In the Queen’s speech to be made today, Gordon Brown is expected to emphasize the need for fiscal discipline as the UK seeks to extricate itself from the current financial downturn, and catch up with the rest of the major global economies who have already done so. At the heart of his message will be a very strong hint to ministers to accept budget cuts. What he will be implying is that it is important for the Labour party to show unity and credibility on public spending ahead of the forthcoming election battle with the Tories. The prime minister’s package will feature a fiscal responsibility bill, that will confine to law Brown’s programme significantly reduce Britain’s £175 billion deficit by 2014 and cast it into history by 2018.

Meanwhile the people who are generally regarded as being responsible for the UKs financial quandary, the bankers, are beginning to bleat a little at the prospect of having their bonuses cut by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) This time the banker’s plight is being supported by no less than a former banker, Sir George Mathewson who acted as chairman of Royal Bank of Scotland. Sir George complained that any moves to cancel any pay deals which appear to reward undue risk-taking would interfere with the rule of law.

But Sir George said he feared

According to the Office of National Statistics, UK inflation has jumped to an annual figure of 1.5%, largely driven up by a sharp annual rise in the cost of petrol and a huge jump in the prices of second-hand cars. Economists were not taken by surprise by the increase in the consumer prices index (CPI, which they expected to rise by between 1.4% and 1.5% for October. The incredible 14% rise in second-hand car prices was one of the driving forces behind the inflation rise.

ITV have confirmed that Archie Norman, the former chief executive of supermarket group Asda, will be taking over the role of chairman in their company. Former Tory MP Norman’s appointment brings to an end a seven-month search to find a replacement for outgoing chairman Michael Grade,

Archie Norman comes to the ITV with an impressive track record, having being credited with the turnaround of Asda in the 1990s. He will face no less of a daunting challenge at ITV, where increased competition and difficult trading conditions has caused a major downturn in advertising revenue.

Chocolate makers Hershey and Ferrero are said to considering a joint bid for Cadbury that could be welcomed by the UK confectionery manufacturer as they fight to fend off the hostile takeover by Kraft Foods. Discussions between the two sides have been reported to be at the “very preliminary" stage. Apparently Hershey executives have been more aggressive about pursuing a deal; however no offer has been made. The talks are the strongest sign that a possible rival bid to Kraft’s $16.7 billion offer is in the offing. Kraft’s initial bid was rejected by Cadbury as being “derisory”.

Sterling increased against the major currencies on trading since the weekend

• Pound/US dollar 1.6793
• Pound/Euro 1.1283
• Pound/Japanese Yen 149.9328
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.706

World stocks continue to gain ground as optimism regarding the global economic recovery continuing. UK shares have again reached and broken their 14-month high.

In the UK, the FTSE share values improved as commodities and especially gold touched a new record on the general positive mood.

The UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 index closed up 1.6%, or 86.29, to 5,345.93. The FTSE 250 also rose, up 28 points to 9,401.15.

US Commerce Department figures have shown that retail sales rose by more than expected in October, largely due to the resurgent car market, Sales rose by 1.4%, offsetting September’s 1.5% fall was revised with both months’ figures were dominated by the impact of car sales.

If car sales are taken out of the equation, retail sales rose by just 0.2% in October.

Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has revealed that the US central bank was monitoring currency markets "closely" and will conduct policy in a way that will "help ensure that the dollar is strong". In one of his rare public comments on the state of the dollar, Bernanke predicted that currency’s recovery would begin to gain momentum despite "headwinds" from credit and unemployment, while inflation was likely to remain "subdued". However the dollar, after a brief upturn, continued to retreat against other major currencies. Bernanke also added that the Fed still expected to keep rates near zero for an "extended period", hastening to add that his statement was, not a commitment.

In the US, all the trading indexes were seen to be advancing at lightning pace.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 1.3%

Or 52.30 points to 10437.42. The NASDAQ continues to move forward, up 43 points 2203.78

US car giant GM recovery continues. This week the company announced that they will begin returning their US government loans earlier than expected.

The first payment of $1.2 billion will be made in December, and the company predicts that the loans could fully repaid 2011, four years earlier than expected. The news comes as GM reported a third quarter net loss of $1.2 billion. GM currently has debts of $6.7 billion to the US government, $1.4 billion to the Canadian government and 400 million Euros to the German government, which the company received in support of GM’s European subsidiary Opel.

US billionaire Warren Buffett’s investment firm have increased their stakes in the Nestle and Exxon Mobil companies. .

The news has created a strong buzz among investors as stock picks by Buffett always create interest, as the 70 year old super entrepreneur is considered to be one of the world’s shrewdest investors.

Recent figures released by the Japanese government have shown that the country’s economy has grown for a second successive quarter.

The world’s second largest economy grew by 1.2% in the third quarter, much faster than economists had predicted. Analysts have hastened to predict that say overall growth is likely to remain sluggish for the foreseeable future.

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Tags: Archie Norman, ASDA, bankers, Banking, Ben Bernanke, British Economy, British Pound, budget cuts, Cadbury, Currency, Dow Jones, economic recovery, Economy, Employment, Exxon Mobil, Federal Reserve, Ferrero, financial downturn, Financial News, Financial Services Authority, FSA, FTSE, GM, Gordon Brown, Hershey, Interest Rates, ITV, Kraft Foods, Labour party, Michael Grade, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Office of National Statistics, Opel, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Sir George Mathewson, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, The Queen’s speech, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK inflation, UK Recession, US Commerce Department, Wall Street, Warren Buffett

World leaders announced the Group of 20 nations is replacing the G-8 as the main forum for global economic coordination, reflecting a shift in power from rich countries to emerging markets. The G-8 is not due to be disbanded, instead it will focus on development and security matters. The transfer of influence to the broader group, whose membership ranges from the U.S. to China to Saudi Arabia, symbolizes the fact that the richest industrial nations now lack the sway to govern the world economy alone after their excesses sparked the turmoil that tipped the globe into recession. At the end of a two-day G20 summit, hosted by US President Barack, the world’s leading nations have agreed tough new regulations designed to prevent another global financial crisis. The measures will relate to the amount of money banks have to hold in reserve and to excessive pay for bankers. With a recovery now underway, leaders are trying to temper the excesses that helped trigger the worst financial crisis in seven decades and the deepest recession since World War II. At the same time, richer governments acknowledge they now lack the ability to govern the world economy alone as power shifts to emerging markets such as China.

Before setting of for Pittsburgh, Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling, announced the appointment of Stephan Wilcke as chief executive of the Asset Protection Agency (APA) The APA has been established to oversee the £585 billion toxic asset insurance scheme, reckoned to be the biggest and perhaps riskiest deal the government has signed:

Wilcke, a former management consultant and private equity boss, will lead a team of up to 50 staff to enforce ensure that Britain’s part-nationalised banks properly manage their impaired loans. Expectations are that Mr. Wilcke’s task will be complicated, not least because the banks have trouble explaining how some of the exotic assets work, due to the fact that many of the officials who agreed the loans left the banks long ago. RBS agreed earlier this year to insure £325 billion of toxic assets while Lloyds aimed to include £260 billion of loans; Lloyds is now trying to raise private capital to limit its participation.

Total business investment in the UK dropped a seasonally adjusted 10.2% sequentially in the second quarter, better than a 10.4% fall estimated previously. Economists expected the decline to be 10.4%. In the first quarter, investments were down a revised 8.9%. In the manufacturing sector, business investments fell 16.2%, faster than a revised 4.6% fall in the first quarter. In the non-manufacturing sector, investments fell 9.5%, more or less the same fall than in the first quarter of 2009. On a yearly basis, business investments fell 21.8%, more than the 18.4% drop that had been estimated, and considerably more than the revised 9.8% fall in the first quarter. Economists expected the decline to remain at 18.4%.

An 18-month high for British Sky Broadcasting helped keep the FTSE 100 steady on Friday, rising 2.4 per cent to 359¾ pence, making them the top blue-chip performer for the week.

Meanwhile, ITV closed 3.5 per cent lower at 44 ¾ pence after refusing to meet the pay demands of prospective chief executive Tony Ball.

JJB Sports, which narrowly avoided administration this year, revealed that first-half losses had almost tripled after problems with stock took a heavy toll on sales and profit margins.

The sportswear retailer struggled to convince suppliers to keep trading with it after breaching its banking covenants last year. The lack of goods in stores saw sales fall 43 per cent to £178.6 million. This translated into a rise in pre-tax losses from £14.8 million to £42.9 million. Shares in the company fell by 2.5 percent to 38.5 pence. .

Shares in 3i Group declined 3.1 percent to 279 pence after the pace of new investments dropped as a lack of debt financing nearly brought the buyout market to a halt. The company have invested £155 million pounds (in the five months through August, compared with the £622 million in the same period of 2008.

British Airways sank 4.3 percent to 220 pence as brokers announced that heir mid-cycle share-price valuations were reached “far earlier than expected.”

Europe’s largest discount airline Ryanair Holdings Plc had their shares slide by 3.4 percent to 3215 pence as the company lowered their estimate for passenger growth while maintaining its earnings forecast.

The FTSE 100 made a minor upward adjustment by an impressive 2.93 points to close on 5,082.20, giving the index a 1.8 per cent decline for the week, while the FTSE 250 continued its free fall on Friday, down 32.58 points to 9060.44.

The pound has hit a four-month low against the dollar, a day after Mervyn King the head of the Bank of England stated this less than welcome opinion that a weak currency was "helpful" to the economy. The pound fell as low as $1.5917, the lowest since early June and then edged back to $1.5939. The pound is still well above the levels hit early in the year when it traded below $1.50 against the dollar. The pound also dropped to a fresh five-month low against the Euro. Another factor hastening the decline in sterling value was renewed fears that interest rates would remain low as G20 leaders announced that their stimulus measures would remain place well into 2010.

• Pound/US dollar 1.5939
• Pound/Euro 1.10858
• Pound/Japanese Yen 143.0041
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.639

Wall Street on Friday made its biggest weekly loss since July after a surprise drop in the sale of durable goods prompted a sell-off in the industrials sector.

New orders for long-lasting goods, from fighter jets to washing machines, fell 2.4 per cent in August, adding to investor concerns over the pace of economic recovery.

Analysts had been expecting a modest rise of 0.4 per cent compared to a 4.8 per cent gain in July, when car sales were boosted by the cash-for-clunkers scheme.

After opening in negative territory, stocks were lifted by data showing consumer confidence was higher than expected this month. Disappointing new home sales soon renewed investors’ concerns and Wall Street gave up its fleeting gains

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to fall going into the weekend down 42.25 points to 9,665.19. The NASDAQ also dropped by 16.69 point to close on 2090.92.

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Tags: 3i Group, Alistair Darling, Asset Protection Agency, Bank, Bank of England, Banking, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, British Sky Broadcasting, cash for clunkers, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, economic recovery, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, G20, G8, Global Credit Crisis, ITV, JJB Sports, Lloyds, Mervyn King, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, RBS, Recession, Ryanair Holdings Plc, Stephan Wilcke, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Tony Ball, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Wall Street

UK unemployment has risen to its highest level in 14 years despite all the indications that the recession has begun to recede

Recent reports indicate that in the second quarter through June, the number of people seeking work rose from 2.22 million to 2.44 million, an increase of 220,000 making for the highest level of unemployment since 1996. According to the Office for National Statistics, claims for jobless benefit climbed by 24,900 in July to 1.58 million.

A separate statement issued by the Bank of England predicted that unemployment will keep climbing even after the recession is recognized is over, which will hamper the pace of recovery. To soften the unemployment burden, BOE Governor Mervyn King announced that the bank will to expand its bond-buying program.

According to the International Labour Organization, overall UK unemployment rose to 7.8 percent between April and June, compared with 9.4 percent in the U.S. in July, 9.4 percent in the euro region in June and 5.4 percent in Japan.

According to the UK’s Financial Service Authority (FSA) an end to the practice of awarding non performance related bonuses appears to be in the offing at long last. From 2010, UK financial institutions will be disallowed for paying their staff guaranteed bonuses out with the current financial year. Exempt however are senior bank employees who can still have their bonuses spread over two or three years.

Lloyds TSB have announced that its Insight asset management business is to be sold off to the Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) for £235 million.

Analysts say the deal may mark the start of a phase of consolidation and disposals among mid-sized asset management groups facing increasing margin pressure.

BNY Mellon beat off several competitors in the auction for Insight, whose revenues in both 2006 and 2007 were around the £125 million. 2007.

The Lloyds group, 43.5 per cent taxpayer owned is known to be consolidating their activities, in anticipation of talks to be held with the European Commission about state aid approval. Lloyds surged 6.4 percent to 96.83 pence.

Also on the offload trail are RBS who are well into the process of selling or shutting down its businesses in two-thirds of the 54 countries where it has been operating, in the aftermath of suffering the largest trading loss incurred in British corporate history last year.

As part of their campaign, RBS have announced a £53 million deal to sell off 99.4 percent of the Banks branches in Pakistan to the privately owned Muslim Commercial Bank, the country’s biggest lender by market value. The deal is not yet official, requiring regulatory approval which, according to analysts will be a formality. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, the biggest bank owned by the U.K. government, added 5.4 percent to 45.15 pence.

Independent Television Corporation (ITV) the hard pressed and profit starved UK commercial network broadcaster has received a long overdue boost in the shape of a positive recommendation of better times ahead to investors from their bankers. The news pushed their shares up towards its target price of 50 pence, for the first time in a long time.

The U.K.’s largest publicly traded residential landlord Grainger Plc were among the stars on the FTSE on Thursday as their shares shot up by 16 percent, (33.5 pence, to 243.5 ) on news that that they had succeeded in reducing their debt burden by £100 million pounds since March, through disposal of real estate.

The FTSE 100 to a new 10-month high on Thursday, making for an increase of more than a third since early March, as reports of a global economic recovery gains impetus.

The FTSE 100 continued to make up for losses earlier in the week, up 38.70 points to close on 4,755.46. Meanwhile the FTSE 250 took another giant step forward, rising 131.73 points to close on 8,483.66

Sterling has a mixed day on yesterday’s markets, ring slightly against all of the currencies, with the notable exception of the EURO.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6575
• Pound/Euro 1.1605
• Pound/Japanese Yen 158.3223
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7751

In the US retail sales fell in July, following two months of rises, as fears of job security appear to have put a block on consumer spending.

The figures proved to be an unpleasant surprise for analysts, who had been expecting a rise of 0.7% in overall sales last month.

On Wall Street, US stocks reached new highs for the year, with the Dow Jones index rising 36.58 points to close on 9398.19, while the NASDAQ again passed the 2,000 point mark, up 10.63 points to finish the day on 2009.35

The big news coming out of Europe was that both the French and German economies have announced an end to the year-long recessions in both of Europe’s strongest economies.

Stronger exports and consumer spending, as well as government stimulus packages, contributed to of 0.3% between April and June

However economic activity in the eurozone fell by 0.1%, a sign that the region is still in the throes of the recession.

The Volkswagen / Porsche takeover deal has finally been finalised. Volkswagen is to pay €3.3 billion for a 42% stake in Porsche’s main production division. Between the lines, the takeover was closer to a rescue for debt-laden Porsche, which will amount to a complete merger of VW and Porsche SE during 2011

Crude oil prices rose by more than $1 a barrel as commodity markets rallied after better-than expected economic data fuelled hopes that the eurozone’s recession was close to ending.

Gold rose 1 per cent to $956 a troy ounce, bolstered by dollar weakness

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Tags: Bank of England, Bank of New York, Banking, BNY Mellon, British Economy, British Pound, Crude oil, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, Financial Service Authority, FSA, FTSE, Gold, Grainger Plc, Independent Television Corporation, International Labour Organization, ITV, Lloyds TSB, Mervyn King, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Office for National Statistics, Porsche, RBS, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland, U.K. government, UK Banks, UK Recession, Unemployment, US retail, Volkswagen, Wall Street

As part of the Digital Britain programme outlined in a report presented yesterday by Culture Secretary Ben Bradshaw to the UK Parliament, every British home with a fixed-line phone will be hooked to broadband internet within the next two years. That’s the good news, but the bad news is that a small fixed levy of 50 pence per month to spread the cost of providing the service to the peripheries of the country.

Another example of the “good news, bad news” was presented by the Culture Secretary Bradshaw during the same report, but this time the bad news applies only to the BBC.

Part of Bradshaw’s vision for Digital Britain is that a percentage of the revenue gained from license fees will no longer be for the exclusive use of the BBC. Instead a percentage will also be allocated to the ITV to pay for regional news; with 3.5% of the annual fee looking like it could be going to the ITV as well as other public service broadcasters from the year 2013.

The heavily indebted pub group Punch Taverns announced that they will be to coming to terms with the problem through the launch of a £375 million share placing, with proceeds from the placing to be set aside to meet a critical £215 million bond repayment due early 2010.

With the English Premier League currently on hold, the drama seems to have moved from the football field and into the boardroom. The Premier League’s management has increased the pressure on cash strapped Setanta, who look like being default to meet a £10 million payment on Friday as part of its existing license agreement. The Premier League have passed the ball back to Setanta by emphasizing that if the payment is not met, then the contract will be terminated. To rub a little more salt in the wound, the Premier League have announced that they will be issuing a tender to cover the group’s 46 football matches promised for season 2009/2010, stating that whilst they “would like to provide Setanta with as much time as possible to rearrange its finances” the start of the season was now less two months away and they needed to ensure that these matches would be covered.

The UK’s largest retailer, Tesco pointed out that strong growth in Asia and the US has helped them to offset a steadier rate of growth at home, whilst pointing out some tentative improvement on their UK performance compared with their previous quarter’s results.

Matalan, the discount retail chain have seen sales and profits increase as bargain-hunting British shoppers beat a path to their door.
.
A spokesman for the company announced that sales for the financial year to February 28 had risen by two percent to £1.04 billion, while profits had increased to £102 million.
As the global economic downturn, the trend for discount retailers such as Matalan to outperform the high street appears to be gaining momentum.

Yesterday was a better day on the Stock Exchange. The FTSE 100 rose, but just by a smidgeon, 2.56 points to finish on 4,328. 57, a big improvement on Monday’s free fall. The FTSE 250 continued to drop but not as much as in previous days’ trading. The day’s trading closed with the FTSE 250, down just 9.92 points on 7,483.60

Sterling rose slightly against the dollar, Euro and Swiss Franc, while losing ground slightly against the Japanese Yen.

Pound/US dollar 1.6398
Pound/Euro 1.1852
Pound/Japanese Yen 158.1283
Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7856

In the US, the Federal Reserve announced yesterday that industrial production had fallen by 1.1% in May from April, a figure which was considerably higher than had been hoped for.

On Wall Street share prices continued their fall, with signs that profit taking was the cause, rather than lack of confidence. The Dow Jones dropped 107.46 points to close on 8504.67, while the NASDAQ dropped another 20.2 points to close below the 1800 mark on 1796.18

The number of new US house starts in May rose considerably when compared to April’s record low, according to a spokesman from the Commerce Department.
Housing starts rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 532,000 units in May, up from April’s figure of 454,000, making for an increase of 17.2% on the month, while still down 45.2% from May last year.

Commodities prices were mixed on Tuesday with oil rising above $71 a barrel at one point as a weaker dollar lured investors back into the energy market after a sharp sell-off on Monday.

The European Central Bank (ECB) has issued a warning that Eurozone banks face additional losses of more than $283 billion in 2009 and 2010 as continental Europe’s severe recession continues and even intensifies, placing tremendous strains on the financial sector,.
As part of a report issued by the ECB on Monday proclaimed that the fates of the eurozone economy and its banks have become increasingly interlinked,” with banks losses expected to be focused on their loan exposures.

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Tags: BBC TV’s, Ben Bradshaw, British Economy, Digital Britain, English Premier League, Financial News, ITV, Matalan, Punch Taverns, Setanta, Tesco

Tumbling advertising revenues are leading to job cuts across the media.

As the media fragments in to niche markets, the old guard of daily national newspapers and TV channels is facing competition from smaller, leaner outfits for readers, viewers and ad revenues.

More people now rely on news services online and from their phones than traditional newspapers and magazines. The proliferation of satellite TV channels targeted at special interest groups is stealing viewers from the one-fits-all TV channels like ITV1.

Analysts have predicted a 10% decline in the TV ad market next year, after a projected fall of 5% to 6% this year. A similar recipe for disaster is brewing from print revenues.

ITV, The Telegraph and Trinity Mirror also announced cost saving measures, including job losses yesterday.

ITV has already started shedding 1,000 of the company’s 5,500 staff and has announced another £25 million savings must be found. At least 430 of the jobs will go in the firm’s ITN news division.

The company reported a 9% drop in advertising for the last quarter and fears the trend will continue in to next year.

The Telegraph told staff 50 jobs are going – mostly from production staff – by Christmas. The job losses are thought to represent a 15% saving on the group’s editorial budget.

Trinity Mirror is shedding 78 jobs in Liverpool and North Wales.

These latest announcements follow similar moves last week by the Independent and Daily Mail to reduce staffing. The Independent titles will lose 90 posts and the Daily Mail & General Trust group has taken steps to take 400 jobs off its payroll.

Rupert Murdoch has also warned jobs will go at his News International papers and Express Newspapers is making more than half of its subeditors redundant.

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