As the UK’s emergence from the recession gains slow but steady momentum recent predictions from the Bank of England show that the number of jobs available on the market are unlikely to deteriorate any further, Reasons given are that most UK companies are doing the maximum to maintain current staff levels to cope with the anticipated upturn in demand.

According to spokesman for the BOE, the banks findings were that although employment had fallen during the recession, it was much less than the comparative fall in output. Figure confirm that although unemployment had risen in the last two years, it was much less pronounced than during the previous two periods of recession in the 1980s and 1990s, although the current recession was much more severe. Despite that slightly rosy report, the fact remains that unemployment benefit claims jumped in January to the highest level since Labour rose to power almost 13 years ago.

According to a European Commission (EC) report due to be published later this week, the UK government’s plans to reduce their budget deficit are far from being realistic as well as lacking in ambition

The EC report went on to warns hand out a warning that if the UK continues on their current path, the will not be able to cut their deficit to meet the deadline set by the EU rules by 2015. The EU are insisting that

Deficits in their member countries must be less than three percent of their gross domestic production (GDP) by then. To show how far the UK is lagging behind is that the GDP in the UK is expected to be as high as 12.6% or £178 billion.

British Airways, facing imminent strike action from their cabin crew, have revealed their contingency plans to cope with the crisis. The plans, if they need arises to put them into action, will allow it to the airline to handle around 60% of its scheduled flights, with 45,000 passengers taking their seats during the first stage of the strike, due to begin on the 20th of March, .

Those who BA will be unable to transport will be given the option of flying with other airlines. Meanwhile plans for the second round of strikes will be announced nearer the date. Of the almost two thousand flights scheduled during the strike dates, more than half will need to be cancelled. However BA expects that all of their long-haul flights and more than half of short-haul flights taking off from Gatwick airport will take place.

Another sign that all is not well with the UK travel industry is the news that UK’s airports handled 7.4% fewer passengers in 2009 than in the previous year, making for the largest decline in traffic in history

The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) also announced that this was the first time that passenger traffic had fallen for two consecutive years, with charter flights being especially hit, down by 17%, in total more than two hundred million passengers passed through UK airports in 2009, the lowest number

since 2004. Overall scheduled airline traffic fell by six percent while.

domestic flight traffic was down by eight percent.

Telecommunications companies are getting hot under the collar about the government’s plans to increase the availability of internet access on mobile phones, with some of them going as far as threatening legal action. Among the companies who are investigating legal action are O2 and Vodafone upset, after UK government ministers finally submitted their proposals designed to end the long-standing dispute between mobile phone operators over radio spectrum. Hopes are that the law will be passed by the government before the end of March and they will give the green light to plans to hold a large air wave auction in early 2011. However UK telecommunications companies with O2 and Vodafone leading the way hope that they will be delay the auction.

On the money markets, Sterling continues to be in the doldrums, sitting on $1.5228 and €1.1046 with no signs or reasons for a recovery in sight. The pound ended two days of minimal gains against the dollar after a private report showed U.K. home sellers raised asking prices by the smallest amount for March on record as the supply of available properties increased.

On the FTSE, things were looking a lot more optimistic, with the 100 index rising 26 points to 5620.43.

In the US, the big news was that industrial production has again increased in February, making it for the eighth consecutive, despite analysts’ predictions that it was likely to fall. According to the Federal Reserve who produces the figure, production would have been even higher had it not been affected by severe winter storms that had plagued the industrialized zones in the North East of the Country in February

Overall industrial output rose by 0.1% in February, from January’s figures while the manufacturing sector dropped by 0.2%. Production in consumer goods fell by 0.4% in February, much of it because of a drop in new car sales.

On Wall Street optimism was in the air, with the Dow Jones rising again, this time by 43.83 points to close on 10658.98. The NASDAQ showed a very commendable rise or 15 points to 2378.01.

The US Federal Reserve has again repeated their pledge to hold interest rates at record lows in order to allow the continuation of the economic recovery. Main interest rate would be kept at the current 0% to 0.25% range, news that was widely expected.

The Feds rate-setting committee announced that the data being gatherer on the US economy described a mixed picture of the recovery from recession.

The troubled Euro succeeded in reaching a five-week high against the yen in money markets over the last two days. The rise was caused by increased speculation that the European Union will announce their bail out plans for Greece. When the plans are eventually released, anticipations are that there will be an increase in demand for the Eurozone currency.

On concerns that the Bank of Japan will announce extra credit-easing steps at its two-day policy meeting, the yen was close to a three-week low versus the dollar. Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama had sown some seeds of doubt regarding the strength of the currency when he announced last week that his government needed to take steps to arrest the currency’s rise.

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Tags: BA, Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Banking, BOE, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, Civil Aviation Authority, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Employment, European Commission, Financial News, FTSE, Gatwick, GDP, Global Credit Crisis, Money, Money Management, NASDAQ, O2, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, UK travel, US economy, US Federal Reserve, Vodafone, Wall Street, Yukio Hatoyama

While the UK economy snapped back into growth in the fourth quarter of 2009, it did so at a rate considerably less than economists’ forecast. It was thanks to the service industries and manufacturing sector, which expanded just enough to pull Britain out of its longest recession on record. According to figures released by the Office for National Statistics, gross domestic product (GDP) rose by a mere 0.1% from the third quarter. The weakness of the recovery will pose a challenge to Bank of England officials who are due to sit next week to consider week whether the economy is strong enough to begin winding down the Government’s emergency stimulus measures. Prime Minister Gordon Brown’ is regarded as being especially anxious to see and end his government’s propping up of the economy, as delaying it may hamper his efforts to win an election due by June of this year. Much of Brown’s campaigns have been based on promises to curb the budget deficit.

Brown is putting up his case that he is better placed that Conservative leader David Cameron to cut the ballooning budget deficit without hurting the economic recovery. Splits in the Labour Party are beginning to show as election day draws closer with Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling announcing that it would be “absolutely mad” to withdraw stimulus measures now.

The Bank of England’s £200-billion pound asset-purchase facility, designed to keep borrowing costs low and help pull the economy out of the recession also expired this week.

Meanwhile it was announced that the UK economy shrank 4.8% in 2009, making for the biggest annual drop since records began in 1949. It was also reviled that the in the fourth quarter the economy contracted 3.2% compared to records from 2008.

The fourth quarter data, the first to be released by a Group of Seven nation, means Britain is the last member country to exit the recession that was sparked by the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. The US Government was expected to release GDP data for the fourth quarter on late January 29.

The news that the Lloyds Banking Group has succeeded in placing of £2.5 billion pounds of mortgages with investors, has raised new hopes that securitisation markets are beginning to open for banks. A £4 billion issue last September by Lloyds recorded a first attempt by a bank to tap the securitisation markets since the onset of the credit crisis. However Friday’s issue was the first to cause any form of reaction interest among U.S. investors to purchase prime residential mortgage securities

There are strong signs of recovery popping up London’s financial services industry, which took a severe pounding during the credit crunch. Recruitment is already on the up, and a recent survey showed that more than 80 percent of hiring managers are expecting recruitment volumes to rise in 2010. Only five percent of those responding to the survey named handling redundancies as a key personnel challenge for the year ahead, will close to half of those interviewed pointed to the threat of competitors poaching staff as a problem. The main problem for 2010, according to close to two thirds taking part, would, be salaries and particularly of discretionary bonuses. Remuneration has become a major hot potato in the financial industry, as the sector has emerged from the crisis under increased public and regulatory scrutiny.

Irene Rosenfeld, chief executive of Kraft has predicted that Cadbury has a positive future under the ownership of the US conglomerate, whilst adding fears of job losses at the UK company are "greatly overstated" and.

In her first interview since the takeover was agreed by the Cadbury board earlier this month, Rosenfeld announced that Kraft would not be looking for any mergers and acquisitions activity in the "near term" following the purchase of the UK confectionary company. "We acquired Cadbury because we believe it is a fabulous business and it is our intention to protect those assets," Ms. Rosenfeld pointed out. "It is our intention to invest in the business; in fact, if anything, the opportunities for the business will be greater as a result of the combination than perhaps they might have been on a standalone basis, given some of the competitive pressures." She continued.

Speculation is growing that the planned sale of the discount fashion chain Matalan is unlikely to raise the sum in excess of £1.5 billion pounds targeted by the company’s owner John Hargreaves. American private equity firms TPG, Advent International among others are expected to make offers in time for next Friday’s deadline. Analysts fear that the parties involved are wary of paying too high a price for Matalan. A clause in the deal specifying a "break price" of between £1.2 to £1.25 billion pounds, has been inserted by Hargreaves, entitling him to refuse any bids below this figure

Expectations are that the release of British Airways’ results for the three months to the end of December 2009 will expose further heavy losses at the airline. BA is expected to reveal a loss of £151 million for the third quarter of the financial year, making for total losses up to the end of March to £602 million, up almost fifty percent from 2008, which was BA’s previous record loss. The threat of pre Christmas strikes and severe weather conditions are two factors among many that have contributed to the company’s already poor situation.

Carphone Warehouse subsidiary TalkTalk have announced the launch of a new television and mobile phone service. The launch is yet another sign of the telecoms group desire to step up its challenge to their sector rivals. Charles Dunstone, chief executive of Carphone Warehouse, outlined the plans for the new division on Friday as the company also released details of the demerger of its telecoms and retail interests. TalkTalk, due to gain a stock market listing in March, have identified TV and mobile services as potentially strong sources of growth. Carphone Warehouse’s broadband rivals already offer TV services, and the market is rapidly expanding.

UK Coal’s already stagnating share price was sent even lower as the mining and property group announced that were liable to increase by £100 million pounds in 2009. UK Coal has announced that they expect production in 2010 to be roughly seven million tonnes, compared with 7.9 million tonnes last year. The company faced severe technical and geological problems in its underground mines in the second half of 2008. The troubled company’s shares fell 4.5 pence to 61.5 pence.

The pound posted a weekly advance against the euro after the U.K. economy exited recession in the fourth quarter and Bank of England policymaker. Expectations are that the U.K. currency will continue to gain value as the government’s propping up of the economy may not be extended, with the decision to be announced when the Bank of England meets to decide on interest rates on Feb. 4. Sterling also posted a monthly gain against the Euro, when closing for the weekend at 1.532.

The pound strengthened 1.3 percent in the week, its strongest level in five months. It advanced 2.3 percent in the January. The U.K. currency dropped 0.7 percent to $1.5993 for a monthly decline of 0.8 percent.

The pound rose 8.5 percent against the euro in the first month of 2010, the biggest monthly gain since the single European currency was launched in 1999.

The US economy grew by an annual rate of 5.7% between October and December, official figures have shown.

The number, which is a first estimate, is a big rise from the previous quarter’s growth rate of 2.2%.

It suggests the country’s economy is growing at its fastest pace for six years and confirms the US economy has left its year-long recession behind.

But even with the rebound, gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by 2.4% across 2009 as a whole, making for the worst annual performance since 1946.

On the news, the Dow Jones fell again this time by 53.13 points, 135 points, to close on Friday at 10067.33, while the NASDAQ lost another 31 points, to finish for the weekend on 2147.35

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Tags: Advent International, Bank of England, Banking, British airways, British Economy, Cadbury, Carphone Warehouse, Charles Dunstone, David Cameron, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, GDP, Gordon Brown, Irene Rosenfeld, John Hargreaves, Labour party, Lloyds Banking Group, Matalan, Money, NASDAQ, Office for National Statistics, Recession, Retail, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, TalkTalk, TPG, UK Banks, UK Coal, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession

In an interview held over the weekend, chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling predicted that should the Labour Party be re-elected in this year’s anticipated elections they will be prepared to tightly rein in spending and curb Government borrowing. The treasury chief warned that the UK has little option but reduce the massive budget deficit entailing making the toughest public spending cuts seen in 20 years.

Darling’s comments signaled a change in direction or a possible split in Labour’s election strategy as until recently Gordon Brown’s has pinned the bulk of his preliminary electoral campaign and its possible success on the need to support economic recovery, instead of reducing the country’s current £178-billion-pound deficit. The International Monetary Fund has forecast that the UK’s GDP deficit will peak this year at 13.2 percent.

To the chagrin of many, city bankers look likely to suffer minimal impact from the bonus super tax imposed on them by the government last month.

Most banks who were available for comment hinted they are preparing to absorb if not all at least part of the cost of 50 per cent tax by inflating their bonus pools, and are prepared to run the risk of irritating the government and even their own shareholders in order to keep their staff happy. The banks are unofficially conceding that dividends are likely to be hit by their capitulation, and they are already under pressure as regulators have pressurized banks to increase their capital holdings, which will have a consequent effect on their profit margins.

Meanwhile, the Association of British Insurers (ABI) has written a letter to the remuneration committee chairmen of the UK’s top 350 companies warning boards against paying big bonuses and keeping directors safe from tax increases. ABI are concerned that investors will lose out amid fears that banks will absorb the supertax on bonuses at the expense of dividends. Last year was marked by a number of cases of shareholders rebelling against companies’ plans.

With Christmas trading a fading memory, it has been reported that city analysts are taking a close look at Tesco and attempting to determine how much the extra £100 million pounds’ worth of loyalty vouchers given to customers affected their Christmas trading. Fears are that by Tesco’s inflating their Clubcard loyalty scheme they could have "artificially" inflated their UK sales figures for the period, with estimates that the extra vouchers could have added around 1.5% the supermarket chain’s UK turnover for the Christmas , which is due to be released on Tuesday.

The Crown Estate, owner of the UK’s coastal seabeds, have granted development rights to energy companies that will herald the largest wind energy project ever seen in the world.

The announcement has the potential to see an additional 32 GigaWatts (GW) of clean electricity feeding into the UK grid, on top of 8 GW from previous rounds. 32 GW will mean enough offshore wind energy to supply nearly all the homes in the UK, with projection that investment in UK offshore wind overall could be worth £75 billion and support up to 70,000 jobs by the year 2020.

A total of nine development zones, with a capacity of just over 25 GW, have been allocated to Ten European Companies following a competitive tender.

Plans are currently under approval by the UK Government to construct what will be the fastest railway in Europe. The multi billion pound project would see trains travelling from London to the West Midlands at 250 mph from a new station to be constructed in the capital.

Construction is scheduled to begin in 2017, and the first trains should toll out of London 2025, carrying more than a thousand passengers at a time. The project is expected to cost as much as £60 billion.

Taking a short term view, the UK is currently investigating a variety of options on how to deal with increasing stocks of swine flu vaccines, with the British public showing a lack of interest in taking advantage of the free injection. The department of health is looking at either renegotiating existing contracts with the drug companies, such as GlaxoSmithKline and Baxter International to reduce the consignments. Other last attractive options are to sell the vaccines on to other countries or simply give them away. France and Germany also intend to cancel millions of doses of the H1N1 vaccines because of oversupply.

All of the five UK mobile networks are now reported to be in talks with Google over plans to market their new Nexus One mobile phone. Vodafone are the first operator to officially announce that had sealed a deal to offer the device, while no official launch date has been set as yet. The remaining four UK mobile phone operators. While it is expected that the big four will be providing support and service for the Nexus One, Google will be marketing their new baby exclusively online.

A little reminder that the internet doesn’t yet rule all of the World came with the news that UK greeting cards company Clinton have reported a rise in sales of 3.5 percent on last year for the weeks approaching Christmas, with like-for-like sales in the 22 weeks to Jan. 2 rising. However this upturn in sales appeared to be a drop in the ocean as the company continues to experience difficult trading conditions and has closed 12 of their stores in the last six months.

The pound stuttered slightly above the dollar in pre-weekend trading, while sliding backwards against the Euro.

• Dollar 1.6025
• Euro 1.1116

As brokers set off home for the weekend in their snow ploughs and sleds, the FTSE 100 edged just 7.52 points higher to 5,534.24. For the week the index was up 2.4 per cent, making for the third straight weekly gain.

In the US official figures have shown the unemployment rate holding steady at 10% despite the fact that employers unexpectedly cut 85,000 jobs in December. The US Labor Department had initially estimated that 11,000 jobs were cut in November, but now says that the economy had in fact added 4,000 jobs.

Since the recession began in 2007, 7.2 million jobs have been lost in the US, with 4.2 million of them in 2009 alone.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed for the weekend still on the up, eleven points to 10,618 while the NASDAQ also jumped 17 points to close on 2,3170.71.

General Motors (GM) reluctantly advised that they have begun "winding down" process for Saab, whilst continuing efforts to find a buyer for their Swedish car-making subsidiary.

GM intends to organize an "orderly" winding down at Saab, which they expects to take several months. The US group also confirmed that they are continuing to evaluate the several proposals they had received to acquire Saab, including the one from Formula One boss Bernie Ecclestone.

With the news that the exports had risen by 17.7% in December, China now claims to have overtaken Germany to become the world’s largest exporter.

December’s remarkable rise ends a 13-month decline in trade as a result of the global downturn.

Total Chinese exports for 2009 were £7.5 trillion, which marked a downturn in foreign of 13.9%, as the global economic downturn led to a fall in demand.

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Tags: Alastair Darling, Association of British Insurers, Bank, Banking, Baxter International, Bernie Ecclestone, British Economy, British Pound, budget cuts, Clinton Cards, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, GDP, General Motors, GlaxoSmithKline, Google, Gordon Brown, H1N1, International Monetary Fund, Labour party, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Nexus One, Recession, Retail, Saab, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, super tax, swine flu, Tesco, The Crown Estate, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US labor Department, Vodafone

A recent survey, held quarterly by one of the UK leading accounting companies, has revealed that Britain’s top companies are more upbeat about future prospects than they have been for around two years. However an underlying tone of caution still lies close to the surface.

The survey continues to reinforce the generally more upbeat mood among UK economists and business leaders, while the next major indicator that things are moving in the right track, will come with the announcement of the latest GDP figures dues to be announced by the Office of National Statistics this coming Friday. General expectations are that the figures will signal a formal end to the recession in this country.

Financial directors of some of Britain’s leading companies, take part in the survey at the end of every quarter, with many reporting that they were feeling that the economy was growing steadily stronger, although few were prepared to admit that they see the UK to return to strong economic growth any time in the near future.

A considerable factor in current growth patterns was the continuing easing in the credit markets, with many of the companies who took part in the survey, reporting that modest borrowing is finally become more widely available. However, the survey also showed a common trend among the finance directors who participated of caution regarding the short-term outlook, with many warning that the climate in which their companies trade has changed, and will likely to limp along for the foreseeable future.

Whilst it is understandable that financial officers will be reluctant to wax lyrical about the future of the UK economy, there is no escaping the fact that many companies are now considering some form of expansion. Some 92 per cent of finance directors expect a rise in mergers and acquisitions activity over the next 12 months, while 39 per cent leaked that their company are currently contemplating corporate acquisitions in 2009 and 2010.

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Tags: British Economy, Credit Crunch, Economy, Employment, Financial News, GDP, Money, Office of National Statistics, Retail, survey, U.K. Business, UK economists, UK Economy, UK Recession

A leading and influential economic group has predicted that the UK economy did not grow in the third quarter of the year. Contrary to expectations as well as many other financial analysts’ forecasts, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) have suggested that gross domestic product (GDP) remained unchanged from July to September 2009. The majority of UK economists have predicted there would be growth in the three-month period, which would end the UK recession, while the NIESR stated that the reason why the UK economy’s failed to register any growth during the quarter was due to weak industrial production in August, especially in the oil industry. The official GDP figures for the third quarter are due to be released on 23 October.

According to market sources, the number of banks who are now prepared to lend for real estate investment has almost doubled over the past six months largely due to improvements and confidence as well as favourable funding conditions.

There are now more than twenty banking bodies reportedly prepared to lend more than £20 million at a time for real estate investments, while there are at least six banks willing to finance property deals of over £100 million. Apparently German banks continue to dominate the real estate investment funding sector, having ample access to funding whilst enjoying the benefits from devalued sterling. The growing numbers of lenders continue to indicate that the property market was opening up to increased activity after reaching a low point in the first half of 2009.

In a fairly drastic cost cutting move, British Airways (BA) have announced their plans to cut 1,700 jobs as well as plans to introduce a two-year pay freeze for cabin crew BA posted heavy losses for their 2008/2009 financial year and forecasts for 2009/2010 predict that their loss making will continue as global airlines continue to struggle. On the announcement, BA stock climbed 3.2 percent to 217 pence. Meanwhile stocks in Europe’s second largest discount airline EasyJet Plc, climbed by 2.4 percent, to 378.9 pence, as the company prepared to report their September passenger statistics.

The makers of Imperial Leather soap and Carex hand wash PZ Cussons announced that they were “cautiously optimistic” on its 2010 outlook as reported strong trading over the past three months. The company said turnover was in line with forecasts for the third quarter and that profits had increased in comparison with the corresponding period of last year.

London equity markets were stronger on Tuesday, despite some late caution as investors awaited details of US earnings season and the surprise announcement from Australia that they will be raising their interest rates

The FTSE 100 rose by 2.26 percent on yesterday’s trading, or 113.65 points to close on 5137.98. The FTSE 250 also continued to move steadily upwards, soaring 218.70 points to finish back over the 9,000 hurdle at 9201.23.

The pound seems to have a permanent stance below $1.60 mark, whilst remaining weak against the rest of the principal currencies.

• Pound/US dollar 1.5898
• Pound/Euro 1.10812
• Pound/Japanese Yen 141.2395
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6351

The Dow Jones index continued to recover from last week’s setbacks, rising yesterday by 131.5 points at 9,731.25. The NASDAQ index also followed suit jumping 35.42 points to finish on 2,103.57.

Australia became the first of the World’s leading industrialised nations n to raise interest rates, with its central bank increasing the official cash rate from 3 to 3.25 per cent. Glenn Stevens, governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, said economic conditions in Australia had been “stronger than expected”, while measures of confidence had recovered allowing the country to rates from their 49-year low “emergency” rate.

The price of gold has hit a new all-time high of $1,043.77 an ounce after a decline in the dollar boosted the attractiveness of metals to investors. According to analysts, continuing concerns of higher inflation in the US as its economy recovers was an increased factor in lowering the price of the dollar, further boosting the price of gold

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Tags: BA, Bank, Banking, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, Carex, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, EasyJet Plc, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, GDP, Glenn Stevens, Gold, gross domestic product, Imperial Leather, Investments, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, NIESR, property market, PZ Cussons, Recession, Reserve Bank of Australia, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK Recession

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) today gave another green light to the Bank of England (BOE) to print more money. Their agreement to allow the bank to accelerate its electronic money-creation programme came in the light of increased data that the benefits of "quantitative easing" were finally being felt in factories and high streets across the UK.

The IMF took advantage of figures issued denoting a bi-annual assessment of global financial conditions to warn that any sign of restraint of credit risked could effectively derail Britain’s economic recovery.

Currently, the central bank has increased its purchases of assets to £175 billion, and indications are that BOE governor Mervyn King is interested in increasing that figure to £200 billion. However King was outvoted by the majority of his colleagues on the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), who preferred to stay with the lower figure, at least for the meantime.

As part of the bigger picture, the majority of UK based economists are of the common opinion that quantitative easing has helped to stabilise the British economy as well as reducing borrowing costs across the economy. Factors that have gone a long way in sparking off an albeit tentative recovery. Overall, commercial bank lending has remained lower than expected, although the general consensus is that quantative easing (QE) was not intended as a means to increase bank lending.

The IMF’s Global Financial Stability Report has emphasised that the UK was particularly vulnerable to credit constraints caused by the weakness of bank lending and by the need to finance the government’s rapidly rising deficit.

Over 2009 and 2010, the fund estimates the UK will have a funding gap totaling £430 billion, representing 15% of the country’s GDP. This figure is devastatingly higher than the 2.4% projected for the United States and the 3% for the Eurozone region.

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Tags: Bank of England, Banking, BOE, British Economy, Credit Crunch, Currency, economic recovery, Economy, Financial News, GDP, Global Financial Stability Report, IMF, Interest Rates, International Monetary Fund, Mervyn King, Monetary Policy Committee, Money, MPC, Recession, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession

The UK economy has contracted at a reduced rate for the April to June quarter. Gross domestic product (GDP) was reported to have fallen by 0.6% compared with the previous quarter, an improvement on the previous estimate of a 0.7% contraction. The latest improvement, coming mostly from the manufacturing and construction sectors, suggests that the UK is in recovery mode, and may even have grown in the third quarter.

Union leaders have accused Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) bosses of "taking another trip to Fantasy Island" over promises that there would be no job losses when a West Midlands plant is closed. Dave Osborne, national secretary for the UK car industry for Unite the union, launched a ferocious attack on JLR’s plans to close either Land Rover at Solihull or Jaguar at Castle Bromwich. Meanwhile, politicians in Coventry have reacted with surprise and sadness at Jaguar’s decision to close its wood veneer manufacturing centre at its Browns Lane plant, employing close to 400 people, within the next two years. In a recent interview, a JLR executive pledged that no job losses would come from the plant closure. However Osborne remained skeptical vowing that unions would not accept attacks on pensions nor reduced salary levels for new recruits

The word is that high street giant Marks & Spencer could have better news for investors after a difficult 18 months in second-quarter trading figures due out this week. After a 40% fall in annual profits shareholders had been hit by the first M&S dividend cut in nine years. However, recently chief executive Sir Stuart Rose has indicated that business had been steadily improving. First-quarter sales figures showed a further decline but were better than expected, causing M&S shares to increase in value by almost 25% since the end of May. At the time of the results, Sir Stuart warned that margins would shrink by up to 1.75% in the current year as the firm invested in price cuts and as a weaker pound harmed purchasing power.

Orange rated the UK’s third largest mobile operator in terms of subscribers, has pulled off a coup by signing a deal with Apple to market its popular iPhone in Britain. The deal, represents a significant setback for O2, currently the largest mobile operator in the country, who had held the exclusive British network for the iPhone. Orange is expected to start selling the iPhone in October, in time for the Christmas sales period.

The world’s leading supplier of heating and plumbing products Wolseley, have issued a warning of more job cuts, stating that it was impossible to predict when the difficult trading conditions might end. Wolseley have had to take drastic action to cope with the recession, among them reducing staff by 28,073, representing almost one third of their workforce. The company also initiated a £1 billion rights issue earlier this year as well as spinning its US building materials business, Stock Building Supply, into a joint venture.

London equities moved a little lower by the close after US markets slipped backwards following disappointing consumer confidence data. Financial stocks kept the FTSE 100 anchored over the 5,100-point mark. On yesterday’s trading, the FTSE 100 held firm, dropping just 5.98 points to close on 5,159.72, while the FTSE 250 continued to rise, up a further 46.17 points to 9,215.57

The pound made a recovery yesterday against the major currencies.

• Pound/US dollar 1.5928
• Pound/Euro 1.10939
• Pound/Japanese Yen 143.6783
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6531

The Dow Jones Industrial Average made a minor downwards adjustment dropping 6.8 points to close on 9,782.56. The NASDAQ remained stable, dropping just 1.13 points to 2129.61.

An unexpected fall in US consumer confidence for September, suggests that Americans are not as convinced that the economic recovery is as close as US policymakers would have them believe. The Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board business organisation slipped to 53.1 in September from 54.5 in August.

Meanwhile Japan’s core consumer prices dropped for the fourth successive month, 2.4% in August year-on-year, largely due to lower petrol and other energy costs as well as weak domestic demand.

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Tags: Apple, British Economy, British Pound, Consumer Confidence Index, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dave Osborne, Dow Jones, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, GDP, Global Credit Crisis, gross domestic product, iPhone, Jaguar Land Rover, JLR, Marks & Spencer, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, O2, Orange, Recession, Retail, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Wolseley

After an inquiry found they had taken unreasonably large rewards from the now bankrupt car maker MG Rover Group Ltd, UK Business Secretary Peter Mandelson is seeking a ban on the investors involved in the collapse from running other companies

A recently released 800-page government-commissioned report into the demise of MG Rover, who went belly up in 2005 with debts amounting to £1.3 billion states that directors of Phoenix Venture Holdings, Peter Beale, John Edwards, Nick Stephenson, John Towers and Kevin Howe had drawn a combined 42 million pounds in pay and benefits over five years.

About 6,000 people lost their jobs when the car maker collapsed.

Lord Mandelson, business secretary, has also announced his confidence that following the sale of General Motors’ European business to Magna International, a Canadian car-parts supplier, and Russia’s Sberbank jobs were safe at Vauxhall’s plants in the UK. GM’s decision to sell Opel to the Canadian and Russian partnership ended months of uncertainty over the fate of the car maker.

Magna has already made a commitment to the German government not to shut any of its four factories there, however t there is still unease and uncertainty among Britain’s trade unions that either the Luton or Ellesmere Port plant, might be slated for closure by Magna. Without giving any specific reason why, Lord Mandelson, in a statement issued before the weekend. Said he was satisfied with the deal and that the immediate uncertainty about GM’s future in Europe has been removed.

The star of the show on the FTSE Friday was the rail maintenance group, Jarvis, whose shares jumped to their highest level in more than a year after the company reported an “extremely preliminary” takeover inquiry.

Their stock, which has been stuck below the 15 pence since a profits warning way back in November 2007 wiped 75 per cent off its value, has increased in value by close to 70 percent from 17 pence to 24 pence with two days of trading after the company released a statement to the markets on the approach

Analysts speculated that that any of the other companies involved the rail maintenance sector might be interested in the company, with others suggesting that an overseas buyer might also be a candidate.

The UK’s fourth-biggest supermarket group WM Morrison warned of lower sales growth on the back of more moderate rises in food prices, as it lifted profits and raised its interim dividend by 35 per cent.

Morrisons, who increased their underlying profits by 22 per cent, also announced that they are embarking on an expansion drive containing its fresh food shop within a shop concept, as it seeks expansion.

A spokesman for the company did warn that a natural reduction in comparative growth rates was liable to be caused by easing food price inflation, along with strong like-for-like sales growth. Shares in the group dropped by 0.8 pence to 283.7 pence.

As the market continued to digest news it was under investigation by the Serious Fraud Office and Office of Fair Trading over allegations of anti-competitive business practices, shares in Sports Direct International dropped 0.9 per cent to 107.9 pence.

The FTSE 100 index made it back over the 5,000 points, rising. 23.79 points to close at 5,011.47

The FTSE 250 rose again on Friday, up 82.18 points to close for the weekend to close on 9,207.89

The pound rose against the dollar yet took a minor tumble against the Euro on Friday’s trading, as well as the other major currencies.

• Pound/US dollar 1.616
• Pound/Euro 1.1433
• Pound/Japanese Yen 150.5651
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7281

According to a recent declaration by Treasury secretary Tim Geithner, the US is starting to pare back its emergency support for banks and financial markets, stating that the US financial system was no longer in need of extensive government prop-ups.

Almost a year since the collapse of Lehman Brothers, which triggered a financial panic that tipped the world into a deep recession, Geithner has announced that the time had come to ease the US economy from crisis to recovery mode.

Pointing to the evidence of a return to partial stability in global financial markets, Mr. Geithner announced that the US would allow their $2,500 billion guarantee for industry to expire as scheduled this month.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average faltered by just a little on Friday down 12.07 points to 9695.44 while the NASDAQ Composite rose by 0.2 points to close on 2080.9.

Fast-falling corporate inventories meant Japanese gross domestic product grew more slowly in the second quarter of this year than was initially forecast, according to government data released on Friday, but analysts stated that the world’s second largest economy’s recovery remained on track.

In the three months to June, GDP expanded 0.6 per cent quarter-on-quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis, revised data issued by the cabinet showed, down from the 0.9 per cent growth initially estimated last month.

Global oil consumption will contract less than previously feared this year and grow strongly in 2010, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA) the developed countries’ energy watchdog, another of the signs of optimism for the economic welfare of the World popping up on a regular basis these days.

The IEA now expect global oil demand to drop 1. 9 million barrels a day for 2009, less than the 2.3 million forecasts as recently as last month, making for the third revision since May, when the organisation forecast a contraction of 2.6 million barrels per day. .

Gold reached $1,011.55 a troy ounce on Friday, just 1.9 per cent below the record $1,030.80 reached in March 2008.

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Tags: British Economy, British Pound, Dow Jones, Economy, Employment, Financial News, FTSE, GDP, General Motors, International Energy Agency, John Edwards, John Towers, Kevin Howe, Lehman Brothers, Lord Mandelson, Magna International, MG Rover, Money Markets, Morrisons, NASDAQ, Nick Stephenson, Office of Fair Trading, Peter Beale, Peter Mandelson, Phoenix Four, Phoenix Venture Holdings, Recession, Retail, Serious Fraud Office, Sports Direct, Stock Markets, Tim Geithner, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US economy, WM Morrison

Like a headless chicken, UK treasury officials seem to be running around handing out tens of billions in attempt to keep some of Britain’s traditional industries, especially those in the service sector afloat, and some may say without any real financial justification. Even more galling is the fact that at the same time investments in replacement industries are being shunned. These are industries which could bring considerable income and profits as well as providing up to 70,000 new jobs within the next decade. The industry in question is in creating energy through wind turbines which could be positioned in and around the UK coastline.
A recent study has shown that the UK is lagging seriously behind in their target of sourcing 15% of its energy from renewable scources by the year 2020.

Wind energy is expected to comprise the largest ingredient of that target, however unless the government rapidly and begins to invest, the UK will miss out on a real opportunity to create green jobs.

On the stock exchange, Anglo Dutch publishing group, Rees Elsevier had their shares rise on after some of the leading investment banks announced that the company’s shares were undervalued. This was soon put right as on the day their shares rose by 5.9 per cent (29 pence to 487)

The media sector enjoyed mix fortunes with Thomson Reuters falling by 4.2 percent on the same session. (64 pence to 1640) The decline came after investor prediction that the company’s financial information business (Markets) will suffer a significant deterioration in sales this year.

The mining and banking sectors seemed to be the safest options yet again.

The popular British pastimes of smoking and drinking seem to be holding on their own. Tobacco giants had a good day, with British American Tobacco adding 4.3 percent (75 pence to 1566), Reckitt Benkiser also rose 4.3 percent (108 pence to 2612) and Imperial Tobacco taking up the rear with a 3.6 percent hike (61 pence to 1482). Pub operator Enterprise Inns also did well adding 10.6 per cent ( 12 pence to 126) and their colleague in the industry Marstons announcing that trading had distinctly improved since January, pushing their shares up 0.8 per cent better ( 1.3 pence to 158p)

As the lights went down, the FTSE 100 closed at 3,968.4 points, down by 20.6 points, or 0.5 per cent, lower, while the FTSE 250 dipped 42.8 points to 7,109.4 points.

The pound climbed for a second day against the dollar, as well as strengthening to less than 89 pence per euro for the first time in five weeks.

Pound/US dollar 1.998

Pound/Euro 1.1343

Pound/Japanese Yen 127.58

Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6425

Wall Street shares had a moderate day on trading with the Dow Jones Average climbing over the 8,000 mark (109.44 points to 8029.62). The Nasdaq rose a mere 1.08 points to close at 1626.8

The dollar continued to gain momentum against a weakening Euro as well as the Japanese Yen, on the back of date released showing g a monthly fall in US inflation data boosting demand for the currency.

US retail sales fell in March by 1.1 per cent, dashing recent hopes that consumer spending might finally be stabilising. Trade analysts were on the look- out for a small increase yet put the decrease down to slowing sales of cars, electronics and home appliances.

In the Far East, the news that Singapore’s trade-dependent economy has contracted by a record 11.5 per cent in the first three months of 2009 from a year ago, the 11th consecutive monthly decline was much more severe than expected. The news has forced the Singapore government to cut its full-year GDP forecast from minus 6 per cent to minus 9 per cent, making it the worst postwar performer this year.

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Tags: Alastair Darling, Economics, Fuel, GDP, Money, UK Recession