government acquired the shares.

Financial services firms showed the first signs of recovery in the last three months, after almost two years of falling business volumes and profitability, according to a recent survey. Business volumes across the financial sector have grown for the first time in two years, although the survey showed that levels of business were still considered to be well below normal. Firms are more optimistic about the overall business situation compared with three months ago, but they remain worried that a lack of demand will hamper business expansion in the coming months.

According to rankings published today by the World Economic Forum (WEF) London now wears the mantle of being the world’s leading financial centre having wrested New York from its traditional first place The WEF’s highly respected and influential Financial Development Report, which ranks 55 global financial centres said that London was in first place, a result that surprised many, especially the UK capital’s leading European rivals, in France and Germany, who have fallen out of the top 10 altogether

According to a recent survey, consumer morale in the UK has risen to its highest level since April 2008. In general, the UK public were reported to be at their most regarding the future than at any time since way back in 2005. The Nationwide Consumer Confidence Index rose to 71 in September from an upwardly revised 65 in August reflecting an improvement in Britons’ sentiment about their present circumstances, future prospects and willingness to spend. Another guide, the Nationwide Expectations index, which gauges public sentiment regarding the economy, jobs as well as personal own finances in a six months period ,also rose, to 106 in September from 97 in August,, This was the highest level that the index had reached since December 2005.

A spokesman for Jaguar/ Land Rover announced on Wednesday that that the company succeeded in securing a £175 million loan from the State Bank of India and were on track to receive their planned total of £500 million of new financing facilities for 2009. The car company, owned by India’s Tata Motors said it had “been making significant progress” in raising new loans despite its current loss making situation. In addition to the £175 million loan from India, the company has also added a £56 million export financing facility with ABC International Bank. Tata’s ability to line up new financing for their luxury brands is vital as they seek to curtail their losses, as well as reduce costs and revive sales.

The FTSE 100 continued to rise, this time by 16.74 points to close on 5154.64. The FTSE 250 is strengthening in leaps and bounds, closing up a further 147.09 points to close for the day on 9,373.44.

The pound continued its minor recovery against the leading currencies, creeping slightly over the $1.60 mark.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6073
• Pound/Euro 1.10875
• Pound/Japanese Yen 142.0389
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6489

The Dow Jones index came back strongly on yesterday’s trading, closing up 61.29 points to 9786.87, down 5.67 points. The NASDAQ index also continued its steady rise, up 13.6 points to close on 2,123.93.

Jeans maker Levi Strauss has reported a 41% drop in profits after seeing lower sales and currency fluctuations. The San Francisco-based firm saw its net income for the third quarter fall to £25 million ($41 million) on turnover down 6% to around £700 million, with sales falling in both in the US and across Europe.

The European Union has intervened by pledging that any job cuts and factory closures at either Opel and Vauxhall factories will not influenced by levels of state aid given to Magna, who are in the process of buying the firm. The UK, Spain, Poland and Belgium governments have stated their concerns that the planned takeover of GM’s Opel will favour German factories and jobs as the German government have offered Opel’s would-be buyer Magna a £4 billion (€4.5 billion) loan. Recent reports have suggested that if the deal goes through, Magna plan around 25% of their 45,000 workforce in Europe

Asian central banks, worried about the effect of the weak dollar on their export industries, are believed to have intervened in the global currency markets in an attempt to slow the slide of the US currency. According to foreign currency traders, central banks in South Korea, Taiwan, the Philippines and Thailand have been buying the US currency; the falling dollar has become a problem for many countries as signs of economic recovery begin to emerge, with traders rapidly switching from the traditionally "safe" US dollar to other currencies. The dollar fell to a 14-month low against a basket of currencies on Thursday and analysts now believe that if other economic forces have not intervened till now, they soon will.

financial

• How to Ruin Your Financial Life By Ben Stein Ben Stein is a well known personality that many consider...
• Conduct a Financial Fire Drill Think back to elementary school, can you remember how many...
• How the US Dollar Index shows the strength of the dollar A friend at work has mentioned the US Dollar Index...

Tags: ABC International Bank, Bank, Bank of England, Banking, BOE, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, EU Competition Commissioner, Financial Development Report, Financial News, FTSE, GM, HBos, Jaguar, Land Rover, Levi Strauss, Lloyds Banking Group, Magna, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Nationwide Consumer Confidence Index, Neelie Kroes, Opel, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, State Bank of India, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Tata Motors, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Monetary Policy Committee, UK Recession, Vauxhall, WEF, World Economic Forum

One of the good things that have come out of the global economic downturn is the unparalleled fall in greenhouse gas emissions. A recent study sponsored by the International Energy Agency (IEA) has stated that the recession has in fact provided a “unique opportunity” to move the world away from high-carbon growth,

In this first major study of the impact of the recession on climate change, the IEA found that CO2 emissions from burning fossil fuels had undergone “a significant decline” in 2009, more than in any year since the late nineteen sixties. The decrease well exceeds the drop in greenhouse gas emissions that occurred after the 1981 recession.

Whilst falling industrial output is largely responsible for the plunge in CO2, there are other factors that have played a role, including the shelving of many plans for new coal-fired power stations owing to falling demand and lack of financing.

Rights issue speculation led Severn Trent lower on Monday Severn, Britain’s second-largest water company, lost 1.8 per cent to 993 pence. Severn has been widely rumoured to be looking at a fund-raising after July’s tougher than expected draft pricing review from Ofwat, the industry regulator. Severn’s options look likely to include a dividend cut and a rights issue to raise around £400 million. No decision is expected before November; when Ofwat is due to give its final determination.

The British Government has announced that they will grant a £10 million loan to Indian car maker Tata Motors to finance the electric car manufacturing project in the UK.

The loan, which will be part of a scheme backing low carbon technology in the motor industry, will support a £25 million pound investment by Tata Motors in its West Midlands base.

In July, Tata Motors had threatened to scrap plans to build electric cars in the UK if it did not receive the £10 million pound loan.

Tata almost said ta-ta to officials from Mandelson’s Business Department after being told that they needed more time to find out if the venture will be considered for the loan, taking the total waiting time to six months.

In a £50 million deal, the UK Atomic Energy Authority agreed to sell their wholly-owned commercial subsidiary UKAEA Ltd. to the defence and energy support services firm Babcock International.

UKAEA oversees nuclear clean-up work at three sites in Britain as well as providing consultancy services worldwide, Lord Mandelson said; “The sale will allow the company, as part of Babcock International, to continue its development and take advantage of new opportunities in the nuclear industry.”

UKAEA, which has been playing an active role in nuclear energy since for close to fifty years, has an annual-turnover worth around £32 million and employs more than 200 people.

Marks and Spencer was among the few companies to shine on the Footsie yesterday, in anticipation of positive second-quarter figures to be released next week. The high street retail chain was up 1.6 per cent to 374 ½ pence.

Slipping into reverse was the van hire group Northgate, whose shares dropped 2.1 per cent to 27 pence after the company admitted that they had made an “internal administrative error”, which meant that that their debt burden was £32 million more than previously reported.

The UK’s FTSE 100 index made its first reverse for a few days, down 38.53 points to close at 5,134.36.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 continued to reverse last week’s gains, down yesterday by a further 86.28 points to close on 9,220.65

The pound continued to lose value against the main currencies on Monday’s trading with the notable exception of the Japanese Yen, where markets were closed for a public holiday.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6245
• Pound/Euro 1.1038
• Pound/Japanese Yen 149.188
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6721

The Dow Jones Industrial Average took a minor spin backwards after the weekend, down 41.34 points to 9,778.86. The NASDAQ continued to consolidate, up 5.18 points to 2138.04.

Computer giant Dell is buying IT services provider and fellow Texan firm Perot Systems for £2.4 billion ($3.9 billion)

Dell announced that the takeover, which it hopes to conclude between November and January, will help to provide a wider range of services to its customers.

The all-cash deal will see Perot shareholders receive $30 per share, making a 68% premium on the company’s closing share price on Friday.

Perot is owned by billionaire Ross Perot who twice ran as an independent candidate for the US presidency.

Oil prices have fallen by almost $3 on fears that energy demand may not be as strong as once thought.

The price of US crude was down to less than $70 a barrel. The price reduction confirms the findings of a report issued by the Centre for Global Energy Studies forecasting that there was unlikely to be a sustained rise in prices until the global financial recovery was well established.

financial

• Overlooked Tax Dedutions [/caption] 1. State sales taxes. Although all taxpayers have a...
• What Does Tax Money Pay For? This guest post comes from Michael, a contributing editor of...
• When's a cent not worth a cent? When it's worth almost 1.85 cents. Political Calculations commented on...

Tags: atmosphere, Babcock International, British Economy, British government, British Pound, climate change, CO2 emissions, coal-fired power stations, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dell, Dow Jones, Economy, emissions, Financial News, FTSE, Global Energy Studies, greenhouse gas, high-carbon, IEA, International Energy Agency, Lord Mandelson, Marks and Spencer, Money, Money Markets, Northgate, nuclear energy, Ofwat, Perot Systems, Recession, Severn Trent, Tata Motors, UK Atomic Energy Authority, UK Economy, UK government, UKAEA Ltd

Just a few days after causing luxury saloon cars enthusiasts to purr with their launch of two exciting new models for 2009/2010 at the Detroit Motor Show, Jaguar Land Rover had the city to groaning, but only slightly, with the announcement that the company is to cut 450 jobs in 2009.

The Bulk of the jobs to be cut are in the group’s management sector, with 300 managers to be laid off. The remaining 150 will come from the factory floor.

Despite some very cautious optimism for sales in 2009, Jaguar Land Rover announced that they had a very tough 2008.

Overall, sales of new cars dropped by 11% in the UK during 2008, with the last quarter of the year being especially tough.

Strangely enough, sales at the top end of the market appear to be doing proportionately better, and this possibly the reason why Jaguar Land Rover’s

Owners Tata Motors of India appeared to have made a considerable effort to keep their factory floor staff as intact as possible.

Jaguar Land Rover , acquired by Tata from Ford for £1.7bn in 2007 has a total work force of around 15,000 people based in their Castle Bromwich, Coventry and Solihull plants in the West Midlands as well as at Halewood, on Merseyside.

Jaguar Land Rover’s decision to cut jobs follows a trend in the UK car industry that is causing Business Secretary Lord Mandelson to furrow his brow just a little.

When questioned on his thoughts on the Jaguar Land Rover redundancies. Lord Mandelson replied”: “Jaguar Land Rover’s decision today reflects the continued downturn in the market and that is a reflection of what is happening more generally in the global economy.”

Mandelson has recently revealed that the government was looking into a possible rescue package for the entire UK car industry in the wake of recent job cuts, not just at Jaguar Land Rover but also at other UK plants, most prominently Nissan’s North East plant where 1,600 jobs will be lost,

• Lottery Numbers Higher Even In Down Economy Seems strange to report that results from lottery sales were...
• Telecom Jobs Abound Have you ever wondered if you could get a telecom...
• Gator Football Recap: Kentucky Wildcats Game The No. 1 UF Gators have managed to take Kentucky...

Tags: Economics, Finance, Financial News, Jaguar, Jaguar Land Rover, Job Loses, Land Rover, Money, Retail, Tata Motors, UK Recession