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Is this an election that nobody can really win.

May 5th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

There are those political cynics that claim that when Tony Blair stood down three years ago, he was well aware of the financial train wreck waiting his natural successor Gordon Brown around the next bend. And the same people might well now be saying that Gordon and his well known cohort Alasdair can’t wait to hand over the keys of numbers ten and eleven Downing Street to anyone who will take them

Because who ever gets the keys will also inherit a financial deficit of around £150 billion. The only way to live with, never mind reduce such a deficit, is to make yourself highly unpopular, both with the people who voted for you and against you. Political analysts now predict that whoever wins the election are looking for a comparably short term stay in power, unless some kind of unprecedented financial miracle occurs. We live in hope.

A recent survey taken over 1,400 companies, still suggests that small firms remain reluctant to go to banks requesting funding. Of the companies surveyed, it was discovered that less than twenty percent of respondents applied for new credit in February and March, with only half being successful., Sixteen percent of the companies surveyed who were holding bank loans said their cost had risen in February and March.

Operators of the South-eastern franchise, Britain’s first high-speed rail service, the Go-Ahead Group will be eligible receive a continuation of the government subsidy they have received for the next four years. The continuation has been granted due to the non-completion of expected property developments around Stratford and Ebbsfleet stations, after the group won the tender in 2005. Although Go-Ahead reported an increase in passenger traffic and turnover of eight percent in the first three months of the year, they are reporting profit growth of at least ten percent for the same period.

Recent figures released by the British Franchise Association (BFA) show that, despite the recession, the franchise industry in the UK has grown in 2009. The sector’s revenue increased by £400 million pounds to £11.8 billion in 2009, with the number of franchise systems active in the UK increasing by seven form 835 to 842 . The number of employees working for franchise based operations, according to the BFA figures fell by 2,000 during 2009 to 465,000 including both full-time and part-time workers. On average, it was reported that franchises reduced the number of full-time staff, while hiring more part-time staff in 2009.

Sales of Apple’s iPhone has helped mobile phone operator Orange return to growth with revenue increasing by almost six percent to €1.3 billion since it began selling the smart phone device last November. Orange, the first UK operator to break Apple’s exclusivity deal with O2, have reported that in the last six month sit has won 220,000 new contract customers the company, owned by France Telecom has begun an integration process with T-Mobile which will make them the biggest mobile phone operator in the UK.

Arts and craft retailer HobbyCraft announce the sale of the company private equity firm Bridgepoint in a management buyout for a figure in excess of £100 million, stating that intense competition among other interested parties pushed up the price from its initial level of £75 million with profits forecasted to have increased for the recently completed financial year HobbyCraft’s most recent accounts show a 42 percent increase in earnings to £7.5 million for the year ending February 2009. Bridgepoint’s plans for HobbyCraft are to open up to an additional 100 stores over the next five years.

Shares in High Street banking giant Barclays have fallen 6.4% despite a considerable increase in pre-tax profits for the first three months of 2010.

Barclays announced profits for the first quarter of £1.82 billion, up 47% on the same period of last year. Most of the profits came from their investment banking arm Barclays Capital, although analysts expected that the division would earn more. On the news before the weekend, Barclays earned the dubious award of being the biggest faller on the FTSE 100 index, down 23 pence to 338 pence.

Uncertainty regarding the Euro pushed Sterling up against the dollar while the Euro fell again. The pound closed on $1.5309 and €1.509

On the FTSE, stocks plunged at the fasted rate for one day for five months after the economies of both Greece and Portugal were downgraded spurring concern that these heavily in debt European nations are moving closer to default. The index sank 200 points to 5,553. 29, its biggest drop for six months

The US economy grew at an annualised rate of 3.2% in the first three months of the year, down from the previous quarter. The reason for the slower growth was attributed to reduced government spending and a fall in exports. According to figures issues by the Commerce Department economy grew at a rate of 5.6% in the final quarter of 2009, with the continued recovery in the economy founded on strong personal consumption.

Before the weekend, shares on Wall Street made a minor recovery after falling sharply on Thursday. The Dow Jones closed up seventeen points to 11008.61 while NASDAQ fell 10 points to 2461.47.

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou has warned the country to be prepared for a new round of austerity measures. The news comes as the European Union (EU) meet to trash out details of an emergency plan to help tackle Greece’s crippling debt.

The findings of the negotiations between Greece, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the EU were expected to be announced on Sunday, with a . new series of cuts and tax rises expected to be demanded of Greece.

The Greek government have pressed to have the loan deal completed by the 19th May to avoid a devastating debt default. Eurozone members and the IMF have agreed a €110 billion (£95 billion) three-year bail-out package to rescue Greece’s embattled economy. The EU will provide €80 billion in funding with the rest will come from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Before the funds can be released, the loan must first be approved by each of the fifteen 15 Eurozone members.

Official figures relating to the Spain’s unemployment rate show that there are 4.6 million people out of work in the country at the end of March, taking the unemployment levels in the country to 20% for the first time since 1997,

Spain’s jobless rate is the highest in the Eurozone. With the European Union (EU) figures showed that the eurozone unemployment rate remained unchanged at a 10% level in March

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UK limps out of the recession.

January 28th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, World Banks

financial news

Figures released yesterday confirmed that the UK economy grew by 0.1% in the last quarter of 2009, meaning that the recession is finally over, but later and which much less impact than the US or the Eurozone economies. Britain’s economy had been in recession for eighteen months, the longest period since quarterly figures were first recorded in 1955.

The news was widely anticipated with signs such as last week’s UK unemployment figures that fell for the first time in 18 months.

Analysts now predict that no matter which party wins this year’s election when it happens, the loser will be the pound/ Reasons given are that neither David Cameron or Gordon Brown will be able to muster sufficient support in parliament to control the UK’s budget deficit, which is the largest in the in the Group of 20.

Strategists have pruned back their forecasts on the sterling versus dollar pair by as much as 2 percent this month, to the lowest level since June 2009, with Sterling liable to be weighed down by possibility of the first parliamentary stalemate in more than a generation and growth levels that lag far behind Britain’s rival industrialized economies. Add that to a fiscal shortfall that has ballooned to almost 13 percent of gross domestic product and the picture for the pound looks less than rosy.

Previous precedents do not bode well for the pound, as when the last time a U.K. election failed to produce a clear winner in 1974, Sterling fell in value by 28 percent in the next two years, with the government’s failure to fund its deficit leading to the International Monetary Fund stepping in to bail-out the economy.

The UK’s so-called ‘Big Six’ group of energy suppliers is on course for a profits windfall due to the extremely cold weather conditions experienced in the UK during December and early January. Consumers were forced to turn up their thermostats when the country experienced the coldest weather conditions for decades with the daily demand for gas hitting an all-time high on Jan. 7th of 454 million cubic meters. Analysts predict that accumulative profits for the big six (Centrica, EDF, E.ON, Scottish and Southern Energy, ScottishPower and RWE npower) could easily reach an additional £100 million for the period.

The Chelsea and Yorkshire building societies are expected to finalise details of a merger this week. Doing so will mean the creation of the second biggest society in Britain, after the Nationwide. Yorkshire Building Society members are liable to give their thumbs up for the merger, following the lead of the Chelsea Building Society who gave their support to the deal on Friday. A successful deal would mean the consolidated company would have combined assets of £35 billion pounds, around three million members and 180 branch offices around the UK.

On the news that Barclays plans to defer bonuses for top executives including Chief Executive Officer John Varley for up to three years, stock in the company 4.1 percent, to 271.35 pence.

Pilots at British Airways pilots have been warned by the labor unions representing the cabin crews not to become strike breakers if an employment dispute leads to a work stoppage. News that caused BA’s stock to decline 0.8 percent, to 207.9 pence.

Prudential Plc, the U.K.’s largest insurer have announced plans to cut back expansion in developed markets to focus on growth in developing Asian countries, such as Malaysia, Vietnam and Indonesia. Shares in Prudential shares dropped 0.4 percent to 605.5 pence.

Sterling rose slightly against the dollar and the Europe in early week trading. The pound closed at 1.6144 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.146

Shares in the FTSE 100 took a minor downturn, despite the news that the recession was over in the UK. It closed on Tuesday down 26 points to 5,276.85.

A calmer mood prevailed in markets on Monday and Tuesday after a three day downturn that knocked 5 per cent of its values. Reports coming out of Washington over the weekend suggesting that Ben Bernanke looks like being reappointed chairman of the Federal Reserve for another four-year term settled the markets which had closed at fresh a 15-month high as recently as last Tuesday.

The Dow Jones rose by 84 points, to close at 10255.28, while the NASDAQ recovered 14 points, to finish at 2210.53.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) sales of previously-owned US homes fell 16.7% in December, after having risen in the three months from September to November as first-time buyers took advantage of tax credits. However the decline in December came as no surprise as most buyers had rushed to complete deals before the original 30 November deadline. The first-time buyer tax credit has since been extended until 30 April, causing the NAR to predict that there was likely to be another surge in sales in the spring. December sales fell to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.45 million from 6.54 million in November, 15% higher than in the comparable period in December 2008.

Computer giant Apple have announced a 50% increase in profits after seeing a bumper Christmas period, with sales of iPhones doubled from a year ago.

Net income rose to $3.38 billion (£2.08 billion) in the three months to 26 December, from the $2.26 billion in the same period in 2008. A spokesman for Apple announced that they had succeeded in selling 8.7 million iPhones in the quarter. Sales of Macs also rose 33%, although iPod sales fell by 8%.

General Motors (GM) has confirmed that Saab is to be eventually acquired by Dutch luxury carmaker Spyker.

GM has been trying to sell Sweden’s Saab since January 2009 although recently they announced that they would begin the procedure of winding down the company while still continuing their search to find a buyer.

Wind-down activities have now been suspended, "pending the close of the transaction".

Saab lost £255 million in 2008, and has not made a profit since 2001.

In the commodities market, gold took advantage of the relative stability in the dollar, to rise to $1,097 an ounce. Oil also rose by 0.5 percent to $74.92 a barrel.

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Lloyds to lay off another 5,000

November 11th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Lloyds Banking Group is to cut 5,000 more jobs by the end of next year as it continues to reduce overlap following its merger with HBOS last year.

While almost half of these posts are among staff, 2,600 permanent jobs would be lost. The union Unite accused the bank of "corporate arrogance" and short-termism following the announcement, which will mean that Lloyds will have cut 15,000 jobs this year.

Japan’s second- largest carmaker Honda Motor Co have announced that they will be widening job cuts at its UK factory in Swindon, due to a major fall in demand in Europe as the end of government stimulus programs draws close.

According to a company spokesman, Honda plans to expand their voluntary early retirement plan, which succeeded in reducing the number of workers at the factory by 1,300 last December, although the spokesman declined to say how many additional jobs would be cut. The plant, which builds the CR-V and Civic models for the European market, saw production plunge by 75 percent to 400,000 units in the year until end September 2009.

A rapid recovery in UK commercial property values conditions could see the sector turn positive this year. The recovery comes after the deepest slump on record that looks like leading to an almost boom like situation according to forecasts. Real estate values are set to overturn most of the losses suffered in the first half as booming investor demand has taken prices back to near peak levels in some sectors.

As was widely expected, Cadbury have rejected the formal bid from Kraft on Monday, going as far as to describe the US food group’s offer as “derisory”. Roger Carr, Cadbury’s chairman, declared the formal offer “worse than the proposal the board has previously rejected” as it made no attempt to improve the terms of its original offer of two months ago. In the meantime Kraft’s share price has fallen steadily since their offer in early September, reducing the value of the bid from 745 pence a share to 717. Cadbury’s shares closed up 3 pence to 761 on the FTSE, while Kraft’s shares fell 31 cents in New York in midday trading to $26.47. However, Kraft have not rules out making an increased offer during the formal takeover offer period, which could last up to three months as analysts predict that the company may wait until towards the end of the offer period before making a final offer.

Company management at Sainsburys will be feeling the pressure as recent figures show that the supermarket group sales were expanding at the lowest rate of the UKs "big four " supermarkets. Sainsbury’s sales were shown to have risen by 4.7 percent in the 12 weeks to October 31, making for the lowest turnover expansion, less than the 5.6 percent recorded by Tesco, with Asda and Morrisons leading the way.

Unofficial reports have it that Orange UK sold more than 30,000 iPhones on launch day. Orange is the second carrier to offer the iPhone in the UK behind O2, while Vodafone has announced plans to begin offering the handset early in 2010, as well as the iPhone, Orange UK have also launched a so-called business homescreen for the soon to be launched Samsung Omnia Pro B7330. The Omnia Pro is reputed to be a smartphone based on a different concept from the iPhone, featuring Windows Mobile 6.5 and a full QWERTY keypad. Orange’s new homescreen provide quick access to email, voicemail, contacts, calendar and so on, “ensuring vital business applications are right at their employees’ finger tips”. The Samsung Omnia Pro B7330 will be soon available through Orange, coming as the carrier’s first “business WM6.5 device,” targeted at medium and large business customers.

For more information about The Samsung Omnia Pro B7330 Visit Compare-Mobile.co.uk

Sterling lost ground on Tuesday after a ratings agency said the UK was the major economy most at risk of losing its AAA credit rating , Since then the pound has weakened in value over the last two days against all the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6719
  • Pound/Euro 1.1161
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.468
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6852

The FTSE 100 has rallied strongly since the beginning of the week up 86 points to 5,230.55. The FTSE 250 also rose 38.3 points to 9,120.96. London equities principally made progress on Monday, largely thanks to strong trading in insurance stocks.

As US carmaker General Motors (GM) were seen to be making efforts to calm the waves after their surprise decision last week to retain ownership of their European plants, a spokesman for the company has forecast that Opel and Vauxhall will retain consider independence as well as receiving considerable financial support . The US carmaker has announced that that they will provide a “reasonable and sizeable” portion of the restructuring costs for Opel and Vauxhall, rather than seek 100 percent government aid. GM have forecast that they will need €3 billion ($4.5 billion) to restructure the Opel and Vauxhall operations and intend to raise at least partial funding from interested European governments.

The Dow Jones has made some major steps forward since the weekend, up 243 points to 10246.97, closing at the highest level since October 2008.

The NASDAQ also jumped, reaching 2151.08.

US software company Adobe Systems has announced that it is to cut almost 10% of its workforce, a total of 680 jobs. Adobe Systems best known for Photoshop, Flash and Acrobat, said the cuts were necessary to cut costs.

Gold extended its record-breaking run above the $1,100 mark on Monday while crude oil raised more than $2 a barrel as markets made a strong start to the new trading week. Gold hit a record at $1,110.85 a troy ounce, a rise of 26.5 per cent this year, before easing back to $1,107.00, up 1.1 per cent on the day as analysts digested the implications of India’s decision last week to buy half of the gold the International Monetary Fund has put up for sale.

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Pension funds on the road to recovery.

October 29th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Pensions, Recession, Retail, Saving, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment

financial news

Pension funds in the western world have made am almost one trillion pound ($1.5 trillion) recovery in the first half of 2009. Whilst commendable, this figure represents less than a third of what these funds have lost in market value last year. These figures were released by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) who have been tracking the progress of pension funds since the outset of the global economic turndown. According to the OECD who is based in Paris, the recovery in pension fund performance has continued through September 30, 2009, on the back of strong equity returns. However it will take some time before the losses that occurred during 2008 are fully recouped. Most pension funds staged a partial recovery in the first half of 2009, generating investment returns of 3.5 percent in nominal terms. Membership of OECD is made up from mostly financially developed industrialized economies

The cost of car insurance appears to be dramatically on the rise, according to a recent survey from the Automobile Association (AA) in the third quarter of 2009, insuring a car rose at its fastest pace in 15 years, driven by a spate of rising personal injury claims and exacerbated by fraud. Statistics issued by the AA show that the average quoted premium for comprehensive motor cover rose 5.6 percent to £821 pounds during the three months to September 30, and by 14 percent from 2008.

As news filters through to the market that Virgin Money has applied for a banking license through the FSA (Financial Services Authority) it now appears more than likely that Virgin Money will make an offer for part or all of the Northern Rock business, with many analysts claiming that an informal agreement has already been struck with the UK government, and all that is required is tie up a few loose ends before the deal can be officially announced. Speculation in banking circles point to the fact that the UK government will need to request a high asking price for Northern Rock. Any sale at a "knock down" price is bound to infuriate taxpayers whose money was used to keep the Rock from sinking. On the other hand, Branson’s company is not liable to pay an inflated price for the bank. This could lead to an impasse that could see the operation stay with the UK government for the foreseeable future. Analysts state that selling Northern Rock would be in the best interests of both the government and UK taxpayers, but only in the medium to longer term. With an election looming, questions remain whether Gordon Brown’s government could allow themselves such a luxury.

Discount retailer, Matalan is reputed to be weighing up a £1.5 billion offer, after a number of companies expressed their interest in acquiring the business which remains privately owned. Among the parties interested are private equity group CVC. Matalan were taken private by John Hargreaves, their founder and controlling more than three years ago with indications having it that Hargreaves is neither interested in entering into an auction to sell his company or at any price.

The employee owned department store chain John Lewis, has seen online sales of its clothing range, take tremendous steps forwards since the company re- launched their updated website last month. With the launch came the release of a wide range of new fashion brands exclusive to the company. A leading executive from John Lewis Direct announced the company’s satisfaction with results achieved till now, that far surpassed their predictions. In general, sales of clothing online from the company were about three times higher than last year.

Mobile phone company Orange are due to begin marketing the iPhone to UK customers in Early November, a move that is bound to mark strong competition with O2 as the Xmas run up gets under way. Orange’s announcement last month that it had become the first UK network breaks O2’s exclusive hold on marketing the iPhone device, caused shock waves in the industry. The iPhone is expected to be launched by Orange on 10 November, just one day after O2’s two-year exclusive contract with Apple ends. Carphone Warehouse, which was the only independent retailer able to stock the iPhone when O2 had it to itself, is also expected to sell the phone on behalf of Orange. The iPhone is seen as the best touchscreen phone in the market, and has won a clutch of industry awards.

In the money markets, Sterling was back on a rise against the leading currencies with the notable exception of the Swiss franc.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6322
  • Pound/Euro 1.10979
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 150.2587
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6629

The FTSE 100 suffered a late reaction to the news that the UK economy was still in recession, falling 50.83 points to close on 5191.74 on Monday. The FTSE 250 was also down by 137.55 points to 9186.10.

The world’s largest construction equipment maker Caterpillar, has announced their intention to permanently cut 2,500 jobs in the US. The news was a contradiction to predictions that economic recovery was on its way for the construction industry in general and Caterpillar in particular, with the company undertaking to reinstate 550 workers that they had previously laid off. During the downturn, Caterpillar has cut about 34,000 jobs globally.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones also continued to decline, down a further 104.22 points to 9867.96. At the same time, the NASDAQ Composite index appeared to be on a never ending but steady decline, yesterday down a further 12.62 points to close on 2141.85

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UK economy continues to shrink.

September 30th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment

financial news

The UK economy has contracted at a reduced rate for the April to June quarter. Gross domestic product (GDP) was reported to have fallen by 0.6% compared with the previous quarter, an improvement on the previous estimate of a 0.7% contraction. The latest improvement, coming mostly from the manufacturing and construction sectors, suggests that the UK is in recovery mode, and may even have grown in the third quarter.

Union leaders have accused Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) bosses of "taking another trip to Fantasy Island" over promises that there would be no job losses when a West Midlands plant is closed. Dave Osborne, national secretary for the UK car industry for Unite the union, launched a ferocious attack on JLR’s plans to close either Land Rover at Solihull or Jaguar at Castle Bromwich. Meanwhile, politicians in Coventry have reacted with surprise and sadness at Jaguar’s decision to close its wood veneer manufacturing centre at its Browns Lane plant, employing close to 400 people, within the next two years. In a recent interview, a JLR executive pledged that no job losses would come from the plant closure. However Osborne remained skeptical vowing that unions would not accept attacks on pensions nor reduced salary levels for new recruits

The word is that high street giant Marks & Spencer could have better news for investors after a difficult 18 months in second-quarter trading figures due out this week. After a 40% fall in annual profits shareholders had been hit by the first M&S dividend cut in nine years. However, recently chief executive Sir Stuart Rose has indicated that business had been steadily improving. First-quarter sales figures showed a further decline but were better than expected, causing M&S shares to increase in value by almost 25% since the end of May. At the time of the results, Sir Stuart warned that margins would shrink by up to 1.75% in the current year as the firm invested in price cuts and as a weaker pound harmed purchasing power.

Orange rated the UK’s third largest mobile operator in terms of subscribers, has pulled off a coup by signing a deal with Apple to market its popular iPhone in Britain. The deal, represents a significant setback for O2, currently the largest mobile operator in the country, who had held the exclusive British network for the iPhone. Orange is expected to start selling the iPhone in October, in time for the Christmas sales period.

The world’s leading supplier of heating and plumbing products Wolseley, have issued a warning of more job cuts, stating that it was impossible to predict when the difficult trading conditions might end. Wolseley have had to take drastic action to cope with the recession, among them reducing staff by 28,073, representing almost one third of their workforce. The company also initiated a £1 billion rights issue earlier this year as well as spinning its US building materials business, Stock Building Supply, into a joint venture.

London equities moved a little lower by the close after US markets slipped backwards following disappointing consumer confidence data. Financial stocks kept the FTSE 100 anchored over the 5,100-point mark. On yesterday’s trading, the FTSE 100 held firm, dropping just 5.98 points to close on 5,159.72, while the FTSE 250 continued to rise, up a further 46.17 points to 9,215.57

The pound made a recovery yesterday against the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.5928
  • Pound/Euro 1.10939
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 143.6783
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6531

The Dow Jones Industrial Average made a minor downwards adjustment dropping 6.8 points to close on 9,782.56. The NASDAQ remained stable, dropping just 1.13 points to 2129.61.

An unexpected fall in US consumer confidence for September, suggests that Americans are not as convinced that the economic recovery is as close as US policymakers would have them believe. The Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board business organisation slipped to 53.1 in September from 54.5 in August.

Meanwhile Japan’s core consumer prices dropped for the fourth successive month, 2.4% in August year-on-year, largely due to lower petrol and other energy costs as well as weak domestic demand.

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