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UK needs to work harder to encourage foreign investment.

February 25th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown received a polite warning yesterday from international leaders who attended a conference in central London that Britain’s tax regime and infrastructure must be improved if the country is to continue attracting investment. Brown and business secretary, Lord Mandelson stressed that the UK still remained a competitive place to do business despite the turmoil caused by the recession.

Following in the footsteps of his opposite numbers at Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland is Eric Daniels, chief executive of the taxpayer-supported Lloyds Banking Group. Daniels has joined them in waiving his right to a bonus for 2009 of around £2.25 million. Lloyds Banking Group have announced that they would pay 2009 bonuses to those who were entitled to them, whilst emphasising that these awards would be paid in shares and subject to clawback.

Criticism has been rained on the government’s planned 50 pence monthly tax on telephone lines designed to subsidise the cost of superfast broadband has come from all places, by a Labour-dominated group of MPs.

The Commons Business Committee said the new tax, which is expected to raise £175 million per year, would hit poorer families who were less likely to pay for faster broadband. The committee went on to add that the “regressive” tax would “place a disproportionate cost on a majority who will not, or are unable to, reap the benefits of that charge”.

The UK’s largest airports operator of airports BAA, announced on Monday that their pre-tax losses for 2009 had widened, partly because of losses of £277.3 million from the sale of Gatwick Airport, London’s second-largest. The £1.5 billion sale of the airport to Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP) took place just before the end of the financial year. GIP is an infrastructure fund backed by Credit Suisse and General Electric. Competition authorities had ordered a sale to meet concerns about BAA’s market dominance.

The loss on the sale helped inflate losses at BAA owned by a consortium led by Spanish group by Spanish group Ferrovial, from £324.2 million to £821.9 million. Total revenue for the year to December at the group’s London airports, including Gatwick, rose from £2.3 billion to £2.4 billion. Figures for the group excluded BAA’s other airports around the country at Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen and Southampton

The prospect of a strike is again raising its head for British Airway’s cabin crew. Their proposed strike action looks likely to cause travel chaos for hundreds of thousands of air passengers across the UK. The vote in favour of industrial action by the 12,000 member BA cabin crew comes as a reaction to ongoing disputes over pay and working conditions.

The cabin crew’s union Unite had already decided on a walkout in December, but that BA strike threat was defused by an eleventh-hour High Court ruling.

Meanwhile a strike by around four thousand German airline Lufthansa pilots has been suspended, with union officials agreeing to resume negotiations on disputes covering job security and pay issues.

The action, scheduled to run for four days, was suspended after less than 24 hours, and caused delays and cancellations for passengers. According to the pilot’s union, there will be no further action until at least March 9, the union said.

According to a company spokesman, electronics giant Samsung will introduce its 3D-enabled TVs to the UK within the coming month. No less than twenty different 3D-capable products, with Blu-ray players and the required 3D glasses are expected to be included in the range. To keep pace with demand, TV shows with 3D content will be making their debut in or around the same time, to a partnership with DreamWorks. The rapidly approaching 2010 soccer World Cup will also be broadcast in 3D.

Sterling fell on Tuesday after Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England, said he could not rule out the possibility of further quantitative easing. Speaking before the Treasury select committee King confessed his concern over scant evidence of a pick-up in UK trade in spite of the weakness of the pound. The pound, which had risen to a high of $1.5575 ahead of the Bank’s statement, fell more than a cent to $1.5441, whilst rising to 1.1415 against the Euro.

The FTSE 100 turned negative on Tuesday following King’s gloomy assessment of the UK economy. The index closing 0.7 per cent lower at 5,315.09.

The US Senate on Monday voted to move forward on a $15 billion jobs bill.

The 62-30 vote in favour of ended months of gridlock in Congress, and is expected to pave the way for a jobs bill to clear the Senate, just as other critical employment benefits are set to expire.

The scaled-back measure is expected to create 250,000 jobs through an array of tax credits and payroll tax exemptions to stimulate hiring. The bill frees businesses from payroll taxes on workers who are hired after more than 60 days of unemployment and gives them a tax credit of $1,000 for new hires that they keep for more than a year.

A number of retail giants reporting positive earnings surprises were not enough to offset Tuesday’s poor macro data, as investors grow concerned that last week’s rally overshot.

Consumer confidence index dropped dramatically to 46.0 in February versus 56.5 in January, the lowest level since last April.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 126.41 points to 10,276.97 while the NASDAQ Composite also crept back by a significant 34 points to close on 2,209.6.

Chinese premier Wen Jiabao has announced his concern regarding the stability of his country’s investments in US bonds.

China disposed of $34 billion (£21.5 billion) of US government bonds in December 2009, raising fears that Beijing is losing confidence in American economic policy.

US treasury figures show that China is once again no longer the largest overseas holder of US treasury bonds. Beijing ended the year sitting on $755. Billion worth of US government debt, compared to Japan’s $768 billion.

Oil prices retreated below $80 a barrel Tuesday as r sluggish US crude demand justified a 14 percent rally over the last three weeks.

Benchmark crude for April delivery was down 34 cents to $79.97 a barrel, later rising 25 cents to settle at $80.31 on Monday.

Oil had jumped from $69.59 a barrel in early February due to optimism that the global economy will rebound strongly from recession last year. Yet growing inventories of crude, gasoline and diesel fuel suggest demand in the US remains weak.

Some analysts expect crude demand in the US and Japan will gradually follow overall economic growth and lift prices, with crude expected to trade at between $85 and $95 a barrel for most of 2010.

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UK financial picture continues to look bleak.

February 22nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Rumours have it that Bank of England governor Mervyn King may have had some serious explaining to do Chancellor Alasdair Darling as to why the consumer prices index went shooting up to 3.5% added to the worst ever January figures on record with a first time deficit for the traditionally high income month. The deficit was a staggering £4.3 billion, largely due to higher government spending and considerably reduced tax receipts. Estimates were for a £2.6 billion surplus for the month. Income tax receipts were down a massive 20% on January 2009, while corporation tax receipts were 6% lower. The only plus was the 3% upturn on VAT receipts rose by 3% due to the rate hike. However total tax receipts for January still dropped by 9%.

It would appear that Royal Bank of Scotland Chief Executive Stephen Hester has decided to decline his 2009 bonus. According to reports, the bonus was to be around £1.6 million pounds, paid out under terms already announced by the bank. The terms were that the bonus payout would not be in cash, and deferred for three years.

Pressure has increased on both Hester and Eric Daniels, CEO of the Lloyds Banking Group, after top bosses at Barclays turned down their multi-million pound bonus payouts last week, despite the bank announcing bumper profits.

The ever optimistic Gordon Brown announced that the Government was continuing in their determination to invest in measures that will promote growth and preserve jobs in the industries of the future, adding weight to his backing of Chancellor Alistair Darling over his decision to delay spending cuts until next year.

Mr Brown, speaking at the Policy Network conference told the audience: "I say to the British people, this is not the time to put the economy at risk. This is the time to make sure that growth and jobs are secured. 2010 must be the year of growth. It must not be the year when the economy dips back into recession. Instead of admitting the mistakes of private banks and institutions in causing the recession, the well-financed right-wing are not only trying to blame governments for the crisis but trying to use legitimate concerns about deficits to scare people into accepting a bleak and austere picture of the future for the majority, and then to use what’s happening as a pretext for public services to be marginalised at precisely the moment they should become smarter and more personalised. "He summed up

Also on Brown and Darling’s side is UK Business Secretary, Peter Mandelson, who has told his senior colleagues that he intends to backs plans for a state-run investment bank that would use public funds and private capital to back small business and large-scale UK infrastructure projects. The new bank would be modelled on the KfW Bank in Germany, which provides funding for banks to loan to small businesses as well as capital for major projects. Apparently Mandelson has met senior KfW executives to discuss if such a bank could be feasible in the UK. Plans for such a bank are now being surveyed by a Treasury team. Hopefully some form of announcement of the formation of such a bank will be announced in the forthcoming Budget.

Overall Lord Mandelson has been increasingly seen and heard on the public stage these days. The UK Business Secretary was reported to have severely criticised monetarist economists for their involvement in getting Britain into its present economic "pickle". Mandelson has voiced his support for economists who have warned how "reckless" early spending cuts could hamper Britain’s fragile recovery. Mandelson’s comments come as Labour seeks to take advantage of the support for delaying spending cuts until 2011.

Also on the downward slope was mortgage lending with the council of mortgage lenders revealing that gross mortgage lending in January 2010 fell to its lowest level in ten years. Reasons given were that property buyers have been deterred by the end of the stamp duty holiday. Gross mortgages totalled £9.1 billion pounds in January, down almost a third from December 2009. These figures are despite a recent increase in mortgage availability, adding concern that poor market conditions would continue or even worsen as the government withdraws monetary support for banks between 2011 and 2014.

The trend for online purchases in the UK fell to its lowest level last month, according to recent figures. Electrical goods, clothes and holidays were the online sectors that recorded the biggest drop in sales, with monthly growth for January of just five percent compared with 19 percent for the same period in 2009.

On the business front, there appears to be increased optimism regarding lending. Research has shown that the number of private companies that anticipate finance to become more readily available has increased, with around 44 percent under the impression that finance would be more accessible this year, compared with eight percent with the same view in last year’s survey. However, despite rising confidence in the availability of finance, fewer businesses said their lender was more supportive than this time last year.

It now looks like BAA will be looking to sell off Glasgow Airport after new figures revealed it is lagging behind Edinburgh in customer traffic. The Glasgow branch has found it difficult to win new airlines who want to use the airport, and have lost a lot of passenger traffic, apparently around half a million a year after the collapse of Scottish airline Flyglobespan. Meanwhile a spokesman for Scotland’s capital has reported that Edinburgh has managed to fill the gap with new routes and extra flights added by air carriers in January, including Ryanair and Jet2. Their entry on the scene has already replaced the 400,000 Flyglobespan passengers a year that were passing through the airport. .

Sterling enjoyed mix fortunes on Fridays trading. It closed up 0.012 against the dollar at $1.54692 while falling to 1.1374 against the Euro.

Overall, the FTSE 100 added a further 51 points to 5,358.175, before the close of business on Friday.

In US forex trading, the dollar hit a nine-month high against the euro of $1.3477, whilst also rising against a basket of currencies. The rise came after the US Federal Reserve’s surprise increase in interest rates for emergency bank loans, to 0.75%, from 0.5%. Analysts saw the move as a sign that the Fed could soon raise its other key lending rate.

US stocks fell in early trading as investors feared any further rate rises could slow the economic recovery.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up another 9.45 points to 10,402.35 while the NASDAQ Composite also crept up another 2.16 points to 2,243.87 on Friday’s trading.

US consumer prices rose by less than expected in January, easing concerns about growing inflationary pressures. According to the Labor Department, prices increased by 0.2% last month, with analysts forecasting a rise of 0.3%.

The rise was largely driven by energy prices, which rose for the ninth consecutive month. Over the last 12 months, US energy costs have risen by close to 20 percent. Excluding food and energy, prices fell by 0.1% in January – the first monthly drop since December 1982.

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Darling goes soft on Iceland.

February 19th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Alistair Darling, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer has announced that he is open to discussion on the possibility of scaling back on the interest rate charges which Iceland is required to make on the £3.4 billion pound losses from failed online bank Icesave. After talks between the governments in London, Darling was reported as saying that although British taxpayers "must get their money back" the Treasury could be willing to negotiate terms. The Treasury is considering two options to scale back interest rate charges while insisting that both options must see debts being fully recouped. The Icelandic government is seemingly eager to arrive at a more flexible compromise as opinion polls in the country suggest the initial deal that was hammered out would be more than likely rejected in a forthcoming referendum.

According to a very recent survey, the UK personal computer (PC) market saw fourth quarter growth for the first time in a year, despite a fall in sales from the business sector. Holding the top spot were Acer with 19.1 per cent market share, with HP hot on their heels with an 18.9 per cent market share. Dell was in third place with 16.5 per cent, followed by Toshiba and Samsung with 10.4 per cent and 6.5 per cent respectively. The total UK market in terms of shipments in the fourth quarter of 2010 was 3.8 million units. A market analyst reported that the personal computer market in the UK was becoming increasingly dependent on laptops (mobiles), which accounted for 70 per cent of the total PC market, with growth in demand reaching 24 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2009. However, the report did state that despite the overall growth, the professional PC market declined by 25 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2009.

The much loved general interest magazine Reader’s Digest UK has been forced into administration after failing to gain support from the UK pension’s regulator over an agreement for funding their £125 million pension deficit. The UK subsidiary of U.S. Reader’s Digest Association have recently brokered a deal with trustees of its pension plan and the Pension Protection Fund. The deal would have seen a capital payment alongside the transfer of a one-third interest in the equity of the UK business to the UK pension scheme trustees. The UK is the only branch of the multiple national Readers’ Digest Association with a large pension shortfall. The parent company said the UK insolvency is not liable to have a material impact on its other global operations.

Legal & General (L&G) has revealed plans to supply "longevity insurance" to pension funds, in a move which will see the insurer compete against the major European insurance companies. The launch of the new insurance product by L&G will precede similar plans by others in the insurance sector including Prudential, who are also considering moving into this market. A spokesman for L&G emphasised that the provision of longevity swaps will "develop alongside and not necessarily compete with" L&G’s bulk annuity business. Babcock International and RSA were reported to be the first companies to take out longevity protection in 2009.

Private equity group HgCapital Trust is seeking to raise more capital from investors by preparing a share issue to shore up its finances, amid expectation of a rise in new investments. Industry sources suggest the London-listed group could raise as much as 50 million pounds. As one of the best-performing listed private equity groups with a market capitalisation of 210 million pounds, HgCapital is hoping to appeal to investors from its position of strength by making a placing of ordinary shares with subscription shares attached. A spokesman for the company projected that HgCapital will invest more than it sells, as the market conditions present bargains.

Shares in Barclays were up 2.9 per cent to 302 pence on a positive response to their recent results. Ahead of their results due to be issued next week, Lloyds Banking Group rose 3.2 per cent to 50½ pence and Royal Bank of Scotland took on 1.9 per cent to 34 pence.

Sterling continued to slip against both the Euro and the Dollar. It closed at $1. 5392 while settling on 1.1409 against the Euro.

Overall, the FTSE 100 added 32 points to 5,307.85, meaning that it has risen for seven of the last eight sessions.

According to a report released on Thursday, certain of the states of the U.S. look like facing a total shortfall totaling no less than $1 trillion in their funds for employees’ pensions and retirement benefits. The state of Illinois is reported to be in the worst shape, with only 54 percent of its pension obligations funded, according to the report, taken into account only the fiscal years up to June 2008. That fact makes the picture even less than rosy as the downturn that began in the final six months of 2008 and continued till the end of 2009 – was when many funds’ investment portfolios suffered their most serious devastation. Regardless of stock market fluctuations, pension funds were destined to fall down a budget hole, the non-profit research center who prepared the report pointed out.

The US Federal Reserve has predicted that the US economy is still on target to grow strongly during 2010, but unemployment will remain high, has warned. In its latest forecast, the Fed said that the economy would expand between 2.8% and 3.5% in 2010, with the unemployment rate expected to remain between 9.5% and 9.7% in 2010.

Encouraging January housing starts, better-than-expected earnings and receding fears on the European sovereign debt situation boosted risk appetite prompted Wall Street stocks to rise moderately for the second consecutive session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 93 points to 10,392.9 while the NASDAQ Composite rose 15 points to 2,241.71

Hewlett-Packard (HP) has raised its outlook for its financial year after strong sales over the Christmas period lifted its profits by 25%.

Higher demand for its personal computers and servers saw its net profit for the three months to 31 January total $2.32 billion (£1.48 billion).

This compares with $1.86 billion for the same first quarter period a year earlier. HP’s revenues for the quarter were up 8% to $31.2 billion, as its results came in ahead of market expectations.

The price of oil has risen sharply as the dollar, the currency in which the commodity is priced, weakened against the pound and the euro.

US light crude rose by $3 to $ $77.01 with London Brent settling at $75.68 a barrel.

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Brown not to blame for Europe’s financial woes

February 16th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Blame can be attached to UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown for many of the nation’s financial woes, rightly or not. On one fact, however, there is a consensus. That he had the foresight to keep the UK out of the euro. The recent financial crisis has shown that the structural weakness of the eurozone, which already seems to be crumbling, with the Greek tragedy exposing the weakness of a system of "mutual guarantees" by 16 different fiscal regimes. Opponents of the UK joining the single currency are basking in the light of their wisdom, but the smiles may soon be wiped from their faces, as it looks like Britain may be pulled into the crisis indirectly. This may happen if the International Monetary Fund (IMF) gets involved although the UK will be nowhere near the front line of a rescue package, unlike the Germans and the French.

Rumors that the problems that Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy are experiencing– will lead to a break-up of the European currency is far-fetched. Above anything else, the single currency is a Franco-German political project with huge symbolic investment for postwar, post-Iron Curtain Europe.

The problem for Greece and the other Mediterranean counties is that their membership of the single currency means that they cannot devalue its way out of difficulty.

The UK Secretary of State for Business, Lord Mandelson has predicted that a decision on government funding to help rescue the car manufacturer Vauxhall could be completed within weeks. GM.UL is said to be looking for an investment of £2.9 billion pounds from European governments to facilitate a return to growth. Mandelson confirmed that the government is prepared to play a part in the rescue plans and that negotiations have started over what conditions could be imposed in return for government support

Difficult though it may be to accept, a recent survey on the banking sector has revealed that 57 percent of UK bankers and financiers received a bonus increase during 2009. The poll, which took in close to seven hundred financial professionals indicates that the Chancellor’s "super tax" on bankers’ bonuses had caused little effect on lavish remuneration packages.

More than a third of the bankers in the poll saw their bonuses either decrease or at least remain static. However those who fell into the this category did not cite the super tax to be the primary reason for the absence of an increase, preferring to cast the blame, and rightly so, on the performance of their companies with half of those who did miss out on a bonus were reported to be less than satisfied.

Prominent UK property developers the Shaftesbury Group have announced a major upturn in demand for property in the West End of London, with the Christmas and New Year period especially brisk. Shaftesbury announced a significant increase in new tenant agreements approved at rates at or above recent property values for the company’s various assets. While many UK property companies still struggling to honour their various banking covenants, the overall picture denotes that the UK property tide has turned, the company reports.

Lloyds Banking Group (LBG) is looking to sell or spin off major assets from the failing £70 billion pound property. The bank is establishing a review process, which currently in its early stages. The process will seek to reduce the amount of regulatory capital tied up in keeping the assets on Lloyds’ balance sheet, with the strategy expected to be finalised by Easter. At the same time, Lloyds plan to step up their sale of HBOS Integrated Finance, an investment business with stakes in about 60 companies.

Meanwhile the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), remain sitting on losses of several hundred million pounds after being forced to take back ownership of £1.8 billion in German properties bought at the market’s peak by a fund run by Morgan Stanley. In one of the largest paper losses on property for a UK bank, RBS has taken control of a portfolio of 28 German properties, after lending about €1.9 billion to acquire the portfolio in 2007. RBS are to follow the trend set by LBG to hold on to the properties until they return at least some of the losses..

Mobile telecommunications operator O2 believes that its purchase of Jajah, an Israeli voice over internet protocol (VoIP) company, will help the firm out- perform rival mobile operators and the current VoIP market leader Skype. A spokesman for Telefonica Europe, O2’s parent company, said that the company will use Jajah to attack the international calling card market, currently worth £100 million pounds a month in the UK, rather than to slash mobile call costs.

Fashion chain New Look are giving a lot of indications that they will become the third company in as many days to scrap a planned stock market flotation. The writing seems to be on the wall for New Look’s float, when they called off a proposed £1.7 billion initial public offering (IPO) on Friday, blaming a lack of appetite among potential investors. New Look had planned to raise a total of £650 million pounds from their IPO, using the money to cut debt as well as fund an expansion programme in the UK and overseas.

As the FTSE 100 was switched off for the weekend UK, stocks had receded a little The 100 Index was down 10.03 points to 5,142.45

The pound rose slightly against the dollar, closing at 1.5702 while jumping to 1.1522 against the struggling Euro.

President Barack Obama has signed a law increasing the limit on how much the US government can borrow.

The debt limit was raised to $14.3 trillion (£9.1 trillion) from $12.4 trillion, which will allow the government to function for the rest of the year.

Correspondingly Mr Obama also approved legislation that requires new spending to be offset with cuts elsewhere. The legislation will seek to address the record US budget deficit, which is predicted to reach $1.56 trillion in 2010.

The "pay-as-you-go" or "paygo" rule was in place in the 1990s – the last time there was a federal budget surplus.

On Wall Street things were still looking up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished for the weekend up 41 points at 10099.14. The NASDAQ gained 33 points to close on 2,183.53.

According to the US Commerce Department, retail sales rose at a higher rate than expected in January, boosting hopes that strong economic recovery will continue. Sales grew 0.5% month-on-month, while December’s figure was revised to a 0.1% fall from a first estimate of a 0.3% fall.

Sales were up by 4.7%, Compared with January 2009.

According to preliminary figures released on Friday, Germany’s recovery from recession faltered in the final quarter of 2009, failing to show any signs of growth at all in the last quarter of the year. France did better, reporting a 0.6% rise in GDP for the same three-month period which was higher than forecast. The figures released also showed that the economy in the Eurozone also grew 0.1% in the same quarter.

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Doubts grow about the strength of UK economy’s recovery.

February 2nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks

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While the UK economy snapped back into growth in the fourth quarter of 2009, it did so at a rate considerably less than economists’ forecast. It was thanks to the service industries and manufacturing sector, which expanded just enough to pull Britain out of its longest recession on record. According to figures released by the Office for National Statistics, gross domestic product (GDP) rose by a mere 0.1% from the third quarter. The weakness of the recovery will pose a challenge to Bank of England officials who are due to sit next week to consider week whether the economy is strong enough to begin winding down the Government’s emergency stimulus measures. Prime Minister Gordon Brown’ is regarded as being especially anxious to see and end his government’s propping up of the economy, as delaying it may hamper his efforts to win an election due by June of this year. Much of Brown’s campaigns have been based on promises to curb the budget deficit.

Brown is putting up his case that he is better placed that Conservative leader David Cameron to cut the ballooning budget deficit without hurting the economic recovery. Splits in the Labour Party are beginning to show as election day draws closer with Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling announcing that it would be “absolutely mad” to withdraw stimulus measures now.

The Bank of England’s £200-billion pound asset-purchase facility, designed to keep borrowing costs low and help pull the economy out of the recession also expired this week.

Meanwhile it was announced that the UK economy shrank 4.8% in 2009, making for the biggest annual drop since records began in 1949. It was also reviled that the in the fourth quarter the economy contracted 3.2% compared to records from 2008.

The fourth quarter data, the first to be released by a Group of Seven nation, means Britain is the last member country to exit the recession that was sparked by the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. The US Government was expected to release GDP data for the fourth quarter on late January 29.

The news that the Lloyds Banking Group has succeeded in placing of £2.5 billion pounds of mortgages with investors, has raised new hopes that securitisation markets are beginning to open for banks. A £4 billion issue last September by Lloyds recorded a first attempt by a bank to tap the securitisation markets since the onset of the credit crisis. However Friday’s issue was the first to cause any form of reaction interest among U.S. investors to purchase prime residential mortgage securities

There are strong signs of recovery popping up London’s financial services industry, which took a severe pounding during the credit crunch. Recruitment is already on the up, and a recent survey showed that more than 80 percent of hiring managers are expecting recruitment volumes to rise in 2010. Only five percent of those responding to the survey named handling redundancies as a key personnel challenge for the year ahead, will close to half of those interviewed pointed to the threat of competitors poaching staff as a problem. The main problem for 2010, according to close to two thirds taking part, would, be salaries and particularly of discretionary bonuses. Remuneration has become a major hot potato in the financial industry, as the sector has emerged from the crisis under increased public and regulatory scrutiny.

Irene Rosenfeld, chief executive of Kraft has predicted that Cadbury has a positive future under the ownership of the US conglomerate, whilst adding fears of job losses at the UK company are "greatly overstated" and.

In her first interview since the takeover was agreed by the Cadbury board earlier this month, Rosenfeld announced that Kraft would not be looking for any mergers and acquisitions activity in the "near term" following the purchase of the UK confectionary company. "We acquired Cadbury because we believe it is a fabulous business and it is our intention to protect those assets," Ms. Rosenfeld pointed out. "It is our intention to invest in the business; in fact, if anything, the opportunities for the business will be greater as a result of the combination than perhaps they might have been on a standalone basis, given some of the competitive pressures." She continued.

Speculation is growing that the planned sale of the discount fashion chain Matalan is unlikely to raise the sum in excess of £1.5 billion pounds targeted by the company’s owner John Hargreaves. American private equity firms TPG, Advent International among others are expected to make offers in time for next Friday’s deadline. Analysts fear that the parties involved are wary of paying too high a price for Matalan. A clause in the deal specifying a "break price" of between £1.2 to £1.25 billion pounds, has been inserted by Hargreaves, entitling him to refuse any bids below this figure

Expectations are that the release of British Airways’ results for the three months to the end of December 2009 will expose further heavy losses at the airline. BA is expected to reveal a loss of £151 million for the third quarter of the financial year, making for total losses up to the end of March to £602 million, up almost fifty percent from 2008, which was BA’s previous record loss. The threat of pre Christmas strikes and severe weather conditions are two factors among many that have contributed to the company’s already poor situation.

Carphone Warehouse subsidiary TalkTalk have announced the launch of a new television and mobile phone service. The launch is yet another sign of the telecoms group desire to step up its challenge to their sector rivals. Charles Dunstone, chief executive of Carphone Warehouse, outlined the plans for the new division on Friday as the company also released details of the demerger of its telecoms and retail interests. TalkTalk, due to gain a stock market listing in March, have identified TV and mobile services as potentially strong sources of growth. Carphone Warehouse’s broadband rivals already offer TV services, and the market is rapidly expanding.

UK Coal’s already stagnating share price was sent even lower as the mining and property group announced that were liable to increase by £100 million pounds in 2009. UK Coal has announced that they expect production in 2010 to be roughly seven million tonnes, compared with 7.9 million tonnes last year. The company faced severe technical and geological problems in its underground mines in the second half of 2008. The troubled company’s shares fell 4.5 pence to 61.5 pence.

The pound posted a weekly advance against the euro after the U.K. economy exited recession in the fourth quarter and Bank of England policymaker. Expectations are that the U.K. currency will continue to gain value as the government’s propping up of the economy may not be extended, with the decision to be announced when the Bank of England meets to decide on interest rates on Feb. 4. Sterling also posted a monthly gain against the Euro, when closing for the weekend at 1.532.

The pound strengthened 1.3 percent in the week, its strongest level in five months. It advanced 2.3 percent in the January. The U.K. currency dropped 0.7 percent to $1.5993 for a monthly decline of 0.8 percent.

The pound rose 8.5 percent against the euro in the first month of 2010, the biggest monthly gain since the single European currency was launched in 1999.

The US economy grew by an annual rate of 5.7% between October and December, official figures have shown.

The number, which is a first estimate, is a big rise from the previous quarter’s growth rate of 2.2%.

It suggests the country’s economy is growing at its fastest pace for six years and confirms the US economy has left its year-long recession behind.

But even with the rebound, gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by 2.4% across 2009 as a whole, making for the worst annual performance since 1946.

On the news, the Dow Jones fell again this time by 53.13 points, 135 points, to close on Friday at 10067.33, while the NASDAQ lost another 31 points, to finish for the weekend on 2147.35

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Looks like it’s going to be a stay-at-home Christmas as transports strike spreads.

December 18th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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Heathrow baggage handlers and Eurostar train drivers have said they are ready to join British Airways cabin crew and strike in the lead-up to Christmas. Following a breakdown in talks with managers over pay, British Eurostar drivers announced they will go on strike on Friday and Saturday. Unite, the union representing BA cabin crew, said the 500 baggage handlers and check-in staff it covered at Heathrow and Aberdeen airports also planned to strike over pay from Tuesday 24th December, the same day that BA cabin crew are set to commence their 12-day strike action.

Meanwhile an operation is under way to recover the UK thousands of people left stranded after Flyglobespan, Scotland’s biggest airline, collapsed. After their parent company, Globespan, entered administration on Wednesday. Around 4,500 passengers were stranded by the airline’s collapse, mostly in Spain, Portugal, Cyprus and Egypt, with the Civil Aviation Authority expected to be repatriating about 1,100 of those stuck overseas.

A recent poll has shown that UK business leaders have become more gloomy about the recovery of the British economy over the last month, with only 36 percent of business leaders sensing that a financial recovery is in the offing, down from 49 percent in November.

The survey, taken in the five days after Finance Minister Alistair Darling’s pre-budget report last week, found the number of business leaders who had confidence in Darling had fallen five percentage points to 20 percent following the statement. Almost three-quarters of businessmen reckoned that Darling was "out of his depth" while less than a quarter believed he "understands business".

Public sector net borrowing in the UKs hit a record high of £20.3 billion in November, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics.

The public sector net debt as a percentage of overall UK economic output now stands at 60.2%, a considerably rise since the start of the financial crisis.

UK insurance companies also have little positive to report about, with worldwide premium income plunging 18% in 2008 to £215.3 billion, with 2009 also looking to be a fairly tough year. The financial crisis has had a definite effect on insurance rates, with premium income it falling almost 25% to £168.1 billion in 2008. The first nine months of this year, however, do show some promise. Long-term premium income was off 35% relative to the same period in 2008, but general insurance premiums gained 8% to £47.2 billion, mostly due to overseas business.

Virgin Group controlled by billionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson have announced the launch of a new company, designed to come to the rescue of consumers experiencing technical problems with their such as PCs as well as wireless networks not connecting. The opening of this new company, to be known as Virgin Digital Help, is Virgin’s up’s first new UK company in three years offers free online self-help guides such as "speed up" to make computers go faster, or "get connected" to fix links to printers or wireless networks .

Shareholders in Punch Taverns revolted on Wednesday over the pay for executives at Britain’s largest pub owner, voting against its remuneration policies, in one of the biggest shareholder protests over pay this year. 55 per cent of votes on the remuneration policies of the heavily indebted company were cast against them as shareholders objected to the scale of the awards given to executives in a year in which the group suspended dividend payments after its annual pre-tax loss quintupled to £406 million. While the vote on pay was advisory only, a spokesman for Punch announced that they are to conduct “a full review of the remuneration policy and its future implementation” in the wake of the result. The ABI, which represents shareholders that account for about 20 per cent of investments in the UK stock market, signalled its objection to the pay policies by issuing a “red top” alert to its members. Under a long-term incentive plan, Giles Thorley, chief executive, and three other executives were awarded shares worth 200 per cent of their base salary that would vest if total shareholder returns were in the top quartile of the company’s peers over three years. Mr Thorley earned a base salary of £525,000 during the 2008 financial year to August 23. The vote at the annual meeting came after the company warned slowing food sales and patchy trading at its leased estate were depressing profits. Punch shares fell 4.7 per cent to 77.3 pence.

Carphone Warehouse, broadband group TalkTalk and Channel 4 have opted into a joint venture between the BBC, ITV RTL’s AUDK.LU Five and BT to install internet video on television sets. The backing from all public service broadcasters and the UK’s two biggest broadband providers for the project to be known as Project Canvas will help it "secure the future of free-to-air broadcasting" in the Internet age. The venture partners will share an estimated £115 million in yearly costs over the next four years.

Rentokil Initial was among the talking points in the London market on Wednesday, with the stock registering its biggest gain since July.

The pest control-to-package delivery group bounced 4.8 per cent to 105 pence ahead of its relegation from the FTSE 100 next week, with Rentokil management already hinting of a further £150 million of cost savings expected for next year.

Shares in the U.K.’s second-largest drug-maker AstraZeneca Plc climbed 0.5 percent to 2,843 pence after they won a U.S. panel’s backing to expand use of the cholesterol pill Crestor in the prevention of heart disease, a move that, if allowed, could add up to £300 million in annual sales.

Imperial Tobacco Group Plc Europe’s second- largest publicly traded cigarette company, lost 1 percent to 1,894 pence on threat that Japan, the fifth-largest tobacco market, are about to announce further tax increases on cigarettes . U.K. furnishings and clothes chain known for floral pattern Laura Ashley Holdings Plc added 3.8 percent to 13.75 pence, after analysts predicted a better 2010 for the company.

Barclays, Britain’s second-largest bank, slid 6.2 percent to 273.85 pence. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe biggest, fell 3.5 percent to 684.1 pence.

Lloyds, the 43 percent government-owned bank, lost 8.1 percent to 51.1 pence, the steepest slump since May. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc fell 3.5 percent to 30.74 pence.

Sterling lost ground against the dollar and improved against the Euro in sluggish mid week trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6167
  • Pound/Euro 1.1273

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index slid 102.65, or 1.9 percent, to 5,217.61. The index has rebounded 49 percent since March and is heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997 as central banks cut interest rates to record lows and governments worldwide committed about $12 trillion to revive the economy

As had been widely expected, the Federal Reserve have announced that US interest rates will be kept on hold at between 0% and 0.25%, despite continuing signs that the US economy is recovering. The central bank reiterated that rates would stay at the low level for an "extended period".

The Fed’s hand was strengthened by official data showing earlier on Wednesday that US inflation remains under control, rising by just 0.4% in November, as had been predicted.

With inflation continuing to be low, the Fed is not under pressure to increase interest rates as a means to tackle any inflationary pressure.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped more than 130 points to 10, 33.61 while the NASDAQ also dropped to 2,183.55.

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Darling still not blinking on banks.

December 16th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, VAT, World Banks

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Despite threats from major banking groups that they will move key staff abroad, the signs are that Alistair Darling has no intention of watering down his plans to levy a 50 percent super tax on bank bonuses. Apparently the Financial Services Authority (FSA) has already spoken to several smaller banks telling them that they will have to curb bonus payments if they do not do enough to increase their capital holdings with the FSA’s squeeze on bonus payments extending beyond the partially-nationalised Lloyds Banking Group and Royal Bank of Scotland. A recent poll has shown that while the general public are in favour of taxing bonuses, a large percentage feel that the bankers will find a way out of their noose Many feel that the recently announced banking bonus tax is unlikely to raise any significant funds for the UK government and is being used as more of a political pawn coming up to the impending general election.

According to a recent survey from the Bank of England , British consumer spending looks likely to falter in the coming months, as around a quarter of UK households admit that they have switched their fiscal emphasis to saving more, because of growing uncertainty about the long term economic outlook for the country. In addition, the survey shows an increasing proportion of households who were having trouble keeping up to p date with bills and loan repayments has fallen slightly in 2009, in spite of the economic downturn

This little snippet of optimistic news was tempered by the announcement that the rate of inflation has risen to 1.9% in November from 1.5% in October, with the principal cause being the rising cost of petrol. Prices at the pumps rose by 2.9 pence to 108.3 pence a liter in November, compared with a record 9.3 pence fall to 95.2 pence this month last year.

The Office for National Statistics predicted that the consumer prices index (CPI), is expected to rise to 3% or more early next year when the temporary VAT cut is reversed and prices across the board will take a significant increase.

On the same somber note, predictions are that the recovery in the U.K. housing market recovery is liable to come to an end in 2010 as the supply of second hand homes on the market will increase.

Average asking prices are expected to, at best, stand still next year after rising about 2 percent in 2009. Property prices have fallen 2.2 percent this month alone to an average of £220,000 and look likely to drop again in January. What can keep property prices stable is that if the banks show “more forbearance” to consumers who are late on mortgage payments, which after the general election seems increasingly unlikely.

Strike threatened British Airways have announced that they are exploring "all options" to help it cope with the impact of the planned 12-day strike by cabin crew, to be held over the traditionally active Christmas period. Currently up to one million passengers are facing the real e prospect of having their journeys canceled as a result of the strike action by Unite members.

Cabin crew voted nine to one in favor of strikes from 22 December over job cuts and staffing level with BA insisting that they will not climb down on its decision to reduce cabin crew numbers, which is at the heart of the dispute.

Also showing that now is the season for warnings are US food giant Kraft Foods, who have warned Cadbury’s shareholders that they are "taking a risk" if they continue to support Cadbury as a standalone company. They have rushed to claim that their proposed takeover of Cadbury would deliver cost savings and deliver "substantially more value" to Cadbury’s shareholders.

Cadbury has consistently urged shareholders to reject Kraft’s hostile bid, tempting them with the prospect of rival bids, promised dividends and stronger growth. Roger Carr, Cadbury chairman has announced that both Hershey and Italy’s Ferrero had both indicated they were contemplating bids, adding serious negotiations would only start if a compelling and fully-financed offer emerged.

A seasonal rise in DIY sales has given B&Q a recent boost but not enough to prevent owner Kingfisher from issuing a warning that economic and political uncertainty will have an effect on the company in 2010.

Kingfisher shares were lifted by news its UK and Ireland sales were up 4.4% in sales in the third quarter, pushing retail profit up by almost 27%, with a 6.3% improvement in sales at B&Q. with sales of big-ticket items such as kitchens and electrical appliances jumping by 27%.

On the FTSE 100, it was reported that Advent International is offering to buy the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc s’ Global Merchant Services unit in a deal worth £3 billion pounds. The news caused their stock to rise 2.5 percent, to 30.56 pence.

The public transport company National Express Group Plc is to mount a £360 million pound rights issue after the Cosmen family agreed to the deal, the issue is designed to reduce company debt after a slump in rail revenue. Share values declined 1.1 percent, to 182.3 pence.

PartyGaming Plc, the online-gambling brand is reported to be in merger talks with Austria’s Bwin Interactive Gaming AG. On the news, their shares rose 2.1 percent to 256.5 pence.

Operators of the Premier Inn budget-hotel chain, Whitbread Plc are scheduled to publish a trading statement. In anticipation of positive news, shares in the company rose 3.1 percent, to close on 1,330 pence.

Vodafone Group Plc has announced plans to sell their 4.39 percent indirect holding in India’s Bharti Airtel Ltd. Shares in the World’s largest mobile phone company rose 0.4 percent, to 141.55 pence.

Standard Chartered Plc, the U.K. bank that gets most of its profit in emerging markets, rallied 4.3 percent. London Stock Exchange Group Plc, whose largest shareholder is Borse Dubai Ltd., jumped 9.9 percent. Lonmin Plc, the world’s third-biggest platinum producer, led gains in mining shares.

Sterling gained ground against the dollar and Euro in sluggish mid week trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6259
  • Pound/Euro 1.1188

The FTSE 100 Index rose 17.2 points to close on 5,261.57. The index has shown a 50 percent recovery since March and looks to be heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997.

U.K. stocks climbed, led by financial shares, after Abu Dhabi provided $10 billion to avert a default by Dubai’s Nakheel PJSC. The FTSE 100 Index rose 23.77 points to 5,285. 77

US President Barack Obama speaking after a meeting, described as "candid" with executives of some of America’s top banks, announced that he has told bankers to increase loans to small and medium-size businesses.

He went on to add that US banks had received extraordinary assistance and demanded they show extraordinary commitment to rebuild the US economy.

The meeting with executives from Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase and Citigroup, among others, came after the president said he had not run for office to help out "a bunch of fat cat bankers on Wall Street".

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped just nine points to 10,462.66 while the NASDAQ raised a little to close on 2,209.82.

US bank Well Fargo has announced that they are to re pay back £15 billion emergency funding it received under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (Tarp). Following hot on the heels of a similar one by Citigroup, Wells Fargo are the last leading institution to repay Tarp funding, marking a key step towards recovery for the US financial system.

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Treasury justified in banks bail out

December 7th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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The Treasury was "justified" in using taxpayers’ money to bail out banks to protect the wider financial system, according to an official report.

The National Audit Office (NAO) review said the cost to the UK public so far totalled £850 billion.

"It is difficult to imagine the scale of the consequences for the economy and society if major banks had been allowed to collapse," the NAO said.

It said that the final cost to the taxpayer will not be known for "years".

During the financial crisis, the UK government nationalized Northern Rock and took stakes in the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) and Lloyds Banking Group in return for bailing them out.

RBS also put £282 billion of its assets into a government insurance scheme for toxic assets.

Despite the fact that Royal Bank of Scotland has signaled that it will succumb to pressure to pay its high-flying investment bankers substantially less than rival institutions amid an escalating row with the government, it is feared that Alistair Darling may still be heading for a potentially disastrous showdown with the bank over their plans to pay £1.5 billion in bonuses to its staff.

RBS which is 70 per cent owned by taxpayers, is hoping to avoid the high-stakes showdown after it was forced to give the Treasury the final say over the total size of its bonus pool as a condition of signing up to a scheme that will insure £240 billion in toxic assets, with hints coming from the bank that pay-outs in its investment banking division would be “at the low, low end of the scale”. They also hastened to send out a veiled threat, that reduced pensions and bonuses could meant them losing experienced staff to competitors. The bank is confident of forging an agreement with the government after it emerged that RBS directors had sought legal advice about whether they would have to resign if the Treasury vetoed pay deals agreed by the board, Darling, who to be granted the right to veto bonus payments at the bank, is left with a dilemma of waving through potentially huge bonus pay-outs at RBS just months before a general election or plunging the bank, which has already received unprecedented support from taxpayers despite widespread fury over bonus levels, into further crisis.

The value of UK commercial real estate debt in default or in breach of key lending agreements more than doubled to about £30 billion in the first six months of the year, adding pressure on the banking sector, a survey has revealed. Banks have also extended or refinanced an extra £16 billion in the first-half of the year, rolling over maturing debt that could not be paid back by cash-strapped borrowers or restructuring loans when breaches were threatened owing to the steep fall in values. This strategy has been dubbed “extend and pretend”, with some banks even refusing to test loan covenants, given a reluctance to crystallize losses by selling the property asset or the debt attached to it. De Montfort University, which compiles the most comprehensive study of the sector, announced that banks are beginning to deal with the massive £224 billion of outstanding debt to the real estate sector.

Lord Mandelson, business secretary, on Friday issued a blunt warning to Kraft and hedge fund investors that they will face “huge opposition” from the British government if a takeover of Cadbury is used as a means to make “a fast buck” The comments represent a government intervention that is unprecedented in recent years, extending the business minister’s policy of “industrial activism” into a live bidding situation. Meanwhile a strategy appears to be emerging to fend off a hostile takeover from Kraft. The Cadbury strategy emphasizes the value of its brand image and its emerging markets footprint as well as highlighting the progress made on during their restructuring program

Kingfisher, the owner of B&Q DIY stores, has cut net debt by 90 per cent since the start of 2008 and on Thursday confirmed its debt burden at the end of the financial year will be lighter than previously forecast. Net debt fell to £200 million in the third quarter and Kingfisher forecasts net debt of about £300 million at its year end in January, an improvement on previous guidance, which was for £800 million.

The pound continued to lose value strongly against the dollar and the Euro before the weekend.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.471
  • Pound/Euro 1.1086

U.K. stocks climbed, with the FTSE 100 Index extending this week’s advance, after a government report showed the U.S. rate of unemployment declined in November.

The FTSE 100 climbed 9.36 points to 5,322.36, bringing this week’s gain to 1.5 percent. The measure has rebounded 52 percent from its low on March 3 as governments committed about $12 trillion and central banks cut interest rates to record lows to end the global recession and revive credit markets.

US labor Department figures show that unemployment rate fell in November to 10% from 10.2% in October, meaning that 11,000 jobs went over the month, a figure far lower than expected by most analysts.

On Friday’s trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.2 per cent to 10,388.22 and the NASDAQ was up 1 per cent to 2,194.35.

The price of gold price has taken a surprise slump after surprisingly positive US unemployment data sent the US dollar higher, making gold a less attractive investment.

Gold fell more than $65, or 5%, to $1,161.4 an ounce, down from a record high of $1,226.56 in early trading.

After the release of figures showing that the US jobless rate was on the decrease, the dollar gained 2% on the Japanese yen and 1.3% on the euro.

As the dollar weakened due to low interest rates in the US, gold has hit a number of record highs in recent weeks

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London’s role as the Hong King of Europe is drawing to a close.

December 4th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Debt, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, World Banks

financial news

According to Thomas Huertas, the banking director at the U.K.’s Financial Services Authority, London’s role as the European Union (EU) equivalent to Hong Kong as a self-regulating financial center, is drawing to a close.

The group of 27 European states that comprise the EU plans to centralize oversight of markets in the wake of the global financial crisis, with proposals for new regulators for the banking, securities and insurance industries, Huertas said. Evidence of a continental European sway away from London was provided by recent statements from Michel Prada, former chairman of French market regulator "the Autorite des Marches Financiers", who said that while continental Europeans “admire the City,” the also felt high levels of jealousy and irritation towards it.

About 10 percent of jobs in Britain’s financial services industry could be cut, equivalent to over 110,000 jobs. An official from one of the UK’s leading union Unite has announced estimates that 38,000 jobs had gone this year at banks and other financial firms it represents and that was set to rise substantially.

The financial services industry employs between 1.1 million and 1.3 million people. Part-nationalised banks Royal Bank of Scotland and Lloyds Banking Group have cut thousands of jobs, and planned restructurings at the two banks are likely to affect about 25,000 employees,

Dubai World began negotiations to restructure about $26 billion in debt and said the remainder of its $59 billion of liabilities is on “a stable financial footing. Dubai World began talks with banks; easing concern a delay in debt payments will hurt U.K. lenders.

Chelsea Building Society has confirmed it is in advanced merger discussions with its Bradford-based larger rival Yorkshire Building Society.

It said the talks are part of a detailed review of its activities, financial position and corporate structure, which includes looking at the benefits of a possible merger. However the group, which is the UK’s fourth largest building society, stressed that it remained well-funded and had strong liquidity. Yorkshire Building Society is already the UK’s second biggest society, and a tie-up with the Chelsea would create an organization with more than £35 billion of assets, 178 branches and 2.7 million members. Cheltenham-based Chelsea said the merger would boost its capital position by around £100 million. Both the societies said the deal would only go ahead if it produced mutual benefits.

According to a survey of leading UK mortgage lenders, Home owners are choosing to make bigger repayments on home loans instead of increasing spending. This news, whilst pleasing to most, will come as a blow to attempts to drive economic recovery through consumer demand. A rising household saving rate means the Bank of England must instead look to exports to fuel growth. A spokesman for the Lloyds banking group which includes Bank of Scotland, Cheltenham and Gloucester, Birmingham Midshires, Lloyds TSB and Halifax, confirmed that the percentage of customers making regular overpayment on their mortgages has doubled compared to last year. With the average monthly overpayment within the group being around £350 pounds.

BSkyB has been named as Britain’s most admired company by City experts. The media giant, owner of Sky News is the youngest company ever to win Management Today’s top award.

Tesco came in at number two, with its chief executive Sir Terry Leahy retaining his most admired leader crown. BSkyB topped its sector in every one of the nine criteria decided upon and rated by industry peers and City analysts as well as winning the ‘quality of goods and services’, ‘quality of marketing’ and ‘capacity to innovate’ overall awards.

Online retail sales are expected to rise 14 percent to £5 billion this month, According to a recent study, almost three quarters of Britons will do more than half of their Christmas shopping on the Internet,.

A leading industry body specialising in global e-retail, forecast that Monday, December 7 would be the busiest online shopping day this year, with spending reaching £350 million. The survey also states that around 90 percent of consumers plan to buy at least some of their Christmas presents online this year.

The pound retreated strongly against the dollar and the Euro whilst rising against the Yen.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6528
  • Pound/Euro 1.10975
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 145.6191
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6537

The FTSE 100 has rebounded 51 percent from its low on March 3 amid government stimulus programs and record low- interest rates. The gauge fell 3.3 percent from Nov. 25 till the end of trading Thursday as Dubai World’s move to delay debt payments risked triggering the biggest sovereign default since 2001. The FTSE 100 closed on Thursday on 5313.00.

According to a recent survey, the US private sector job cuts narrowed in November for the eighth consecutive month, with less than 170,000 jobs being lost last month, 26,000 fewer than in October. The US services sector shed 81,000 jobs in November, up slightly on October, with fewer jobs being lost in the manufacturing sector. According to a spokesman for the Obama administration, since the beginning of the £473 billion jobs stimulus package, passed in February, it has saved or created more than one million jobs across the US. According to the latest US Labour Department figures, the unemployment rate in the US rose to 10.2% in October, and its highest rate since April 1983. Since the recession began in the US in December 2007, the number of unemployed has risen by 8.2 million, while the jobless rate has risen from 4.9%.

The Dow Jones index closed down 86.53 points, on 10,366.15 points, while the NASDAQ remained steady on 2173.14.

Bank of America has announced plans to repay the £27 billion US government bailout it received during the credit crisis of 2008 as well as after the purchase of Merrill Lynch earlier this year.

The move is designed to allow Bank of America to free itself from government restrictions, including executive pay limits that were a stipulation of granting the funds. The bank reported a $1 billion net loss for the three months from July to September, worse than had been expected, especially when compared to a net profit of around £2 billion in the previous quarter and around £1 billion in the same period of 2008.

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Surprise us! UK economy in unhealthy state says Darling.

November 30th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, World Banks

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Chancellor Alistair Darling will say in his pre-Budget report that the economy performed worse in 2009 than he first predicted, Treasury sources have said.

Darling is expected to say that the UK economy shrank by 4.75% this year – more than the 3.5% originally forecast in the Budget in March.

The adjustment follows the economy’s unexpectedly poor performance in the first three months of the year. The chancellor looks likely to stick to 2010 forecasts of growth between 1-1.5%, despite the emergence of Dubai’s financial problems which now raises fresh fears that UK banks could face more write-downs on bad debts, and chimes with warnings earlier this week from the International Monetary Fund, who said that global banks had only worked through half their toxic assets since the banking crisis broke two years ago. Investors had been hoping the British financial sector had worked through much its toxic debt, which included exposure to America’s sub-prime mortgage market.

Despite this week’s setbacks, economic analysts continue to predict that the UK economy should emerge from recession by the end of the year, with the Northern Ireland and Scotland facing a more challenging recovery. The prediction came as revised gross domestic product (GDP) figures showed the UK recession was shallower than previously thought between July and September. Revised estimates from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed a 0.3% fall in UK output in the third quarter, compared with the 0.4% slide originally stated. While UK business confidence surveys on the "mainland" bear out signs of recovery, Northern Ireland business activity continued to fall in October, albeit at the slowest rate since the start of 2008. The reasons apparently are local margins remaining under pressure, is that the manufacturing sector in the province is still reporting a lack of demand and heavy competition in difficult markets. The combination of these factors looks like meaning Northern Ireland will likely lag the UK recovery. Scotland’s growth will continue to lag behind the rest of the UK’s, according to a leading economic think tank. Similar sources also announced that they had observed some "disturbing weaknesses" in the Scottish economy and predicted growth of -4.9% this year and 0.7% in 2010. Job cuts are expected to continue, with the unemployment rate reaching as high as 8% in 2010. The only prescription for growth for both Northern Ireland and Scotland would be to switch to a more export-led economy, exploiting global markets

Jaguar Land Rover had seen its sales rise 23% in the second quarter after its new models were well-received.

Owner Tata Motors said new products such as the upgraded Range Rover, Range Rover Sport and Discovery 4 had had successful launches.

Although Jaguar Land Rover made a net loss of £60 million in the July-September quarter, it was much less than the £240 million loss it made a year earlier.

India’s Tata Motors made a net profit of £2.8 million in the third quarter of, 2008, compared with a loss of £127,000 for the same period last year.

Borders U.K., the bookstore chain once owned by U.S.- based Borders Group Inc., has called in administrators after failing to find a buyer for its stores. A total of 1,150 employees are affected, according to the statement.

“All stores currently remain open for business as normal whilst the administrators undertake a review of the company’s affairs and seek a purchaser for all or some of the company’s stores in which there has already been interest,” Philip Duffy, principal administrator announced in a statement.

U.K. media have reported that HMV Group Plc’s Waterstone’s books chain is considering buying some of the stores. A spokesman for HMV declined to comment on this when contacted by Bloomberg News earlier.

The steep advertising downturn pushed U.K. publisher Daily Mail & General Trust PLC’s into a net loss for its full fiscal year, as management focused on cutting costs and its £1.05 billion ($1.76 billion) debt pile, but the company said there are signs that trading conditions are improving.

Daily Mail, which publishes the Daily Mail and its sister Sunday paper and the Metro free-sheet, posted a net loss of £303.4 million for the 12 months ended Oct. 4, compared to zero net profit a year earlier.

According to brokers, Thursday’s activity on the FTSE was very similar to when Lehman Brothers collapsed, warning that Dubai’s problems could be the catalyst for the market to fall further. RBS, which is 70 per owned by the UK taxpayer, fell 7.8 per cent, wiping off £1.73 billion of its market value. Barclays lost 8 per cent, cutting its capitalisation by £2.65 billion. HSBC fell 4.8 per cent losing £6.2 billion of its value and Lloyds Banking Group lost 5.6 per cent, wiping off £1.5 billion.

All in all around £44 billion was wiped off London’s biggest companies amid growing fears the UK financial sector could be heavily exposed to Dubai World, the state-owned conglomerate which yesterday asked for a standstill on its £36 billion debt pile. The FTSE 100 tumbled 170.68 points or more than 3 per cent to 5194.1 in its biggest one-day percentage fall since the market plunged to six-year lows in March. Encouragingly enough, the exchange recovered well on Friday, closing on 5245.73.

The pound declined against the dollar after a drop in stocks across the world prompted investors to sell U.K. assets and on speculation the government will downgrade its forecast for the economy. Sterling slipped to the weakest level since Nov. 3 against the U.S. currency as the MSCI World Index declined for a second day after Dubai’s attempt to reschedule its debt continued to rattle investors.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6553
  • Pound/Euro 1.10996
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 142.7188
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6565

US shares have fallen on worries about Dubai’s debt problems, with the Dow Jones ending down 154 points, or 1.5%, at 10,309.92, in a shorter trading day.

It was the first chance for markets in the US to react to news that state-owned Dubai World had asked for more time to repay its debts.

US markets were closed for a holiday on Thursday when other world markets suffered steep losses.

The Dow Jones average dropped 154.58 points on Friday’s trading to close on 10309.92 The NASDAQ lost 37.61 points to close on 2138.44

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