Subscribe Feed (RSS)Will we? Won’t we? Conflicting predictions about the end of the recession.
October 7th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Gold, Loans, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks
A leading and influential economic group has predicted that the UK economy did not grow in the third quarter of the year. Contrary to expectations as well as many other financial analysts’ forecasts, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) have suggested that gross domestic product (GDP) remained unchanged from July to September 2009. The majority of UK economists have predicted there would be growth in the three-month period, which would end the UK recession, while the NIESR stated that the reason why the UK economy’s failed to register any growth during the quarter was due to weak industrial production in August, especially in the oil industry. The official GDP figures for the third quarter are due to be released on 23 October.
According to market sources, the number of banks who are now prepared to lend for real estate investment has almost doubled over the past six months largely due to improvements and confidence as well as favourable funding conditions.
There are now more than twenty banking bodies reportedly prepared to lend more than £20 million at a time for real estate investments, while there are at least six banks willing to finance property deals of over £100 million. Apparently German banks continue to dominate the real estate investment funding sector, having ample access to funding whilst enjoying the benefits from devalued sterling. The growing numbers of lenders continue to indicate that the property market was opening up to increased activity after reaching a low point in the first half of 2009.
In a fairly drastic cost cutting move, British Airways (BA) have announced their plans to cut 1,700 jobs as well as plans to introduce a two-year pay freeze for cabin crew BA posted heavy losses for their 2008/2009 financial year and forecasts for 2009/2010 predict that their loss making will continue as global airlines continue to struggle. On the announcement, BA stock climbed 3.2 percent to 217 pence. Meanwhile stocks in Europe’s second largest discount airline EasyJet Plc, climbed by 2.4 percent, to 378.9 pence, as the company prepared to report their September passenger statistics.
The makers of Imperial Leather soap and Carex hand wash PZ Cussons announced that they were “cautiously optimistic” on its 2010 outlook as reported strong trading over the past three months. The company said turnover was in line with forecasts for the third quarter and that profits had increased in comparison with the corresponding period of last year.
London equity markets were stronger on Tuesday, despite some late caution as investors awaited details of US earnings season and the surprise announcement from Australia that they will be raising their interest rates
The FTSE 100 rose by 2.26 percent on yesterday’s trading, or 113.65 points to close on 5137.98. The FTSE 250 also continued to move steadily upwards, soaring 218.70 points to finish back over the 9,000 hurdle at 9201.23.
The pound seems to have a permanent stance below $1.60 mark, whilst remaining weak against the rest of the principal currencies.
- Pound/US dollar 1.5898
- Pound/Euro 1.10812
- Pound/Japanese Yen 141.2395
- Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6351
The Dow Jones index continued to recover from last week’s setbacks, rising yesterday by 131.5 points at 9,731.25. The NASDAQ index also followed suit jumping 35.42 points to finish on 2,103.57.
Australia became the first of the World’s leading industrialised nations n to raise interest rates, with its central bank increasing the official cash rate from 3 to 3.25 per cent. Glenn Stevens, governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, said economic conditions in Australia had been “stronger than expected”, while measures of confidence had recovered allowing the country to rates from their 49-year low “emergency” rate.
The price of gold has hit a new all-time high of $1,043.77 an ounce after a decline in the dollar boosted the attractiveness of metals to investors. According to analysts, continuing concerns of higher inflation in the US as its economy recovers was an increased factor in lowering the price of the dollar, further boosting the price of gold
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