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Osborne wakes up to difficult times ahead for UK economy

May 19th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Saving, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Credit cards, World Banks

financial news

In one of the classic understatements of the year so far, new finance minister George Osborne has just announced his findings that the British economy is in a dire state and there will be difficult times ahead. Osborne’s revelation came as the government sat down to take action on tackling the record budget deficit. Osborne took up the role of Chancellor after the center-right Conservatives joined with the center-left Liberal Democrats to form the country’s first coalition government for more than half a century, as the Labour Government wound up 13 years rule.

Britain has barely limped out of the worst recession since World War Two, and the new government is under pressure to show their pre-election promises to reduce spending and raise taxes to cut a budget deficit running at more than 11 percent of GDP were not hollow. The coalition already pledged to significantly accelerate the reduction of the deficit in the next five years, cutting £6 billion pounds ($8.75 billion) from non-frontline public services during the current financial year. George Osborne is expected to unveil his emergency Budget on June 22 as the new coalition Government attempts to overcome the appalling state of the economy inherited from Labour.

Meanwhile on the home front, news from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) is that mortgage borrowing by house buyers is on the increase, with the number of loans made to home buyers rising by 25% between February and March, to reach 45,000. First-time buyer borrowing rebounded faster than that by existing home owners, according to CML who also went on to warn that mortgage rationing might continue indefinitely unless the new government helped lenders raise finance.

The latest news on the small business front has shown decrease in UK business insolvencies last month. On a year to year basis, it was shown that

the total number of insolvencies fell by 15.1% in April compared with the same month last year, 2,274 in April 2009 down to 1,818 in April 2010.

Businesses that fell into the medium sized category were found to have suffered the most in April. Companies employing between fifty to hundred workers being the most vulnerable.

In a move that may indicate a thawing of hostilities between internet giant Google and the printed media – particularly Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp, Eric Schmidt, chief executive of Google, announced that Google were holding talks with Murdoch and other newspaper proprietors regarding running subscription services for their online sites. Murdoch has repeatedly criticized Google for undermining newspapers by allowing internet users too much access to their valuable news content. Late last year Murdoch went far as threatening to sue Google for including headlines from News International in its search results. Staring from June, the Times and Sunday Times are set to erect a pay wall limiting access to their online news sites to paying customers. The papers will also withdraw their articles from Google’s search engine

With annual results due to be issued before the weekend, mobile phone company Vodafone are expected to announce a 150 percent increase in profits, with analysts expecting pre-tax profits of around £10.4 billion for the year to the end of March. Vodafone’s profits for 2009 were just £4.1 billion, largely due to one of impairment of £5.9 billion pounds of impairment charges.

Reports are that the Spanish bank Santander are believed to have emerged as likely winners of the tender to take over the 318 Williams & Glyn-branded Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) branches across England and Wales. Santander has apparently outbid Virgin, Spanish rival BBVA and Blackstone, with only National Australian Bank’s Clydesdale Bank arm still in the running. RBS is expected to make around £2 billion pounds from the successful completion of the sale.

Meanwhile credit card firm American Express has reportedly become the latest contender to enter into bidding for the payment processing arm of Royal Bank of Scotland. The partially state owned bank has been forced to sell of this division under European Commission rules governing state aid. The move by American Express, which has joined forces with private equity house Permira to table a bid in the £2.5 billion pound auction for RBS’s Global Merchant Services division, has been welcomed by RBS. Previously the bank had stated concerns over stand alone private equity buyers having sufficient experience to manage the business. With experience of processing payments of millions of customers in 130 countries, American Express could fit the bill and help RBS in their drive to expand in emerging markets,

Property development and investment giant, British Land, appears likely to take over the mantle as being the largest company in the field in the UK, leaving their bigger rival, Land Securities in their wake, when both companies announce full year results this week. British Land is expected to reveal that its net value of assets has increased by more than 20 percent over the past year to 490 pence a share, while Land Securities will announce that their shares have risen 16 percent increase in its net asset value over 690 pence a share.

Coming back down to earth with a thump will be British Airways who are widely expected to report losses of more than £600 million pounds when they reports their results on Friday. It is expected that results for the 12 months to the end of March will mark the airline’s worst ever financial performance, over a period in which it suffered from the effects of recession, strikes and bad weather. There are suggestions from senior staff that the company will not be able to survive any further blows. Analysts attending the shareholder’s conference will be keen to hear how chief executive Willie Walsh intends to explain the losses as well as the company’s ongoing dispute with cabin crews.

Pharmaceutical retailer and wholesaler Alliance Boots are expected to join the one billion pounds club on Monday. Alliance Boots, who returned to private ownership in 2007, are expected to announce a trading profit over the one billion pound by exceeding the 11.6 percent growth in 2009, when their profit was £953 million. By passing the one billion pound profit barrier Alliance Boots will become only the third retailer to do so in the history of UK retailing.

The euro has plummeted against the US dollar, falling below $1.22 for the first time since April 2006. The eurozone’s single currency fell more than 1.7% in afternoon trading in New York, to $1.216, before rallying.

The decline came after Germany announced plans to ban naked short-selling of shares from midnight local time on Tuesday. The single currency dropped by more than 2% against the yen on the news. Forex traders fear that the austerity measures being put in place in many eurozone countries will hit growth.

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Is this an election that nobody can really win.

May 5th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

There are those political cynics that claim that when Tony Blair stood down three years ago, he was well aware of the financial train wreck waiting his natural successor Gordon Brown around the next bend. And the same people might well now be saying that Gordon and his well known cohort Alasdair can’t wait to hand over the keys of numbers ten and eleven Downing Street to anyone who will take them

Because who ever gets the keys will also inherit a financial deficit of around £150 billion. The only way to live with, never mind reduce such a deficit, is to make yourself highly unpopular, both with the people who voted for you and against you. Political analysts now predict that whoever wins the election are looking for a comparably short term stay in power, unless some kind of unprecedented financial miracle occurs. We live in hope.

A recent survey taken over 1,400 companies, still suggests that small firms remain reluctant to go to banks requesting funding. Of the companies surveyed, it was discovered that less than twenty percent of respondents applied for new credit in February and March, with only half being successful., Sixteen percent of the companies surveyed who were holding bank loans said their cost had risen in February and March.

Operators of the South-eastern franchise, Britain’s first high-speed rail service, the Go-Ahead Group will be eligible receive a continuation of the government subsidy they have received for the next four years. The continuation has been granted due to the non-completion of expected property developments around Stratford and Ebbsfleet stations, after the group won the tender in 2005. Although Go-Ahead reported an increase in passenger traffic and turnover of eight percent in the first three months of the year, they are reporting profit growth of at least ten percent for the same period.

Recent figures released by the British Franchise Association (BFA) show that, despite the recession, the franchise industry in the UK has grown in 2009. The sector’s revenue increased by £400 million pounds to £11.8 billion in 2009, with the number of franchise systems active in the UK increasing by seven form 835 to 842 . The number of employees working for franchise based operations, according to the BFA figures fell by 2,000 during 2009 to 465,000 including both full-time and part-time workers. On average, it was reported that franchises reduced the number of full-time staff, while hiring more part-time staff in 2009.

Sales of Apple’s iPhone has helped mobile phone operator Orange return to growth with revenue increasing by almost six percent to €1.3 billion since it began selling the smart phone device last November. Orange, the first UK operator to break Apple’s exclusivity deal with O2, have reported that in the last six month sit has won 220,000 new contract customers the company, owned by France Telecom has begun an integration process with T-Mobile which will make them the biggest mobile phone operator in the UK.

Arts and craft retailer HobbyCraft announce the sale of the company private equity firm Bridgepoint in a management buyout for a figure in excess of £100 million, stating that intense competition among other interested parties pushed up the price from its initial level of £75 million with profits forecasted to have increased for the recently completed financial year HobbyCraft’s most recent accounts show a 42 percent increase in earnings to £7.5 million for the year ending February 2009. Bridgepoint’s plans for HobbyCraft are to open up to an additional 100 stores over the next five years.

Shares in High Street banking giant Barclays have fallen 6.4% despite a considerable increase in pre-tax profits for the first three months of 2010.

Barclays announced profits for the first quarter of £1.82 billion, up 47% on the same period of last year. Most of the profits came from their investment banking arm Barclays Capital, although analysts expected that the division would earn more. On the news before the weekend, Barclays earned the dubious award of being the biggest faller on the FTSE 100 index, down 23 pence to 338 pence.

Uncertainty regarding the Euro pushed Sterling up against the dollar while the Euro fell again. The pound closed on $1.5309 and €1.509

On the FTSE, stocks plunged at the fasted rate for one day for five months after the economies of both Greece and Portugal were downgraded spurring concern that these heavily in debt European nations are moving closer to default. The index sank 200 points to 5,553. 29, its biggest drop for six months

The US economy grew at an annualised rate of 3.2% in the first three months of the year, down from the previous quarter. The reason for the slower growth was attributed to reduced government spending and a fall in exports. According to figures issues by the Commerce Department economy grew at a rate of 5.6% in the final quarter of 2009, with the continued recovery in the economy founded on strong personal consumption.

Before the weekend, shares on Wall Street made a minor recovery after falling sharply on Thursday. The Dow Jones closed up seventeen points to 11008.61 while NASDAQ fell 10 points to 2461.47.

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou has warned the country to be prepared for a new round of austerity measures. The news comes as the European Union (EU) meet to trash out details of an emergency plan to help tackle Greece’s crippling debt.

The findings of the negotiations between Greece, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the EU were expected to be announced on Sunday, with a . new series of cuts and tax rises expected to be demanded of Greece.

The Greek government have pressed to have the loan deal completed by the 19th May to avoid a devastating debt default. Eurozone members and the IMF have agreed a €110 billion (£95 billion) three-year bail-out package to rescue Greece’s embattled economy. The EU will provide €80 billion in funding with the rest will come from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Before the funds can be released, the loan must first be approved by each of the fifteen 15 Eurozone members.

Official figures relating to the Spain’s unemployment rate show that there are 4.6 million people out of work in the country at the end of March, taking the unemployment levels in the country to 20% for the first time since 1997,

Spain’s jobless rate is the highest in the Eurozone. With the European Union (EU) figures showed that the eurozone unemployment rate remained unchanged at a 10% level in March

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Brown wants FSA to investigate Goldman Sachs

April 21st, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

British Prime Minister Gordon Brown said on Sunday he wanted Financial Services Authority (FSA) – - Britain’s financial watchdog — to investigate Goldman Sachs after it was charged with fraud by U.S. regulators. Meanwhile, the UK Financial Services Authority did not make any comment on Brown’s speech on Sunday. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on Friday charged Wall Street investment giant Goldman Sachs with "defrauding investors" over subprime mortgage securities, which were largely blamed for the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. The government agency, which is responsible for regulating the financial markets in the country, alleged that Goldman Sachs failed to disclose crucial information to investors of its securities that a major hedge fund had bet against the securities.

Royal Bank of Scotland, the part-nationalised UK bank that lost $840 million in an allegedly fraudulent investment created by Goldman Sachs, will await the outcome of US investigations before deciding whether to pursue its own legal action. RBS will see if the Securities and Exchange Commission is likely to be successful in the civil suit it has launched against Goldman. In the suit, it accuses the investment bank of securities fraud relating to a complex derivatives deal linked to subprime mortgages. RBS lost money on the deal through its ownership of ABN, the Dutch bank it bought at the height of the credit bubble in 2007, which had acted as a guarantor for ACA, the main counterparty in the deal.

City bankers saw near unprecedented income growth over the past decade, with the highest paid receiving nearly a third of the UK’s total wage bill, according to recent research. The study, which cited bankers’ bonuses and pay at the top end of financial services as a driving force behind Britain’s rising pay inequality, found financial services professionals took home an additional £12 billion a year by the end of the ten year period.

Bank dividends throughout Europe are at their lowest level on record as recovering financial institutions retain earnings to increase capital. According to city banking sources the average dividend yield among European banks is now 1.9 percent, with over a quarter of the continent’s top 50 banks paying no dividend. Regulators have been pressuring banks not to resume or increase payments while details of new capital requirements remain unclear. Some banks have cut dividends despite making a profit, with British bank Barclays cutting its dividend from 11.5 pence to 2.5 pence despite profits of £11.6 billion last year.

Shares in Royal Bank of Scotland closed up 2.1 pence at 50.4 pence on Monday, 0.2 pence above the 50.2 pence average price paid when the Government invested £45.5 billion pounds. The current price represents a £180 million profit for British taxpayers. Shares in Lloyds Banking Group rose 0.72 pence to 65.42 pence, leaving the taxpayer £2.26 billion in the red on the Government’s 41 percent investment.

Some of the UK’s poorest northern and peripheral regions have seen a growth in business and investment, narrowing the gap with the south as an attractive place to do business, according to a recent survey. The survey showed that the highest increase in rankings since 1997 for the UK’s periphery. Northwest England was the star performer in the index, rising from eighth to fourth place among the UK’s 12 regions.

According to a quarterly report for the Institute of Practitioners in Advertising, (IPA) signs of improving business confidence among UK advertisers are beginning to show, and for the first time since 2007 The survey, regarded as a barometer for both the economy as well as the advertising industry, found some 21 percent of marketing directors had increased their advertising budget in the first quarter of 2010, while 36 percent signalled plans to raise their spending in the new financial year.

In the run up to the World Cup Bumper shipments of digital set-top boxes for televisions are set to buoy first-half sales at Pace. The football tournament, which will be broadcast in high definition and in 3D, has seen pay-TV operators ship set-top boxes to customers in time for the contest. A spokesman for the company said the World Cup would act as an advertisement for high-definition television, boosting sales after the competition has finished. Pace said trading in the first quarter of 2010 had been in line with management expectations. It has forecast double-digit revenue growth for the full year amid equally strong volume improvements. Pace is focusing on producing technology for the next generation of set-top boxes, which will combine internet connectivity, multimedia storage and digital television. Last month, it acquired Bewan, a French maker of modems and “gateway” boxes that combine the features of wireless modems, digital storage devices and internet telephony routers.

Supermarket chain Tesco are planning to recruit 1,000 new members of staff to sell electronics in its stores. Tesco’s announcement of its new scheme comes in response to the debut of the American electronics chain Best Buy in the UK next week. Best Buy specialises in offering expert advice to customers on its products, a model that Tesco is hoping to emulate with its own "tech team". Tesco is expected to become the third largest electrical retailer in the UK next year.

Sterling suffered as fears over a possible hung parliament after next month’s election weighed on the pound. An opinion poll showed the UK’s Liberal Democrats, the smallest of the country’s three main parties, had taken the lead. That was the first time the Lib Democrats have led the polls and came after a well-received performance by Nick Clegg, Lib Dem leader, in last week’s televised debate between the UK’s three main political parties. The news heightened fears that an incoming government would lack the strength to get to grips with the UK’s record fiscal deficit. The pound was last seen sitting on $1.5353, and at €1.1440.

The FTSE 100 rose 40 points to 5783.60 at close of trading on Tuesday.

Wall Street banking giant Citigroup has reported a profit of $4.4 billion (£2.9 billion) for the first three months of the year.

The result represents a return to profit after the bank lost $7.6 billion in the last quarter of last year after repaying government loans.

Last week, rival bank JP Morgan reported better-than-expected first quarter profits of $3.3 billion while the Bank of America posted a $3.2 billion profit for the period.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average made some profits early in the week, up, down 99 points to 11.117.06 while the NASDAQ Composite rose by 20 points to close on 2,500.31.

Japanese car maker Toyota has agreed to pay a record $16.4 million (£10.7 million) to US safety regulators following recent safety concerns.

Toyota was asked to pay the fine for failing to inform the US government of safety concerns surrounding faulty accelerator pedals.

Millions of Toyotas were recalled earlier this year amid reports that the pedals could become stuck.

The fine is the largest ever handed out by the US transportation department.

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Radical overhaul of state pension called for.

April 2nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Debt, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Saving, The Markets, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks, savings accounts

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The National Association of Pension Funds (NAPF) have called for a radical overhaul of the state pension system.

The NAPF, a leading pension’s body wants the next government to introduce a new ‘Foundation Pension’ that would combine the Basic State Pension and the Second State Pension and would entitle all Britons to a state retirement pot of £8,000 a year. If accepted the NAPF proposals would boost pensioners’ incomes initially by £25 a week and would later rise in line with average UK earnings. In addition, around two million UK pensioners would no longer be required to request means-tested benefits.

Consumer Focus, a UK consumer watchdog is set to complain to government regulators about the fact that individual savings accounts holders are missing out on £3 billion a year in interest because of inefficient practices by providers.

The organization are to complain to the Office of Fair Trading stating that savers were being unfairly treated by banks and building societies by the practice of “bait pricing”, meaning offering attractive headline rates on cash Individual Savings Accounts (Isas) only to see the interest rates dropping dramatically drop a short time later.

Consumer Focus have also pointed out that account holders often face unnecessary and costly delays when transferring accounts, as well as a lack of clarity on interest rates. In certain cases arbitrary rules were imposed by cash Isa providers forbidding transfers into more attractive accounts.

According to the Office of National Statistics (ONS), growth in UK household incomes has decreased rapidly during three terms of the Labour government. The ONS report shows that while growth to disposable income increased by 13 percent per person between 1997 and 2001, after these figures were adjusted to meet inflation, true incomes rose by just 1.2 percent between 2005 and 2008. And when the credit bubble was at its peak, between 2006 and 2007, incomes barely increased. During Labour’s second term in government from 2001-05, Growth in pay, benefits, pensions and dividends after tax fell to seven percent

The UK government’s car scrappage scheme, has officially come to an end, with at least 330,000 cars have been sold.

After the scheme was introduced a year ago to help the recession-hit motor industry cope with falling sales, a fifth of cars sold in the UK were part of the scheme which may have created around 4,000 new jobs with manufacturers and suppliers were supported by the scheme.

Business Secretary Lord Mandelson stated his pleasure that the scrappage scheme has delivered the results aimed for. Estimates that the 330,000 figure could still rise as a number of cars purchased through the scheme are yet be registered, meaning that figure could rise to 400,000.

Clothing retailer Matalan have announced the completion of £525 million capital rising which will replace its existing debt package. Matalan was withdrawn from the market in March after private equity groups failed to meet the £1.5 billion valuation set by Matalan. The successful refinancing means a £250 million dividend for Matalan’s founder John Hargreaves.

Music Company EMI continue to make waves, with the news that they may be taken over by its bankers. The move comes after EMI failed to meet the terms of their covenants after failing to clinch a deal with Universal to sell them their distribution rights in the United States. The debt stems from a £4.2 billion pound buyout in 2007, leaving Terra Firma the private equity firm, that owns EMI holding a £3 billion debt to Citigroup. Terra Firma is now faced with the prospect of approaching their investors in an attempt to raise £20 million pounds by June 12 or face the prospect of Citigroup seizing control of EMI.

The news that manufacturing growth in the UK has risen at its fastest pace since 1994, saw Sterling making a long overdue rise. The pound climbed 0.5 per cent to $1.5274 and gained 0.4 per cent versus the euro to close on 1.1257.

The benchmark FTSE 100 was also up as the market closed for the Easter weekend. It rose 65 points to 5,744.89, making for a 5 per cent rise during the first three months of the year, and its best start to the year since 2006

A report from the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM’s) as shown that the US manufacturing sector expanded in March at its fastest rate for six years.

The highly rated ISM’s purchasing managers index rose by 3.1 points to 59.6 points in March. Any figure of 50 or above represents growth, and last month was the eighth in succession that US manufacturers have increased their output.

The news of USA’s continued growth, which was at its fastest for 15 years in March comes after China and European nations also announced higher factory output.

As Wall Street wrapped up for the long Easter weekend, the Dow Jones Index was still on the rise up 70.44 points to 10927.07. The NASDAQ was less conservative, rising just 4.62 points to close on 2402.58

The number of Americans filing for unemployment insurance fell for the first time fell last week, matching the lowest level since August 2008. According to government data released today by the US Labor Department, there were 439,000 initial jobless claims filed in the week ended March 27, down 6,000 from an upwardly revised 445,000 the previous week.

Toyota’s US sales have reportedly bounced back as substantial discounts helped to win back customers who had been shaken by the firm’s mass safety recalls. Sales in the US for the Japanese carmaker jumped by 40.7 %in March compared with a year earlier, and after a slump of 8.7% in February.

Ford and General Motors also saw their sales rise last month, up 39.8% and 20.6% respectively, while Chrysler saw its sales fall 8.3%.

In Japan a key survey of local manufacturers has indicated that confidence is continuing to return to businesses, with the Bank of Japan’s Tankan index showing that business confidence had improved for the fourth straight quarter. The news came as Toyota saw a 50% increase in domestic car sales last month, belying some of the safety problems that have been reported in the last few weeks.

Oil moved forward from the $83-a-barrel level that has proved its undoing on many occasions over recent weeks, climbing 1.3 per cent to $84.82, the highest point since October 2008.

Gold also joined the rush, rising 1.3 per cent to close on $1,126 an ounce

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Darling’s budget sparks off election fever

March 29th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Uncategorized

financial news

Much as he tried to keep a low profile on the subject, Chancellor Alistair Darling’s budget speech on Wednesday had a definite pre-election feel to it as were most of the measures taken, with the useful suspects of cigarettes, spirits and petrol taking their usual pounding, but to varying degrees.

No sooner than Darling closed his famous red briefcase,

Shadow chancellor George Osborne launched his expected attack, describing Labour’s Budget as being empty and lacking in vision.

In his speech the Chancellor was not slow to point out that Labour’s policies were "bearing fruit" and expressed what appeared to be genuine concerns that if the Tories should get into power their spending cut plans could send the UK back into a much feared "double dip recession".

The Liberal Democrats, who obviously felt that they had to add something to the debate, chipped in with "Labour and the Tories are both in denial about the scale of spending cuts needed".

In his budget speech, Darling did announce that the government will need to borrow less than expected this year to plug the gap in the UK’s finances, with

Net borrowing for the financial year expected to total £167 billion, down from the £178 billion previously forecast. Borrowing this year is still expected to be at a record high – equivalent to 11.8% of GDP.

On the downside, Darling also downgraded his growth forecast for the UK economy.

Fuel duty will rise more slowly than previously planned, with a previously announced 3% rise in fuel duty l now be staggered, with a 1% rise in April, a further 1% rise in October, and then again in January. 2011, with phasing the increase rather than raising fuel duty by 3% immediately will cost £550 million.

UK banks received a number of mentions in Darling’s speech some of which were even favourable. The general underlying theme was that the UK taxpayer will be looking to see the banks move back to profit while increasing their support the economic recovery and improve financial expansion.

Alistair Darling noted that £2 billion had been raised through the 50 per cent one off "super tax" on bankers’ bonuses over £25,000, making for a 400% increase of the original forecast of £550 million. The windfall will largely be spent on further measures to stimulate the economy as well as some to be set aside to subsidies university places.

Other interesting snippets from the budget were that the government will allow tax breaks for companies who run zero-emission cars. Currently employees with a company vehicle for private use are required to pay a tax charge, with the exception of electrically propelled cars. However, the government has pledged to expand the exemption to cover "green cars" with these incentives to come into effect after April 6. Darling also threw in the information that the scheme to fund the deployment of superfast broadband looks likely to cost the industry and the consumer much more than expected, with every telecommunication line be subject to a monthly 50 pence levy on landlines. The government claims the new tax is necessary to ensure superfast broadband reaches suburban and rural areas.

It also appears that in order to partly fund the Budget’s 2.5 billion pound package for small firms, Darling intends to switch £230 million pounds of spending for 2010-11 from the departments for business and transport. The department for business said 1£50 million pounds will be transferred, largely at the expense of the £950 million pound strategic investment fund, which is supposed to provide state financing for strategic growth sectors, such as the civil nuclear industry.

Returning to reality, the UK’s two rail trade unions have announced their plans for four days of strikes to kick-off two days after Easter. If the industrial action from the RMT and the Transport Salaried Staff’s Association does transpire , it could see the UK hold its first national rail strike since the system’s privatisation. However, there is a strong possibility that the strikes will be called off, with negotiations with National Rail, the infrastructure owner, already well under way. .

U.K. engineering-services firm Babcock International have announced their plans to acquire the VT Group for around £1.33 billion pounds, in a mix of cash and stock. The announcement comes after two previous bids had been rejected.

Babcock is to pay 361.6 pence in cash and 0.701 of its own shares for every share in VT Group. As the sale was concluded, the offer was valued at 734.9 pence a share, meaning that Babcock paid a 39% premium to the average closing price over the month VT investors will hold around 36% of the combined company once the deal is completed. On the news shares in VT Group rose 4.4% on the FTSE to 721 pence, while Babcock also posted strong gains, rising 3.8% to 553 pence. A spokesman for Babcock said that they expect the deal to boost their earnings significantly in the first full year after completion.

The pound continues to be a problematic issue in the Forex markets. It closed On Thursday on $1.4863 while the Euro rose a little to on €1.1143.

The FTSE 100 index seemed to be pushed forward by Darling’s budget as well as increased optimism on Greece. It closed up 54 points to 5,727.63.

The House of Representatives put the finishing touches on the overhaul of Obama’s pet Health Care bill by passing a companion package that would make insurance more affordable, raise taxes on the wealthy and close a gap for prescription drug coverage for seniors. The Senate approved the package earlier in the day, which means that it now goes to Obama to sign.

The votes concluded a yearlong political struggle that tied up lawmakers, as well as making for a noticeable dent in Obama’s popularity

However passing the Health Care bill might be causing some problems on Wall Street. The Dow Jones retreated a little after a week of impressive gains; down by 377 points to close on 10841.21 The NASDAQ also dropped 18 points to 2397.41.

Greece seems to be out of trouble, at least for the time being. All of the 16 Eurozone member countries have finally come up with their backing for a financing plan, with some of the funds coming from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The loan will total €22 billion (£20billion), with the condition that it is only to be used if normal market lending facilities to Greece will dry up. According to French President Nicolas Sarkozy, the Eurozone nations would grant bilateral loans, totalling some two-thirds of the funding,

Greek PM George Papandreou was quoted as saying that it was "a very satisfactory" move.

Also breathing sighs of relief are the owners of the Dubai World investment vehicle who have just been granted a £6.4 billion ($9.5 billion) loan help it’s to restructure their debt burden from the Dubai government

Dubai World has presented a plan to restructure $ 23.5 billion of debt to its creditors, with the proposal including converting almost a quarter of the debt into equity. Creditors have now to decide on whether to accept the plan, with analysts predicting that it is as good as it gets. The troubled company stunned global markets in November last year when it asked for a six-month delay on debt repayments.

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UK economic recovery set to be slow and sluggish by the CBI

March 24th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

It only stands to reason that the U.K.’s economic recovery will be slow in 2010. There is an election about to happen and the public have obviously chosen a path the correct path to save spend less and save more. According to the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) the economy will grow by 0.3 percent in the first quarter and move up to 0.4 percent in the second quarter, and will finally settle down to expanding 0.5 percent in the second half of the year. The CBI also predicted that gross domestic product (GDP) will increase by 1 percent in 2010 and 2.5 percent in 2011. Britain’s economy exited its deepest recession on record in the fourth quarter with growth of 0.3 percent.

Bank of England (BOE) officials were also expressing caution on the eve of what may well be the Labour Government’s last budget in well over a decade. The BOE have consistently issued warnings that financial recovery in the UK may prove uneven as credit strains persist.

Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is due to deliver his budget today, with just a few weeks before the general election, the date of which is yet to be announced. A spokesman for the CBI stated that the government must avoid “damaging” tax rises and focus on spending cuts to narrow the record deficit,

As budget fever mounts, speculation is rife as to what Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling will reveal in his speech. Darling has repeatedly stated there will be no pre-election giveaways in the budget but he wants to encourage more investment in UK business after an 18-month recession.

It is expected that government departments which be called on to cut costs that will add some credibility to the U.K.’s deficit reduction plan and Yvette Cooper, the work and pensions secretary, has set the wheels in motion by announcing her department are plan to introduce savings of at least £500 million pounds by the 2012 / 2013 fiscal year.

What is for sure is that the Labour government will unveil their plans to establish a £2 billion "green" investment bank in the budget, designed to help Britain’s transformation to a low carbon economy. The green bank, designed to help finance projects such as railways, offshore wind power generation and eco-friendly waste management, will be partially funded by sales of government assets with the remaining money being drawn from the private sector.

Strike hit British Airways have come up with an estimate that the current three-day strike by the airline’s cabin crew will cost them around £7 million a day in lost earnings. However the airline hastened to point out that the industrial action was unlikely to have much impact on its earnings for the full-year. According to a company spokesman, around a third of flights to and from the UK’s main airports on Monday have so far been cancelled.

BA Heathrow suffered the biggest disruption on Monday, with 201 of the 443 flights on BA’s online schedule being cancelled.

Every cloud does have a silver lining and one of them appears to be that because of the recession, one in four children have reduced their spending. According to new research published this week t children’s attitudes to money have been strongly impacted by the recession with 80% of the children polled stated that they would prefer to save up to buy something rather than get into debt.

The latest financial results from fashion retailer Monsoon show an increase in profits for 2008/2009 eight times higher than the previous year. Over the year to August 29, 2009, the privately owned company showed a profit of taxes of £32.9 million, up from £3.9 million the previous year. Monsoon, who currently operate over 1,000 outlets, report strong sales at its overseas division. Over the next 12 months Monson plan to open another 140 stores.

Another fashion in the financial spotlight is New Look who has announced that they may resurrect their £1.7 billion flotation plans. The decision may come as soon as this week when the New Look board meets to consider whether market conditions have sufficiently improved. The fashion retailer shelved its planned IPO in February, blaming volatile markets. Meanwhile sales at the group are said to be ahead of expectations.

In a move which could raise as much as £400 million pounds Music recording giants EMI are reported to be considering plans to licence its music catalogue. Competitors in the industry would manage the music group’s catalogue, which includes music from The Beatles. If successful the licensing would enable EMI to meet their debt repayments and stave off an attempt by Citigroup, to take control of the company.

Sterling continues to fall ahead of this week’s budget and the fast-approaching general election due to be held in early May, and the prospects that it will be closely fought and may even result in a hung parliament.

The pound continues to be stuck around the $1.50 mark, closing at $1.5037 on Tuesday, while the Euro was on €1.1137.

As concern consists about debt levels whether the next government will be equipped to tackle challenges on public finances the pound looks likely to continue in the doldrums.

The FTSE 100 index closed on Tuesday up 23 points at 5,673.63.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones was still on the rise, this time by 147 points to close on 10888.83 The NASDAQ also was on the rise up 42 points to 2415.24

According to Greece’s central bank the country’s economy is trapped in a "vicious circle" and is liable to contract more severely than government predictions. .

The Bank of Greece (BoG) said economic output in 2010 will fall by 2%, much higher than the Greek government’s prediction of between 1.2% and 1.7%.

BoG says the recession will be worse due to planned public spending cuts.

The report comes ahead of a European Union summit to discuss Greece’s economic crisis, as German resistance towards financial aid for Athens persists.

Athens has already come close to defaulting after misleading European partners about the scale of its financial problems, which last year saw its public sector deficit hit almost 13 per cent of gross domestic product

Meanwhile Germany’s coalition government is reportedly planning to establish a banking levy that will protect taxpayers from the costs of any future bank bail-outs. The German government was obliged to seriously deplete their treasury coffers to provide a €500 billion rescue package to shore up the banking system late in 2008.

On the other side of the World, in Dubai, bank officials await anticipation of the severely troubled Dubai World company presenting their long-waited proposals on how they intend to restructure $26 billion of toxic debt.

The Dubai stock market has surged 11% this month on speculation a proposal is imminent.

Crude oil prices managed to rebound from early weakness to settle at around $81.25 a barrel.

Analysts at the Centre for Global Energy Studies said that global oil demand was on the path to full recovery but upward pressure on prices would be limited due to supply side changes.

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BOE predict stability in the labour market in coming months.

March 17th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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As the UK’s emergence from the recession gains slow but steady momentum recent predictions from the Bank of England show that the number of jobs available on the market are unlikely to deteriorate any further, Reasons given are that most UK companies are doing the maximum to maintain current staff levels to cope with the anticipated upturn in demand.

According to spokesman for the BOE, the banks findings were that although employment had fallen during the recession, it was much less than the comparative fall in output. Figure confirm that although unemployment had risen in the last two years, it was much less pronounced than during the previous two periods of recession in the 1980s and 1990s, although the current recession was much more severe. Despite that slightly rosy report, the fact remains that unemployment benefit claims jumped in January to the highest level since Labour rose to power almost 13 years ago.

According to a European Commission (EC) report due to be published later this week, the UK government’s plans to reduce their budget deficit are far from being realistic as well as lacking in ambition

The EC report went on to warns hand out a warning that if the UK continues on their current path, the will not be able to cut their deficit to meet the deadline set by the EU rules by 2015. The EU are insisting that

Deficits in their member countries must be less than three percent of their gross domestic production (GDP) by then. To show how far the UK is lagging behind is that the GDP in the UK is expected to be as high as 12.6% or £178 billion.

British Airways, facing imminent strike action from their cabin crew, have revealed their contingency plans to cope with the crisis. The plans, if they need arises to put them into action, will allow it to the airline to handle around 60% of its scheduled flights, with 45,000 passengers taking their seats during the first stage of the strike, due to begin on the 20th of March, .

Those who BA will be unable to transport will be given the option of flying with other airlines. Meanwhile plans for the second round of strikes will be announced nearer the date. Of the almost two thousand flights scheduled during the strike dates, more than half will need to be cancelled. However BA expects that all of their long-haul flights and more than half of short-haul flights taking off from Gatwick airport will take place.

Another sign that all is not well with the UK travel industry is the news that UK’s airports handled 7.4% fewer passengers in 2009 than in the previous year, making for the largest decline in traffic in history

The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) also announced that this was the first time that passenger traffic had fallen for two consecutive years, with charter flights being especially hit, down by 17%, in total more than two hundred million passengers passed through UK airports in 2009, the lowest number

since 2004. Overall scheduled airline traffic fell by six percent while.

domestic flight traffic was down by eight percent.

Telecommunications companies are getting hot under the collar about the government’s plans to increase the availability of internet access on mobile phones, with some of them going as far as threatening legal action. Among the companies who are investigating legal action are O2 and Vodafone upset, after UK government ministers finally submitted their proposals designed to end the long-standing dispute between mobile phone operators over radio spectrum. Hopes are that the law will be passed by the government before the end of March and they will give the green light to plans to hold a large air wave auction in early 2011. However UK telecommunications companies with O2 and Vodafone leading the way hope that they will be delay the auction.

On the money markets, Sterling continues to be in the doldrums, sitting on $1.5228 and €1.1046 with no signs or reasons for a recovery in sight. The pound ended two days of minimal gains against the dollar after a private report showed U.K. home sellers raised asking prices by the smallest amount for March on record as the supply of available properties increased.

On the FTSE, things were looking a lot more optimistic, with the 100 index rising 26 points to 5620.43.

In the US, the big news was that industrial production has again increased in February, making it for the eighth consecutive, despite analysts’ predictions that it was likely to fall. According to the Federal Reserve who produces the figure, production would have been even higher had it not been affected by severe winter storms that had plagued the industrialized zones in the North East of the Country in February

Overall industrial output rose by 0.1% in February, from January’s figures while the manufacturing sector dropped by 0.2%. Production in consumer goods fell by 0.4% in February, much of it because of a drop in new car sales.

On Wall Street optimism was in the air, with the Dow Jones rising again, this time by 43.83 points to close on 10658.98. The NASDAQ showed a very commendable rise or 15 points to 2378.01.

The US Federal Reserve has again repeated their pledge to hold interest rates at record lows in order to allow the continuation of the economic recovery. Main interest rate would be kept at the current 0% to 0.25% range, news that was widely expected.

The Feds rate-setting committee announced that the data being gatherer on the US economy described a mixed picture of the recovery from recession.

The troubled Euro succeeded in reaching a five-week high against the yen in money markets over the last two days. The rise was caused by increased speculation that the European Union will announce their bail out plans for Greece. When the plans are eventually released, anticipations are that there will be an increase in demand for the Eurozone currency.

On concerns that the Bank of Japan will announce extra credit-easing steps at its two-day policy meeting, the yen was close to a three-week low versus the dollar. Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama had sown some seeds of doubt regarding the strength of the currency when he announced last week that his government needed to take steps to arrest the currency’s rise.

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Darling is looking for some credit.

March 16th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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Chancellor Alistair Darling, possibly with an eye to future job prospects, is expected to blow his own horn in the coming days, by claiming that the Labour government’s investment in jobs programmes are responsible for saving no less than £12 billion during the recession. Darling backed up his claims by stating that in the 2009 budget, the government’s prediction for unemployment was as high as 2.09 million by the end of 2009 and reaching close to 2.5 million in 2010. By the end of December of last year they had already revised, their estimates down to one and three quarters of a million by end 2009 and less than two million for 2010. The reduced number of benefit claimants, if maintained, will save £10 billion over the next five years according to the stressed Chancellor’s figures.

There is much speculation afoot that the UK government are about to introduce important legislation regarding the use of credit cards. The new legislation will prohibit credit card companies from using a method of calculating interest known as the "adverse order of payments method. The adverse order of payments is where credit card companies force customers to pay off the debts on their account holding the lowest rates of interest before higher interest rate debt is reduced. Figures show that currently there are close to ten million people in the UK holding credit card debts with multiple interest rates. The practice is said to cost credit card holders an average of around £250 pounds in the first year they hold the card.

Business Secretary Lord Mandelson has announced that the UK government will be offering a £270 million loan to GM designed to safeguard five thousand Vauxhall jobs in the UK. The money, which will go to Vauxhall’s parent company GM Europe, will guarantee production at the car maker’s plants in Luton and Ellesmere Port. According to a statement from Lord Mandelson, the outline deal followed "highly complex" talks between the Government and bosses in the US.

Lord Mandelson stressed in his statement: "I always said the Government would stand foursquare behind Vauxhall. With this announcement, we have kept our word." Unite boss Tony Woodley who represent the Vauxhall workers chipped in by saying that the loan is great news for British industry.

Lloyds Banking Group Plc and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc improved on the increase in value of their U.S. bank shares. RBS soared 5 percent to 42.57 pence. U.S. banks yesterday closed at the highest since November 2008, led by Citigroup Inc. Lloyds climbed 3.4 percent to 58.47 pence. The bank is close to agreeing a joint venture to sell a number of the less than worthwhile assets assembled by HBOS.

BSkyB, the U.K.’s biggest pay-television provider, surged the most in almost eight months on a report that Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp. may bid for the shares that the y currently do not hold in the company. On the news BSkyB rose 5 percent to 598 pence, the biggest gain since July 30. News Corp, which already owns 39 percent of the pay-TV company, may be planning to pay 735 pence a share for the stake it doesn’t already own.

The Pound was still seen to be struggling again the main currencies, although the currency did rise slightly before the weekend. The pound was on $1.5183 while remaining almost on par with the Euro on €1.1033

As the markets closed for the weekend U.K. stocks gained, extending a second weekly increase for the benchmark FTSE 100 Index, largely on the back of increases in financial share values.

The FTSE 100 increased 0.2 percent to 5,625.65, bringing its weekly gain to 0.5 percent. The FTSE 100 has climbed to near the highest level since June 2008, lifted by optimism that the global economic recovery and higher earnings will support the 12-month rally in equities.

Former executives of the now defunct Lehman Brothers firm as well as the senior executives of their erstwhile auditor, Ernst & Young headed home for a weekend of self contemplation as they were severely censured in a recent report for some serious professional lapses that led to the firm’s collapse.

The report also went on to say that Lehman trading on knowing they were insolvent for a number of weeks before eventually declaring themselves bankrupt. Lehman’s bankruptcy is generally recognized as being the catalyst that sparked of the global financial meltdown. The collapse of the 158-year-old investment bank in September 2008 was the world’s largest bankruptcy at that time.

The report made for some heavy and disturbing reading, accusing the Lehman Brothers’ management of "actionable balance sheet manipulation" and using accounting tricks to hide debts. In their defence, Ernst & Young said that its last audit of Lehman was "fairly presented" according to accounting rules. As Lehman Brothers wobbled on the edge of collapse, a determined effort from Wall Street, the City of London, and the US and UK governments did all that they could to prevent the banks’ fearing the chain reaction that Lehman’s failure would set off around the globe.

Whether the long awaited report had an effect on Wall Street trading remains to be seen, but share trading was certainly restrained on Friday before the markets closed. The Dow Jones was up 12. 85 points to 10624.49 while the NASDAQ dropped less than a point to 2367.66

After weeks of crisis, it looks like the Eurozone region are on the verge of agreeing to support a multibillion-euro bailout for Greece as part of a package to shore up the Euro, the zone’s single currency.

Despite huge resistance, Germany, who were against the bailout, have bowed to pressure from fellow members of the 16 strong Eurozone members who expect to draw up the rescue package in the early days of this week. At the same time, the Eurozone members, at Germany’s behest, will introduce new legislation to enforce greater fiscal discipline among its members.

According to a senior European commission official, the Euro member states have agreed to provide a series of loans or loan guarantees to Greece in the likely event that Athens finds itself unable to refinance its soaring debt and requests help from the EU. Speculation has it that the initial aid to Greece could reach as high as €25 billion (£22.6 billion), with estimates that the total extent of Greece’s financial problems could see them needing up to €55 billion in loans by the end of 2010. Despite the fact that Germany were the most reluctant to come to the rescue of a fiscal delinquent in the current crisis, they have played the pivotal role in organising the rescue package, in their role as the EU’s traditional paymaster,

According to a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA),

China’s demand for oil jumped by an "astonishing" 28% in January compared with the January 2009. The IEA went on to point out that added that the estimated global demand for oil in 2010 would be driven by rising demand from emerging markets, with half of all growth coming from Asia while demand in developed countries is likely to fall by 0.3%.

The IEA has increased its global oil demand forecast for 2010 by 1.8% to 86.6 million barrels a day.

Oil prices were above $83 a barrel on Friday, the highest in two months.

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UK companies seeking suitors from abroad

March 10th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Global Credit Crisis, Mortgages, Recession, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Every cloud still appears to have a silver lining and the silver this time round will be coming from both the United States and Europe. UK fund managers are anticipating a wave of takeover activity as companies with some surplus cash sitting around might be looking to take advantage of the weak pound to snaps UN some bargains in acquiring smaller British firms.

Also expecting a windfall in the near future is the HM Revenue & Custom (HMRC). As a result of the unexpected success of their business payment support,

The sum of corporate tax rescheduled service has reached five billion pounds, with more than 160,000 UK businesses having negotiated a "time-to-pay" agreement, since the launch of the in late November 2008. Since that time, the Enterprise Finance Guarantee scheme has secured £862 million of loans for more than right thousand UK businesses.

Britain’s one-time tax on bank bonuses could bring in more than £2.5 billion ($3.7 billion) to the government’s coffers this financial year, which works out at almost three times the £550 million estimated by Chancellor of the Exchequer, Alistair Darling. Darling announced the fifty percent levy for bank bonuses over £25,000 pounds in December last year.

Darling is expected to unveil the Governments plans to use the extra funds for “small targeted measures” during his budget speech later this month.

The people of Iceland are preparing to organise a referendum, on which they will decide to repay the UK and the Netherlands governments, the money owed to them after the collapse of Icesave bank.

The UK and the Netherlands want reimbursement for the £3.4 billion (€3.8 billion) paid out in compensation to customers in 2008.

Talks between the three countries broke down on Friday without agreement.

The Icelandic government had hoped to avoid the vote by agreeing a new repayment plan before the weekend, with the country’s Prime Minister Johanna Sigurdardottir calling for further talks to take place before the referendum card is called.

The serious concerns that residents of the North East are having regarding the possibility that the steel processing plant run by Corus on Teesside will be closed are to be aired at a meeting in London this week. The meeting will be between the Government department who are handling the Corus file on behalf of the government, and a group of local politicians and potential investors. The group is thought to be interested in acquiring the Teesside Cast Products plant, which is due to close. The plant began lying off the first of 1,600 staff before the weekend. .

Redcar MP Vera Baird said a sale of TCP was “the best outcome we could have” and urged patience while a deal was put together.

With prices up by an average of 3.2 percent, February showed the strongest monthly growth in house prices since August 2007 in central London. Strongest risers were properties in the £5 million pound bracket, which exceeded even the prices of March 2008 when the market was as its precession peak. Elsewhere in the UK figures show a drop in the average house prices for the first time in months, Reasons given were the bad weather experienced in January, as well as an increase in number of properties hitting the market. The weakening pound may also account for the fact that almost half of the properties worth £2 million pounds or more have been snapped up by buyers from overseas during the last year,

Equity strategists believe a weakening pound will cause shares in London-listed companies to rise over the coming weeks. The feeling is that asset managers are rebalancing their UK portfolios and issuing new stock recommendations following sterling’s continued poor performance in the currency market. Strategists are apparently encouraging investors to take long positions in UK firms with ties to foreign markets, will steering clear of UK businesses who rely extensively on the domestic economy.

The Financial Services Authority (FSA) has granted a licence to Metro Bank, which will mean a whole new face on the UK high street, and within the coming months. Metro’s plans are to create a network of over 200 Greater London branches, offering a "superior service", with branches open seven days a week.

The continuing uncertainty around the pound has caused a lot of ups and downs over the last week. At close of trading on Friday the pound closed on $1.5056, as well as 1.1044 against the Euro.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index jumped 72 points, to close for the weekend on 5,597.76.

The US Labor Department has today revealed that unemployment rate remained unchanged at 9.7% in February, lower than the 10% rate that was expected. According to figures issued by the Labor Department, there were just 36,000 job cuts last month, considerably less than the 50,000 analysts had predicted. Since the beginning of the financial downturn in December 2007, employment has fallen by 8.4 million, making for almost 15 million unemployed people in the US.

These figures conform to the Federal Reserve’s forecast unemployment rate. The rate is expected to remain at between 9.5% and 9.7% for all of 2010, and could ease to as low as 8.2% in 2011.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to thrive, closing for the weekend up 122.06 points to close on 10,566.2. The NASDAQ Composite was still climbing also, rising 34 points to close on 2,326.35

According to official figures from the US Commerce Department the US economy grew at a faster rate than previous estimates in the fourth quarter.

The economy grew by an annual 5.9% between the October and December period, an improvement on the 5.7% previously estimated.

For the whole of 2009, the GDP declined at of 2.4%, making for the largest full-year contraction since the 10.9% fall immediately after the end of World War Two.

A spokesman for the Swedish venture capitalists Investor, has announced their approval to buy half of defence group BAE System’s stake in Swedish defence firm Saab. The statement read that Investor’s acquisition of half of BAE’s 20.5 percent stake "clarified the ownership structure in Saab" in a climate where there had been "less alignment of interests and the emergence of some overlapping businesses" between the two aerospace firms.

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For Greece read Britain.

March 3rd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

According to a recent statement from the Office for National Statistics, the state of public finances in the UK, are even worse than that of Greece. The latest figures on government borrowing show that in January there was a net shortfall of £4.3 billion, which is much higher than even the most pessimistic of forecasts. January is traditionally the month where a healthy balance of payments is the norm. If the trend continues, the UK will be looking at a deficit of £180 billion for 2010, equivalent to 12.8 per cent of GDP, which will even beat Greece into second place in the "whose going skint fastest" race.

The reasons given for the UK’s poor performance included considerably reduced earnings in the financial sector as well as general weaknesses in the economy. These factors combined to push cash receipts down by 9 per cent overall compared with last year tax, while public spending was up by 15 per cent up in January, driven higher by the rise in unemployment benefits.

The only positive piece of news coming out of the report was that the total national debt carried by Britain remains lower than Greece as well as the fellow financially challenged European countries, Portugal, Italy, Ireland, and Spain.

HSBC have announced a 24 per cent fall in profits for 2009. Their profits fell to £4.65 billion ($7.1 billion) with the main factor being increased loan impairment charges, which largely cancelled out the bank’s strong investment banking performance. Undeterred, HSBC have announced that they would be paying out a total of £4.6 billion in pay and bonuses to staff at their profit earning investment banking division. HSBC shares fell almost 6 per cent to 679 pence on the news.

After months of speculation, retailer to the upper echelons Liberty, have finally confirmed their plans for the sale and leaseback of their landmark mock-Tudor flagship store situated on Great Marlborough Street in London’s West End. The company, which was founded in 1876, and are partially owned by the MWB Group, announced that they had issued instructions to put the building up for sale, and it is expected to fetch around £40 million. A few of the London based property owners are believed to be interested in acquiring the property for lease back to Liberty, but are likely to face strong competition from overseas. A spokesman for Liberty announced that that turnover for the store in 2009 had jumped by 16 per cent.

Despite winning the Carling Cup Final at the weekend, all is not well at Manchester United, but not on the playing field, instead in the boardroom.

The problem is that United, owned by the Glazer family, are running a very high level of debt, some £716.5 million, a fact that has caused much discomfort and loads of speculation among their huge band of supporters. So much so that a group of city financiers, under the title the "Red Knights" have met to discuss the feasibility of setting up what will be a possible hostile takeover of the club. An immediate response from the Glazers was that Manchester United is not for sale."

However, it may not be that easy, as United’s owners are facing a two-pronged attack over their control of the club with the Manchester United Supporters’ Trust (Must) running a campaign to bring about a change of ownership, which might even involve fans boycotting the clubs matches, and with a 76,000 seater stadium to fill, that may well be too bitter a pill for the Glazers to absorb.

The fact that the British general election appears to be getting closer and is now expected in May is having a very negative effect on Sterling. The currency took another pounding on foreign exchange markets, with the possibility that the election may bring of a hung parliament looking an increasing possibility. The uncertainty has caused the pound to drop nearly four cents, reaching a low of $1.4984 at one point before rallying to close $1.5056. The pound also closed at 1.1044 against the Euro.

On the FTSE 100 supermarket chain Tesco were among the FTSE 100’s top performers as America’s second-richest man Warren Buffett raised his stake in the company. Share values rose by 3.2 per cent to 433 pence, after Mr Buffett announced to his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders that their holding had increased to 3 per cent. Berkshire Hathaway has been gradually raising their stockholding in Tesco since 2006 when the retailer announced their plans to enter the US market. Since making their first stock purchase, the American conglomerate is believed to have become Tesco’s sixth largest shareholder.

As the markets closed for the day, the FTSE 100 was up 134 points to 5,484.06.

According to Lawrence Summers, head of the White House National Economic Council, the impact of Barack Obama’s $800 billion fiscal stimulus is yet to be fully felt, and its impact will increasingly be sensed over the coming months. Summers has praised the fiscal stimulus as being an enormous achievement and the many projects that the stimulus funded throughout the country are running exactly as planned.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to creep upwards. It rose 80 points to close on 10,405.98 while the NASDAQ Composite jumped by 42 points to close on 2,280.79.

According to date from the Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (BEPA), global trade in goods has continued its rapid recovery from its huge fall in 2009, when the recession was at its peak. Data from BEPA also indicate that the world trading system suffered very little permanent damage to global trade has been done to by the financial crisis. The bureau’s composite index reported that the volume of goods trade worldwide rose at 4.8 per cent in December, making for the most rapid monthly increase in December for any year in its 19-year history, with three monthly index, traditionally less volatile, also rising by a record rate in the fourth quarter of last year, finishing six percent higher than third quarter.

On the other side of the World, things are looking better. So much better that for the fourth time since October, Australia’s central bank has seen fit to raise their interest rates, as it seeks to cool its growing economy.

The increase, from 3.75%, to 4% was widely expected by economists.

Australia was not only the only major economy to avoid recession, but also the first to raise interest rates from half century lows as the economic crisis eased. Australia’s ability to avoid the worst of the global turndown was partially attributed to increased demand for its commodities from China.

However Australia’s boom times may be slowing down with the news that China’s manufacturing activity shrunk a little in February. However economists rushed to point out that while China’s recovery faced some flat periods, it was expected that industrial activity would continue to grow in the coming months.

After the massive earthquake that struck Chile, copper prices jumped more than five per cent on early trading on Monday. Chile is the world’s largest producer of the red metal, and the earthquake has severely disrupted mining operations in the country, consequently triggering a spree of panic buying in the major commodity centres.

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