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Darling gives Lloyds the nod to test the water

October 29th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Loans, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Saving, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling now appears likely to give Lloyds the go ahead to test the seriousness of its ambitious £25 billion refinancing plan. Darling’s tacit agreement will be looked upon by city watchers as a definite indication that the chancellor could be prepared to release the bank from its obligations to the government’s toxic asset insurance scheme. It would appear that Darling has concluded that Lloyds’ plan to bring in more private capital is in the public interest. However it would appear that his final decision will only be positive when he is convinced that the market is ready for such a bold initiative. Darling is expected to announce his decision to the Lloyds at the early part of next week. The move will mean that the bank can then begin to appoint underwriters and test the market. Only then will Darling make the final decision and may even withdraw approval for the plan if he concludes the move carries to many risks for the already under siege UK taxpayer.

As expected, the European Union (EU) has approved plans for nationalized bank Northern Rock to be split into two parts, a move that is expected to pave the way for a partial sale of the bank.

One half of the bank, known as the "good" bank, would trade as retail bank holding deposits including some of the Rock’s existing mortgages, as well as lending money to consumers only.

The toxic side of the bank will remain in government hands, whose unenviable task it would be to attempt to salvage as much as the taxpayer’s money tied up there. The chancellor has ruled out the possibility of completing the sale of Northern Rock before the general election, in spite of winning approval from Brussels.

Meanwhile Spanish banking giants Santander continue to clean up on the UK high street. The bank announced that profits during the first nine months of the year for its UK banks have risen by more than a third.

Abbey, Alliance & Leicester and Bradford & Bingley banks, owned by Santander announced a £1.2 billion profit, up 38% from the same period in 2008.

Debt laden bus and rail operator National Express has wound up their discussions with rival Stagecoach regarding a possible merger. Instead they will press ahead with their plans to mount a rights issue to re-finance the company. Yesterday’s announcement follows weeks of speculation over a possible tie-up between the groups that would have created a transport giant with an estimated worth of £1.7 billion.

Oil and gas supply group BG, announced on Wednesday that their post-tax profits for the third quarter had fallen 39 per cent to £474 million from last year’s £777 million. A spokesman for the company said that the fall in gas and oil prices had been partially offset by advance sales of liquefied natural gas at advantageous prices. Although natural gas has rallied since early September, it had not done as well as crude oil during continued signs of economic recovery.

Sterling continued to rise in value yesterday against the dollar, while rising slightly against the Euro.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6393
  • Pound/Euro 1.1131
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 148.0908
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6804

London’s FTSE 100 dropped 2.32% or 120.55 points to close on 5080.42. The FTSE 250 plummeted a further 3.19% percent yesterday, down 291.78 points to close on 8849.50

For the first time in half a year, sales of new homes in the US fell as buyers opted for bargains on existing and foreclosed houses. Unexpectedly new home sales fell by 3.6 per cent from August to September, defying economists’ expectations that they would increase. Compared with a year ago, sales of new homes were down by 7.8 per cent, according to commerce department figures

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 1.21% after news that the annual rate of US new home sales had fallen unexpectedly in September.

At close of trading Wednesday it had fallen 119.48 points to 9762.69. The NASDAQ Composite index also took a tumble down 56.48 points to 2059.61.

It was announced on Wednesday that new orders for durable goods rebounded in September after slumping the prior month, offering another sign that manufacturing activity is stirring in the US

European shares also fell fairly sharply yesterday, largely due to disappointing company results and negative US economic data.

Norway has become the first European country to raise its interest rates since the beginning of the global financial crisis. The country’s central bank raised the cost of borrowing from 1.25% to 1.5% in a move that was widely expected. A spokesman for the bank stated that the increase was necessary due to increases in inflation and recent unemployment figures that were considerably lower than previously projected.

Oil prices dropped by more than $2 a barrel on Wednesday, as the latest US weekly inventories data continued to show supply outstripping demand. All in all the expected recovery in the dollar weighed on investor sentiment towards the commodities market.

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Barclays sell off some shares.

October 21st, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Qatar Holdings, who were and still remain Barclays’ largest shareholder, have realized their profits on 3.5% of their stake in the bank, taking home a tidy £615m profit in the process. People in the know are saying that Qatar Holdings, who act as the emirate’s private investment vehicle, will use the money to increase their holdings in UK supermarket giants, J Sainsbury. The share sell off transaction, valued at around £1.4billion, would allow the Qataris sufficient funding to increase their existing 26% stake in Sainsburys. Despite the share disposal, Qatar Holdings will still retain 7.1% equity in Barclays.

BAA has finally reached an agreement to sell Gatwick for a sum of £1.5 billion, setting the long-awaited break-up of the UK’s biggest airport group in motion. Final details of the sale were expected to be announced early on Wednesday morning before the FTSE opened its doors. After lengthy and intricate negotiations, the Competition Commission finally approved the late on Tuesday. The anticipated sale sees the end of a process which began when BAA, a subsidiary of Spain’s Ferrovial infrastructure group, put Gatwick up for sale in an attempt to head off competition concerns about its market dominance. Initially BAA had hoped to receive around £1.8 billion for Gatwick, and held on grimly for this sum; till the realization sunk in that they were pricing themselves out of the market. They reduced their asking price to £1.6 billion and finally have accepted even less for the airport from Global Infrastructure Partners, an infrastructure fund backed by Credit Suisse and General Electric who already own London City Airport. The Competition Commission expects BAA to sell two of its remaining six airports, within the next two years: while still leaving the group in control of the country’s biggest airport, Heathrow.

The Euro zone’s largest bank, Santander, continues to generate turnover and profit at such an outstanding rate it may have no option but to pay their shareholders a significant cash dividend in the coming year, according to a leading executive of the company. The ongoing financial crisis has prompted regulators to press European banks to increase their capital ratios, with Santander setting a target of seven per cent of their risk weighted assets, regarded as adequate for its retail banking model.

By the end of June, half way through their financial year, Santander had succeeded in increasing their ratio to 7.5 per cent, and have since added a further 0.6 % in October alone with the bank now expected to surpass their target and reach as high as 8.5 per cent of capital ratio, some of which will be able to be dispersed to their shareholders. RBS eat your heart out…

In the money markets, the pound continued its steady rise, despite faltering slightly against the Euro and the Swiss Franc.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6373
  • Pound/Euro 1.10971
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 147.9728
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6587

Tesco was among the few stocks to beat a weakening trend as the FTSE 100 began to lose some of the heights it had achieved in the last week or so. The UK grocery chain has been described by analysts as a “cash cow” and ripe for rapid expansion, both in grocery and non-grocery sectors in the UK as well as overseas. Shares in Tesco closed higher on Tuesday by 1.2 per cent at 383½p.

Their progress was overshadowed however by J Sainsbury who were the day’s biggest gainer, up 5.4 per cent to 348 pence after Qatar holdings looked likely to add to its 26 per cent stake in the company or even make a takeover approach after selling a block of shares in Barclays. Barclays did less well, and closed down 4.8 per cent to 364 pence.

An upbeat trading statement from Pearson, owner of the Financial Times, lifted its shares by 4.4 per cent to 858½ pence which had a knock on effect on many players in the publishing sector. Reed Elsevier was among those feeling the ripples, and their shares rose 1.4 per cent to 466 pence. This increase may have been largely fired by reports that Reed was potential bidder for United Business Media, whose shares also rose in turn, up 0.5 per cent to 504½ pence. .

Shares in National Express edged 1 per cent higher at 404 pence after news broke that the company’s largest shareholder is backing the merger proposal from Stagecoach, the bus and train operator and National Express competitor. The move, which shines a light on the depth of boardroom divisions within the company. In a meeting with the National Express board on Monday, Jorge Cosmen, the company’s deputy chairman and its largest shareholder, announced his support for Stagecoach’s approach.

Shares in Greggs, the high street bakery chain were down by 3.7 per cent weaker at 448 pence, largely due to misplaced speculation that the group was considering outsourcing its bakery operations.

The FTSE 100 had a good day, up 91.34 points to 5281.54 The FTSE 250 rose strongly on the day’s trading, up 138.44 points to close on. 9564.64.

In the US, the number of new housing starts was reported to have increased in September, but at a lower rate than expected, raising limited concerns about the strength of the recovery in the country. Housing starts rose by 0.5% to a 590,000 homes, compared with a revised figure of 587,000 in August, down by 28.2% on the 822,000 homes started in September 2008, according to the US Department of Commerce.

As a possible reflection, the Dow Jones was down 50.71 points to close on 10041.48 The NASDAQ Composite index continued to fluctuate, this time down 12.85 points to close on 2,163.47.

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Darling plays coy with Lloyds.

October 16th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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It appears likely that the UK government will not agree to underwrite the Lloyds Banking Group’s proposed rights issue. This development, if it transpires, could potentially stall the partially state-owned bank’s efforts to raise sufficient capital to allow them not to participate in the government backed toxic asset insurance programme. In the long term, the government is expected to participate in the planned rights issue, although chancellor Alistair Darling, chancellor is keeping tight lipped on the subject, for the meantime. Analysts have predicted that Darling would not be interested the government would not be willing to underwrite the rights issue, so as not to be seen to be making a commitment to buy any shares that remained unsold. However the feeling in the markets is that Darling and co has to be seen to be backing the issue, in order not to send out a negative impression

Britain’s largest pub owner Punch Taverns, have announced a £406 million annual loss, largely attributed to the writing down the value of its recession-hit property portfolio by 11 per cent. A spokesman for the company also stated that trading was not showing significant signs of improvement for the first seven weeks of its new financial year, a fact that should have a negative effect on the company’s future. On the announcement., shares in Punch plummeted by 16.6 per cent to close at 96.65p.Punch owns more than 7,500 pubs, that are principally leased to semi-independent publicans who are obliged to buy all their beers through Punch as well as paying them rent.

Shares in National Express plunged more than 30 per cent on Friday after the Spanish-led consortium bidding for the bus and rail operator withdrew its £765m takeover offer. The Cosmen family, who already own an 18.5 per cent stake in National Express, along with the private equity firm CVC, had been due to make a formal offer.

The rise in UK unemployment slowed in the three months to August, showing signs that the job losses may be slowing down as the economy continues to show signs of recovery. The number of people out of work rose 88,000 to 2.47 million, compared with the previous three months, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.9 per cent of the total UK workforce. This figure contrasts well with 9.8 per cent in the US and the 9.1 per cent average in the European Union member countries.

The Pound continued it steady improvement against the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6332
  • Pound/Euro 1.10956
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.048
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.665

Two of the major Wall Street banks have announced profits for the third quarter that was above market analyst’s expectations.

Goldman Sachs’ announced profits for the period of £1.96billion, four times what they earned for the same period in 2008.

Profits for the Citigroup also grew. However their potential profits were of were dented by the poor results of their high street banking operation, reaching only £65 million for the quarter.

US stock markets hit fresh 2009 highs on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average reclaiming the 10,000 mark, after a smaller-than-expected decline in retail sales and strong earnings at a leading bank.

Financial, industrial and materials stocks boosted the market while the telecoms sector was a laggard.

The Dow Jones index continued to consolidate itself above the 10,000 points standard, up 47.08 points to 10062.94 while the Nasdaq Composite index rose 1.5 per cent to 2,172.2

Internet super –power Google has reported its highest quarterly profit, providing further indications that the online advertising market is in a healthy situation. Google reported a £1billion net profit for the third quarter, a rise of 27% for the same period in 2008.

Also on the up are US computer hardware giant IBM, who reported profits for the same period of around £2 billion, an improvement of 14% on last year.

US crude prices reached their highest levels for the year while gold extended its record-breaking run, passing the $75-a-barrel mark at one point during the day’s trading. This news came after analysts predicted that crude prices appeared ready to ready to increase after remaining consistent for the last six months. Forecasts are that demands for leading up to Christmas, will push oil prices up.

Meanwhile the price of gold reached a record $1,070.40 ounce later slipping back to $1,069.

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The Bank of England hold interest rates for another month.

September 11th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The Bank of England have announced that they will be holding interest rates firm for the sixth consecutive month, at a record low of 0.5%.

The bank also announced that their quantitative easing program is not to be expanded, remaining at £175 billion.

The ownership saga at National Express seems to be drawing to a close, after the company reached an agreement to allow a consortium comprising its largest shareholder to examine its books. The next step is likely to be a £765 million takeover of the group, which operates both bus and rail networks in the UK. The successful bidders are a consortium headed by Spain’s Cosmen family, who already own 18.5 per cent of the group, private equity firm CVC Capital Group and Stagecoach who operate a similar facility in the UK. The consortium has apparently raised their cash offer to 500 pence per share from 450 pence, which had been magnanimously rejected by the board.

Shareholders in Cadbury are apparently not being coy, and are pressing Kraft to raise their takeover bid for the UK confectionery group and as soon as possible.

Reports have it that some of Cadbury’s principal shareholders are anxious to see the deal go through, as they are afraid to see any takeover become a long drawn out issue. A spokesman for one of Cadbury’s largest shareholders expressed their fears by saying: “The longer Kraft dithers, the more chance of a counter-bidder appearing on the scene."

On the FTSE, the U.K.’s third-largest oil and natural gas company, BG Group Plc, saw their share value rise by 3.8 percent after announcing that the Guara oil field, of which they hold 30 percent, has been found to contain between one to two billion barrels of oil.

Stock in the Hilton Food Group Plc climbed two percent, to 192.5 pence in anticipation of positive half year results. The U.K. meat-packer works with most leading supermarket chains including Tesco Plc. Home Retail Group Plc, owners of the Argos store chain is also scheduled to release their second quarter trading statement. The stock rose 0.6 percent, to 329.7 pence in anticipation of promising results. Not looking quite so promising was the outlook for Kesa Electricals Plc who owns the Comet appliance stores group. Their stock fell 0.9 percent to 151.6 pence pre-release of their first-quarter interim management statement

The FTSE 100 index failed to maintain its above 5,000 points status on a flat days trading on Thursday. The index closed down 16.62 points at 4,987.68

The FTSE 250’s rise was checked yesterday, with the index falling 11.34 points to close on 9,125.71

The pound rose against the Euro for the first time in almost a week, as well as continuing to improve against the dollar, and the other major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.669
  • Pound/Euro 1.1426
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 152.8564
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7312

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to rise, up 70.29 points to 9617.51 while the NASDAQ Composite also rose by 20.31 points to close on 2080.7.

General Motors (GM) have finally reached a decision regarding the European based Opel and Vauxhall plants. As expected the successful bidder is the Canadian car parts manufacturer Magna

German Chancellor Angela Merkel was reported to be "very pleased" about GMs decision, especially as Magna, who are Russia’s Sberbank, has made it obvious that all four German plants will remain open.

However the long term future of Vauxhall and its 5,500 UK workers still remains uncertain.

Oil prices have risen above $72 a barrel following Opec’s decision not to change the amount of oil being produced by its members.

US light sweet crude rose 85 cents to $72.16 in Asian trading, as the euro continued to gain ground against the US dollar in currency markets.

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UK Mortgage approvals continue to rise in July

August 26th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

financial news

An increase in July of more than 75% in the number of home purchase loans approved by British banks, made for the most encouraging figures since February 2008, while net mortgage lending growth remained as its weakest level since the year 2000.

The British Bankers’ Association announced 38,181 mortgage applications were approved in July in comparison to 35,564 in June and up from 22,248 in July when demand for properties in the UK were are at an all time low. In addition, average loan values rose from 136,400 pounds in June to 139,700 pounds.

This month’s statistics add further proof that the housing market may be entering into a period of continued stability; however analysts hastened to temper enthusiasm by pointing oath that mortgage approvals remained below the average and were indicative of falling property prices.

Bovis Homes recently reported that they have moved into a positive cash situation, and for the first time in two years, yet another sign that of recovery in the UK’s hard pressed domestic construction industry.

The group’s who were holding a net debt package of £8 million at the end of June, are now in funds to the tune of £7 million.

It appears that the Royal Bank of Scotland have hit a stumbling block with the proposed sale of their retail and commercial assets in China to their preferred bidder, Standard Chartered. The company had entered exclusive talks with the RBS last month to acquire assets in China, India and Malaysia, and were excited at the prospect of closing the deal "within a matter of weeks " However reports now have it Standard Chartered and now a lot less enthusiastic about the deal than they were, which now appears to have been put on hold.

British steel-maker Corus announced recently that they intend to kick start production at its Llanwern works in Wales. Their decision was prompted by a revival in the demand for steel, as the global economic downturn eases and generates a rise in the price of steel. Corus, Europe’s second-biggest steel concern, are to restart production at their hot rolling mill, shut down in January due to lack of demand.

Reactivating the plant will not mean that 500 or more jobs cut by Corus at the time when they put the plant in mothballs will automatically be restored, as the company claims that their operating costs have since risen.

Home improvement chain Focus DIY has reached an agreement with their creditors, particularly their landlords, which will save them from administration.

An overwhelming majority of the company’s creditors voted in favour of the company’s proposal to enter into a Company Voluntary Arrangement (CVA).

Under the terms of the CVA, an increasingly popular insolvency process, Focus will be able to reduce annual overheads by £8.6 million by shedding leases on 38 stores where the company has ceased to operate, and in return Focus has offered their landlords partial compensation. In addition the landlords of the company’s 180 stores have agreed to accept monthly rather than quarterly rent payments until 2011.

Focus, acquired by Cerberus, the US private equity group, has been carrying a heavy debt burden which has been exacerbated by a marked reduction in consumer spending.

On the FTSE, optimism lifted shares in Diageo, producers of Smirnoff vodka and brewers of Guinness beer up 0.9 per cent to 971½ pence, in anticipation that results due to be issued on Wednesday will show that the company’s sales have taken a turn for the better. Demand is expected to be on the increase among US wholesalers with Diageo looking to increase their market share.

Shares in National Express rose to their highest level since January, gaining 3.5 per cent to 395 pence, as speculation increases that that any break-up bid could value the transport group at as much as 450 pence a share.

Shares in the Royal Bank of Scotland rose by 3.9 per cent to 54 pence, fired by speculation that the bank may try to buy back some of the seventy percent stake held by the UK government.

Profit taking weighed on car insurers Admiral Group, whose shares dropped by 2.6 per cent to close on 1044 pence, after the company released first-half results that exactly matched analysts’ expectations. The company’s stock has gained 20 per cent recently.

Increased US consumer confidence and housing data helped the FTSE 100 reverse to close up 20.57 points, at a new 10-month high of 4,916.8, at its highest level for the year. The FTSE 250 rose by a further 28.92 points to close on 8,860.81

Sterling continued to weaken on Tuesday’s trading, remaining in a 10-week trough against the Euro,

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6329
  • Pound/Euro 1.1429
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 153.6205
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7364

The Obama administration is bracing for a political backlash on Tuesday when it issues national debt numbers showing federal debt rising by $9,000 billion over the next decade, a figure significantly higher than forecasts made earlier. In addition the both the White House and Congress have warned that US budget deficit will soar to almost $1.6 trillion (£978bn) this year, the highest on record,.

Fuelled by President Obama’s $787 billion stimulus package and reduced tax revenues due to the recession, this year’s deficit compares with $455 billion for 2008.

The White House also expects that US unemployment will pass a 10% figure during 2009, before slowly beginning to decline in 2010.

US stocks once again rose to record heights for the year on Tuesday as encouraging economic data was enough to keep the rally going as well as optimism sparked by Ben Bernanke staying on for a second term as chairman of the Federal Reserve.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite index both gained 0.3 per cent to 9,539.29 and 2,024.23, respectively.

Commodities markets ticked lower on Tuesday as investors paused for breath following the recent run higher in anticipation for a swift and sustained world economic rebound.

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Chelsea Building Society victims of multi-million pound fraud

August 24th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

financial news

Officers in charge of the Chelsea Building Society held their head in their hands on Friday as they sheepishly admitted that the society had fallen victims to £41 million fraud by some of their buy-to-let borrowers.

The Chelsea, UKs fifth-largest building society, hastened to explain that if the fraud hadn’t taken place their half year loss of £26 million would have been a £15 profit, which still looks bad when compared to their £23 million of last year, but will still be acceptable given the current economic circumstances.

In an act of accountability which is rare in the UK these days, the society announced that both Finance Director Andrew Parsons and Chief Executive Richard Hornbrook will be resigning their posts as details of the fraud began to unravel. Initial findings are Chelsea reveal that artificially inflated property values by professionals such as mortgage brokers and surveyors were the main factors, whilst acknowledging that the society’s risk controls may not have been as tight as they could have been at a time of booming demand for mortgage finance and runaway house prices.

Chelsea has since conducted a review of its risk management, setting up a number of risk committees.

The much heralded government scheme purporting to offer up to £5 billion to help protect suppliers from the collapse of their customers has so far attracted only minor interest with only £7 million of assistance being provided to a mere 52 UK companies to date. .

The thinking behind the scheme was to prop up private sector insurers who were growing increasingly nervous about their levels of exposure during the credit crisis.

The reasons for the scheme’s low take-up has been blamed on the scheme’s tight restrictions and comparatively high charges, amounting to 2 per cent of turnover, which is more than four times the cost of typical private sector insurance.

On Thursday, the UK business department announced that they would be cutting charges to 1 per cent in the hope that more entrepreneurs would take up the initiative.

Barclays has recently published research suggesting that business sentiment amongst the UKs businesses is on the rise.

Almost three quarters of UK businesses surveyed in the poll described their attitude towards the economy as more positive, with the research also revealing a confident stance towards recovery, with 15 per cent of respondents believing their company will move back into a sustained growth phase within the next six months.

An interesting point raised in the poll was that a significant number of business leaders believe that the current recession was positively affecting motivation levels of staff and management within their company.

Officials of the UKs largest state controlled bank, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc have been asked to appear at a hearing due to take place in October where the subject of whether the Treasury violated its own environmental standards by bailing out the bank will be discussed

It was also revealed on Friday that clients of Lehman Brothers’ European operations are liable face further delay before they can recover part If not all of their $9 billion of assets. The news came after an English judge decided he could not approve a scheme mooted by PwC, administrator of the defunct bank’s main European operations that would have helped expedite the winding up of the collapsed bank’s complicated operations.

PwC had proposed a scheme that would have divided the bank’s more than 1,000 clients into three classes. A move that would have allowed the administrators to deal with claims by class rather than each one separately. .

Thelondonpaper, the free sheet published by News International, owners of the Sun and the Times, will be wound up after the company announced advertising income had “fallen short of expectations”.

Rupert Murdoch has vowed to charge for all the online content of his newspapers and television news channels. Price rises are now one of the few growth strategies available to newspaper publishers.

The UK Office of Fair Trading (OFT) could force some of Britain’s largest bus companies to sell off their buses or even entire depots after they ruled that a lack of competition in the local bus market may be a cause for inflated fare tariffs and sub standard services.

OFT’s proposal is one of a series suggested in a recent study that reach the overall conclusion that operators in the £3.6 billion market could be overcharging customers.

After a rapid wave of consolidation in 1986, currently almost y two-thirds of UK bus services are controlled by five operators – Go-Ahead, National Express, Arriva, FirstGroup and Stagecoach, with OFT revealing that passengers were paying 9 per cent more for fares in areas where there was only one national operator.

On the FTSE Friday, Cable and Wireless was among the risers, gaining 1.6 per cent to 143 pence amid hopes that the market rebound would allow it to revive plans to split out its worldwide division.

The insurance sector was also on the rise, boosted by Aviva rising 5.5 per cent to 411 pence and Friends Provident up 4.3 per cent to 82 pence

Legal & General also gained 5.6 per cent to 78 pence after major market analysts named the stock among their top picks in the sector.

The FTSE’s advance also favoured stocks with recovery potential, with British Airways being among the hottest rising 7.2 per cent to close at 188 pence.

A 2 per cent rise gave the FTSE 100 its fourth straight session of gains, up 94.31 points on Friday to its biggest gain in more than a month at 4,850.89. For the week, the benchmark was up 2.9 per cent, lifting the index to a 10-month high.

On its way back in some style is the FTSE 250 jumping a further 1.73 % or 147.47 points to close for the weekend on 8,678.83

Currency markets remained fairly stable on Friday.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6501
  • Pound/Euro 1.1522
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 155.7159
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.746

World stock markets have risen after US central bank chief Ben Bernanke said the world’s biggest economy was nearing the start of a recovery.

The Fed boss said unemployment, which is expected to top 10% in the US, would fall "only gradually".

However, European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet expressed concern at what he saw as premature talk of a full recovery.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones index rose more than 1%, while European markets were also sent higher.

US stocks rallied to new highs for the year on Friday after early optimism from Europe was boosted by signs of a US recovery.

An unexpected jump in the sales of existing homes fuelled the US stock market’s best day since late July.

This gave investors further confidence that the recession is ending, after figures earlier in the week showed factory activity in the mid-Atlantic region and manufacturing in the New York area both rose impressively last month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued its steady recovery, up a further 155.91 Points to close on 9505.96. The NASDAQ also crossed the 2,000 point barrier again up 31. 68 points to close on 2020.90

Monday evening in the US will see an end to the cash-for-clunkers scheme which has been described as "a victim of its own success" just a month after the scheme was introduced.

The decision to wind down the scheme was taken to ensure that payments do not exceed the $3 billion allocated by Congress.

By Thursday, the transportation department had recorded 457,000 transactions, worth almost $2 billion in rebates.

The board of General Motors was set to choose their preferred bidder for a controlling stake in Opel/Vauxhall on Friday. Amid intense pressure from the German government to favour Magna International, the Canadian parts maker, the decision is to be made amid growing disquiet over the sale process among other EU member states where the Detroit carmaker has operations. The UK government is concerned that the Germans will seek to call the shots in deciding which GM plants are closed or scaled back as the new owners work to put the unit on a more even financial keel. Magna is competing against RHJ International, the Brussels-based private equity group.

The price of oil has hit its highest level of the year, boosted by sharp rises in Chinese stocks and rising shares on Wall Street.

The price of US crude rose to $74.15 a barrel before settling at $73.89, a gain of 98 cents. London Brent was up 86 cents at $74.19.

Worldwide oil prices have been extremely volatile this year.

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Fears of a return to credit card defaults sweep the UK.

July 28th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Credit cards, World Banks

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Signs are beginning across the Atlantic that consumers are beginning resurrect the practice of borrowing their way out of trouble. A recent surge in consumer debt defaults in the US could well spread to the UK, according to a recent report issued by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The IMF have forecasted that of the almost £1.5 billion of credit card debt currently held in the UK, around seven percent of that, or around £100 million may need to be written off. Confirmation of the sad facts is expected to be released next week when UK banks begin reporting their first-half results. Some of them have already warned that a sharp increase in credit card debts will need to be taken into account.

House prices in the U.K. continue to solidify, expected to hold their value for a third consecutive month in July. While the credit squeeze and the recession continues to prevent the property market from improving the average cost of a home in England and Wales was stable at £155,600 pounds, which was still almost eight percent lower than in July 2008.

The National Express takeover saga continues. The company announced that they are liable reject the Cosmen family takeover bid, which only values the group at around £500 million.

It is expected when National Express present their interim results towards the end of the week, they will explain to their shareholders that their desire to remain independent, and become profitable through cutting costs and reducing their debt burdens. Steps that should make the company far more attractive for takeover in the future. ,

Two potential suitors for National Express have been turned away as they have offered around 325 pence per share, while National Express are looking for 400 pence, giving the company a value of around £620 million.

The Cosmen family are National Express’s largest single shareholder, with an 18.5 per cent holding, and Jorge Cosmen is its deputy chairman. Shares in the company have risen since Friday when the Cosmen family in partnership with CVC confirmed their interest.

It was carnival time on the FTSE as the market equaled its record of eleven consecutive positive session

Among the best performers was Lloyds Banking Group who added 6.9 per cent to close on 88.33 pence. Analysts expect shares in Lloyds to reach as high as 100 pence in anticipation of the bank’s half year results to be announced on Wednesday.

The FTSE 100 index closed up by only 9.52 points to 4586.13, taking e index’s gains over the past 11 sessions to 10.6 per cent which is a new record, beating the 7.1 per cent in 1997.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 recorded its first reverse for a while down 61.58 points to 7,876.86

The pound gained a little ground on Monday against the leading currencies.

Pound/US dollar 1.6464

Pound/Euro 1.1573

Pound/Japanese Yen 156.5371

Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7634

Chairman of the US central bank Ben Bernanke rushed to defend the US bail-out plan of which he was among the principal architects. Bernanke admitted that his fears that the UK were heading into a second Great Depression had helped him to decide to back the stimulus plan which has so far cost the US taxpayer around $700 billion. Bernanke went on to point out that the bailout had widely benefitted the US economy and that no one should be surprised if further capital might be required to prop up the system.

Seemingly unfazed, the Dow Jones continued its steady rise, up by 15.27 points to 9108.51. The NASDAQ made a small gain, up a mere 1.93 points to close on 1967.89.

Recent reports have revealed that the annual rate of new home sales in the United States has risen by more than ten percent in June, further signs that the property sector is over the worst.

The US Department of Commerce announced that sales of new properties have hit a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 384,000 in June, against 346,000 in May.

Whilst June’s figures were the strongest seen since November 2008, the average sale was down 5.8% from May and 12% lower than a year ago at $206,200 (£125,000),

On Monday Commodities made a strong start to trading, continuing last week’s gains. Prices of European crude rose beyond the $70-a-barrel mark while base metals staged a broad advance, led by copper that

jumped to its highest level in almost 10 months in the London, New York and Shanghai markets. The commodities are always an excellent barometer to gauge the extent of the global economic recovery.

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UK Government now own their own railroad

July 2nd, 2009 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, The Markets

governmentThe government says it intends to take the East Coast rail service, run by National Express, into state ownership. The troubled rail franchise, which is expected to have lost £20m in the first half of the year, is suffering from falling passenger numbers.

Ministers have refused National Express’s requests for its contract with the government to be renegotiated. The Department for Transport said that all East Coast services would continue and that tickets would be honoured Tesco may launch a bid for Northern Rock as the Government attempts to sell off the nationalised lender before the General Election, according to reports. The supermarket chain has shown “provisional” interest in buying the bank which was nationalised as the credit crisis brought the financial system within hours of collapse, the Times reported.
The paper reports Gordon Brown wants Northern Rock returned to the private sector at a substantial profit before an election. Virgin, which tried to buy Northern Rock at the time, has expressed interest but it is understood that the Treasury is not in talks with any potential bidder.

A Tesco spokesman said the report was “pure speculation”.

A Treasury spokesman: “Any decision will be taken in the best interests of financial stability and of the taxpayer. “Our only focus is our discussions with the European Commission around the restructuring of Northern Rock and the implementation of Northern Rock’s new mortgage lending.”

The Government favours a sale rather than a flotation because it would be quicker, the paper reports. Last week MPs said an under-prepared Treasury was “caught flat-footed” by the run on mortgage lender Northern Rock in September 2007. The Public Accounts Committee (PAC) attacked the department’s lack of readiness to deal with a failing bank despite warning signs emerging as early as 2004.

Northern Rock – the first UK bank victim of the credit crunch – was propped up by almost £27 billion in emergency loans from the Bank of England and eventually nationalised in February 2008.

MUSIC and books retailer HMV Group has seen profits soar over the past year despite the recession, it announced today. The retailer reported an 11.5 per cent rise in annual profit, a result which has been helped in part by the demise of the firm’s smaller rivals. The 88-year-old firm, which runs the famous UK high street music, DVD and video games shops, as well as Waterstone’s bookstores, this morning posted profit before tax and one-off items of GBP 63 million for the year ended April 25.
Sales from continuing operations rose 4.4 percent to GBP 1.96bn.

HMV has benefited from the collapse of rivals Woolworths and Zavvi which, after years of struggling with competition from the internet and supermarkets, succumbed at the start of the recession. “We are working hard to maximise both the market share opportunity that has arisen from the withdrawal of competitors, and the investments that have been made over the last two years to improve performance,” an HMV spokesman said. The results were driven by increased sales of games, music and films at the HMV store, with Waterstone’s seeing a drop in sales of 3.6 per cent to GBP 548.3m.

BEFORE the credit crisis of 2007/08, Lloyds TSB was rated the sixth safest banking group in the world. That all changed when it was forced to save HBOS from the knacker’s yard, taking on all of the former building society’s toxic waste. Now renamed Lloyds Banking Group, and 43pc owned by the UK government, Lloyds will report the lowest credit losses of all Europe’s largest capitalised banks by 2011 and will be able to act commercially despite being part-owned by the government.

Favourable broker comment also got Barclays going. It jumped 11.55p to 279.65p after long-term bear SocGen suddenly turned positive in the wake of the [pounds sterling]8bn sale of its Barclays Global Investors arm to Blackrock. It upgraded to hold from sell and raised its 2010 target price to 260p from 36p.

Although SocGen continues to adopt a cautious stance on the bank sector, its top pick is Barclays. It says that while not all of its problems have been addressed, evidence suggests a solid foundation for future independent growth has emerged.

It was frisky financials that helped the Footsie close 53.02 points higher at 4294.03 on hopes that the worst of the crisis is over.

Car insurer Admiral accelerated 271/2p to 8831/2p after Credit Suisse upgraded to outperform from neutral A reassuring trading statement lifted media group Informa 191/4p to 231p. It continues to trade in line with ‘management expectations despite very challenging trading conditions’. Broker Singer Capital Markets says that while the group is lacking a catalyst and remains in debt-pay-down mode, the valuation has become much more appealing.

News that Hargreaves Lansdown is trading ahead of expectations left the close 9p higher at 210p. The investment group said revenues for the 11 months to end-May 2009 are 10pc ahead of revenues for the same period last year. It now expects the full-year outcome to be slightly ahead of top end expectations, currently at [pounds sterling]69.1m.
Insurer Gable Holdings firmed 1/2p to 81/2p on pleasing annual results. Pretax profits rose to [pounds sterling]910,000 from [pounds sterling]510,000 and net insurance margins jumped to 22.5pc from 16.5pc. It recently announced a new contract with a French insurance broker.

Better-than-expected annual results attracted buyers to marketing software company Portrait Software, 33/4p up at 111/2p. It reported a strong second-half of the year and a good start to the current year including a big contract win from Dell Computers.

SDI, the automated warehousing systems specialist, added 5/8p to 51/2p on news of a confirmed order book of [pounds sterling]29m and a pipeline of potential orders of [pounds sterling]21m for the current year.

London equities held reasonably firm on Tuesday, helped by more optimistic data from the UK housing market and support from the resource stocks in line with firmer commodities markets As trading closed, the FTSE 100 had reversed its gain from Monday losing 44.82 points to finish the say’s trading on 4,249.21
The FTSE 250 dropped for the first time in three days, by 62.65 points to close on Sterling’s day was weak against the leading currencies.

Pound/US dollar 1.6436
Pound/Euro 1.711
Pound/Japanese Yen 159.1014
Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7841

US equities rallied on Monday as upgrades in the consumer sector and improving energy stocks helped lift stocks later in the day after an early collapse.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones finished the day dropping most id its previous day’s gains, down 82.38 points to 8447, while the NASDAQ lost 9.02 points to close on 1835.04.

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RBS may still have a few more surprises up their sleeve- most of them unpleasant.

June 18th, 2009 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Employment, Money Management, Recession, Saving, The Budget, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks

bankingAs the Royal Bank of Scotland’ struggles to push itself out of the quagmire created by Sir Fred and his crew, unpleasant surprises continue to emerge. A recent statement by incumbent CEO Stephen Hester made at the recent British Property Federation conference. The bank’s losses on real estate loans could be higher than it has provisioned for.
Hester went on to add that the bank’s updated assessment is that it could take between three and five years for the excessive level of property lending to level out. Summing up on a more positive note, Mr. Hester said that he foresaw for the future that RBS would need to reduce its exposure to the sector significantly, but that it would “behave responsibly and play a long game”, helped by the fact that most borrowers were continuing to service the interest on their debts.

Meanwhile UK chancellor Alistair Darling issued a warning to the British Bankers’ Association that further regulation and a crackdown on sloppy boardroom practices are on their way, including new regulations on higher liquidity and capital standards at banks. His announcement comes ahead of the release of a Treasury white paper next week on financial regulation, and the forthcoming EU summit in Brussels on plans for regional regulation of the banks.

That perennial bearer of bad news, the Office for National Statistics announced that UK unemployment has passed the two and a quarter million mark, in the three months to April 2009, making for the highest UK unemployment levels since November 1996. However there was a minor crumb of comfort to be taken from the news that the number of people claiming unemployment benefit rose by only 39,000, less than the 60,000 forecast by analysts.

Bus and rail operator National Express have announced the successful renegotiation of terms against their outstanding £1.2 billion, allaying fears that the company were liable to breach payment conditions set on the existing loan.

National Express have been fighting an uphill battle coping with servicing such a massive debt burden, whilst struggling with a major slump in passenger revenues, especially on its East Coast train franchise. At the same time, payments to the Department for Transport to service the franchise have been on constant increase.

And if things are bad on the ground, then they seem to be a lot worse in the air. If you need confirmation ask Willie Walsh, British Airways chief executive, who is facing fresh conflict with the unions on his proposal that BA staff should follow his personal example and work without pay for a month.

Walsh sent a personal note to each of the company’s 40,000 employees, asking them to volunteer for up to four weeks of unpaid work or unpaid holiday leave. Either option means no salary.

Needless to say it looks like Walsh faces a tough task convincing staff to accept his proposal, being that there is already no love lost between the company and the unions. Both Willie Walsh and BA’s chief financial officer Keith Williams set a precedent by announcing that they will be waiving their salaries for July. However a spokesman for Unite, BA’s biggest union, remained unmoved and unimpressed by observing that: “Willie Walsh can afford to work a month for free. Our members can’t

On the stock market, Sainsbury’s shares dropped 5.65 per cent to 313 pence after a surprise announcement that they plan to raise £445 million of fresh capital through a stock issue estimated to be worth £255 million as well as £190 million of convertible bonds offer. The capital is earmarked to fund the company’s growth; a spokesman for Sainsbury’s pointed out.

On the announcement that they had acquired a majority stake in an Indonesian clove cigarette maker shares in British American Tobacco (BAT) rose 0.2 per cent to 1660 pence. The acquisition that will cost BAT around £300 million will elevate the company to be the world’s fifth-biggest tobacco company, increasing their global market share from 2 per cent to 9 per cent.

The recent publication of the Digital Britain white paper has already worked wonders for the BT Group as hopes that government plans to extend broadband internet access would greatly benefit the fixed-line operator. After an advance of 8 per cent on Tuesday, shares in BT in rose a further 3 per cent to 106 pence.

Yesterday was not such a great day for FTSE. The 100 continued on its course of fluctuation this week falling 50.11 points to finish on 4,278.46. The FTSE 250 continued its rapid downward descent this time losing 174.45 points to close on 7,309.05.

Sterling rose for the second day again ever so slightly against the dollar, while losing considerable ground against the other major currencies

Pound/US dollar 1.6427
Pound/Euro 1.1766
Pound/Japanese Yen 157.0514
Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7711

The US government has announced a major reform of banking regulation to prevent future financial crises. The overhaul will require big banks to set more money aside against future losses to curb excessive risk taking. Consumers will enjoy the protection through a new government agency formed to protect their interests as well as regulating credit on mortgages and credit cards.

The US equities market moved into fluctuation mode on Wednesday as the government released details of their proposed regulations.
The Dow Jones rose 42.77 points to close on 8547.44, while the NASDAQ climbed back over the 1800 barrier, up 23.99 points to 1820.17.

US consumer prices rose less than had been expected in May, as the recession continued to keep inflation down.

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