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Freezing Britain has to weigh up the costs.

January 8th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks

financial news

While the UK and with it almost all of Western Europe and the West Coast of the US are caught in the grip of the longest running and most severe cold spell that it has seen for close to thirty years without a break in the foreseeable future, many analyst are now scratching their heads and asking themselves "what will this do to the price of oil?"

Since the weather began to turn incredibly difficult about a week ago the price of oil has risen steadily from the around $78 to $82 within the space of one week, the highest price it has been all of 2009, and to those of you who may have forgotten, sat on a low of $32 a barrel towards the end of December 2008. With the news that the major economies, and especially China, were starting to build up stockpiles of oil, hopes were that prices would begin to fall and settle around the ideal figure of between $68 to $72 a barrel.

Analysts fear that if the span weather persists, and predictions are that at least in the UK it could continue to the end of January, and the increase in demand could push the price up oil even further, as stocks diminish. Meanwhile leading bodies in UK industry bodies have asked head- teachers to minimize snow-linked school closures to reduce levels of absence from the workplace. Although 61 percent of 200 companies surveyed by the British Chambers of Commerce said less than one in 10 employees was absent, the Federation of Small Businesses warned that childcare-related absences following school closures would become a serious problem. The cold snap looks likely to cost the economy close to £700 million pounds a day, meaning total financial damage of £14.5 billion pounds if, as expected. The bad weather lasts a further three weeks.

As expected UK interest rates will remain unchanged at 0.5%, meaning that the cost of borrowing has remained at a record low since March 2009. Economist are not expecting to see a rates increase s in the near term, despite expectations that the UK will finally have exited recession in the last quarter of 2009.

Formula 1 boss, Bernie Ecclestone is looking to buy a Saab, not the car but the company, and intends to do so in partnership with the Luxembourg-based private investment company, Genii Capital, which recently invested in Renault’s Formula 1 team.

Ecclestone’s dramatic announcement came shortly after the deadline for expressions of interest in the company closed without any public bids.

As well as Ecclestone’s offer, a second bid s also emerged, from the Dutch sports car maker, Spyker Cars.

U.S. food giant Kraft has received a ticking off from the principal shareholder Warren Buffett who has also thrown a spanner in the works of their proposed transaction. The Buffett-owned holding company Berkshire Hathaway who Hold 9.4% of Kraft’s stock announced that they will be voting against it is the proposal to issue up to 370 million shares to facilitate the Cadbury deal.

A spokesman for Kraft reacted to Buffet’s statement by saying that "Mr. Buffett is our largest investor and one of the most respected investors in the world. We take his opinion very seriously. We agree Kraft shares are deeply undervalued. We would not do anything to hurt shareholder value and we intend to remain disciplined in this process." Shares fell 7 pence, or 0.9 percent, to 772 pence on trading.

In their annual Christmas trading statement, Majestic Wine announced a rise in sales of 11.7 percent between Nov. 3 and Jan. 4 in the UK, with champagne sales regaining their seasonal appeal over Christmas. While champagne sales grew 11 percent, fine wine sales climbed 30 percent and online trading rose by 20 percent.

Family-owned brewer Fuller Smith & Turner also managed to increase its profits, sales and dividend in the six months to September, largely bucking the trend prevalent in the brewery sector. With members of the controlling families owning more than half of the company equity and 60 percent of the voting rights, executive chairman Michael Turner pronounced the effect that company’s long-term, risk-averse strategy was paying dividends.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

  • Dollar 1,5967
  • Euro 1.1126

The U.K.’s largest home builder by market value Persimmon Plc has announced that they completed the sale of 8,976 new homes in 2009 with a total value of around £1.4 billion pounds. On the news their shares gained 1.2 percent, to 469 pence. Wolseley Plc, the world’s largest supplier of heating and plumbing gear seemed to be moving in a positive direction, with their shares added 4.7 percent, to 1,361 pence.

The Vodafone Group PLC expects to be able to offer Google Inc.’s Nexus One smart phone to its U.K. customers in the next few weeks, with their rivals reported to be already in advanced talks with the Internet giant about the device.

Vodafone, the world’s biggest mobile operator, is also in early discussions with Google about supporting the phone in France, Germany and Spain, a Vodafone spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires Wednesday, and hopes to offer it across the rest of Europe through the course of 2010.

JD Sports Fashion Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest sportswear chain said sales at stores rose 6.6 percent in the five weeks up to the Ist of January .2010. On the news their shares jumped 6.2 percent, to 550 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group on Wednesday reported a small increase in third-quarter sales, despite not slashing prices in the run-up to Christmas, as customers snapped up cashmere sweaters and clothing for kids. But the company cautioned that trading will remain challenging this year.

Group sales at the iconic British retailer rose 2.6% in the three months to Dec. 26. In the U.K. same-store sales rose 0.8%, with general merchandise up 1.2% and food up 0.4%. Underlying sales returned to growth for the first time in two years.

Still, the results missed the consensus forecast for a 1.2% increase in same-store sales, partly because this year’s trading period excluded the first day of the company’s post-Christmas sales, when it typically sees a surge in revenue. Online sales increased 32% and international sales climbed 6%

Britain’s Home Delivery Network said it would buy DHL’s UK parcel delivery operations, DHL Domestic, from Deutsche Post DHL (DPWGn.DE), growing its market share in a sector profiting from a boom in online shopping.

With many of the UK s leading retailers, among them John Lewis and Next reporting significant online growth, companies such as Home Delivery Network have felt the impact.

The parcel delivery company, headquartered in Merseyside, northwest England, said the combined businesses would have annual revenues of more than £600 million pounds, delivering over 180 million parcels a year, with a combined market share of 17 percent.

Britain’s currency recovered slightly over the last two days

  • Dollar 1,5992
  • Euro 1.1198

The FTSE100 finished trading on Thursday in a fairly static position at 5526.72 barely moving on the week’s trading.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Thursday up a further 24 points to 10,607 while the NASDAQ also dropped 8 points to 2,300.71.

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Iceland takes cold feet on repaying the three billion.

January 7th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Iceland’s president has refused to sign a controversial bill to repay £3.1 billion previously promised to the UK and the Netherlands. The news came after Iceland’s President Olafur Ragnar Grimsson announced a change of a heart following public protest and instead the country will now hold a referendum on the bill, which was designed to compensate governments forced to bail out their savers with Icesave accounts following Iceland’s banking crisis.

Legislation to repay the money was approved by Iceland’s parliament in December, but the approval of the president is also required before it can be passed into law.

Things must be getting strained again between Alistair Darling and Gordon Brown who were reported to have contradicted each other once again and in public. The contradiction was on that hot potato over how to handle public spending. Darling was reported to have argued that revenue from stronger than expected growth should be used to cut borrowing in a bid to allay the concerns of bond market investors, while Brown was said to be of the view that strong recovery may help to sustain spending, warding off fears of significant cuts to public services. Government officials hastened to deny a split between Brown and the chancellor. But they would, wouldn’t they.

Kraft have announced that they expect to increase the cash proportion in their offer to Cadbury in an attempt to make their bid more attractive to shareholders. The cash will come from the sale of its North American pizza business, strangely enough bought by erstwhile takeover bid competitors, Nestle who paid over £2 billion for a slice (of the company) .Meanwhile and contrary to recent speculation, Nestle have announced that they do not intend to table a takeover bid for Cadbury,. The company having been linked to a possible offer following Kraft Food’s hostile bid for Cadbury that was announced in December.

As part of their new strategic review, the English Premier League is looking to increase its international reach by inviting companies to become an official technology partner, aimed at tapping global opportunities more successfully. With current sponsorship making up just five per cent of the Premier League’s one billion pounds annual turnover, from sponsors that including Nike, Lucozade, Wrigley, and EA Sports, Topps Merlin and Sporting iD and title sponsors Barclays Bank.

One of the companies brave enough to raise their prices to match the return of VAT to its previous 17.5 per cent rate are Apple, who have increased the prices of many products on the Apple Store, including Macs. On 1 Jan 2010 the VAT level in the UK returned to 17.5 per cent, up from the reduced rate of 15 per cent (VAT is the UK term for sales tax). The UK government temporarily reduced the rate of VAT during 2009 to add some life into the UK economy, and it was thought that many of the UK’s leading retailers would continue to subsidise the increase, at least for January.

However Apple’s move seems likely to prompt some discussion surrounding the pricing of Apple products in general, which has steadily increased in the UK over the last two years.

Encouraging evidence of better retail conditions with record sales over the Christmas and New Year period were provided by the John Lewis employee-owned department store and chain. The company reported sales strongly ahead of the last two years that in the five weeks to January 2. John Lewis’s performance offers hope to retailers as they begin to release figures on their trading in the crucial festive period on Tuesday. John Lewis said total sales rose 15.8 per cent in the five weeks to January 2, compared with the same period a year earlier, while sales based on stores open at least a year were up 12.7 per cent.

On the stock exchange, shares in partly-nationalised Royal Bank of Scotland rose 9.9%, helped by analyst’s predictions that the bank is liable to "outperform" in 2010.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

  • Dollar 1,5967
  • Euro 1.1126

The chairman of the US Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke has blamed poor financial regulation for the financial crisis and defended the record of America’s central bank, whilst calling for urgent improvements to financial oversight to prevent a repeat of an economic storm that he said could ultimately prove to be "the worst in history".

In a recent speech, Mr Bernanke argued that low interest rates in the first five years of the new millennium were "appropriate" for the time and had not caused the "bubble" in US house prices. His reaction came after the Fed has recently come under criticism by certain US economists who argue that it kept rates too low for too long, encouraging an artificial property boom. The subsequent crash led to a surge in repossessions, leaving lenders with huge losses, causing a financial contagion that spread around the world.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Tuesday up 144 points to 10,572, while the NASDAQ also rose 39 points to 2,308.71.

According to expert analysts, the US public pension system faces a higher-than-expected shortfall of more than $2,000 billion that will increase pressure on many states’ strained finances and crimp economic growth. Recent estimates of aggregate funding requirement of the US pension system have ranged between $400 billion and $500 billion, however recent speculation has concluded that public funds would need to find more than $2,000 billion to meet future pension obligation

Commodities prices are set to rise further this year as the global economy expands faster, according to an International Monetary Fund forecast, following the biggest annual price increase for raw materials in nearly four decades in 2009

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House prices to rise in 2010, but not by much.

December 23rd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) has predicted that house prices are unlikely to rise by much more than one to two percent in 2010. The nation’s chief surveyors’ body did however raise the possibility that more properties would change hands in 2010. In their report, RICS pointed out that the housing market had come through the past year in better shape than many had predicted but said it believed several factors would limit price rises.

According to figures issued by the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), the UK economy shrank by 0.2% between July and September, which is less than the previous estimate of a 0.3% contraction. While the news confirms that the country is not yet out of the recession, it does add weight to predictions that fourth quarter figures will show the economy is finally returning to growth.

The UK recession, which began in the second quarter of 2008, has seen the UK economy contract by 6%. Meanwhile the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has forecast that in 2010 recovery for the UK economy will be at best ‘fragile’. The CBI confirmed that the UK economy was likely to come out of recession in the fourth quarter this year, driven by increased spending from consumers looking to buy before the January VAT increase. However, they went on to warn that economic growth would be weak, at around 0.3%, for the first two quarters of 2010, with wage freezes continuing into spring and job losses until the autumn

Lehman Brothers, one of the first major investment banks to collapse during the current financial downturn are back to their old ways, is hiring new staff on fat salary/bonus packages as well as paying generous bonuses in London to existing staff, to stop them from defecting. The bank is reportedly recruiting middle and back office staff in order that their administrators PwC can wade through the millions of transactions that must be reconciled with clients and trading partners to determine what is owed or can be claimed. Meanwhile the judge overseeing Lehman’s US bankruptcy in New York last week approved an extra $50 million (£30 million) in bonus pay-outs to some 230 derivatives traders working to help to untangle the dead bank’s $10 billion portfolio. The bonus pay-outs come as bankers face anger and derision over probable bonuses at the end of this year.

British Telecom (BT) are reported to by pushing forward the launch of its super fast broadband network to make sure that the infrastructure is completed in time for the 2012 Olympic Games in London. Britain’s broadband speeds lag behind those of many industrialized countries and BT is under pressure to fix the problem. The company is planning to spend £1.5 billion on a new broadband network based on optical fiber, but it will run past only 40 per cent of homes, mainly in towns and cities. BT originally pronounced that it could take until March 2013 to build the urban-focused network, but, following successful trials, it now appears that the project will be completed by June 2012, with the Olympics beginning the following month. When it does get going, the new network is designed to increase broadband download speeds 10-fold, to about 40 megabits per second, to cope with the rise of bandwidth-hungry services such as high-definition video.

BAA has won its appeal against the Competition Commission but remains unsure whether the judgment means the company will have to sell airports in London and Scotland. In March of this year, the UK’s largest airport operator was ordered to sell three of its seven airports: Gatwick, Stansted and either Glasgow or Edinburgh. The company won their appeal on a number of arguments, one of them that a decline in passenger numbers should have been considered in the decision

The Competition Commission (CC) has finally cleared the merger of ticket agent Ticketmaster and concert promoter Live Nation. The UK regulator has confirmed that the merger would "not result in a substantial lessening of competition in the market" in the UK.

CC’s decision marks a reversal from their provisional ruling, where they vetoed the merger, stating that they were concerned about its ramifications.

The US Justice Department is also investigating the proposed merger, which was originally closed in February.

According to a new poll by the Auto Trader magazine, the Ford Focus has been voted the UK’s most popular car of the decade. The small family car beat our sports cars, SUVs and city cars to take first place. Despite the company being rocked by financial issues in the past ten years, Ford has retained its place as an iconic motoring brand, with two of its other models, the Fiesta and Mondeo, ranking high in the list of most loved cars by the British public. The Auto Trader poll, designed to analyse the key motoring trends over the past ten years, also looked at categories including ‘greenest’ car and ‘best value for money’ car.

Sterling was seen to be weakening in mid week trading against the dollar and the Euro.

  • Dollar 1.5956
  • Euro 1.111922

On the FTSE house builders edged higher after analysts announced that the sector valuation was looking brighter after a period of under performance that left them trading below book value. Forecasts are that UK house prices are to fall by 5 to 10 per cent as unemployment peaks in the second quarter of 2010, and saw rising interest rates damping the recovery for the next two years. Despite the less than encouraging forecasts, Taylor Wimpey was up 4 percent to 35¾ pence while Barratt rose 1.7 per cent to 116 pence. However, Redrow fell 0.2 per cent to 131½ pence.

The FTSE 100 gained for a second day, adding 34.67 points to close on 5,328.66, just 54 points off its 2009 high.

Official figures show that the US economy grew by less than originally estimated in the third quarter, with the latest estimate showing an annual growth pace of 2.2%, the figure was down from the previous estimate of 2.8%. In any case, July- September was the first quarter in which the US economy returned to growth, after four quarters of decline.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8 per cent to 10,414.14 while the Nasdaq Composite was 1.2 per cent higher at 2,237.66, a welcome recovery after losses last week as the dollar strengthened and concern grew over the prospect of a tighter monetary policy.

A report issued by the National Association of Realtors (NAOR) showed new home sales in the US rose 7.4% in November, apparently spurred on by government incentives. NAOR also announced that property sales rose in the month to an annual rate of 6.5 million, making for the highest level in more than two years.

On Tuesday the OPEC oil cartel provided its strongest indication yet that it aims to keep oil prices at $70-$80 a barrel next year as it tries to support the economic recovery. As a first step, the cartel, which controls more than 40 per cent of the world’s oil output, agreed to leave its production levels unchanged at least until the end of the first quarter of 2010.

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Surprise us! UK economy in unhealthy state says Darling.

November 30th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, World Banks

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Chancellor Alistair Darling will say in his pre-Budget report that the economy performed worse in 2009 than he first predicted, Treasury sources have said.

Darling is expected to say that the UK economy shrank by 4.75% this year – more than the 3.5% originally forecast in the Budget in March.

The adjustment follows the economy’s unexpectedly poor performance in the first three months of the year. The chancellor looks likely to stick to 2010 forecasts of growth between 1-1.5%, despite the emergence of Dubai’s financial problems which now raises fresh fears that UK banks could face more write-downs on bad debts, and chimes with warnings earlier this week from the International Monetary Fund, who said that global banks had only worked through half their toxic assets since the banking crisis broke two years ago. Investors had been hoping the British financial sector had worked through much its toxic debt, which included exposure to America’s sub-prime mortgage market.

Despite this week’s setbacks, economic analysts continue to predict that the UK economy should emerge from recession by the end of the year, with the Northern Ireland and Scotland facing a more challenging recovery. The prediction came as revised gross domestic product (GDP) figures showed the UK recession was shallower than previously thought between July and September. Revised estimates from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed a 0.3% fall in UK output in the third quarter, compared with the 0.4% slide originally stated. While UK business confidence surveys on the "mainland" bear out signs of recovery, Northern Ireland business activity continued to fall in October, albeit at the slowest rate since the start of 2008. The reasons apparently are local margins remaining under pressure, is that the manufacturing sector in the province is still reporting a lack of demand and heavy competition in difficult markets. The combination of these factors looks like meaning Northern Ireland will likely lag the UK recovery. Scotland’s growth will continue to lag behind the rest of the UK’s, according to a leading economic think tank. Similar sources also announced that they had observed some "disturbing weaknesses" in the Scottish economy and predicted growth of -4.9% this year and 0.7% in 2010. Job cuts are expected to continue, with the unemployment rate reaching as high as 8% in 2010. The only prescription for growth for both Northern Ireland and Scotland would be to switch to a more export-led economy, exploiting global markets

Jaguar Land Rover had seen its sales rise 23% in the second quarter after its new models were well-received.

Owner Tata Motors said new products such as the upgraded Range Rover, Range Rover Sport and Discovery 4 had had successful launches.

Although Jaguar Land Rover made a net loss of £60 million in the July-September quarter, it was much less than the £240 million loss it made a year earlier.

India’s Tata Motors made a net profit of £2.8 million in the third quarter of, 2008, compared with a loss of £127,000 for the same period last year.

Borders U.K., the bookstore chain once owned by U.S.- based Borders Group Inc., has called in administrators after failing to find a buyer for its stores. A total of 1,150 employees are affected, according to the statement.

“All stores currently remain open for business as normal whilst the administrators undertake a review of the company’s affairs and seek a purchaser for all or some of the company’s stores in which there has already been interest,” Philip Duffy, principal administrator announced in a statement.

U.K. media have reported that HMV Group Plc’s Waterstone’s books chain is considering buying some of the stores. A spokesman for HMV declined to comment on this when contacted by Bloomberg News earlier.

The steep advertising downturn pushed U.K. publisher Daily Mail & General Trust PLC’s into a net loss for its full fiscal year, as management focused on cutting costs and its £1.05 billion ($1.76 billion) debt pile, but the company said there are signs that trading conditions are improving.

Daily Mail, which publishes the Daily Mail and its sister Sunday paper and the Metro free-sheet, posted a net loss of £303.4 million for the 12 months ended Oct. 4, compared to zero net profit a year earlier.

According to brokers, Thursday’s activity on the FTSE was very similar to when Lehman Brothers collapsed, warning that Dubai’s problems could be the catalyst for the market to fall further. RBS, which is 70 per owned by the UK taxpayer, fell 7.8 per cent, wiping off £1.73 billion of its market value. Barclays lost 8 per cent, cutting its capitalisation by £2.65 billion. HSBC fell 4.8 per cent losing £6.2 billion of its value and Lloyds Banking Group lost 5.6 per cent, wiping off £1.5 billion.

All in all around £44 billion was wiped off London’s biggest companies amid growing fears the UK financial sector could be heavily exposed to Dubai World, the state-owned conglomerate which yesterday asked for a standstill on its £36 billion debt pile. The FTSE 100 tumbled 170.68 points or more than 3 per cent to 5194.1 in its biggest one-day percentage fall since the market plunged to six-year lows in March. Encouragingly enough, the exchange recovered well on Friday, closing on 5245.73.

The pound declined against the dollar after a drop in stocks across the world prompted investors to sell U.K. assets and on speculation the government will downgrade its forecast for the economy. Sterling slipped to the weakest level since Nov. 3 against the U.S. currency as the MSCI World Index declined for a second day after Dubai’s attempt to reschedule its debt continued to rattle investors.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6553
  • Pound/Euro 1.10996
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 142.7188
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6565

US shares have fallen on worries about Dubai’s debt problems, with the Dow Jones ending down 154 points, or 1.5%, at 10,309.92, in a shorter trading day.

It was the first chance for markets in the US to react to news that state-owned Dubai World had asked for more time to repay its debts.

US markets were closed for a holiday on Thursday when other world markets suffered steep losses.

The Dow Jones average dropped 154.58 points on Friday’s trading to close on 10309.92 The NASDAQ lost 37.61 points to close on 2138.44

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Its Lehman Brothers day – a time for financial contemplation.

September 16th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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It was a day for financial contemplation on Tuesday as the first anniversary of Lehman Brothers filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the early hours of 15 September 2008 was marked, not quite by a minute’s silence but by many hours of contemplation of who the World’s financial systems almost went into meltdown.

Following the collapse of Lehman Brothers, once the fourth-largest US investment bank, the knock on effect caused meant that governments around the world had to pump trillions into their financial systems. The previously unimagined bank bail-outs, central bank actions and huge stimulus plans to save their biggest banks followed. Moves that are estimated to have cost every citizen of the developed world around $10,000 each..

On the day, Paul Myners, the minister who job it is to oversee London’s financial district, announced that he remains “very confident” that the UK’s multibillion-pound bailout of its troubled lenders will result in a profit for the country.

Last year the U.K. orchestrated a rescue package for banks including Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and Lloyds Banking Group Plc. In the April annual budget the government submitted to Parliament it estimated that the bailout may cost taxpayers £50 billion

When asked to give his impressions when investments in the UK banking system would result in profit for members of the U.K. public, Myners replied by assessing that it will take “much less” time than a decade, and when it came it would add up to a “a nice little nest egg for the British taxpayer.”

Speaking of nest eggs or was it Easter eggs, Cadbury’s chief executive Todd Stitzer is due to be in the hot seat today, when he faces a group of the company’s’ top level investors since Kraft’s £10.2 billion unsolicited takeover proposal was rejected by the company. Stitzer as well as Andrew Bonfield, Cadbury’s chief financial officer are expected to be asked to outline the confectionery group’s long-term growth plans. The address was scheduled before Kraft approached Cadbury late last month.

UK oil and gas explorer, BG Group have announced another oil and gas discovery in a giant field off the coast of Brazil on Monday, making it the second in less than a week.

BG said further work was needed to evaluate the results before any concrete announcement can be made.

Hopes of a swift economic rebound and warned households and businesses of a “slow and protracted” recovery, according to Mervyn King, Bank of England governor.

King’s comments led to a sharp reassessment in financial markets of the likelihood and timing of any rise in interest rates.

The pound has taken a beating in the last few days, falling against all the major currencies for the last three months.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6477
  • Pound/Euro 1.122
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 148.8052
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7034

The FTSE 100 continued its upswing rising 60.31 points to finish on 5.102.44 while the FTSE 250 rose on Tuesday by 87.24 points to 9251.84/

The US recession is probably over but the economy will remain weak for some time due to unemployment, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has said.

But he added that the economy would still feel "very weak" to Americans concerned about job security.

A year after Lehman Brothers collapsed, a think tank has warned the lessons of the crisis have not been learned.

The Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) says the rapid return to the City’s bonus culture shows that real reform has been "very limited".

The warnings echoed a speech by US President Barack Obama, who warned of complacency in the banking sector.

Despite President Obama’s and Bernanke’s comments , stocks on Wall Street rose on the day’s trading. The Dow Jones rose by 56.61 points to 9683.41, while the NASDAQ rose by 10.86 points to 2102.64.

Japan Airlines (JAL) plans to cut 6,800 jobs, as an airline trade body upped its projected losses for the global industry this year.

Media reports have said several US and European airlines are in the running to take a stake in the loss-making carrier.

The airline had already launched a programme of job cuts, plans for fuel-efficiency and a focus on business customers.

Reports this week have suggested that Delta Airlines and American Airlines are in talks to invest in JAL to expand into Asia via code-sharing agreements.

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Mandelson seeks to ban the Phoenix Four

September 14th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Gold, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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After an inquiry found they had taken unreasonably large rewards from the now bankrupt car maker MG Rover Group Ltd, UK Business Secretary Peter Mandelson is seeking a ban on the investors involved in the collapse from running other companies

A recently released 800-page government-commissioned report into the demise of MG Rover, who went belly up in 2005 with debts amounting to £1.3 billion states that directors of Phoenix Venture Holdings, Peter Beale, John Edwards, Nick Stephenson, John Towers and Kevin Howe had drawn a combined 42 million pounds in pay and benefits over five years.

About 6,000 people lost their jobs when the car maker collapsed.

Lord Mandelson, business secretary, has also announced his confidence that following the sale of General Motors’ European business to Magna International, a Canadian car-parts supplier, and Russia’s Sberbank jobs were safe at Vauxhall’s plants in the UK. GM’s decision to sell Opel to the Canadian and Russian partnership ended months of uncertainty over the fate of the car maker.

Magna has already made a commitment to the German government not to shut any of its four factories there, however t there is still unease and uncertainty among Britain’s trade unions that either the Luton or Ellesmere Port plant, might be slated for closure by Magna. Without giving any specific reason why, Lord Mandelson, in a statement issued before the weekend. Said he was satisfied with the deal and that the immediate uncertainty about GM’s future in Europe has been removed.

The star of the show on the FTSE Friday was the rail maintenance group, Jarvis, whose shares jumped to their highest level in more than a year after the company reported an “extremely preliminary” takeover inquiry.

Their stock, which has been stuck below the 15 pence since a profits warning way back in November 2007 wiped 75 per cent off its value, has increased in value by close to 70 percent from 17 pence to 24 pence with two days of trading after the company released a statement to the markets on the approach

Analysts speculated that that any of the other companies involved the rail maintenance sector might be interested in the company, with others suggesting that an overseas buyer might also be a candidate.

The UK’s fourth-biggest supermarket group WM Morrison warned of lower sales growth on the back of more moderate rises in food prices, as it lifted profits and raised its interim dividend by 35 per cent.

Morrisons, who increased their underlying profits by 22 per cent, also announced that they are embarking on an expansion drive containing its fresh food shop within a shop concept, as it seeks expansion.

A spokesman for the company did warn that a natural reduction in comparative growth rates was liable to be caused by easing food price inflation, along with strong like-for-like sales growth. Shares in the group dropped by 0.8 pence to 283.7 pence.

As the market continued to digest news it was under investigation by the Serious Fraud Office and Office of Fair Trading over allegations of anti-competitive business practices, shares in Sports Direct International dropped 0.9 per cent to 107.9 pence.

The FTSE 100 index made it back over the 5,000 points, rising. 23.79 points to close at 5,011.47

The FTSE 250 rose again on Friday, up 82.18 points to close for the weekend to close on 9,207.89

The pound rose against the dollar yet took a minor tumble against the Euro on Friday’s trading, as well as the other major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.616
  • Pound/Euro 1.1433
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 150.5651
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7281

According to a recent declaration by Treasury secretary Tim Geithner, the US is starting to pare back its emergency support for banks and financial markets, stating that the US financial system was no longer in need of extensive government prop-ups.

Almost a year since the collapse of Lehman Brothers, which triggered a financial panic that tipped the world into a deep recession, Geithner has announced that the time had come to ease the US economy from crisis to recovery mode.

Pointing to the evidence of a return to partial stability in global financial markets, Mr. Geithner announced that the US would allow their $2,500 billion guarantee for industry to expire as scheduled this month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average faltered by just a little on Friday down 12.07 points to 9695.44 while the NASDAQ Composite rose by 0.2 points to close on 2080.9.

Fast-falling corporate inventories meant Japanese gross domestic product grew more slowly in the second quarter of this year than was initially forecast, according to government data released on Friday, but analysts stated that the world’s second largest economy’s recovery remained on track.

In the three months to June, GDP expanded 0.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis, revised data issued by the cabinet showed, down from the 0.9 per cent growth initially estimated last month.

Global oil consumption will contract less than previously feared this year and grow strongly in 2010, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA) the developed countries’ energy watchdog, another of the signs of optimism for the economic welfare of the World popping up on a regular basis these days.

The IEA now expect global oil demand to drop 1. 9 million barrels a day for 2009, less than the 2.3 million forecasts as recently as last month, making for the third revision since May, when the organisation forecast a contraction of 2.6 million barrels per day. .

Gold reached $1,011.55 a troy ounce on Friday, just 1.9 per cent below the record $1,030.80 reached in March 2008.

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Chelsea Building Society victims of multi-million pound fraud

August 24th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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Officers in charge of the Chelsea Building Society held their head in their hands on Friday as they sheepishly admitted that the society had fallen victims to £41 million fraud by some of their buy-to-let borrowers.

The Chelsea, UKs fifth-largest building society, hastened to explain that if the fraud hadn’t taken place their half year loss of £26 million would have been a £15 profit, which still looks bad when compared to their £23 million of last year, but will still be acceptable given the current economic circumstances.

In an act of accountability which is rare in the UK these days, the society announced that both Finance Director Andrew Parsons and Chief Executive Richard Hornbrook will be resigning their posts as details of the fraud began to unravel. Initial findings are Chelsea reveal that artificially inflated property values by professionals such as mortgage brokers and surveyors were the main factors, whilst acknowledging that the society’s risk controls may not have been as tight as they could have been at a time of booming demand for mortgage finance and runaway house prices.

Chelsea has since conducted a review of its risk management, setting up a number of risk committees.

The much heralded government scheme purporting to offer up to £5 billion to help protect suppliers from the collapse of their customers has so far attracted only minor interest with only £7 million of assistance being provided to a mere 52 UK companies to date. .

The thinking behind the scheme was to prop up private sector insurers who were growing increasingly nervous about their levels of exposure during the credit crisis.

The reasons for the scheme’s low take-up has been blamed on the scheme’s tight restrictions and comparatively high charges, amounting to 2 per cent of turnover, which is more than four times the cost of typical private sector insurance.

On Thursday, the UK business department announced that they would be cutting charges to 1 per cent in the hope that more entrepreneurs would take up the initiative.

Barclays has recently published research suggesting that business sentiment amongst the UKs businesses is on the rise.

Almost three quarters of UK businesses surveyed in the poll described their attitude towards the economy as more positive, with the research also revealing a confident stance towards recovery, with 15 per cent of respondents believing their company will move back into a sustained growth phase within the next six months.

An interesting point raised in the poll was that a significant number of business leaders believe that the current recession was positively affecting motivation levels of staff and management within their company.

Officials of the UKs largest state controlled bank, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc have been asked to appear at a hearing due to take place in October where the subject of whether the Treasury violated its own environmental standards by bailing out the bank will be discussed

It was also revealed on Friday that clients of Lehman Brothers’ European operations are liable face further delay before they can recover part If not all of their $9 billion of assets. The news came after an English judge decided he could not approve a scheme mooted by PwC, administrator of the defunct bank’s main European operations that would have helped expedite the winding up of the collapsed bank’s complicated operations.

PwC had proposed a scheme that would have divided the bank’s more than 1,000 clients into three classes. A move that would have allowed the administrators to deal with claims by class rather than each one separately. .

Thelondonpaper, the free sheet published by News International, owners of the Sun and the Times, will be wound up after the company announced advertising income had “fallen short of expectations”.

Rupert Murdoch has vowed to charge for all the online content of his newspapers and television news channels. Price rises are now one of the few growth strategies available to newspaper publishers.

The UK Office of Fair Trading (OFT) could force some of Britain’s largest bus companies to sell off their buses or even entire depots after they ruled that a lack of competition in the local bus market may be a cause for inflated fare tariffs and sub standard services.

OFT’s proposal is one of a series suggested in a recent study that reach the overall conclusion that operators in the £3.6 billion market could be overcharging customers.

After a rapid wave of consolidation in 1986, currently almost y two-thirds of UK bus services are controlled by five operators – Go-Ahead, National Express, Arriva, FirstGroup and Stagecoach, with OFT revealing that passengers were paying 9 per cent more for fares in areas where there was only one national operator.

On the FTSE Friday, Cable and Wireless was among the risers, gaining 1.6 per cent to 143 pence amid hopes that the market rebound would allow it to revive plans to split out its worldwide division.

The insurance sector was also on the rise, boosted by Aviva rising 5.5 per cent to 411 pence and Friends Provident up 4.3 per cent to 82 pence

Legal & General also gained 5.6 per cent to 78 pence after major market analysts named the stock among their top picks in the sector.

The FTSE’s advance also favoured stocks with recovery potential, with British Airways being among the hottest rising 7.2 per cent to close at 188 pence.

A 2 per cent rise gave the FTSE 100 its fourth straight session of gains, up 94.31 points on Friday to its biggest gain in more than a month at 4,850.89. For the week, the benchmark was up 2.9 per cent, lifting the index to a 10-month high.

On its way back in some style is the FTSE 250 jumping a further 1.73 % or 147.47 points to close for the weekend on 8,678.83

Currency markets remained fairly stable on Friday.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6501
  • Pound/Euro 1.1522
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 155.7159
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.746

World stock markets have risen after US central bank chief Ben Bernanke said the world’s biggest economy was nearing the start of a recovery.

The Fed boss said unemployment, which is expected to top 10% in the US, would fall "only gradually".

However, European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet expressed concern at what he saw as premature talk of a full recovery.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones index rose more than 1%, while European markets were also sent higher.

US stocks rallied to new highs for the year on Friday after early optimism from Europe was boosted by signs of a US recovery.

An unexpected jump in the sales of existing homes fuelled the US stock market’s best day since late July.

This gave investors further confidence that the recession is ending, after figures earlier in the week showed factory activity in the mid-Atlantic region and manufacturing in the New York area both rose impressively last month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued its steady recovery, up a further 155.91 Points to close on 9505.96. The NASDAQ also crossed the 2,000 point barrier again up 31. 68 points to close on 2020.90

Monday evening in the US will see an end to the cash-for-clunkers scheme which has been described as "a victim of its own success" just a month after the scheme was introduced.

The decision to wind down the scheme was taken to ensure that payments do not exceed the $3 billion allocated by Congress.

By Thursday, the transportation department had recorded 457,000 transactions, worth almost $2 billion in rebates.

The board of General Motors was set to choose their preferred bidder for a controlling stake in Opel/Vauxhall on Friday. Amid intense pressure from the German government to favour Magna International, the Canadian parts maker, the decision is to be made amid growing disquiet over the sale process among other EU member states where the Detroit carmaker has operations. The UK government is concerned that the Germans will seek to call the shots in deciding which GM plants are closed or scaled back as the new owners work to put the unit on a more even financial keel. Magna is competing against RHJ International, the Brussels-based private equity group.

The price of oil has hit its highest level of the year, boosted by sharp rises in Chinese stocks and rising shares on Wall Street.

The price of US crude rose to $74.15 a barrel before settling at $73.89, a gain of 98 cents. London Brent was up 86 cents at $74.19.

Worldwide oil prices have been extremely volatile this year.

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