The UK economy was stunned back on its heels on Friday when the eagerly awaited GDP figures were announced. They showed that the UK economy had contracted by 0.4% for the third quarter instead of showing growth of 0.2% that had been. This news means that tat the UK remains in recession. Despite recent euphoria, this setback means that the UK gross domestic product (GDP) has contracted for six consecutive quarters, for the first time since quarterly figures were first released more than half a century ago. However officials from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have hastened to state that the figures are not final and could still be subject to revision, as they are only the first estimate. There were some recent indications that the expected growth would not be met in the period including July to September, including negative growth in retail sales during September, and a 2.5% decline in industrial output in August.

Sterling fell by more than one percent after it transpired that analysts had incorrectly forecast that the economy would emerge from recession aid record quarterly growth of 0.2 percent. The pound lost some ground against the dollar, while strengthening against the Euro.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6307
• Pound/Euro 1.10879
• Pound/Japanese Yen 150.1223
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6758

The FTSE 100 recovered a little of Thursday’s losses, as attention turned to economic data thought likely to show an end to recession in the UK. Despite news to the contrary, the index stood its ground, up 35.21 points to close on 5242.57. The FTSE 250 25 wound up a week of constant fluctuations up just 4.74 points to 9323.65.

The number of US bank failures so far in 2009 has reached more the 100 mark. The figure was reached after US federal regulators shut down a trio of small Florida banks. So far bank failures have cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) fund an estimated $25 billion this year, with

More US banks having failed this year than in any year since 1992.

Microsoft, the US software giant announced their third quarter profits were higher than analysts predicted. The company put this down to a mixture of cost-cutting and stronger consumer demand.

Shares of Microsoft rose by 7.9 per cent to $28.68 in pre-market trading.

Despite Microsoft’s success, the Dow Jones took a major tumble before the weekend, down 109.12 points to fall below the 10,000 barrier again, closing on 9972.18. The NASDAQ Composite index dropped a little, down 10.82 points to close on 2,154.47

Sales of previously-owned US homes unexpectedly rose in September, reaching their highest level since 2007.The National Association of Realtors announced that sales had risen by 9.4% last month, making for an annual rate of 5.57 million, up from 5.09 million in August. Analysts were taken by surprise, as they had sales to reach 5.35 million units in September. Meanwhile, the average sale price dropped to £106,937 ($174,900), 8.5% down from a year ago, making for the smallest annual drop in 13 months

Crude oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel on Thursday after reaching a fresh 2009 high of $82 during the previous session. Gold prices also softened after recent strong gains, trading at an average of $1,058 an ounce

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Tags: Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Crude oil, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, FDIC, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Financial News, FTSE, Gold, gross domestic product, Microsoft, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, Office for National Statistics, Recession, Retail, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK Recession, US Banks

A leading and influential economic group has predicted that the UK economy did not grow in the third quarter of the year. Contrary to expectations as well as many other financial analysts’ forecasts, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) have suggested that gross domestic product (GDP) remained unchanged from July to September 2009. The majority of UK economists have predicted there would be growth in the three-month period, which would end the UK recession, while the NIESR stated that the reason why the UK economy’s failed to register any growth during the quarter was due to weak industrial production in August, especially in the oil industry. The official GDP figures for the third quarter are due to be released on 23 October.

According to market sources, the number of banks who are now prepared to lend for real estate investment has almost doubled over the past six months largely due to improvements and confidence as well as favourable funding conditions.

There are now more than twenty banking bodies reportedly prepared to lend more than £20 million at a time for real estate investments, while there are at least six banks willing to finance property deals of over £100 million. Apparently German banks continue to dominate the real estate investment funding sector, having ample access to funding whilst enjoying the benefits from devalued sterling. The growing numbers of lenders continue to indicate that the property market was opening up to increased activity after reaching a low point in the first half of 2009.

In a fairly drastic cost cutting move, British Airways (BA) have announced their plans to cut 1,700 jobs as well as plans to introduce a two-year pay freeze for cabin crew BA posted heavy losses for their 2008/2009 financial year and forecasts for 2009/2010 predict that their loss making will continue as global airlines continue to struggle. On the announcement, BA stock climbed 3.2 percent to 217 pence. Meanwhile stocks in Europe’s second largest discount airline EasyJet Plc, climbed by 2.4 percent, to 378.9 pence, as the company prepared to report their September passenger statistics.

The makers of Imperial Leather soap and Carex hand wash PZ Cussons announced that they were “cautiously optimistic” on its 2010 outlook as reported strong trading over the past three months. The company said turnover was in line with forecasts for the third quarter and that profits had increased in comparison with the corresponding period of last year.

London equity markets were stronger on Tuesday, despite some late caution as investors awaited details of US earnings season and the surprise announcement from Australia that they will be raising their interest rates

The FTSE 100 rose by 2.26 percent on yesterday’s trading, or 113.65 points to close on 5137.98. The FTSE 250 also continued to move steadily upwards, soaring 218.70 points to finish back over the 9,000 hurdle at 9201.23.

The pound seems to have a permanent stance below $1.60 mark, whilst remaining weak against the rest of the principal currencies.

• Pound/US dollar 1.5898
• Pound/Euro 1.10812
• Pound/Japanese Yen 141.2395
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6351

The Dow Jones index continued to recover from last week’s setbacks, rising yesterday by 131.5 points at 9,731.25. The NASDAQ index also followed suit jumping 35.42 points to finish on 2,103.57.

Australia became the first of the World’s leading industrialised nations n to raise interest rates, with its central bank increasing the official cash rate from 3 to 3.25 per cent. Glenn Stevens, governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, said economic conditions in Australia had been “stronger than expected”, while measures of confidence had recovered allowing the country to rates from their 49-year low “emergency” rate.

The price of gold has hit a new all-time high of $1,043.77 an ounce after a decline in the dollar boosted the attractiveness of metals to investors. According to analysts, continuing concerns of higher inflation in the US as its economy recovers was an increased factor in lowering the price of the dollar, further boosting the price of gold

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Tags: BA, Bank, Banking, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, Carex, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, EasyJet Plc, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, GDP, Glenn Stevens, Gold, gross domestic product, Imperial Leather, Investments, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, NIESR, property market, PZ Cussons, Recession, Reserve Bank of Australia, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK Recession

The UK economy has contracted at a reduced rate for the April to June quarter. Gross domestic product (GDP) was reported to have fallen by 0.6% compared with the previous quarter, an improvement on the previous estimate of a 0.7% contraction. The latest improvement, coming mostly from the manufacturing and construction sectors, suggests that the UK is in recovery mode, and may even have grown in the third quarter.

Union leaders have accused Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) bosses of "taking another trip to Fantasy Island" over promises that there would be no job losses when a West Midlands plant is closed. Dave Osborne, national secretary for the UK car industry for Unite the union, launched a ferocious attack on JLR’s plans to close either Land Rover at Solihull or Jaguar at Castle Bromwich. Meanwhile, politicians in Coventry have reacted with surprise and sadness at Jaguar’s decision to close its wood veneer manufacturing centre at its Browns Lane plant, employing close to 400 people, within the next two years. In a recent interview, a JLR executive pledged that no job losses would come from the plant closure. However Osborne remained skeptical vowing that unions would not accept attacks on pensions nor reduced salary levels for new recruits

The word is that high street giant Marks & Spencer could have better news for investors after a difficult 18 months in second-quarter trading figures due out this week. After a 40% fall in annual profits shareholders had been hit by the first M&S dividend cut in nine years. However, recently chief executive Sir Stuart Rose has indicated that business had been steadily improving. First-quarter sales figures showed a further decline but were better than expected, causing M&S shares to increase in value by almost 25% since the end of May. At the time of the results, Sir Stuart warned that margins would shrink by up to 1.75% in the current year as the firm invested in price cuts and as a weaker pound harmed purchasing power.

Orange rated the UK’s third largest mobile operator in terms of subscribers, has pulled off a coup by signing a deal with Apple to market its popular iPhone in Britain. The deal, represents a significant setback for O2, currently the largest mobile operator in the country, who had held the exclusive British network for the iPhone. Orange is expected to start selling the iPhone in October, in time for the Christmas sales period.

The world’s leading supplier of heating and plumbing products Wolseley, have issued a warning of more job cuts, stating that it was impossible to predict when the difficult trading conditions might end. Wolseley have had to take drastic action to cope with the recession, among them reducing staff by 28,073, representing almost one third of their workforce. The company also initiated a £1 billion rights issue earlier this year as well as spinning its US building materials business, Stock Building Supply, into a joint venture.

London equities moved a little lower by the close after US markets slipped backwards following disappointing consumer confidence data. Financial stocks kept the FTSE 100 anchored over the 5,100-point mark. On yesterday’s trading, the FTSE 100 held firm, dropping just 5.98 points to close on 5,159.72, while the FTSE 250 continued to rise, up a further 46.17 points to 9,215.57

The pound made a recovery yesterday against the major currencies.

• Pound/US dollar 1.5928
• Pound/Euro 1.10939
• Pound/Japanese Yen 143.6783
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6531

The Dow Jones Industrial Average made a minor downwards adjustment dropping 6.8 points to close on 9,782.56. The NASDAQ remained stable, dropping just 1.13 points to 2129.61.

An unexpected fall in US consumer confidence for September, suggests that Americans are not as convinced that the economic recovery is as close as US policymakers would have them believe. The Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board business organisation slipped to 53.1 in September from 54.5 in August.

Meanwhile Japan’s core consumer prices dropped for the fourth successive month, 2.4% in August year-on-year, largely due to lower petrol and other energy costs as well as weak domestic demand.

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Tags: Apple, British Economy, British Pound, Consumer Confidence Index, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dave Osborne, Dow Jones, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, GDP, Global Credit Crisis, gross domestic product, iPhone, Jaguar Land Rover, JLR, Marks & Spencer, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, O2, Orange, Recession, Retail, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Wolseley

Estimates have it that by next year, the U.K. will have the unfortunate distinction of being the holder of the largest budget deficit in the developed world, almost entirely reversing the country’s hard earned status as the role model of a successful and wealthy financial services epicenter. A status that she has held for the last decade.

With the UK’s s budget deficit soaring to a staggering twelve percent of gross domestic product, who could now take Great Britain’s role as the key player on the global financial services stage seriously, and with forecasts that it could take at least another ten years to get the country’s finances back into some form of healthy financial situation, it seems likely that the UK financial service industry will be placed on a back burner for years to come.

While no one is confirming the fact that the UK crown has slipped, it is hard to disguise the fact that our credibility has slipped, and at a very crucial time. Jobs in the financial service industry in Great Britain are under serious threat. Tens of thousands have already disappeared as cut backs continue on a widespread basis, and the estimates are that more than 70,000 will disappear till the crisis runs its course

Despite the fact that the UK Treasury has pumped billions of pounds into the Banking and Insurance sectors to prevent a meltdown in the city, there seems a scant chance of a return in confidence any time soon. In order o recover at least some of their investments; the Treasury is demanding a whole new set of standards from the financial institutions. These standards mean that, in any event, dealing with the “city” will be a lot less attractive, it is only reasonable to suspect that the World’s financial movers and shakers may well be taking their business elsewhere.

The financial input from the financial services industry will be sadly missed, contributing almost eleven percent of the UK’s gross domestic product as recently as 2007, more than double of what it was just ten years previously.

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Tags: Banking, Banking and Insurance, British Economy, Credit Crunch, Financial News, gross domestic product, UK Banks, UK financial