Economists have warned that a rise in interest rates is likely before the end of the year in the event that the current spike in factory output prices continues. High petrol prices have caused manufacturers to absorb rising energy and raw materials prices, with the main being transferred to consumers, stoking fears of a rise in inflation. A five percent rise in year-on-year retail prices in March out-paced analyst expectations, causing them to refigure the probability that the Bank of England will raise rates earlier.

The Halifax Building Society, Group has released its house price index, showing that house prices rose by 1.1 percent in March, partially reversing the 1.6 percent decline in February. The average price for the first quarter of 2010 finished 0.6 percent higher than the same period in 2009. A spokesman for Halifax pointed out that the return of stamp duty on lower-priced homes as well at the severe weather had combined to create a negative effect on house prices in the first two months of the year.

The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) have revealed as increase in new car sales by 26.6 percent during March. March is typically a strong month for new car sales, regularly accounting for a fifth of annual sales in the UK due to the new registration plate. The SMMT predicts that the end of the government scrappage scheme will result in a nine per cent fall in total sales for the year. A spokesman for the SMMT, also pointed out that the UK motor industry has enjoyed a better than anticipated first quarter of 2010 while the coming months likely to remain challenging with registrations of new cars expected to dip. In a related statement, the SMMT recently revealed that the number of vehicles in the UK are at an all time low.

The remaining British motorists pulling will be helping to take part in another record breaking attempt from this week onwards, how much it costs too fill their tank. A spokesman for the AA has speculated that petrol prices are about to hit (and pass) the 120 pence a liter mark, with the previous high being 119.7 pence high seen in July 2008, when crude oil was coasting more than $147.00 a barrel..

Industry sources have rushed to point out that the increase is partly a result of soaring wholesale costs, with the price of oil hitting an 18-month high of $85 a barrel, a third less than it cost during the previous high, although the pound was much stronger them and the effects of Chancellor Alistair Darling’s latest duty rise in last month’s Budget of 1 pence a liter.

In April, 2009, petrol cost 92.44 pence a liter.

Postal operator UK Mail has announced that revenues of £388 million for the financial year up to March 31 despite a drop in demand for their services caused by the financial crisis. After the announcement UK Mail’s share price rose 21.5 pence to 333.5 pence, up 28 percent over the past year.

The number of passengers that flew with budget airline EasyJet has increased by 13.5% on a year-on-year basis. EasyJet flew 3.96 million passengers in March 2010, 13.5 percent more than the 3.49 million carried in March 2009 with rival budget airline Ryanair also reporting a 13 percent rise to 5.3 million for the same period. A spokesman for EasyJet projected that the company had benefited from the British Airways strike, as well recently increased its number of flights across Europe.

Marks & Spencer have reported a 5.1 percent fourth-quarter sales increase at the retailer, ahead of becoming non-executive chairman in May. The figures, reported by outgoing executive chairman Sir Stuart Rose, have surpassed analysts’ expectations with sales driven by strong performance in the group’s formalwear and knitwear divisions. Rose in a somewhat controversial final report called for "greater clarity on economic policy and how this will impact our customers individually" after the election.

Hamley’s, the UK historic toy retailer, took their first step in an ambitious drive into India, with the opening of their first store in Mumbai. The company’s £22 million expansion into Asia’s third-biggest economy will see 20 outlets open across the country in seven years. A spokesman for Hamley’s announced that India was a key part of Hamley’s effort to expand into emerging markets, as they were attracted to the growing population and the potential of a previously restricted retail sector.

Kraft Foods has thrown its support behind a national chain of Cadbury-branded cafés that will offer afternoon teas and a wide range if chocolate products service in a move to compete with the high street coffee shop chains.

Cadbury had been in discussions about the outlets long before Kraft made its hostile bid last September and signed off the deal at the end of January – just before the US company took control of the confectioner.

The US food-maker, who took over Cadburys this year, has now endorsed a 20-year licence to a group of retail entrepreneurs to set up and manage the high street chain, to be called Cadbury Cocoa House.

The group could open as many as 60 cafés in locations around the UK in the next three to five years, and has already begun to negotiate with landlords for the first sites in London, which could be running before the end of 2010.

Following a £13 million ($20 million) management buyout the British arm of Reader’s Digest was pulled out of bankruptcy on Friday, The news means that Reader’s Digest Association Ltd. will now continue to be published under its well-known name.

The U.K. subsidiary of Reader’s Digest took shelter in administration, a form of bankruptcy protection, on Feb. 17 because it had been unable to gain agreement on a plan to close a pension deficit. That decision paved the way for the U.S. parent company to emerge from Chapter 11 reorganization.

Analysts have confirmed that since the start of 2007, the pound has dropped about 25 percent on a trade-weighted basis, making exporters’ goods less expensive overseas. Bank of England policy makers are counting on sterling’s weakness to aid the recovery and reduce domestic spending at a time when the nation faces a record budget deficit.

The pound continues to retain its level above $1.50, closing at $1.5372, while falling back in value ever so slightly against the Euro at 1,1403.

U.K. stocks rose again before the close on Friday, making for the benchmark FTSE 100 Index’s sixth straight weekly gain, the longest stretch of such gains since 2005. The gains were on increased confidence, as the European Union agreed to a contingency rescue package to help Greece cut its budget deficit.

The FTSE 100 advanced 58.28, to 5,770.98, extending this week’s gain to 0.5 percent.

US stock prices dramatically reversed Thursday’s negative start

At the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 70 points at 10,927.07 while the NASDAQ Composite was 18 points higher at 2,454.05.

Greek bonds have plunged this week on renewed concern that the country won’t succeed in cutting its budget deficit, the European Union’s largest. Leaders of the nations who share the euro last month endorsed a Franco-German proposal to help Greece with a mix of International Monetary Fund and bilateral loans at market interest rates that would be triggered only if Greece runs out of fund-raising options.

China on Saturday announced a rare deficit in its politically sensitive trade balance for March, the first in six years, bolstering Beijing’s argument that the value of its currency only has a limited impact on international trade flows.

News of the $7.2 billion deficit comes at a fortuitous time for Beijing, which is under pressure particularly from the US to allow the renminbi or the Chinese yuan to appreciate.

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Tags: Alistair Darling, Bank, Bank of England, Banking, British Economy, Cadbury, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, EasyJet, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Halifax building society, Hamley's, Interest Rates, International Monetary Fund, Kraft Foods, Marks & Spencer, Money, NASDAQ, petrol prices, Reader's Digest, Recession, Ryanair, Sir Stuart Rose, Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, Stock Markets, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Mail, UK Recession

The Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) has reported receiving five offers for their Williams & Glyn’s branch network. RBS were ordered to sell these branches as part of a European Commission state aid ruling in 2009, the business is valued at around £2 billion.

By Tuesday night’s deadline, speculations were that Santander, Virgin Money, National Australia Bank, BBVA and JC Flowers had all submitted bids, with Santander is widely believed to be the favourite bidder, with an offer potentially worth at least £2 billion. Santander recently completed the rebranding their UK operations under their own name

However, with Virgin now being backed by Wilbur Ross, the US billionaire, offering pledges on jobs their offer has to be taken seriously, with elections in a month’s time.

The UK government holds a 70 per cent equity stake in RBS, giving politicians and the public far greater influence over its fate.

The chief executive of U.S. telecommunications company Verizon Communications has said that there is "no compelling reason" for the U.S. Company to merge with British mobile network operator Vodafone. The two companies are continuing talks regarding their strategic options. Vodafone owns 45 percent of Verizon Wireless with Verizon holding the remaining 55 percent. However, there has been some conflict recently; with Vodafone pressuring Verizon to resume paying dividends since the U.S. Company blocked payments in order to reduce its debt burden. Shares in Vodafone dropped 2 pence to 149.6 pence on the statement.

Recent figures released by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) show that the number of cars on the UK roads has decreased for the first time since records began in 1904. The country’s total car fleet has declined by 0.7 percent in 2009. According to the SMMT factors that had to be taken into account for decline are the recession, the government car scrappage scheme, and new Driver and Vehicle Licensing Agency (DVLA) regulations which remove the details of unlicensed vehicles from the database.

Kraft Foods came under attack in a report from a committee of U.K. lawmakers in a report critical of moves the American company made after its hostile $17.5 billion (£12 billion) takeover of Cadbury, the beloved British chocolate maker. The report by the U.K.’s Business Select Committee accuses Kraft of acting "irresponsibly and unwisely" after reneging on a promise to keep a Cadbury factory in Somerdale open, instead planning to move the plant’s production to Poland, resulting in the loss of 400 jobs. Meanwhile, British union leaders have called for a "Cadbury law" to protect British businesses from aggressive foreign takeovers.

ESPN, the Disney-owned sports television channel, has acquired the rights to deliver Premier League football highlights on UK mobile phones until 2013, supplanting British Sky Broadcasting, which has held the rights since 2007-08. The move strengthens ESPN’s position as a competitor to BSkyB and underlines the US broadcaster’s determination to expand its share of the UK sports market. For the three football seasons from August onwards, ESPN will deliver in-match, post-match and highlights from all 380 Barclays Premier League matches, Purchase of the mobile rights is the latest in a series of additions to ESPN’s sports portfolio.

Research conducted on behalf of the Association of Convenience Stores (ACS), representing an association of 33,500 small shopkeepers, indicates that 85 percent of the public oppose a liberalisation of trading laws that, if passed would allow large retail chains to open for longer on Sundays. The ACS stated that the current regulations assisted small retailers by encouraging local shopping in small stores. Large retailers including Topshop and House of Fraser have recently been lobbying the Business Secretary Lord Mandelson with requests to relax the existing laws.

The pound fell continues to recover if ever so slightly closing on $1.5273, whilst also gaining against the Euro to close on 1.1441

The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index retreated from a 21-month high after a sell-off in commodity production shares .The benchmark Index lost 67.65 points to 5,712.7.

Former Federal Reserve governor Alan Greenspan has defended his record at a congressional hearing into the financial crisis. In a statement, Mr Greenspan denied that his policy of maintaining low interest rates had been a major factor in the crisis. Consistently low interest rates have been blamed for the expansion in the sub-prime mortgage market which led to the credit crunch. However, Greenspan voiced his opinion that the way the banks repackaged their loans was a major contributing factor to the crisis.

Stocks rallied yesterday after U.S. jobs increased by the most in three years, boosting optimism about the strength of a recovery in the world’s largest economy. Since March last year, the gauge has rebound more than 60 percent.

The Dow Jones closed up 45.87 points to 10943.39, while the NASDAQ index rose 9.15 points to close on 2440.31

As part of a global tie-up of the brands German carmaker Daimler announced that they are to give Renault and Nissan a 3.1% stake in its business, with Daimler taking a 3.1% stakes in both Renault and Nissan, in exchange. Renault and Nissan have held a trading alliance for more than a decade.

The deal will allow the companies to share technology and development costs while remain separate trading entities. According to a spokesman for Nissan, one of the key areas of co-operation will be in the development of electric cars and light commercial vehicles.

European financial markets continue to feel the pressures over the state of Greece’s debt-ridden economy. Banking stocks in particular, not only in Greece but in most of the other leading European countries, have seen sharp falls. Meanwhile it has been reported that the Greek government’s cost of borrowing has risen to record levels, reflecting investors’ concerns that Greece might not be pay back the loans due to the poor state of the country’s public finances.

The Athens Composite share index fell by 3.1%, with banks down 6.4% on average.

All major European markets also suffered, and banks in France and Germany were especially hit due to their exposure to Greece’s borrowing.

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Tags: Alan Greenspan, Association of Convenience Stores, Bank, Banking, Barclays, BBVA, British Economy, British Sky Broadcasting, BskyB, Cadbury, Credit Crunch, Daimler, Dow Jones, Driver and Vehicle Licensing Agency, Economics, Economy, Employment, ESPN, Financial News, FTSE, House of Fraser, JC Flowers, Kraft Foods, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, National Australia Bank, Nissan, Recession, Renault, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Santander, Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders, Stocks and shares, Topshop, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Verizon Communications, Virgin Money, Vodafone, Wilbur Ross, Williams and Glyn

Records from the Registry Trust show that the value of County Court Judgments (CCJs) against businesses in England and Wales increased five percent to nearly £ 900 million pounds last year. The number of judgments against businesses increased by nine percent on 2008 to a record 207,100, the fifth year-on-year increase in a row. A spokesman for the Registry Trust said the figures reflected the worsening economy.

U.S. food group Kraft Foods the new owner of confectioner Cadbury, has told 3,600 Cadbury staff that they face a three-year pay freeze unless they leave the company’s final salary pension scheme. Kraft has discovered a clause in Cadbury’s pension trust deed preventing it from changing members’ benefits in any way deemed "unfair or materially detrimental". Kraft is not forbidden from closing the scheme, but if they decided to do so would have to pay the full costs involved. Cadbury’s pension deficit was reported to be around £258 million.

U.K. owner of train tracks and stations Network Rail Ltd have won a court order preventing four days of strikes that would have disrupted journeys for millions of travelers returning from their Easter break. A High Court judge ruled against the National Union of Rail, Maritime and Transport Workers (RMT). Network Rail’s lawyer argued that the RMT hadn’t polled its members accurately, with some workplaces returning more votes than the number of registered members. The union announced their intentions to hold another ballot. Network Rail, the state-owned operator of the U.K.’s rail infrastructure, carries about three and a half million passengers every day. Britain was facing its first national shutdown since 1994 after the RMT voted last month to strike in a dispute over job cuts and working terms after negotiations broke down. The strike was planned due to begin on the 6th of April.

Recent data released by one of the UK’s leading credit card payment acceptance processors shows payments made on credit and debit cards were up 7.1% in February compared to the same month last year. The increase follows on recent figures that show credit and debit card spending was up 3.6% in January 2010 in comparison the same month last year, while February 2010 showed an increase over the previous year, on a month-by-month basis, spending on debit and credit cards declined slightly by 2.5% from January, in line with expectations. The index is based on spending on all credit and debit cards across a wide range of retail sectors.

Marks & Spencer have posted another quarter of sales growth since the turn of the year. M&S’s statement showed a like-for-like sales increase that far outshone the previous quarter’s 0.8% rise with a 1.8% increase. Institutional and private investors have remained cautious on M&S due to economic uncertainty over the last few years, and while the previous quarter saw the first growth in two years, fear were that the Januarys snow may have hampered trading, although Marks and Spencer had managed to keep most of its stores open. M&S’s annual trading results due to be released in May are expected to show annual profits of £625 million, up from £604.4 million the previous year.

The children’s clothing and equipment retailer Mothercare grew total sales by 3.3 per cent in its fourth quarter, but did suffer a decline in UK like-for-like sales because of extreme weather conditions during January. Mothercare, which operates in 1,115 stores, announced in a recent trading update that the adverse weather in the 11 weeks to March 27 forced it to extend its winter sale, while managing to reverse some of the loss of turnover, through implement tight cost controls. Total UK sales in the quarter fell 0.9 per cent and like-for-like sales – sales in stores trading for at least a year, as well as sales in its online divisions – were down 1.6 per cent, weaker than analyst had anticipated.

The UK’s largest mobile phone companies may be forced to cut the price of their calls following new proposals unveiled by Ofcom, the UK telecoms regulator. The watchdog is proposing deep cuts in termination rates on the 02, Orange/T-Mobile, Vodafone and 3UK networks as it works to set the rules on mobile termination rates. By doing so, Ofcom stepped back from an initial proposal last year that could have seen consumers face higher monthly bills if telecoms companies had to cut or scrap charges for connecting calls to their networks. Mobile termination rates are the fees are paid by fixed-line and mobile operators when their customers make calls to people on other networks. The reform is a highly contentious issue among the bigger mobile operators, mainly because they earn more than £2 billion a year from the fees. Ofcom have set a price ceiling on the wholesale fees that mobile operators can levy on each other, as well as fixed-line phone companies led by BT Group

Recent data shows a rise to 57.2 in the UK’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index in March. This positive figure confirms that the sector is continuing to expand and is an improvement on previous forecasts, which had called for a more modest increase February’s reading of 56.6, with expectations that it would be around the 56.8 mark. This improvement in the UK manufacturing sector follows both Germany and the Eurozone’s stronger reading in their March readings. All three economies posted their best numbers since the beginning of the recession. Expansion in the sector comes after a rebound in both consumer demand and export sales.

On the money markets, before the Easter break set in, the pound was beginning to show signs of benefitting from this positive data, despite hitting resistance levels against both the Euro and the US dollar, while the continuing uncertainty over European support for its weakest link pushed the euro as low as $1.3502 on Friday, its weakest level in over two weeks.

The pound fell back slightly, while remaining above the $1.50 mark at $1.5187, whilst and gaining against the Euro to close on 1.1269.

The FTSE was closed for the holiday weekend.

The US government did announce on Friday that the recovering economy had created 162,000 jobs in March last month, whilst the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 9.7 per cent. Temporary hiring by the US government for the public sector only accounted for some 48,000 new jobs in March, meaning the private sector has begun to create new job openings.

China has offered to accelerate free trade agreement talks with India in a bid to balance a burgeoning trade relationship between two of Asia’s largest economies that is heavily skewed in Beijing’s favour. Chinese officials expect trade between the two to rise to $60 billion, (£39.5 billion) in 2010, as the world’s two fast-growing large economies surge forward in their recovery from the global financial crisis. Indian officials described the trade deficit that last year was about $16 billion in Beijing’s favour as “politically unsustainable”, and continue to identify it as a point of friction in a relationship key to Asia’s peace and stability.

Commodities prices ended the week at the highest level since late 2008, with oil hitting $85 a barrel, bolstered by signs of strong manufacturing growth particularly in China and India

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Tags: 02, 3UK, Bank, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Cadbury, County Court Judgments, Credit Crunch, Currency, Debt, Economics, Economy, Employment, Financial News, FTSE, Kraft Foods, Maritime and Transport Workers, Marks & Spencer, Money, Mothercare, National Union of Rail, Network Rail Ltd, Ofcom, Orange, Recession, Registry Trust, Retail, T-Mobile, UK Banks, UK business, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Vodafone

Continued uncertainty regarding cash-strapped Greece’s ability to be granted loans from their Eurozone partners, and if they are granted them if they will agree to accept them, continues to cause uncertainty in both the currency markets and stock exchanges not only in the UK but in all of the Eurozone member countries. Recent reports coming out of Athens have stated that Greece is lacking in confidence that their partners in Europe are either willing or able to provide sufficient and timely aid, and that they may have no option but to turn to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a bail out. The principal stumbling block to the EU loan is Angela Merkel, the German chancellor who HAS repeatedly stated that any other form of loan agreement would be impossible in terms of the European Union’s Maastricht treaty and German constitutional law. Berlin has shared widespread EU hostility towards any involvement of the fund, fearing that such a move would demonstrate Europe’s inability to regulate its own economic and monetary union.

After the release of more positive figures for February and the revision of data for January, it begins to appear that UK government borrowing for 2010 could be less than forecast. According to official figures, government borrowing for February was £12.4, much less than economists had expected.

Borrowing figures for January were also reviewed and sharply downwards, to £43 million from £4.3 billion.

Analysts now predict that UK’s full-year borrowing total may work out a lot less than the government’s original £178 billion forecast.

The Office for National Statistics also announced that the overall effect of the latest revisions to historical data for the year had cut overall borrowing for 2009/10 by £2.9 billion.

The Co-operative which traces its roots to the founding of the co-operative movement in 1844 has reported a major profits surge in its banking division, on the back of thousands of bank account customers disillusioned with Britain’s big banks switching their allegiance to the "co". In addition, the acquisition of the Somerfield supermarket chain coupled with the merger of the Cooperative’s financial services arm with Britannia Building Society have provided a major boost in turnover and profit for the company. As part of a revised tradition, the Co-op will be paying their five million members- a dividend of £55 million, up 16% from 2008. The dividend scheme or "divi" as it is widely known was re-introduced by the group in 2006 after a break of 30 years. The Coop’s banking division reported a 38% jump in new current or 140,000 new customers, taking the total to 1.2 million. The increase effectively doubled their share of the current account market to reach 4%.

To scenes of great excitement, Japanese care manufacturer Nissan have announced that they are to build its new electric car, to be known as the Leaf, at their UK plant in Sunderland. Once production begins in 2013, it will mean that hundreds of jobs are expected to be safeguarded as part of the company’s £420 million investment in electric cars. Nissan’s investment will be backed by a £20.7 million government grant and up to £220 million from the European Investment Bank. About 50,000 Nissan Leaf hatchbacks, which will run entirely on lithium-ion batteries, will roll off the Sunderland production line each year. Business Secretary Lord Mandelson said the development was a "fantastic vote of confidence" in the plant and its "excellent workforce". Mandelson also confirmed the UK government will be providing £360 million in loan guarantees for Ford’s planned £1.5 billion investment in cleaner engines.

At a hearing of the Commons business, innovation and skills committee held on Tuesday, representatives of Kraft Foods made a commitment not to close any more Cadbury factories in the UK or make compulsory redundancies in its domestic manufacturing operations for at least two years, The promises came as Kraft were seen trying to placate furious MPs and union members over its broken promise to save a Bristol factory from closure.

The US food group came under heavy fire for reneging on a pledge made last September to keep open the Somerdale factory, near Bristol, within days of agreeing an £11.7 billion take¬over of Cadbury in January, having overcome hostility from the UK-based maker some of the UK’s favorite chocolates.

On the FTSE, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc had a bad day, their shares dropped by more than 3 percent as the biggest government-controlled bank issued warnings that their £2.9 billion pound ($4.45 billion) pension deficit looks likely to rise. The bank today reported a 46 percent rise in its pension deficit. .

Sterling fell to $1.5229, with the Euro coming under heavy pressure at €1.1181

The FTSE 100 jumped 17 points to close on 5,642.62.

According to official figures US consumer prices have risen very little between January and February.

The report issued by the US Labor Department showed the consumer price index was flat in February, though prices were 2.1% higher than a year ago , indicating that there were little sign of inflationary pressures in the offing for the US economy, allowing interest rates to remain low.

US stocks closed modestly higher on Thursday, aided by some strong corporate results. At close of trade the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.4 per cent at 10,779.17 and the NASDAQ Composite index rose 0.1 per cent at 2,391.28.

Crude oil prices have fallen to an average of $81.85 a barrel, yet still placing them within levels are within Opec’s preferred price band of about $75-85 a barrel. The cartel reasons prices below that band risk choking off investment in new oil projects while prices above it could threaten the recovery of world economies

The fall came after the OPEC oil cartel announced on Wednesday their intention to hold production quotas at the same level for the time being.

The price of gold rose 0.1 per cent to $1,126 a troy ounce after ending Wednesday’s session in New York at $1,124.05.

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Tags: Angela Merkel, Bank, Banking, British Economy, Cadbury, Credit Crunch, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, electric car, Employment, Financial News, FTSE, Gold, International Monetary Fund, Kraft Foods, Lord Mandelson, Money, NASDAQ, Nissan, Office for National Statistics, OPEC, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Somerfield, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, The Co-operative, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US labor Department

According to a recent report by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) UK house prices are liable to rise by about a fifth in the next four years. The forces that will push property prices up are increased lending levels by the banks and interest rates remaining at a low level.

Home values will rise 6.5 percent in 2010 and will have gained around 20 percent by the end of 2013, according to CEBR radically altering their forecast of October 2009, which house prices would increase by only 2.6 percent this year.

CEBR’s announcement strengthens reports from the Nationwide Building Society that showed house prices have begun rising again after the economy returned to growth. However their optimism was dashed by news that potential UK house buyers could soon face a chronic shortage of credit that will see mortgages ‘rationed’.

According to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (COML) as government schemes to keep mortgage lending afloat are due to dry up in 2014, their fears that a funding gap to the tune of £300 billion will open up. COML predicted in their recent report that the UK is at risk of a chronic under-supply of credit, bringing with it the rationing of mortgages for customers that will continue for many years. Before the financial crisis, the funding gap, meaning the difference between what banks took in savers’ deposits and what they lent out, was always covered by the wholesale market in mortgage debt.

As a result of lower oil and gas prices, oil giant BP have reported a 45% drop in annual profit Its replacement cost profit for 2009 was £8.75 billion, compared with £15.39 billion in 2008. The company said that its oil and gas production increased more than 4% in 2009 and its reserves had grown for the 17th year in a row. Profits during the final three months of 2009 were up 33% from the same period a year ago.

However, the fourth quarter results fell short of analysts’ expectations, causing BP shares to fall more than 4% in early trading.

Shares in Northumbrian Water surged 12 percent after press reports that the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan may bid £1.7 billion ($2.7 billion) for the company. The water utilities market in the UK is liable to benefit if the speculation on Northumbrian Water is confirmed as it will establish a higher trading range for the other water stocks. On the news, Northumbrian Water rose by 12 percent to close on 289 pence. The Ontario pension fund already owns 27 percent of the U.K. water company and wants to buy the remaining stake.

Severn Trent caught the wave and added 4 percent to 1,170 pence while United Utilities gained 2.8 percent to 551.5 pence.

South Korea’s National Pension Service, the world’s fifth biggest pension fund, will next week take a 12 per cent stake in Gatwick airport, stressing that investment in Britain will play a significant role in quadrupling its international exposure. The NPS, which is aiming to expand its overall portfolio, came to the attention of Britain’s financial community last year when it bought the headquarters of HSBC in Canary Wharf for £773 million. Gatwick airport was sold late last year to Global Infrastructure Partners, an infrastructure fund backed by Credit Suisse and General Electric, for £1.51 billion.

The longest running saga in recent UK takeover history drew to a happy close as US firm Kraft Foods sealed their takeover of Cadbury after shareholders in the UK chocolate maker voted in favour of the deal.

Cadbury said it had received valid acceptances of the offer from investors representing 71.7% of the firm. Kraft chief executive Irene Rosenfeld celebrated the takeover by announcing: "I warmly welcome Cadbury employees into the Kraft Foods family." Despite the warm welcome, Cadbury employees staged protests in London calling for government support to guarantee jobs

Budget airline Ryanair has raised its full-year profit forecast as passenger numbers continue to rise. The company announced that it said it expects full-year net profits of about 275 million Euros, whilst reporting a 10.9 million Euro; (£9.5 million) loss in fourth quarter of 2009, a considerable improvement on the 101.5 million Euro losses for the same period in 2008.

Ryanair said the result had been helped by a 37% fall in fuel costs and passenger numbers increased by 14%, which had offset a 12% drop in fares.

Europe’s second- largest tobacco company Imperial Tobacco Group Plc have announced a “good start” to the year with business “in line” with company expectations, despite the weak economic climate. Despite the news, their shares declined 1.2 percent, to 2,002 pence. The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc are to allow its top performing employees to convert a large portion of bonuses given in shares into cash within 12 weeks of receiving them, according to a letter sent to investors yesterday. On the day RBS shares rose 7.9 percent, to 34.86 pence.

The pound closed down at 1.5977 against the dollar, while the Euro traded at 1.1438

The FTSE 100 dropped 4.1 percent in January as the U.S. government called for limits on risk-taking by banks and China moved to restrict lending and cool economic growth. The gauge is still 49 percent higher than in March after governments and central banks around the world sought to encourage growth by maintaining low interest rates and committing more than $12 trillion to stimulate the economy.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index added 35.9 points to reach 5,283.31 at the close of trading in London.

US President Barack Obama has announced a $3.8 trillion (£2.4 trillion) budget plan for 2011, which includes increased spending for job creation, but cuts in other areas.

He also forecast the US deficit would rise to a record $1.56 trillion this year.

He scrapped plans to send astronauts back to the Moon and will seek to save $250 billion by capping a range of domestic spending programmes for three years.

Congress must approve the budget for the financial year starting on 1 October for it to take effect.

Mr Obama blamed the huge deficit on the decisions of President George W Bush, previous Congresses and his administration’s moves to prevent an economic collapse.

Stocks continued to extend gains after reports showing the U.S. manufacturing sector expanded more than forecast. The Institute for Supply Management’s factory index showed U.S. manufacturing expanded in January at the fastest pace since August 2004, spearheading the recovery from the worst recession since the nineteen-thirties.

On the news, the Dow Jones rose sharply, to close on 10284.91, while the NASDAQ rose 38 points, to finish on 2185.32

Gold lost some of the previous day’s sharp gains, dropping 0.1 per cent to $1,105. Oil rose 0.5 per cent to $74.81 a barrel.

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Tags: Banking, Barack Obama, British Economy, Cadbury, Centre for Economics and Business Research, Council of Mortgage Lenders, Credit Suisse, Dow Jones, Economy, Employment, Financial News, FTSE, Gatwick Airport, General Electric, George W. Bush, Global Infrastructure Partners, HSBC, Imperial Tobacco Group Plc, Kraft Foods, Money, NASDAQ, Nationwide Building Society, Northumbrian Water, Oil, Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan, Property Prices, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Ryanair, Severn Trent, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession

Despite threats from major banking groups that they will move key staff abroad, the signs are that Alistair Darling has no intention of watering down his plans to levy a 50 percent super tax on bank bonuses. Apparently the Financial Services Authority (FSA) has already spoken to several smaller banks telling them that they will have to curb bonus payments if they do not do enough to increase their capital holdings with the FSA’s squeeze on bonus payments extending beyond the partially-nationalised Lloyds Banking Group and Royal Bank of Scotland. A recent poll has shown that while the general public are in favour of taxing bonuses, a large percentage feel that the bankers will find a way out of their noose Many feel that the recently announced banking bonus tax is unlikely to raise any significant funds for the UK government and is being used as more of a political pawn coming up to the impending general election.

According to a recent survey from the Bank of England , British consumer spending looks likely to falter in the coming months, as around a quarter of UK households admit that they have switched their fiscal emphasis to saving more, because of growing uncertainty about the long term economic outlook for the country. In addition, the survey shows an increasing proportion of households who were having trouble keeping up to p date with bills and loan repayments has fallen slightly in 2009, in spite of the economic downturn

This little snippet of optimistic news was tempered by the announcement that the rate of inflation has risen to 1.9% in November from 1.5% in October, with the principal cause being the rising cost of petrol. Prices at the pumps rose by 2.9 pence to 108.3 pence a liter in November, compared with a record 9.3 pence fall to 95.2 pence this month last year.

The Office for National Statistics predicted that the consumer prices index (CPI), is expected to rise to 3% or more early next year when the temporary VAT cut is reversed and prices across the board will take a significant increase.

On the same somber note, predictions are that the recovery in the U.K. housing market recovery is liable to come to an end in 2010 as the supply of second hand homes on the market will increase.

Average asking prices are expected to, at best, stand still next year after rising about 2 percent in 2009. Property prices have fallen 2.2 percent this month alone to an average of £220,000 and look likely to drop again in January. What can keep property prices stable is that if the banks show “more forbearance” to consumers who are late on mortgage payments, which after the general election seems increasingly unlikely.

Strike threatened British Airways have announced that they are exploring "all options" to help it cope with the impact of the planned 12-day strike by cabin crew, to be held over the traditionally active Christmas period. Currently up to one million passengers are facing the real e prospect of having their journeys canceled as a result of the strike action by Unite members.

Cabin crew voted nine to one in favor of strikes from 22 December over job cuts and staffing level with BA insisting that they will not climb down on its decision to reduce cabin crew numbers, which is at the heart of the dispute.

Also showing that now is the season for warnings are US food giant Kraft Foods, who have warned Cadbury’s shareholders that they are "taking a risk" if they continue to support Cadbury as a standalone company. They have rushed to claim that their proposed takeover of Cadbury would deliver cost savings and deliver "substantially more value" to Cadbury’s shareholders.

Cadbury has consistently urged shareholders to reject Kraft’s hostile bid, tempting them with the prospect of rival bids, promised dividends and stronger growth. Roger Carr, Cadbury chairman has announced that both Hershey and Italy’s Ferrero had both indicated they were contemplating bids, adding serious negotiations would only start if a compelling and fully-financed offer emerged.

A seasonal rise in DIY sales has given B&Q a recent boost but not enough to prevent owner Kingfisher from issuing a warning that economic and political uncertainty will have an effect on the company in 2010.

Kingfisher shares were lifted by news its UK and Ireland sales were up 4.4% in sales in the third quarter, pushing retail profit up by almost 27%, with a 6.3% improvement in sales at B&Q. with sales of big-ticket items such as kitchens and electrical appliances jumping by 27%.

On the FTSE 100, it was reported that Advent International is offering to buy the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc s’ Global Merchant Services unit in a deal worth £3 billion pounds. The news caused their stock to rise 2.5 percent, to 30.56 pence.

The public transport company National Express Group Plc is to mount a £360 million pound rights issue after the Cosmen family agreed to the deal, the issue is designed to reduce company debt after a slump in rail revenue. Share values declined 1.1 percent, to 182.3 pence.

PartyGaming Plc, the online-gambling brand is reported to be in merger talks with Austria’s Bwin Interactive Gaming AG. On the news, their shares rose 2.1 percent to 256.5 pence.

Operators of the Premier Inn budget-hotel chain, Whitbread Plc are scheduled to publish a trading statement. In anticipation of positive news, shares in the company rose 3.1 percent, to close on 1,330 pence.

Vodafone Group Plc has announced plans to sell their 4.39 percent indirect holding in India’s Bharti Airtel Ltd. Shares in the World’s largest mobile phone company rose 0.4 percent, to 141.55 pence.

Standard Chartered Plc, the U.K. bank that gets most of its profit in emerging markets, rallied 4.3 percent. London Stock Exchange Group Plc, whose largest shareholder is Borse Dubai Ltd., jumped 9.9 percent. Lonmin Plc, the world’s third-biggest platinum producer, led gains in mining shares.

Sterling gained ground against the dollar and Euro in sluggish mid week trading.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6259
• Pound/Euro 1.1188

The FTSE 100 Index rose 17.2 points to close on 5,261.57. The index has shown a 50 percent recovery since March and looks to be heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997.

U.K. stocks climbed, led by financial shares, after Abu Dhabi provided $10 billion to avert a default by Dubai’s Nakheel PJSC. The FTSE 100 Index rose 23.77 points to 5,285. 77

US President Barack Obama speaking after a meeting, described as "candid" with executives of some of America’s top banks, announced that he has told bankers to increase loans to small and medium-size businesses.

He went on to add that US banks had received extraordinary assistance and demanded they show extraordinary commitment to rebuild the US economy.

The meeting with executives from Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase and Citigroup, among others, came after the president said he had not run for office to help out "a bunch of fat cat bankers on Wall Street".

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped just nine points to 10,462.66 while the NASDAQ raised a little to close on 2,209.82.

US bank Well Fargo has announced that they are to re pay back £15 billion emergency funding it received under the Troubled Asset Relief Program (Tarp). Following hot on the heels of a similar one by Citigroup, Wells Fargo are the last leading institution to repay Tarp funding, marking a key step towards recovery for the US financial system.

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Tags: Alastair Darling, B&Q, Bank, bank bonuses, Banking, Barack Obama, Bharti Airtel Ltd, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, Bwin Interactive Gaming AG, Cadburys, Citigroup, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, Financial Services Authority, FTSE, Global Merchant Services, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan Chase, Kingfisher, Kraft Foods, Lloyds Banking Group, London Stock Exchange Group Plc, Money, Money Markets, Mortgage, NASDAQ, National Express Group Plc, Office for National Statistics, PartyGaming Plc, Premier Inn, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland, Standard Chartered Plc, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Strike, Troubled Asset Relief Program, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, VAT, Vodafone Group Plc, Wall Street, Well Fargo, Whitbread Plc

Key figures in the UK banking world announced their dismay and subsequent anger after Alistair Darling confirmed plans for his 50 per cent "supertax" on banks’ bonus pools. The reaction from one leading UK going as far as went as far as describing the measure as an "assault on the prudent and the profitable". Bob Diamond, the president of Barclays continued to voice his displeasure by implying that that bankers and institutions were "mobile and they might desert London’s financial centre. The one-off tax will be imposed on banks rather than individuals, and will also apply to building societies

Similar moves to tax bonuses on bankers are also being considered by both Germany and France, with the German banks even considering the imposition of self-discipline on pay while France is in favor of matching the U.K.’s planned one-off tax on bank bonuses, and is likely to slap such a levy on bonuses to be paid out in 2010 for the past year.

According to a report released last week, London could be pushed into third place as a global financial centre by Shanghai within the next ten years.

Global business leaders apparently are becoming increasingly convinced that the West is facing accelerated competition from the East, with more than 90% of company owners and managers in Shanghai and Mumbai are confident in their economic outlook for 2010, compared to 22% of business leaders in London and 35% in New York.

Meanwhile to add to the U.K.’s banking system’s woes, comes the news that the Financial Services Authority intend strengthening their rules governing the amount as well as the quality of capital that banks in the U.K. need to hold against potential losses as part of an effort to implement changes to European Union rules. Their proposals are expected to result in a £33 billion, or 5%, increase in the total amount of capital held by banks, with the bulk of this required to be held by the start of 2011.

On the FTSE before the weekend, shares in Barclays Plc , climbed 4.6 percent, to 290.75 pence, possibly on news that the bank is about to eliminate around 150 jobs from its retail and commercial banking operations in India. With the news that British Airways Plc have decided to retain p full ownership of its OpenSkies subsidiary, their shares rose 1.1 percent, to close on 202.3 pence.

The U.K.’s largest CD retailer HMV Group Plc posted a loss after tax of £17.8 million in the six months period ending Oct. 24, an improvement on the loss of £19.8 million pounds in the year-earlier period. Despite the relatively positive news their stock dropped 0.2 percent to 106.6 pence.

Independent News & Media Plc, publisher of The Independent Newspaper is looking to reduce their holding in APN News & Media Ltd. One the news their shares advanced 0.2 cent to 10 cents.

As the Cadbury takeover sage continues, news that rift has opened up between Hershey’s management and the Hershey Trust over whether to trump Kraft’s hostile bid for the company. The Trust, a philanthropic body that controls Hershey, is pressing the management to go ahead with an offer while the board argues that a bid financed by extra debt could put the company’s investment grade rating at risk. Cadbury chief executive Todd Stitzer has let it be known that he considers Hershey a better cultural fit than Kraft. On Monday morning, Cadbury is expected to make a formal rejection of that Kraft offer but is unlikely to make any official statements regarding their talks with Hershey, as a formal bid has yet to table. However the company is expected to release an interim update of their trading figures.

Sterling lost ground against the dollar before the markets closed for the weekend whilst rising slightly against the Euro.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6221
• Pound/Euro 1.1081

The FTSE 100 Index rose 17.2 points to close on 5,261.57. The index has shown a 50 percent recovery since March and looks to be heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997.

The US House of Representatives has approved the most sweeping changes to the country’s financial sector since the Great Depression of the 1930s. The 223 to 202 vote is a victory for President Obama who has made financial reform one of his main goals. The bill aims to create a new agency to monitor consumer banking transactions and give the government powers to break up companies that threaten the economy. The US Senate will have to pass the bill before the president can sign it. The legislation would give regulators the power to dismantle the companies in a way which ensures shareholders and unsecured creditors, not taxpayers, bear the losses. It also hopes to strengthen the powers of the Securities and Exchange Commission to detect irregularities that could provide an early warning of fraudulent investment schemes. Plans to regulate the vast $600 trillion market in products called derivatives are also included.

On close of trading Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had risen 186 points to 10,471.5 and the NASDAQ was also up around twenty points to 2,190.31

Kenneth Feinberg, the White House "pay czar" has extended limits on the pay of executives at four US firms who were given government bailout money.

Under the restrictions, employees will not be able to earn more than $500,000 (£307,770) per year.

The companies involved are Citigroup, AIG, General Motors and GMAC, with the rule applying to the 26th to 100th highest paid staff. The top 25 at each firm had their pay limited in October. Free of any such pay restrictions are the

Bank of America who succeeded in repaying their "bailout "money as recently as this week, while Chrysler and Chrysler Financial were exempted because total pay for their second-tier executives is already under the magic $500,000 barrier.

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Tags: AIG, Alastair Darling, Bank, Bank of America, Banking, Barclays Plc, Bob Diamond, British Airways Plc, British Economy, British Pound, Cadbury, Citigroup, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, Financial Services Authority, FTSE, General Motors, GMAC, Hershey Trust, HMV Group Plc, Independent News & Media Plc, Kraft Foods, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, OpenSkies, Recession, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, supertax, UK Banking, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK Recession

According to a survey for the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), UK companies will be relying much less on banks for credit in the future, instead pinning their hopes funding from bonds and equities.

The survey showed that half of the companies will be looking to decrease financing from bank debt after the recession winds down. More than forty percent of the companies who took part in the survey said that they could see no change in bank funding.

The new Supreme Court is expected to rule on Wednesday on whether overdraft charges can be assessed for fairness under the Unfair Terms in Consumer Contract regulations. If the Supreme Court rules in favour of consumers, banks could be forced to pay out hundreds of millions of pounds if the overdraft charges levied were ruled to be unfair, and the public could seek to recoup losses through charges on current accounts and ATM withdrawals.

The British Bankers’ Association announced that the number of home purchase loans approved by banks in October was almost double that of a year ago, with 42,238 mortgage applications being approved. The figure was slightly higher than the 42,073 loans approved in September, while they almost double what they were from the same period on 2008. Net mortgage lending rose by £3.1 billion pounds in October, the same figure as in September.

Up to their knees in this week were the Association of British Insurers (ABI), who have received between 500 and 1,000 claims relating to recent flooding in Cumbria and southern Scotland where claims totaling up to £100 million have been recorded. At least 1,500 homes were affected by the floods, six bridges are reported to have collapsed and 5,000 households were left without power. The ABI announced that it was difficult to ascertain how many more claims could be expected. Insurers have said they might have to reconsider current arrangements, whereby all homes in the UK are offered flood insurance

Britain’s biggest mortgage lender, Lloyds Banking Group Plc is scheduled to publish results of a debt exchange. Meanwhile it was reported that the banking group is in talks with Execution Ltd. and a deal may result in the creation of a joint venture. Shares in Lloyds dropped 2 percent to 88.15 pence

Following its successful merger with Spain’s Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana SA, British Airways Plc could revive plans for a tie-up with Australia’s Qantas Airways Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Willie Walsh has suggested that the Iberia model would allow Qantas to retain a separate brand and home base.

British Airways has agreed to combine with Iberia to boost its network amid a slump in international travel that contributed to a record first-half loss. The carrier abandoned merger talks with Qantas last year after the airlines failed to agree on who would control the new company. Shares in BA gained 1.6 pence, or 0.8 percent, to 202.6 pence.

Rumours abound that Nestle SA has thrown their cap into the ring in the who will buy Cadburys circus. The company is said to be weighing options would challenge Kraft Foods Inc.’s offer as well as a potential move by Hershey Co.

Cadburys are seemingly expecting a friendly bid from Hershey Co. if it can arrange the financing, with the company’s controlling trust supposed to be in favour of a $17 billion bid for Cadbury. The only thing that is certain is that Cadbury’s stock keeps on rising, up 1.2 percent to 800.5 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group Plc’s incoming chief executive officer Marc Bolland, has announced that he will focus on growth on foreign markets especially China, when he takes the reins next year. The markets remained indifferent, as shares dropped or 0.1 percent, to 380 pence.

The pound rose against the dollar, while falling against the Euro and the yen on continued concerns regarding the U.K. budget deficit.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6581
• Pound/Euro 1.1077
• Pound/Japanese Yen 146.6185
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6718

The FTSE 100 Index jumped by 82.55 points to 5,323.98, while the FTSE 250 rose by 14 points to close on 9,181.

In the US, the National Association of Realtors announced that sales of previously-owned US homes jumped by 10.1% in October as buyers rushed to take advantage of tax credits, which have now been extended.

Sales hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.1 million, up from a revised 5.54 million in September. First-time buyer tax credits had been due to expire at the end of November, but have been extended until 30 April.

The jump in October home sales was the biggest in almost three years.

The Dow Jones average took a turn for the better after the weekend, up 93 points to 10411.5 The NASDAQ rose seventeen points to finish up on 2163.73

Computer hardware giant Hewlett-Packard (HP) has announced a rise of 18% in profits for the third quarter, despite that the fact that their sales had fallen for the period. A spokesman for HP revealed that the company’s major cost-cutting initiatives had been the driving force in the £1.4 billion profit earned during the period. The firm has cut 6,700 jobs this year to trim costs.

The price of gold has hit a new all-time high, boosted by continued concerns about the weakening dollar.

Gold hit a record of $1,173.50 an ounce, up almost 2% from Friday close.

The expectation that US interest rates will remain low has put pressure on the dollar, making both gold and oil more attractive as an investment.

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Tags: ABI, Association of British Insurers, ATM withdrawals, Bank, Banking, British Airways Plc, British Bankers Association, British Economy, British Pound, Cadburys, CBI, Confederation of British Industry, Credit, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, Execution Ltd, Financial News, FTSE, Gold, Hershey Co, Hewlett-Packard, HP, Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana, Interest Rates, Kraft Foods, Lloyds Banking Group Plc, Marc Bolland, Marks & Spencer Group Plc, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, Nestle SA, Oil, Qantas Airways Ltd, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Supreme Court, UK Banks, UK companies, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession

In the Queen’s speech to be made today, Gordon Brown is expected to emphasize the need for fiscal discipline as the UK seeks to extricate itself from the current financial downturn, and catch up with the rest of the major global economies who have already done so. At the heart of his message will be a very strong hint to ministers to accept budget cuts. What he will be implying is that it is important for the Labour party to show unity and credibility on public spending ahead of the forthcoming election battle with the Tories. The prime minister’s package will feature a fiscal responsibility bill, that will confine to law Brown’s programme significantly reduce Britain’s £175 billion deficit by 2014 and cast it into history by 2018.

Meanwhile the people who are generally regarded as being responsible for the UKs financial quandary, the bankers, are beginning to bleat a little at the prospect of having their bonuses cut by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) This time the banker’s plight is being supported by no less than a former banker, Sir George Mathewson who acted as chairman of Royal Bank of Scotland. Sir George complained that any moves to cancel any pay deals which appear to reward undue risk-taking would interfere with the rule of law.

But Sir George said he feared

According to the Office of National Statistics, UK inflation has jumped to an annual figure of 1.5%, largely driven up by a sharp annual rise in the cost of petrol and a huge jump in the prices of second-hand cars. Economists were not taken by surprise by the increase in the consumer prices index (CPI, which they expected to rise by between 1.4% and 1.5% for October. The incredible 14% rise in second-hand car prices was one of the driving forces behind the inflation rise.

ITV have confirmed that Archie Norman, the former chief executive of supermarket group Asda, will be taking over the role of chairman in their company. Former Tory MP Norman’s appointment brings to an end a seven-month search to find a replacement for outgoing chairman Michael Grade,

Archie Norman comes to the ITV with an impressive track record, having being credited with the turnaround of Asda in the 1990s. He will face no less of a daunting challenge at ITV, where increased competition and difficult trading conditions has caused a major downturn in advertising revenue.

Chocolate makers Hershey and Ferrero are said to considering a joint bid for Cadbury that could be welcomed by the UK confectionery manufacturer as they fight to fend off the hostile takeover by Kraft Foods. Discussions between the two sides have been reported to be at the “very preliminary" stage. Apparently Hershey executives have been more aggressive about pursuing a deal; however no offer has been made. The talks are the strongest sign that a possible rival bid to Kraft’s $16.7 billion offer is in the offing. Kraft’s initial bid was rejected by Cadbury as being “derisory”.

Sterling increased against the major currencies on trading since the weekend

• Pound/US dollar 1.6793
• Pound/Euro 1.1283
• Pound/Japanese Yen 149.9328
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.706

World stocks continue to gain ground as optimism regarding the global economic recovery continuing. UK shares have again reached and broken their 14-month high.

In the UK, the FTSE share values improved as commodities and especially gold touched a new record on the general positive mood.

The UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 index closed up 1.6%, or 86.29, to 5,345.93. The FTSE 250 also rose, up 28 points to 9,401.15.

US Commerce Department figures have shown that retail sales rose by more than expected in October, largely due to the resurgent car market, Sales rose by 1.4%, offsetting September’s 1.5% fall was revised with both months’ figures were dominated by the impact of car sales.

If car sales are taken out of the equation, retail sales rose by just 0.2% in October.

Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has revealed that the US central bank was monitoring currency markets "closely" and will conduct policy in a way that will "help ensure that the dollar is strong". In one of his rare public comments on the state of the dollar, Bernanke predicted that currency’s recovery would begin to gain momentum despite "headwinds" from credit and unemployment, while inflation was likely to remain "subdued". However the dollar, after a brief upturn, continued to retreat against other major currencies. Bernanke also added that the Fed still expected to keep rates near zero for an "extended period", hastening to add that his statement was, not a commitment.

In the US, all the trading indexes were seen to be advancing at lightning pace.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 1.3%

Or 52.30 points to 10437.42. The NASDAQ continues to move forward, up 43 points 2203.78

US car giant GM recovery continues. This week the company announced that they will begin returning their US government loans earlier than expected.

The first payment of $1.2 billion will be made in December, and the company predicts that the loans could fully repaid 2011, four years earlier than expected. The news comes as GM reported a third quarter net loss of $1.2 billion. GM currently has debts of $6.7 billion to the US government, $1.4 billion to the Canadian government and 400 million Euros to the German government, which the company received in support of GM’s European subsidiary Opel.

US billionaire Warren Buffett’s investment firm have increased their stakes in the Nestle and Exxon Mobil companies. .

The news has created a strong buzz among investors as stock picks by Buffett always create interest, as the 70 year old super entrepreneur is considered to be one of the world’s shrewdest investors.

Recent figures released by the Japanese government have shown that the country’s economy has grown for a second successive quarter.

The world’s second largest economy grew by 1.2% in the third quarter, much faster than economists had predicted. Analysts have hastened to predict that say overall growth is likely to remain sluggish for the foreseeable future.

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Tags: Archie Norman, ASDA, bankers, Banking, Ben Bernanke, British Economy, British Pound, budget cuts, Cadbury, Currency, Dow Jones, economic recovery, Economy, Employment, Exxon Mobil, Federal Reserve, Ferrero, financial downturn, Financial News, Financial Services Authority, FSA, FTSE, GM, Gordon Brown, Hershey, Interest Rates, ITV, Kraft Foods, Labour party, Michael Grade, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Office of National Statistics, Opel, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Sir George Mathewson, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, The Queen’s speech, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK inflation, UK Recession, US Commerce Department, Wall Street, Warren Buffett

Regulators have agreed tough new regulations designed to put into action the proposals agreed by the G20 group of nations over the weekend. If they come into force, the regulations could force many of Europe’s top banks to raise tens of billions of Euros in capital in coming months.

The new rules are designed to force banks to improve the quality and extent of their capital buffers significantly in order to absorb shocks.

The new regulations will require banks to ensure that at least half of the capital held by banks must comprise of common equity and retained earnings. In addition the regulators have also decided to set specific limits on how much banks can borrow, expected to be around 25 times their assets.

Since the beginning of the financial downturn, investors in companies quoted on the FTSE, have become much more active and are turning up with increasing regularity at annual general meetings to make their feelings heard and their votes count. Evidence of their effectiveness has already been noted at meetings of firms such as Royal Dutch Shell and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), which resulted in proposed pay packages being rejected.

Cadbury are reported to be a little cheesed of with Kraft Foods, after having rejected a £10.2 billion takeover approach from them. The FTSE lived the idea and shares in the company rose by almost 40% after the announcement.

Spokespeople from Cadbury explained that the reason why they rejected the approach was that it basically undervalued the company, while analysts suspect that Kraft’s offer was just an opening salvo, and they will come in with an increased offer. Rumours have it that other "kings of confectionery" are waiting in the wings, among them Hershey and the Nestle Company.

All the news on the FTSE was not about Cadburys, with the Lloyds Banking Group adding 4.4 per cent to close on 106.31 pence. The rise in share value came on reports that the bank is interested in converting £7 billion of its existing e shares to equity at a premium. .

Sports Direct, after seeing their shares rise by 14 per cent on Friday, succeeded in adding a further 11.8 per cent to 114 pence in anticipation of a very positive update on the company’s position due to be released today.

The FTSE 100 index jumped again, driven by the news from Cadbury. It sweetened by 81.48 points to close of 4933.18.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 continued to climb on Monday, up 2.18% or 190.61 141.05 points to close on 8,963.46.

The pound dipped against the major currencies on a weak days trading.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6351
• Pound/Euro 1.14
• Pound/Japanese Yen 152.096
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.733

There was no trading on Wall Street on Monday for Labour Day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average stayed on 9441.27 while the NASDAQ Composite looked comfortable on 2018.78.

Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel Prize-winning economist is bucking the trend by stating his doubts on the robustness and staying power of any US economic recovery, warning that the current economic downturn may be what is known as a "double dipper".

According to Stiglitz, who acted as chief economist for the World Bank, "the prospects of a robust recovery are very, very weak" and there was a strong chance that the economy collapse after a period of growth.

Germany’s industrial rebound is still gathering momentum, with reports that when manufacturing orders chalked up another strong rise in July. Europe’s largest economy however is still far from returning to its pre-crisis levels of activity.

Industrial orders rose 3.5 per cent in July, extending a 3.8 per cent increase in June, adding further evidence that economic growth in the third quarter would prove much stronger than could be hoped until even a few months ago. Production was still down 20 per cent than in the same month in 2008.

Trading volumes across commodity markets were lighter than usual on Monday because of the Labor Day holiday in the US. Gold rose 0.2 per cent to $995 a troy ounce, consolidating just below the $1,000 mark.

Crude oil prices steadied, at around $67.00 a barrel.

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Tags: Bank, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Cadbury, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, financial downturn, Financial News, FTSE, Hershey, Joseph Stiglitz, Kraft Foods, Lloyds, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Nestle, RBS, re-capitalisation, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland, Royal Dutch Shell, Sports Direct, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK Recession, US economy, Wall Street, World Bank