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UK may be in the same bed with Spain and Greece.

February 10th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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According to a leading economist the UK should be classed with Greece and Spain, as countries carrying severe debt problems Not in agreement and understandably so are the UK Treasury sources who rebuked the suggestions that the UK was gradually becoming one of the poor relations of Europe by confirming that all of the three major credit-rating agencies had reaffirmed the UK’s triple A credit status.

Meanwhile Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is the man faced with balancing the demands of investors and rating companies who fear that Britain’s top-level credit rating could be at risk, with the hopes of the UK public as well as some of his colleagues for an easing of taxation in the coming budget. Darling has already put the dampers on a lot of people’s hopes that this year’s budget will not be too populist, in a move to win votes for the general election that is due to follow a few months later

“People in the U.K. will want the budget to be realistic,” Darling was quoted as saying. “No one is looking for giveaways; that’s not the mood.” He summed up. Darling said voters realize the need to reduce Britain’s record budget deficit having already vowed to more than halve the £176 billion-pound deficit by 2014 starting next year.

Britain’s budget shortfall, which the Treasury estimates at about 12 percent of gross domestic product this year, is the biggest among the Group of 20 nations.

Dividends paid out shareholders by UK companies were honed back by to the tune of £10 billion in 2009, according to recent research.

Total dividends paid out by British listed companies amounted to £56.9 billion last year, down 15 per cent on 2008. The figures would have been considerably worse for investors if it not had been for the contribution of just five leading UK companies, with almost fifty percent of all dividends paid out coming from them. The e British business heroes were by BP, Shell, HSBC, Vodafone and GlaxoSmithKline. A sign of the shifting sands in the UK trading picture is that as recently as 2007, these companies accounted for 35 percent of the total dividend payout.

All the UK banks combined cut their dividends by half, adding up to around £6 billion less in dividends than in 2008. Performing particularly poorly was the high-street sector whose dividend payouts fell by 62 per cent.

At the recent meeting of the Group of Seven finance ministers’ tacit agreement was reached to draw up as set of common rules designed to force banks to pay for possible failures similar to the current one, which led to taxpayers being forced to take on trillions of dollars in liabilities.

The ministers said the world’s most advanced economies should adopt common rules as long as other major countries also agree. Apparently the G-7 is moving closer to an agreement on a bank insurance levy, one of a range of options proposed by the U.K. in November.

Already Sweden has taken the first step forward by creating a fund financed by their banks to help safeguard its financial system. In terms of the agreement, Swedish banks are required to make annual payments to the fund. The Swedish government injected 15 billion kronor (£1.2 billion) into the fund when it was set up, as well adding funds that had previously held in Sweden’s deposit guarantee fund.

According to government estimates, interest from the funds deposited by banks and on the money in the fund means it will swell to 150 billion kronor, or 2.5 percent of Sweden’s gross domestic product, by 2023.

U.K. stocks rose for first time in four days, led by a rebound in mining companies. The FTSE 100 Index increased 50.2 points to 5,111.84 at close of business in London.

The pound dropped to its lowest level in more than eight months against the dollar as growing concerns over the UK’s fiscal situation began to weigh on the currency. Sterling closed at 1.5701 and at 1.1388 against the Euro. The Euro has lost a lot of its attractions recently and was down to an eight-month low of 1.3583 against the dollar.

On Wall Street things were looking up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished up 74 points at 10058.64. The NASDAQ gained 15 points to close on 2,150.87.

Honda has added close to half a million cars to its existing global safety recall list. The problem this time is over airbag inflation problems mostly affecting cars sold in North America, with others Japan, Mexico, Taiwan and Australia due for recall. There was also further bad news for e Japanese carmakers Toyota after they were forced to recalled nearly half a million hybrid cars over faulty brakes, and millions of other models will need to be brought back to dealerships worldwide, suffering from accelerator and floor mat problems.

General Motors’ (GM) Opel unit has announced their plans to will invest 11 billion Euros (£9.7 billion) in introducing new product ranges over the next five years. Opel’s investment plan to breaking even within two years, a move that will entail cutting 8,300 jobs across Europe as well as the closure of at least one company plant in Antwerp, Belgium. Opel are trying to persuade

European governments to provide them with billions of Euros in loans to help the company’s plan to return to profitability.

India has announced that its economy is looking at growth levels by 7.2% in the year to the end of March. Government stimulus measures helped to maintain strong growth during the global downturn, but attention is now turning towards cooling rising prices, raising the chance that state support could soon be withdrawn. Many financial analysts also expect the government to raise interest rates earlier than expected. Strong growth in manufacturing in India is helping to compensate for falling agricultural output.

Oil prices rose and base metals moved higher as commodity markets managed a partial recovery after a sharp sell-off in the previous week US crude oil prices traded above the $71 a barrel.

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FTSE hopping as half year results flow in.

July 31st, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Credit cards, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The FTSE was at the centre of UK financial news with many of its major companies announcing or about to announce their half year results. Which till now have been mostly encouraging.

The UK companies owned by Spanish bank Santander saw their profits rise by a third in the first half of the year as bad debts showed a second consecutive quarterly decline.

Santander announced that their bad debt provisions in its UK business were £176 million pounds in the second quarter, up from £92 million pounds a year ago but still considerably less than the £189 million in the first quarter of this year. The first-half provision of £365 million pounds doubled from a year ago.

Most of the UK banks are expected to report a jump in bad debts when they report next week, while analysts and investors as one are looking for clues as to whether the levels of bad debt have been arrested

UK Profits for Santander, taking in includes Abbey, Alliance & Leicester and Bradford & Bingley were £790 million in the six months to the end of June, helping the bank’s Spanish parent to a net profit of 4.5 billion Euros, down 5 percent on the year but ahead of forecasts.

British Airways has reported a pre-tax loss of £148 million in the three months to the end of June, compared with a profit of £37 million in the same period last year, with revenues falling l 12.2% to £1.983 billion for the quarter.

Also falling deep into the red were German airline Lufthansa, Europe’s largest measured by turnover, who reported to a net loss of €216 million from a net profit of €381 million a year ago.

Leading airline chief executives have told the European Commission the industry on the ground as well as in the air is facing “the worst economic conditions on record”.

Meanwhile British Airports Authority (BAA) continue to make every effort to offload Gatwick Airport, but not at any price.

This example of possibly false bravado came as the UK’s largest airports operator revealed interim pre-tax losses for the six months to June 30 widened to £545.7 million from £135. 3 million

On one of the busiest results days of the year eight FTSE 100 companies released their half year results on Thursday including the BT Group which announced first-quarter adjusted earnings of £1.37 billion, larger than the £1.27 billion originally forecasted.

Pay TV operator BSkyB announced year end profits of £456 million an increase of £60 million. Company revenue rose by 8.2 per cent to £5.4 billion. BSkyB announced that during the last quarter It added a further 124,000 subscription holders.

Also rising was the FTSE 100, up 84 points to 4,631.6 and only seven points from away from its year high. The index has gained 9 per cent so far this month and is looking good to overtake its best monthly gain, reached in September 1992.

The FTSE 250 leapt forward 172.04 points to close on 7,934.63

Sterling was among the best performing of the major currencies against a generally weaker dollar, as rallying equity markets and better-than-expected housing data drove appetite for risk

Pound/US dollar 1.6516

Pound/Euro 1.1695

Pound/Japanese Yen 157.3943

Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7916

According to a prominent US financial regulator, the Obama administration’s plan to give US states more power to protect consumers from unfair banking practices would make it more difficult and costly for large lenders to operate across the country.

The regulator, Mr. John Dugan, head of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, who job it is to oversee national banks as comptroller of the currency, announced recently that the proposals to create a federal consumer protection agency and give states more leeway to crack down on unfair practices would have negative “ramifications for companies operating across state lines”.

On Wall Street the Dow Jones made a strong recovery on Thursday’s trading, up 83.74 to 9154.46 The NASDAQ also rose by 16.54 points to 1984.3

Japanese industrial output rose in June for its fourth straight month and it appears that they will be no looking back as electronics manufacturers, steel makers and chemical producers begin to climb back to full production…

Preliminary data has shown that in June industrial production was up 2.4 per cent from May, less than half the revised 5.7 per cent growth recorded the previous month but broadly in line with economists’ expectations.

However despite encouraging growth over the last quarter, production in June was still down 23 per cent compared with the same month of 2008.

A spokesman for Arcelor Mittal, has predicted that world steel demand will pick up by at least 10% next year, as emerging economies were coming out of the downturn “reasonably quickly” and that stimulus spending in the US and Europe was having an impact. Arcelor Mittal reported a second quarter net loss of $792 million, against a $5.8 billion net profit a year ago, causing their shares to fall 4.4% to €24.20.

Two of the world’s largest oil companies, Exxon Mobil and Royal Dutch Shell, have announced major profit setbacks in the wake of tumbling international oil prices and weaker demand.

Exxon, the largest US oil group, and Shell, the biggest in Europe, on Thursday unveiled post-tax profits for the second quarter that were roughly a third of those a year ago, with both companies attributing the blame to the continuing global economic crisis and softer demand for the collapse in their revenues..

Exxon’s profits dropped by two thirds $3.95 billion, the steepest fall in profits for more than a decade, and Shell’s 70 per cent decline in post-tax profit to $3.24 billion.

On the day US light crude was up $3.66, or almost 6%, to $67.01 a barrel, while London Brent was ahead by $3.68, at $70.21.

US light crude slumped $3.88 on Wednesday after figures showed a rise in US oil stockpiles, indicating too much supply in relation to demand

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Recovery continues in the increasing shadow of UK political uncertainty

June 5th, 2009 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business

banking2The Halifax Building Society, now part of the Lloyds Banking Group UK announced an increase of around 2.5% in house prices for despite the fact that purchasing activity still remains lower than expected.

However encouragement can be taken from the fact that property prices did increase for the first time in three months, and the increase, although minor, eases the annual rate of decline to 16.3%, with the average UK home now valued at around £160,000.

Also on the rise are demand for workers in the service sector according to figures released by the highly respected Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply’s (CIPS). Their survey revealed that the services industry sector has begun to employ more people for the first time since the spring of 2008.

The UK service industry is the largest employer in the country, with more than 60% of the country’s employees earning their living in the sector, which covers catering, entertainment, sports and leisure. Signs of increased activity in this sector are yet another sign that the UK citizen has more cash in his pocket to spend on entertainment, yet another indication that the recession is slowly easing.

The signs of revival are yet to make their way to the care industry where figures show that sales of new cars in May were down by close to 25% on the same month last year, despite the considerable efforts made by Business Secretary, Lord Mandelson to boost sales of new cars by offering subsidized trade ins. The figures, issued by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), show that 134,858 new cars were registered in May.

On the Stock Exchange, partially state owned Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), saw their shares recover by 3.3 percent to 37.3 pence after they had fallen by more than 10 percent over the previous two days. Shares in the U.K.’s second-largest real estate investment trust, British Land, also took a turn for the better, rising d 2.9 percent to 376 pence. Land Securities Group Plc, also jumped by 2.2 percent to close the day on 486.5 pence.

Food retailers seemed to be doing well, with Sainsbury, Britain’s third-largest supermarket company climbing by 2.3 percent to 323.75 pence, while William Morrison Supermarkets Plc also climbed a more modest 1.2 percent to reach 250.5 pence, on the announcement of .first-quarter sales growth that exceeded expectations.

On expectations that the global economy will be able to absorb increases in the price of crude oil, Shell, Europe’s largest oil company, saw their shares rise by 0.7 percent to 1,674 pence. BP Plc also climbed 1.4 percent to 525.75 pence The FTSE 100 Index added 23.77 to close on 4,407.19 while the FTSE 250 closed on 7,660.07 down 8.12 points from Thursday.

With the current political uncertainty surrounding Gordon Brown playing no little part, the pound’s revival drew to a minor halt yesterday.
Pound/US dollar 1.6112
Pound/Euro 1.1373
Pound/Japanese Yen 156.4584
Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7313

In the US retails sales showed a major downturn as the public seem to be making a major effort to cut spending despite the many attractive offers around.
Unfettered by political scandals and instead bolstered by President Obama’s impressive speech in Cairo, the Dow Jones returned to moving upwards, 74.96 points to 8750.24, while the Nasdaq followed suit up 24.1 points to close on 1850.02

Unemployment in Western Europe (the Eurozone) has reached its highest level for ten years. Taking into account seasonal adjustments, unemployment in the 16 country region rose to 9.2 percent in April, and an increase from 8.9 percent of the total labour force in March 2008.
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