In one of the classic understatements of the year so far, new finance minister George Osborne has just announced his findings that the British economy is in a dire state and there will be difficult times ahead. Osborne’s revelation came as the government sat down to take action on tackling the record budget deficit. Osborne took up the role of Chancellor after the center-right Conservatives joined with the center-left Liberal Democrats to form the country’s first coalition government for more than half a century, as the Labour Government wound up 13 years rule.

Britain has barely limped out of the worst recession since World War Two, and the new government is under pressure to show their pre-election promises to reduce spending and raise taxes to cut a budget deficit running at more than 11 percent of GDP were not hollow. The coalition already pledged to significantly accelerate the reduction of the deficit in the next five years, cutting £6 billion pounds ($8.75 billion) from non-frontline public services during the current financial year. George Osborne is expected to unveil his emergency Budget on June 22 as the new coalition Government attempts to overcome the appalling state of the economy inherited from Labour.

Meanwhile on the home front, news from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML) is that mortgage borrowing by house buyers is on the increase, with the number of loans made to home buyers rising by 25% between February and March, to reach 45,000. First-time buyer borrowing rebounded faster than that by existing home owners, according to CML who also went on to warn that mortgage rationing might continue indefinitely unless the new government helped lenders raise finance.

The latest news on the small business front has shown decrease in UK business insolvencies last month. On a year to year basis, it was shown that

the total number of insolvencies fell by 15.1% in April compared with the same month last year, 2,274 in April 2009 down to 1,818 in April 2010.

Businesses that fell into the medium sized category were found to have suffered the most in April. Companies employing between fifty to hundred workers being the most vulnerable.

In a move that may indicate a thawing of hostilities between internet giant Google and the printed media – particularly Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp, Eric Schmidt, chief executive of Google, announced that Google were holding talks with Murdoch and other newspaper proprietors regarding running subscription services for their online sites. Murdoch has repeatedly criticized Google for undermining newspapers by allowing internet users too much access to their valuable news content. Late last year Murdoch went far as threatening to sue Google for including headlines from News International in its search results. Staring from June, the Times and Sunday Times are set to erect a pay wall limiting access to their online news sites to paying customers. The papers will also withdraw their articles from Google’s search engine

With annual results due to be issued before the weekend, mobile phone company Vodafone are expected to announce a 150 percent increase in profits, with analysts expecting pre-tax profits of around £10.4 billion for the year to the end of March. Vodafone’s profits for 2009 were just £4.1 billion, largely due to one of impairment of £5.9 billion pounds of impairment charges.

Reports are that the Spanish bank Santander are believed to have emerged as likely winners of the tender to take over the 318 Williams & Glyn-branded Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) branches across England and Wales. Santander has apparently outbid Virgin, Spanish rival BBVA and Blackstone, with only National Australian Bank’s Clydesdale Bank arm still in the running. RBS is expected to make around £2 billion pounds from the successful completion of the sale.

Meanwhile credit card firm American Express has reportedly become the latest contender to enter into bidding for the payment processing arm of Royal Bank of Scotland. The partially state owned bank has been forced to sell of this division under European Commission rules governing state aid. The move by American Express, which has joined forces with private equity house Permira to table a bid in the £2.5 billion pound auction for RBS’s Global Merchant Services division, has been welcomed by RBS. Previously the bank had stated concerns over stand alone private equity buyers having sufficient experience to manage the business. With experience of processing payments of millions of customers in 130 countries, American Express could fit the bill and help RBS in their drive to expand in emerging markets,

Property development and investment giant, British Land, appears likely to take over the mantle as being the largest company in the field in the UK, leaving their bigger rival, Land Securities in their wake, when both companies announce full year results this week. British Land is expected to reveal that its net value of assets has increased by more than 20 percent over the past year to 490 pence a share, while Land Securities will announce that their shares have risen 16 percent increase in its net asset value over 690 pence a share.

Coming back down to earth with a thump will be British Airways who are widely expected to report losses of more than £600 million pounds when they reports their results on Friday. It is expected that results for the 12 months to the end of March will mark the airline’s worst ever financial performance, over a period in which it suffered from the effects of recession, strikes and bad weather. There are suggestions from senior staff that the company will not be able to survive any further blows. Analysts attending the shareholder’s conference will be keen to hear how chief executive Willie Walsh intends to explain the losses as well as the company’s ongoing dispute with cabin crews.

Pharmaceutical retailer and wholesaler Alliance Boots are expected to join the one billion pounds club on Monday. Alliance Boots, who returned to private ownership in 2007, are expected to announce a trading profit over the one billion pound by exceeding the 11.6 percent growth in 2009, when their profit was £953 million. By passing the one billion pound profit barrier Alliance Boots will become only the third retailer to do so in the history of UK retailing.

The euro has plummeted against the US dollar, falling below $1.22 for the first time since April 2006. The eurozone’s single currency fell more than 1.7% in afternoon trading in New York, to $1.216, before rallying.

The decline came after Germany announced plans to ban naked short-selling of shares from midnight local time on Tuesday. The single currency dropped by more than 2% against the yen on the news. Forex traders fear that the austerity measures being put in place in many eurozone countries will hit growth.

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Tags: Alliance Boots, American Express, Bank, Banking, BBVA, Blackstone, British airways, British Economy, British Land, Clydesdale, Council of Mortgage Lenders, Currency, Economics, Economy, Eric Schmidt, Financial News, George Osborne, Google, Government, Land Securities, Money, Money Management, Mortgages, News Corp, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Santander, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Vodafone, Willie Walsh

In the first statement coming out of Labour election headquarters, current U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson has put up an argument stating that the sitting government has the constitutional right for the “first go” in trying to remain in power when no party wins a majority in the House of Commons.

“The rules are, if it’s a hung parliament, it’s not the party with the largest number of seats that has the first go, it’s the sitting government,” Mandelson said. “After three terms in office, of course many people have turned away from the Labour Party but they haven’t embraced the Conservatives.” He added

According to a recent survey, manufacturing output and exports in the UK expanded at their fastest rate in 15 years. These findings meant that whichever party eventually wins the right to govern in the UK, are liable to inherit an economy already showing signs of recovery with manufacturing output growing by as much as two percent in the past three months. A growth level that suggests the manufacturing sector will make a significant contribution to second-quarter gross domestic product growth in the UK.

Recent figures also show that the next government are set to inherit a jobs market that, while currently still looking a little weak, looks is poised for recovery but still fragile. Unemployment stands at 2.5 million, or eight percent of the work force, far below the three million-plus predicted last year.

Channel 4 announced the public service broadcaster would boost the budget of its film division by a fifth this year to 10 million pounds. The decision returns Film 4’s budget to its 2007 level before the recession, and partly reflects a cautious confidence at the group. Chief executive David Abraham said the Digital Economy Act had also influenced the decision to increase investment in Film 4. The Act formally stated that as part of its public service remit, Channel 4 should make "high quality films" for cinema release in the UK.

Alliance Boots has replaced Marks & Spencer at the top of an annual ranking of UK companies by the strength of their corporate reputation. Boots, which enters the Reputation Institute’s UK Pulse Report for the first time, ranks first in the survey that measures corporate reputation among the general public. Other companies in the top 10 include Cadbury, Morrisons and Rolls Royce, with John Lewis Partnership, Debenhams, Sainsbury’s and Tesco among the top 20 places. In broadcasting, the BBC came ahead of ITV and BSkyB, and HSBC has become the top-ranked bank. Companies are selected by the organization based on revenue and visibility among the general public, but can decide whether or not to be included. There is no fee for inclusion.

Followers of Google’s UK-based email will now be able to have @gmail.com addresses, rather than @googlemail.com. The news comes after the search engine marketing giant won an arduous trademark battle with a British research company that had applied for the "gmail" name prior to Google launching its email service. After finally reaching a settlement, Google are now able to offer users that registered after 2005, a change to the shorter address of @gmail.com Google went on to use the @googlemail.com address for those that had registered after this time.

A spokesman for Google stated that the company was satisfied with the conclusion of the proceedings, saying:”We know how important email accounts are to users and we wanted to provide the best user experience possible. We engineered the infrastructure to enable users to switch their accounts to @gmail.com accounts should they choose, as well as directing all new users to set up @gmail.com accounts in the UK.”

Power and oil firm Essar Energy were left wishing that they had timed their entry onto the FTSE a little better than this week, after suffering the worst debut of a big London flotation since the early noughties. The group’s shares plummeted 7.2 percent to 389.5 pence on its first day of trading. The fall from the UK’s largest stock market listing in more than two years is the worst seen since HMV, the music retailer, dropped 7.5 percent in May 2002. Essar’s listing came on a challenging day for the markets, with the FTSE 100 index closing down 2.5 percent on the day

The Euro remains under heavy pressure, falling to below 1.27 against the dollar. The pound strengthened took a late slump against the dollar to 1.463 and at 1.550 against the Euro.

International rating agencies continue to voice concerns over the crisis of confidence which is spreading across Europe, with countries such as Portugal, Italy, Spain, Ireland and Britain looking unstable, as the public and politicians in Athens attempt come to terms with the harsh economic conditions which have come with the EEC and IMF bail-out. The European Commission has said it expects the Greek economy to shrink by 3% this year, amid continued market jitters over the country’s debt crisis.

Banking systems still face "very real, common threats" if doubts were raised about their governments’ abilities to pay debts.

Fears of another round of instability meant another volatile session for the FTSE 100 index, which saw it shed 80.9 points to close in 5261 as the UK also went to the polls, with the prospects of a hung Parliament looking very much a reality.

US mortgage giant Freddie Mac announced a loss of $8 billion (£5.3 billion) for the first three months of 2010. Reports from the company hint that they are liable to ask for a further $10.6 billion in state aid. The firm has made a number of federal cash requests since it was taken over by regulators in September 2008, whilst stating that as the US housing market has not yet fully recovered they would continue to be in need of continued government funding. If the latest request is granted, it will bring the total cost of the Freddie Mac rescue to $61.3 billion.

Stock exchange bosses and regulators were last night scrambling to explain the cause of a plunge in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which took the index down by the largest number of points in its history, setting off a short term panic in an already fragile financial market.

A little over an hour before the close of trading in New York. The result was a period of unprecedented chaos that also dragged in currency and credit markets. At 2.20 pm, EPT the Dow stood at 10,460, already down 400 points, when it suddenly tumbled 600 points with the space of just seven minutes to 9,869, a drop of 9.2 per cent, the largest points fall ever.

The Dow snapped back but continued to swing wildly until the close of trading, when it settled at 10,520.32, down 347.80 points on the day, a fall of 3.2 per cent. The NASDAQ also closed down 82.65 points to 2319.64.

US productivity grew at a better-than -expected annual rate of 3.6% in the first quarter of 2010, while a separate report showed that applications for jobless benefits dropped for a third week in a row.

The US economy has been growing since last summer, but firms have been reluctant to take workers back on, instead pushing smaller workforces to produce more, which has increased productivity – measured as the amount of output per hour of work.

Carmaker BMW has reported a return to profit compared with a year earlier and given an upbeat forecast for sales in the coming year.

The group reported a net profit of €324 million (£277 million) for the first quarter of 2010, compared to a loss of €150 million for the comparative period last year. Turnover was up 8% to €12.4 billion with the company reporting a 100% increase in sales in China as it did a year earlier

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Tags: Alliance Boots, Banking, BBC, BMW, British Economy, British Pound, BskyB, Cadbury, Channel 4, Conservatives, Credit Crunch, Currency, David Abraham, Debenhams, Digital Economy Act, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, election, Employment, Essar Energy, Film 4, Financial News, Freddie Mac, FTSE, Google, Government, HMV, House of Commons, HSBC, ITV, John Lewis Partnership, Labour party, Marks & Spencer, Money, Money Markets, Morrisons, NASDAQ, Peter Mandelson, Recession, Retail, Rolls-Royce, Sainsburys, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Tesco, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Unemployment

The announcements that Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) and Lloyds Banking Group are to sell off hundreds of branches has added a smile to the face of.

Alistair Darling as well as the European Commission, who had insisted that the banks sell off some of their branches. In a recent statement, the chancellor confirmed his opinion that the sales, were in the "best interest" of the wider UK banking sector.

Lloyds will dispose of more than 600 branches over the next four years, while RBS will sell 318 of their high street outlets. The Spanish banking group, Santander will be allowed to bid for Royal Bank of Scotland’s branches when they are put up for sale. Under competition rules agreed between London and Brussels, Santander will be eligible to bid for some of the branches as the currently hold less than 8 per cent of the UK small business lending market. Meanwhile, Sir Richard Branson is reported to be interested in moving into the world of high street banking as his Virgin Money group has applied to the Financial Services Authority (FSA) for a banking licence.

There are even some contentious rumors around that no less a company than PayPal might find them on the UK high street. Reports have it that PayPal already have an EU banking license, granted to them in May 2007, so why not a place for the outsiders!

Britain’s fourth-biggest supermarket group, WM Morrison have sent a message to their major suppliers that they will be looking for increased support for their increased and more aggressive promotion campaigns, The campaigns are aimed to increase their market share in what has become an increasingly competitive market. Morrison’s move comes as the prices of basic food stuffs begin to drop.

Europe’s biggest low-cost airline Ryanair announced on Monday that it is considering slowing down its rapid expansion program, and instead break with tradition by distributing cash earmarked to buy new aircraft to their shareholders instead. The company raised the possibility of the strategic shift while announcing a 46 per cent rise in second-quarter profits. The company has kept its full-year profit forecast steady, although they expect that figures for the third and fourth quarters will be less than rosy.

Sterling continued to weaken against the dollar, whilst rising slightly against the Euro and holding its own against the rest of the major currencies.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6398
• Pound/Euro 1.1168
• Pound/Japanese Yen 148.3102
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6874

The FTSE spent time under the 5,000-point mark on Tuesday with banking stocks taking the biggest toll. At close of trading, the FTSE 100 was seen to be holding its own on 5,037.2.

The FTSE 250 continues to suffer from a consistent run of heavy losses, falling more than 15% of its peal of 10,000 just a few weeks ago. At close of trading yesterday it was sitting on 8,756.68.

Troubled US commercial lender CIT Group, filed for bankruptcy on Sunday after attempts at a restructuring or bail-out failed. In a statement, CIT, who have been a key figure on the American banking scene for more than a century, announced that they had requested that the court quickly confirm its prepackaged bankruptcy plan. The plan, which has broad support from its debt holders, and in particular from Carl Icahn its billionaire investor. Icahn has agreed to provide a $1 billion line of credit, allowing the company to remain confident that they would be able to emerge from bankruptcy by the end of the year.

The US Dow Jones index made some recoveries from the last two days trading; up 61 points to 9,774.1 The NASDAQ were also fairly stable, reaching 2047.46.

The market was taken by surprise by the announcement of a swing to profitability by the auto manufacturing giant Ford. The company posted its first quarterly profit in more than a year, thanks to the implementation of cost-cutting and the government’s “cash-for-clunkers” rebates helped produce earnings of nearly $billion, or 29 cents a share, during the third quarter. Shares in Ford closed up 8.3 per cent at $7.58.

Australia’s economy continues to be the rising star of the global economies, so much so that it central bank has increased its interest rate for the second consecutive month, up a quarter percent to 3.5%. The Australian economy is the only one in the developed world to expand in the first half of 2009, with the continent largely managing to steer clear of recession, only entering into negative growth for the last quarter of 2008. The bank’s confidence was justifiably increased by the release last week of the lowest inflation figures in Australia for 10 years.

The price of gold price hit a fresh record high on Tuesday as India agreed to buy 200 tonnes of bullion from the International Monetary Fund. The move caused traders to speculate that there would be further purchases by the emerging economies. India’s purchase valued at around $6.7 billion, accounts for half of the IMF’s expected disposal of gold and signals a growing appetite among developing countries’ central banks for bullion in the wake of the global economic and financial crisis, coming after China had revealed earlier in the year that it had quietly almost doubled its gold reserves to become the world’s fifth-biggest holder.

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Millions of members of the UK community of retirees are looking at the dim prospect of receiving a pension hike of less than ten pounds a month when the new rates kick-in in April 2010 The reason for the minimal increase is that UK inflation on which pension rises are calculated. Is considerably less than the minimum of 2.5%. government pledge to annually increase the state pension.

Instead, recently released figures from the Office for National Statistics show that UK retail prices index registered actually recorded a fall of 1.4% for the year ending September 2008. This means that both state and public sector pensions, both of which are calculated according to September inflation, will reach only the minimum figure of 2.5%.

A spokesman for the charity, Age Concern rushed to state that at £97.65 a week the basic state pension was seriously inadequate to guarantee the UK elderly a reasonable standard of living. Thy went on to insist that the current pension system is in need of urgent reform that will ensure older people can live off their pensions without having to apply for benefit top ups.

A monthly study has shown that living costs for pensioners are rising at a rate much higher than those for younger people, with the elderly spend a disproportionate amount on energy bills and food.

This daunting piece of news for UK retirees is only the latest in a line of unexpected pitfalls they will have to bear. Recent studies have shown that not only are many Britons are dramatically reshaping their retirement plans to match a new reality. A reality that depicts those who were due to retire in the near future, are putting off their retirement for as long as possible as the reality hits home that those who are retiring today will need to live off less than what represents half of the UK national average wage.

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Tags: Age Concern, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Debt, Economy, Financial News, Government, Inflation, Interest Rates, Money, Money Management, Office for National Statistics, pensioners, Recession, Retail, retirees, Savings, state pensions, UK Economy, UK elderly, UK government, UK inflation

Government ministers will use this week’s Labour party conference to claim government action helped pull the country back from the economic abyss, while their Tory counterparts will as surely use their own conference next week to blame the government for the downturn’s depth.

According to the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) employers’ organisation, after the general election, public spending should be cut harder and faster than the government intends. The next government should aim to balance their books by 2015-16, which is two years earlier than the plan set out in this year’s Labour Party Budget. The feeling at the CBI is that while it was essential an incoming government laid out a “clear and credible” plan to get the budget back into balance, the organisation remains undecided whether the process of cutting spending should start next year, according to the opposition Conservative party’s proposals.

According to internal company data, Opel’s U.K. and Spanish car plants are more efficient than two of its three German factories. Figures for December show the Russelheim plant in Germany took almost 10 hours more to assemble a car than the Ellesmere Port factory in Britain and 14 hours more than in Zaragoza, Spain. These figures are likely be used by those demanding the European Commission “take a tough stand” on the sale of General Motors’s Opel unit to Magna International Inc. Job losses are expected to be heavier outside Germany under that proposal, which is being brokered by the German government.

The proposed UK government six pound telephone line tax due to be implemented by the end of 2010 has apparently raised some eyebrows in the business community. The proposal, aimed to partly fund the investment required for a new UK national broadband network. Has met with a surprising response from British business who claim that six pound per telephone line would prove insufficient and could hold back the UK broadband sector for some time to come. Government thinking is apparently that many consumers are already upset about the need to pay six pound every year, although they have no current access to broadband, and the government is trying to keep the cost per family down, but to what effect.

UK-based domestic insurance group HomeServe has sold its loss-making emergency repair services unit for £11 million. HomeServe Emergency Services (HES) was acquired by Midlands-based LDC, the private equity arm of Lloyds Banking Group. The division posted a loss for the first half of this year, and HomeServe was reportedly keen to sell it off, reducing its valuation by £97 million to make the sale. HES, who employ 2,400 people at offices in Norwich, Nottingham, and Beverley, is made up of three trading businesses, including HomeServe Glass and Locks, who provide and emergency glazing and locksmith service; HomeServe, Chem-Dry, who provide emergency restoration of water damage and accidental damage; and HomeServe Content Services, who have developed a software designed to assist insurance firms validate contents insurance claims.

The FTSE 100 registered its sharpest gain in three weeks on Monday, as it jumped 83.50 points to close on 5,165.70 The FTSE 250 reversed most of last week’s fall, up 108.96 points to 9169.40.

The pound continued to enjoy mixed fortunes against the major currencies.

• • Pound/US dollar 1.5879
• • Pound/Euro 1.10867
• • Pound/Japanese Yen 142.4182
• • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.64

Photocopier giant Xerox, already the world’s biggest supplier of digital printer and document management services, has unveiled a takeover deal which takes it into the fields of data management and technology outsourcing. The company is buying fellow US firm Affiliated Computer Services (ACS) in a cash and shares deal worth £4 billion.

Wall Street on Monday recorded its biggest daily gain for over a month after merger deals lifted investor confidence. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 124.17 points to 9,789.36. The NASDAQ jumped 39.82 to close on 2130.74. Last week, Wall Street suffered its biggest weekly loss since July after disappointing data on durable goods and housing sales.

Germany equities led European bourses higher on Monday aided by a particularly strong performance from the German utility sector, after Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democratic Union and her Free Democratic allies gained a majority in parliament on Sunday.

In a move designed to ease the impact of the global economic crisis on central and Eastern Europe, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development has appealed for an increase of 50 per cent in working capital.

The multilateral bank, controlled by some 60 governments, including European Union members, the US and Japan, is asking for an extra £9 billion (€10 billion,) necessary to expand their lending capabilities as well as compensating for a sharp decline in private capital flow, especially into the cash strapped former communist countries.

The bank’s move highlights the bank’s concerns that the region’s difficulties may be forgotten as world leaders grapple with the effects of the global crisis.

The yen rose to a seven-month high versus the dollar as Japan’s new government reiterated its opposition to intervening to stem a currency’s gain and the Federal Reserve pledged to keep interest rates low. Japan’s yen advanced 1.8 percent this week to 89.64 per dollar, from 91.29 on September the 18th at one point touching 89.51 yen, the strongest level for almost nine months.

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Tags: Affiliated Computer Services, Banking, Brighton conference, British Economy, British Pound, Confederation of British Industry, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Financial News, FTSE, General Motors, Gordon Brown, Government, HomeServe, HomeServe Emergency Services, Labour Party Budget, Magna International Inc, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Opel, Recession, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Wall Street, Xerox

History is in the making as for the first time ever, the Government and Bank of England all but control the UK banking sector.

Until now, the powers that be have set the Bank of England interest rate, but banks and building societies have had the option of whether to follow or not.

Tomorrow, Bank of England governor Mervyn King has a chance to write his place in the history books by taking the interest rate to the lowest ever since the bank opened for trading 314 years ago.

The monetary committee he chairs has four options:

·     Leave the rate as it is at 3%

·     Cut the rate by less than 1%, for instance by 0.25% or 0.5%

·     Cut the rate by 1% to 2% – a rate last seen in 1951

·     Cut the rate by more than 1% to enter a historic new era. 

For the first time, the Bank of England governor knows his actions will not be undermined by speculators in the banks because the Government now calls the shots in several of the UK’s biggest banks after bailing them out with billions of pounds of taxpayer’s cash.

The odds are a 1% cut as the bank was looking to cut the rate by up to 2.5% last month according to minutes of their meeting.

This makes economic sense as inflation is falling and dropping the rate frees up cash for businesses making loan repayments and homeowners with mortgages – both moves stimulate spending that is so badly needed to shift the country out of recession.

Retailers are falling like dominoes in the high street with manufacturing and construction in dire straits.

Cutting the interest is the single act that will promote a ‘feel good’ factor in the economy and put more money in people’s pockets rather than the paltry cut in VAT.

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Tags: Bank of England, Government, Inflation, Interest Rates, Mervyn King, UK interest rates

During these most extraordinarily difficult of times, more and more people are turning to their local churches, synagogues and mosques for help and advice in getting through the problems that we all face to some degree. Religious institutions from all faiths are reporting an upsurge in the number of people asking for help and guidance with financial issues. So what does the bible tell us about the current situation?

We are told that following 7 fat years, there will be 7 lean, referring to the cyclical nature of economics and prosperity…even in biblical times. The advice was to store up grain from the fat years to feed cattle during the lean so that, over the entire economic cycle, the biblical farmers wouldn’t suffer too much. This sounds like very sensible advice to me. So have we learned from 2000 years of boom and bust? Eh….no.

Unfortunately, our own government must have missed school the day that old currently apt piece of advice was talked about in class. They totally forgot to store up enough grain during the fat years to get us through the lean ones. What did they do instead? They spent it. The golden rule of borrowing no more than 40% of National Income now lies in ruins as Ernst and Young expect this figure to rise to near over 90% in 2009/10, saddling us all with more and more debt at the time that tax revenues are falling and disposable income is being pressured from all sides.

The upshot is that the rules to protect during a slowdown are basically thrown out the window as soon as the slow down arrives. Now, it looks like we will have a sustained lean period…but then the Old Testament was pretty heavy on punishment. It’s time to pay the piper for the good times.

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Tags: Economics, Ernst and Young, Financial Issues, Government, National Income

My heart really does go out to anyone who is about to retire at this time. What a horrible position they are in. Not only has the value of their investment pool lost about 40% of its value over the last year, if it’s been invested in equities, but interest rates are forecast to come down even further, hurting their annuity payments if they have a private pension plan. But that’s really only the start…the real pain could yet lie ahead.

Since it is expensive to protect against a high level of inflation in an annuity, the retiree faces a difficult choice. Do I take the maximum income now from my annuity now and hope that inflation comes down as the government and industry say it will, or do I plan for inflation to creep up faster and faster as I draw the income from my annuity? This is such a tough choice at even the best of times since the variables are unknown, but the current economic situation makes this balancing act even tougher.

For those who do not wish to make this choice right now with so much financial uncertainty, the current rules many force them into the decision. If you are approaching your 75th birthday and have yet to vest a pension pot, the law as it stands today says you must do it before your birthday. This forces otherwise prudent savers into taking these decisions at exactly the worst time. So not only must they take the decision, they have no idea if the government’s huge spending plans will ramp up inflation after the commodity and GDP growth cooling period has ended and the prevailing force in the inflationary world becomes the money supply, which is currently being expanded massively.

Thank heavens I’m only 38…because I would have no idea which way to turn if this type of decision was forced onto me…and I’m a highly qualified pension’s adviser!

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Tags: Current Economic Situation, Government, Interest Rates, Investment, Pension, Private Pension