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Darling is looking for some credit.

March 16th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

financial news

Chancellor Alistair Darling, possibly with an eye to future job prospects, is expected to blow his own horn in the coming days, by claiming that the Labour government’s investment in jobs programmes are responsible for saving no less than £12 billion during the recession. Darling backed up his claims by stating that in the 2009 budget, the government’s prediction for unemployment was as high as 2.09 million by the end of 2009 and reaching close to 2.5 million in 2010. By the end of December of last year they had already revised, their estimates down to one and three quarters of a million by end 2009 and less than two million for 2010. The reduced number of benefit claimants, if maintained, will save £10 billion over the next five years according to the stressed Chancellor’s figures.

There is much speculation afoot that the UK government are about to introduce important legislation regarding the use of credit cards. The new legislation will prohibit credit card companies from using a method of calculating interest known as the "adverse order of payments method. The adverse order of payments is where credit card companies force customers to pay off the debts on their account holding the lowest rates of interest before higher interest rate debt is reduced. Figures show that currently there are close to ten million people in the UK holding credit card debts with multiple interest rates. The practice is said to cost credit card holders an average of around £250 pounds in the first year they hold the card.

Business Secretary Lord Mandelson has announced that the UK government will be offering a £270 million loan to GM designed to safeguard five thousand Vauxhall jobs in the UK. The money, which will go to Vauxhall’s parent company GM Europe, will guarantee production at the car maker’s plants in Luton and Ellesmere Port. According to a statement from Lord Mandelson, the outline deal followed "highly complex" talks between the Government and bosses in the US.

Lord Mandelson stressed in his statement: "I always said the Government would stand foursquare behind Vauxhall. With this announcement, we have kept our word." Unite boss Tony Woodley who represent the Vauxhall workers chipped in by saying that the loan is great news for British industry.

Lloyds Banking Group Plc and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc improved on the increase in value of their U.S. bank shares. RBS soared 5 percent to 42.57 pence. U.S. banks yesterday closed at the highest since November 2008, led by Citigroup Inc. Lloyds climbed 3.4 percent to 58.47 pence. The bank is close to agreeing a joint venture to sell a number of the less than worthwhile assets assembled by HBOS.

BSkyB, the U.K.’s biggest pay-television provider, surged the most in almost eight months on a report that Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp. may bid for the shares that the y currently do not hold in the company. On the news BSkyB rose 5 percent to 598 pence, the biggest gain since July 30. News Corp, which already owns 39 percent of the pay-TV company, may be planning to pay 735 pence a share for the stake it doesn’t already own.

The Pound was still seen to be struggling again the main currencies, although the currency did rise slightly before the weekend. The pound was on $1.5183 while remaining almost on par with the Euro on €1.1033

As the markets closed for the weekend U.K. stocks gained, extending a second weekly increase for the benchmark FTSE 100 Index, largely on the back of increases in financial share values.

The FTSE 100 increased 0.2 percent to 5,625.65, bringing its weekly gain to 0.5 percent. The FTSE 100 has climbed to near the highest level since June 2008, lifted by optimism that the global economic recovery and higher earnings will support the 12-month rally in equities.

Former executives of the now defunct Lehman Brothers firm as well as the senior executives of their erstwhile auditor, Ernst & Young headed home for a weekend of self contemplation as they were severely censured in a recent report for some serious professional lapses that led to the firm’s collapse.

The report also went on to say that Lehman trading on knowing they were insolvent for a number of weeks before eventually declaring themselves bankrupt. Lehman’s bankruptcy is generally recognized as being the catalyst that sparked of the global financial meltdown. The collapse of the 158-year-old investment bank in September 2008 was the world’s largest bankruptcy at that time.

The report made for some heavy and disturbing reading, accusing the Lehman Brothers’ management of "actionable balance sheet manipulation" and using accounting tricks to hide debts. In their defence, Ernst & Young said that its last audit of Lehman was "fairly presented" according to accounting rules. As Lehman Brothers wobbled on the edge of collapse, a determined effort from Wall Street, the City of London, and the US and UK governments did all that they could to prevent the banks’ fearing the chain reaction that Lehman’s failure would set off around the globe.

Whether the long awaited report had an effect on Wall Street trading remains to be seen, but share trading was certainly restrained on Friday before the markets closed. The Dow Jones was up 12. 85 points to 10624.49 while the NASDAQ dropped less than a point to 2367.66

After weeks of crisis, it looks like the Eurozone region are on the verge of agreeing to support a multibillion-euro bailout for Greece as part of a package to shore up the Euro, the zone’s single currency.

Despite huge resistance, Germany, who were against the bailout, have bowed to pressure from fellow members of the 16 strong Eurozone members who expect to draw up the rescue package in the early days of this week. At the same time, the Eurozone members, at Germany’s behest, will introduce new legislation to enforce greater fiscal discipline among its members.

According to a senior European commission official, the Euro member states have agreed to provide a series of loans or loan guarantees to Greece in the likely event that Athens finds itself unable to refinance its soaring debt and requests help from the EU. Speculation has it that the initial aid to Greece could reach as high as €25 billion (£22.6 billion), with estimates that the total extent of Greece’s financial problems could see them needing up to €55 billion in loans by the end of 2010. Despite the fact that Germany were the most reluctant to come to the rescue of a fiscal delinquent in the current crisis, they have played the pivotal role in organising the rescue package, in their role as the EU’s traditional paymaster,

According to a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA),

China’s demand for oil jumped by an "astonishing" 28% in January compared with the January 2009. The IEA went on to point out that added that the estimated global demand for oil in 2010 would be driven by rising demand from emerging markets, with half of all growth coming from Asia while demand in developed countries is likely to fall by 0.3%.

The IEA has increased its global oil demand forecast for 2010 by 1.8% to 86.6 million barrels a day.

Oil prices were above $83 a barrel on Friday, the highest in two months.

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Myners backs the banks.

January 15th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

City Minister Lord Myners said he recognized the need for state-backed banks to compete in the global market, as he signaled the government would not block them from paying large bonuses to staff. Lord Myners told the Scottish affairs committee on Wednesday it was important the Royal Bank of Scotland was able to recruit and motivate employees. His comments came a day after the bank’s chief executive Stephen Hester revealed recruitment posted its biggest problem as RBS was being forced to compete on bonuses.

The number of businesses that went bust in 2009 increased by 18 per cent, but the economic outlook is slightly brighter for 2010. Recent information shows hat from the middle of 2009 onwards, the rate of business failures started to slow down compared to 2008 and early 2009, with a 7.7 per cent year-on-year decrease. This has to be good news for the economy as a whole. Business failures last year were not as extreme as 2008. The number of firms going bust in the fourth quarter of 2009 increased by almost a quarter compared to 2007, still an improvement on 2008, where the year-on-year increase was almost a third.

U.K. manufacturing unexpectedly stalled for a second month in November, a sign the economy is struggling to shake off the longest recession on record.

Factory output stayed unchanged from October, the Office for National Statistics said today in London. Economists predicted an increase of 0.2 percent, according to the median of 25 forecasts in a recent survey.

Bank of England policy makers last week pledged to spend the rest of their £200-billion bond-purchase program as they tried to cement an economic recovery.

Home Retail Group Plc sank 6.2 percent to 265.8 pence, the biggest decline since September, after a company spokesman announced that growth in the industry will be “hard to come by.”

Meanwhile HMV Group Plc slid 8 percent to 84.4 pence, the sharpest drop since December 2008, after saying holiday sales at stores open at least a year were hurt by the performance of its Waterstone’s bookstore chain.

The pound has been little changed against the dollar on recent days, and traded at 1.6245, up 0.5 percent on the day. The Euro was up to 1.262

The FTSE 100 Index added 24.72, or 0.5 percent, to 5,498.20. The FTSE 100 has extended its surge since March last year to 57 percent after central banks cut interest rates to record lows and governments worldwide committed about $12 trillion to revive the economy

Stateside President Barack Obama has ordered Wall Street banks to repay $117 billion (£72 billion) to taxpayers after criticizing banks for their "massive profits and obscene bonuses" culture. The tax is to recoup money US taxpayers are expected to lose from bailing out the banks during the financial crisis. The move follows populist anger at banks, seen as being responsible for causing the recent economic crisis. President Barack Obama will announce a sweeping new levy on about 50 financial institutions that will raise an estimated $90 billion to reduce the federal debt.

US stocks struggled to push higher on Thursday after an unexpected drop in retail sales gave investors reason for caution.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average had gained 0.1 per cent to 10,690.90 and the NASDAQ Composite was also 0.1 per cent higher at 2,310.58.

The market had opened lower after the latest commerce department figures showed retail sales, excluding cars, had fallen 0.2 per cent in December, with analysts forecasting a 0.3 percent increase

According to figures from the US Commerce Department, sales at US retailers saw an unexpected fall in December, casting uncertainty over the recovery of the US economy. Retail sales fell by 0.3% compared with November. Concerns over job security are expected to continue to restrict spending, with unemployment still at 10%. December’s figures end a tough year for US retailers, with total sales for 2009 down 6.2% on the previous year.

On the other hand, the tech industry’s earnings season got off to a flying start on Thursday with Intel reporting demand for its microprocessors boosted fourth-quarter revenues to $10.6 billion, well ahead of analysts’ forecasts of $10.2 billion. The world’s largest chip maker also reported earnings per share a third higher than Wall Street expected, at 40 cents rather than 30 cents.

Compared with a year ago, when orders collapsed in the teeth of the recession, Intel’s profits were 875 per cent higher at $2.3 billion.

Oil prices traded below $80 a barrel on Thursday, consolidating after recent losses triggered by a sharp increase in US crude and oil products inventories The recession has put a dent in future North Sea oil and gas production, with companies tapping fewer new oil reserves in 2009 than in previous years of operations there. Only eight oil and gas fields – expected to produce a combined total of 140 million barrels over their lifetime – began production in 2009, according to industry consultants.

That compares with an average of 600 million barrels of new reserves brought on stream each year between 2004 and 2008.

Production at the North Sea’s old fields has been declining since the start of the last decade increasing UK dependence on foreign oil.

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U.K. property prices rise again in December

January 4th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The last and most positive item of news that hit before the UK financial community went into New Year mode was that data released by the Nationwide Building Society indicated that U.K. house prices had raised again in December by 0.4%, taking the growth for the year to 5.9%. December’s rise was for the eighth consecutive month. To take some edge from the optimism, Nationwide pointed out that there remained high levels of uncertainty over the outlook for property prices in 2010.

Other good news came from the Bank of England, who pointed out that the FTSE market has recorded the third biggest rise since 1693, over the last nine months. Predictions are that of January carries on at roughly the same pace, the market will have enjoyed its largest sustained rise for 317 years. Someone should point out to the BOE that the FTSE had to fall more or less on its knees in order to make such a dramatic recovery. Not that anyone is not grateful!

The UK statisticians seemed to be competing against each other this festive season to see whose figure could look the most positive.

Just before Christmas, the Office for National Statistics reported that unemployment had fallen 6,300 in a single month, hastening to add some icing to the Christmas Cake by pointing out that in no postwar recession has unemployment ever fallen so quickly. To be positive, unemployment in the UK has been less severe than most analysts expected. Expectations are that jobless levels will certainly carry on rising in 2010, but will eventually level out at around 1.25 million.

According to the Bank of England, quarterly credit conditions saw British banks reported a rise in the availability of secured credit to households, driven partly by an improved economic outlook. Unsecured credit availability to households continued to decline, but banks expected it to stabilize in the coming quarter.

Meanwhile cold Icelandic hearts have appeared to thaw just a little, with the news that Iceland’s parliament has approved plans to repay £3.4 billion to savers in the UK. The repatriations will go to the British as well as the Dutch governments, both of whom partially compensated savers when the Icesave online bank failed in 2008, with more than 320,000 savers losing their savings when the bank collapsed. Not that there weren’t ulterior motives behind the Icelanders generosity. In fact a special bill on the measure, was only narrowly approved against strong opposition, and was seen as crucial to Iceland’s bid rebuild its economy and gain a key to eventually being accepted as members of the EU.

A recent survey of UK adults has come up with the interesting discovery that that around two-thirds had made it a point of keeping track of their financial situation much more than they did two years ago, and were increasingly concerned about whether their bank was safe. Despite that, the survey did discover that far fewer consumers were less willing to make an effort to protect themselves, with only around half making an effort to reduce their debt levels and even less attempting to save than they were at the start of the recession.

More slightly bitter sweet news announced before the end of the year was that the number of repossessed homes that were sold by auction in the UK has fallen by more than half during the past 12 months. The number of repossessed homes sold at auction during 2009 totaled 3,998, compared with 8,222 sold during 2008, with the number of repossessed homes sold at auction in the last quarter falling even more dramatically to just 941 homes compared to 2,941 during the same period in 2008.

Sterling jumped to a 10-day high against the dollar on Thursday as year-end position adjustments led to a broad sell-off in the U.S. currency, with thin trading sparking exaggerated price movements.

The pound also extended gains against the euro as month- and year-end flows as well as technical factors supported the currency, helping lift rise to a 10-day high.

  • Dollar 1617
  • Euro 1.1285

The benchmark U.K. FTSE 100 rose 0.3% to 5,412.88 on Thursday, bringing its year-to-date gains to 22.1%, its highest gain since a 24.7% return in 1997. Despite the good news, overall the noughties were not great for the.

FTSE that declined 21.9% for the decade, worse than the Dow Jones Industrial Average that fell just 8% and the 14% retreat for the German DAX.

Wall Street ended the day and the decade in the red after encouraging jobs data on Thursday renewed concerns over interest rate hikes.

The number of Americans filing fresh claims for unemployment benefits last week dropped to the lowest level in about 17 months. Analysts had been expecting initial jobless claims to show a modest increase.

A late sell-off left stocks near their lows of the day, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.1 per cent to 10,428.05 and the NASDAQ to 2,269.15.

Commodity markets ended 2009 on a high with US crude oil touching the $80 a barrel mark in the final trading session, while white sugar extended its record-breaking run and copper, lead and zinc all enjoying price gains of more than 100 per cent over the year.

Oil prices maintained their upward momentum over the Christmas period amid ongoing tensions in Iran between opposition supporters and the government and by cold winter weather in the US, which has boosted demand for heating oil.

Gold ended 2009 just below the $1,100 mark at $1,096.35 a troy ounce, up 24.8 per cent over the year.

Gold hit a record $1,226.10 an ounce in early December and the bull market for bullion has now lasted for nine years.

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