UK public opinion is reported to be swinging the way of large scale cuts in the public service sector, according to recent reports. The sector, costing taxpayer’s record amounts of money each year. Is now employing more people than ever before. Unions who represent public sector employees are anticipating having a have a fight on their hands, if as expected, the Conservative party wins the next election and inherits an economy still struggling to pull itself out of recession.

According to statistics issued by the Office for National Statistics before the weekend, business investment in the UK fell 0.6% sequentially in the third quarter, significantly less than the 3% initially estimated. British private and public sector manufacturing investment has reportedly fallen 9.4% since the second quarter and by almost 30 % since the third quarter of 2008.

According to a recent report by the Bank of England the “probability of default by U.K. real estate companies has increased significantly” as households continue to face a weakening labor market paired with tightening credit conditions.

Amid concerns that the government’s 50% banking bonus tax could seriously damage future business levels, stock markets around the world have been focusing upon the city of London investment markets. The UK government went as far as issuing a report, released on Friday, clarifying who is liable to fall under the scope of the banking tax.

With reports in circulation that UK banks, and especially those whose activities are centered on in London continue to consider their position regarding the banking bonus tax, which has been mooted as a one-off charge, is making people in the banking world a little hot under the collar.

The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has raised its 2010 economic growth forecast, whilst predicting that the Bank of England may place their bond-purchase plan on hold as soon as February as policy makers prepare to raise interest rates.

The CBI also predict that gross domestic product in the UK will increase 1.2 percent in 2010 after contracting 4.5 percent in 2009, up from their previously forecast expansion of 0.9 percent. The group also predicts the bank will raise the benchmark interest rate from 0.5 percent in the second quarter to reach 2 percent by the end of the year.

The recovery will be aided by companies rebuilding stocks to meet a rebound in world growth and as exporters benefit from a weaker pound, down almost a quarter since the start of 2007, making British goods cheaper to buy abroad.

Google, smart boys that they are, succeeded in not paying a penny in corporation tax on the £1.6 billion advertising revenues that it earned in Britain in 2008. The company, which enjoys an estimated 90% market share of UK internet searches, last year, used a cross-border network of subsidiary companies to keep the taxman at bay. Their smoothly interwoven international corporate structure enabled Google to avoid paying what could otherwise have been a corporation tax bill in the UK of as much as £450 million, according to recently filed accounts for subsidiary company Google UK Limited. The accounts show none of the search engine’s advertising revenues from British customers were accounted for in the business, despite operations in London and Manchester While much of the costs linked to the running of Google’s British operations are recognised for tax purposes in the UK. Revenues from customers in Britain, however, are diverted to another Google company in Ireland, where the corporation tax rate is between 10% and 25%, while UK corporation tax is levied at between 28 and 30%

The British Pound has begun to recover and bounced back to a high of 1.6251 on Friday following the rise in risk appetite. Analysts predict that Sterling may continue to recover as a recent Bank of England Financial Stability report said the U.K. financial system has become “significantly more stable”. This was credited to the unprecedented steps taken on by the government.

• Dollar 1.6152
• Euro 1.1262

Things were pretty brisk on the FTSE 100 approaching the weekend, with

nursing homes group Care UK drawing a lot of attention. The company has been reportedly been considering whether to accept a £275 million pound bid from Bridgepoint which will take them private. Care that runs 60 nursing homes, GP practices and NHS walk-in centres in the UK saw their shares rise 10.5 pence to 430.5 pence on Friday.

Overall U.K. stocks were on a minor downward spiral, with banks leading the way. Lloyds Banking Group Plc and Barclays Plc were are ever leading the way, as the European Central Bank (ECB) increased their estimate of the value of write downs by 13 percent. Lloyds, the 43 percent government-owned bank, lost 4.7 percent to 48.7 pence, to its lowest since July. Barclays, the U.K.’s second biggest bank, slid 3.5 percent to 264.25 pence.

Ryanair surged 5.8 percent to 3.282 Euros after the carrier said it will generate surplus cash for shareholders between 2012 and 2015 after they had suspended their talks with Boeing regarding future aircraft acquisitions.

Also on the up was Aggreko Plc, the world’s biggest provider of mobile power-supply gear. Their shares rallied 7.9 percent after announcing that trading in the fourth quarter was better than it estimated.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index dropped 20.8, or 0.4 percent, to 5,196.81. The FTSE 100 fell 1.2 percent this week. The gauge has still rebounded 48 percent since March and is heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997 as central banks cut interest rates to record lows and governments worldwide committed about $12 trillion to revive the economy.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up to 10, 328.61 while the NASDAQ was stable on 2,211.69

GM says it has failed to sell its Swedish car brand Saab and will begin "an orderly wind-down of Saab operations".

GM had been in talks with the Dutch specialty car maker Spyker over a sale. Talks with Sweden’s Koenigsegg also fell through earlier this year.

GM has been trying to sell Saab as part of its turnaround plans since January. Dutch luxury car maker Spyker has submitted a new offer to General Motors (GM) for its Swedish car brand Saab.

Spyker has submitted a new 11-point proposal to GM, addressing the issues that ended talks.

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Tags: Aggreko Plc, Bank, Bank of England, Banking, Barclays Plc, Bridgepoint, British Economy, British Pound, Care UK, CBI, Confederation of British Industry, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, European Central Bank, Financial News, FTSE, General Motors, Google, Koenigsegg, Lloyds Banking Group Plc, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, NHS, Office for National Statistics, Recession, Ryanair, Saab, Spyker, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession

Chancellor Alistair Darling has recommended a pay freeze for 40,000 senior public servants in 2010/11. Darling has written to salary review bodies calling on them to freeze the pay of top level civil servants, such as judges, senior NHS managers as well as General Practitioners. It is expected that public spending priorities and cuts will be announced in this autumn’s pre-Budget report, as the chancellor revealed he would soon be calling ministers into the Treasury for “very robust” discussions.

If the Financial Services Authority (FSA) get their way UK banks and investment firms would have to increase their holdings of cash and government bonds by £110 billion as well as reducing their reliance on short-term funding by as much as 20 per cent in the first year. This series of tough liquidity standards put forward by the FSA on Monday shows a radical firming up of liquidity requirements than in previous years. In total banks and investment firms could be required to increase their holdings of easily redeemable assets by a total of £370 billion as well as reducing their reliance on short-term funding by 80 per cent from current levels

Chief executive of the HSBC bank, Michael Geoghegan, is less convinced than many others that the global financial recovery is well under way. He has in fact taken the standpoint that a second downturn is bound to happen in the coming months. In preparation, Geoghegan plans to freeze any expansion plans for the bank till the situation becomes clearer. Speaking after HSBC announced a shake-up of its governance 10 days ago, Mr. Geoghegan is now responsible for strategic issues that previously lay with the bank’s chairman, Stephen Green.

Taking a more conservative stance on salaries are the Lloyds Banking Group, who are reportedly in the early stages of reviewing pay packages for its top executives. Lloyds, who got themselves into hot water when they rescued struggling lender HBOS last year, pledged to review remuneration after the government backed takeover. The bank did issue a statement over the weekend that no decisions had yet been made on salaries and the bank was more focused on a number of other and more pressing issues, particularly whether they will enter the government’s asset protection scheme.

According to market analysts, many British retailers are facing a worse Christmas than last year, when 15 major chains failed, rising unemployment and fragile consumer confidence would result in many companies, many of them struggling to survive until the holiday season entering formal insolvency proceedings within a year. Market information shows that 125 retail companies encountered critical trading and cash problems in September, up 37 percent from August. Outdoor goods retailer Blacks Leisure showed how difficult it is to survive in the UK high street, by announcing plans to shut down 89 of their loss making stores as well as cutting jobs as part of an emergency recovery plan.

Bucking the retail trend is the department store chain TJ Hughes, who has based their success in specialising in discounted branded goods. The company has reported a 30 percent increase in underlying profits in the year to the end of January. Hughes, who operates in 50 locations across England, Scotland and Wales, announced pre-tax earnings that rose to £9.2 million. Since June 2008, TJ Hughes has undergone aggressive expansion and a 51st store is expected to open soon

The FTSE 100 limped back over the 5,000 points mark, rising 35.63 points to close on 5024.33. The FTSE 250 made its usual early in the week recovery rising 82.57 points to close on 8982.53.

The pound continued to find it difficult to rise above the $1.60 mark, while falling behind against the remaining principal currencies.

• Pound/US dollar 1.597
• Pound/Euro 1.10863
• Pound/Japanese Yen 142.4066
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6421

A recent survey has shown the US services industry rising in September for the first time in a year. The services sector accounts for 80% of the US economy. Simultaneously, separate data released showed that the US jobs market also strengthened last month for the first time since January 2008. The data boosted US markets with the Dow Jones index and NASDAQ both rising

The Dow Jones index rose by 112.08 points at 9,599.75. The NASDAQ index rose by 20.04 points to finish the day’s trading on 2,068.15.

Hundreds of farmers have protested to European Union (EU) agriculture ministers at a meeting held in Brussels to discuss low milk prices. The urgently convened meeting came as a result weeks of protests across Europe, with farmers dumping milk stocks and withholding supplies at what they see as being sold at uneconomic prices. To the farmer’s considerable chagrin, the only decision reached at the meeting was to create a panel of experts to examine at the dairy sector. Recently prices of milk and dairy products have fallen sharply in Europe as supply exceeds demand.

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Tags: Alistair Darling, Banking, Blacks Leisure, British Economy, British Pound, British retailers, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, European Union, farmers, Financial News, Financial Services Authority, FSA, FTSE, HBos, HSBC, Lloyds Banking Group, Michael Geoghegan, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, NHS, pre-Budget report, Recession, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, TJ Hughes, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Unemployment, US economy

In an unprecedented move, the Department of Health and the Treasury have invited companies in the private sector to submit tenders to take over and run a large National Health Service (NHS) hospital. The contract will be all inclusive, taking in the accident and emergency as well as the maternity wards. The Hinchingbrooke Hospital, in Huntingdonshire comes under the auspices of the East of England strategic health authority who anticipate bids from the NHS as well as the private sector.

Investors are rushing to capitalise on the hedge funds industry’s resurgence resulting in a huge increase in investment in the second quarter. It is reported that more than $142.5 billion has been allocated to hedge funds over the past three months, making for one of the industry’s most significant inflows of client money to date, according to a recent report.

In transport and tourism, signs are afoot of long hard winter ahead, Ryanair, Europe’s largest low-cost people carrier, have announced that they will be cutting their services at their largest bases London Stansted and Dublin. Ryanair are making the cuts as it attempts to cut back on routes that are making losses as well as to benefit from reduced airport charges.

Michael O’Leary, the group’s chief executive, has blamed the cuts on planned increases in air passenger taxes in the UK and Ireland. “Sadly, UK traffic and tourism continue to collapse while Ryanair continues to grow traffic rapidly in those countries that welcome tourists instead of taxing them.” Announced O’Leary.

Despite he recent bout of warm weather and the thirst that it brings, the pace of pub closures in Britain continues to grow. Recent statistics show that closures have risen by a third during the first six months of 2009. In terms of figures, that means that more than 50 UK pubs are pulling their last pint every week.

Local family owned pubs appear to be the most vulnerable , closing their doors at a rate of 40 a week. There are now only 53,466 pubs left trading in the UK compared with 58,600 three years ago.

On the FTSE on Wednesday, tobacco stocks were leading the way, with Imperial Tobacco gaining 2.6 per cent to £16.74.

Europe’s largest drug maker GlaxoSmithKline announced their eagerly anticipated half-year results which turned out better than expected, pushing their share value marginally up by 0.3 per cent to 1163.

Commodities fell after a strong run of the last few days, largely due to profit taking.

In the banking sector, profit warnings from US banking groups Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley disappointed investors, contributing to losses on the major US exchanges.

Barclays shares fell by 3 per cent to 300p as investors began to shy from its aggressive push towards financial independence, while the other banks also weakened. Lloyds Banking Group lost 3.1 per cent to 71.2p, while Royal Bank of Scotland dipped 0.1 per cent to 39.8p.

Overall shares in London recovered from early losses on Wednesday. The late recovery was attributed to the surprise announcement that US house prices has risen during May.

The FTSE 100 rose 13.13 points to 4,494.30, while the FTSE 250 continued its steady increase, gaining 42.23 points to 7,784.81.

Early falls in sterling following a press report that two UK banks require additional funding were arrested with the announcement that the Bank of England had decided to maintain its asset purchase programme.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6422
• Pound/Euro 1.1578
• Pound/Japanese Yen 154.0592
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7528

On Wall Street, there was a flat atmosphere on the announcement that Morgan Stanley had made a loss of $159m (£97m) for the second quarter, a significant setback when compared to the $698m profit the Wall Street bank made in the same period of 2008. Not only was it the third consecutive loss for Morgan Stanley, but it was also much worse than analysts had feared.

Morgan Stanley attributed the loss to the heavy cost of repaying government funding and comes after a number of other major US banks reported significant rises in profits.

The poor results at Morgan Stanley caused a knock on effect , with shares in Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase and Morgan Stanley on the decline.

On Wall Street , the Dow Jones dropped by 34.68 points to 8881.26 while the NASDAQ limped forward a mere 10.18 point to close on 1926.28..

Public sector workers in California were out in protest at the billions of dollars of spending cuts that form the basis of the state’s controversial budget deal.

The cuts, including $6billion in education spending, were reached as part of an agreement to reduce California’s record $26.3billion ,( £16bn) deficit.

Arnold Schwarzenegger, the state’s governor has been forced to write promissory notes to their creditors after running out of money. Public employees have had to take unpaid leave and the state’s credit rating has been slashed to near junk status, giving it the worst rating in the US.

Ahead of the latest US weekly inventories oil prices fell while d gold consolidated below the $950 an ounce level

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Tags: Bank, Banking, Barclays, British Economy, Commodities, Credit Crunch, Currency, Department of Health, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, GlaxoSmithKline, Hinchingbrooke Hospital, Lloyds, Money, Money Markets, Morgan Stanley, NHS, pub closures, Recession, Ryanair, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, transport and tourism, Treasury, UK Banks, UK hospitals, UK Recession, Wells Fargo

All that money that went to prop up the UK banking system had to come from somewhere and it looks like public will be paying for it through a severely disabled health service. A recent report from the NHS Confederation predicts that health service will face the most severe and sustained financial shortfall in its history beginning in 2011
The report, to be published today will warn that limited government funding increases are likely be increasingly outstripped by rising costs within the health service, leaving the NHS to cope with budget reductions running between eight to ten billion pounds between 2011 and 2014. Something to look forward to! Confidence is returning to the domestic and commercial property markets, according to recent reports stating that the collapse in commercial property which began in mid 2007 has bottomed out and 2009 has already witnessed an increase in transactions as well as renewed investor interest.

On the domestic front, figures from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors revealed that house prices fell in May at the slowest annual pace since November 2007, adding strength to other indicators that the UK housing market might be stabilising

On the business front, the UK’s second largest travel agency Thomas Cook, looks live they will be themselves seeking a safe haven together with Rewe, its main competitor based in Germany. The move came after the collapse of the Thomas Cook’s largest shareholder on Tuesday. The shareholder, Arcandor, who own 53% of Thomas Cook stock, filed for insolvency, in one of Europe’s largest corporate failures outwith the banking sector.

Lloyds Banking Group announced their plan to close up to 400 bank branches in England. The closures will likely include the 164 Cheltenham & Gloucester outlets which will disappear from the high streets in November. As a result of the closures, designed to improve efficiency and profitability, Lloyds will also cut 1,660 jobs before the end of the year. The FTSE liked the idea and the Lloyds’ shares rose by 3.1 percent to 63 pence.

Also on the up was Barclays Plc whose shares rose by 2.2 percent to 290 pence on speculation that US based investment banker BlackRock Inc. has valued Barclays’ fund business at $13 billion, and are on the verge of making a cash/stock offer.

On the day, FTSE 100 dropped less than a point to close on 4,404.79 while the FTSE 250 rose a conservative four points to close on 7,691.65
The pound advanced yesterday as UK housing data provided a further sign that the worst of the economic slowdown might be over.

Pound/US dollar 1.6344
Pound/Euro 1.1606
Pound/Japanese Yen 159.9017
Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7609

In the US, ten of the largest US banks made a firm declaration that they are ready and willing to repay some $68 billion of the government bail-out money they have received indicating a significant indication of how rapidly the financial crisis is easing.
Whilst welcoming the move, President Barack Obama suggested restraint stating that it shouldn’t be taken for granted that “our financial troubles are over”.

On the news the Dow Jones remained constant falling only 1.43 points to 8763.09, while the NASDAQ climbed 17.73 points to close on 1860.13

The Chrysler saga seems to be finally over after the US Supreme Court rejected a plea to block the sale of assets of the bankrupt company to Italian giant Fiat. The US government strongly in favour of the sale issued a statement applauding the decision.

On a more sinister note, crude oil for July continued their steady increase, rising by 1.9 percent to close on $69.40 on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

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Tags: Barclays Bank, British Economy, Financial News, Lloyds Banking Group, LloydsTSB, NHS, Thomas Cook Group Plc