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UK to create their own high street banks.

November 2nd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The government plan to create three new High Street banking chains, The move is expected to be in effect by 2015 as part of a major overhaul of the sector. The new banks will be recycled from the salvageable parts of Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds and the Northern Rock Building Society, all of which are majority owned by the UK taxpayer. Currently UK Ministers and the European Competition Commissioner are in talks over the move, which is aimed to recoup as much of the public’s money invested in the banks. The new chains will be standard retail banks concentrating on deposits and mortgages, with such "clean" UK high street retailers as Tesco and Virgin taking a share of the action.

According to the latest Land Registry figures, house prices rose by a further £1,400 in September, a 0.9% increase in prices last month, as the gradual recovery in the property market continued. The increase succeeded in pulling the annual rate of decline down to 5.6%, from its peak decline of minus 16.3% recorded in February 2009. The average house price has risen by £7,029 to reach £158,377 since that low point. Prices in London roses at the fastest rate, 1.3%, bringing the average price of house in the capital to £314,954, down 3.2% from the same period of a year ago.

The first phase of an increase on Air Passenger Duty went into effect on Sunday, that will effect only travelers who use British airports.

The increase, which at first glance appears fairly minor, a mere pound on short haul fights in economy class , become more significant for long haul flights in business and first class cabins where it can rise as high as £30 pounds per passenger.

The price increase has been condemned by British airlines and travel groups as one.

Sterling slumped yesterday against the dollar, as well as the rest of the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6447
  • Pound/Euro 1.1164
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 148.2155
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6883

The FTSE 100 retreated to a three-week low this week, due to increased concerns that a rally this year may have driven share prices higher than genuine prospects for economic and earnings growth. The FTSE 100 still remains 47 percent up on its year low, recorded in early March.

The UK’s FTSE 100 suffered a major fall on Friday, down 93 points, or 1.8%, to 5,045. The FTSE 250 was also rocked on Friday by a further heavy reversal after the previous day’s gains. The index fell 76.64 points to close on 8855.77

A drop in US consumer spending dampened the enthusiasm that followed Thursday’s US GDP figures. The figures wiped out gains made on Thursday sparked by data showing the US economy was growing again. The US Dow Jones index lost 250 points, or 2.5%, to 9,713. The NASDAQ also lost most of last week’s gains, down 52.44 points to 2045.11

US consumer spending dropped by 0.5% in September after a 1.4% rise in August – the first fall in five months. The news confirms analysts fears that the financial recovery in the US propelled by stimulus-driven gains in consumer spending and home building may not be as strong as predicted.

The price of oil also fell sharply on Friday, with US light crude dropping $2.87 to $77 a barrel.

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Will we? Won’t we? Conflicting predictions about the end of the recession.

October 7th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Gold, Loans, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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A leading and influential economic group has predicted that the UK economy did not grow in the third quarter of the year. Contrary to expectations as well as many other financial analysts’ forecasts, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) have suggested that gross domestic product (GDP) remained unchanged from July to September 2009. The majority of UK economists have predicted there would be growth in the three-month period, which would end the UK recession, while the NIESR stated that the reason why the UK economy’s failed to register any growth during the quarter was due to weak industrial production in August, especially in the oil industry. The official GDP figures for the third quarter are due to be released on 23 October.

According to market sources, the number of banks who are now prepared to lend for real estate investment has almost doubled over the past six months largely due to improvements and confidence as well as favourable funding conditions.

There are now more than twenty banking bodies reportedly prepared to lend more than £20 million at a time for real estate investments, while there are at least six banks willing to finance property deals of over £100 million. Apparently German banks continue to dominate the real estate investment funding sector, having ample access to funding whilst enjoying the benefits from devalued sterling. The growing numbers of lenders continue to indicate that the property market was opening up to increased activity after reaching a low point in the first half of 2009.

In a fairly drastic cost cutting move, British Airways (BA) have announced their plans to cut 1,700 jobs as well as plans to introduce a two-year pay freeze for cabin crew BA posted heavy losses for their 2008/2009 financial year and forecasts for 2009/2010 predict that their loss making will continue as global airlines continue to struggle. On the announcement, BA stock climbed 3.2 percent to 217 pence. Meanwhile stocks in Europe’s second largest discount airline EasyJet Plc, climbed by 2.4 percent, to 378.9 pence, as the company prepared to report their September passenger statistics.

The makers of Imperial Leather soap and Carex hand wash PZ Cussons announced that they were “cautiously optimistic” on its 2010 outlook as reported strong trading over the past three months. The company said turnover was in line with forecasts for the third quarter and that profits had increased in comparison with the corresponding period of last year.

London equity markets were stronger on Tuesday, despite some late caution as investors awaited details of US earnings season and the surprise announcement from Australia that they will be raising their interest rates

The FTSE 100 rose by 2.26 percent on yesterday’s trading, or 113.65 points to close on 5137.98. The FTSE 250 also continued to move steadily upwards, soaring 218.70 points to finish back over the 9,000 hurdle at 9201.23.

The pound seems to have a permanent stance below $1.60 mark, whilst remaining weak against the rest of the principal currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.5898
  • Pound/Euro 1.10812
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 141.2395
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6351

The Dow Jones index continued to recover from last week’s setbacks, rising yesterday by 131.5 points at 9,731.25. The NASDAQ index also followed suit jumping 35.42 points to finish on 2,103.57.

Australia became the first of the World’s leading industrialised nations n to raise interest rates, with its central bank increasing the official cash rate from 3 to 3.25 per cent. Glenn Stevens, governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, said economic conditions in Australia had been “stronger than expected”, while measures of confidence had recovered allowing the country to rates from their 49-year low “emergency” rate.

The price of gold has hit a new all-time high of $1,043.77 an ounce after a decline in the dollar boosted the attractiveness of metals to investors. According to analysts, continuing concerns of higher inflation in the US as its economy recovers was an increased factor in lowering the price of the dollar, further boosting the price of gold

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Fears of a return to credit card defaults sweep the UK.

July 28th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Credit cards, World Banks

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Signs are beginning across the Atlantic that consumers are beginning resurrect the practice of borrowing their way out of trouble. A recent surge in consumer debt defaults in the US could well spread to the UK, according to a recent report issued by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The IMF have forecasted that of the almost £1.5 billion of credit card debt currently held in the UK, around seven percent of that, or around £100 million may need to be written off. Confirmation of the sad facts is expected to be released next week when UK banks begin reporting their first-half results. Some of them have already warned that a sharp increase in credit card debts will need to be taken into account.

House prices in the U.K. continue to solidify, expected to hold their value for a third consecutive month in July. While the credit squeeze and the recession continues to prevent the property market from improving the average cost of a home in England and Wales was stable at £155,600 pounds, which was still almost eight percent lower than in July 2008.

The National Express takeover saga continues. The company announced that they are liable reject the Cosmen family takeover bid, which only values the group at around £500 million.

It is expected when National Express present their interim results towards the end of the week, they will explain to their shareholders that their desire to remain independent, and become profitable through cutting costs and reducing their debt burdens. Steps that should make the company far more attractive for takeover in the future. ,

Two potential suitors for National Express have been turned away as they have offered around 325 pence per share, while National Express are looking for 400 pence, giving the company a value of around £620 million.

The Cosmen family are National Express’s largest single shareholder, with an 18.5 per cent holding, and Jorge Cosmen is its deputy chairman. Shares in the company have risen since Friday when the Cosmen family in partnership with CVC confirmed their interest.

It was carnival time on the FTSE as the market equaled its record of eleven consecutive positive session

Among the best performers was Lloyds Banking Group who added 6.9 per cent to close on 88.33 pence. Analysts expect shares in Lloyds to reach as high as 100 pence in anticipation of the bank’s half year results to be announced on Wednesday.

The FTSE 100 index closed up by only 9.52 points to 4586.13, taking e index’s gains over the past 11 sessions to 10.6 per cent which is a new record, beating the 7.1 per cent in 1997.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 recorded its first reverse for a while down 61.58 points to 7,876.86

The pound gained a little ground on Monday against the leading currencies.

Pound/US dollar 1.6464

Pound/Euro 1.1573

Pound/Japanese Yen 156.5371

Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7634

Chairman of the US central bank Ben Bernanke rushed to defend the US bail-out plan of which he was among the principal architects. Bernanke admitted that his fears that the UK were heading into a second Great Depression had helped him to decide to back the stimulus plan which has so far cost the US taxpayer around $700 billion. Bernanke went on to point out that the bailout had widely benefitted the US economy and that no one should be surprised if further capital might be required to prop up the system.

Seemingly unfazed, the Dow Jones continued its steady rise, up by 15.27 points to 9108.51. The NASDAQ made a small gain, up a mere 1.93 points to close on 1967.89.

Recent reports have revealed that the annual rate of new home sales in the United States has risen by more than ten percent in June, further signs that the property sector is over the worst.

The US Department of Commerce announced that sales of new properties have hit a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 384,000 in June, against 346,000 in May.

Whilst June’s figures were the strongest seen since November 2008, the average sale was down 5.8% from May and 12% lower than a year ago at $206,200 (£125,000),

On Monday Commodities made a strong start to trading, continuing last week’s gains. Prices of European crude rose beyond the $70-a-barrel mark while base metals staged a broad advance, led by copper that

jumped to its highest level in almost 10 months in the London, New York and Shanghai markets. The commodities are always an excellent barometer to gauge the extent of the global economic recovery.

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