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Posts Tagged ‘Office for National Statistics’

U.K. property prices rise again in December

January 4th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The last and most positive item of news that hit before the UK financial community went into New Year mode was that data released by the Nationwide Building Society indicated that U.K. house prices had raised again in December by 0.4%, taking the growth for the year to 5.9%. December’s rise was for the eighth consecutive month. To take some edge from the optimism, Nationwide pointed out that there remained high levels of uncertainty over the outlook for property prices in 2010.

Other good news came from the Bank of England, who pointed out that the FTSE market has recorded the third biggest rise since 1693, over the last nine months. Predictions are that of January carries on at roughly the same pace, the market will have enjoyed its largest sustained rise for 317 years. Someone should point out to the BOE that the FTSE had to fall more or less on its knees in order to make such a dramatic recovery. Not that anyone is not grateful!

The UK statisticians seemed to be competing against each other this festive season to see whose figure could look the most positive.

Just before Christmas, the Office for National Statistics reported that unemployment had fallen 6,300 in a single month, hastening to add some icing to the Christmas Cake by pointing out that in no postwar recession has unemployment ever fallen so quickly. To be positive, unemployment in the UK has been less severe than most analysts expected. Expectations are that jobless levels will certainly carry on rising in 2010, but will eventually level out at around 1.25 million.

According to the Bank of England, quarterly credit conditions saw British banks reported a rise in the availability of secured credit to households, driven partly by an improved economic outlook. Unsecured credit availability to households continued to decline, but banks expected it to stabilize in the coming quarter.

Meanwhile cold Icelandic hearts have appeared to thaw just a little, with the news that Iceland’s parliament has approved plans to repay £3.4 billion to savers in the UK. The repatriations will go to the British as well as the Dutch governments, both of whom partially compensated savers when the Icesave online bank failed in 2008, with more than 320,000 savers losing their savings when the bank collapsed. Not that there weren’t ulterior motives behind the Icelanders generosity. In fact a special bill on the measure, was only narrowly approved against strong opposition, and was seen as crucial to Iceland’s bid rebuild its economy and gain a key to eventually being accepted as members of the EU.

A recent survey of UK adults has come up with the interesting discovery that that around two-thirds had made it a point of keeping track of their financial situation much more than they did two years ago, and were increasingly concerned about whether their bank was safe. Despite that, the survey did discover that far fewer consumers were less willing to make an effort to protect themselves, with only around half making an effort to reduce their debt levels and even less attempting to save than they were at the start of the recession.

More slightly bitter sweet news announced before the end of the year was that the number of repossessed homes that were sold by auction in the UK has fallen by more than half during the past 12 months. The number of repossessed homes sold at auction during 2009 totaled 3,998, compared with 8,222 sold during 2008, with the number of repossessed homes sold at auction in the last quarter falling even more dramatically to just 941 homes compared to 2,941 during the same period in 2008.

Sterling jumped to a 10-day high against the dollar on Thursday as year-end position adjustments led to a broad sell-off in the U.S. currency, with thin trading sparking exaggerated price movements.

The pound also extended gains against the euro as month- and year-end flows as well as technical factors supported the currency, helping lift rise to a 10-day high.

  • Dollar 1617
  • Euro 1.1285

The benchmark U.K. FTSE 100 rose 0.3% to 5,412.88 on Thursday, bringing its year-to-date gains to 22.1%, its highest gain since a 24.7% return in 1997. Despite the good news, overall the noughties were not great for the.

FTSE that declined 21.9% for the decade, worse than the Dow Jones Industrial Average that fell just 8% and the 14% retreat for the German DAX.

Wall Street ended the day and the decade in the red after encouraging jobs data on Thursday renewed concerns over interest rate hikes.

The number of Americans filing fresh claims for unemployment benefits last week dropped to the lowest level in about 17 months. Analysts had been expecting initial jobless claims to show a modest increase.

A late sell-off left stocks near their lows of the day, pushing the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.1 per cent to 10,428.05 and the NASDAQ to 2,269.15.

Commodity markets ended 2009 on a high with US crude oil touching the $80 a barrel mark in the final trading session, while white sugar extended its record-breaking run and copper, lead and zinc all enjoying price gains of more than 100 per cent over the year.

Oil prices maintained their upward momentum over the Christmas period amid ongoing tensions in Iran between opposition supporters and the government and by cold winter weather in the US, which has boosted demand for heating oil.

Gold ended 2009 just below the $1,100 mark at $1,096.35 a troy ounce, up 24.8 per cent over the year.

Gold hit a record $1,226.10 an ounce in early December and the bull market for bullion has now lasted for nine years.

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Job cuts in the public sector looking likely, with unions digging in for the struggle.

December 21st, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, World Banks

financial news

UK public opinion is reported to be swinging the way of large scale cuts in the public service sector, according to recent reports. The sector, costing taxpayer’s record amounts of money each year. Is now employing more people than ever before. Unions who represent public sector employees are anticipating having a have a fight on their hands, if as expected, the Conservative party wins the next election and inherits an economy still struggling to pull itself out of recession.

According to statistics issued by the Office for National Statistics before the weekend, business investment in the UK fell 0.6% sequentially in the third quarter, significantly less than the 3% initially estimated. British private and public sector manufacturing investment has reportedly fallen 9.4% since the second quarter and by almost 30 % since the third quarter of 2008.

According to a recent report by the Bank of England the “probability of default by U.K. real estate companies has increased significantly” as households continue to face a weakening labor market paired with tightening credit conditions.

Amid concerns that the government’s 50% banking bonus tax could seriously damage future business levels, stock markets around the world have been focusing upon the city of London investment markets. The UK government went as far as issuing a report, released on Friday, clarifying who is liable to fall under the scope of the banking tax.

With reports in circulation that UK banks, and especially those whose activities are centered on in London continue to consider their position regarding the banking bonus tax, which has been mooted as a one-off charge, is making people in the banking world a little hot under the collar.

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has raised its 2010 economic growth forecast, whilst predicting that the Bank of England may place their bond-purchase plan on hold as soon as February as policy makers prepare to raise interest rates.

The CBI also predict that gross domestic product in the UK will increase 1.2 percent in 2010 after contracting 4.5 percent in 2009, up from their previously forecast expansion of 0.9 percent. The group also predicts the bank will raise the benchmark interest rate from 0.5 percent in the second quarter to reach 2 percent by the end of the year.

The recovery will be aided by companies rebuilding stocks to meet a rebound in world growth and as exporters benefit from a weaker pound, down almost a quarter since the start of 2007, making British goods cheaper to buy abroad.

Google, smart boys that they are, succeeded in not paying a penny in corporation tax on the £1.6 billion advertising revenues that it earned in Britain in 2008. The company, which enjoys an estimated 90% market share of UK internet searches, last year, used a cross-border network of subsidiary companies to keep the taxman at bay. Their smoothly interwoven international corporate structure enabled Google to avoid paying what could otherwise have been a corporation tax bill in the UK of as much as £450 million, according to recently filed accounts for subsidiary company Google UK Limited. The accounts show none of the search engine’s advertising revenues from British customers were accounted for in the business, despite operations in London and Manchester While much of the costs linked to the running of Google’s British operations are recognised for tax purposes in the UK. Revenues from customers in Britain, however, are diverted to another Google company in Ireland, where the corporation tax rate is between 10% and 25%, while UK corporation tax is levied at between 28 and 30%

The British Pound has begun to recover and bounced back to a high of 1.6251 on Friday following the rise in risk appetite. Analysts predict that Sterling may continue to recover as a recent Bank of England Financial Stability report said the U.K. financial system has become “significantly more stable”. This was credited to the unprecedented steps taken on by the government.

  • Dollar 1.6152
  • Euro 1.1262

Things were pretty brisk on the FTSE 100 approaching the weekend, with

nursing homes group Care UK drawing a lot of attention. The company has been reportedly been considering whether to accept a £275 million pound bid from Bridgepoint which will take them private. Care that runs 60 nursing homes, GP practices and NHS walk-in centres in the UK saw their shares rise 10.5 pence to 430.5 pence on Friday.

Overall U.K. stocks were on a minor downward spiral, with banks leading the way. Lloyds Banking Group Plc and Barclays Plc were are ever leading the way, as the European Central Bank (ECB) increased their estimate of the value of write downs by 13 percent. Lloyds, the 43 percent government-owned bank, lost 4.7 percent to 48.7 pence, to its lowest since July. Barclays, the U.K.’s second biggest bank, slid 3.5 percent to 264.25 pence.

Ryanair surged 5.8 percent to 3.282 Euros after the carrier said it will generate surplus cash for shareholders between 2012 and 2015 after they had suspended their talks with Boeing regarding future aircraft acquisitions.

Also on the up was Aggreko Plc, the world’s biggest provider of mobile power-supply gear. Their shares rallied 7.9 percent after announcing that trading in the fourth quarter was better than it estimated.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index dropped 20.8, or 0.4 percent, to 5,196.81. The FTSE 100 fell 1.2 percent this week. The gauge has still rebounded 48 percent since March and is heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997 as central banks cut interest rates to record lows and governments worldwide committed about $12 trillion to revive the economy.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up to 10, 328.61 while the NASDAQ was stable on 2,211.69

GM says it has failed to sell its Swedish car brand Saab and will begin "an orderly wind-down of Saab operations".

GM had been in talks with the Dutch specialty car maker Spyker over a sale. Talks with Sweden’s Koenigsegg also fell through earlier this year.

GM has been trying to sell Saab as part of its turnaround plans since January. Dutch luxury car maker Spyker has submitted a new offer to General Motors (GM) for its Swedish car brand Saab.

Spyker has submitted a new 11-point proposal to GM, addressing the issues that ended talks.

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Looks like it’s going to be a stay-at-home Christmas as transports strike spreads.

December 18th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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Heathrow baggage handlers and Eurostar train drivers have said they are ready to join British Airways cabin crew and strike in the lead-up to Christmas. Following a breakdown in talks with managers over pay, British Eurostar drivers announced they will go on strike on Friday and Saturday. Unite, the union representing BA cabin crew, said the 500 baggage handlers and check-in staff it covered at Heathrow and Aberdeen airports also planned to strike over pay from Tuesday 24th December, the same day that BA cabin crew are set to commence their 12-day strike action.

Meanwhile an operation is under way to recover the UK thousands of people left stranded after Flyglobespan, Scotland’s biggest airline, collapsed. After their parent company, Globespan, entered administration on Wednesday. Around 4,500 passengers were stranded by the airline’s collapse, mostly in Spain, Portugal, Cyprus and Egypt, with the Civil Aviation Authority expected to be repatriating about 1,100 of those stuck overseas.

A recent poll has shown that UK business leaders have become more gloomy about the recovery of the British economy over the last month, with only 36 percent of business leaders sensing that a financial recovery is in the offing, down from 49 percent in November.

The survey, taken in the five days after Finance Minister Alistair Darling’s pre-budget report last week, found the number of business leaders who had confidence in Darling had fallen five percentage points to 20 percent following the statement. Almost three-quarters of businessmen reckoned that Darling was "out of his depth" while less than a quarter believed he "understands business".

Public sector net borrowing in the UKs hit a record high of £20.3 billion in November, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics.

The public sector net debt as a percentage of overall UK economic output now stands at 60.2%, a considerably rise since the start of the financial crisis.

UK insurance companies also have little positive to report about, with worldwide premium income plunging 18% in 2008 to £215.3 billion, with 2009 also looking to be a fairly tough year. The financial crisis has had a definite effect on insurance rates, with premium income it falling almost 25% to £168.1 billion in 2008. The first nine months of this year, however, do show some promise. Long-term premium income was off 35% relative to the same period in 2008, but general insurance premiums gained 8% to £47.2 billion, mostly due to overseas business.

Virgin Group controlled by billionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson have announced the launch of a new company, designed to come to the rescue of consumers experiencing technical problems with their such as PCs as well as wireless networks not connecting. The opening of this new company, to be known as Virgin Digital Help, is Virgin’s up’s first new UK company in three years offers free online self-help guides such as "speed up" to make computers go faster, or "get connected" to fix links to printers or wireless networks .

Shareholders in Punch Taverns revolted on Wednesday over the pay for executives at Britain’s largest pub owner, voting against its remuneration policies, in one of the biggest shareholder protests over pay this year. 55 per cent of votes on the remuneration policies of the heavily indebted company were cast against them as shareholders objected to the scale of the awards given to executives in a year in which the group suspended dividend payments after its annual pre-tax loss quintupled to £406 million. While the vote on pay was advisory only, a spokesman for Punch announced that they are to conduct “a full review of the remuneration policy and its future implementation” in the wake of the result. The ABI, which represents shareholders that account for about 20 per cent of investments in the UK stock market, signalled its objection to the pay policies by issuing a “red top” alert to its members. Under a long-term incentive plan, Giles Thorley, chief executive, and three other executives were awarded shares worth 200 per cent of their base salary that would vest if total shareholder returns were in the top quartile of the company’s peers over three years. Mr Thorley earned a base salary of £525,000 during the 2008 financial year to August 23. The vote at the annual meeting came after the company warned slowing food sales and patchy trading at its leased estate were depressing profits. Punch shares fell 4.7 per cent to 77.3 pence.

Carphone Warehouse, broadband group TalkTalk and Channel 4 have opted into a joint venture between the BBC, ITV RTL’s AUDK.LU Five and BT to install internet video on television sets. The backing from all public service broadcasters and the UK’s two biggest broadband providers for the project to be known as Project Canvas will help it "secure the future of free-to-air broadcasting" in the Internet age. The venture partners will share an estimated £115 million in yearly costs over the next four years.

Rentokil Initial was among the talking points in the London market on Wednesday, with the stock registering its biggest gain since July.

The pest control-to-package delivery group bounced 4.8 per cent to 105 pence ahead of its relegation from the FTSE 100 next week, with Rentokil management already hinting of a further £150 million of cost savings expected for next year.

Shares in the U.K.’s second-largest drug-maker AstraZeneca Plc climbed 0.5 percent to 2,843 pence after they won a U.S. panel’s backing to expand use of the cholesterol pill Crestor in the prevention of heart disease, a move that, if allowed, could add up to £300 million in annual sales.

Imperial Tobacco Group Plc Europe’s second- largest publicly traded cigarette company, lost 1 percent to 1,894 pence on threat that Japan, the fifth-largest tobacco market, are about to announce further tax increases on cigarettes . U.K. furnishings and clothes chain known for floral pattern Laura Ashley Holdings Plc added 3.8 percent to 13.75 pence, after analysts predicted a better 2010 for the company.

Barclays, Britain’s second-largest bank, slid 6.2 percent to 273.85 pence. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe biggest, fell 3.5 percent to 684.1 pence.

Lloyds, the 43 percent government-owned bank, lost 8.1 percent to 51.1 pence, the steepest slump since May. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc fell 3.5 percent to 30.74 pence.

Sterling lost ground against the dollar and improved against the Euro in sluggish mid week trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6167
  • Pound/Euro 1.1273

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index slid 102.65, or 1.9 percent, to 5,217.61. The index has rebounded 49 percent since March and is heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997 as central banks cut interest rates to record lows and governments worldwide committed about $12 trillion to revive the economy

As had been widely expected, the Federal Reserve have announced that US interest rates will be kept on hold at between 0% and 0.25%, despite continuing signs that the US economy is recovering. The central bank reiterated that rates would stay at the low level for an "extended period".

The Fed’s hand was strengthened by official data showing earlier on Wednesday that US inflation remains under control, rising by just 0.4% in November, as had been predicted.

With inflation continuing to be low, the Fed is not under pressure to increase interest rates as a means to tackle any inflationary pressure.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped more than 130 points to 10, 33.61 while the NASDAQ also dropped to 2,183.55.

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Darling still not blinking on banks.

December 16th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, VAT, World Banks

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Despite threats from major banking groups that they will move key staff abroad, the signs are that Alistair Darling has no intention of watering down his plans to levy a 50 percent super tax on bank bonuses. Apparently the Financial Services Authority (FSA) has already spoken to several smaller banks telling them that they will have to curb bonus payments if they do not do enough to increase their capital holdings with the FSA’s squeeze on bonus payments extending beyond the partially-nationalised Lloyds Banking Group and Royal Bank of Scotland. A recent poll has shown that while the general public are in favour of taxing bonuses, a large percentage feel that the bankers will find a way out of their noose Many feel that the recently announced banking bonus tax is unlikely to raise any significant funds for the UK government and is being used as more of a political pawn coming up to the impending general election.

According to a recent survey from the Bank of England , British consumer spending looks likely to falter in the coming months, as around a quarter of UK households admit that they have switched their fiscal emphasis to saving more, because of growing uncertainty about the long term economic outlook for the country. In addition, the survey shows an increasing proportion of households who were having trouble keeping up to p date with bills and loan repayments has fallen slightly in 2009, in spite of the economic downturn

This little snippet of optimistic news was tempered by the announcement that the rate of inflation has risen to 1.9% in November from 1.5% in October, with the principal cause being the rising cost of petrol. Prices at the pumps rose by 2.9 pence to 108.3 pence a liter in November, compared with a record 9.3 pence fall to 95.2 pence this month last year.

The Office for National Statistics predicted that the consumer prices index (CPI), is expected to rise to 3% or more early next year when the temporary VAT cut is reversed and prices across the board will take a significant increase.

On the same somber note, predictions are that the recovery in the U.K. housing market recovery is liable to come to an end in 2010 as the supply of second hand homes on the market will increase.

Average asking prices are expected to, at best, stand still next year after rising about 2 percent in 2009. Property prices have fallen 2.2 percent this month alone to an average of £220,000 and look likely to drop again in January. What can keep property prices stable is that if the banks show “more forbearance” to consumers who are late on mortgage payments, which after the general election seems increasingly unlikely.

Strike threatened British Airways have announced that they are exploring "all options" to help it cope with the impact of the planned 12-day strike by cabin crew, to be held over the traditionally active Christmas period. Currently up to one million passengers are facing the real e prospect of having their journeys canceled as a result of the strike action by Unite members.

Cabin crew voted nine to one in favor of strikes from 22 December over job cuts and staffing level with BA insisting that they will not climb down on its decision to reduce cabin crew numbers, which is at the heart of the dispute.

Also showing that now is the season for warnings are US food giant Kraft Foods, who have warned Cadbury’s shareholders that they are "taking a risk" if they continue to support Cadbury as a standalone company. They have rushed to claim that their proposed takeover of Cadbury would deliver cost savings and deliver "substantially more value" to Cadbury’s shareholders.

Cadbury has consistently urged shareholders to reject Kraft’s hostile bid, tempting them with the prospect of rival bids, promised dividends and stronger growth. Roger Carr, Cadbury chairman has announced that both Hershey and Italy’s Ferrero had both indicated they were contemplating bids, adding serious negotiations would only start if a compelling and fully-financed offer emerged.

A seasonal rise in DIY sales has given B&Q a recent boost but not enough to prevent owner Kingfisher from issuing a warning that economic and political uncertainty will have an effect on the company in 2010.

Kingfisher shares were lifted by news its UK and Ireland sales were up 4.4% in sales in the third quarter, pushing retail profit up by almost 27%, with a 6.3% improvement in sales at B&Q. with sales of big-ticket items such as kitchens and electrical appliances jumping by 27%.

On the FTSE 100, it was reported that Advent International is offering to buy the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc s’ Global Merchant Services unit in a deal worth £3 billion pounds. The news caused their stock to rise 2.5 percent, to 30.56 pence.

The public transport company National Express Group Plc is to mount a £360 million pound rights issue after the Cosmen family agreed to the deal, the issue is designed to reduce company debt after a slump in rail revenue. Share values declined 1.1 percent, to 182.3 pence.

PartyGaming Plc, the online-gambling brand is reported to be in merger talks with Austria’s Bwin Interactive Gaming AG. On the news, their shares rose 2.1 percent to 256.5 pence.

Operators of the Premier Inn budget-hotel chain, Whitbread Plc are scheduled to publish a trading statement. In anticipation of positive news, shares in the company rose 3.1 percent, to close on 1,330 pence.

Vodafone Group Plc has announced plans to sell their 4.39 percent indirect holding in India’s Bharti Airtel Ltd. Shares in the World’s largest mobile phone company rose 0.4 percent, to 141.55 pence.

Standard Chartered Plc, the U.K. bank that gets most of its profit in emerging markets, rallied 4.3 percent. London Stock Exchange Group Plc, whose largest shareholder is Borse Dubai Ltd., jumped 9.9 percent. Lonmin Plc, the world’s third-biggest platinum producer, led gains in mining shares.

Sterling gained ground against the dollar and Euro in sluggish mid week trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6259
  • Pound/Euro 1.1188

The FTSE 100 Index rose 17.2 points to close on 5,261.57. The index has shown a 50 percent recovery since March and looks to be heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997.

U.K. stocks climbed, led by financial shares, after Abu Dhabi provided $10 billion to avert a default by Dubai’s Nakheel PJSC. The FTSE 100 Index rose 23.77 points to 5,285. 77

US President Barack Obama speaking after a meeting, described as "candid" with executives of some of America’s top banks, announced that he has told bankers to increase loans to small and medium-size businesses.

He went on to add that US banks had received extraordinary assistance and demanded they show extraordinary commitment to rebuild the US economy.

The meeting with executives from Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase and Citigroup, among others, came after the president said he had not run for office to help out "a bunch of fat cat bankers on Wall Street".

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped just nine points to 10,462.66 while the NASDAQ raised a little to close on 2,209.82.

US bank Well Fargo has announced that they are to re pay back £15 billion emergency funding it received under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (Tarp). Following hot on the heels of a similar one by Citigroup, Wells Fargo are the last leading institution to repay Tarp funding, marking a key step towards recovery for the US financial system.

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Surprise us! UK economy in unhealthy state says Darling.

November 30th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, World Banks

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Chancellor Alistair Darling will say in his pre-Budget report that the economy performed worse in 2009 than he first predicted, Treasury sources have said.

Darling is expected to say that the UK economy shrank by 4.75% this year – more than the 3.5% originally forecast in the Budget in March.

The adjustment follows the economy’s unexpectedly poor performance in the first three months of the year. The chancellor looks likely to stick to 2010 forecasts of growth between 1-1.5%, despite the emergence of Dubai’s financial problems which now raises fresh fears that UK banks could face more write-downs on bad debts, and chimes with warnings earlier this week from the International Monetary Fund, who said that global banks had only worked through half their toxic assets since the banking crisis broke two years ago. Investors had been hoping the British financial sector had worked through much its toxic debt, which included exposure to America’s sub-prime mortgage market.

Despite this week’s setbacks, economic analysts continue to predict that the UK economy should emerge from recession by the end of the year, with the Northern Ireland and Scotland facing a more challenging recovery. The prediction came as revised gross domestic product (GDP) figures showed the UK recession was shallower than previously thought between July and September. Revised estimates from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed a 0.3% fall in UK output in the third quarter, compared with the 0.4% slide originally stated. While UK business confidence surveys on the "mainland" bear out signs of recovery, Northern Ireland business activity continued to fall in October, albeit at the slowest rate since the start of 2008. The reasons apparently are local margins remaining under pressure, is that the manufacturing sector in the province is still reporting a lack of demand and heavy competition in difficult markets. The combination of these factors looks like meaning Northern Ireland will likely lag the UK recovery. Scotland’s growth will continue to lag behind the rest of the UK’s, according to a leading economic think tank. Similar sources also announced that they had observed some "disturbing weaknesses" in the Scottish economy and predicted growth of -4.9% this year and 0.7% in 2010. Job cuts are expected to continue, with the unemployment rate reaching as high as 8% in 2010. The only prescription for growth for both Northern Ireland and Scotland would be to switch to a more export-led economy, exploiting global markets

Jaguar Land Rover had seen its sales rise 23% in the second quarter after its new models were well-received.

Owner Tata Motors said new products such as the upgraded Range Rover, Range Rover Sport and Discovery 4 had had successful launches.

Although Jaguar Land Rover made a net loss of £60 million in the July-September quarter, it was much less than the £240 million loss it made a year earlier.

India’s Tata Motors made a net profit of £2.8 million in the third quarter of, 2008, compared with a loss of £127,000 for the same period last year.

Borders U.K., the bookstore chain once owned by U.S.- based Borders Group Inc., has called in administrators after failing to find a buyer for its stores. A total of 1,150 employees are affected, according to the statement.

“All stores currently remain open for business as normal whilst the administrators undertake a review of the company’s affairs and seek a purchaser for all or some of the company’s stores in which there has already been interest,” Philip Duffy, principal administrator announced in a statement.

U.K. media have reported that HMV Group Plc’s Waterstone’s books chain is considering buying some of the stores. A spokesman for HMV declined to comment on this when contacted by Bloomberg News earlier.

The steep advertising downturn pushed U.K. publisher Daily Mail & General Trust PLC’s into a net loss for its full fiscal year, as management focused on cutting costs and its £1.05 billion ($1.76 billion) debt pile, but the company said there are signs that trading conditions are improving.

Daily Mail, which publishes the Daily Mail and its sister Sunday paper and the Metro free-sheet, posted a net loss of £303.4 million for the 12 months ended Oct. 4, compared to zero net profit a year earlier.

According to brokers, Thursday’s activity on the FTSE was very similar to when Lehman Brothers collapsed, warning that Dubai’s problems could be the catalyst for the market to fall further. RBS, which is 70 per owned by the UK taxpayer, fell 7.8 per cent, wiping off £1.73 billion of its market value. Barclays lost 8 per cent, cutting its capitalisation by £2.65 billion. HSBC fell 4.8 per cent losing £6.2 billion of its value and Lloyds Banking Group lost 5.6 per cent, wiping off £1.5 billion.

All in all around £44 billion was wiped off London’s biggest companies amid growing fears the UK financial sector could be heavily exposed to Dubai World, the state-owned conglomerate which yesterday asked for a standstill on its £36 billion debt pile. The FTSE 100 tumbled 170.68 points or more than 3 per cent to 5194.1 in its biggest one-day percentage fall since the market plunged to six-year lows in March. Encouragingly enough, the exchange recovered well on Friday, closing on 5245.73.

The pound declined against the dollar after a drop in stocks across the world prompted investors to sell U.K. assets and on speculation the government will downgrade its forecast for the economy. Sterling slipped to the weakest level since Nov. 3 against the U.S. currency as the MSCI World Index declined for a second day after Dubai’s attempt to reschedule its debt continued to rattle investors.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6553
  • Pound/Euro 1.10996
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 142.7188
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6565

US shares have fallen on worries about Dubai’s debt problems, with the Dow Jones ending down 154 points, or 1.5%, at 10,309.92, in a shorter trading day.

It was the first chance for markets in the US to react to news that state-owned Dubai World had asked for more time to repay its debts.

US markets were closed for a holiday on Thursday when other world markets suffered steep losses.

The Dow Jones average dropped 154.58 points on Friday’s trading to close on 10309.92 The NASDAQ lost 37.61 points to close on 2138.44

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BOE takes a more optimistic view of UK economy.

November 13th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England (BOE) has taken an about turn on his previous forecasts for economic growth in the UK in the coming two years, He tampers his newly found optimism with forecasts that any recovery in the UK economy will be both slow and unstable, largely because of the slow rate of industrial output which has been endemic since early 2008. King was quoted as saying that "Britain was facing a prolonged period of balance sheet adjustment” as households, businesses and government understandably rein in spending to levels they can afford. The BOE in its most recent quarterly inflation report has forecast growth rates of 2.1 per cent for 2010 and 4 per cent for 2011, making for a major upward revision from their own forecasts in August, of 1.9 per cent and 3 per cent for 2010 and 2011 respectively. The bank’s forecasts are also much higher than the outlook of private sector economists and even the UK Treasury’s predictions. Mervyn King.

Presenting the Bank’s latest quarterly inflation report, King predicted that the UK economy has "only just started" along its road to economic recovery, and lending by commercial banks would "probably remain weak over the next three years". The governor also predicted during his speech that inflation may "rise sharply over the next few months", triggered by VAT returning to 17.5% on 1 January 2010 as well as the effects of ever increasing fuel costs.

According to data from the Office for National Statistics, unemployment in the UK rose at its slowest rate for 18 months. Yet another signal that the UK economy may finally be on the verge of returning to growth in the fourth quarter of 2009. The level of employment in the UK is recorded through a complicated series of measures. Figures from the ILO (International Labour Organisation) showed that the number of people without a job, rose by 30,000 in the three months to September, bringing the total unemployed to 2.461 million, which was the smallest rise recorded since the second quarter of 2008. Unemployment levels in the UK now stand at 7.8%, which is 0.2% lower than most economic forecasts.

Lloyds Banking Group has announced that they plan increase the amount of fresh capital that they intend to raise by £1.5 billion, from £21 billion to £22.5 billion. The increase came in response to demands by the bank’s bondholders for a larger allocation of the contingent convertible instruments (CoCos). The news of the interested in CoCos was especially encouraging for the US Federal Reserve who is reportedly in talks with Wall Street executives over whether US financial groups should also use this method to raise capital. In the case of the Lloyds CoCos, they would be convertible if their equity strength falls from its current level of 8.6 per cent to below 5 per cent.

British Airways (BA) has announced that they are in advanced talks with and Spanish airline Iberia over some form of merger. Both companies are expected to hold separate board meetings at the earliest opportunity to discuss final details of the merger

In an official statement, representatives of BA hastened to point out that the meetings would consider the potential transaction, and that firm decisions had yet to been taken, and there were no guarantees that a deal would take place. Iberia has leaked that the deal under discussion would give it 45% and BA 55% of a new merged company. The firms have considered a tie-up for a number of years, and held talks on the issue in July 2008. BA chief executive Willie Walsh has previously said that a merger would help both firms in the current economic climate. Reports of the imminent merger sent British Airways shares higher, climbing 7.5 percent to 215 pence.

Share in telecoms operator BT Group, rose 3.7 per cent to 147 pence after they announced that they will be raising their full-year revenue outlook and dividend forecast for 2009. Thanks to a series of cost cutting measures including cutting back on 15,000 jobs, BT increased their second-quarter earnings to more than £900 million. The positive outlook for BT came as they announced along with their second quarter results that they are to raise their total cost-savings target for 2009/2010 from £1 billion to £1.5 billion.

The world’s largest owner of shopping malls Westfield Group have announced that retail sales in October at their UK centres in the U.K. have risen at the fastest pace in seven years, amounting to 3.7 percent in the three months. The company also reported that the number of stores closing in their centers has also fallen since steadily since the second quarter.

According to a recent statement, Westfield’s London shopping complex, which opened at the height of the global financial crisis last year, has attracted some 20 million visitors and has signed more than 15 new tenants.

Sterling continued to lose ground on Thursday trading falling against all the major currencies, with the notable exception of the Japanese yen.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6553
  • Pound/Euro 1.1136
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 150.0166
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6842

The FTSE 100 continues to gain strength, up 46 points to 5,276.55. The FTSE 250 also rose, up 175 points to 9,295.92.

In the US, fears continued to be voiced that, "the ‘real’ economy, as opposed to the financial one is still struggling to recover" and that if the government withdrew its stimulus spending measures, the economy could take some major steps backwards. The Dow Jones indexes erratic behaviour over the last few weeks as well as an already depressed job market seems to indicate the fact.

Meanwhile US Treasury secretary Tim Geithner, continue to voice his belief in the importance of a strong dollar, His statement came as the dollar dropped to its 15-month low. The continuing weakness of the World’s staple currency has led to some concern over the future of the dollar in its traditional role in the global economy. According to Geithner, the United States bears a special responsibility for trying to make sure that their global policies will sustain investors in the currency.

His words of comfort helped Wall Street very little, as the Dow Jones lost some of its earlier gains of this week, down 19 points to 10227.92. The NASDAQ made a minor increase, up six points 2157.17.

Warnings continue to come from the International Energy Agency (IEA) that the recent rises in oil prices "risks derailing the recovery" if they continue, whilst. Pointing out that demand for the "black gold" itself would slow down if price rises continue in 2010. The price of oil is now around $79 dollars a barrel, representing a rise of 77% so far this year. The IEA "in their monthly report, pointed their finger at China who they say are driving up demand, causing them to revised upwardly revise their forecasts. Overall the organisation predicts a 1.6% increase in demand for oil, up to 86.2 million barrels a day.

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UK economy still in recession.

October 26th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Retail, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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The UK economy was stunned back on its heels on Friday when the eagerly awaited GDP figures were announced. They showed that the UK economy had contracted by 0.4% for the third quarter instead of showing growth of 0.2% that had been. This news means that tat the UK remains in recession. Despite recent euphoria, this setback means that the UK gross domestic product (GDP) has contracted for six consecutive quarters, for the first time since quarterly figures were first released more than half a century ago. However officials from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have hastened to state that the figures are not final and could still be subject to revision, as they are only the first estimate. There were some recent indications that the expected growth would not be met in the period including July to September, including negative growth in retail sales during September, and a 2.5% decline in industrial output in August.

Sterling fell by more than one percent after it transpired that analysts had incorrectly forecast that the economy would emerge from recession aid record quarterly growth of 0.2 percent. The pound lost some ground against the dollar, while strengthening against the Euro.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6307
  • Pound/Euro 1.10879
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 150.1223
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6758

The FTSE 100 recovered a little of Thursday’s losses, as attention turned to economic data thought likely to show an end to recession in the UK. Despite news to the contrary, the index stood its ground, up 35.21 points to close on 5242.57. The FTSE 250 25 wound up a week of constant fluctuations up just 4.74 points to 9323.65.

The number of US bank failures so far in 2009 has reached more the 100 mark. The figure was reached after US federal regulators shut down a trio of small Florida banks. So far bank failures have cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) fund an estimated $25 billion this year, with

More US banks having failed this year than in any year since 1992.

Microsoft, the US software giant announced their third quarter profits were higher than analysts predicted. The company put this down to a mixture of cost-cutting and stronger consumer demand.

Shares of Microsoft rose by 7.9 per cent to $28.68 in pre-market trading.

Despite Microsoft’s success, the Dow Jones took a major tumble before the weekend, down 109.12 points to fall below the 10,000 barrier again, closing on 9972.18. The NASDAQ Composite index dropped a little, down 10.82 points to close on 2,154.47

Sales of previously-owned US homes unexpectedly rose in September, reaching their highest level since 2007.The National Association of Realtors announced that sales had risen by 9.4% last month, making for an annual rate of 5.57 million, up from 5.09 million in August. Analysts were taken by surprise, as they had sales to reach 5.35 million units in September. Meanwhile, the average sale price dropped to £106,937 ($174,900), 8.5% down from a year ago, making for the smallest annual drop in 13 months

Crude oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel on Thursday after reaching a fresh 2009 high of $82 during the previous session. Gold prices also softened after recent strong gains, trading at an average of $1,058 an ounce

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Weak inflation to hit state pensions.

October 16th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Money Management, Pensions, Recession, Saving, UK Banks, savings accounts

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Millions of members of the UK community of retirees are looking at the dim prospect of receiving a pension hike of less than ten pounds a month when the new rates kick-in in April 2010 The reason for the minimal increase is that UK inflation on which pension rises are calculated. Is considerably less than the minimum of 2.5%. government pledge to annually increase the state pension.

Instead, recently released figures from the Office for National Statistics show that UK retail prices index registered actually recorded a fall of 1.4% for the year ending September 2008. This means that both state and public sector pensions, both of which are calculated according to September inflation, will reach only the minimum figure of 2.5%.

A spokesman for the charity, Age Concern rushed to state that at £97.65 a week the basic state pension was seriously inadequate to guarantee the UK elderly a reasonable standard of living. Thy went on to insist that the current pension system is in need of urgent reform that will ensure older people can live off their pensions without having to apply for benefit top ups.

A monthly study has shown that living costs for pensioners are rising at a rate much higher than those for younger people, with the elderly spend a disproportionate amount on energy bills and food.

This daunting piece of news for UK retirees is only the latest in a line of unexpected pitfalls they will have to bear. Recent studies have shown that not only are many Britons are dramatically reshaping their retirement plans to match a new reality. A reality that depicts those who were due to retire in the near future, are putting off their retirement for as long as possible as the reality hits home that those who are retiring today will need to live off less than what represents half of the UK national average wage.

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House prices rise again in September.

October 8th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

For the third consecutive month of increase, UK housing prices have increased. They are reported to have risen by as much as 1.6% in September. Housing prices in the UK continue to remain considerably lower than in September 2008, as much as 7.4 percent. However since the end of 2008, prices have grown by 1.7 percent as increased demand and reduced inventory have combined to push housing prices up, especially in the recent months. House prices increased by 2.8% in the third quarter of 2009, making for the first rise since the third quarter of 2007, and the largest percentage growth since the first quarter of the same year. The increased demand for property is believed to stems from improved affordability, and the reduction in both interest rates.

It may come to pass that the U.K.’s largest government-controlled bank, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS) may have to surrender more than ten percent of their one million small business customers, The reason being that the European Commission has imposed a penalty on the RBS for receiving billions of pounds of state aid. Currently it is reported that the RBS, in a move designed to reduce their credit card risk portfolio are only issuing new cards to existing clients.

The Office for National Statistics has announced that U.K. manufacturing output has slumped 1.9% from the month in August whilst dropping 11.3% on a yearly basis. The wider industrial production measure fell 2.5% from July and slid 11.2% from August 2008.

The FTSE 100 rose by 2.26 percent on yesterday’s trading, or 113.65 points to close on 5137.98. The FTSE 250 was still on the rise, but at a reduced pace, closing up a further 25.12 points to close for the day on 9,226.35.

The pound made a minor recovery against the leading currencies, while continuing to hover around $1.60. The Sterling’s latest bout of weakness surrounding Sterling began after UK industrial production was shown to have slumped in August. Additional statistics released on Wednesday show that corporate profitability in the UK had deteriorated for a fifth successive quarter and is standing at its lowest level since 2001.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.5958
  • Pound/Euro 1.10863
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 141.422
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.64861

Europe’s largest discount airline, Ryanair Holdings Plc set aside as being of “no substance” recent reports claiming that the company is preparing to take control of Aer Lingus Group Plc through a rights issue. In another sign of the advantage that short-haul, low-cost carriers such as EasyJet hold over long-haul flag carriers during the current downturn, the company announced that it had handled more than 4.4 million passengers in September, an increase of 5.3 per cent over the corresponding month in 2008. The increase, the largest since April, was well above the 4.7 per cent rise the airline recorded in August, traditionally one of its busiest months. In any event, stock in EasyJet fell 0.3 percent, to 3.38 Euros.

According to Sir Terry Leahy, chief executive of Tesco, the worst is over for the UK economy as well as for the U.K.’s premier food retailer. Sir Terry’s revelation came after Tesco’s announced pre-tax profit for the first half of its financial year rose that had risen by 1 per cent to £1.42 billion. Sir Terry prediction is that that the UK would see a “slow and steady recovery” as the money pumped into the economy to stimulate it had to be paid back. He added that uncertainties over the financial outlook for 2010, such as public sector cuts, the proposed increase in value added tax and the threat of rising unemployment, would not be sufficient to prevent “a gradual recovery. Sir Terry also defended Tesco’s performance in the US, where its Fresh & Easy chain has reported losses of £85 million in the six months to the end of August. Shares in Tesco rose 0.4 percent, to 391.4 pence.

The management team at Matalan have reportedly held several meetings over the past few weeks to examine strategic options for the discount clothing and home-ware retailer. Subjects on the agenda included the possible sale of the company during 2010 with an asking price of around £1.5 billion pounds. If a sale was to go through, and discussions are at a very early stage, company founder John Hargreaves would be liable to realise hundreds of millions of pounds in profits from the sale. Matalan have invested significant sums of money in revamping their 200 UK stores have reported solid profits for June.

Shares in Vodafone, the World’s largest mobile phone service providers were under pressure for a second day, dropping 2 per cent to 137 pence. The share price fall could be attributed to a culmination of factors, among them, fears of a price war in India, and analyst’s predictions that AT&T was considering opening their mobile network to third-party voice applications such as Skype. A move that would put pressure on Vodafone’s Verizon Wireless division to emulate.

In the year to 30 September, the US budget deficit more than tripled to a record £877 billion ($1.4 trillion) according to US Congress estimate figures recently released. Analysts had previously predicted a slightly higher deficit but later revised their estimate, which has been attributed to increased government spending coupled with a huge drop in tax revenues. The actual deficit will be released by the Treasury Department later this month.

The Dow Jones index dropped a little on yesterday’s trading, closing on 9725.58, down 5.67 points. The NASDAQ index continued to rise, but at a slower pace, up just 6.76 points to close on 2,110.33.

The White House have announced that it was weighing policy options designed to create new jobs to ease the burden on America’s unemployed, currently numbering more than 15 million. A spokesman for the President hasted to rule out speculation that a second stimulus to provide a further boost to the US economy was on the cards. The majority of US economists believe that the country was on track to move out of recession. However the black cloud of increasing unemployment is hanging over the picture, with unemployment figures hitting 9.8 per cent, the highest rate since 1982.

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RBS want to keep the UK government at bay.

September 21st, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Gold, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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Royal Bank of Scotland is considering approaching the market for extra money to avoid handing more control to the government. The bank, now 70% owned by taxpayers, is preparing to join the government’s Asset Protection Scheme (APS) to stop some toxic investments going bad. But it is also considering asking shareholders to invest further to prevent the government’s stake rising to a possible 84.5% if it insured all its bad assets with the APS.

According to official figures released on Friday, the UK government posted a record budget deficit for an August as the recession continues to bite into government tax receipts, The Office for National Statistics said the public sector net cash requirement (PSNCR) stood at £10.379 billion in August. That was lower than the 12 billion pounds expected by analysts but still twice the level of the same month a year ago and a record for the month of August. July’s PSNCR was also revised up by some £1.5 billion. The government’s preferred accruals-based measure, public sector net borrowing came in at £16.119 billion s, also weaker than expected and a record high for August, versus £9.876 billion pounds in 2008.

The flow of net lending to companies fell in July by the largest sum on record, according to a statement issued by the Bank of England on Friday. The figures provide further indication that more action may be needed to get credit flowing in the UK economy.

On a more positive note, mortgage approvals by major UK lenders rose in August for the seventh consecutive month to 57,000 from 53,000 in July. The net flow of lending to UK businesses fell £15.5 billion in July after a £3.6 billion pounds fall in June, making for the largest single decline since 1998.

UK Business Secretary Peter Mandelson has called on the European Union to intervene to prevent governments using state aid as a bargaining chip to protect jobs during Magna International Inc.’s takeover of General Motors Co.’s EU plants. Mandelson has joined the list of European politicians concerned that a German plan to provide €3 billion in loan guarantees to support the GM-Magna deal will sway the company. As the carmaker struggles with overcapacity, Magna has said it plans to cut about 10,500 jobs.

According to senior officials at the State Bank of India,(SBI) India’s largest lender, are looking at acquisitions of up to $1 billion in the UK and expect to maintain a 40 per cent growth rate in its UK business.

The bank’s overseas business plans, expected to be driven by both expansion and acquisitions, include the opening of 40 overseas branches, according to SBI chairman OP Bhatt. The bank was looking at all regions of the World, including the UK, for acquisitions. Besides the UK, the regions where the bank plans to open new branches include North America, Bangladesh and Nepal, where its subsidiary will set up 11 more outfits. It will open five more in branches in the UK by June next year and make London a hub for its European operations to boost international business. At present, the lender has seven branches in the UK and plan to open another, hopefully in October.Currently, the UK contributes over $3 billion to SBI’s turnover.

British Sky Broadcasting has accused the media regulator of making elementary errors in an official review of the pay-television market, and said that Ofcom, the independent regulator and competition authority for the UK communications industries, was exceeding its powers. BSkyB delivered its detailed response to the regulator’s findings that it should sell its most valuable content, including Premier League football and first-run films, to rivals at prices set by Ofcom. In the document, the broadcaster accuses the regulator of producing a financial analysis is fundamentally flawed, as well as challenging Ofcom’s right to even rule on the case, that has taken two years to decide. The pay-TV review was prompted by a complaint from four of BSkyB’s competitors, Top-Up TV, BT Vision, Virgin Media and the now defunct Setanta.

The biscuit group that makes Jammie Dodgers and Wagon Wheels, Burton’s Foods have been taken over by its lenders in a debt restructuring move that leaves Duke Street Capital, its private equity owner, nursing a considerable loss. The fate of Duke Street’s investment in Burton’s comes just over two years after its plans to close one of the biscuit maker’s factories caused the private equity group to be invited to a parliamentary inquiry for questioning.

On the FTSE Standard Life rose 1.8 per cent to 283 pence after Goldman added the insurer to its “buy” list.

Leading property stocks were higher. British Land gained 3.3 per cent to 528 pence after completing the sale of half its Broadgate development to Blackstone. Hammerson followed, gaining 2.6 per cent to 439½ pence.

The UK’s FTSE 100 index continued to climb but at a slower pace , rising 8.94 points to close at 5172.89, making for a 3.2 per cent gain for the week.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 lost almost all of its previous day’s gains on Friday, falling 57.15 points to wrap up for the weekend on 9,306.93

The dollar fell to fresh one-year lows this week as rising risk appetite stemmed haven demand for the US currency. Continued improvement in sentiment encouraged investors to abandon the low-yielding dollar to seek higher returns elsewhere. The pound continued to lose value against the main currencies on Friday’s trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6271
  • Pound/Euro 1.1059
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 148.7878
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6751

Another two US banks have been closed by the federal regulator, taking the total number of American banking failures this year to 94.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), which controls the banking sector, has shut Irwin Union Bank & Trust and Irwin Union Bank.

The move comes after their parent firm – Irwin Financial – was unable to meet an FDIC demand to boost their capital.

The failure of the two banks is likely to cost the FDIC £522 million.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to move upwards towards the weekend , up 36.28 points at 9,820.2. The NASDAQ consolidated a little, up 6.11 points to 2132.86.

Gold dominated trading this week with bullion inching towards its record high of $1,030.80 a troy ounce set in March 2008.

It reached $1,023.85 on Thursday but was back to $1,012 on Friday, up 0.7 per cent on the week. It found support from dollar weakness and concerns about the outlook for inflation.

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