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Brown not to blame for Europe’s financial woes

February 16th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Blame can be attached to UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown for many of the nation’s financial woes, rightly or not. On one fact, however, there is a consensus. That he had the foresight to keep the UK out of the euro. The recent financial crisis has shown that the structural weakness of the eurozone, which already seems to be crumbling, with the Greek tragedy exposing the weakness of a system of "mutual guarantees" by 16 different fiscal regimes. Opponents of the UK joining the single currency are basking in the light of their wisdom, but the smiles may soon be wiped from their faces, as it looks like Britain may be pulled into the crisis indirectly. This may happen if the International Monetary Fund (IMF) gets involved although the UK will be nowhere near the front line of a rescue package, unlike the Germans and the French.

Rumors that the problems that Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy are experiencing– will lead to a break-up of the European currency is far-fetched. Above anything else, the single currency is a Franco-German political project with huge symbolic investment for postwar, post-Iron Curtain Europe.

The problem for Greece and the other Mediterranean counties is that their membership of the single currency means that they cannot devalue its way out of difficulty.

The UK Secretary of State for Business, Lord Mandelson has predicted that a decision on government funding to help rescue the car manufacturer Vauxhall could be completed within weeks. GM.UL is said to be looking for an investment of £2.9 billion pounds from European governments to facilitate a return to growth. Mandelson confirmed that the government is prepared to play a part in the rescue plans and that negotiations have started over what conditions could be imposed in return for government support

Difficult though it may be to accept, a recent survey on the banking sector has revealed that 57 percent of UK bankers and financiers received a bonus increase during 2009. The poll, which took in close to seven hundred financial professionals indicates that the Chancellor’s "super tax" on bankers’ bonuses had caused little effect on lavish remuneration packages.

More than a third of the bankers in the poll saw their bonuses either decrease or at least remain static. However those who fell into the this category did not cite the super tax to be the primary reason for the absence of an increase, preferring to cast the blame, and rightly so, on the performance of their companies with half of those who did miss out on a bonus were reported to be less than satisfied.

Prominent UK property developers the Shaftesbury Group have announced a major upturn in demand for property in the West End of London, with the Christmas and New Year period especially brisk. Shaftesbury announced a significant increase in new tenant agreements approved at rates at or above recent property values for the company’s various assets. While many UK property companies still struggling to honour their various banking covenants, the overall picture denotes that the UK property tide has turned, the company reports.

Lloyds Banking Group (LBG) is looking to sell or spin off major assets from the failing £70 billion pound property. The bank is establishing a review process, which currently in its early stages. The process will seek to reduce the amount of regulatory capital tied up in keeping the assets on Lloyds’ balance sheet, with the strategy expected to be finalised by Easter. At the same time, Lloyds plan to step up their sale of HBOS Integrated Finance, an investment business with stakes in about 60 companies.

Meanwhile the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), remain sitting on losses of several hundred million pounds after being forced to take back ownership of £1.8 billion in German properties bought at the market’s peak by a fund run by Morgan Stanley. In one of the largest paper losses on property for a UK bank, RBS has taken control of a portfolio of 28 German properties, after lending about €1.9 billion to acquire the portfolio in 2007. RBS are to follow the trend set by LBG to hold on to the properties until they return at least some of the losses..

Mobile telecommunications operator O2 believes that its purchase of Jajah, an Israeli voice over internet protocol (VoIP) company, will help the firm out- perform rival mobile operators and the current VoIP market leader Skype. A spokesman for Telefonica Europe, O2’s parent company, said that the company will use Jajah to attack the international calling card market, currently worth £100 million pounds a month in the UK, rather than to slash mobile call costs.

Fashion chain New Look are giving a lot of indications that they will become the third company in as many days to scrap a planned stock market flotation. The writing seems to be on the wall for New Look’s float, when they called off a proposed £1.7 billion initial public offering (IPO) on Friday, blaming a lack of appetite among potential investors. New Look had planned to raise a total of £650 million pounds from their IPO, using the money to cut debt as well as fund an expansion programme in the UK and overseas.

As the FTSE 100 was switched off for the weekend UK, stocks had receded a little The 100 Index was down 10.03 points to 5,142.45

The pound rose slightly against the dollar, closing at 1.5702 while jumping to 1.1522 against the struggling Euro.

President Barack Obama has signed a law increasing the limit on how much the US government can borrow.

The debt limit was raised to $14.3 trillion (£9.1 trillion) from $12.4 trillion, which will allow the government to function for the rest of the year.

Correspondingly Mr Obama also approved legislation that requires new spending to be offset with cuts elsewhere. The legislation will seek to address the record US budget deficit, which is predicted to reach $1.56 trillion in 2010.

The "pay-as-you-go" or "paygo" rule was in place in the 1990s – the last time there was a federal budget surplus.

On Wall Street things were still looking up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished for the weekend up 41 points at 10099.14. The NASDAQ gained 33 points to close on 2,183.53.

According to the US Commerce Department, retail sales rose at a higher rate than expected in January, boosting hopes that strong economic recovery will continue. Sales grew 0.5% month-on-month, while December’s figure was revised to a 0.1% fall from a first estimate of a 0.3% fall.

Sales were up by 4.7%, Compared with January 2009.

According to preliminary figures released on Friday, Germany’s recovery from recession faltered in the final quarter of 2009, failing to show any signs of growth at all in the last quarter of the year. France did better, reporting a 0.6% rise in GDP for the same three-month period which was higher than forecast. The figures released also showed that the economy in the Eurozone also grew 0.1% in the same quarter.

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House prices rise again in September.

October 8th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

For the third consecutive month of increase, UK housing prices have increased. They are reported to have risen by as much as 1.6% in September. Housing prices in the UK continue to remain considerably lower than in September 2008, as much as 7.4 percent. However since the end of 2008, prices have grown by 1.7 percent as increased demand and reduced inventory have combined to push housing prices up, especially in the recent months. House prices increased by 2.8% in the third quarter of 2009, making for the first rise since the third quarter of 2007, and the largest percentage growth since the first quarter of the same year. The increased demand for property is believed to stems from improved affordability, and the reduction in both interest rates.

It may come to pass that the U.K.’s largest government-controlled bank, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS) may have to surrender more than ten percent of their one million small business customers, The reason being that the European Commission has imposed a penalty on the RBS for receiving billions of pounds of state aid. Currently it is reported that the RBS, in a move designed to reduce their credit card risk portfolio are only issuing new cards to existing clients.

The Office for National Statistics has announced that U.K. manufacturing output has slumped 1.9% from the month in August whilst dropping 11.3% on a yearly basis. The wider industrial production measure fell 2.5% from July and slid 11.2% from August 2008.

The FTSE 100 rose by 2.26 percent on yesterday’s trading, or 113.65 points to close on 5137.98. The FTSE 250 was still on the rise, but at a reduced pace, closing up a further 25.12 points to close for the day on 9,226.35.

The pound made a minor recovery against the leading currencies, while continuing to hover around $1.60. The Sterling’s latest bout of weakness surrounding Sterling began after UK industrial production was shown to have slumped in August. Additional statistics released on Wednesday show that corporate profitability in the UK had deteriorated for a fifth successive quarter and is standing at its lowest level since 2001.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.5958
  • Pound/Euro 1.10863
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 141.422
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.64861

Europe’s largest discount airline, Ryanair Holdings Plc set aside as being of “no substance” recent reports claiming that the company is preparing to take control of Aer Lingus Group Plc through a rights issue. In another sign of the advantage that short-haul, low-cost carriers such as EasyJet hold over long-haul flag carriers during the current downturn, the company announced that it had handled more than 4.4 million passengers in September, an increase of 5.3 per cent over the corresponding month in 2008. The increase, the largest since April, was well above the 4.7 per cent rise the airline recorded in August, traditionally one of its busiest months. In any event, stock in EasyJet fell 0.3 percent, to 3.38 Euros.

According to Sir Terry Leahy, chief executive of Tesco, the worst is over for the UK economy as well as for the U.K.’s premier food retailer. Sir Terry’s revelation came after Tesco’s announced pre-tax profit for the first half of its financial year rose that had risen by 1 per cent to £1.42 billion. Sir Terry prediction is that that the UK would see a “slow and steady recovery” as the money pumped into the economy to stimulate it had to be paid back. He added that uncertainties over the financial outlook for 2010, such as public sector cuts, the proposed increase in value added tax and the threat of rising unemployment, would not be sufficient to prevent “a gradual recovery. Sir Terry also defended Tesco’s performance in the US, where its Fresh & Easy chain has reported losses of £85 million in the six months to the end of August. Shares in Tesco rose 0.4 percent, to 391.4 pence.

The management team at Matalan have reportedly held several meetings over the past few weeks to examine strategic options for the discount clothing and home-ware retailer. Subjects on the agenda included the possible sale of the company during 2010 with an asking price of around £1.5 billion pounds. If a sale was to go through, and discussions are at a very early stage, company founder John Hargreaves would be liable to realise hundreds of millions of pounds in profits from the sale. Matalan have invested significant sums of money in revamping their 200 UK stores have reported solid profits for June.

Shares in Vodafone, the World’s largest mobile phone service providers were under pressure for a second day, dropping 2 per cent to 137 pence. The share price fall could be attributed to a culmination of factors, among them, fears of a price war in India, and analyst’s predictions that AT&T was considering opening their mobile network to third-party voice applications such as Skype. A move that would put pressure on Vodafone’s Verizon Wireless division to emulate.

In the year to 30 September, the US budget deficit more than tripled to a record £877 billion ($1.4 trillion) according to US Congress estimate figures recently released. Analysts had previously predicted a slightly higher deficit but later revised their estimate, which has been attributed to increased government spending coupled with a huge drop in tax revenues. The actual deficit will be released by the Treasury Department later this month.

The Dow Jones index dropped a little on yesterday’s trading, closing on 9725.58, down 5.67 points. The NASDAQ index continued to rise, but at a slower pace, up just 6.76 points to close on 2,110.33.

The White House have announced that it was weighing policy options designed to create new jobs to ease the burden on America’s unemployed, currently numbering more than 15 million. A spokesman for the President hasted to rule out speculation that a second stimulus to provide a further boost to the US economy was on the cards. The majority of US economists believe that the country was on track to move out of recession. However the black cloud of increasing unemployment is hanging over the picture, with unemployment figures hitting 9.8 per cent, the highest rate since 1982.

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Lloyds banking group continues to reinvent itself.

September 3rd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Saving, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, savings accounts

financial news

After the traumas it has gone through over the last year or so, it appears that the Lloyds Banking Group Plc, still the U.K.’s biggest mortgage lender is making strides to relive itself of some of the stigmas attached to it as the UK banking industry almost imploded in autumn of last year. The bank has reached an agreement with the U.K. government to guarantee half the risk on a portfolio of its existing short-term loans to companies, The billion pound deal will be dependent on Lloyds agreeing to increase their business lending.

As far as the high street us concerned, Lloyd’s Halifax building society unit is currently review the licensing agreements they currently hold, entailing running some 300 outlets situated in real-estate agents, lawyers and financial consultants. They have already implemented a decision to shut down 26 of the situated in independent banks. Lloyds are also reported to be interested in selling off their branches of Lloyds, TSB and the Cheltenham & Gloucester Plc in Scotland. Lloyds Banking Group is considering more job losses as the bank plans to close more than 300 “agency” counters run by its Halifax subsidiary in the offices of estate agents, solicitors or financial advisers.

The 43% state controlled banking giant has already paid off 7,500 people in 2009 so far. On the up side, Lloyds recently announced it was reviewing its decision to close down its 160 Cheltenham & Gloucester (C&G) branches,

Less than cheery forecasts from insolvency specialists are beginning to emerge that a second wave of corporate restructurings are due to break this month as bankers and investment houses begin to face problematic customers. .

September has always been regarded as the second important crunch date in the year for companies and lenders, as companies involved in retailing and distribution draw heavily on working capital to stock up in anticipation of what might not be the greatest of Christmas seasons.

On a difficult day for the FTSE, Lloyds bank’ stock rose 6.3 percent, to 111.34 pence on news of their reorganisation plans.

Shares in the U.K.’s largest self- storage operator Safestore Holdings Plc also rose by 8.3 percent, to 131 pence, in anticipation of improved third-quarter earnings.

RSA Insurance fell 4.8 per cent to 124 pence following reports that the company was considering a £1 billion rights issue to reduce their debt burden

The FTSE 100 closed at a low, having been under pressure all day after market strategists recommended clients to cut their allocation of UK equities.

The FTSE returned from it August Bank holiday break to find itself not in the best of shape. The FTSE 100 dropped to 89.20 points close on 4819.70 while the FTSE 250 fared even worse, dropping 2.24 % or 197.83 points to close on 8,619.68

Sterling also continued to struggle against the major currencies

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6126
  • Pound/Euro 1.1349
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.5807
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7207

It would appear that scrapping incentives has not had too much of an effect with new cars sales generally on the increase around the world in August according to some preliminary data. Car sales in Japan rose for the first time in more than a year, while several auto manufacturing groups in Asia and Europe reported higher sales volumes than for the comparable month last year.

On Wall Street, markets continue to struggle due to continued uncertainty in the Chinese economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted by 185.68 points to close on 9310.6 while the NASDAQ Composite index dropped below the 2,000 mark yet again, down 40.17 points to close on 1968.89.

For the first time since February 2008, US manufacturing output grew according to the Institute of Supply Management’s purchasing managers. Their index rose to 52.9 points last month, up from 48.9 in July.

Any number above 50 indicates an expansion in manufacturing output, making for another significant sign of recovery in the US economy.

In a long anticipated move, the internet phone company Skype has been sold off by online auction site owners in a transaction worth about £1.2 billion

Skype will now be owned by a group of private investors, including Netscape co-founder Marc Andreessen and private equity firms, in partnership with EBay who will retain a 35% stake in the firm, which it has been trying to sell for some time. The deal values Skype at $2.75bn. EBay bought Skype for $2.6bn in 2005.

Unemployment levels Euro 16 countries was reported to have hit a 10-year high in July, as despite declarations to the opposite, the impact of the recession continues to be felt.

The number of unemployed across the eurozone region in July was reported to have reached more than 15.1 million, making for a seasonally-adjusted rate of 9.5%. The unemployment figures were the worst in terms of monthly percentage since May 1999 and compares unfavourably with the numbers of unemployed with all the 27 member states of the European Union which was a total of 21.8 million, or 9%.

Crude oil prices have fallen this week as news out of China continued to raise doubts about its petroleum demand, with prices falling below the $70 a barrel mark again.

Economic concerns have hit China where the benchmark Shanghai Composite index fell 6.7 per cent in its worst one-day decline since June 2008, halting the ongoing increase in crude oil prices, which have risen steadily in 2009, after falling as low as $33 a barrel.

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