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Is this an election that nobody can really win.

May 5th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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There are those political cynics that claim that when Tony Blair stood down three years ago, he was well aware of the financial train wreck waiting his natural successor Gordon Brown around the next bend. And the same people might well now be saying that Gordon and his well known cohort Alasdair can’t wait to hand over the keys of numbers ten and eleven Downing Street to anyone who will take them

Because who ever gets the keys will also inherit a financial deficit of around £150 billion. The only way to live with, never mind reduce such a deficit, is to make yourself highly unpopular, both with the people who voted for you and against you. Political analysts now predict that whoever wins the election are looking for a comparably short term stay in power, unless some kind of unprecedented financial miracle occurs. We live in hope.

A recent survey taken over 1,400 companies, still suggests that small firms remain reluctant to go to banks requesting funding. Of the companies surveyed, it was discovered that less than twenty percent of respondents applied for new credit in February and March, with only half being successful., Sixteen percent of the companies surveyed who were holding bank loans said their cost had risen in February and March.

Operators of the South-eastern franchise, Britain’s first high-speed rail service, the Go-Ahead Group will be eligible receive a continuation of the government subsidy they have received for the next four years. The continuation has been granted due to the non-completion of expected property developments around Stratford and Ebbsfleet stations, after the group won the tender in 2005. Although Go-Ahead reported an increase in passenger traffic and turnover of eight percent in the first three months of the year, they are reporting profit growth of at least ten percent for the same period.

Recent figures released by the British Franchise Association (BFA) show that, despite the recession, the franchise industry in the UK has grown in 2009. The sector’s revenue increased by £400 million pounds to £11.8 billion in 2009, with the number of franchise systems active in the UK increasing by seven form 835 to 842 . The number of employees working for franchise based operations, according to the BFA figures fell by 2,000 during 2009 to 465,000 including both full-time and part-time workers. On average, it was reported that franchises reduced the number of full-time staff, while hiring more part-time staff in 2009.

Sales of Apple’s iPhone has helped mobile phone operator Orange return to growth with revenue increasing by almost six percent to €1.3 billion since it began selling the smart phone device last November. Orange, the first UK operator to break Apple’s exclusivity deal with O2, have reported that in the last six month sit has won 220,000 new contract customers the company, owned by France Telecom has begun an integration process with T-Mobile which will make them the biggest mobile phone operator in the UK.

Arts and craft retailer HobbyCraft announce the sale of the company private equity firm Bridgepoint in a management buyout for a figure in excess of £100 million, stating that intense competition among other interested parties pushed up the price from its initial level of £75 million with profits forecasted to have increased for the recently completed financial year HobbyCraft’s most recent accounts show a 42 percent increase in earnings to £7.5 million for the year ending February 2009. Bridgepoint’s plans for HobbyCraft are to open up to an additional 100 stores over the next five years.

Shares in High Street banking giant Barclays have fallen 6.4% despite a considerable increase in pre-tax profits for the first three months of 2010.

Barclays announced profits for the first quarter of £1.82 billion, up 47% on the same period of last year. Most of the profits came from their investment banking arm Barclays Capital, although analysts expected that the division would earn more. On the news before the weekend, Barclays earned the dubious award of being the biggest faller on the FTSE 100 index, down 23 pence to 338 pence.

Uncertainty regarding the Euro pushed Sterling up against the dollar while the Euro fell again. The pound closed on $1.5309 and €1.509

On the FTSE, stocks plunged at the fasted rate for one day for five months after the economies of both Greece and Portugal were downgraded spurring concern that these heavily in debt European nations are moving closer to default. The index sank 200 points to 5,553. 29, its biggest drop for six months

The US economy grew at an annualised rate of 3.2% in the first three months of the year, down from the previous quarter. The reason for the slower growth was attributed to reduced government spending and a fall in exports. According to figures issues by the Commerce Department economy grew at a rate of 5.6% in the final quarter of 2009, with the continued recovery in the economy founded on strong personal consumption.

Before the weekend, shares on Wall Street made a minor recovery after falling sharply on Thursday. The Dow Jones closed up seventeen points to 11008.61 while NASDAQ fell 10 points to 2461.47.

Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou has warned the country to be prepared for a new round of austerity measures. The news comes as the European Union (EU) meet to trash out details of an emergency plan to help tackle Greece’s crippling debt.

The findings of the negotiations between Greece, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the EU were expected to be announced on Sunday, with a . new series of cuts and tax rises expected to be demanded of Greece.

The Greek government have pressed to have the loan deal completed by the 19th May to avoid a devastating debt default. Eurozone members and the IMF have agreed a €110 billion (£95 billion) three-year bail-out package to rescue Greece’s embattled economy. The EU will provide €80 billion in funding with the rest will come from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Before the funds can be released, the loan must first be approved by each of the fifteen 15 Eurozone members.

Official figures relating to the Spain’s unemployment rate show that there are 4.6 million people out of work in the country at the end of March, taking the unemployment levels in the country to 20% for the first time since 1997,

Spain’s jobless rate is the highest in the Eurozone. With the European Union (EU) figures showed that the eurozone unemployment rate remained unchanged at a 10% level in March

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UK economy continues to recover

April 26th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Debt, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Budget, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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The UK economy continues its recovery from recession, with the news that the UK gross domestic profit (GDP) rose by 0.2% in the first three months of 2010, according to information provided by the Office for National Statistics, The figure was lower than the 0.4% growth predicted by many economists, but like the last quarter of 2009 may still be revised. Initial figures for that period, when the UK moved out of recession were originally estimated at 0.1%, were later revised to 0.4%. The ONS estimated that bad weather at the beginning of the year may have had an impact on output, particularly in the retail and industrial sectors. Meanwhile it was reported that manufacturing output grew by 0.7% over the quarter, while the utilities sector output also rose by 2.5%.

It has been confirmed that UK Government borrowing hit a record high of £163.4 billion in 2009, whilst remaining lower than the £166.5 billion initially predicted by Chancellor Alistair Darling in his 2009 Budget.

Despite that fact the figure still makes for s the biggest annual borrowing figure for a UK Government in peacetime.

In March alone, the figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed total borrowing of £23.5 billion.

For the first time, bonus rates on save as you earn (SAYE) schemes are to be cut to zero percent next month. The news has fostered concerns that some employees could shun participation in SAYE plans because there will be less incentive to save.

A £1 billion profits boost looks to be on its way for the Lloyds Banking Group brought about a block in rises of the pensionable salary of its staff. This vital cost saving is expected to play a significant part in returning Lloyds to profit in 2010. The move will also increase the likelihood that the government will be in a position sell its 41 percent stake in the bank in the near future.

As part of their new chief executive Adam Crozier’s expansion plans, Broadcaster ITV is reported to be considering an acquisition of its rival Five Industry sources predict that Crozier will implement expansion plans as soon as possible, before the general consolidation in the sector. If the deal goes through it would give ITV a 53 percent share in the television advertising market.

Two of the UKs largest property investment trusts are to merge to create the sixth-biggest listed property company in the UK with a combined market capitalisation of more than £1.6 billion The F&C Commercial Property Trust (FCPT), are to be merged with the UK Commercial Property Trust (UKCPT) that is owned by the Phoenix Group.

The new company will have a market capitalisation of about £1.6 billion and a property portfolio with net assets of £1.5 billion.

British newspaper and stationery retailer WH Smith has announced a four percent drop in like-for-like sales for the six months to the end of February. WH have spent £35 million in the first half of the year repurchasing shares in a buy-back scheme that has seen their share price rise by ten percent and pre-tax profit rise two percent to £62 million A spokesperson for the group announced that they have decided against extending the buy-back programme, choosing instead to invest in acquisitions and to return cash to shareholders at the end of year. On the news shares in WH Smith closed down 9.5 pence at 505 pence.

Lord Kirkham, founder and chairman of furniture retailer DFS stands to make in excess of £300 million pounds from the sale of his company to private equity firm Advent International, who have purchased the company for £500 million Kirkham will, he will hold on to DFS Properties, which owns approximately one third of the group’s store estate.

Homebuilders were among the biggest gainers in London after the US Commerce Department reported that new home sales in the United States were up by 27 percent in March, the biggest monthly percentage gain in almost half a century. Taylor Wimpey who sells around a third of its properties in the US showed close to a 10% gain on the stock exchange, Barratt Developments was up 4.52 percent, Persimmon 3.81 percent and Bovis Homes 3.45 percent.

The travel and leisure sector also finished the session and the week on a high. Travel returning to normal after the recent closures of airports and airspace in Europe due to ash in the air from the volcanic eruption in Iceland having its effects.

Cruise ship operator Carnival led gains in the sector as it added 5.87 percent, while shares in hotels operator InterContinental Hotels Group rose up by 4.37 percent. British Airways gained 3.86 percent as fears of a protracted grounding were put to the side.

The pound closed against the dollar down .030 on 1.5358 while the Euro closed up to 1.1488

U.K. stocks advanced the most in three weeks before the weekend. Despite a smaller-than-forecast increase in British gross domestic product, prospects for global economic growth remained strong the benchmark FTSE 100 Index rose 58.32 to 5,723.65 on Friday the highest rise since April 1. The increase pared this week’s retreat to 0.4 percent.

Overall The FTSE 100 remains 5.7 percent higher for 2010.

In his weekly radio and Web address, President Barack Obama said on Saturday taxpayer-funded bailouts of the auto industry that he approved had paid off, in what amounted to a rejection of conservative arguments against such government help.

President Obama continues to apply pressure for an overhaul of U.S. financial regulations, saying the promising news from the auto industry had not reduced the need for Wall Street changes.

Government bailouts of Wall Street continue to come under heavy criticism from conservatives who feel the government is spending too much money and that big firms should be allowed to fail.

General Motors Co and Chrysler both reported progress this week in their government-financed turnarounds. However the Obama administration still forecasts some loss on the taxpayer bailout of both companies to help them recover from the economic slump and a steep drop in auto sales.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed for the weekend up 70 points to 11,204.29 while the NASDAQ Composite was up 21 points on 2,530.10

Reports are that Greece’s talks with the IMF on emergency loans to finance its debt are going well. The Greek finance minister George Papaconstantinou predicted that Greece would not face problems funding its debts. To tackle the crisis, which has undermined the Euro, Greece has called for emergency funding from the IMF as well as its Eurozone partners. The Eurozone nations are expected to provide emergency loans of up to €30 billion (£26 billion) in the first year, with a further €10 billion coming from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Greece will need some of the money as soon as the 19th May, when it needs to make a debt payment of $11.3 billion.

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UK Business fears a hung parliament

April 14th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

According to a recent survey, some of the largest companies in the UK are in fear of the financial effects of a hung parliament would have on the economy. The survey which takes in 141 chief financial officers of leading UK companies, among them 40 whose companies are quoted on the FTSE 100, fear that such as situation will have a negative effect on their own businesses. Current opinion polls suggest that, while the Conservatives hold a relatively strong lead, there is a strong chance that no party will win an overall majority in the rapidly approaching elections

Meanwhile a survey recently conducted shows that business confidence has reached its highest level in four years, with output back to levels not seen since before the recession. The report does go on to warn that a "significant increase" in investment in the private sector is needed in order to sustain the recovery, whilst stressing that business optimism could be "short-lived" without the investment.

Increases of y only 0.05 percent in the total value of UK exports have been reported on final quarter of 2009 compared to the same period of 2008 The figures came despite hopes that the weakness of sterling would be beneficial for the exports sector. According to government figures, the total number of companies exporting goods has fallen l by 3.4 percent to just less than fifty thousand. Both the UK government and the Bank of England have previously predicted that exports would help push the recovery.

The Rail, Maritime and Transport union have met with Network Rail in an attempt to avoid strikes planned by thousands of rail workers. The dispute revolves around Network Rail plans to cut 1,500 jobs and alter rosters to allow more work to be carried out at evenings and weekends. The RMT executive is expected to agree to a timetable for fresh ballots after four days of planned strike action were called off last week when Network Rail launched a successful legal challenge.

BAE Systems (BAE) has topped a list of the world’s 100 largest arms manufacturers, marking the first time that the list has been topped by a company outside the U.S. Figures from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute show that BAE arms sales totaled $32.4 billion in 2008. The record performance was largely down to increased sales at BAE’s U.S. subsidiaries, with sales at the company’s Land and Armaments group in the U.S. rising from $7 billion to $12 billion.

Shares in the Home Retail Group Plc rose to a four-month high in London trading after reports that Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s Asda may be interested in making an offer for the U.K. company. On the news, Home Retail’s shares gained as much as 5.6 percent and closed up 14.7 pence to 295.1 pence as, valuing the company at £2.59 billion pounds ($4 billion).

Home Retail, owner of the U.K.’s Argos catalog stores, had sales of just less than £6 billion pounds in the year ended Feb. 27. A spokesman for Home Retail, based in Milton Keynes, declined to comment on the report.

Liverpool Football Club’s U.S. owners have appointed Barclays Capital help find a buyer for the Premiership club. Current owners George Gillett and Tom Hicks bought the club in 2007 for £219 million pounds. Gillett and Hicks have in the past hired Merrill Lynch and Rothschild to attract minority investors and their decision to appoint Barclays indicates they are now stepping up efforts to achieve an outright sale.

A study has suggested that a permanent rise in the price of oil would leave the UK economy in better shape than the other major importers, especially Japan, the U.S. and the Euro zone. Although all big oil-importing economies would suffer from a higher oil price, Japan and the U.S. would be hardest hit, while the UK would withstand the shock relatively well, with a $10 price rise contracting its economy by just 0.4 percent.

The pound continues to make some slow momentum, remaining above the $1.50 level at $1.5374, while falling back in value ever so slightly against the Euro at 1.1308.

The FTSE 100 stuttered on some insecure trading, falling 15.99 points to 5761.66.

The euro has jumped sharply against the dollar and the pound after the Eurozone agreed details of a multi-billion euro loan package to debt-ridden Greece.

The Euro rose by more than 2 cents, against the dollar, to close on $1.3672. While rising to 88.408 pence against the pound.

The rise came after the Eurozone member nations eventually agreed to provide loans of up to €30 billion (£27 billion) in the first year of a three-year package. Greece hopes it will not have to ask for the emergency loans and Instead the implementation of an extensive package of austerity measures will help to cut its debt levels and restore confidence in Greek government debt.

In the US it was announced that the trade deficit has widened to $39.7 billion (£20.8 billion) in February, as import growth continued to outpace exports.

According to figures issued by the US Department of Commerce, the overall trade deficit increased by $2.7 billion from January. It also announced that imports were up 20.5% to $182.9 billion from the same month in 2009 while exports were up only 14.3% to $143.2 billion.

The trade figures confirm the trend of resurgent imports outpacing the rebound in exports as the US economy recovers from recession.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to rise, crossing the 11,000 point barrier at 11.0032.46 while the NASDAQ Composite was 21 points higher at 2,4664.86

US chip maker Intel has announced net record incomes for the first quarter of $2.44 billion (£1.59 billion) compared with $629 million reported for the first quarter in 2009, making for almost a quadruple increase. Intel’s turnover was up 44% to $10.3 billion showing recovery from the global recession is well under way in the computer hardware department.

The social networking site Twitter has announced their plans to allow advertising on their site; a spokesperson for Twitter said that for the first time.

Advertisers would be able to buy "Promoted Tweets" that will appear on Twitter’s search results pages, whilst going on to point out that "Promoted Tweets" will differ from traditional adverts. Instead these Tweets must "resonate with users" and delivered in a conversational tone.

Twitter have reportedly already signed up number of big name organisations such as Sony Pictures, coffee chain Starbucks and US retailer Best Buy to tweet.

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UK property prices continue to recover.

October 1st, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

financial news

The dwindling supply of property and an improving market confidence have combined to boost the average UK house price, with the price climbing to £156,100 up 0.2% from August but remaining 5.6% below the level of September 2008. In August, the average house price bumped 0.1% from July and 6.7% from the year before. Questions still remain as to whether the recent surge in activity will continue, despite the talk of general improvement in property and equities.

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the global economy has begun to expand again and financial conditions have improved significantly. However, in their most recent World Economic Outlook, the IMF has forecast that the pace of recovery is expected to be slow and unemployment is liable to remain at high levels for a long time. The IMF has cut their previously pessimistic forecast of the amount that banks are likely to lose in bad loans and investments. The revised total for the period between 2007 and 2010 is now $3.4 trillion, down from its previous estimate of $4 trillion. The reduction is attributed to the improved outlook for the global economy.

The squeeze on government finances will be so tight that outsourcing of catering services in the public sector is likely to rise sharply and that catering giant Compass are likely to benefit. A spokesman for the company forecast that mounting pressure on public bodies to cut spending has provided an opportunity for the industry to expand. Compass, the world’s largest industrial catering company have already enjoyed solid performances in its education, healthcare and defence divisions had helped to offset weakness in more discretionary sectors. In a recent trading update, the company announced that rising unemployment had hurt turnover at both their business and industry and sports and leisure divisions.

Despite a recent increase in sales, men’s formal wear retailer Moss Bros failed to prevent first-half losses, that increased by more than 35 percent. Moss Bros., who also own the Hugo Boss brand, were encouraged by increased sales over the last two months, after they had fallen by 2.6 per cent in the six months to the end of July. First-half revenue dipped from £61.1 million to £60.8 million while the company’s pre-tax loss widened from £2.2 million to £3 million.

It appears that with the completion of a debt-for-equity swap with its lender HSBC, high street camera retailing chain, Jessops, have succeeded in staving off insolvency The agreement, which will protect 2,000 jobs in Jessop’s 115 stores in the UK and Ireland, will see investors share a one-off payment of £100,000, equating to five per cent of their current estimated market value. Jessops arrived at the understanding with HSBC after some of its agreements coming in to the Christmas trading period were cast into doubt by the lack of certainty over its future.

The FTSE 100 closed down 25.82 points at 5,133.9, wrapping up the third quarter having risen by 21 percent, making for the largest quarterly gain in its history. Meanwhile the FTSE 250 fell back 62.21 points to 9,153.76 on the day’s trading. During the third quarter, the FTSE 250 has also risen, this time by more than 18 percent.

The pound was still steadily rising against the major currencies on yesterday’s trading. Sterling advanced against the dollar, rising to $1.6015 after an above-forecast jump in September UK consumer confidence.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6015
  • Pound/Euro 1.10996
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 143.953
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.666

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to weaken on Wednesday’s trading, dropping 29.92 points to close on 9,712.28. The NASDAQ remained stable, dropping just 7.19 points to 2122.42.

As the effects of the recession continue to be felt, the unemployment rate across the Eurozone has again risen. The seasonally adjusted rate for August rose to 9.6%, compared with 9.5% in the previous month according to official figures recently released, with the number of jobseekers in the Eurozone reaching 15.2 million. Economists insist that unemployment rates are liable to increase, despite the fact that most of the economies in the region are moving out of the recession.

Crude oil prices rose by more than $1 a barrel ahead of the latest US inventories data while gold regained the $1,000 level and base metals staged a broad advance as sentiment towards commodity markets found support from renewed dollar weakness.

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Brown gives a nod and a wink to Turner.

September 1st, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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Prime Minister Gordon Brown has given his tacit approval without officially endorsing Lord Turner, chairman of the Financial Services Authority recent statements that the banking sector was "bloated and needs to be cut down to size." Brown, in a recent interview, did however pledge to take tough action to clamp down on excessive remuneration for bankers.

The prime minister explained that his policy for the future would be that remuneration and especially bonuses should be based on long term profits success not short-term speculative gains. Also those banks should have the framework installed that would allow them to recover bankers’ bonuses if performance and profits suffered in later years. He also suggested that regulators should be able to impose higher capital requirements on financial institutions.

U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling has strongly suggested to his counterparts in European governments to grant the International Monetary Fund (IMF) an increase in the funding previously pledged in order to provide increased support for the countries that have been hardest hit by the global financial crisis.

Four days before Darling is due to host a meeting in London for the Group of 20 financial ministers, Darling urged the 27 European Union nations to provide the IMF with $75 billion on top of the $100 billion previously committed.

Workers employed by the UK branch of Fujitsu Ltd. have decided to take strike action to oppose proposals made by the company to place a final-salary pension plan in mothballs as well as freeze pay, according to Unite trade union official representing the employees.

A spokesperson for Unite revealed that 87 percent of their members at the company voted for strike action, while 96 percent were also prepared to consider a less severe form of industrial action.

Fujitsu, Japan’s largest computer-services provider, employing 12,500 people in the UK, announced plans to cut as many as 1,200 jobs in the U.K. because of “lower than anticipated revenues

There was no action on the FTSE yesterday, due to the August bank holiday

Sterling made a minor recovery against the dollar, but continued to struggle against the Euro

  • Pound/US dollar 1.628
  • Pound/Euro 1.1351
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 151.6273
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7232

On Wall Street, markets struggled largely due to uncertainty in the Chinese stock market, that fell by 5% on the day.. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 47.92 to close on 9496.28 while the NASDAQ Composite index dropped 19.71 points to close on 2,009.06

Entertainment giant Walt Disney announced that that they are to take over Marvel Entertainment and with it some of 5,000 Marvel characters, including Spider-Man and the X-Men.

In a shares and cash deal valued at £2.5 billion, Marvel shareholders will get $30 per share in cash plus 0.745 Disney shares for every Marvel share owned.

The boards of Disney and Marvel have both approved the deal, which now needs the backing of Marvel shareholders and competition authorities.

The annual rate of inflation for August in the Eurozone registered negative for the third consecutive month.

Prices in the 16-nation bloc have fallen by 0.2% in the past year, according to statistic issued by Eurostat , exacerbated by a record 0.7% fall in July.

Inflation in the eurozone has been dragged down by lower energy and food prices and by falling demand from both companies and households.

The Indian economy has grown by a remarkable 6.1% in the second three months of 2009, in comparison with the same period of last year, results that were marginally higher than predicted.

Although growth has slowed from last year, India’s economy is still expanding faster than most other countries.

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