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Fears of the Greek malady spreading to the UK grow

May 1st, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Financial analysts fear that Britain could be among the countries that could follow Greece into a financial crisis. The uncertainty comes after Dominique Strauss-Kahn’s head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned of economic "contagion" spreading across Europe.

The IMF urged politicians to finalise a bail-out for the debt-laden Mediterranean country, saying that every day lost in resolving the problems risked spreading the impact "far away".

Strauss-Kahn’s comments came amid growing evidence of Europe’s mounting fiscal problems after Spain’s debt was downgraded following in the footsteps of Portugal as well as Greece.

Late Thursday Germany was holding out for more economic reforms from Greece before agreeing to an unprecedented multi-billion euro bail-out plan.

UK house prices increased by 1% month-on-month in April, according to the latest house price index.

Property experts pointed out that April’s figures did receive an additional boost from the fact that April was one of the weaker months of 2009. However with property values beginning to increase from May last year, it will be difficult to maintain this rate of growth in the coming months.

On the commercial property front, it appears that the appeal of London’s robust shopping demand continues attract the leading for international retail chains to the city. A recent survey has revealed how 58 percent of international retail brands have opened outlets not just in London but throughout the UK, spurred by strong consumer demand.

Preliminary assessments have revealed that the European air transport sector swallowed as much as €2.5 billion in losses from disruption caused by Iceland’s volcanic eruption. The loss assessment conducted by the European Commission could well be the model that an industry bailout will be based on. Some of the airlines affected have argued that flawed computer models used by member states were partially responsible for grounding planes, even when the airlines insisted that was safe for them to resume their services. A spokesman for the UK Department for Transport stated that while the "UK cannot unilaterally provide new aid to affected companies it continues "to explore options" with the Commission. Meanwhile, budget airline EasyJet have cautioned that governments should be prevented from providing aid to "ailing national carriers" who might use the financial damage caused by the volcanic disruption as a pretext for a bailout.

Royal Dutch Shell today announced a 49% surge in first quarter profits as the energy giant joined rival BP in benefiting from higher oil prices.

The Anglo-Dutch group reported earnings of £3.2 billion ($4.9 billion) for the first three months of the year – a day after BP posted a profit of £3.6 billion for the same period. The company’s chief executive explained that rising energy prices and an improved operational performance meant Shell’s profits were sharply higher than the $1.18 billion in the final quarter of 2009.

Shell’s performance has lagged behind BP as it has been forced invest heavily in finding new sources of oil and gas at a time when refining margins are under pressure due to global overcapacity and economic weakness.

Today’s results are back to the levels of the first quarter of 2009, when crude prices averaged just over $41 dollars a barrel, while the figure today stands at an average of $76 dollars a barrel.

Imperial Tobacco has reported a 15 percent rise in profits for the first half of their financial year. The increase comes through an increase in demand in some of their key European markets for cheaper roll-your-own tobacco. From factory-made cigarettes Bristol-based Imperial Tobacco, whose brands include Lambert & Butler and Davidoff reported a pre-tax profit of £974 million for the six months to March 31, on turnover up eight percent at £13.4 billion.

Sterling continues to grow in strength against the dollar closing on $1.5351, whilst falling back slightly against the troubled Euro on €1.155

There was a positive mood on the stock exchange on Thursday, with U.K. stocks mostly on the up. Among the most active were Unilever, the world’s second-largest food and detergent company, whose shares advanced by 3.2 percent. After BSkyB the U.K.’s biggest pay-television provider reported an increase in third-quarter profit their shares rose by the most in more than a year. Also shares in AstraZeneca, the U.K.’s second-largest drug-maker, advanced by 2.3 percent.

The FTSE 100 rose 30.89 points to 5,617.8. The market appears to be rebounding from two days of losses prompted by the downgrading the credit ratings of Greece, Portugal and Spain.

Stateside, the Federal Reserve have conformed their pledge to keep interest rates low for an “extended period”, while offering a slightly more upbeat assessment of the US economy. The Fed’s open market committee reiterated that its main interest rate would remain at its target range of 0-0.25 per cent. The figure has stood at this level since December 2008.

Analysts point out that the financial recovery appears to be gathering steam in the US in recent months, with most economic indicators in line or ahead of previous expectations. However, pressure on policymakers to start raising interest rates has not risen accordingly, with inflation remaining in control.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones made a recovery from early week falls, closing up 122.05 points to 11167.32, while the NASDAQ rose 40.19 points to 2511.92

It appears that American consumers have re-discovered the joys of shopping, with retail sales stronger than forecast. The US housing market, meanwhile, has shown fresh signs of a rebound, with home prices increasing on an annual basis for the first time in three years in February,

In the computer hardware world, the news is that Palm, one of the leading pioneer in the smart phone business, are to acquired by US computer giant Hewlett-Packard (HP) for £657 million ($1 billion)

A spokesman for HP said that Palm’s webOS operating system would help its expansion in the fast-growing market for smart phones and connected mobile devices. Although HP is paying a premium to Palm’s closing share price on Wednesday of $4.63, it is well below the company’s 52-week high of $18.09.

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UK companies plan to rely less on banks for credit

November 25th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks

financial news

According to a survey for the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), UK companies will be relying much less on banks for credit in the future, instead pinning their hopes funding from bonds and equities.

The survey showed that half of the companies will be looking to decrease financing from bank debt after the recession winds down. More than forty percent of the companies who took part in the survey said that they could see no change in bank funding.

The new Supreme Court is expected to rule on Wednesday on whether overdraft charges can be assessed for fairness under the Unfair Terms in Consumer Contract regulations. If the Supreme Court rules in favour of consumers, banks could be forced to pay out hundreds of millions of pounds if the overdraft charges levied were ruled to be unfair, and the public could seek to recoup losses through charges on current accounts and ATM withdrawals.

The British Bankers’ Association announced that the number of home purchase loans approved by banks in October was almost double that of a year ago, with 42,238 mortgage applications being approved. The figure was slightly higher than the 42,073 loans approved in September, while they almost double what they were from the same period on 2008. Net mortgage lending rose by £3.1 billion pounds in October, the same figure as in September.

Up to their knees in this week were the Association of British Insurers (ABI), who have received between 500 and 1,000 claims relating to recent flooding in Cumbria and southern Scotland where claims totaling up to £100 million have been recorded. At least 1,500 homes were affected by the floods, six bridges are reported to have collapsed and 5,000 households were left without power. The ABI announced that it was difficult to ascertain how many more claims could be expected. Insurers have said they might have to reconsider current arrangements, whereby all homes in the UK are offered flood insurance

Britain’s biggest mortgage lender, Lloyds Banking Group Plc is scheduled to publish results of a debt exchange. Meanwhile it was reported that the banking group is in talks with Execution Ltd. and a deal may result in the creation of a joint venture. Shares in Lloyds dropped 2 percent to 88.15 pence

Following its successful merger with Spain’s Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana SA, British Airways Plc could revive plans for a tie-up with Australia’s Qantas Airways Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Willie Walsh has suggested that the Iberia model would allow Qantas to retain a separate brand and home base.

British Airways has agreed to combine with Iberia to boost its network amid a slump in international travel that contributed to a record first-half loss. The carrier abandoned merger talks with Qantas last year after the airlines failed to agree on who would control the new company. Shares in BA gained 1.6 pence, or 0.8 percent, to 202.6 pence.

Rumours abound that Nestle SA has thrown their cap into the ring in the who will buy Cadburys circus. The company is said to be weighing options would challenge Kraft Foods Inc.’s offer as well as a potential move by Hershey Co.

Cadburys are seemingly expecting a friendly bid from Hershey Co. if it can arrange the financing, with the company’s controlling trust supposed to be in favour of a $17 billion bid for Cadbury. The only thing that is certain is that Cadbury’s stock keeps on rising, up 1.2 percent to 800.5 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group Plc’s incoming chief executive officer Marc Bolland, has announced that he will focus on growth on foreign markets especially China, when he takes the reins next year. The markets remained indifferent, as shares dropped or 0.1 percent, to 380 pence.

The pound rose against the dollar, while falling against the Euro and the yen on continued concerns regarding the U.K. budget deficit.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6581
  • Pound/Euro 1.1077
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 146.6185
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6718

The FTSE 100 Index jumped by 82.55 points to 5,323.98, while the FTSE 250 rose by 14 points to close on 9,181.

In the US, the National Association of Realtors announced that sales of previously-owned US homes jumped by 10.1% in October as buyers rushed to take advantage of tax credits, which have now been extended.

Sales hit a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.1 million, up from a revised 5.54 million in September. First-time buyer tax credits had been due to expire at the end of November, but have been extended until 30 April.

The jump in October home sales was the biggest in almost three years.

The Dow Jones average took a turn for the better after the weekend, up 93 points to 10411.5 The NASDAQ rose seventeen points to finish up on 2163.73

Computer hardware giant Hewlett-Packard (HP) has announced a rise of 18% in profits for the third quarter, despite that the fact that their sales had fallen for the period. A spokesman for HP revealed that the company’s major cost-cutting initiatives had been the driving force in the £1.4 billion profit earned during the period. The firm has cut 6,700 jobs this year to trim costs.

The price of gold has hit a new all-time high, boosted by continued concerns about the weakening dollar.

Gold hit a record of $1,173.50 an ounce, up almost 2% from Friday close.

The expectation that US interest rates will remain low has put pressure on the dollar, making both gold and oil more attractive as an investment.

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BA merger good news for British tourists says Walsh

November 16th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The planned merger, between British Airways and Spanish carrier Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana SA, which is expected to get regulatory backing and be concluded by the end of next year, will create the world’s third largest airline.

According to Willie Walsh, British Airways (BA) chief executive the planned merger with Iberia is "great news for British Airways, our customers and our shareholders". His comments came after British Airways Plc agreed to the $7 billion merger ending more than a year of talks on a tie-up, largely aimed at fighting a slump in travel and closing the gap with competitors.

Under the all-share deal, British Airways investors will own about 55 percent of the business. The merger due to be completed by late 2010 is still subject to cancellation by Iberia if BA fails to resolve their pressing pension deficit issues.

UK engineering firm Rolls-Royce have announced that they have been awarded contracts to produce aircraft engines to the value of £1.2 billion, The engines will be used to power Airbus planes for Air China and Ethiopian Airlines. Rolls Royce made the announcement the first day of the Dubai Airshow on Sunday. The engines are scheduled to be delivered in stages from 2011 to 2017.

According to representatives from one of the UK’s most powerful unions, Unite, the leading banks have still to absorb the reasons behind the current credit crisis, and continue to set unrealistic sales targets for their staff in order for them to earn their salaries. Instead they continue to apply pressure

On staff to promote financial products, often to those who can ill afford them.

The union says that legislation forcing banks to pay theory staff higher basic salaries and placing less emphasis on bonuses should be implemented. The new breed of British bank should instead focus on high standards of customer service and pay fair wages for all staff. The British government will announce legislation next week giving regulators the power to stop bankers from pocketing big bonuses that could destabilize the financial system, a newspaper reported Saturday. Treasury chief Alistair Darling told the Sunday Telegraph that the new Financial Services Bill will allow financial watchdogs to cancel pay packages that reward undue risk-taking. The bill is due to be announced Wednesday as part of the Queen’s Speech, in which the government lays out its plans for the next session of Parliament.

Darling was quoted as saying that the legislation would give the Financial Services Authority the power to cancel contracts that breach a banking remuneration code agreed by the Group of 20 nations earlier this year. The regulator could fine banks that fail to comply.

Liberty International, the U.K.’s biggest shopping-center owner, added 3.9 percent to 504 pence. British Land, the U.K.’s second-largest real estate investment trust, rallied 2.8 percent to 498.2 pence. Land Securities Group Plc, the largest real estate investment trust, added 2.3 percent to 726.5 pence.

Investment Property Databank Ltd. today said the average value of U.K. stores, offices and warehouses rose 1.9 percent in October, a third month of gains, and the steepest advance since December 2005.

The total return for commercial real estate, which measures the change in capital values and rental income, rose by 2.5 percent in October.

U.K. supermarkets are getting a record amount of sales from promotions as they attempt to lure shoppers before the holiday season. At big supermarkets, 35 percent of sales by value are on promotion, compared with 26 percent a year ago. This year’s level is a record high

Recent figures released show a continued improvement in recruitment activity in October, within the UK financial services sector. Job offers in the month increased by approximately 4%, which is accredited to a significant increase in recruitment activity by stock brokers. On the downside, investment banks are reported to be reducing their intake of new people.

Sterling retreated on Friday before the strengthening dollar, gaining only against the Yen.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6668
  • Pound/Euro 1.1201
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.3497
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6883

The FTSE closed at a 14-month high, aided by gains in property shares. At end of trading Friday the guide was up 20 points to 5,296.55. The FTSE 250 also rose, up 83 points to 9,373.74.

It is now official- The French and German economies, the Eurozone’s two largest, are out of recession.

Figures recently release show that both economies show both grew between July and September, Germany by 0.7% and France by 0.3%. However, both the French and German economies grew by less than analysts had expected.

Lagging behind is the UK, still apparently bogged down in their longest economic contraction since World War II.

Recent figures show that the US trade deficit unexpectedly widened by the largest amount in 10 years in September.

The trade gap, the difference between US imports and exports, grew 18.2% to $36.5 billion (£21.9 billion) from August.

Imports or the same period rose by 5.8%, the strongest increase since 1993, providing yet another indication that consumer spending is recovering.

The Dow Jones made a late rally on Friday, closing for the weekend up 52.30 points to 10280.22. The NASDAQ was seen to be holding its own, up just three points 2160.96.

Hewlett-Packard has announced that they are to acquire the 3Com company for $2.7 billion. A spokesman for HP projected that the acquisition will give HP an added edge in the data centre networking sector. The deal will give HP capabilities in a number of areas in which the company was lacking, he said. Both 3Com and HP have been strong in the small and mid-size business networking space, However analysts predict that the addition of 3Com to their stable will create for HP an enterprise data switch portfolio to better compete with main rivals, Cisco.

Leaders of the 21 nation Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation group(Apec) who are meeting have gathered in Singapore for the annual meeting of the have proclaimed that Asia is leading the world out of recession. Their claims may be backed by the announcement last month from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that the Asian economy is expected to grow by 2.75% in 2009 and 5.75% in 2010. These projections compare very well with the flat to negative growth in the US and Western Europe. Statistics which can be seen to reflect the shifting balance of power between the US and Asia.

Gold prices were receding before the weekend, after rising above the $1,100 mark in the previous session. On the other hand crude oil prices were steadying after dropping more than $2 a barrel, which analysts interpreted as being because of fears of reduced US demand.

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Another setback for the UK economy as inflation remains unchanged for July

August 19th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, World Banks

financial news

There were some glum faces yesterday at the Office for National Statistics on the announcement that consumer price inflation remained unchanged in July at 1.8 per cent in July, after forecasts that it would drop sharply for the month to 1.5 per cent.

Hopes were that after the Bank of England had extended its quantitative easing programme by £50 billion taking it up to £175 billion, that inflation figures would react accordingly. The fact that they didn’t points to signs that the recession is deeper than analysts have been calling till now. During the last 16 months inflation has proved higher than analysts predicted on no less than 12 occasions.

The Building Societies Association (BSA), the body appointed to represent Britain’s mutually-owned lenders, has issued a complaint to Europe’s anti-trust regulator. The complaint is regarding a planned restructuring of state-owned bank Northern Rock, that the organization claims would distort competition in the mortgage market.

BSA has requested from the European Commission to ensure that Northern Rock be made to pay financial penalties if the proposed overhaul goes ahead.

The Commission is due to deliver its verdict in the autumn, with a negative verdict liable to cause a major setback in the British government’s efforts to restore Northern Rock to financial health and sell it back into private ownership

Spiralling costs seems to be hitting home everywhere, with the news that the cost of running the Houses of Parliament has reached almost half a billion pounds in 2008-9 being another example. The costs of operating the UK seat of government is proving to be an increasingly expensive pastime, with costs up

more than £12 million from 2008 arriving at close to £400 million, a sum that includes salaries, allowances and pensions for MPs and their administrative staff. One the upside, the costs of maintaining the House of Lords dropped by almost a third from £152.5 million to £106.5 million. There must be a message there, somewhere.

The news that the Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC is close to putting its asset management business up for sale, will be good news for most, but not for those who bank at Coutts, the private bank owned by RBS, renowned as an adviser to the Queen, that will be included in the package and may well fall into foreign hands.

On the FTSE, shares in African Minerals, the iron ore mining company, managed by Regal Petroleum founder Frank Timis, rose 1.6 per cent to 312 pence on news that the company had embarked on takeover talks with Eurasian Natural Resources Corporation (ENRC).

Shares in the Sierra Leone-based group have risen 13-fold this year amid speculation of interest from several parties including ENRC.

In the retail sector Tesco’s shares were the weakest, falling 0.5 per cent to 363 pence after industry data for July showed a poorer month.

Credit checking agency Experian inched 0.4 per cent higher to 517 ½ pence after suggestions from the US Federal Reserve that lending supply was improving.

The FTSE 100 made up for most of yesterday’s reverses rising 40.77 points to close on 4685.78. The FTSE 250 recovered after a major collapse on Monday, rising 80.39 points to close on 8,354.48

According the BOE Governor Mervyn King the pound’s biggest five-month rally in 24 years may be stuttering to an end, largely due to the Bank’s flooding the U.K. economy with newly printed cash.

Sterling soared in value by 23.5 percent from March 10 to Aug. 5 on speculation U.K. assets would rise as the worst financial crisis in six decades eased. The rally appeared to be petering out and the pound has slumped 2.6 percent since Aug. 5 to last week’s $1.6543 close. However on Tuesday, the pound improved a little on figures showing inflation proving far more resistant to recession than economists had expected.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6353
  • Pound/Euro 1.169
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 156.3554
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.777

In the US, news that construction starts of new homes had fallen in July, after three straight months of increases caused no little construction.

The number of new properties sold for last month fell 1% to an annual rate of 581,000.

US wholesale prices also recorded an unexpectedly large fall last month, down 0.9% from June, and by 6.8% from July 2008.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average recovered part of the previous day’s losses rising 82.6 points t to close on 9217.94. The NASDAQ moved up 25.08 points to close on 1955.92.

The ongoing weak demand for personal computers and printer ink has seen Hewlett-Packard (HP) Revenue fell by 2% to $27.5 billion, not encouraging but better than Wall Street estimates.

Like most technology firms, HP has suffered in the global downturn as consumers trim their spending.

Meanwhile that perennial optimist the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has woken up to remind us that the world has indeed begun to recover from recession, adding that the process will not be simple.

A chief economist for the IMF warned that the recession had "left deep scars, which will affect both supply and demand for many years to come"

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