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Congratulations. It’s been a year now since the Bank of England increased their interest rates.

March 5th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Loans, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Saving, Savings Accounts, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, World Banks, savings accounts

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It came as no big surprise to anybody when the Bank of England (BOE) announced that they will be holding interest rates at their record low of 0.5%, and for the twelfth consecutive month.

The BOE’s decision gained a consensus of approval by UK economists, who pronounced, individually and collectively that rises in the cost of borrowing could set the UK’s fragile economic recovery back into the red.

The announcement that the bank will be standing firm on the amount of money that will be pumped into quantitative easing program (QE) programme was also met with a similar apathy.

BOE governor Mervyn King has long since made clear his opinion on increasing interest rates raising QE quotas, and all the rest of the UK’s financial programs by simply stating that that it was “far too soon” to make any changes to the status quo.

Sterling has now dropped in value for six consecutive trading days, with the bulk of opinion on the Pound’s increasingly weak position being because of speculation that the forthcoming general election is liable to see a hung parliament which translates to a government that will be too weak to mend the UK’s financial problems. Since the beginning of 2010, the pound has dropped by seven percent against the dollar, reaching a ten month low of $1.4783 on March the 2nd. The pound closed on Thursday on $1.5051 while the Euro was stabilising at 1.1078.

Financial Service Institute (FSA) chairman Lord Turner has voiced his opinion that that the size of banks was also not the main reason behind the economic turmoil, and even some of the UK’s smaller financial institutions could have been pronounced equally guilty of “over-exuberant lending” and taking “risky short-term wholesale deposits, Turner explained “Everyone was seduced by the long boom and were often led astray in the past by complicated mathematical rules. The Bank’s regulators were the ones who failed to notice the inherent weakness in that position.”

The FSA chairman also went on to explain that when the time comes to add up the cost of bailing out the financial services industry at the height of the global financial crisis may in the end turn out to be a lot less than first predicted.

“It is quite possible that the total overt costs of the UK’s big bank rescues may not exceed five-ten per cent of GDP," Turner predicted in a recent interview "and perhaps considerably less as indeed was the case in the Swedish banking crisis of the 1990s.” He summed up.

Recent research is pointing to a situation that increasingly adds weight to the theory that the UK’s property rental sector is heading towards a similar model of the mainland European countries of increasingly longer tenancy agreements.

According to one of the UKs largest letting agencies, during the last year and a half, a fairly dramatic increase in demand for rented accommodation has been observed, with potential tenants being especially interested in properties with long term tenure periods.

Reasons given for this new phenomena in property rental appears to be largely causes by increasing difficulties of young families to raise the new and higher deposit levels required to be granted a mortgage, while around a third confessed that they were unsure that the conditions were ripe to put their toe in the still turbulent waters of the UK property market. With almost 40 percent of potential first-time home buyers opting to remain tenants in the meantime, because of the current tough mortgage-lending criteria and 14% of those questioned said they preferred life as a tenant to that of a homeowner.

Home ownership in the UK has fallen by three percent since 2003 with the trend likely to continue. Several of the UK’s leading property management companies now believe that the UK Government now needs to ensure that renting a home offers the stability levels that are currently only afforded to home owners.

British Airways, once again under strike threat have dug in by saying that more than one thousand of the staff have volunteered to work as cabin crew if indeed the threatened strike goes ahead.

As a further back up, BA announced that they also intended to hire no less than 23 fully crewed planes from a leading European owned charter company. The company’s role will be to help run flights from Heathrow Airport should the strike threats eventually materialise.

The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) recently announced that new car sales in the UK increased by 26.4% in February compared with the same month in 2009, with the main push in demand coming because of the Government’s scrappage scheme.

Launched in May of last year in an effort to boost the ailing car industry, the £400 million initiative, which allowed owners of cars at least 10 years old would be offered a £2,000 discount off the price of a new vehicle, with half of the grant being provided by the UK Government and the other £1,000 coming from the lucky carmaker. Figures from the SMMT show that almost 20 percent of new car sales in February came a result of the scheme, which is due to be wound up by the end of March.

On the stock market, Barclays Plc’s Asian partner, the China Development Bank announced that they will be reviewing their “ties” with the bank, U.K.’s second-biggest. The announcement caused shares in Barclays to rise one percent, to 333.1 pence.

The U.K.’s third-largest supermarket owner J Sainsbury Plc has announced plans to expand their activities into non-food products. They will be marketing electronics, entertainment and sports equipment among others through their Web site. Despite the excitement, Sainsbury shares 0.2 percent, to close on 335.4 pence.

Michael Page International Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest recruitment company announced a drop in full-year pretax profit of no less than 85 percent to £21.1 million pounds. Despite the reversal, their shares climbed 6 1.7 percent, to close on 395 pence.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index fell 0.1 percent, to close on Thursday at 5,527.16.

On Wall Street, for the Dow Jones Industrial Average the only way was up, this time rising 47.38 points to close on 10,444.14. The NASDAQ Composite also held its own, rising 11 points to close on 2,292.31.

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Britain forced to borrow more as tax revenue slumps.

July 23rd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Small Business

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One of the most painful aspects of the long drawn out economic slump is the effects that it has had on UK tax revenues. In June, Britain reported its highest budget deficit for a month for sixteen years, a massive 13 billion pounds, which was an increase of almost 50% from the same month in 2008.

To support these shortfalls, the Treasury has no option but to borrow, and this they have been doing, and in some style. In the first quarter of the UK financial year, which started in April, public sector borrowing reached £41.2 billion, the highest quarterly figure since records began in 1946.

China Investment Corp, (CIC) China’s sovereign wealth fund has acquired 1.1 per cent of the Diageo drinks group for £221million, which makes the fund the UK-based groups’ ninth-largest investor. Shares in Diageo were up 2.4 per cent to 906p after the announcement

CIC manages $200 billion of the country’s $2,132bn held in foreign exchange reserves also holds a 0.5 per cent stake in Tesco, Britain’s largest retailer.

Domino’s Pizza reported a double-digit increase in sales and profits for the six months to the end of June and raised its interim dividend by almost a third.

Continuing to be one of the few consumer-facing companies to defy the recession, the Domino’s Pizza chain, the UK’s largest pizza delivery service with more than 500 outlets, said it expected to beat full-year profit forecasts thanks to unrelenting demand for their takeaways. Domino’s Pizza U.K. & Ireland advanced 7.2 percent to 235.25 pence.

On the FTSE U.K. pub owner and brewer of Old Speckled Hen ale Greene King Plc, added 3.1 percent to close on 432.75 pence.

Food retailers were also among the rising stars shares in Wm Morrison Supermarkets up 8.2 per cent to 274pence after the announcement that they expected full-year profit to exceed current guidance as it reported strong volume growth over the first half.

Sainsbury also added 3.1 per cent to 326p, while Tesco climbed 1.4 per cent to 375p.

The retail sector showed mixed results with fashion retailer Next despite raising their profit forecast for the first half, retained a cautious outlook. On the news shares in Next fell by 1.6 per cent to 1618 pence.

Shares in the Home Retail Group, owners of Argos and Homebase, gained 1.3 per cent to close on 293 pence

London equity markets overcame an early bout of profit taking on Tuesday to extend their winning run to seven sessions.

The benchmark FTSE 100 was up 38 points to 4,481.17, while the FTSE 250 gained 75.95 points to 7,742.58.

The pound lost ground on Tuesday as concerns grew over the health of the UK government’s finances.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6422
  • Pound/Euro 1.1578
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 153.8127
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7553

Testifying before the House Financial Committee in his twice-yearly report on monetary policy, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke announced that US interest rates are likely to remain "exceptionally low" for some time. He went on to explain that low interest rates and a stimulus plan had buoyed the economy.

US stocks lost some of its Monday’s impressive gains on Tuesday, after rising during the morning, but then falling back as Ben Bernanke, addressed Congress about the future of US Federal Reserve policy.

On Wall Street , the Dow Jones continued its steady rise, rising 45.05 points to 8893.2 while the NASDAQ rose 3.55 points to 1912.84.

Sharply falling tax revenues are also beginning to have their effects across the US. Of the 50 states45 reported budget shortfalls and overall tax collections dropped by 11.7 per cent, the largest fall on record.

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RBS may still have a few more surprises up their sleeve- most of them unpleasant.

June 18th, 2009 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Employment, Money Management, Recession, Saving, The Budget, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks

bankingAs the Royal Bank of Scotland’ struggles to push itself out of the quagmire created by Sir Fred and his crew, unpleasant surprises continue to emerge. A recent statement by incumbent CEO Stephen Hester made at the recent British Property Federation conference. The bank’s losses on real estate loans could be higher than it has provisioned for.
Hester went on to add that the bank’s updated assessment is that it could take between three and five years for the excessive level of property lending to level out. Summing up on a more positive note, Mr. Hester said that he foresaw for the future that RBS would need to reduce its exposure to the sector significantly, but that it would “behave responsibly and play a long game”, helped by the fact that most borrowers were continuing to service the interest on their debts.

Meanwhile UK chancellor Alistair Darling issued a warning to the British Bankers’ Association that further regulation and a crackdown on sloppy boardroom practices are on their way, including new regulations on higher liquidity and capital standards at banks. His announcement comes ahead of the release of a Treasury white paper next week on financial regulation, and the forthcoming EU summit in Brussels on plans for regional regulation of the banks.

That perennial bearer of bad news, the Office for National Statistics announced that UK unemployment has passed the two and a quarter million mark, in the three months to April 2009, making for the highest UK unemployment levels since November 1996. However there was a minor crumb of comfort to be taken from the news that the number of people claiming unemployment benefit rose by only 39,000, less than the 60,000 forecast by analysts.

Bus and rail operator National Express have announced the successful renegotiation of terms against their outstanding £1.2 billion, allaying fears that the company were liable to breach payment conditions set on the existing loan.

National Express have been fighting an uphill battle coping with servicing such a massive debt burden, whilst struggling with a major slump in passenger revenues, especially on its East Coast train franchise. At the same time, payments to the Department for Transport to service the franchise have been on constant increase.

And if things are bad on the ground, then they seem to be a lot worse in the air. If you need confirmation ask Willie Walsh, British Airways chief executive, who is facing fresh conflict with the unions on his proposal that BA staff should follow his personal example and work without pay for a month.

Walsh sent a personal note to each of the company’s 40,000 employees, asking them to volunteer for up to four weeks of unpaid work or unpaid holiday leave. Either option means no salary.

Needless to say it looks like Walsh faces a tough task convincing staff to accept his proposal, being that there is already no love lost between the company and the unions. Both Willie Walsh and BA’s chief financial officer Keith Williams set a precedent by announcing that they will be waiving their salaries for July. However a spokesman for Unite, BA’s biggest union, remained unmoved and unimpressed by observing that: “Willie Walsh can afford to work a month for free. Our members can’t

On the stock market, Sainsbury’s shares dropped 5.65 per cent to 313 pence after a surprise announcement that they plan to raise £445 million of fresh capital through a stock issue estimated to be worth £255 million as well as £190 million of convertible bonds offer. The capital is earmarked to fund the company’s growth; a spokesman for Sainsbury’s pointed out.

On the announcement that they had acquired a majority stake in an Indonesian clove cigarette maker shares in British American Tobacco (BAT) rose 0.2 per cent to 1660 pence. The acquisition that will cost BAT around £300 million will elevate the company to be the world’s fifth-biggest tobacco company, increasing their global market share from 2 per cent to 9 per cent.

The recent publication of the Digital Britain white paper has already worked wonders for the BT Group as hopes that government plans to extend broadband internet access would greatly benefit the fixed-line operator. After an advance of 8 per cent on Tuesday, shares in BT in rose a further 3 per cent to 106 pence.

Yesterday was not such a great day for FTSE. The 100 continued on its course of fluctuation this week falling 50.11 points to finish on 4,278.46. The FTSE 250 continued its rapid downward descent this time losing 174.45 points to close on 7,309.05.

Sterling rose for the second day again ever so slightly against the dollar, while losing considerable ground against the other major currencies

Pound/US dollar 1.6427
Pound/Euro 1.1766
Pound/Japanese Yen 157.0514
Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7711

The US government has announced a major reform of banking regulation to prevent future financial crises. The overhaul will require big banks to set more money aside against future losses to curb excessive risk taking. Consumers will enjoy the protection through a new government agency formed to protect their interests as well as regulating credit on mortgages and credit cards.

The US equities market moved into fluctuation mode on Wednesday as the government released details of their proposed regulations.
The Dow Jones rose 42.77 points to close on 8547.44, while the NASDAQ climbed back over the 1800 barrier, up 23.99 points to 1820.17.

US consumer prices rose less than had been expected in May, as the recession continued to keep inflation down.

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