While the UK and with it almost all of Western Europe and the West Coast of the US are caught in the grip of the longest running and most severe cold spell that it has seen for close to thirty years without a break in the foreseeable future, many analyst are now scratching their heads and asking themselves "what will this do to the price of oil?"

Since the weather began to turn incredibly difficult about a week ago the price of oil has risen steadily from the around $78 to $82 within the space of one week, the highest price it has been all of 2009, and to those of you who may have forgotten, sat on a low of $32 a barrel towards the end of December 2008. With the news that the major economies, and especially China, were starting to build up stockpiles of oil, hopes were that prices would begin to fall and settle around the ideal figure of between $68 to $72 a barrel.

Analysts fear that if the span weather persists, and predictions are that at least in the UK it could continue to the end of January, and the increase in demand could push the price up oil even further, as stocks diminish. Meanwhile leading bodies in UK industry bodies have asked head- teachers to minimize snow-linked school closures to reduce levels of absence from the workplace. Although 61 percent of 200 companies surveyed by the British Chambers of Commerce said less than one in 10 employees was absent, the Federation of Small Businesses warned that childcare-related absences following school closures would become a serious problem. The cold snap looks likely to cost the economy close to £700 million pounds a day, meaning total financial damage of £14.5 billion pounds if, as expected. The bad weather lasts a further three weeks.

As expected UK interest rates will remain unchanged at 0.5%, meaning that the cost of borrowing has remained at a record low since March 2009. Economist are not expecting to see a rates increase s in the near term, despite expectations that the UK will finally have exited recession in the last quarter of 2009.

Formula 1 boss, Bernie Ecclestone is looking to buy a Saab, not the car but the company, and intends to do so in partnership with the Luxembourg-based private investment company, Genii Capital, which recently invested in Renault’s Formula 1 team.

Ecclestone’s dramatic announcement came shortly after the deadline for expressions of interest in the company closed without any public bids.

As well as Ecclestone’s offer, a second bid s also emerged, from the Dutch sports car maker, Spyker Cars.

U.S. food giant Kraft has received a ticking off from the principal shareholder Warren Buffett who has also thrown a spanner in the works of their proposed transaction. The Buffett-owned holding company Berkshire Hathaway who Hold 9.4% of Kraft’s stock announced that they will be voting against it is the proposal to issue up to 370 million shares to facilitate the Cadbury deal.

A spokesman for Kraft reacted to Buffet’s statement by saying that "Mr. Buffett is our largest investor and one of the most respected investors in the world. We take his opinion very seriously. We agree Kraft shares are deeply undervalued. We would not do anything to hurt shareholder value and we intend to remain disciplined in this process." Shares fell 7 pence, or 0.9 percent, to 772 pence on trading.

In their annual Christmas trading statement, Majestic Wine announced a rise in sales of 11.7 percent between Nov. 3 and Jan. 4 in the UK, with champagne sales regaining their seasonal appeal over Christmas. While champagne sales grew 11 percent, fine wine sales climbed 30 percent and online trading rose by 20 percent.

Family-owned brewer Fuller Smith & Turner also managed to increase its profits, sales and dividend in the six months to September, largely bucking the trend prevalent in the brewery sector. With members of the controlling families owning more than half of the company equity and 60 percent of the voting rights, executive chairman Michael Turner pronounced the effect that company’s long-term, risk-averse strategy was paying dividends.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

• Dollar 1,5967
• Euro 1.1126

The U.K.’s largest home builder by market value Persimmon Plc has announced that they completed the sale of 8,976 new homes in 2009 with a total value of around £1.4 billion pounds. On the news their shares gained 1.2 percent, to 469 pence. Wolseley Plc, the world’s largest supplier of heating and plumbing gear seemed to be moving in a positive direction, with their shares added 4.7 percent, to 1,361 pence.

The Vodafone Group PLC expects to be able to offer Google Inc.’s Nexus One smart phone to its U.K. customers in the next few weeks, with their rivals reported to be already in advanced talks with the Internet giant about the device.

Vodafone, the world’s biggest mobile operator, is also in early discussions with Google about supporting the phone in France, Germany and Spain, a Vodafone spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires Wednesday, and hopes to offer it across the rest of Europe through the course of 2010.

JD Sports Fashion Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest sportswear chain said sales at stores rose 6.6 percent in the five weeks up to the Ist of January .2010. On the news their shares jumped 6.2 percent, to 550 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group on Wednesday reported a small increase in third-quarter sales, despite not slashing prices in the run-up to Christmas, as customers snapped up cashmere sweaters and clothing for kids. But the company cautioned that trading will remain challenging this year.

Group sales at the iconic British retailer rose 2.6% in the three months to Dec. 26. In the U.K. same-store sales rose 0.8%, with general merchandise up 1.2% and food up 0.4%. Underlying sales returned to growth for the first time in two years.

Still, the results missed the consensus forecast for a 1.2% increase in same-store sales, partly because this year’s trading period excluded the first day of the company’s post-Christmas sales, when it typically sees a surge in revenue. Online sales increased 32% and international sales climbed 6%

Britain’s Home Delivery Network said it would buy DHL’s UK parcel delivery operations, DHL Domestic, from Deutsche Post DHL (DPWGn.DE), growing its market share in a sector profiting from a boom in online shopping.

With many of the UK s leading retailers, among them John Lewis and Next reporting significant online growth, companies such as Home Delivery Network have felt the impact.

The parcel delivery company, headquartered in Merseyside, northwest England, said the combined businesses would have annual revenues of more than £600 million pounds, delivering over 180 million parcels a year, with a combined market share of 17 percent.

Britain’s currency recovered slightly over the last two days

• Dollar 1,5992
• Euro 1.1198

The FTSE100 finished trading on Thursday in a fairly static position at 5526.72 barely moving on the week’s trading.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Thursday up a further 24 points to 10,607 while the NASDAQ also dropped 8 points to 2,300.71.

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Tags: Bank, Banking, Bernie Ecclestone, British Chambers of Commerce, British Economy, British Pound, Cadbury, Currency, DHL, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Federation of Small Businesses, Financial News, Freezing Britain, FTSE, Fuller Smith & Turner, Genii Capital, Home Delivery Network, Interest Rates, JD Sports Fashion Plc, John Lewis, Kraft, Lehman Brothers, Majestic Wine, Marks & Spencer, Michael Turner, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Nexus One, Oil, Persimmon Plc, Peter Mandelson, Recession, Saab, Spyker Cars, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Vodafone, Wall Street, Warren Buffett, Wolseley Plc

Iceland’s president has refused to sign a controversial bill to repay £3.1 billion previously promised to the UK and the Netherlands. The news came after Iceland’s President Olafur Ragnar Grimsson announced a change of a heart following public protest and instead the country will now hold a referendum on the bill, which was designed to compensate governments forced to bail out their savers with Icesave accounts following Iceland’s banking crisis.

Legislation to repay the money was approved by Iceland’s parliament in December, but the approval of the president is also required before it can be passed into law.

Things must be getting strained again between Alistair Darling and Gordon Brown who were reported to have contradicted each other once again and in public. The contradiction was on that hot potato over how to handle public spending. Darling was reported to have argued that revenue from stronger than expected growth should be used to cut borrowing in a bid to allay the concerns of bond market investors, while Brown was said to be of the view that strong recovery may help to sustain spending, warding off fears of significant cuts to public services. Government officials hastened to deny a split between Brown and the chancellor. But they would, wouldn’t they.

Kraft have announced that they expect to increase the cash proportion in their offer to Cadbury in an attempt to make their bid more attractive to shareholders. The cash will come from the sale of its North American pizza business, strangely enough bought by erstwhile takeover bid competitors, Nestle who paid over £2 billion for a slice (of the company) .Meanwhile and contrary to recent speculation, Nestle have announced that they do not intend to table a takeover bid for Cadbury,. The company having been linked to a possible offer following Kraft Food’s hostile bid for Cadbury that was announced in December.

As part of their new strategic review, the English Premier League is looking to increase its international reach by inviting companies to become an official technology partner, aimed at tapping global opportunities more successfully. With current sponsorship making up just five per cent of the Premier League’s one billion pounds annual turnover, from sponsors that including Nike, Lucozade, Wrigley, and EA Sports, Topps Merlin and Sporting iD and title sponsors Barclays Bank.

One of the companies brave enough to raise their prices to match the return of VAT to its previous 17.5 per cent rate are Apple, who have increased the prices of many products on the Apple Store, including Macs. On 1 Jan 2010 the VAT level in the UK returned to 17.5 per cent, up from the reduced rate of 15 per cent (VAT is the UK term for sales tax). The UK government temporarily reduced the rate of VAT during 2009 to add some life into the UK economy, and it was thought that many of the UK’s leading retailers would continue to subsidise the increase, at least for January.

However Apple’s move seems likely to prompt some discussion surrounding the pricing of Apple products in general, which has steadily increased in the UK over the last two years.

Encouraging evidence of better retail conditions with record sales over the Christmas and New Year period were provided by the John Lewis employee-owned department store and chain. The company reported sales strongly ahead of the last two years that in the five weeks to January 2. John Lewis’s performance offers hope to retailers as they begin to release figures on their trading in the crucial festive period on Tuesday. John Lewis said total sales rose 15.8 per cent in the five weeks to January 2, compared with the same period a year earlier, while sales based on stores open at least a year were up 12.7 per cent.

On the stock exchange, shares in partly-nationalised Royal Bank of Scotland rose 9.9%, helped by analyst’s predictions that the bank is liable to "outperform" in 2010.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

• Dollar 1,5967
• Euro 1.1126

The chairman of the US Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke has blamed poor financial regulation for the financial crisis and defended the record of America’s central bank, whilst calling for urgent improvements to financial oversight to prevent a repeat of an economic storm that he said could ultimately prove to be "the worst in history".

In a recent speech, Mr Bernanke argued that low interest rates in the first five years of the new millennium were "appropriate" for the time and had not caused the "bubble" in US house prices. His reaction came after the Fed has recently come under criticism by certain US economists who argue that it kept rates too low for too long, encouraging an artificial property boom. The subsequent crash led to a surge in repossessions, leaving lenders with huge losses, causing a financial contagion that spread around the world.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Tuesday up 144 points to 10,572, while the NASDAQ also rose 39 points to 2,308.71.

According to expert analysts, the US public pension system faces a higher-than-expected shortfall of more than $2,000 billion that will increase pressure on many states’ strained finances and crimp economic growth. Recent estimates of aggregate funding requirement of the US pension system have ranged between $400 billion and $500 billion, however recent speculation has concluded that public funds would need to find more than $2,000 billion to meet future pension obligation

Commodities prices are set to rise further this year as the global economy expands faster, according to an International Monetary Fund forecast, following the biggest annual price increase for raw materials in nearly four decades in 2009

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Tags: Alistair Darling, Apple, Apple Store, Bank, Banking, Barclays Bank, British Economy, British Pound, Cadbury, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, EA Sports, Economy, English Premier League, Financial News, FTSE, Gordon Brown, House Prices, International Monetary Fund, John Lewis, Kraft, Lehman Brothers, Lucozade, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Nestle, Nike, North American pizza, Olafur Ragnar Grimsson, Peter Mandelson, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Sporting iD, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Topps Merlin, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US Federal Reserve, Wall Street, Wrigley

The UK in the first decade of the new century recorded the lowest economic growth of the postwar period and the worst returns for stock market investors since the 1930s. Information provided by the Office of National Statistics points out that gross domestic product, on average, rose by only 1.7 per cent annually in real terms throughout the so-called noughties, making them Britain’s weakest period of economic expansion of any since the war years. The manufacturing sector was particularly hard hit with output actually contracting over the decade by 1.2 per cent annually.

Meanwhile, the British stock market suffered its weakest performance of any decade since the Great Depression, with prices on the FTSE All Share Index recording negative returns, averaging minus 1.8 per cent per year. The particularly sharp contraction in the real economy as a result of the financial crisis of the past 18 months continues to fuel pessimistic assessments of the UK’s prospects for the new decade.

In his New Year message, that well know optimist Prime Minister Gordon Brown is expected to give an upbeat assessment of Britain’s economic prospects for the forthcoming 12 months. Under pressure amid Labour Party concerns that they are destined to lose the next election, Brown is expected to take a gamble on a positive prediction that UK unemployment will have decreased by the end of 2010, with more smaller businesses starting up during the period, His gamble is calculated by details of latest forecast from the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) stating that UK unemployment will peak at 2.8 million in 2010, and would continue to rise for the first six months of the new year, despite the recovery in the UK economy. .

Earlier this year, the CIPD had said it expected unemployment to peak at 3.2 million as a result of the recession. The total number of UK unemployed in currently stands at 2.49 million, 7.9% of the population, with around a quarter of these job losses happening in 2009.

UK homeowners pumped almost £5 billion into their home equities during the third quarter of 2009, according to recent figures issued by the Bank of England. Analysts pointed out that the trend of homeowners repaying mortgage debt would continue to restrain consumer spending, as they took advantage of record low interest rates to reduce mortgage debts. This development is in healthy contrast to much of the previous decade when homeowners had continuously drawn on equity from their homes to fund durable purchases.

Pressure is being applied to the UK government to make some changes to the Sunday trading laws in time for Christmas next year. Boxing Day falls on a Sunday in 2010, and shopping centres are lobbying to relax the law that restricts outlets of more than 3,000 square foot to just six hours of trading during this peak trading day. According to surveys, the number of shoppers soared by 17.9 percent last Sunday against a year ago, making it the highest increase in UK consumer traffic on record for a December 27.

Waitrose, the John Lewis-owned supermarket, reported an increase of 13.5 percent for the week before Christmas compared to the same period last year, making it their most successful Christmas on record. Total sales jumped 20.5 percent to reach £134.6 million s in the week to December 26, compared with £111.7 million for the same period in 2008.

Sterling remained below the $1.60 level on early week trading, even falling a little, whilst while remaining static against the Euro

• Dollar 1.5924
• Euro 1.1089

London stocks pushed higher on Tuesday, the first day back from the Christmas break, following the lead set in global equity markets in the previous session.

With US stocks failing to add much momentum, London’s FTSE 100 stayed at the same level for much of the session, adding 35 points or 0.7 per cent by the close to 5,437.61, extending its winning run to five days.

This was the index’s highest level in 15 months and took it above the point at which it stood on September 12, 2008, when Lehman Brothers collapsed.

Shares in US airlines fell on Monday following the alleged bomb attack on a US plane bound for Detroit, fueled by fears that renewed security concerns could further depress demand for air travel. Airport security measures have been tightened following the security incident on Christmas Day.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average returned from the Christmas break in buoyant mood, climbing 36 points to close on 10,521.1 while the NASDAQ Composite jumped just three points to 2,288.46. Retailers had initially lifted the market after data from the International Council of Shopping Centers and Goldman Sachs showed like-for-like sales across the sector were up 2.3 per cent last week from the same period a year ago

US house prices rose in October for the fifth month in a row, according to a leading index.

Prices were 0.4% higher than they were in September on a seasonally-adjusted basis, according to a recently published index.

Confidence among US consumers has shown a larger-than-expected rise; with improved optimism over the jobs market saw consumer confidence hit a three-month high in December

Oil prices have climbed to more than $79 a barrel, reaching the highest levels for five weeks. During Monday’s trading in London, US crude touched $79.12 a barrel before falling back later to $78.77.

Heating oil futures led the gains, while London Brent crude rose by more than a dollar to $77.32 a barrel.

Prices rose following forecasts of colder weather in the United States, and the expectation of increased consumption and falling reserves.

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Tags: Bank, Bank of England, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, British stock market, Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development, CIPD, Council of Shopping Centers, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economic Growth, Economics, Economy, Employment, Financial News, FTSE, Goldman Sachs, Gordon Brown, Heating oil, House Prices, John Lewis, London Brent crude, Manufacturing, Money, Money Management, NASDAQ, Noughties, Office of National Statistics, Recession, Savings, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, UK unemployment, Waitrose, Wall Street

Pension funds in the western world have made am almost one trillion pound ($1.5 trillion) recovery in the first half of 2009. Whilst commendable, this figure represents less than a third of what these funds have lost in market value last year. These figures were released by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) who have been tracking the progress of pension funds since the outset of the global economic turndown. According to the OECD who is based in Paris, the recovery in pension fund performance has continued through September 30, 2009, on the back of strong equity returns. However it will take some time before the losses that occurred during 2008 are fully recouped. Most pension funds staged a partial recovery in the first half of 2009, generating investment returns of 3.5 percent in nominal terms. Membership of OECD is made up from mostly financially developed industrialized economies

The cost of car insurance appears to be dramatically on the rise, according to a recent survey from the Automobile Association (AA) in the third quarter of 2009, insuring a car rose at its fastest pace in 15 years, driven by a spate of rising personal injury claims and exacerbated by fraud. Statistics issued by the AA show that the average quoted premium for comprehensive motor cover rose 5.6 percent to £821 pounds during the three months to September 30, and by 14 percent from 2008.

As news filters through to the market that Virgin Money has applied for a banking license through the FSA (Financial Services Authority) it now appears more than likely that Virgin Money will make an offer for part or all of the Northern Rock business, with many analysts claiming that an informal agreement has already been struck with the UK government, and all that is required is tie up a few loose ends before the deal can be officially announced. Speculation in banking circles point to the fact that the UK government will need to request a high asking price for Northern Rock. Any sale at a "knock down" price is bound to infuriate taxpayers whose money was used to keep the Rock from sinking. On the other hand, Branson’s company is not liable to pay an inflated price for the bank. This could lead to an impasse that could see the operation stay with the UK government for the foreseeable future. Analysts state that selling Northern Rock would be in the best interests of both the government and UK taxpayers, but only in the medium to longer term. With an election looming, questions remain whether Gordon Brown’s government could allow themselves such a luxury.

Discount retailer, Matalan is reputed to be weighing up a £1.5 billion offer, after a number of companies expressed their interest in acquiring the business which remains privately owned. Among the parties interested are private equity group CVC. Matalan were taken private by John Hargreaves, their founder and controlling more than three years ago with indications having it that Hargreaves is neither interested in entering into an auction to sell his company or at any price.

The employee owned department store chain John Lewis, has seen online sales of its clothing range, take tremendous steps forwards since the company re- launched their updated website last month. With the launch came the release of a wide range of new fashion brands exclusive to the company. A leading executive from John Lewis Direct announced the company’s satisfaction with results achieved till now, that far surpassed their predictions. In general, sales of clothing online from the company were about three times higher than last year.

Mobile phone company Orange are due to begin marketing the iPhone to UK customers in Early November, a move that is bound to mark strong competition with O2 as the Xmas run up gets under way. Orange’s announcement last month that it had become the first UK network breaks O2’s exclusive hold on marketing the iPhone device, caused shock waves in the industry. The iPhone is expected to be launched by Orange on 10 November, just one day after O2’s two-year exclusive contract with Apple ends. Carphone Warehouse, which was the only independent retailer able to stock the iPhone when O2 had it to itself, is also expected to sell the phone on behalf of Orange. The iPhone is seen as the best touchscreen phone in the market, and has won a clutch of industry awards.

In the money markets, Sterling was back on a rise against the leading currencies with the notable exception of the Swiss franc.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6322
• Pound/Euro 1.10979
• Pound/Japanese Yen 150.2587
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6629

The FTSE 100 suffered a late reaction to the news that the UK economy was still in recession, falling 50.83 points to close on 5191.74 on Monday. The FTSE 250 was also down by 137.55 points to 9186.10.

The world’s largest construction equipment maker Caterpillar, has announced their intention to permanently cut 2,500 jobs in the US. The news was a contradiction to predictions that economic recovery was on its way for the construction industry in general and Caterpillar in particular, with the company undertaking to reinstate 550 workers that they had previously laid off. During the downturn, Caterpillar has cut about 34,000 jobs globally.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones also continued to decline, down a further 104.22 points to 9867.96. At the same time, the NASDAQ Composite index appeared to be on a never ending but steady decline, yesterday down a further 12.62 points to close on 2141.85

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Tags: AA, Automobile Association, Bank, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, car insurance, Caterpillar, Currency, CVC, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Employment, Financial News, Financial Services Authority, FSA, FTSE, Gordon Brown, iPhone, John Hargreaves, John Lewis, Matalan, Mobile phone, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Northern Rock, O2, OECD, Orange, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Pensions, Recession, Retail, Stock Markets, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Virgin Money, Wall Street

Supermarkets, retailers and pubs are going to war over the pound in your pocket

Despite slamming Tesco and other supermarkets for heavy discounting before Christmas, ASDA has joined the war by cutting prices at 350 stores on 1000 lines to a pound each.

The price cuts come ahead of a crunch time for retailers who need to shift Christmas stock now to provide cash flow for new stock in coming months.

The problem is prices were dropped so low before Christmas; many retailers have nothing to discount and nothing new to attract shoppers through their doors for January sales.

According to the latest footfall figures from Experian, the number of shoppers out now is almost 10% down on the same day last year.

“The depressing start to the New Year comes as a nation of savvy shoppers left retailers no choice but to discount heavily prior to Christmas and soon after, leaving no excitement for the start of the New Year’s sales,” said Experian.

Off the high street, the price of a pint is now 99p at pub chain JD Wetherspoon – the cheapest since 1989 – and the price of a meal is £2.99, putting pressure on other pub chains to force down prices when custom is slowing.

City experts warn that even if the sales go well, rising unemployment and a deepening recession lead to more belt-tightening.

John Lewis reported takings up in the lead up to Christmas and a record first day of the sales. Department stores recorded their first sales increase since September in the week to last Saturday, rising by 1.2% year-on-year. Food chain Waitrose, also owned by the group, had a 40.6% surge in sales.

Other retailers will start releasing sales figures for Christmas next week. Next and Debenhams put theirs out on Tuesday, followed by Marks & Spencer the next day.

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Tags: ASDA, Debenhams, Economy, Experian, JD Wetherspoon, John Lewis, Retail, Tesco, Waitrose

Cash from last-minute Christmas shoppers is a lifeline many high street bosses are trying to grab to stay in business.

The reason for all the high street sales is the stores are running out of cash and they have two problems at the end of the month – paying extra staff taken on for the season and paying their rent.

Most commercial rents are paid quarterly and the next quarter day for rent payment is Christmas Day.

The payroll is also bulging with extra staff taken on to cope with the traditional Christmas rush.

Virtually every store is running a sale in a bid to entice shoppers – and the discounts are especially deep in many fashion retailers.

Even Tesco has a 70% off clothing and other chains, like Principles and Whistles have cut 50% off everything in store.

In the queue is B&Q, the DIY chain, which is starting its January sale on Christmas Eve, along with most of the leading retail websites, including John Lewis and House of Fraser.

Tesco has slashed the prices of 100% silk women’s shirt from £25 to £7.50 and men’s jeans from £15 to £4.50.

Whistles’ entire range of silk cocktail dresses is a snip at £68, down from £171.

The sales are aimed at encouraging shoppers to spend their cash earlier so the stores can meet their bills – starting the sale on Christmas Eve instead of Boxing Day means the first day sale cash bonanza arrives before not after the rent day.

Ernst & Young, the consultancy firm that monitors high street prices, predicts that by Christmas Eve the average price in shops will be discounted by 40%.

“The problem is how are the stores going to put up prices when shoppers feel that if they can still take 40% of the price and make money?” said one analyst. “A lot of shoppers feel with some good reason that the stores have made too much profit out of them and are now paying the price.”

The big supermarkets are expected to weather the storm – but everyone else is at risk.

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• Capital One
• Child Trust Fund
• First Direct
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Tags: B&Q, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Ernst & Young, Finance, Financial News, House of Fraser, John Lewis, Principles, Tesco, Whistles

The new banking goliath rising from the ashes of Lloyds TSB and HBoS is ready to axe up to 40,000 jobs and 600 branches in a cost cutting strategy.

The Lloyds Banking Group – the new name for the super bank – will face pressure to shrink its balance sheet, lift capital ratios and resume dividends after the merger that is expected to proceed on Friday.

The government-brokered deal to create Britain’s second biggest bank has been attacked as anti-competitive and angered investors on both sides, especially HBOS supporters in Scotland.

A Competition Appeals Tribunal hearing in London rejected claims that Lord Mandelson, the Business Secretary, had acted improperly in supporting Lloyds TSB’s takeover of HBOS were rejected yesterday.

A decision from the tribunal is expected today.

Despite the hearing 96 % of Lloyds investors voted for the merger and HBOS warned the only alternative was nationalisation.

For once, the retail sector had some good news, revealing that Monday was the biggest online shopping day this year, with sales up 14% on the same day last year to £320 million.

John Lewis announced that sales in the week ending Saturday 6 December also saw an all time record for online weekly sales. The previous record, set last year in the week ending Saturday 15 December, was beaten by £500,000 driven by demand in gifts, Christmas decorations, furnishing accessories, home electronics and toys – with Biscuit the Dog proving a particular hit.

The leading department store group has also identified a significant improvement in in-store trading over the course of the last seven days, with sales up 20% week-on-week indicating that Christmas shopping on the high street is moving up a gear.

Woolworth’s administrators, Deloitte, have agreed to sell 50 stores to frozen food retailer Iceland.

Separate deals are in place to sell a further 350 stores to a range of supermarkets and discount stores.

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Tags: HBos, John Lewis, Lloyds Banking Group, Lloyds TSB, Lord Mandelson, Woolworths