As the UK’s emergence from the recession gains slow but steady momentum recent predictions from the Bank of England show that the number of jobs available on the market are unlikely to deteriorate any further, Reasons given are that most UK companies are doing the maximum to maintain current staff levels to cope with the anticipated upturn in demand.

According to spokesman for the BOE, the banks findings were that although employment had fallen during the recession, it was much less than the comparative fall in output. Figure confirm that although unemployment had risen in the last two years, it was much less pronounced than during the previous two periods of recession in the 1980s and 1990s, although the current recession was much more severe. Despite that slightly rosy report, the fact remains that unemployment benefit claims jumped in January to the highest level since Labour rose to power almost 13 years ago.

According to a European Commission (EC) report due to be published later this week, the UK government’s plans to reduce their budget deficit are far from being realistic as well as lacking in ambition

The EC report went on to warns hand out a warning that if the UK continues on their current path, the will not be able to cut their deficit to meet the deadline set by the EU rules by 2015. The EU are insisting that

Deficits in their member countries must be less than three percent of their gross domestic production (GDP) by then. To show how far the UK is lagging behind is that the GDP in the UK is expected to be as high as 12.6% or £178 billion.

British Airways, facing imminent strike action from their cabin crew, have revealed their contingency plans to cope with the crisis. The plans, if they need arises to put them into action, will allow it to the airline to handle around 60% of its scheduled flights, with 45,000 passengers taking their seats during the first stage of the strike, due to begin on the 20th of March, .

Those who BA will be unable to transport will be given the option of flying with other airlines. Meanwhile plans for the second round of strikes will be announced nearer the date. Of the almost two thousand flights scheduled during the strike dates, more than half will need to be cancelled. However BA expects that all of their long-haul flights and more than half of short-haul flights taking off from Gatwick airport will take place.

Another sign that all is not well with the UK travel industry is the news that UK’s airports handled 7.4% fewer passengers in 2009 than in the previous year, making for the largest decline in traffic in history

The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) also announced that this was the first time that passenger traffic had fallen for two consecutive years, with charter flights being especially hit, down by 17%, in total more than two hundred million passengers passed through UK airports in 2009, the lowest number

since 2004. Overall scheduled airline traffic fell by six percent while.

domestic flight traffic was down by eight percent.

Telecommunications companies are getting hot under the collar about the government’s plans to increase the availability of internet access on mobile phones, with some of them going as far as threatening legal action. Among the companies who are investigating legal action are O2 and Vodafone upset, after UK government ministers finally submitted their proposals designed to end the long-standing dispute between mobile phone operators over radio spectrum. Hopes are that the law will be passed by the government before the end of March and they will give the green light to plans to hold a large air wave auction in early 2011. However UK telecommunications companies with O2 and Vodafone leading the way hope that they will be delay the auction.

On the money markets, Sterling continues to be in the doldrums, sitting on $1.5228 and €1.1046 with no signs or reasons for a recovery in sight. The pound ended two days of minimal gains against the dollar after a private report showed U.K. home sellers raised asking prices by the smallest amount for March on record as the supply of available properties increased.

On the FTSE, things were looking a lot more optimistic, with the 100 index rising 26 points to 5620.43.

In the US, the big news was that industrial production has again increased in February, making it for the eighth consecutive, despite analysts’ predictions that it was likely to fall. According to the Federal Reserve who produces the figure, production would have been even higher had it not been affected by severe winter storms that had plagued the industrialized zones in the North East of the Country in February

Overall industrial output rose by 0.1% in February, from January’s figures while the manufacturing sector dropped by 0.2%. Production in consumer goods fell by 0.4% in February, much of it because of a drop in new car sales.

On Wall Street optimism was in the air, with the Dow Jones rising again, this time by 43.83 points to close on 10658.98. The NASDAQ showed a very commendable rise or 15 points to 2378.01.

The US Federal Reserve has again repeated their pledge to hold interest rates at record lows in order to allow the continuation of the economic recovery. Main interest rate would be kept at the current 0% to 0.25% range, news that was widely expected.

The Feds rate-setting committee announced that the data being gatherer on the US economy described a mixed picture of the recovery from recession.

The troubled Euro succeeded in reaching a five-week high against the yen in money markets over the last two days. The rise was caused by increased speculation that the European Union will announce their bail out plans for Greece. When the plans are eventually released, anticipations are that there will be an increase in demand for the Eurozone currency.

On concerns that the Bank of Japan will announce extra credit-easing steps at its two-day policy meeting, the yen was close to a three-week low versus the dollar. Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama had sown some seeds of doubt regarding the strength of the currency when he announced last week that his government needed to take steps to arrest the currency’s rise.

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Tags: BA, Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, Banking, BOE, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, Civil Aviation Authority, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Employment, European Commission, Financial News, FTSE, Gatwick, GDP, Global Credit Crisis, Money, Money Management, NASDAQ, O2, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, UK travel, US economy, US Federal Reserve, Vodafone, Wall Street, Yukio Hatoyama

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) has predicted that house prices are unlikely to rise by much more than one to two percent in 2010. The nation’s chief surveyors’ body did however raise the possibility that more properties would change hands in 2010. In their report, RICS pointed out that the housing market had come through the past year in better shape than many had predicted but said it believed several factors would limit price rises.

According to figures issued by the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), the UK economy shrank by 0.2% between July and September, which is less than the previous estimate of a 0.3% contraction. While the news confirms that the country is not yet out of the recession, it does add weight to predictions that fourth quarter figures will show the economy is finally returning to growth.

The UK recession, which began in the second quarter of 2008, has seen the UK economy contract by 6%. Meanwhile the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has forecast that in 2010 recovery for the UK economy will be at best ‘fragile’. The CBI confirmed that the UK economy was likely to come out of recession in the fourth quarter this year, driven by increased spending from consumers looking to buy before the January VAT increase. However, they went on to warn that economic growth would be weak, at around 0.3%, for the first two quarters of 2010, with wage freezes continuing into spring and job losses until the autumn

Lehman Brothers, one of the first major investment banks to collapse during the current financial downturn are back to their old ways, is hiring new staff on fat salary/bonus packages as well as paying generous bonuses in London to existing staff, to stop them from defecting. The bank is reportedly recruiting middle and back office staff in order that their administrators PwC can wade through the millions of transactions that must be reconciled with clients and trading partners to determine what is owed or can be claimed. Meanwhile the judge overseeing Lehman’s US bankruptcy in New York last week approved an extra $50 million (£30 million) in bonus pay-outs to some 230 derivatives traders working to help to untangle the dead bank’s $10 billion portfolio. The bonus pay-outs come as bankers face anger and derision over probable bonuses at the end of this year.

British Telecom (BT) are reported to by pushing forward the launch of its super fast broadband network to make sure that the infrastructure is completed in time for the 2012 Olympic Games in London. Britain’s broadband speeds lag behind those of many industrialized countries and BT is under pressure to fix the problem. The company is planning to spend £1.5 billion on a new broadband network based on optical fiber, but it will run past only 40 per cent of homes, mainly in towns and cities. BT originally pronounced that it could take until March 2013 to build the urban-focused network, but, following successful trials, it now appears that the project will be completed by June 2012, with the Olympics beginning the following month. When it does get going, the new network is designed to increase broadband download speeds 10-fold, to about 40 megabits per second, to cope with the rise of bandwidth-hungry services such as high-definition video.

BAA has won its appeal against the Competition Commission but remains unsure whether the judgment means the company will have to sell airports in London and Scotland. In March of this year, the UK’s largest airport operator was ordered to sell three of its seven airports: Gatwick, Stansted and either Glasgow or Edinburgh. The company won their appeal on a number of arguments, one of them that a decline in passenger numbers should have been considered in the decision

The Competition Commission (CC) has finally cleared the merger of ticket agent Ticketmaster and concert promoter Live Nation. The UK regulator has confirmed that the merger would "not result in a substantial lessening of competition in the market" in the UK.

CC’s decision marks a reversal from their provisional ruling, where they vetoed the merger, stating that they were concerned about its ramifications.

The US Justice Department is also investigating the proposed merger, which was originally closed in February.

According to a new poll by the Auto Trader magazine, the Ford Focus has been voted the UK’s most popular car of the decade. The small family car beat our sports cars, SUVs and city cars to take first place. Despite the company being rocked by financial issues in the past ten years, Ford has retained its place as an iconic motoring brand, with two of its other models, the Fiesta and Mondeo, ranking high in the list of most loved cars by the British public. The Auto Trader poll, designed to analyse the key motoring trends over the past ten years, also looked at categories including ‘greenest’ car and ‘best value for money’ car.

Sterling was seen to be weakening in mid week trading against the dollar and the Euro.

• Dollar 1.5956
• Euro 1.111922

On the FTSE house builders edged higher after analysts announced that the sector valuation was looking brighter after a period of under performance that left them trading below book value. Forecasts are that UK house prices are to fall by 5 to 10 per cent as unemployment peaks in the second quarter of 2010, and saw rising interest rates damping the recovery for the next two years. Despite the less than encouraging forecasts, Taylor Wimpey was up 4 percent to 35¾ pence while Barratt rose 1.7 per cent to 116 pence. However, Redrow fell 0.2 per cent to 131½ pence.

The FTSE 100 gained for a second day, adding 34.67 points to close on 5,328.66, just 54 points off its 2009 high.

Official figures show that the US economy grew by less than originally estimated in the third quarter, with the latest estimate showing an annual growth pace of 2.2%, the figure was down from the previous estimate of 2.8%. In any case, July- September was the first quarter in which the US economy returned to growth, after four quarters of decline.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8 per cent to 10,414.14 while the Nasdaq Composite was 1.2 per cent higher at 2,237.66, a welcome recovery after losses last week as the dollar strengthened and concern grew over the prospect of a tighter monetary policy.

A report issued by the National Association of Realtors (NAOR) showed new home sales in the US rose 7.4% in November, apparently spurred on by government incentives. NAOR also announced that property sales rose in the month to an annual rate of 6.5 million, making for the highest level in more than two years.

On Tuesday the OPEC oil cartel provided its strongest indication yet that it aims to keep oil prices at $70-$80 a barrel next year as it tries to support the economic recovery. As a first step, the cartel, which controls more than 40 per cent of the world’s oil output, agreed to leave its production levels unchanged at least until the end of the first quarter of 2010.

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Tags: 2012 Olympic Games, Auto Trader, BAA, Bank, Barrat, Barratt, Barratt Developments, BCC, British Chambers of Commerce, British Economy, British Pound, British Telecom, BT, CBI, Competition Commission, Confederation of British Industry, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Gatwick, House Prices, Lehman Brothers, Money, Money Markets, Mortgage, Mortgages, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, OPEC, Property Prices, Recession, Redrow, RICS, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, Stansted, Taylor Wimpey, Ticketmaster, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US Justice Department, Wall Street

Qatar Holdings, who were and still remain Barclays’ largest shareholder, have realized their profits on 3.5% of their stake in the bank, taking home a tidy £615m profit in the process. People in the know are saying that Qatar Holdings, who act as the emirate’s private investment vehicle, will use the money to increase their holdings in UK supermarket giants, J Sainsbury. The share sell off transaction, valued at around £1.4billion, would allow the Qataris sufficient funding to increase their existing 26% stake in Sainsburys. Despite the share disposal, Qatar Holdings will still retain 7.1% equity in Barclays.

BAA has finally reached an agreement to sell Gatwick for a sum of £1.5 billion, setting the long-awaited break-up of the UK’s biggest airport group in motion. Final details of the sale were expected to be announced early on Wednesday morning before the FTSE opened its doors. After lengthy and intricate negotiations, the Competition Commission finally approved the late on Tuesday. The anticipated sale sees the end of a process which began when BAA, a subsidiary of Spain’s Ferrovial infrastructure group, put Gatwick up for sale in an attempt to head off competition concerns about its market dominance. Initially BAA had hoped to receive around £1.8 billion for Gatwick, and held on grimly for this sum; till the realization sunk in that they were pricing themselves out of the market. They reduced their asking price to £1.6 billion and finally have accepted even less for the airport from Global Infrastructure Partners, an infrastructure fund backed by Credit Suisse and General Electric who already own London City Airport. The Competition Commission expects BAA to sell two of its remaining six airports, within the next two years: while still leaving the group in control of the country’s biggest airport, Heathrow.

The Euro zone’s largest bank, Santander, continues to generate turnover and profit at such an outstanding rate it may have no option but to pay their shareholders a significant cash dividend in the coming year, according to a leading executive of the company. The ongoing financial crisis has prompted regulators to press European banks to increase their capital ratios, with Santander setting a target of seven per cent of their risk weighted assets, regarded as adequate for its retail banking model.

By the end of June, half way through their financial year, Santander had succeeded in increasing their ratio to 7.5 per cent, and have since added a further 0.6 % in October alone with the bank now expected to surpass their target and reach as high as 8.5 per cent of capital ratio, some of which will be able to be dispersed to their shareholders. RBS eat your heart out…

In the money markets, the pound continued its steady rise, despite faltering slightly against the Euro and the Swiss Franc.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6373
• Pound/Euro 1.10971
• Pound/Japanese Yen 147.9728
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6587

Tesco was among the few stocks to beat a weakening trend as the FTSE 100 began to lose some of the heights it had achieved in the last week or so. The UK grocery chain has been described by analysts as a “cash cow” and ripe for rapid expansion, both in grocery and non-grocery sectors in the UK as well as overseas. Shares in Tesco closed higher on Tuesday by 1.2 per cent at 383½p.

Their progress was overshadowed however by J Sainsbury who were the day’s biggest gainer, up 5.4 per cent to 348 pence after Qatar holdings looked likely to add to its 26 per cent stake in the company or even make a takeover approach after selling a block of shares in Barclays. Barclays did less well, and closed down 4.8 per cent to 364 pence.

An upbeat trading statement from Pearson, owner of the Financial Times, lifted its shares by 4.4 per cent to 858½ pence which had a knock on effect on many players in the publishing sector. Reed Elsevier was among those feeling the ripples, and their shares rose 1.4 per cent to 466 pence. This increase may have been largely fired by reports that Reed was potential bidder for United Business Media, whose shares also rose in turn, up 0.5 per cent to 504½ pence. .

Shares in National Express edged 1 per cent higher at 404 pence after news broke that the company’s largest shareholder is backing the merger proposal from Stagecoach, the bus and train operator and National Express competitor. The move, which shines a light on the depth of boardroom divisions within the company. In a meeting with the National Express board on Monday, Jorge Cosmen, the company’s deputy chairman and its largest shareholder, announced his support for Stagecoach’s approach.

Shares in Greggs, the high street bakery chain were down by 3.7 per cent weaker at 448 pence, largely due to misplaced speculation that the group was considering outsourcing its bakery operations.

The FTSE 100 had a good day, up 91.34 points to 5281.54 The FTSE 250 rose strongly on the day’s trading, up 138.44 points to close on. 9564.64.

In the US, the number of new housing starts was reported to have increased in September, but at a lower rate than expected, raising limited concerns about the strength of the recovery in the country. Housing starts rose by 0.5% to a 590,000 homes, compared with a revised figure of 587,000 in August, down by 28.2% on the 822,000 homes started in September 2008, according to the US Department of Commerce.

As a possible reflection, the Dow Jones was down 50.71 points to close on 10041.48 The NASDAQ Composite index continued to fluctuate, this time down 12.85 points to close on 2,163.47.

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Tags: BAA, Bank, Banking, Barclays, British Economy, British Pound, Competition Commission, Credit Suisse, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Ferrovial infrastructure group, Financial News, Financial Times, FTSE, Gatwick, General Electric, Global Infrastructure Partners, Greggs, J Sainsbury, London City Airport, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, National Express, Qatar Holdings, RBS, Recession, Reed Elsevier, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Sainsburys, Santander, Stagecoach, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Tesco, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, United Business Media