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Posts Tagged ‘financial downturn’

Brown to ask his colleagues to hang back.

November 18th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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In the Queen’s speech to be made today, Gordon Brown is expected to emphasize the need for fiscal discipline as the UK seeks to extricate itself from the current financial downturn, and catch up with the rest of the major global economies who have already done so. At the heart of his message will be a very strong hint to ministers to accept budget cuts. What he will be implying is that it is important for the Labour party to show unity and credibility on public spending ahead of the forthcoming election battle with the Tories. The prime minister’s package will feature a fiscal responsibility bill, that will confine to law Brown’s programme significantly reduce Britain’s £175 billion deficit by 2014 and cast it into history by 2018.

Meanwhile the people who are generally regarded as being responsible for the UKs financial quandary, the bankers, are beginning to bleat a little at the prospect of having their bonuses cut by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) This time the banker’s plight is being supported by no less than a former banker, Sir George Mathewson who acted as chairman of Royal Bank of Scotland. Sir George complained that any moves to cancel any pay deals which appear to reward undue risk-taking would interfere with the rule of law.

But Sir George said he feared

According to the Office of National Statistics, UK inflation has jumped to an annual figure of 1.5%, largely driven up by a sharp annual rise in the cost of petrol and a huge jump in the prices of second-hand cars. Economists were not taken by surprise by the increase in the consumer prices index (CPI, which they expected to rise by between 1.4% and 1.5% for October. The incredible 14% rise in second-hand car prices was one of the driving forces behind the inflation rise.

ITV have confirmed that Archie Norman, the former chief executive of supermarket group Asda, will be taking over the role of chairman in their company. Former Tory MP Norman’s appointment brings to an end a seven-month search to find a replacement for outgoing chairman Michael Grade,

Archie Norman comes to the ITV with an impressive track record, having being credited with the turnaround of Asda in the 1990s. He will face no less of a daunting challenge at ITV, where increased competition and difficult trading conditions has caused a major downturn in advertising revenue.

Chocolate makers Hershey and Ferrero are said to considering a joint bid for Cadbury that could be welcomed by the UK confectionery manufacturer as they fight to fend off the hostile takeover by Kraft Foods. Discussions between the two sides have been reported to be at the “very preliminary" stage. Apparently Hershey executives have been more aggressive about pursuing a deal; however no offer has been made. The talks are the strongest sign that a possible rival bid to Kraft’s $16.7 billion offer is in the offing. Kraft’s initial bid was rejected by Cadbury as being “derisory”.

Sterling increased against the major currencies on trading since the weekend

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6793
  • Pound/Euro 1.1283
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.9328
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.706

World stocks continue to gain ground as optimism regarding the global economic recovery continuing. UK shares have again reached and broken their 14-month high.

In the UK, the FTSE share values improved as commodities and especially gold touched a new record on the general positive mood.

The UK’s benchmark FTSE 100 index closed up 1.6%, or 86.29, to 5,345.93. The FTSE 250 also rose, up 28 points to 9,401.15.

US Commerce Department figures have shown that retail sales rose by more than expected in October, largely due to the resurgent car market, Sales rose by 1.4%, offsetting September’s 1.5% fall was revised with both months’ figures were dominated by the impact of car sales.

If car sales are taken out of the equation, retail sales rose by just 0.2% in October.

Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke has revealed that the US central bank was monitoring currency markets "closely" and will conduct policy in a way that will "help ensure that the dollar is strong". In one of his rare public comments on the state of the dollar, Bernanke predicted that currency’s recovery would begin to gain momentum despite "headwinds" from credit and unemployment, while inflation was likely to remain "subdued". However the dollar, after a brief upturn, continued to retreat against other major currencies. Bernanke also added that the Fed still expected to keep rates near zero for an "extended period", hastening to add that his statement was, not a commitment.

In the US, all the trading indexes were seen to be advancing at lightning pace.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 1.3%

Or 52.30 points to 10437.42. The NASDAQ continues to move forward, up 43 points 2203.78

US car giant GM recovery continues. This week the company announced that they will begin returning their US government loans earlier than expected.

The first payment of $1.2 billion will be made in December, and the company predicts that the loans could fully repaid 2011, four years earlier than expected. The news comes as GM reported a third quarter net loss of $1.2 billion. GM currently has debts of $6.7 billion to the US government, $1.4 billion to the Canadian government and 400 million Euros to the German government, which the company received in support of GM’s European subsidiary Opel.

US billionaire Warren Buffett’s investment firm have increased their stakes in the Nestle and Exxon Mobil companies. .

The news has created a strong buzz among investors as stock picks by Buffett always create interest, as the 70 year old super entrepreneur is considered to be one of the world’s shrewdest investors.

Recent figures released by the Japanese government have shown that the country’s economy has grown for a second successive quarter.

The world’s second largest economy grew by 1.2% in the third quarter, much faster than economists had predicted. Analysts have hastened to predict that say overall growth is likely to remain sluggish for the foreseeable future.

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Warren Buffet has wind, and he wants more.

September 22nd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, UK Small Business, UK employment

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Apart from a few hiccups during the global financial downturn, investor Warren Buffett has gained a reputation as a man who knows where to put his and his shareholders, money where the profits will follow. The news that Buffet is considering making a £1 billion investment in the UK green energy revolution has certainly created a bit of excitement in the world of energy.

The UK government have made no secret that they see Britain as the future world leader in offshore wind energy generation. However in order to harness the energy both for internal consumption but also for export to Europe, hundreds of miles of undersea cables to bring the electricity ashore will need to be laid.

This network of cables is expected to cost more than £12 billion to supply and place before the project is completed. In order to finance the operation, UK regulator Ofgem have launched a series of auctions for the rights to build and maintain the offshore wind energy infrastructure.

In the first phase of the project, investors have been invited to bid on the connections for nine offshore farms, some of which that have been built or are in construction or advanced planning stages. The wind farms are all situated off the coast at Kent.

Buffet’s company Mid-American Energy, having passed the the qualification stage, are expected to place a bid on the project to build and maintain the networks for the next twenty years.

Other candidates for the project include the UK National Grid, RWE, Scottish and Southern Energy, Macquarie, Transmission Capital and IFM. Other international competitors for the tender are Norway’s Statkraft, as well as Dong of Denmark.

The auction is expected to raise £1.15 billion, with two larger auctions covering future networks will be launched after next summer’s sales. In the meantime, Buffett is remaining non-committal on future participation.

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End of the good times for the Banks as regulators look for re-capitalisation.

September 8th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Gold, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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Regulators have agreed tough new regulations designed to put into action the proposals agreed by the G20 group of nations over the weekend. If they come into force, the regulations could force many of Europe’s top banks to raise tens of billions of Euros in capital in coming months.

The new rules are designed to force banks to improve the quality and extent of their capital buffers significantly in order to absorb shocks.

The new regulations will require banks to ensure that at least half of the capital held by banks must comprise of common equity and retained earnings. In addition the regulators have also decided to set specific limits on how much banks can borrow, expected to be around 25 times their assets.

Since the beginning of the financial downturn, investors in companies quoted on the FTSE, have become much more active and are turning up with increasing regularity at annual general meetings to make their feelings heard and their votes count. Evidence of their effectiveness has already been noted at meetings of firms such as Royal Dutch Shell and Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), which resulted in proposed pay packages being rejected.

Cadbury are reported to be a little cheesed of with Kraft Foods, after having rejected a £10.2 billion takeover approach from them. The FTSE lived the idea and shares in the company rose by almost 40% after the announcement.

Spokespeople from Cadbury explained that the reason why they rejected the approach was that it basically undervalued the company, while analysts suspect that Kraft’s offer was just an opening salvo, and they will come in with an increased offer. Rumours have it that other "kings of confectionery" are waiting in the wings, among them Hershey and the Nestle Company.

All the news on the FTSE was not about Cadburys, with the Lloyds Banking Group adding 4.4 per cent to close on 106.31 pence. The rise in share value came on reports that the bank is interested in converting £7 billion of its existing e shares to equity at a premium. .

Sports Direct, after seeing their shares rise by 14 per cent on Friday, succeeded in adding a further 11.8 per cent to 114 pence in anticipation of a very positive update on the company’s position due to be released today.

The FTSE 100 index jumped again, driven by the news from Cadbury. It sweetened by 81.48 points to close of 4933.18.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 continued to climb on Monday, up 2.18% or 190.61 141.05 points to close on 8,963.46.

The pound dipped against the major currencies on a weak days trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6351
  • Pound/Euro 1.14
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 152.096
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.733

There was no trading on Wall Street on Monday for Labour Day. The Dow Jones Industrial Average stayed on 9441.27 while the NASDAQ Composite looked comfortable on 2018.78.

Joseph Stiglitz, the Nobel Prize-winning economist is bucking the trend by stating his doubts on the robustness and staying power of any US economic recovery, warning that the current economic downturn may be what is known as a "double dipper".

According to Stiglitz, who acted as chief economist for the World Bank, "the prospects of a robust recovery are very, very weak" and there was a strong chance that the economy collapse after a period of growth.

Germany’s industrial rebound is still gathering momentum, with reports that when manufacturing orders chalked up another strong rise in July. Europe’s largest economy however is still far from returning to its pre-crisis levels of activity.

Industrial orders rose 3.5 per cent in July, extending a 3.8 per cent increase in June, adding further evidence that economic growth in the third quarter would prove much stronger than could be hoped until even a few months ago. Production was still down 20 per cent than in the same month in 2008.

Trading volumes across commodity markets were lighter than usual on Monday because of the Labor Day holiday in the US. Gold rose 0.2 per cent to $995 a troy ounce, consolidating just below the $1,000 mark.

Crude oil prices steadied, at around $67.00 a barrel.

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