Brown not to blame for Europe’s financial woes
February 16th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks
Blame can be attached to UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown for many of the nation’s financial woes, rightly or not. On one fact, however, there is a consensus. That he had the foresight to keep the UK out of the euro. The recent financial crisis has shown that the structural weakness of the eurozone, which already seems to be crumbling, with the Greek tragedy exposing the weakness of a system of "mutual guarantees" by 16 different fiscal regimes. Opponents of the UK joining the single currency are basking in the light of their wisdom, but the smiles may soon be wiped from their faces, as it looks like Britain may be pulled into the crisis indirectly. This may happen if the International Monetary Fund (IMF) gets involved although the UK will be nowhere near the front line of a rescue package, unlike the Germans and the French.
Rumors that the problems that Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy are experiencing– will lead to a break-up of the European currency is far-fetched. Above anything else, the single currency is a Franco-German political project with huge symbolic investment for postwar, post-Iron Curtain Europe.
The problem for Greece and the other Mediterranean counties is that their membership of the single currency means that they cannot devalue its way out of difficulty.
The UK Secretary of State for Business, Lord Mandelson has predicted that a decision on government funding to help rescue the car manufacturer Vauxhall could be completed within weeks. GM.UL is said to be looking for an investment of £2.9 billion pounds from European governments to facilitate a return to growth. Mandelson confirmed that the government is prepared to play a part in the rescue plans and that negotiations have started over what conditions could be imposed in return for government support
Difficult though it may be to accept, a recent survey on the banking sector has revealed that 57 percent of UK bankers and financiers received a bonus increase during 2009. The poll, which took in close to seven hundred financial professionals indicates that the Chancellor’s "super tax" on bankers’ bonuses had caused little effect on lavish remuneration packages.
More than a third of the bankers in the poll saw their bonuses either decrease or at least remain static. However those who fell into the this category did not cite the super tax to be the primary reason for the absence of an increase, preferring to cast the blame, and rightly so, on the performance of their companies with half of those who did miss out on a bonus were reported to be less than satisfied.
Prominent UK property developers the Shaftesbury Group have announced a major upturn in demand for property in the West End of London, with the Christmas and New Year period especially brisk. Shaftesbury announced a significant increase in new tenant agreements approved at rates at or above recent property values for the company’s various assets. While many UK property companies still struggling to honour their various banking covenants, the overall picture denotes that the UK property tide has turned, the company reports.
Lloyds Banking Group (LBG) is looking to sell or spin off major assets from the failing £70 billion pound property. The bank is establishing a review process, which currently in its early stages. The process will seek to reduce the amount of regulatory capital tied up in keeping the assets on Lloyds’ balance sheet, with the strategy expected to be finalised by Easter. At the same time, Lloyds plan to step up their sale of HBOS Integrated Finance, an investment business with stakes in about 60 companies.
Meanwhile the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), remain sitting on losses of several hundred million pounds after being forced to take back ownership of £1.8 billion in German properties bought at the market’s peak by a fund run by Morgan Stanley. In one of the largest paper losses on property for a UK bank, RBS has taken control of a portfolio of 28 German properties, after lending about €1.9 billion to acquire the portfolio in 2007. RBS are to follow the trend set by LBG to hold on to the properties until they return at least some of the losses..
Mobile telecommunications operator O2 believes that its purchase of Jajah, an Israeli voice over internet protocol (VoIP) company, will help the firm out- perform rival mobile operators and the current VoIP market leader Skype. A spokesman for Telefonica Europe, O2’s parent company, said that the company will use Jajah to attack the international calling card market, currently worth £100 million pounds a month in the UK, rather than to slash mobile call costs.
Fashion chain New Look are giving a lot of indications that they will become the third company in as many days to scrap a planned stock market flotation. The writing seems to be on the wall for New Look’s float, when they called off a proposed £1.7 billion initial public offering (IPO) on Friday, blaming a lack of appetite among potential investors. New Look had planned to raise a total of £650 million pounds from their IPO, using the money to cut debt as well as fund an expansion programme in the UK and overseas.
As the FTSE 100 was switched off for the weekend UK, stocks had receded a little The 100 Index was down 10.03 points to 5,142.45
The pound rose slightly against the dollar, closing at 1.5702 while jumping to 1.1522 against the struggling Euro.
President Barack Obama has signed a law increasing the limit on how much the US government can borrow.
The debt limit was raised to $14.3 trillion (£9.1 trillion) from $12.4 trillion, which will allow the government to function for the rest of the year.
Correspondingly Mr Obama also approved legislation that requires new spending to be offset with cuts elsewhere. The legislation will seek to address the record US budget deficit, which is predicted to reach $1.56 trillion in 2010.
The "pay-as-you-go" or "paygo" rule was in place in the 1990s – the last time there was a federal budget surplus.
On Wall Street things were still looking up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished for the weekend up 41 points at 10099.14. The NASDAQ gained 33 points to close on 2,183.53.
According to the US Commerce Department, retail sales rose at a higher rate than expected in January, boosting hopes that strong economic recovery will continue. Sales grew 0.5% month-on-month, while December’s figure was revised to a 0.1% fall from a first estimate of a 0.3% fall.
Sales were up by 4.7%, Compared with January 2009.
According to preliminary figures released on Friday, Germany’s recovery from recession faltered in the final quarter of 2009, failing to show any signs of growth at all in the last quarter of the year. France did better, reporting a 0.6% rise in GDP for the same three-month period which was higher than forecast. The figures released also showed that the economy in the Eurozone also grew 0.1% in the same quarter.

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