Alistair Darling increased the levels of his undoubted popularity with the UK public by announcing some interesting cuts and about turns in his pre-budget cuts. The first was that VAT cut to 15% as recently as March in the Budget, is to be reversed as of 1 January 2010. Income tax bands are to be tampered with, meaning that people who earn £43,000 or more will feel the pain that little bit earlier. On the plus side national insurance bands are to be reduced downwards by a further 0.5% from April 2011, meaning that those earning less than £20,000 will no longer need to pay any contributions. State pensions and child benefits are also set to rise in April of next year.

Meanwhile it has been reported that U.K. consumer confidence stayed close to the highest level in the past eighteen months in November as shoppers have become more hopeful for the economy’s prospects in the coming year. 2010. The proportion of shoppers expecting the economy to worsen in the next six months fell to its lowest level since the survey began in 2004.

As expected, the Bank of England has held UK interest rates at the record low of 0.5%, whilst announcing that there are to be no changes to its programme of pumping newly-created money into the economy – so-called quantitative easing (QE). The Bank cut interest rates to 0.5% in March of this year in an attempt to boost the recession-hit economy while in November; they announced that another £25 billion would be injected into it, taking the total planned under QE to £200 billion. The bank is expected to wait until the current QE programme runs out in January before considering whether it should be expanded. As Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling announced earlier this week that he would rather suffer criticism for removing economic support too late than too early, Bank of England policy makers are waiting for the final quarter results to see if Britain has finally escaped the recession, and if the £200 billion spent to aid growth has finally brought some results..

Meanwhile in his pre-budget cuts speech, Darling appeared to back away from the bank bonuses issue, by announcing that there will be no windfall tax on banks, but they will pay a one-off levy of 50% on any bonus above £25,000

The number of loans approved for house purchase rose to 55,300 in October, up 9 percent from September and 43 percent higher on a year ago, the Council of Mortgage Lenders said on Thursday. According to an industry body, the amount of buyers has risen from its lowest point in January 2009 when only 23,000 loans were advanced. The number of loans for remortgaging remained weak, however, unchanged from September’s level of 33,000, one of the lowest levels since the series began in 2002.

Nokia have announced that they are to close their flagship store on London’s Regent Street, as a result of slow sales and poor customer traffic. The remainder of the company’s UK stores are to remain open. Nokia were reported to have spent £4 million creating the Regent Street store that was launched in February 2008, and will close in the first quarter of 2010, Seven other of Nokia’s UK stores, including its Heathrow Terminal 5 outpost, are set to receive a revamp.

Shares in Barclays Plc fell 3.2 percent, to 287.5 pence after allegations that they were withholding a “secret” $5 billion windfall profit from its purchase of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s North American brokerage, despite the fact that the gain was publicly disclosed before the sale closed 15 months ago.

Sterling continued to lose ground against the dollar on Thursday whilst rising slightly against the Euro, as implications of the UK government’s pre-Budget report weighed on the currency,

• Pound/US dollar 1.6278
• Pound/Euro 1.1058

After the UK finance minister forecast that the UK economy will shrink by 4.75 percent this year, rather than the earlier prediction of a 3.25 percent to 3.75 percent decline, the FTSE 100 fell by 0.37 percent to 5,203.89, while the FTSE 250 dropped by 1.24 percent to 8,919.49.

The US trade deficit unexpectedly narrowed in October as exports rose to their highest level in almost a year, official figures have shown.

The deficit fell to £20.2 billion ($32.9 billion), 7.6% lower than September’s downwardly revised $35.7 billion figure.

Helped by the weaker value of the dollar, US exports increased by 2.6% to $136.8 billion, led by civilian aircraft, cars and computer chips.

Imports rose 0.4% to $169.8 billion. Analysts had predicted the deficit to expand to $36.8 billion.

The value of US exports was the highest since November 2008, the figures from the Commerce Department showed.

The trade deficit is now expected to widen again in 2010 as the US economy continues to recover and consumers buy more imported goods.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 120 points to 10,405.83 and the NASDAQ also rose 21 points to close on 2,190.86.

According to the latest figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia’s unemployment rate fell in November to 5.7% from 5.8% in November, The figures came as a surprise to many analysts who had expected an increase to 5.9%. Australia is one of the few developed economies not to have fallen into recession like its counterparts throughout the world. The Australian economy has benefited from an increase in commodity prices, while exports have received a boost due to demand from China for its iron ore and other raw materials.

Official figures have revealed that orders for Japanese machinery orders fell by 4.5% in October compared with the previous month, with analysts expecting a fall of just 4.3%. The figures come just a day after the Cabinet Office revealed that the Japanese economy grew at a far slower rate in the third quarter than previous estimates showed.

Meanwhile, the price of crude oil dropped on new data from the US Energy Information Administration showing that gasoline stockpiles grew last week while demand declined. The price of oil dipped below $70 a barrel, falling to a two-month low, amid continuing concerns over demand.

US crude for January delivery fell 84 cents to $69.81 a barrel, before settling at $70.13 as it lost ground for the seventh consecutive day.

London Brent crude fell 81 cents to $71.58 a barrel.

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Tags: Alistair Darling, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Bank, Bank of England, Banking, Barclays, Barclays Plc, British Economy, British Pound, Cabinet Office, Council of Mortgage Lenders, Credit, Credit Crunch, Currency, Debt, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Finance, Financial News, FTSE, Global Credit Crisis, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc, Money, Money Markets, Mortgages, NASDAQ, Nokia, pre-budget cuts, Recession, Retail, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, VAT

The Treasury was "justified" in using taxpayers’ money to bail out banks to protect the wider financial system, according to an official report.

The National Audit Office (NAO) review said the cost to the UK public so far totalled £850 billion.

"It is difficult to imagine the scale of the consequences for the economy and society if major banks had been allowed to collapse," the NAO said.

It said that the final cost to the taxpayer will not be known for "years".

During the financial crisis, the UK government nationalized Northern Rock and took stakes in the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) and Lloyds Banking Group in return for bailing them out.

RBS also put £282 billion of its assets into a government insurance scheme for toxic assets.

Despite the fact that Royal Bank of Scotland has signaled that it will succumb to pressure to pay its high-flying investment bankers substantially less than rival institutions amid an escalating row with the government, it is feared that Alistair Darling may still be heading for a potentially disastrous showdown with the bank over their plans to pay £1.5 billion in bonuses to its staff.

RBS which is 70 per cent owned by taxpayers, is hoping to avoid the high-stakes showdown after it was forced to give the Treasury the final say over the total size of its bonus pool as a condition of signing up to a scheme that will insure £240 billion in toxic assets, with hints coming from the bank that pay-outs in its investment banking division would be “at the low, low end of the scale”. They also hastened to send out a veiled threat, that reduced pensions and bonuses could meant them losing experienced staff to competitors. The bank is confident of forging an agreement with the government after it emerged that RBS directors had sought legal advice about whether they would have to resign if the Treasury vetoed pay deals agreed by the board, Darling, who to be granted the right to veto bonus payments at the bank, is left with a dilemma of waving through potentially huge bonus pay-outs at RBS just months before a general election or plunging the bank, which has already received unprecedented support from taxpayers despite widespread fury over bonus levels, into further crisis.

The value of UK commercial real estate debt in default or in breach of key lending agreements more than doubled to about £30 billion in the first six months of the year, adding pressure on the banking sector, a survey has revealed. Banks have also extended or refinanced an extra £16 billion in the first-half of the year, rolling over maturing debt that could not be paid back by cash-strapped borrowers or restructuring loans when breaches were threatened owing to the steep fall in values. This strategy has been dubbed “extend and pretend”, with some banks even refusing to test loan covenants, given a reluctance to crystallize losses by selling the property asset or the debt attached to it. De Montfort University, which compiles the most comprehensive study of the sector, announced that banks are beginning to deal with the massive £224 billion of outstanding debt to the real estate sector.

Lord Mandelson, business secretary, on Friday issued a blunt warning to Kraft and hedge fund investors that they will face “huge opposition” from the British government if a takeover of Cadbury is used as a means to make “a fast buck” The comments represent a government intervention that is unprecedented in recent years, extending the business minister’s policy of “industrial activism” into a live bidding situation. Meanwhile a strategy appears to be emerging to fend off a hostile takeover from Kraft. The Cadbury strategy emphasizes the value of its brand image and its emerging markets footprint as well as highlighting the progress made on during their restructuring program

Kingfisher, the owner of B&Q DIY stores, has cut net debt by 90 per cent since the start of 2008 and on Thursday confirmed its debt burden at the end of the financial year will be lighter than previously forecast. Net debt fell to £200 million in the third quarter and Kingfisher forecasts net debt of about £300 million at its year end in January, an improvement on previous guidance, which was for £800 million.

The pound continued to lose value strongly against the dollar and the Euro before the weekend.

• Pound/US dollar 1.471
• Pound/Euro 1.1086

U.K. stocks climbed, with the FTSE 100 Index extending this week’s advance, after a government report showed the U.S. rate of unemployment declined in November.

The FTSE 100 climbed 9.36 points to 5,322.36, bringing this week’s gain to 1.5 percent. The measure has rebounded 52 percent from its low on March 3 as governments committed about $12 trillion and central banks cut interest rates to record lows to end the global recession and revive credit markets.

US labor Department figures show that unemployment rate fell in November to 10% from 10.2% in October, meaning that 11,000 jobs went over the month, a figure far lower than expected by most analysts.

On Friday’s trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.2 per cent to 10,388.22 and the NASDAQ was up 1 per cent to 2,194.35.

The price of gold price has taken a surprise slump after surprisingly positive US unemployment data sent the US dollar higher, making gold a less attractive investment.

Gold fell more than $65, or 5%, to $1,161.4 an ounce, down from a record high of $1,226.56 in early trading.

After the release of figures showing that the US jobless rate was on the decrease, the dollar gained 2% on the Japanese yen and 1.3% on the euro.

As the dollar weakened due to low interest rates in the US, gold has hit a number of record highs in recent weeks

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Tags: Alistair Darling, B&Q DIY, Bank, Banking, British Economy, Cadbury, Currency, De Montfort University, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Employment, Financial News, FTSE, Global Credit Crisis, Gold, Kingfisher, Kraft, Lloyds Banking Group, Lord Mandelson, Money, Money Markets, NAO, NASDAQ, National Audit Office, Northern Rock, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, taxpayer, Treasury, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US labor Department

There were one or two petted lips around Westminster yesterday in response to governor of the Bank of England Mervyn King’s call for Britain’s biggest banks to be split up to prevent the possibility of a financial crisis of similar proportions to the one that the UK is going through, in the future. Particularly peeved were Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling who even went as far as rebuking. Mr. King for his comments. King was seemingly unfazed at their comments.

According to Terry Duddy, chief executive of Home Retail Group, owners of the Argos and Homebase chains, the rise in VAT due on January 1 could act as a major for sales of large value items in the weeks leading up to the increase. Whilst announcing that the company had returned to profit in the six months to August 29, , Duddy said went on to announce a rise in consumer confidence and that his company was more optimistic about the outlook for the fourth quarter.

Chocolate kings, Cadbury have subtly increased the pressure on Kraft to raise its proposed £10 billion ($16.6billion) takeover offer. They did so through reporting unexpectedly strong third-quarter trading figures, surpassing even the toughest analysts’ expectations, The Company have succeeded in raising its full-year revenue targets to the “middle” of its 4-6 per cent goal range. Cadbury announced quarterly revenue growth of 7 per cent, which they claimed had been achieved by increasing prices and profit margins, despite a fall in turnover for the period of percent. Correspondingly, Cadbury had made considerable efforts to cut costs and reduce market spending. Since Kraft announced its offer proposal in early September, indications are that investors expect the US food group to pay at least 800 pence per share, while the current cash and shares proposal values Cadbury’s equity at 731pence a share. In the light of the recent results, some investment banks have revalued the target price on Cadbury to 900 pence, however a Kraft offer at this level is considered unlikely, unless counter-bidders suddenly emerge. The consensus is that Kraft will succeed with their offer, if it comes back with a 50-50 split of cash and stock bid of around 825 pence per Cadbury share. Kraft are understood to be considering returning with a formal offer but may wait until after its third-quarter results on November 3, while the UK Takeover Panel has set Kraft a final deadline of November 9 to make a formal offer.

Sterling continued its steady rise against the ever weakening dollar, recovering against the Swiss Franc. whilst faltering against the Euro.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6606
• Pound/Euro 1.1093
• Pound/Japanese Yen 151.6918
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6587

The FTSE 100 lost out on some of yesterday’s gains, down 33.79 points to close on 5257.85 The FTSE 250 25 shed all of the previous days gains. Down 143.60 points to close on.9421,04

Morgan Stanley has returned to profit after three quarterly losses in a row, after reporting a net income of £457m in the third quarter of 2008. The bank’s investment banking division fared particularly well with underwriting revenues up 74% from 2008 levels. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo, the country’s fourth-largest bank, reported record $3.2bn profits for the quarter, reporting that revenues from mortgages and consumer credit had surged.

Despite that positive news, the Dow Jones was down for the second consecutive day, yesterday by 92.12 points to crash below the ten thousand points on 9949.36. The NASDAQ Composite index also continued to fall, this time by 12.74 points to close on 2,150.73.

Recent reports continue to speculate that US companies who received billions of dollars of government aid in the financial crisis are to be forced to cut any excessive salary packages awarded to their leading executives. Of the seven companies that received the highest aid from the US Treasury will be obliged to reduce the basic salaries of their 25 best-paid employees, by up to nine tenths of the salary packages, while each firm’s 125 top earners would be see their pay slip cut in half, under the US government plan. There has been widespread outrage in the US over the high level of bonuses paid by firms that not so long ago were forced top go to the government cap in hand and ask for government help to stave of bankruptcy .

Figures just published confirm that China has exceeded its target for economic growth in the third quarter, for the first time this year. Chinese government figures show year on year GDP growth was up 8.9% from 7.9% in the previous quarter. Chinese officials have also said they are sure they will reach their full year target of 8% for economic growth, with the economy grewing by 7.7% in the nine months to September.

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Tags: Alastair Darling, Argos, Bank of England, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Brown, Cadbury, Currency, Darling, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Employment, Financial News, FTSE, Global Credit Crisis, Gordon Brown, Home Retail Group, Homebase, Kraft, Mervyn King, Money, Money Management, Money Markets, Morgan Stanley, NASDAQ, Recession, Terry Duddy, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US Treasury, Wells Fargo

The Nationwide Building Society Nationwide have recently announced that they are to substantially increase the discount on offer for first-time home buyers that participate in the company’s mortgage reservation scheme with the offer applying to three-, four-, and five-year fixed-rate mortgages in the meantime. In addition, the Nationwide are offering a complementary combined reservation and legal fee option to borrowers who are planning to move home. These offers, as well as similar, have been designed to reduce the initial lay outs involved in acquiring a property. A spokesman for the Nationwide is the world’s largest building society and one of the largest mortgage lenders in the UK predicted that with these measures they have removed some of the barriers that may have prevented people from buying a property.

In a bid to satisfy European authorities, the Royal Bank of Scotland may have no option but to either close down or farm out 312 of its branches operating s in England and Wales under the RBS banner and serving more than one million small businesses. The EU competition commissioner, Neelie Kroes appears to be forcing the RBS ’hand as they EU looks for substantial disposals to compensate for billions of pounds of taxpayer support as well as to finance the bank’s involvement in the UK Treasury’s toxic asset insurance scheme. The bank’s proposals to the EU, which are not liable to involve the company’s NatWest branch network in England and Wales, are thought to be in a well advanced state of negotiation.

The Icelandic government have announced that they have reached a fresh agreement with the UK government over the reimbursing the 400,000 savers who lost money when Icesave owner Landsbanki collapsed, leaving debts of around £3 billion. The original ruling was rejected by the UK and Netherlands governments, meaning a new bill will go before Iceland’s parliament for final agreement some time today.

A number of UK based manufacturers are combining efforts to promote the ‘Buy British’ angle in their marketing campaigns. among them are amusement ride manufacturer Amusement Technical, who, among others, want to take full advantage of the low exchange rate between sterling and the Euro to increase their export activities. A spokesman for the company explained that the low value of Sterling created a considerable opportunity for UK manufacturers competing for business in the Eurozone. The obvious downturn is that products and raw materials imported from the same region will be considerably more expensive.

The pound continued to rise in a volatile week’s trading, climbing 0.4% against the euro and 0.2% versus the dollar.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6303
• Pound/Euro 1.10989
• Pound/Japanese Yen 148.2221
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6658

The FTSE 100 fell 32.71 points on 5190.24 on Friday’s trading. The FTSE 250 dropped also shed some of its gains before the weekend, down 58.97 points to close on 9,426.20.

Bank of America have reported net losses of £612 million ($1billion) for the three months from July to September, a figure much worse than analysts predicted. The figure compares with a net profit of $3.2 billion in the second quarter of 2009 and $1.2 billion for the same period of last year. Bank of America is the fourth major US bank to report their third quarter results which are the least impressive so far.

The Dow Jones index took a tumble on Friday’s trading, falling below the 10,000 points mark, achieved during the week’s trading. The index fell 67.03 points to 9995.91 while the Nasdaq Composite index dropped 16.49 points to 2,156.8

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Tags: Amusement Technical, Bank, Bank of America, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Global Credit Crisis, Icelandic government, Icesave, Landsbanki, Money, Money Markets, Mortgage, mortgage seekers, NASDAQ, Nationwide, Nationwide Building Society, NatWest, Netherlands government, RBS, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland, Savings, UK Banks, UK government, UK Recession

It seems such a short time ago that people who invested all of their money in the stock market were regarded as being "risqué," and those who kept their money in the bank in short and long term deposit accounts were described as being "sensible". Well that role has certainly been reversed over the last crazy year or so, when the financial world turned upside down for so many.

Nowadays people who still have money on deposit at the bank are regarded as being some form of masochists, and no less than the banks themselves. With interest rates seemingly stuck forever on 0.5%, money left in a bank account is not only gathering dust, it is also paying for the privilege. On the other hand, the FTSE can almost do no wrong. And it has been that way for more than half a year, when the first indications that the global economic downturn might not last forever began to look evident. Sufficient to say that, the FTSE 100 rose by 21% in the third quarter of 2009, and 45% since March the highest percentage rises since the exchange was created in 1983. At current interest levels, investors would have to leave their money in the bank for around 7 years to earn that kind of return on their investment.

Leading economists argue that by trying to jump start the economy, the UK government has damaged national growth for the foreseeable future, with the only way that the situation can be reversed is to put an end to the stimulus passage and increase interest rates. They go on to suggest that as soon as the government does increase interest rates, only then will the stock market boom begin to fizzle out. That will be the time for the smart investor to release their equity exposure and return most if not all their capital to their bank account and earn some reasonable interest. Like the good old days.

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Tags: Bank Account, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Currency, Economic Downturn, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Global Credit Crisis, Interest Rates, Investment, Money, Money Management, Recession, Savings, stimulus passage, stock market, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession

For the third consecutive month of increase, UK housing prices have increased. They are reported to have risen by as much as 1.6% in September. Housing prices in the UK continue to remain considerably lower than in September 2008, as much as 7.4 percent. However since the end of 2008, prices have grown by 1.7 percent as increased demand and reduced inventory have combined to push housing prices up, especially in the recent months. House prices increased by 2.8% in the third quarter of 2009, making for the first rise since the third quarter of 2007, and the largest percentage growth since the first quarter of the same year. The increased demand for property is believed to stems from improved affordability, and the reduction in both interest rates.

It may come to pass that the U.K.’s largest government-controlled bank, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS) may have to surrender more than ten percent of their one million small business customers, The reason being that the European Commission has imposed a penalty on the RBS for receiving billions of pounds of state aid. Currently it is reported that the RBS, in a move designed to reduce their credit card risk portfolio are only issuing new cards to existing clients.

The Office for National Statistics has announced that U.K. manufacturing output has slumped 1.9% from the month in August whilst dropping 11.3% on a yearly basis. The wider industrial production measure fell 2.5% from July and slid 11.2% from August 2008.

The FTSE 100 rose by 2.26 percent on yesterday’s trading, or 113.65 points to close on 5137.98. The FTSE 250 was still on the rise, but at a reduced pace, closing up a further 25.12 points to close for the day on 9,226.35.

The pound made a minor recovery against the leading currencies, while continuing to hover around $1.60. The Sterling’s latest bout of weakness surrounding Sterling began after UK industrial production was shown to have slumped in August. Additional statistics released on Wednesday show that corporate profitability in the UK had deteriorated for a fifth successive quarter and is standing at its lowest level since 2001.

• Pound/US dollar 1.5958
• Pound/Euro 1.10863
• Pound/Japanese Yen 141.422
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.64861

Europe’s largest discount airline, Ryanair Holdings Plc set aside as being of “no substance” recent reports claiming that the company is preparing to take control of Aer Lingus Group Plc through a rights issue. In another sign of the advantage that short-haul, low-cost carriers such as EasyJet hold over long-haul flag carriers during the current downturn, the company announced that it had handled more than 4.4 million passengers in September, an increase of 5.3 per cent over the corresponding month in 2008. The increase, the largest since April, was well above the 4.7 per cent rise the airline recorded in August, traditionally one of its busiest months. In any event, stock in EasyJet fell 0.3 percent, to 3.38 Euros.

According to Sir Terry Leahy, chief executive of Tesco, the worst is over for the UK economy as well as for the U.K.’s premier food retailer. Sir Terry’s revelation came after Tesco’s announced pre-tax profit for the first half of its financial year rose that had risen by 1 per cent to £1.42 billion. Sir Terry prediction is that that the UK would see a “slow and steady recovery” as the money pumped into the economy to stimulate it had to be paid back. He added that uncertainties over the financial outlook for 2010, such as public sector cuts, the proposed increase in value added tax and the threat of rising unemployment, would not be sufficient to prevent “a gradual recovery. Sir Terry also defended Tesco’s performance in the US, where its Fresh & Easy chain has reported losses of £85 million in the six months to the end of August. Shares in Tesco rose 0.4 percent, to 391.4 pence.

The management team at Matalan have reportedly held several meetings over the past few weeks to examine strategic options for the discount clothing and home-ware retailer. Subjects on the agenda included the possible sale of the company during 2010 with an asking price of around £1.5 billion pounds. If a sale was to go through, and discussions are at a very early stage, company founder John Hargreaves would be liable to realise hundreds of millions of pounds in profits from the sale. Matalan have invested significant sums of money in revamping their 200 UK stores have reported solid profits for June.

Shares in Vodafone, the World’s largest mobile phone service providers were under pressure for a second day, dropping 2 per cent to 137 pence. The share price fall could be attributed to a culmination of factors, among them, fears of a price war in India, and analyst’s predictions that AT&T was considering opening their mobile network to third-party voice applications such as Skype. A move that would put pressure on Vodafone’s Verizon Wireless division to emulate.

In the year to 30 September, the US budget deficit more than tripled to a record £877 billion ($1.4 trillion) according to US Congress estimate figures recently released. Analysts had previously predicted a slightly higher deficit but later revised their estimate, which has been attributed to increased government spending coupled with a huge drop in tax revenues. The actual deficit will be released by the Treasury Department later this month.

The Dow Jones index dropped a little on yesterday’s trading, closing on 9725.58, down 5.67 points. The NASDAQ index continued to rise, but at a slower pace, up just 6.76 points to close on 2,110.33.

The White House have announced that it was weighing policy options designed to create new jobs to ease the burden on America’s unemployed, currently numbering more than 15 million. A spokesman for the President hasted to rule out speculation that a second stimulus to provide a further boost to the US economy was on the cards. The majority of US economists believe that the country was on track to move out of recession. However the black cloud of increasing unemployment is hanging over the picture, with unemployment figures hitting 9.8 per cent, the highest rate since 1982.

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Tags: Aer Lingus Group Plc, AT&T, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, EasyJet, Economy, Employment, European Commission, Financial News, Fresh & Easy, FTSE, Global Credit Crisis, House Prices, Matalan, Money, NASDAQ, Office for National Statistics, property, RBS, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, Ryanair Holdings Plc, Sir Terry Leahy, Skype, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Tesco, The White House, Treasury Department, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK industrial production, UK Recession, Unemployment, US budget, US Congress, US economy, Verizon Wireless, Vodafone

Rumour has it that meetings have been taking places in countries with emerging economies such as India, China, and Brazil along with some of the current key players in the global economy, particularly certain Gulf States as well as Japan and Russia. These clandestine meetings are being held in the offices of finance ministers and central bank governors and they are discussing what was once considered unthinkable. The replacement of the US dollar as the World’s staple currency, especially when it comes to fixing the price of major commodities, crude oil and gold in particular.

Speculation about the switch is believed to be the force behind the sudden rise in the price of gold.

Apparently, key forces within the American financial institutions are aware of the discussions that are taking place, although they are being kept in the dark regarding specific details. According to unconfirmed reports, the US is particularly upset with their allies in Japan and the Gulf states, and are not expected to accept the matter lying down. By and large, if the dollar loses its place as the number one global currency, a risk of deepening divisions between Russia, China and the US over influence and commodities could become more intense.

Financial analysts predict that the transitional currency, should the move away from dollars actually transpire may not be another currency, and more likely gold. One thing for sure is that if the dollar falls of its plateau, particularly hard hit will the countries such as Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, Kuwait and Qatar who are estimated to be holding more than $2. trillion in dollar reserves.

The decline of American economic power linked to the current global recession has been offset by China’s extraordinary rise as an emerging economic superstar. China today imports around sixty percent of its oil, much of it from the Middle East and Russia, and exports no fewer than 10 per cent of the imports of every country in the Middle East. These imports include a huge range of products from cars to weapon systems, food and clothing making it understandable why China would want to deal away from the now unstable and rapidly weakening dollar, especially when financial sources believe President Barack Obama will to too busy involved in saving the US economy to concentrate on the extraordinary implications of the transition from the dollar in 2018.

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Tags: Abu Dhabi, Banking, Barack Obama, Brazil, China, Credit Crunch, Crude oil, Currency, Economy, Financial News, Global Credit Crisis, global recession, Gold, Gulf States, India, Japan, Kuwait, Money, Money Markets, Qatar, Recession, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Stock Markets, UD Dollar

The UK economy has contracted at a reduced rate for the April to June quarter. Gross domestic product (GDP) was reported to have fallen by 0.6% compared with the previous quarter, an improvement on the previous estimate of a 0.7% contraction. The latest improvement, coming mostly from the manufacturing and construction sectors, suggests that the UK is in recovery mode, and may even have grown in the third quarter.

Union leaders have accused Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) bosses of "taking another trip to Fantasy Island" over promises that there would be no job losses when a West Midlands plant is closed. Dave Osborne, national secretary for the UK car industry for Unite the union, launched a ferocious attack on JLR’s plans to close either Land Rover at Solihull or Jaguar at Castle Bromwich. Meanwhile, politicians in Coventry have reacted with surprise and sadness at Jaguar’s decision to close its wood veneer manufacturing centre at its Browns Lane plant, employing close to 400 people, within the next two years. In a recent interview, a JLR executive pledged that no job losses would come from the plant closure. However Osborne remained skeptical vowing that unions would not accept attacks on pensions nor reduced salary levels for new recruits

The word is that high street giant Marks & Spencer could have better news for investors after a difficult 18 months in second-quarter trading figures due out this week. After a 40% fall in annual profits shareholders had been hit by the first M&S dividend cut in nine years. However, recently chief executive Sir Stuart Rose has indicated that business had been steadily improving. First-quarter sales figures showed a further decline but were better than expected, causing M&S shares to increase in value by almost 25% since the end of May. At the time of the results, Sir Stuart warned that margins would shrink by up to 1.75% in the current year as the firm invested in price cuts and as a weaker pound harmed purchasing power.

Orange rated the UK’s third largest mobile operator in terms of subscribers, has pulled off a coup by signing a deal with Apple to market its popular iPhone in Britain. The deal, represents a significant setback for O2, currently the largest mobile operator in the country, who had held the exclusive British network for the iPhone. Orange is expected to start selling the iPhone in October, in time for the Christmas sales period.

The world’s leading supplier of heating and plumbing products Wolseley, have issued a warning of more job cuts, stating that it was impossible to predict when the difficult trading conditions might end. Wolseley have had to take drastic action to cope with the recession, among them reducing staff by 28,073, representing almost one third of their workforce. The company also initiated a £1 billion rights issue earlier this year as well as spinning its US building materials business, Stock Building Supply, into a joint venture.

London equities moved a little lower by the close after US markets slipped backwards following disappointing consumer confidence data. Financial stocks kept the FTSE 100 anchored over the 5,100-point mark. On yesterday’s trading, the FTSE 100 held firm, dropping just 5.98 points to close on 5,159.72, while the FTSE 250 continued to rise, up a further 46.17 points to 9,215.57

The pound made a recovery yesterday against the major currencies.

• Pound/US dollar 1.5928
• Pound/Euro 1.10939
• Pound/Japanese Yen 143.6783
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6531

The Dow Jones Industrial Average made a minor downwards adjustment dropping 6.8 points to close on 9,782.56. The NASDAQ remained stable, dropping just 1.13 points to 2129.61.

An unexpected fall in US consumer confidence for September, suggests that Americans are not as convinced that the economic recovery is as close as US policymakers would have them believe. The Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board business organisation slipped to 53.1 in September from 54.5 in August.

Meanwhile Japan’s core consumer prices dropped for the fourth successive month, 2.4% in August year-on-year, largely due to lower petrol and other energy costs as well as weak domestic demand.

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Tags: Apple, British Economy, British Pound, Consumer Confidence Index, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dave Osborne, Dow Jones, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, GDP, Global Credit Crisis, gross domestic product, iPhone, Jaguar Land Rover, JLR, Marks & Spencer, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, O2, Orange, Recession, Retail, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Wolseley

World leaders announced the Group of 20 nations is replacing the G-8 as the main forum for global economic coordination, reflecting a shift in power from rich countries to emerging markets. The G-8 is not due to be disbanded, instead it will focus on development and security matters. The transfer of influence to the broader group, whose membership ranges from the U.S. to China to Saudi Arabia, symbolizes the fact that the richest industrial nations now lack the sway to govern the world economy alone after their excesses sparked the turmoil that tipped the globe into recession. At the end of a two-day G20 summit, hosted by US President Barack, the world’s leading nations have agreed tough new regulations designed to prevent another global financial crisis. The measures will relate to the amount of money banks have to hold in reserve and to excessive pay for bankers. With a recovery now underway, leaders are trying to temper the excesses that helped trigger the worst financial crisis in seven decades and the deepest recession since World War II. At the same time, richer governments acknowledge they now lack the ability to govern the world economy alone as power shifts to emerging markets such as China.

Before setting of for Pittsburgh, Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling, announced the appointment of Stephan Wilcke as chief executive of the Asset Protection Agency (APA) The APA has been established to oversee the £585 billion toxic asset insurance scheme, reckoned to be the biggest and perhaps riskiest deal the government has signed:

Wilcke, a former management consultant and private equity boss, will lead a team of up to 50 staff to enforce ensure that Britain’s part-nationalised banks properly manage their impaired loans. Expectations are that Mr. Wilcke’s task will be complicated, not least because the banks have trouble explaining how some of the exotic assets work, due to the fact that many of the officials who agreed the loans left the banks long ago. RBS agreed earlier this year to insure £325 billion of toxic assets while Lloyds aimed to include £260 billion of loans; Lloyds is now trying to raise private capital to limit its participation.

Total business investment in the UK dropped a seasonally adjusted 10.2% sequentially in the second quarter, better than a 10.4% fall estimated previously. Economists expected the decline to be 10.4%. In the first quarter, investments were down a revised 8.9%. In the manufacturing sector, business investments fell 16.2%, faster than a revised 4.6% fall in the first quarter. In the non-manufacturing sector, investments fell 9.5%, more or less the same fall than in the first quarter of 2009. On a yearly basis, business investments fell 21.8%, more than the 18.4% drop that had been estimated, and considerably more than the revised 9.8% fall in the first quarter. Economists expected the decline to remain at 18.4%.

An 18-month high for British Sky Broadcasting helped keep the FTSE 100 steady on Friday, rising 2.4 per cent to 359¾ pence, making them the top blue-chip performer for the week.

Meanwhile, ITV closed 3.5 per cent lower at 44 ¾ pence after refusing to meet the pay demands of prospective chief executive Tony Ball.

JJB Sports, which narrowly avoided administration this year, revealed that first-half losses had almost tripled after problems with stock took a heavy toll on sales and profit margins.

The sportswear retailer struggled to convince suppliers to keep trading with it after breaching its banking covenants last year. The lack of goods in stores saw sales fall 43 per cent to £178.6 million. This translated into a rise in pre-tax losses from £14.8 million to £42.9 million. Shares in the company fell by 2.5 percent to 38.5 pence. .

Shares in 3i Group declined 3.1 percent to 279 pence after the pace of new investments dropped as a lack of debt financing nearly brought the buyout market to a halt. The company have invested £155 million pounds (in the five months through August, compared with the £622 million in the same period of 2008.

British Airways sank 4.3 percent to 220 pence as brokers announced that heir mid-cycle share-price valuations were reached “far earlier than expected.”

Europe’s largest discount airline Ryanair Holdings Plc had their shares slide by 3.4 percent to 3215 pence as the company lowered their estimate for passenger growth while maintaining its earnings forecast.

The FTSE 100 made a minor upward adjustment by an impressive 2.93 points to close on 5,082.20, giving the index a 1.8 per cent decline for the week, while the FTSE 250 continued its free fall on Friday, down 32.58 points to 9060.44.

The pound has hit a four-month low against the dollar, a day after Mervyn King the head of the Bank of England stated this less than welcome opinion that a weak currency was "helpful" to the economy. The pound fell as low as $1.5917, the lowest since early June and then edged back to $1.5939. The pound is still well above the levels hit early in the year when it traded below $1.50 against the dollar. The pound also dropped to a fresh five-month low against the Euro. Another factor hastening the decline in sterling value was renewed fears that interest rates would remain low as G20 leaders announced that their stimulus measures would remain place well into 2010.

• Pound/US dollar 1.5939
• Pound/Euro 1.10858
• Pound/Japanese Yen 143.0041
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.639

Wall Street on Friday made its biggest weekly loss since July after a surprise drop in the sale of durable goods prompted a sell-off in the industrials sector.

New orders for long-lasting goods, from fighter jets to washing machines, fell 2.4 per cent in August, adding to investor concerns over the pace of economic recovery.

Analysts had been expecting a modest rise of 0.4 per cent compared to a 4.8 per cent gain in July, when car sales were boosted by the cash-for-clunkers scheme.

After opening in negative territory, stocks were lifted by data showing consumer confidence was higher than expected this month. Disappointing new home sales soon renewed investors’ concerns and Wall Street gave up its fleeting gains

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to fall going into the weekend down 42.25 points to 9,665.19. The NASDAQ also dropped by 16.69 point to close on 2090.92.

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Tags: 3i Group, Alistair Darling, Asset Protection Agency, Bank, Bank of England, Banking, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, British Sky Broadcasting, cash for clunkers, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, economic recovery, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, G20, G8, Global Credit Crisis, ITV, JJB Sports, Lloyds, Mervyn King, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, RBS, Recession, Ryanair Holdings Plc, Stephan Wilcke, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Tony Ball, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Wall Street

As the dust finally begins to settle on what has been the UK’s toughest recession since World War Two, facts and figures show that the epi-center of London chic survived and possibly even prospered while High Street shopping not only in Britain but around the World took a major dive.

According to a recent comprehensive survey of the world’s top shopping areas, London’s most expensive shopping streets have not only withstood the economic downturn better than almost all other rivals, but have emerged form it in very good shape.

Some of the highly exclusive retail stores situated in New Bond Street were happily absorbing rental increase of around 7 per cent in the year ending June 2008, one of the worst years in shopping history. At the same time sharp decreases in rental income were reported on many of the other famous centres of shopping for the privileged, with no less than New York’s Fifth Avenue featuring pretty high up on the list.

Property consultants speak in hallowed tones of the continued attraction of the West End of London for local and international shoppers. An attraction that made sure that rents remained resilient despite weakness in the rest of the UK.

In general, UK’s high street property income has witnessed a decline of 2.4 per cent during the year ending June. 2009

Despite the downturn in the economy and the retail sector in general, London’s West End continues to perform well and rental outlets remain almost impossible to find in such famous shopping institutions as Oxford Street, Regent Street and New Bond Street.

During the last six months, several internationally recognized retailers have opened their doors in Central London, among them the Sting, Pull and Bear, Missoni, Anthropologie, Kronometry and True Religion.

Despite London’s rises to supremacy as a key shopping centre for the rich and famous, Fifth Avenue remains the world’s most expensive street, where retailers can expect to pay an annual £1,000 per sq ft per year. Paris’s Avenue des Champs-Elysées remains Europe’s most expensive retail address, while Hong Kong’s Causeway Bay the most expensive in the Asia Pacific region.

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Tags: Anthropologie, Avenue des Champs-Elys, British Economy, British Pound, Causeway Bay, Credit Crunch, Economic Downturn, Economics, Economy, Fifth Avenue, Financial News, Global Credit Crisis, High Street shopping, Kronometry, Missoni, Money, New Bond Street, Oxford Street, Pull and Bear, Recession, Regent Street, Retail, Sting, True Religion, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK Recession, West End