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Posts Tagged ‘Office of National Statistics’

Radical overhaul of state pension called for.

April 2nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Debt, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Saving, The Markets, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks, savings accounts

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The National Association of Pension Funds (NAPF) have called for a radical overhaul of the state pension system.

The NAPF, a leading pension’s body wants the next government to introduce a new ‘Foundation Pension’ that would combine the Basic State Pension and the Second State Pension and would entitle all Britons to a state retirement pot of £8,000 a year. If accepted the NAPF proposals would boost pensioners’ incomes initially by £25 a week and would later rise in line with average UK earnings. In addition, around two million UK pensioners would no longer be required to request means-tested benefits.

Consumer Focus, a UK consumer watchdog is set to complain to government regulators about the fact that individual savings accounts holders are missing out on £3 billion a year in interest because of inefficient practices by providers.

The organization are to complain to the Office of Fair Trading stating that savers were being unfairly treated by banks and building societies by the practice of “bait pricing”, meaning offering attractive headline rates on cash Individual Savings Accounts (Isas) only to see the interest rates dropping dramatically drop a short time later.

Consumer Focus have also pointed out that account holders often face unnecessary and costly delays when transferring accounts, as well as a lack of clarity on interest rates. In certain cases arbitrary rules were imposed by cash Isa providers forbidding transfers into more attractive accounts.

According to the Office of National Statistics (ONS), growth in UK household incomes has decreased rapidly during three terms of the Labour government. The ONS report shows that while growth to disposable income increased by 13 percent per person between 1997 and 2001, after these figures were adjusted to meet inflation, true incomes rose by just 1.2 percent between 2005 and 2008. And when the credit bubble was at its peak, between 2006 and 2007, incomes barely increased. During Labour’s second term in government from 2001-05, Growth in pay, benefits, pensions and dividends after tax fell to seven percent

The UK government’s car scrappage scheme, has officially come to an end, with at least 330,000 cars have been sold.

After the scheme was introduced a year ago to help the recession-hit motor industry cope with falling sales, a fifth of cars sold in the UK were part of the scheme which may have created around 4,000 new jobs with manufacturers and suppliers were supported by the scheme.

Business Secretary Lord Mandelson stated his pleasure that the scrappage scheme has delivered the results aimed for. Estimates that the 330,000 figure could still rise as a number of cars purchased through the scheme are yet be registered, meaning that figure could rise to 400,000.

Clothing retailer Matalan have announced the completion of £525 million capital rising which will replace its existing debt package. Matalan was withdrawn from the market in March after private equity groups failed to meet the £1.5 billion valuation set by Matalan. The successful refinancing means a £250 million dividend for Matalan’s founder John Hargreaves.

Music Company EMI continue to make waves, with the news that they may be taken over by its bankers. The move comes after EMI failed to meet the terms of their covenants after failing to clinch a deal with Universal to sell them their distribution rights in the United States. The debt stems from a £4.2 billion pound buyout in 2007, leaving Terra Firma the private equity firm, that owns EMI holding a £3 billion debt to Citigroup. Terra Firma is now faced with the prospect of approaching their investors in an attempt to raise £20 million pounds by June 12 or face the prospect of Citigroup seizing control of EMI.

The news that manufacturing growth in the UK has risen at its fastest pace since 1994, saw Sterling making a long overdue rise. The pound climbed 0.5 per cent to $1.5274 and gained 0.4 per cent versus the euro to close on 1.1257.

The benchmark FTSE 100 was also up as the market closed for the Easter weekend. It rose 65 points to 5,744.89, making for a 5 per cent rise during the first three months of the year, and its best start to the year since 2006

A report from the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM’s) as shown that the US manufacturing sector expanded in March at its fastest rate for six years.

The highly rated ISM’s purchasing managers index rose by 3.1 points to 59.6 points in March. Any figure of 50 or above represents growth, and last month was the eighth in succession that US manufacturers have increased their output.

The news of USA’s continued growth, which was at its fastest for 15 years in March comes after China and European nations also announced higher factory output.

As Wall Street wrapped up for the long Easter weekend, the Dow Jones Index was still on the rise up 70.44 points to 10927.07. The NASDAQ was less conservative, rising just 4.62 points to close on 2402.58

The number of Americans filing for unemployment insurance fell for the first time fell last week, matching the lowest level since August 2008. According to government data released today by the US Labor Department, there were 439,000 initial jobless claims filed in the week ended March 27, down 6,000 from an upwardly revised 445,000 the previous week.

Toyota’s US sales have reportedly bounced back as substantial discounts helped to win back customers who had been shaken by the firm’s mass safety recalls. Sales in the US for the Japanese carmaker jumped by 40.7 %in March compared with a year earlier, and after a slump of 8.7% in February.

Ford and General Motors also saw their sales rise last month, up 39.8% and 20.6% respectively, while Chrysler saw its sales fall 8.3%.

In Japan a key survey of local manufacturers has indicated that confidence is continuing to return to businesses, with the Bank of Japan’s Tankan index showing that business confidence had improved for the fourth straight quarter. The news came as Toyota saw a 50% increase in domestic car sales last month, belying some of the safety problems that have been reported in the last few weeks.

Oil moved forward from the $83-a-barrel level that has proved its undoing on many occasions over recent weeks, climbing 1.3 per cent to $84.82, the highest point since October 2008.

Gold also joined the rush, rising 1.3 per cent to close on $1,126 an ounce

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The Noughties prove to be a no-no for economic growth

December 30th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

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The UK in the first decade of the new century recorded the lowest economic growth of the postwar period and the worst returns for stock market investors since the 1930s. Information provided by the Office of National Statistics points out that gross domestic product, on average, rose by only 1.7 per cent annually in real terms throughout the so-called noughties, making them Britain’s weakest period of economic expansion of any since the war years. The manufacturing sector was particularly hard hit with output actually contracting over the decade by 1.2 per cent annually.

Meanwhile, the British stock market suffered its weakest performance of any decade since the Great Depression, with prices on the FTSE All Share Index recording negative returns, averaging minus 1.8 per cent per year. The particularly sharp contraction in the real economy as a result of the financial crisis of the past 18 months continues to fuel pessimistic assessments of the UK’s prospects for the new decade.

In his New Year message, that well know optimist Prime Minister Gordon Brown is expected to give an upbeat assessment of Britain’s economic prospects for the forthcoming 12 months. Under pressure amid Labour Party concerns that they are destined to lose the next election, Brown is expected to take a gamble on a positive prediction that UK unemployment will have decreased by the end of 2010, with more smaller businesses starting up during the period, His gamble is calculated by details of latest forecast from the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) stating that UK unemployment will peak at 2.8 million in 2010, and would continue to rise for the first six months of the new year, despite the recovery in the UK economy. .

Earlier this year, the CIPD had said it expected unemployment to peak at 3.2 million as a result of the recession. The total number of UK unemployed in currently stands at 2.49 million, 7.9% of the population, with around a quarter of these job losses happening in 2009.

UK homeowners pumped almost £5 billion into their home equities during the third quarter of 2009, according to recent figures issued by the Bank of England. Analysts pointed out that the trend of homeowners repaying mortgage debt would continue to restrain consumer spending, as they took advantage of record low interest rates to reduce mortgage debts. This development is in healthy contrast to much of the previous decade when homeowners had continuously drawn on equity from their homes to fund durable purchases.

Pressure is being applied to the UK government to make some changes to the Sunday trading laws in time for Christmas next year. Boxing Day falls on a Sunday in 2010, and shopping centres are lobbying to relax the law that restricts outlets of more than 3,000 square foot to just six hours of trading during this peak trading day. According to surveys, the number of shoppers soared by 17.9 percent last Sunday against a year ago, making it the highest increase in UK consumer traffic on record for a December 27.

Waitrose, the John Lewis-owned supermarket, reported an increase of 13.5 percent for the week before Christmas compared to the same period last year, making it their most successful Christmas on record. Total sales jumped 20.5 percent to reach £134.6 million s in the week to December 26, compared with £111.7 million for the same period in 2008.

Sterling remained below the $1.60 level on early week trading, even falling a little, whilst while remaining static against the Euro

  • Dollar 1.5924
  • Euro 1.1089

London stocks pushed higher on Tuesday, the first day back from the Christmas break, following the lead set in global equity markets in the previous session.

With US stocks failing to add much momentum, London’s FTSE 100 stayed at the same level for much of the session, adding 35 points or 0.7 per cent by the close to 5,437.61, extending its winning run to five days.

This was the index’s highest level in 15 months and took it above the point at which it stood on September 12, 2008, when Lehman Brothers collapsed.

Shares in US airlines fell on Monday following the alleged bomb attack on a US plane bound for Detroit, fueled by fears that renewed security concerns could further depress demand for air travel. Airport security measures have been tightened following the security incident on Christmas Day.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average returned from the Christmas break in buoyant mood, climbing 36 points to close on 10,521.1 while the NASDAQ Composite jumped just three points to 2,288.46. Retailers had initially lifted the market after data from the International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs showed like-for-like sales across the sector were up 2.3 per cent last week from the same period a year ago

US house prices rose in October for the fifth month in a row, according to a leading index.

Prices were 0.4% higher than they were in September on a seasonally-adjusted basis, according to a recently published index.

Confidence among US consumers has shown a larger-than-expected rise; with improved optimism over the jobs market saw consumer confidence hit a three-month high in December

Oil prices have climbed to more than $79 a barrel, reaching the highest levels for five weeks. During Monday’s trading in London, US crude touched $79.12 a barrel before falling back later to $78.77.

Heating oil futures led the gains, while London Brent crude rose by more than a dollar to $77.32 a barrel.

Prices rose following forecasts of colder weather in the United States, and the expectation of increased consumption and falling reserves.

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Brown to ask his colleagues to hang back.

November 18th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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In the Queen’s speech to be made today, Gordon Brown is expected to emphasize the need for fiscal discipline as the UK seeks to extricate itself from the current financial downturn, and catch up with the rest of the major global economies who have already done so. At the heart of his message will be a very strong hint to ministers to accept budget cuts. What he will be implying is that it is important for the Labour party to show unity and credibility on public spending ahead of the forthcoming election battle with the Tories. The prime minister’s package will feature a fiscal responsibility bill, that will confine to law Brown’s programme significantly reduce Britain’s £175 billion deficit by 2014 and cast it into history by 2018.

Meanwhile the people who are generally regarded as being responsible for the UKs financial quandary, the bankers, are beginning to bleat a little at the prospect of having their bonuses cut by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) This time the banker’s plight is being supported by no less than a former banker, Sir George Mathewson who acted as chairman of Royal Bank of Scotland. Sir George complained that any moves to cancel any pay deals which appear to reward undue risk-taking would interfere with the rule of law.

But Sir George said he feared

According to the Office of National Statistics, UK inflation has jumped to an annual figure of 1.5%, largely driven up by a sharp annual rise in the cost of petrol and a huge jump in the prices of second-hand cars. Economists were not taken by surprise by the increase in the consumer prices index (CPI, which they expected to rise by between 1.4% and 1.5% for October. The incredible 14% rise in second-hand car prices was one of the driving forces behind the inflation rise.

ITV have confirmed that Archie Norman, the former chief executive of supermarket group Asda, will be taking over the role of chairman in their company. Former Tory MP Norman’s appointment brings to an end a seven-month search to find a replacement for outgoing chairman Michael Grade,

Archie Norman comes to the ITV with an impressive track record, having being credited with the turnaround of Asda in the 1990s. He will face no less of a daunting challenge at ITV, where increased competition and difficult trading conditions has caused a major downturn in advertising revenue.

Chocolate makers Hershey and Ferrero are said to considering a joint bid for Cadbury that could be welcomed by the UK confectionery manufacturer as they fight to fend off the hostile takeover by Kraft Foods. Discussions between the two sides have been reported to be at the “very preliminary" stage. Apparently Hershey executives have been more aggressive about pursuing a deal; however no offer has been made. The talks are the strongest sign that a possible rival bid to Kraft’s $16.7 billion offer is in the offing. Kraft’s initial bid was rejected by Cadbury as being “derisory”.

Sterling increased against the major currencies on trading since the weekend

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6793
  • Pound/Euro 1.1283
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.9328
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.706

World stocks continue to gain ground as optimism regarding the global economic recovery continuing. UK shares have again reached and broken their 14-month high.

In the UK, the FTSE share values improved as commodities and especially gold touched a new record on the general positive mood.

The UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 index closed up 1.6%, or 86.29, to 5,345.93. The FTSE 250 also rose, up 28 points to 9,401.15.

US Commerce Department figures have shown that retail sales rose by more than expected in October, largely due to the resurgent car market, Sales rose by 1.4%, offsetting September’s 1.5% fall was revised with both months’ figures were dominated by the impact of car sales.

If car sales are taken out of the equation, retail sales rose by just 0.2% in October.

Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has revealed that the US central bank was monitoring currency markets "closely" and will conduct policy in a way that will "help ensure that the dollar is strong". In one of his rare public comments on the state of the dollar, Bernanke predicted that currency’s recovery would begin to gain momentum despite "headwinds" from credit and unemployment, while inflation was likely to remain "subdued". However the dollar, after a brief upturn, continued to retreat against other major currencies. Bernanke also added that the Fed still expected to keep rates near zero for an "extended period", hastening to add that his statement was, not a commitment.

In the US, all the trading indexes were seen to be advancing at lightning pace.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 1.3%

Or 52.30 points to 10437.42. The NASDAQ continues to move forward, up 43 points 2203.78

US car giant GM recovery continues. This week the company announced that they will begin returning their US government loans earlier than expected.

The first payment of $1.2 billion will be made in December, and the company predicts that the loans could fully repaid 2011, four years earlier than expected. The news comes as GM reported a third quarter net loss of $1.2 billion. GM currently has debts of $6.7 billion to the US government, $1.4 billion to the Canadian government and 400 million Euros to the German government, which the company received in support of GM’s European subsidiary Opel.

US billionaire Warren Buffett’s investment firm have increased their stakes in the Nestle and Exxon Mobil companies. .

The news has created a strong buzz among investors as stock picks by Buffett always create interest, as the 70 year old super entrepreneur is considered to be one of the world’s shrewdest investors.

Recent figures released by the Japanese government have shown that the country’s economy has grown for a second successive quarter.

The world’s second largest economy grew by 1.2% in the third quarter, much faster than economists had predicted. Analysts have hastened to predict that say overall growth is likely to remain sluggish for the foreseeable future.

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U.K. Business Confidence returns to 2007 levels.

October 22nd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Employment, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

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A recent survey, held quarterly by one of the UK leading accounting companies, has revealed that Britain’s top companies are more upbeat about future prospects than they have been for around two years. However an underlying tone of caution still lies close to the surface.

The survey continues to reinforce the generally more upbeat mood among UK economists and business leaders, while the next major indicator that things are moving in the right track, will come with the announcement of the latest GDP figures dues to be announced by the Office of National Statistics this coming Friday. General expectations are that the figures will signal a formal end to the recession in this country.

Financial directors of some of Britain’s leading companies, take part in the survey at the end of every quarter, with many reporting that they were feeling that the economy was growing steadily stronger, although few were prepared to admit that they see the UK to return to strong economic growth any time in the near future.

A considerable factor in current growth patterns was the continuing easing in the credit markets, with many of the companies who took part in the survey, reporting that modest borrowing is finally become more widely available. However, the survey also showed a common trend among the finance directors who participated of caution regarding the short-term outlook, with many warning that the climate in which their companies trade has changed, and will likely to limp along for the foreseeable future.

Whilst it is understandable that financial officers will be reluctant to wax lyrical about the future of the UK economy, there is no escaping the fact that many companies are now considering some form of expansion. Some 92 per cent of finance directors expect a rise in mergers and acquisitions activity over the next 12 months, while 39 per cent leaked that their company are currently contemplating corporate acquisitions in 2009 and 2010.

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