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British banks don’t escape Obama’s glare.

January 19th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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U.S. President Barack Obama has celebrated his first year in office by showing a more brittle side to his personality, and in recent statements has been particularly vehement in his comments regarding the US banking system. Obama has stated his intention to raise legislation that would force around 50 banks, insurance companies and large broker-dealers to pay a tax of 0.15 percent on all of their U.S. assets, less their capital and deposits. Falling into that category will be the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Barclays Banks and HSBC who, if the legislation is passed, could be forced to pay more than $10 billion to the U.S. government over the next 10 years. Analysts have already calculated that HSBC could be forced to pay around $3.8 billion dollars and Barclays could face a total bill of around $5.6 billion dollars over ten years. While the RBS will only be paying out around one and half billion dollars, they appear to be already in the process of raising capital to meet the bill, when it comes. They have announced that the Grosvenor House hotel, , is to be put up for sale by the part-nationalised RBS and proceeds for the sale is expected to raise between £600 and £700 million as part of RBS’s unwinding of its property portfolio. The Grosvenor House hotel, which has previously hosted events such as the CBI annual dinner, could be on the market as early as this month.

Meanwhile the Bank of England (BOE) are still feeling the effects of their quantitative easing programme, with the news of the loss of £3.6 billion s on its purchases of government bonds, whilst projecting that capital losses from the purchase, so far of £192 billion pounds in gilts would be £8 billion if these were sold today. The reason for the shortfall is the steep drop in government bond prices as a result of the strengthening economic recovery felt the past month. On the upside, losses will be offset by £4.4 billion pounds, which is the interest payment the BOE has received from the securities.

Construction companies made up more than 20 percent of UK business failures in 2009, a recent survey has disclosed. While the number of companies involved in the construction sector that closed their doors in 2009,

decreased slightly from 2008, there were still 683 who fell into administration during 2009, compared with 716 in 2008. The fourth quarter of 2009 saw a 17 percent decline in construction administrations according to Deloitte with 129 compared with 155 in the third quarter.

Shares in Premier Foods have fallen by more than ten percent after the food manufacturer announced that full-year pre-tax profits would be lower than expected, at around £165 million pounds for the financial year to February 16. Total sales increased by 1.5 percent during the fourth-quarter with sales of the company’s branded goods increasing to around £1.7 billion, making up to two thirds of the total turnover for 2009, compared with 61 percent the previous year.

The bus operator FirstGroup has reported a drop in turnover of around 20 percent for the company’s U.S. Greyhound operation during the first half of their financial year. A little ray of sunshine was that revenue for the third quarter was only down by 11.4 percent and passenger revenue for the group’s UK bus business grew by 0.7 percent during the three months to December 31. On the upside, FirstGroup announced that they remain on course to achieve earnings targets for the year and that trading, was in line with management expectations.

The European electrical groups DSGi, who own and operate the Currys and PC World chains in the UK, have announced trading figures that are in excess of most City analyst’s projections. Group sales rose by eight percent during the 12 weeks to January 9, much higher figure than the three percent expected by most analysts, with the reason attributed to an upturn in consumer sales.

Home Retail Group (HRG) have also updated their predictions for its full-year profits, which they now expect to be around £20 million higher than the £265 million initially forecast, following a four percent improvement in sales at HRG’s DIY chain Homebase.

One of Cadbury’s major shareholders has indicated that US food giant Kraft will have to increase their hostile takeover offer if it wishes to win support.

Legal & General Investment Management, which owns 5% of Cadbury shares, said Kraft’s current offer did not meet "the long term value" of the UK firm. Legal & General’s comments come ahead of Tuesday’s eagerly anticipated deadline for Kraft to increase its offer to Cadbury shareholders.

Reports continue to gather strength that Hershey is also planning a rival bid for Cadbury which may be announced as early as this week. The current state of affairs is that Kraft is currently offering £10.5 billion or 761 pence per Cadbury share, which was rejected by the chocolate-maker’s shareholders. .

Kraft’s current bid is worth less than Cadbury’s share price which closed on Friday at 793.5 pence.

British Telecom (BT) announced their intentions to enter a price war with Sky over the price charged for fans to watch premium sports events on TV, including football and cricket.

The telecoms firm is awaiting the outcome of an Ofcom probe, which will be known in March, examining whether Sky must drop the wholesale price it charges rivals for content.

BT Vision has leaked their intentions to charge about £15 a month for Sky Sports 1, about £10 cheaper than Sky currently charges. A spokesman for BT projected that there would be benefits to the viewing public for choosing BT as they would be getting more choice

Vodafone UK has launched a new online business centre, bringing information and insight on its full range of capabilities in mobile, fixed and unified communications together in one place. The site, www.vodafone.co.uk. Has been designed to make it even easier for private and business customers to find the information they need and the solutions that best suit them. Meanwhile Vodafone (has become the third mobile phone operator in Britain to begin to market the Apple iPhone in the UK. Results are encouraging with a total of 50,000 units delivered on the first day of sales. Until recently, Vodafone had been disallowed from marketing the premier smartphone due to exclusivity rights brokered between Apple and O2.

Vodafone is now the fourth company in the U.K. to carry the iPhone, following O2, Orange and Tesco. While O2 once enjoyed a two-year exclusive deal with Apple to offer the iPhone in the U.K., that exclusivity ended last year and Orange and Tesco began offering the Apple smartphone in November and December, respectively.

Orange sold 30,000 iPhones on its first day of its launch in November 2009 while Tesco has not disclosed any sales figures.

Also enjoying some good trading on the back of the iPhone launch is the Carphone Warehouse. Their trading update for the last quarter of 2009 is expected to show a four percent increase in the number of phone connections compared to the same period in 2008. Sales of the most expensive products, such as the Apple iPhone and BlackBerry, are believed to contribute considerably to sales and profits, while the company’s fixed-line division TalkTalk is reported to have added 46,000 new subscribers during the last three months of last year.

The pound improved a little against the dollar before the weekend, closing at 1.6301, while the Euro being traded at 1.321

The FTSE 100 Index dropped 43 points before closing on Friday finishing on 5,455.37.

Wall Street bank JP Morgan Chase has reported profits of $3.3 billion (£2 billion) for the last three months of 2009, compared with profits of $702 million for the same period in 2008, which was the height of the financial crisis. Total profits for the bank for year were $11.7 billion, with investment banking providing the bulk of the profit.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average took a tumble before closing on Friday down 81 points to 10,609.65. The NASDAQ Composite was also down. 23 points to close on 2287.99

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Brown and Darling want to knock King off his throne.

October 22nd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Money Management, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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There were one or two petted lips around Westminster yesterday in response to governor of the Bank of England Mervyn King’s call for Britain’s biggest banks to be split up to prevent the possibility of a financial crisis of similar proportions to the one that the UK is going through, in the future. Particularly peeved were Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling who even went as far as rebuking. Mr. King for his comments. King was seemingly unfazed at their comments.

According to Terry Duddy, chief executive of Home Retail Group, owners of the Argos and Homebase chains, the rise in VAT due on January 1 could act as a major for sales of large value items in the weeks leading up to the increase. Whilst announcing that the company had returned to profit in the six months to August 29, , Duddy said went on to announce a rise in consumer confidence and that his company was more optimistic about the outlook for the fourth quarter.

Chocolate kings, Cadbury have subtly increased the pressure on Kraft to raise its proposed £10 billion ($16.6billion) takeover offer. They did so through reporting unexpectedly strong third-quarter trading figures, surpassing even the toughest analysts’ expectations, The Company have succeeded in raising its full-year revenue targets to the “middle” of its 4-6 per cent goal range. Cadbury announced quarterly revenue growth of 7 per cent, which they claimed had been achieved by increasing prices and profit margins, despite a fall in turnover for the period of percent. Correspondingly, Cadbury had made considerable efforts to cut costs and reduce market spending. Since Kraft announced its offer proposal in early September, indications are that investors expect the US food group to pay at least 800 pence per share, while the current cash and shares proposal values Cadbury’s equity at 731pence a share. In the light of the recent results, some investment banks have revalued the target price on Cadbury to 900 pence, however a Kraft offer at this level is considered unlikely, unless counter-bidders suddenly emerge. The consensus is that Kraft will succeed with their offer, if it comes back with a 50-50 split of cash and stock bid of around 825 pence per Cadbury share. Kraft are understood to be considering returning with a formal offer but may wait until after its third-quarter results on November 3, while the UK Takeover Panel has set Kraft a final deadline of November 9 to make a formal offer.

Sterling continued its steady rise against the ever weakening dollar, recovering against the Swiss Franc. whilst faltering against the Euro.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6606
  • Pound/Euro 1.1093
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 151.6918
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6587

The FTSE 100 lost out on some of yesterday’s gains, down 33.79 points to close on 5257.85 The FTSE 250 25 shed all of the previous days gains. Down 143.60 points to close on.9421,04

Morgan Stanley has returned to profit after three quarterly losses in a row, after reporting a net income of £457m in the third quarter of 2008. The bank’s investment banking division fared particularly well with underwriting revenues up 74% from 2008 levels. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo, the country’s fourth-largest bank, reported record $3.2bn profits for the quarter, reporting that revenues from mortgages and consumer credit had surged.

Despite that positive news, the Dow Jones was down for the second consecutive day, yesterday by 92.12 points to crash below the ten thousand points on 9949.36. The NASDAQ Composite index also continued to fall, this time by 12.74 points to close on 2,150.73.

Recent reports continue to speculate that US companies who received billions of dollars of government aid in the financial crisis are to be forced to cut any excessive salary packages awarded to their leading executives. Of the seven companies that received the highest aid from the US Treasury will be obliged to reduce the basic salaries of their 25 best-paid employees, by up to nine tenths of the salary packages, while each firm’s 125 top earners would be see their pay slip cut in half, under the US government plan. There has been widespread outrage in the US over the high level of bonuses paid by firms that not so long ago were forced top go to the government cap in hand and ask for government help to stave of bankruptcy .

Figures just published confirm that China has exceeded its target for economic growth in the third quarter, for the first time this year. Chinese government figures show year on year GDP growth was up 8.9% from 7.9% in the previous quarter. Chinese officials have also said they are sure they will reach their full year target of 8% for economic growth, with the economy grewing by 7.7% in the nine months to September.

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Britain forced to borrow more as tax revenue slumps.

July 23rd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Small Business

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One of the most painful aspects of the long drawn out economic slump is the effects that it has had on UK tax revenues. In June, Britain reported its highest budget deficit for a month for sixteen years, a massive 13 billion pounds, which was an increase of almost 50% from the same month in 2008.

To support these shortfalls, the Treasury has no option but to borrow, and this they have been doing, and in some style. In the first quarter of the UK financial year, which started in April, public sector borrowing reached £41.2 billion, the highest quarterly figure since records began in 1946.

China Investment Corp, (CIC) China’s sovereign wealth fund has acquired 1.1 per cent of the Diageo drinks group for £221million, which makes the fund the UK-based groups’ ninth-largest investor. Shares in Diageo were up 2.4 per cent to 906p after the announcement

CIC manages $200 billion of the country’s $2,132bn held in foreign exchange reserves also holds a 0.5 per cent stake in Tesco, Britain’s largest retailer.

Domino’s Pizza reported a double-digit increase in sales and profits for the six months to the end of June and raised its interim dividend by almost a third.

Continuing to be one of the few consumer-facing companies to defy the recession, the Domino’s Pizza chain, the UK’s largest pizza delivery service with more than 500 outlets, said it expected to beat full-year profit forecasts thanks to unrelenting demand for their takeaways. Domino’s Pizza U.K. & Ireland advanced 7.2 percent to 235.25 pence.

On the FTSE U.K. pub owner and brewer of Old Speckled Hen ale Greene King Plc, added 3.1 percent to close on 432.75 pence.

Food retailers were also among the rising stars shares in Wm Morrison Supermarkets up 8.2 per cent to 274pence after the announcement that they expected full-year profit to exceed current guidance as it reported strong volume growth over the first half.

Sainsbury also added 3.1 per cent to 326p, while Tesco climbed 1.4 per cent to 375p.

The retail sector showed mixed results with fashion retailer Next despite raising their profit forecast for the first half, retained a cautious outlook. On the news shares in Next fell by 1.6 per cent to 1618 pence.

Shares in the Home Retail Group, owners of Argos and Homebase, gained 1.3 per cent to close on 293 pence

London equity markets overcame an early bout of profit taking on Tuesday to extend their winning run to seven sessions.

The benchmark FTSE 100 was up 38 points to 4,481.17, while the FTSE 250 gained 75.95 points to 7,742.58.

The pound lost ground on Tuesday as concerns grew over the health of the UK government’s finances.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6422
  • Pound/Euro 1.1578
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 153.8127
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7553

Testifying before the House Financial Committee in his twice-yearly report on monetary policy, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke announced that US interest rates are likely to remain "exceptionally low" for some time. He went on to explain that low interest rates and a stimulus plan had buoyed the economy.

US stocks lost some of its Monday’s impressive gains on Tuesday, after rising during the morning, but then falling back as Ben Bernanke, addressed Congress about the future of US Federal Reserve policy.

On Wall Street , the Dow Jones continued its steady rise, rising 45.05 points to 8893.2 while the NASDAQ rose 3.55 points to 1912.84.

Sharply falling tax revenues are also beginning to have their effects across the US. Of the 50 states45 reported budget shortfalls and overall tax collections dropped by 11.7 per cent, the largest fall on record.

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