It seems such a short time ago that people who invested all of their money in the stock market were regarded as being "risqué," and those who kept their money in the bank in short and long term deposit accounts were described as being "sensible". Well that role has certainly been reversed over the last crazy year or so, when the financial world turned upside down for so many.

Nowadays people who still have money on deposit at the bank are regarded as being some form of masochists, and no less than the banks themselves. With interest rates seemingly stuck forever on 0.5%, money left in a bank account is not only gathering dust, it is also paying for the privilege. On the other hand, the FTSE can almost do no wrong. And it has been that way for more than half a year, when the first indications that the global economic downturn might not last forever began to look evident. Sufficient to say that, the FTSE 100 rose by 21% in the third quarter of 2009, and 45% since March the highest percentage rises since the exchange was created in 1983. At current interest levels, investors would have to leave their money in the bank for around 7 years to earn that kind of return on their investment.

Leading economists argue that by trying to jump start the economy, the UK government has damaged national growth for the foreseeable future, with the only way that the situation can be reversed is to put an end to the stimulus passage and increase interest rates. They go on to suggest that as soon as the government does increase interest rates, only then will the stock market boom begin to fizzle out. That will be the time for the smart investor to release their equity exposure and return most if not all their capital to their bank account and earn some reasonable interest. Like the good old days.

financial

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Tags: Bank Account, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Currency, Economic Downturn, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Global Credit Crisis, Interest Rates, Investment, Money, Money Management, Recession, Savings, stimulus passage, stock market, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession

It was a day for financial contemplation on Tuesday as the first anniversary of Lehman Brothers filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the early hours of 15 September 2008 was marked, not quite by a minute’s silence but by many hours of contemplation of who the World’s financial systems almost went into meltdown.

Following the collapse of Lehman Brothers, once the fourth-largest US investment bank, the knock on effect caused meant that governments around the world had to pump trillions into their financial systems. The previously unimagined bank bail-outs, central bank actions and huge stimulus plans to save their biggest banks followed. Moves that are estimated to have cost every citizen of the developed world around $10,000 each..

On the day, Paul Myners, the minister who job it is to oversee London’s financial district, announced that he remains “very confident” that the UK’s multibillion-pound bailout of its troubled lenders will result in a profit for the country.

Last year the U.K. orchestrated a rescue package for banks including Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and Lloyds Banking Group Plc. In the April annual budget the government submitted to Parliament it estimated that the bailout may cost taxpayers £50 billion

When asked to give his impressions when investments in the UK banking system would result in profit for members of the U.K. public, Myners replied by assessing that it will take “much less” time than a decade, and when it came it would add up to a “a nice little nest egg for the British taxpayer.”

Speaking of nest eggs or was it Easter eggs, Cadbury’s chief executive Todd Stitzer is due to be in the hot seat today, when he faces a group of the company’s’ top level investors since Kraft’s £10.2 billion unsolicited takeover proposal was rejected by the company. Stitzer as well as Andrew Bonfield, Cadbury’s chief financial officer are expected to be asked to outline the confectionery group’s long-term growth plans. The address was scheduled before Kraft approached Cadbury late last month.

UK oil and gas explorer, BG Group have announced another oil and gas discovery in a giant field off the coast of Brazil on Monday, making it the second in less than a week.

BG said further work was needed to evaluate the results before any concrete announcement can be made.

Hopes of a swift economic rebound and warned households and businesses of a “slow and protracted” recovery, according to Mervyn King, Bank of England governor.

King’s comments led to a sharp reassessment in financial markets of the likelihood and timing of any rise in interest rates.

The pound has taken a beating in the last few days, falling against all the major currencies for the last three months.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6477
• Pound/Euro 1.122
• Pound/Japanese Yen 148.8052
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7034

The FTSE 100 continued its upswing rising 60.31 points to finish on 5.102.44 while the FTSE 250 rose on Tuesday by 87.24 points to 9251.84/

The US recession is probably over but the economy will remain weak for some time due to unemployment, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has said.

But he added that the economy would still feel "very weak" to Americans concerned about job security.

A year after Lehman Brothers collapsed, a think tank has warned the lessons of the crisis have not been learned.

The Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) says the rapid return to the City’s bonus culture shows that real reform has been "very limited".

The warnings echoed a speech by US President Barack Obama, who warned of complacency in the banking sector.

Despite President Obama’s and Bernanke’s comments , stocks on Wall Street rose on the day’s trading. The Dow Jones rose by 56.61 points to 9683.41, while the NASDAQ rose by 10.86 points to 2102.64.

Japan Airlines (JAL) plans to cut 6,800 jobs, as an airline trade body upped its projected losses for the global industry this year.

Media reports have said several US and European airlines are in the running to take a stake in the loss-making carrier.

The airline had already launched a programme of job cuts, plans for fuel-efficiency and a focus on business customers.

Reports this week have suggested that Delta Airlines and American Airlines are in talks to invest in JAL to expand into Asia via code-sharing agreements.

financial

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Tags: Andrew Bonfield, Bank of England, Banking, bankruptcy, Barack Obama, Ben Bernanke, BG Group, British Economy, British Pound, Budget, Cadbury, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, Employment, Financial News, FTSE, Gordon Brown, Institute for Public Policy Research, Investment, IPPR, JAL, Japan Airlines, Kraft, Lehman Brothers, Lloyds, Mervyn King, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Paul Myners, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Stitzer, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US President

The news released on Friday that the U.K. economy had contracted less than was previously estimated in the second quarter raised a few eyebrows. Recoveries in the manufacturing, auto services industries as well as increased and government spending helped mitigate the biggest slump in business investment for close to a quarter of a century.

In truth, the Gross domestic product still fell, but by less than 0.7 percent, which was 0.1 percent less than estimated, according to a review issued by the Office for National Statistics. The review also stated that the economy had shrunk by 5.5 percent for the twelve month period, the highest since records began in 1955.

It was also revealed on Friday that UK business investment has fallen by more than ten percent in the second quarter of 2009, and by 18 percent annually, which again is the largest fall in its category since 1966. Both of these less than inspiring sets of statistics are playing a major part in forcing the pound down to its lowest level for the last two months.

The Icelandic parliament has voted in favour of compensating the governments of the UK and the Netherlands more than £3 billion for those who lost money in the Icelandic online bank Icesave

The so-called Icesave bill will reimburse funds paid by the governments to compensate the 400,000 savers who lost their savings when its owner Landsbanki collapsed last year.

The bill has not met with a lot of enthusiasm by the Icelandic people, who fear that their government’s unprecedented attack of conscience might bankrupt their nation.

The deal, agreed way back in June, t was only passed after an amendment was agreed that set various limits to the payments.

Rises in mining and financial stocks helped push the FTSE 100 to its second successive monthly gain. Among the day’s most prominent risers was Lloyds Banking Group up 6.3 per cent to 111 pence. The continuing possibility that the bank will increase its share capital, by reducing its exposure to the government’s Asset Protection Scheme has pushed shares in the bank up by close to 10 percent this week.

Shares in InterContinental Hotels rose 0.5 per cent to 764 pence, driven by reports that an Emirates investment group was interested in its small portfolio of luxury hotels.

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Tags: Asset Protection Scheme, Banking, British Economy, Credit Crunch, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Global Credit Crisis, Icesave, Investment, Landsbanki, Lloyds Banking Group, Money Management, Money Markets, Office for National Statistics, Recession, Stock Markets, UK Banks, UK business, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession

Signs that the UKs hard hit investment banks are springing slowly back to life comes with the news that new job openings in July were at their highest for the year and the impetus is expected to continue if not increase in the autumn.

According to recent data, the number of job listings in June and July across London’s financial sector was almost double of that in December 2008 with an August looking to be even stronger.

The strong half-year results from most of the major UK banks show a dynamic upward trend, especially in investment banks, which at the peak of the financial crisis cut their staff back to the bone.

Another item of positive news from that banking sector is that the Lloyds Banking Group is to place their decision to close its 164-strong Cheltenham & Gloucester branch network on hold for the time being. Less than three months after announcing their decision, partially state owned Lloyds, are to take a second look at their decision, and while the situation is under review, the branches will remain operational after their planned closure date of November. Lloyd’s sudden change of heart is believed to be connected to its recent request for state aid approval from the European Commission.

Shares in John Menzies rose more than 24 per cent on Wednesday after demand for air travel and new contracts for newspaper delivery boosted underlying profits at their aviation services and news distribution division.

Meanwhile Menzies’ news distribution division, responsible for more than two thirds of the company’s total turnover, announced a 2 per cent reduction in sales to £573 million.

In the first half to June 30, Menzies negotiated new contracts with all the leading newspaper and magazine publishers, and is now serving an extra 3,000 retail outlets.

One of the largest and well known UK camera retailers, Jessops, who have been experiencing financial difficulties for some time now, have announced that they are close to closing a rescue deal with their bankers.

In spite of falling sales, Jessops, who operate 211 stores across the UK and Ireland, announced their intention to defer the end of their financial year to November, hopefully to allow the company sufficient time to reach an agreement with HSBC on restructuring its £60 million debt facility.

A spokesman for Jessops announced that sales had been weak for the summer months, down 4.7 per cent in the 12 weeks to August 16, on top of the expectations that the company would make a pre-tax loss before non-recurring charges for the year, following its £49.8 million pre-tax loss in the year to September 2008.

Britain’s largest bus and train operator FirstGroup, who also own and operate the Greyhound coach brand in the US, announced that the famous Greyhound buses will soon be seen on UK street, The company plans to start a bus route, running from London Victoria to Portsmouth and Southampton . .

The buses will be equipped with all the comforts that a passenger could ask for, including free Wi-Fi, power sockets for each passenger, air conditioning, complimentary newspapers and leather seats. To add a bit of character, each Greyhound bus will be named after character featured in US classic pop music, with of the names brought to mind including Peggy Sue, Billy Jean and Barbara Ann.

FirstGroup, who acquired the Laidlaw company, Greyhound’s parent company in a £1.9 billion deal in 2007, intend to provide strong opposition to their competitors through providing greater comfort and improved service at low cost. Each Greyhound coach will have a maximum of 40 seats compared with the usual 50. Customers will be able to reserve their seats over the internet.

The FTSE 100 was in good shape yesterday rising 66.91 points to close on 4,756.58. On the way back is the FTSE 250 jumping by 1.92% or 161.11 points to close on 8,531.36 at the end of the days trading.

It has been revealed that Bank of England governor Mervyn King intended to inject even more billions into the UK economy in August, but his move was vetoed by his colleagues on the monetary policy committee. The news has unnerved markets, sending the pound lower and gilt yields down. King apparently had intended to increase the central bank’s “quantitative easing” programme of injecting cash into the banking system by £75 billion to a total of £200 billion.

The pound remained fairly stable, apart from falling heavily against the Swiss Franc.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6507
• Pound/Euro 1.1582
• Pound/Japanese Yen 155.3327
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.755

In the six months to April US banks have begun to reduce consumer access to revolving loans including credit cards and home equity lines of credit for about 20% of borrowers, according to a recent study. The study shows that banks in America are becoming increasingly aggressive in cutting their lines of credit to US consumers, with the average decrease to a consumer’s credit line averaging $5,100, more than double the $2,200 average reduction in the six months to October 2008

Seemingly unaffected was the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which continued its steady recovery, up a further 45.19 points to close on 9324.35. The NASDAQ also continued to show improvement, up 14.39 points to close on 1983.63

The sudden surge in the price of oil following data showing a huge drop in crude supplies last week was what pulled US stocks out of their early week slump

US natural gas prices sank to a seven-year low on Thursday amid concerns about a possible supply glut as winter looms in the offing.

Demand for natural gas has been weak, particularly from the industrial sector. US producers have cut the number of rigs drilling for new gas by more than half since September 2008 although stocks continue to rise due to output from existing facilities.

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Tags: Bank of England, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Cheltenham & Gloucester, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, European Commission, Financial News, FirstGroup, FTSE, Greyhound buses, HSBC, Investment, investment banks, Jessops, John Menzies, Lloyds, Mervyn King, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Recession, Stock Markets, UK Banks, US Banks

Warren Buffett, the legendary investor has recently publically stated his stance that we are now GO for buying US equities. This seems like good news…right? Well…this is a very unusually move for Buffett. Let me explain. The oracle of Omaha is traditionally very secretive of his buying and the timing of these purchases. In recent years, he has become extremely well known in investment circles and this is really the first large market slump on which he has been able to bring his considerable market influence to bear. Could something else be in the mix here that we aren’t aware of? Why would Buffett make such an announcement if he really is buying? I mean, his hundreds of thousands of fans are probably right this minute emptying every cash account they have and are loading up on stocks. But if Buffett is buying, then it’s the first bear market in history where he is on the record as making such a declaration of confidence, and this makes sense from his point of view.

If he really is buying, it’s a pretty stupid mistake to signal to the billions of dollars sitting on the sidelines that this is a great time to buy, because inevitably, his fans will buy and that will mean Buffett has to pay more for any stocks he wants to get his hands on. This doesn’t sound like the action of a world class investor….to show his hand to the street. No, this smells all wrong…while Buffett may be buying, he’s getting terms on his deals that aren’t available to ordinary investors, so be careful not to fall for the hype on this one. If it really was a great time to buy…Buffet would do as he usually does…he’d buy in dead silence and say not a word to the world. This looks and smells like a bear market trap, set up by the greatest investor of all time.

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Tags: Investment, Investor's Business Daily, Stocks and shares, US Equities, Warren Buffett

My heart really does go out to anyone who is about to retire at this time. What a horrible position they are in. Not only has the value of their investment pool lost about 40% of its value over the last year, if it’s been invested in equities, but interest rates are forecast to come down even further, hurting their annuity payments if they have a private pension plan. But that’s really only the start…the real pain could yet lie ahead.

Since it is expensive to protect against a high level of inflation in an annuity, the retiree faces a difficult choice. Do I take the maximum income now from my annuity now and hope that inflation comes down as the government and industry say it will, or do I plan for inflation to creep up faster and faster as I draw the income from my annuity? This is such a tough choice at even the best of times since the variables are unknown, but the current economic situation makes this balancing act even tougher.

For those who do not wish to make this choice right now with so much financial uncertainty, the current rules many force them into the decision. If you are approaching your 75th birthday and have yet to vest a pension pot, the law as it stands today says you must do it before your birthday. This forces otherwise prudent savers into taking these decisions at exactly the worst time. So not only must they take the decision, they have no idea if the government’s huge spending plans will ramp up inflation after the commodity and GDP growth cooling period has ended and the prevailing force in the inflationary world becomes the money supply, which is currently being expanded massively.

Thank heavens I’m only 38…because I would have no idea which way to turn if this type of decision was forced onto me…and I’m a highly qualified pension’s adviser!

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Tags: Current Economic Situation, Government, Interest Rates, Investment, Pension, Private Pension