Figures released yesterday confirmed that the UK economy grew by 0.1% in the last quarter of 2009, meaning that the recession is finally over, but later and which much less impact than the US or the Eurozone economies. Britain’s economy had been in recession for eighteen months, the longest period since quarterly figures were first recorded in 1955.

The news was widely anticipated with signs such as last week’s UK unemployment figures that fell for the first time in 18 months.

Analysts now predict that no matter which party wins this year’s election when it happens, the loser will be the pound/ Reasons given are that neither David Cameron or Gordon Brown will be able to muster sufficient support in parliament to control the UK’s budget deficit, which is the largest in the in the Group of 20.

Strategists have pruned back their forecasts on the sterling versus dollar pair by as much as 2 percent this month, to the lowest level since June 2009, with Sterling liable to be weighed down by possibility of the first parliamentary stalemate in more than a generation and growth levels that lag far behind Britain’s rival industrialized economies. Add that to a fiscal shortfall that has ballooned to almost 13 percent of gross domestic product and the picture for the pound looks less than rosy.

Previous precedents do not bode well for the pound, as when the last time a U.K. election failed to produce a clear winner in 1974, Sterling fell in value by 28 percent in the next two years, with the government’s failure to fund its deficit leading to the International Monetary Fund stepping in to bail-out the economy.

The UK’s so-called ‘Big Six’ group of energy suppliers is on course for a profits windfall due to the extremely cold weather conditions experienced in the UK during December and early January. Consumers were forced to turn up their thermostats when the country experienced the coldest weather conditions for decades with the daily demand for gas hitting an all-time high on Jan. 7th of 454 million cubic meters. Analysts predict that accumulative profits for the big six (Centrica, EDF, E.ON, Scottish and Southern Energy, ScottishPower and RWE npower) could easily reach an additional £100 million for the period.

The Chelsea and Yorkshire building societies are expected to finalise details of a merger this week. Doing so will mean the creation of the second biggest society in Britain, after the Nationwide. Yorkshire Building Society members are liable to give their thumbs up for the merger, following the lead of the Chelsea Building Society who gave their support to the deal on Friday. A successful deal would mean the consolidated company would have combined assets of £35 billion pounds, around three million members and 180 branch offices around the UK.

On the news that Barclays plans to defer bonuses for top executives including Chief Executive Officer John Varley for up to three years, stock in the company 4.1 percent, to 271.35 pence.

Pilots at British Airways pilots have been warned by the labor unions representing the cabin crews not to become strike breakers if an employment dispute leads to a work stoppage. News that caused BA’s stock to decline 0.8 percent, to 207.9 pence.

Prudential Plc, the U.K.’s largest insurer have announced plans to cut back expansion in developed markets to focus on growth in developing Asian countries, such as Malaysia, Vietnam and Indonesia. Shares in Prudential shares dropped 0.4 percent to 605.5 pence.

Sterling rose slightly against the dollar and the Europe in early week trading. The pound closed at 1.6144 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.146

Shares in the FTSE 100 took a minor downturn, despite the news that the recession was over in the UK. It closed on Tuesday down 26 points to 5,276.85.

A calmer mood prevailed in markets on Monday and Tuesday after a three day downturn that knocked 5 per cent of its values. Reports coming out of Washington over the weekend suggesting that Ben Bernanke looks like being reappointed chairman of the Federal Reserve for another four-year term settled the markets which had closed at fresh a 15-month high as recently as last Tuesday.

The Dow Jones rose by 84 points, to close at 10255.28, while the NASDAQ recovered 14 points, to finish at 2210.53.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) sales of previously-owned US homes fell 16.7% in December, after having risen in the three months from September to November as first-time buyers took advantage of tax credits. However the decline in December came as no surprise as most buyers had rushed to complete deals before the original 30 November deadline. The first-time buyer tax credit has since been extended until 30 April, causing the NAR to predict that there was likely to be another surge in sales in the spring. December sales fell to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.45 million from 6.54 million in November, 15% higher than in the comparable period in December 2008.

Computer giant Apple have announced a 50% increase in profits after seeing a bumper Christmas period, with sales of iPhones doubled from a year ago.

Net income rose to $3.38 billion (£2.08 billion) in the three months to 26 December, from the $2.26 billion in the same period in 2008. A spokesman for Apple announced that they had succeeded in selling 8.7 million iPhones in the quarter. Sales of Macs also rose 33%, although iPod sales fell by 8%.

General Motors (GM) has confirmed that Saab is to be eventually acquired by Dutch luxury carmaker Spyker.

GM has been trying to sell Sweden’s Saab since January 2009 although recently they announced that they would begin the procedure of winding down the company while still continuing their search to find a buyer.

Wind-down activities have now been suspended, "pending the close of the transaction".

Saab lost £255 million in 2008, and has not made a profit since 2001.

In the commodities market, gold took advantage of the relative stability in the dollar, to rise to $1,097 an ounce. Oil also rose by 0.5 percent to $74.92 a barrel.

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Tags: Apple, Banking, Barclays, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, Centrica, Chelsea Building Society, Credit Crunch, David Cameron, Dow Jones, E.ON, Economics, Economy, EdF, Federal Reserve, Financial News, FTSE, General Motors, Gordon Brown, International Monetary Fund, iPhone, John Varley, Money, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, Nationwide, Prudential Plc, Recession, RWE npower, Saab, Scottish and Southern Energy, ScottishPower, Spyker, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Yorkshire Building Society

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) has predicted that house prices are unlikely to rise by much more than one to two percent in 2010. The nation’s chief surveyors’ body did however raise the possibility that more properties would change hands in 2010. In their report, RICS pointed out that the housing market had come through the past year in better shape than many had predicted but said it believed several factors would limit price rises.

According to figures issued by the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), the UK economy shrank by 0.2% between July and September, which is less than the previous estimate of a 0.3% contraction. While the news confirms that the country is not yet out of the recession, it does add weight to predictions that fourth quarter figures will show the economy is finally returning to growth.

The UK recession, which began in the second quarter of 2008, has seen the UK economy contract by 6%. Meanwhile the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has forecast that in 2010 recovery for the UK economy will be at best ‘fragile’. The CBI confirmed that the UK economy was likely to come out of recession in the fourth quarter this year, driven by increased spending from consumers looking to buy before the January VAT increase. However, they went on to warn that economic growth would be weak, at around 0.3%, for the first two quarters of 2010, with wage freezes continuing into spring and job losses until the autumn

Lehman Brothers, one of the first major investment banks to collapse during the current financial downturn are back to their old ways, is hiring new staff on fat salary/bonus packages as well as paying generous bonuses in London to existing staff, to stop them from defecting. The bank is reportedly recruiting middle and back office staff in order that their administrators PwC can wade through the millions of transactions that must be reconciled with clients and trading partners to determine what is owed or can be claimed. Meanwhile the judge overseeing Lehman’s US bankruptcy in New York last week approved an extra $50 million (£30 million) in bonus pay-outs to some 230 derivatives traders working to help to untangle the dead bank’s $10 billion portfolio. The bonus pay-outs come as bankers face anger and derision over probable bonuses at the end of this year.

British Telecom (BT) are reported to by pushing forward the launch of its super fast broadband network to make sure that the infrastructure is completed in time for the 2012 Olympic Games in London. Britain’s broadband speeds lag behind those of many industrialized countries and BT is under pressure to fix the problem. The company is planning to spend £1.5 billion on a new broadband network based on optical fiber, but it will run past only 40 per cent of homes, mainly in towns and cities. BT originally pronounced that it could take until March 2013 to build the urban-focused network, but, following successful trials, it now appears that the project will be completed by June 2012, with the Olympics beginning the following month. When it does get going, the new network is designed to increase broadband download speeds 10-fold, to about 40 megabits per second, to cope with the rise of bandwidth-hungry services such as high-definition video.

BAA has won its appeal against the Competition Commission but remains unsure whether the judgment means the company will have to sell airports in London and Scotland. In March of this year, the UK’s largest airport operator was ordered to sell three of its seven airports: Gatwick, Stansted and either Glasgow or Edinburgh. The company won their appeal on a number of arguments, one of them that a decline in passenger numbers should have been considered in the decision

The Competition Commission (CC) has finally cleared the merger of ticket agent Ticketmaster and concert promoter Live Nation. The UK regulator has confirmed that the merger would "not result in a substantial lessening of competition in the market" in the UK.

CC’s decision marks a reversal from their provisional ruling, where they vetoed the merger, stating that they were concerned about its ramifications.

The US Justice Department is also investigating the proposed merger, which was originally closed in February.

According to a new poll by the Auto Trader magazine, the Ford Focus has been voted the UK’s most popular car of the decade. The small family car beat our sports cars, SUVs and city cars to take first place. Despite the company being rocked by financial issues in the past ten years, Ford has retained its place as an iconic motoring brand, with two of its other models, the Fiesta and Mondeo, ranking high in the list of most loved cars by the British public. The Auto Trader poll, designed to analyse the key motoring trends over the past ten years, also looked at categories including ‘greenest’ car and ‘best value for money’ car.

Sterling was seen to be weakening in mid week trading against the dollar and the Euro.

• Dollar 1.5956
• Euro 1.111922

On the FTSE house builders edged higher after analysts announced that the sector valuation was looking brighter after a period of under performance that left them trading below book value. Forecasts are that UK house prices are to fall by 5 to 10 per cent as unemployment peaks in the second quarter of 2010, and saw rising interest rates damping the recovery for the next two years. Despite the less than encouraging forecasts, Taylor Wimpey was up 4 percent to 35¾ pence while Barratt rose 1.7 per cent to 116 pence. However, Redrow fell 0.2 per cent to 131½ pence.

The FTSE 100 gained for a second day, adding 34.67 points to close on 5,328.66, just 54 points off its 2009 high.

Official figures show that the US economy grew by less than originally estimated in the third quarter, with the latest estimate showing an annual growth pace of 2.2%, the figure was down from the previous estimate of 2.8%. In any case, July- September was the first quarter in which the US economy returned to growth, after four quarters of decline.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8 per cent to 10,414.14 while the Nasdaq Composite was 1.2 per cent higher at 2,237.66, a welcome recovery after losses last week as the dollar strengthened and concern grew over the prospect of a tighter monetary policy.

A report issued by the National Association of Realtors (NAOR) showed new home sales in the US rose 7.4% in November, apparently spurred on by government incentives. NAOR also announced that property sales rose in the month to an annual rate of 6.5 million, making for the highest level in more than two years.

On Tuesday the OPEC oil cartel provided its strongest indication yet that it aims to keep oil prices at $70-$80 a barrel next year as it tries to support the economic recovery. As a first step, the cartel, which controls more than 40 per cent of the world’s oil output, agreed to leave its production levels unchanged at least until the end of the first quarter of 2010.

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Tags: 2012 Olympic Games, Auto Trader, BAA, Bank, Barrat, Barratt, Barratt Developments, BCC, British Chambers of Commerce, British Economy, British Pound, British Telecom, BT, CBI, Competition Commission, Confederation of British Industry, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Gatwick, House Prices, Lehman Brothers, Money, Money Markets, Mortgage, Mortgages, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, OPEC, Property Prices, Recession, Redrow, RICS, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, Stansted, Taylor Wimpey, Ticketmaster, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US Justice Department, Wall Street

The Treasury is looking at introducing tougher requirements on bankers’ pay disclosure than those proposed last week by Sir David Walker.

Alistair Darling, the chancellor, announced a formal consultation exercise on Monday on whether legislation should go further than the Walker review, which proposed that banks should disclose the numbers of employees earning above £1 million.

Treasury officials said there was a case for greater disclosure, for example starting at £750,000 and having narrower bands.

The news came as the chairman of the Financial Reporting Council; Sir David Hogg signalled that his review of broader corporate governance at UK listed companies, published on Tuesday, would be more far-reaching than Sir David’s recommendations on bank boards.

U.K. house prices rose for a fourth month in November as the shortage of homes for sale sustained the property market, according to industry sources.

The average cost of a home in England and Wales climbed 0.2 percent from October to 156,700 pounds, meaning that prices are down 11 percent from the 2007 peak. While U.K. mortgage data due today may show loan approvals at the highest level in 19 months in October, rising unemployment may curb house price increases next year. According to Bank of England Governor Mervyn King, the economy’s recovery from the longest recession on record isn’t “particularly strong.”

Dubai World, the investment company whose $59 billion of liabilities caused stock markets across the World some anxiety will ask all creditors for a “standstill” agreement as it negotiates to extend maturities according to Dubai’s Department of Finance. Reports are that the plan will not be acceptable to most investors and would be considered a default. Dubai, the second-biggest of seven states that make up the United Arab Emirates (UAE)., and its state-owned companies borrowed $80 billion to fund an economic boom and diversify its economy. The global credit crisis and a decline in property prices hurt companies like Dubai World as they struggled to raise loans and forced the emirate to turn for help to Abu Dhabi, UAE capital who hold 8 percent of the world’s oil reserves.

Barclays Bank will book a gain close to £1 billion more than expected on the sale of its asset management arm to BlackRock thanks to a 62 per cent rise in the US fund manager’s shares since the deal was struck. The UK bank on Tuesday completed the £9.1 billion sale of Barclays Global Investors (BGI) to BlackRock, which becomes the world’s biggest asset manager with more than $3,000 billion .Barclays has taken a 19.9 per cent stake in BlackRock as part of the cash-and-shares deal. The sale price was £6.2 billion higher than the value of BGI in the accounts of Barclays, and £900 million more than estimated when the deal was agreed in June.

Thomas Cook will refinance their £1.65 billion loan facilities by next summer but has no plans to use a rights issue, according to a leading company representative. The tour operator’s current facilities are due to expire in May 2011. The company has predicted that 2010 would be a tough trading year, and the refinancing plans were announced as Thomas Cook revealed that net debt had more than doubled from £292 million in 2008 to £675 million. Explanations were that the additional debt had come from completing its share buy-back programme, acquisitions and the need for increased working capital arising from late holiday bookings.

British Airways Plc has announced that they are to conduct a series of feasibility studies and tests to see if their planes can run on bio-fuels. The airline will run the trials in conjunction with Rolls-Royce. On that piece of good news for the environment, shares in BA shares gained 0.6 pence percent, to 193.8, while Rolls-Royce rose 0.9 pence to 476.4.

Cadbury Plc Chief Executive Officer’s Todd Stitzer has signaled his support for a possible bid by U.S. candy maker Hershey Co. in preference to the hostile bid from Kraft. Meanwhile JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Bank of America Corp. are being lined up to provide Hershey a further $7 billion in finance. Cadbury’s shares later advanced 3 pence to 806.

Drinks manufacturer C&C saw its share price jump almost 9 per cent yesterday on the back of an announcement that it is to acquire the British cider assets of Constellation Brands owners of the Gaymer Cider Company, the UK’s second largest cider manufacturer, for £45 million.

The transaction is expected to be completed by mid-January 2010, and will broaden C&C’s existing cider offering beyond Bulmers and Magners to include brands such as Blackthorn, Olde English as well as Gaymers.

Under the terms of the deal C&C will also acquire a cider production facility in Shepton Mallet, Somerset, and a distribution warehouse in Bristol. As well as strengthening its position in the UK cider market, the acquisition is expected to shift C&C’s focus away from on-trade sales towards the faster-growing off-trade distribution channel.

On the Foreign Currency exchanges, the Pound rose against the dollar, yen and Swiss Franc whilst falling slightly against the Euro,

• Pound/US dollar 1.6605
• Pound/Euro 1.1002
• Pound/Japanese Yen 144.5284
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6589

Fears of a further fall in share value on the FTSE 100 were dispelled as shares continued to recover, closing in Wednesday on 5312.77, up 67 points from the weekend.

US shares headed higher on Tuesday after a flurry of economic data pointed to a rebound in the economy Better reports on construction and housing suggested there was something to look forward to.

The housing figures, from the National Association of Realtors, provided the best hopes for growth, showing sales agreements 3.7% up on the month and 32% higher than this time last year.

The Dow Jones index closed up 126.66 points, or 1.2%, on Tuesday to reach 10,471.50 points, while the NASDAQ also rose, closing the day on 2175.8.

Australia’s central bank lifted interest rates for a third consecutive month on Tuesday amid signs that inflationary pressures were building in an economy expected to return to “trend” growth of 3.25 per cent next year. The 25 basis point rise to 3.75 per cent matches increases in the last two months and is part of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s strategy of weaning the economy off historically low interest rates. The benchmark rate fell to a 49-year low of 3 per cent earlier this year.

The continuing weakness of the US dollar has pushed up demand for gold to another record level. Gold struck £722.69 an ounce on the London Bullion Market, after striking historic peaks over recent weeks. The dollar index fell 0.8% against a number of currencies as early fears regarding the Dubai debt crisis continued to wane across international markets. Demand for gold has been fueled by moves by central banks to diversify assets.

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Tags: Alastair Darling, Bank of America Corp, Bank of England, Banking, Barclays Bank, Barclays Global Investors, BlackRock, Blackthorn, British Airways Plc, British Economy, British Pound, Bullion Market, Bulmers, C&C, Cadbury Plc, Dow Jones, Dubai World, Economy, Financial News, Gaymer Cider, JPMorgan Chase & Co., Magners, Mervyn King, Money, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, Olde English, Recession, Reserve Bank of Australia, Rolls-Royce, Shepton Mallet, Sir David Hogg, Sir David Walker, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Thomas Cook, Todd Stitzer, UAE, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, United Arab Emirates

According to a survey for the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), UK companies will be relying much less on banks for credit in the future, instead pinning their hopes funding from bonds and equities.

The survey showed that half of the companies will be looking to decrease financing from bank debt after the recession winds down. More than forty percent of the companies who took part in the survey said that they could see no change in bank funding.

The new Supreme Court is expected to rule on Wednesday on whether overdraft charges can be assessed for fairness under the Unfair Terms in Consumer Contract regulations. If the Supreme Court rules in favour of consumers, banks could be forced to pay out hundreds of millions of pounds if the overdraft charges levied were ruled to be unfair, and the public could seek to recoup losses through charges on current accounts and ATM withdrawals.

The British Bankers’ Association announced that the number of home purchase loans approved by banks in October was almost double that of a year ago, with 42,238 mortgage applications being approved. The figure was slightly higher than the 42,073 loans approved in September, while they almost double what they were from the same period on 2008. Net mortgage lending rose by £3.1 billion pounds in October, the same figure as in September.

Up to their knees in this week were the Association of British Insurers (ABI), who have received between 500 and 1,000 claims relating to recent flooding in Cumbria and southern Scotland where claims totaling up to £100 million have been recorded. At least 1,500 homes were affected by the floods, six bridges are reported to have collapsed and 5,000 households were left without power. The ABI announced that it was difficult to ascertain how many more claims could be expected. Insurers have said they might have to reconsider current arrangements, whereby all homes in the UK are offered flood insurance

Britain’s biggest mortgage lender, Lloyds Banking Group Plc is scheduled to publish results of a debt exchange. Meanwhile it was reported that the banking group is in talks with Execution Ltd. and a deal may result in the creation of a joint venture. Shares in Lloyds dropped 2 percent to 88.15 pence

Following its successful merger with Spain’s Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana SA, British Airways Plc could revive plans for a tie-up with Australia’s Qantas Airways Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Willie Walsh has suggested that the Iberia model would allow Qantas to retain a separate brand and home base.

British Airways has agreed to combine with Iberia to boost its network amid a slump in international travel that contributed to a record first-half loss. The carrier abandoned merger talks with Qantas last year after the airlines failed to agree on who would control the new company. Shares in BA gained 1.6 pence, or 0.8 percent, to 202.6 pence.

Rumours abound that Nestle SA has thrown their cap into the ring in the who will buy Cadburys circus. The company is said to be weighing options would challenge Kraft Foods Inc.’s offer as well as a potential move by Hershey Co.

Cadburys are seemingly expecting a friendly bid from Hershey Co. if it can arrange the financing, with the company’s controlling trust supposed to be in favour of a $17 billion bid for Cadbury. The only thing that is certain is that Cadbury’s stock keeps on rising, up 1.2 percent to 800.5 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group Plc’s incoming chief executive officer Marc Bolland, has announced that he will focus on growth on foreign markets especially China, when he takes the reins next year. The markets remained indifferent, as shares dropped or 0.1 percent, to 380 pence.

The pound rose against the dollar, while falling against the Euro and the yen on continued concerns regarding the U.K. budget deficit.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6581
• Pound/Euro 1.1077
• Pound/Japanese Yen 146.6185
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6718

The FTSE 100 Index jumped by 82.55 points to 5,323.98, while the FTSE 250 rose by 14 points to close on 9,181.

In the US, the National Association of Realtors announced that sales of previously-owned US homes jumped by 10.1% in October as buyers rushed to take advantage of tax credits, which have now been extended.

Sales hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.1 million, up from a revised 5.54 million in September. First-time buyer tax credits had been due to expire at the end of November, but have been extended until 30 April.

The jump in October home sales was the biggest in almost three years.

The Dow Jones average took a turn for the better after the weekend, up 93 points to 10411.5 The NASDAQ rose seventeen points to finish up on 2163.73

Computer hardware giant Hewlett-Packard (HP) has announced a rise of 18% in profits for the third quarter, despite that the fact that their sales had fallen for the period. A spokesman for HP revealed that the company’s major cost-cutting initiatives had been the driving force in the £1.4 billion profit earned during the period. The firm has cut 6,700 jobs this year to trim costs.

The price of gold has hit a new all-time high, boosted by continued concerns about the weakening dollar.

Gold hit a record of $1,173.50 an ounce, up almost 2% from Friday close.

The expectation that US interest rates will remain low has put pressure on the dollar, making both gold and oil more attractive as an investment.

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Tags: ABI, Association of British Insurers, ATM withdrawals, Bank, Banking, British Airways Plc, British Bankers Association, British Economy, British Pound, Cadburys, CBI, Confederation of British Industry, Credit, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, Execution Ltd, Financial News, FTSE, Gold, Hershey Co, Hewlett-Packard, HP, Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana, Interest Rates, Kraft Foods, Lloyds Banking Group Plc, Marc Bolland, Marks & Spencer Group Plc, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, Nestle SA, Oil, Qantas Airways Ltd, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Supreme Court, UK Banks, UK companies, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession

The UK economy was stunned back on its heels on Friday when the eagerly awaited GDP figures were announced. They showed that the UK economy had contracted by 0.4% for the third quarter instead of showing growth of 0.2% that had been. This news means that tat the UK remains in recession. Despite recent euphoria, this setback means that the UK gross domestic product (GDP) has contracted for six consecutive quarters, for the first time since quarterly figures were first released more than half a century ago. However officials from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have hastened to state that the figures are not final and could still be subject to revision, as they are only the first estimate. There were some recent indications that the expected growth would not be met in the period including July to September, including negative growth in retail sales during September, and a 2.5% decline in industrial output in August.

Sterling fell by more than one percent after it transpired that analysts had incorrectly forecast that the economy would emerge from recession aid record quarterly growth of 0.2 percent. The pound lost some ground against the dollar, while strengthening against the Euro.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6307
• Pound/Euro 1.10879
• Pound/Japanese Yen 150.1223
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6758

The FTSE 100 recovered a little of Thursday’s losses, as attention turned to economic data thought likely to show an end to recession in the UK. Despite news to the contrary, the index stood its ground, up 35.21 points to close on 5242.57. The FTSE 250 25 wound up a week of constant fluctuations up just 4.74 points to 9323.65.

The number of US bank failures so far in 2009 has reached more the 100 mark. The figure was reached after US federal regulators shut down a trio of small Florida banks. So far bank failures have cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) fund an estimated $25 billion this year, with

More US banks having failed this year than in any year since 1992.

Microsoft, the US software giant announced their third quarter profits were higher than analysts predicted. The company put this down to a mixture of cost-cutting and stronger consumer demand.

Shares of Microsoft rose by 7.9 per cent to $28.68 in pre-market trading.

Despite Microsoft’s success, the Dow Jones took a major tumble before the weekend, down 109.12 points to fall below the 10,000 barrier again, closing on 9972.18. The NASDAQ Composite index dropped a little, down 10.82 points to close on 2,154.47

Sales of previously-owned US homes unexpectedly rose in September, reaching their highest level since 2007.The National Association of Realtors announced that sales had risen by 9.4% last month, making for an annual rate of 5.57 million, up from 5.09 million in August. Analysts were taken by surprise, as they had sales to reach 5.35 million units in September. Meanwhile, the average sale price dropped to £106,937 ($174,900), 8.5% down from a year ago, making for the smallest annual drop in 13 months

Crude oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel on Thursday after reaching a fresh 2009 high of $82 during the previous session. Gold prices also softened after recent strong gains, trading at an average of $1,058 an ounce

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Tags: Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Crude oil, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, FDIC, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Financial News, FTSE, Gold, gross domestic product, Microsoft, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, Office for National Statistics, Recession, Retail, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK Recession, US Banks

For a bank that succeeded in breaking the UK record for corporate losses within a financial year, you would think that the Royal Bank of Scotland Group (RBS) would keep a low profile when it comes to making financial predictions. But not the RBS. And the prediction that they have come up with is nothing less than controversial, as well appearing to be far away from what actually appears to be happening on the UK street.

It appears that a recent survey ordered by the RBS, and paid for by the UK taxpayer, predicts that U.K. house prices will plunge by a further 12.7 percent before reaching rock bottom.

UK properties, which have already plummeted in value by 15 percent since the global economy collapsed in October 2007, to an average of around £220,000, will fall a further £20,000 if RBS’s survey is to be taken seriously.

It goes without saying that the RBS survey contradicts just about every report and survey commissioned during the last quarter, as well as physical evidence showing that the number of mortgage applications is on the increase, as the UK economy slowly but surely pulls itself out of the worst financial downturn the country has seen since World War Two.

According to the Nationwide Building Society, property prices rose for a third consecutive month in July to a fourteen month high, while the highly objective and respected Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors announced earlier this month that prices will actually increase this year.

In the U.S., where the subprime mortgage collapse actually sparked the global recession, the housing market is already on the increase, with sales of existing homes jumping 7.2 percent in July, to the highest level since August 2007, according to the National Association of Realtors.

The question still remains: Who do you believe?

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Tags: British Pound, Credit Crunch, Economy, Financial News, Global Credit Crisis, Money, Mortgage, Mortgages, National Association of Realtors, Nationwide Building Society, Property Prices, RBS, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, subprime, U.K. house prices, UK Banks, UK Recession, UK taxpayer