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UK economy still in recession.

October 26th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Retail, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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The UK economy was stunned back on its heels on Friday when the eagerly awaited GDP figures were announced. They showed that the UK economy had contracted by 0.4% for the third quarter instead of showing growth of 0.2% that had been. This news means that tat the UK remains in recession. Despite recent euphoria, this setback means that the UK gross domestic product (GDP) has contracted for six consecutive quarters, for the first time since quarterly figures were first released more than half a century ago. However officials from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have hastened to state that the figures are not final and could still be subject to revision, as they are only the first estimate. There were some recent indications that the expected growth would not be met in the period including July to September, including negative growth in retail sales during September, and a 2.5% decline in industrial output in August.

Sterling fell by more than one percent after it transpired that analysts had incorrectly forecast that the economy would emerge from recession aid record quarterly growth of 0.2 percent. The pound lost some ground against the dollar, while strengthening against the Euro.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6307
  • Pound/Euro 1.10879
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 150.1223
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6758

The FTSE 100 recovered a little of Thursday’s losses, as attention turned to economic data thought likely to show an end to recession in the UK. Despite news to the contrary, the index stood its ground, up 35.21 points to close on 5242.57. The FTSE 250 25 wound up a week of constant fluctuations up just 4.74 points to 9323.65.

The number of US bank failures so far in 2009 has reached more the 100 mark. The figure was reached after US federal regulators shut down a trio of small Florida banks. So far bank failures have cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) fund an estimated $25 billion this year, with

More US banks having failed this year than in any year since 1992.

Microsoft, the US software giant announced their third quarter profits were higher than analysts predicted. The company put this down to a mixture of cost-cutting and stronger consumer demand.

Shares of Microsoft rose by 7.9 per cent to $28.68 in pre-market trading.

Despite Microsoft’s success, the Dow Jones took a major tumble before the weekend, down 109.12 points to fall below the 10,000 barrier again, closing on 9972.18. The NASDAQ Composite index dropped a little, down 10.82 points to close on 2,154.47

Sales of previously-owned US homes unexpectedly rose in September, reaching their highest level since 2007.The National Association of Realtors announced that sales had risen by 9.4% last month, making for an annual rate of 5.57 million, up from 5.09 million in August. Analysts were taken by surprise, as they had sales to reach 5.35 million units in September. Meanwhile, the average sale price dropped to £106,937 ($174,900), 8.5% down from a year ago, making for the smallest annual drop in 13 months

Crude oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel on Thursday after reaching a fresh 2009 high of $82 during the previous session. Gold prices also softened after recent strong gains, trading at an average of $1,058 an ounce

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RBS want to keep the UK government at bay.

September 21st, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Gold, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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Royal Bank of Scotland is considering approaching the market for extra money to avoid handing more control to the government. The bank, now 70% owned by taxpayers, is preparing to join the government’s Asset Protection Scheme (APS) to stop some toxic investments going bad. But it is also considering asking shareholders to invest further to prevent the government’s stake rising to a possible 84.5% if it insured all its bad assets with the APS.

According to official figures released on Friday, the UK government posted a record budget deficit for an August as the recession continues to bite into government tax receipts, The Office for National Statistics said the public sector net cash requirement (PSNCR) stood at £10.379 billion in August. That was lower than the 12 billion pounds expected by analysts but still twice the level of the same month a year ago and a record for the month of August. July’s PSNCR was also revised up by some £1.5 billion. The government’s preferred accruals-based measure, public sector net borrowing came in at £16.119 billion s, also weaker than expected and a record high for August, versus £9.876 billion pounds in 2008.

The flow of net lending to companies fell in July by the largest sum on record, according to a statement issued by the Bank of England on Friday. The figures provide further indication that more action may be needed to get credit flowing in the UK economy.

On a more positive note, mortgage approvals by major UK lenders rose in August for the seventh consecutive month to 57,000 from 53,000 in July. The net flow of lending to UK businesses fell £15.5 billion in July after a £3.6 billion pounds fall in June, making for the largest single decline since 1998.

UK Business Secretary Peter Mandelson has called on the European Union to intervene to prevent governments using state aid as a bargaining chip to protect jobs during Magna International Inc.’s takeover of General Motors Co.’s EU plants. Mandelson has joined the list of European politicians concerned that a German plan to provide €3 billion in loan guarantees to support the GM-Magna deal will sway the company. As the carmaker struggles with overcapacity, Magna has said it plans to cut about 10,500 jobs.

According to senior officials at the State Bank of India,(SBI) India’s largest lender, are looking at acquisitions of up to $1 billion in the UK and expect to maintain a 40 per cent growth rate in its UK business.

The bank’s overseas business plans, expected to be driven by both expansion and acquisitions, include the opening of 40 overseas branches, according to SBI chairman OP Bhatt. The bank was looking at all regions of the World, including the UK, for acquisitions. Besides the UK, the regions where the bank plans to open new branches include North America, Bangladesh and Nepal, where its subsidiary will set up 11 more outfits. It will open five more in branches in the UK by June next year and make London a hub for its European operations to boost international business. At present, the lender has seven branches in the UK and plan to open another, hopefully in October.Currently, the UK contributes over $3 billion to SBI’s turnover.

British Sky Broadcasting has accused the media regulator of making elementary errors in an official review of the pay-television market, and said that Ofcom, the independent regulator and competition authority for the UK communications industries, was exceeding its powers. BSkyB delivered its detailed response to the regulator’s findings that it should sell its most valuable content, including Premier League football and first-run films, to rivals at prices set by Ofcom. In the document, the broadcaster accuses the regulator of producing a financial analysis is fundamentally flawed, as well as challenging Ofcom’s right to even rule on the case, that has taken two years to decide. The pay-TV review was prompted by a complaint from four of BSkyB’s competitors, Top-Up TV, BT Vision, Virgin Media and the now defunct Setanta.

The biscuit group that makes Jammie Dodgers and Wagon Wheels, Burton’s Foods have been taken over by its lenders in a debt restructuring move that leaves Duke Street Capital, its private equity owner, nursing a considerable loss. The fate of Duke Street’s investment in Burton’s comes just over two years after its plans to close one of the biscuit maker’s factories caused the private equity group to be invited to a parliamentary inquiry for questioning.

On the FTSE Standard Life rose 1.8 per cent to 283 pence after Goldman added the insurer to its “buy” list.

Leading property stocks were higher. British Land gained 3.3 per cent to 528 pence after completing the sale of half its Broadgate development to Blackstone. Hammerson followed, gaining 2.6 per cent to 439½ pence.

The UK’s FTSE 100 index continued to climb but at a slower pace , rising 8.94 points to close at 5172.89, making for a 3.2 per cent gain for the week.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 lost almost all of its previous day’s gains on Friday, falling 57.15 points to wrap up for the weekend on 9,306.93

The dollar fell to fresh one-year lows this week as rising risk appetite stemmed haven demand for the US currency. Continued improvement in sentiment encouraged investors to abandon the low-yielding dollar to seek higher returns elsewhere. The pound continued to lose value against the main currencies on Friday’s trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6271
  • Pound/Euro 1.1059
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 148.7878
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6751

Another two US banks have been closed by the federal regulator, taking the total number of American banking failures this year to 94.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), which controls the banking sector, has shut Irwin Union Bank & Trust and Irwin Union Bank.

The move comes after their parent firm – Irwin Financial – was unable to meet an FDIC demand to boost their capital.

The failure of the two banks is likely to cost the FDIC £522 million.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to move upwards towards the weekend , up 36.28 points at 9,820.2. The NASDAQ consolidated a little, up 6.11 points to 2132.86.

Gold dominated trading this week with bullion inching towards its record high of $1,030.80 a troy ounce set in March 2008.

It reached $1,023.85 on Thursday but was back to $1,012 on Friday, up 0.7 per cent on the week. It found support from dollar weakness and concerns about the outlook for inflation.

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