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Darling’s budget sparks off election fever

March 29th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Uncategorized

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Much as he tried to keep a low profile on the subject, Chancellor Alistair Darling’s budget speech on Wednesday had a definite pre-election feel to it as were most of the measures taken, with the useful suspects of cigarettes, spirits and petrol taking their usual pounding, but to varying degrees.

No sooner than Darling closed his famous red briefcase,

Shadow chancellor George Osborne launched his expected attack, describing Labour’s Budget as being empty and lacking in vision.

In his speech the Chancellor was not slow to point out that Labour’s policies were "bearing fruit" and expressed what appeared to be genuine concerns that if the Tories should get into power their spending cut plans could send the UK back into a much feared "double dip recession".

The Liberal Democrats, who obviously felt that they had to add something to the debate, chipped in with "Labour and the Tories are both in denial about the scale of spending cuts needed".

In his budget speech, Darling did announce that the government will need to borrow less than expected this year to plug the gap in the UK’s finances, with

Net borrowing for the financial year expected to total £167 billion, down from the £178 billion previously forecast. Borrowing this year is still expected to be at a record high – equivalent to 11.8% of GDP.

On the downside, Darling also downgraded his growth forecast for the UK economy.

Fuel duty will rise more slowly than previously planned, with a previously announced 3% rise in fuel duty l now be staggered, with a 1% rise in April, a further 1% rise in October, and then again in January. 2011, with phasing the increase rather than raising fuel duty by 3% immediately will cost £550 million.

UK banks received a number of mentions in Darling’s speech some of which were even favourable. The general underlying theme was that the UK taxpayer will be looking to see the banks move back to profit while increasing their support the economic recovery and improve financial expansion.

Alistair Darling noted that £2 billion had been raised through the 50 per cent one off "super tax" on bankers’ bonuses over £25,000, making for a 400% increase of the original forecast of £550 million. The windfall will largely be spent on further measures to stimulate the economy as well as some to be set aside to subsidies university places.

Other interesting snippets from the budget were that the government will allow tax breaks for companies who run zero-emission cars. Currently employees with a company vehicle for private use are required to pay a tax charge, with the exception of electrically propelled cars. However, the government has pledged to expand the exemption to cover "green cars" with these incentives to come into effect after April 6. Darling also threw in the information that the scheme to fund the deployment of superfast broadband looks likely to cost the industry and the consumer much more than expected, with every telecommunication line be subject to a monthly 50 pence levy on landlines. The government claims the new tax is necessary to ensure superfast broadband reaches suburban and rural areas.

It also appears that in order to partly fund the Budget’s 2.5 billion pound package for small firms, Darling intends to switch £230 million pounds of spending for 2010-11 from the departments for business and transport. The department for business said 1£50 million pounds will be transferred, largely at the expense of the £950 million pound strategic investment fund, which is supposed to provide state financing for strategic growth sectors, such as the civil nuclear industry.

Returning to reality, the UK’s two rail trade unions have announced their plans for four days of strikes to kick-off two days after Easter. If the industrial action from the RMT and the Transport Salaried Staff’s Association does transpire , it could see the UK hold its first national rail strike since the system’s privatisation. However, there is a strong possibility that the strikes will be called off, with negotiations with National Rail, the infrastructure owner, already well under way. .

U.K. engineering-services firm Babcock International have announced their plans to acquire the VT Group for around £1.33 billion pounds, in a mix of cash and stock. The announcement comes after two previous bids had been rejected.

Babcock is to pay 361.6 pence in cash and 0.701 of its own shares for every share in VT Group. As the sale was concluded, the offer was valued at 734.9 pence a share, meaning that Babcock paid a 39% premium to the average closing price over the month VT investors will hold around 36% of the combined company once the deal is completed. On the news shares in VT Group rose 4.4% on the FTSE to 721 pence, while Babcock also posted strong gains, rising 3.8% to 553 pence. A spokesman for Babcock said that they expect the deal to boost their earnings significantly in the first full year after completion.

The pound continues to be a problematic issue in the Forex markets. It closed On Thursday on $1.4863 while the Euro rose a little to on €1.1143.

The FTSE 100 index seemed to be pushed forward by Darling’s budget as well as increased optimism on Greece. It closed up 54 points to 5,727.63.

The House of Representatives put the finishing touches on the overhaul of Obama’s pet Health Care bill by passing a companion package that would make insurance more affordable, raise taxes on the wealthy and close a gap for prescription drug coverage for seniors. The Senate approved the package earlier in the day, which means that it now goes to Obama to sign.

The votes concluded a yearlong political struggle that tied up lawmakers, as well as making for a noticeable dent in Obama’s popularity

However passing the Health Care bill might be causing some problems on Wall Street. The Dow Jones retreated a little after a week of impressive gains; down by 377 points to close on 10841.21 The NASDAQ also dropped 18 points to 2397.41.

Greece seems to be out of trouble, at least for the time being. All of the 16 Eurozone member countries have finally come up with their backing for a financing plan, with some of the funds coming from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The loan will total €22 billion (£20billion), with the condition that it is only to be used if normal market lending facilities to Greece will dry up. According to French President Nicolas Sarkozy, the Eurozone nations would grant bilateral loans, totalling some two-thirds of the funding,

Greek PM George Papandreou was quoted as saying that it was "a very satisfactory" move.

Also breathing sighs of relief are the owners of the Dubai World investment vehicle who have just been granted a £6.4 billion ($9.5 billion) loan help it’s to restructure their debt burden from the Dubai government

Dubai World has presented a plan to restructure $ 23.5 billion of debt to its creditors, with the proposal including converting almost a quarter of the debt into equity. Creditors have now to decide on whether to accept the plan, with analysts predicting that it is as good as it gets. The troubled company stunned global markets in November last year when it asked for a six-month delay on debt repayments.

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Darling blames the financial sector for the UK’s delayed return to growth.

January 29th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Money Management, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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Darling blames the financial sector for the UK’s delayed return to growth.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling has said in a recent interview that the U.K.’s economic recovery is being retarded by the country’s large financial services sector. “I am not surprised that it has taken time for the economy to return to growth,” Darling was quoted as saying. “What is holding us back is the fact that we have a large financial-services sector, which has affected what we produce.”

British Sky Broadcasting Group Plc,(BSB) the U.K.’s biggest pay-television provider, has announced a 3.4 percent increase in first-half operating profit as increased pay-TV and broadband subscribers boosted sales. Earnings for BSB in the six months to Dec. 31 2009 were £401 million ($651 million) up from £388 million in 2008. Turnover rose 10 percent to £2.87 billion for 2009.

Soft drinks and squashes producer Britvic have reported strong first-quarter sales growth, whilst striking a more cautious note about second-quarter trading, partly because of the extremely cold weather conditions experienced across Europe in December and January. Britvic, whose brands include Tango and Robinsons, reported sales of £242.7 million for the 12 weeks to December 20, an increase of 11 per cent on the same period in 2008.

Richard Branson’s financial-services un Virgin Money Holdings U.K. Ltd., it, named former Lloyds TSB Chief Executive Officer Brian Pitman as chairman as it seeks to build a new retail banking group. Financial analysts have credited Pitman with transforming Lloyds TSB into Britain’s most profitable lender before his departure in 2001.

No sooner had the press conference to announce the launch of the new Apple iPad than mobile phone operators in the UK were preparing to open talks with the company regarding the provision of third generation (3G) internet services to the new device when it hits the UK shores. Industry sources said that O2, 3, Vodafone, Orange and T-Mobile are preparing to meet Apple "in the next week" Apple is expected to ship the Wi-Fi only versions of the iPod to the UK in March, while the 3G versions will go on sale in the US "and selected countries" in April. Apple chief executive Steve Jobs announced during the launch on Wednesday that the priority was to secure agreements with international operators for 3G, with deals expected by the end of July.

On the money markets, the euro dropped to a five-month low against the pound on Thursday as concerns mounted over the finances of Greece and other Eurozone countries. The pound closed at 1.6129 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.1541

UK banks fell sharply at the end of trading, retreating from earlier gains. Lloyds Banking Group fell 0.2 per cent at 51.83 pence, HSBC dropped 0.5 at 660 pence, Royal Bank of Scotland lost 1.3 per cent to 33.29 pence and Standard Chartered was down 2.6 per cent at 1432 pence.

The FTSE 100 fell 71.7 points, or 1.4 per cent, to 5,145.74, with Wall Street’s weak start also being a factor.

The year 2009 gas witnessed the biggest decline in air passenger traffic in the post-war era, according to figures released by the International Air Transport Association (IATA).

"In terms of demand, 2009 goes into the history books as the worst year the industry has ever seen," according to a spokesman for the organisation. Passenger traffic dropped by 3.5% from a year earlier, while freight traffic fell 10.1% as the downturn hit demand. However, figures for December showed a rise in traffic of 1.6% on a year ago.

Chairman of the US Congress financial services committee, Barney Frank, has argued that the dramatic proposals unveiled by the administration last week to clamp down on banks could be incorporated into legislation could be enacted into law within months.

On Frank’s prediction, the Dow Jones fell by 135 points, to close on Thursday at 10120.46, while the NASDAQ lost 31 points, to finish on 2179.0.

The US Commerce Department have confirmed that December sales of new homes have fallen, and for the second month in a row.

Sales fell by 7.6% to 342,000 homes, down from a revised rate of 370,000 in November. Analysts had expected new home sales to increase in December.

The number of new homes sold in 2009 was 374,000, 23% fewer than in 2008 and the lowest number sold in a year on record.

The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at their range of between zero and 0.25%, as the US central bank repeated its vow to keep rates exceptionally low for an extended period. Interest rates have remained at their current low range since December 2008.

Ford has posted an annual profit for the first time in four years.

The carmaker made a $2.7 billion (£1.7 billion) profit in 2009, a dramatic improvement on their loss of almost $15 billion in 2008. A spokesman said that Ford expects to remain in profit for 2010.

The company made an $868 million profit for the third quarter of 2009, a dramatic improvement on the $6 billion loss it made for the same period the previous year. Ford attributed their return to profitability to cutting costs and reducing debt levels.

Thanks largely to "exceptional demand" for Windows 7, computer software giant Microsoft has reported a 60% jump in profit for the three months to 31 December 2009. Net profit for the quarter was $6.66 billion (£4.13 billion), up from the $4.18 billion for the same period a year earlier. Microsoft also reported turnover for the quarter of $19.2 billion, comfortably beating analysts’ forecasts.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy has called for a fundamental rethink of capitalism in the aftermath of the financial crisis.

His comments came as bankers and regulators clashed over proposals to break up banks that threaten the whole financial system.

Mr Sarkozy said he wished to restore a "moral dimension" to free trade.

France has supported forcing banks to hold more capital and curbing bonus payments in global negotiations over the past year on how to reform the system to prevent future crises.

Samsung Electronics have overtaken Hewlett-Packard (HP) to become the world’s largest technology company in terms of company turnover. Samsung have reported full-year sales of $117.8 billion which overtook HP’s sales of $114.6 billion in 2009. With a sales forecast at $127 billion, Samsung are expected to surpass its US rival again this year, with HP expected to achieve "only" $120 billion in sales.

In energy markets, crude oil prices consolidated ahead of the latest US weekly inventories data, with prices averaging around $74 a barrel. US crude stocks were expected to have risen 1.4 million barrels last week, according to a recent poll of analysts, with demand from US refineries remaining weak.

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Turner dying to beat the bank’s bonuses

August 31st, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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Chairman of the Financial Services Authority (FSA) Lord Turner revealed during a recent interview that in order to prevent excessive bonus payments he consider imposing a tax on banks.

The FSA chairman also stated that the financial services sector had "grown beyond a socially reasonable size". Lord Turner did hasten to add however that it was not the role of the FSA to set out any new government policy and that taxation was a matter for the Treasury.

In the past, the FSA have been the subject of criticism regarding their regulations on bonuses. Lord Turner is apparently concerned about the return to “business as usual” syndrome in the banking sector, suggesting that new taxes may be necessary to curb excessive profits and pay in the financial sector.

Meanwhile, newly recruited bankers at the Royal Bank of Scotland are liable to be feeling the pinch when pension time comes around. They are set to become the guinea pigs of a pension’s cutbacks scheme proposed by the U.K. bank. The scheme will be based on a lower-bonus, higher-base-salary recruitment environment in the City of London.

According to a recent poll, UK business leaders are more upbeat about the prospects of economic recovery than at any time since the recession began,

the survey of leading businessmen found that 38% see signs of recovery in their sector, up from 33% last month and the highest figure since the "green shoots" index was launched.

The bad news for hard pressed PM Gordon Brown was that the survey found only 18% of business leaders are confident in his ability, while 19% were impressed by Chancellor Alistair Darling’s efforts to date. Tory leader David Cameron got the thumbs up from 53% of the participants with shadow chancellor George Osborne polling 41%.

A group of distressed debt investors, which bought debt claims against the Yorkshire power station, have exercised an option to take control of one of Britain’s biggest coal-fired plants, at Eggborough, one of EDF Energy’s power stations which could eventually be sold on for up to £1 billion.

Japanese computer maker Fujitsu Ltd. said Wednesday it plans to axe 1,200 jobs in its British IT services unit because of lower than expected revenues.

Fujitsu, who employs around 12,500 workers in the UK, explained that the cuts were necessary to ensure the company remained competitive during the current downturn.

Following the 2005 restructuring of British Energy, creditors have the right to take ownership of the plant in March 2010 with the option only being exercisable till the end of this month.

Shares in the world’s largest advertising company WPP Plc fell 1.4 percent, to 512.5 pence after the company reported a 48 percent drop in first-half profit to £108.4 million blaming the pounds rise against the dollar and increased finance costs.

The FTSE 100 moved lower on Thursday following a weaker opening on Wall Street, falling 21.23 points to finish the day on 4,869.35, while the FTSE 250 continued to reverse, dropping a further 81.88 points to close on 8,701.33

As short-term UK government bond yields fell to record lows, Sterling dropped to a six-week low against the dollar and a 10-week low against the Euro.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6239
  • Pound/Euro 1.1351
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 151.8974
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7173

On Wall Street, markets continued to drift, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing up 23.5 points while the NASDAQ lost 3.55 points to close on 2,020.88.

Angela Merkel, German chancellor, has thrown her considerable (political) weight behind calls from French president Nicolas Sarkozy for tougher international curbs on bankers’ bonuses, in anticipation of next month’s G20 summit to be held in Pittsburgh, USA.

Ms Merkel, who said large bonuses encouraged excessive risk-taking, will meet Mr. Sarkozy to discuss the French plans, which Mr. Sarkozy presented to bankers on Tuesday. Plans that include deferring at least half of a year’s bonus and paying it over the three subsequent years, subject to performance criteria

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Accountants predict that the UK financial downturn has ended.

August 25th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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How many hints do we need before the penny drops and the UK public can finally reach the conclusion that the recession is finally over? The latest one comes from the Institute of Chartered Accountants who in a report released last week announced that confidence among business professionals has surged form a negative status to a positive one. Based on their findings, the institute predicts the UK economy will grow by 0.5% in the third quarter of 2009, a reverse on the 0.8% negative growth that the UK economy recorded during the second quarter of the year.

UK building societies continue to be under scrutiny, with the news that possibly five of the largest could be amalgamating over the next couple of years. The number of building societies reporting losses for 2008 is reportedly causing concern in Whitehall, and the latest annual review of performance released shows that since the summer of 2008, seven mergers have already taken place, out of framework of 59 building societies.

Seven months after the U.K. government made a commitment to offer up to £2 billion of loan guarantees for car makers and their suppliers, agreements have yet to be signed. According to the Department for Business, Innovation and Skills, car makers and suppliers, the aid was offered as car sales collapsed during the recession, declining for 14 consecutive months through June.

The Thames Valley property market, once regarded as the UK’s equivalent to Silicon Valley, look to be heading for their lowest rental incomes on record, as the recession continues to hammer the technology industries.

On the FTSE yesterday rising metals prices pushed mining stocks. Kazakhmys led the sector, gaining 5.8 per cent to 980 pence, while compatriot ENRC was up 5.3 per cent to 896½ pence.

Punch Taverns added 4.1 per cent to 107½ pence on strong volume in anticipation a positive trading update due to be released this morning. Analysts announced that they expect trading in the company to have stabilised and that profit pressures are on the wane.

The FTSE 100 was up 0.9 per cent, rising 45.34 points to 4,896.23 for its highest close since early October.

Moving forward at the speed of an express train, the FTSE 250 increased by a further 1.76 % or 153.06 points to close on 8,831.89

Currency markets continued to remain stable on Monday’s trading

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6409
  • Pound/Euro 1.1481
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 154.7475
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7419

US stocks slowed down after four sessions of gains on Monday after a warning over future bank losses saw the markets erase early gains.

The NASDAQ Composite index closed down a mere 2.92 points at 2,017.98, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average found fractional gains to 9,509.28

On Friday General Motors eventually postponed their much awaited decision on whether Canada’s Magna International would be the winning bidder for its Opel brand.

Magna, the world’s third largest auto parts manufacturer, in conjunction with the Savings Bank of the Russian Federation, who trade under the title Sberbank, had submitted a joint bid in July to acquire a 55 percent stake in Opel, the troubled financially strapped group’s European division. Brussels-based financial investor RHJ International is the rival bidder.

At their meeting Friday, GM’s board of directors failed to come to a decision whether to accept the winning bid by the Canadian auto company and the Russian bank.

This week French banks announced their intention to lead the way in offering to reinforce rules ¬governing the payment and disclosure of bonuses to their officials. In meetings with Nicolas Sarkozy, president, and Christine Lagarde, the finance minister, bank officials announced the concessions, which will strengthen a code on pay agreed by French banks in February, Designed to curb excessive risk-taking. The announcement, will be undoubtedly be used to bolster France’s position at the forthcoming G20 meeting to be held in Pittsburgh next month.

Oil prices have risen to 10-month highs on fresh signs that the global economic recovery is gathering pace.

US light crude ended Monday up 48 cents to $74.37 a barrel, while London’s Brent crude advanced seven cents to finish at $74.26

The rise came after official figures showed that new industrial orders in the 16 nations that use the Euro rose more than expected in June.

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