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Darling is looking for some credit.

March 16th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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Chancellor Alistair Darling, possibly with an eye to future job prospects, is expected to blow his own horn in the coming days, by claiming that the Labour government’s investment in jobs programmes are responsible for saving no less than £12 billion during the recession. Darling backed up his claims by stating that in the 2009 budget, the government’s prediction for unemployment was as high as 2.09 million by the end of 2009 and reaching close to 2.5 million in 2010. By the end of December of last year they had already revised, their estimates down to one and three quarters of a million by end 2009 and less than two million for 2010. The reduced number of benefit claimants, if maintained, will save £10 billion over the next five years according to the stressed Chancellor’s figures.

There is much speculation afoot that the UK government are about to introduce important legislation regarding the use of credit cards. The new legislation will prohibit credit card companies from using a method of calculating interest known as the "adverse order of payments method. The adverse order of payments is where credit card companies force customers to pay off the debts on their account holding the lowest rates of interest before higher interest rate debt is reduced. Figures show that currently there are close to ten million people in the UK holding credit card debts with multiple interest rates. The practice is said to cost credit card holders an average of around £250 pounds in the first year they hold the card.

Business Secretary Lord Mandelson has announced that the UK government will be offering a £270 million loan to GM designed to safeguard five thousand Vauxhall jobs in the UK. The money, which will go to Vauxhall’s parent company GM Europe, will guarantee production at the car maker’s plants in Luton and Ellesmere Port. According to a statement from Lord Mandelson, the outline deal followed "highly complex" talks between the Government and bosses in the US.

Lord Mandelson stressed in his statement: "I always said the Government would stand foursquare behind Vauxhall. With this announcement, we have kept our word." Unite boss Tony Woodley who represent the Vauxhall workers chipped in by saying that the loan is great news for British industry.

Lloyds Banking Group Plc and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc improved on the increase in value of their U.S. bank shares. RBS soared 5 percent to 42.57 pence. U.S. banks yesterday closed at the highest since November 2008, led by Citigroup Inc. Lloyds climbed 3.4 percent to 58.47 pence. The bank is close to agreeing a joint venture to sell a number of the less than worthwhile assets assembled by HBOS.

BSkyB, the U.K.’s biggest pay-television provider, surged the most in almost eight months on a report that Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp. may bid for the shares that the y currently do not hold in the company. On the news BSkyB rose 5 percent to 598 pence, the biggest gain since July 30. News Corp, which already owns 39 percent of the pay-TV company, may be planning to pay 735 pence a share for the stake it doesn’t already own.

The Pound was still seen to be struggling again the main currencies, although the currency did rise slightly before the weekend. The pound was on $1.5183 while remaining almost on par with the Euro on €1.1033

As the markets closed for the weekend U.K. stocks gained, extending a second weekly increase for the benchmark FTSE 100 Index, largely on the back of increases in financial share values.

The FTSE 100 increased 0.2 percent to 5,625.65, bringing its weekly gain to 0.5 percent. The FTSE 100 has climbed to near the highest level since June 2008, lifted by optimism that the global economic recovery and higher earnings will support the 12-month rally in equities.

Former executives of the now defunct Lehman Brothers firm as well as the senior executives of their erstwhile auditor, Ernst & Young headed home for a weekend of self contemplation as they were severely censured in a recent report for some serious professional lapses that led to the firm’s collapse.

The report also went on to say that Lehman trading on knowing they were insolvent for a number of weeks before eventually declaring themselves bankrupt. Lehman’s bankruptcy is generally recognized as being the catalyst that sparked of the global financial meltdown. The collapse of the 158-year-old investment bank in September 2008 was the world’s largest bankruptcy at that time.

The report made for some heavy and disturbing reading, accusing the Lehman Brothers’ management of "actionable balance sheet manipulation" and using accounting tricks to hide debts. In their defence, Ernst & Young said that its last audit of Lehman was "fairly presented" according to accounting rules. As Lehman Brothers wobbled on the edge of collapse, a determined effort from Wall Street, the City of London, and the US and UK governments did all that they could to prevent the banks’ fearing the chain reaction that Lehman’s failure would set off around the globe.

Whether the long awaited report had an effect on Wall Street trading remains to be seen, but share trading was certainly restrained on Friday before the markets closed. The Dow Jones was up 12. 85 points to 10624.49 while the NASDAQ dropped less than a point to 2367.66

After weeks of crisis, it looks like the Eurozone region are on the verge of agreeing to support a multibillion-euro bailout for Greece as part of a package to shore up the Euro, the zone’s single currency.

Despite huge resistance, Germany, who were against the bailout, have bowed to pressure from fellow members of the 16 strong Eurozone members who expect to draw up the rescue package in the early days of this week. At the same time, the Eurozone members, at Germany’s behest, will introduce new legislation to enforce greater fiscal discipline among its members.

According to a senior European commission official, the Euro member states have agreed to provide a series of loans or loan guarantees to Greece in the likely event that Athens finds itself unable to refinance its soaring debt and requests help from the EU. Speculation has it that the initial aid to Greece could reach as high as €25 billion (£22.6 billion), with estimates that the total extent of Greece’s financial problems could see them needing up to €55 billion in loans by the end of 2010. Despite the fact that Germany were the most reluctant to come to the rescue of a fiscal delinquent in the current crisis, they have played the pivotal role in organising the rescue package, in their role as the EU’s traditional paymaster,

According to a report by the International Energy Agency (IEA),

China’s demand for oil jumped by an "astonishing" 28% in January compared with the January 2009. The IEA went on to point out that added that the estimated global demand for oil in 2010 would be driven by rising demand from emerging markets, with half of all growth coming from Asia while demand in developed countries is likely to fall by 0.3%.

The IEA has increased its global oil demand forecast for 2010 by 1.8% to 86.6 million barrels a day.

Oil prices were above $83 a barrel on Friday, the highest in two months.

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The cost of the winter comes home to UK insurance companies.

March 15th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, World Banks

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Recent figures have shown that insurers paid out £650 million from 335,000 claims, with most of them were caused by the wintry weather in the UK this year. According to the Association of British Insurers (ABI), the biggest chunk of the payout was to motorists whose vehicles were damaged vehicles on the slippery roads during January, which was the eighth coldest month on record and the UK’s worst since 1987. The ABI went on to confirm most of the £650 million claims were from 18 December to 13 January when the number of homes, vehicles and businesses all experience damages as a result of the winter weather. Specifically, £395 million was paid out to motorists from 268,400 motor insurance claims.

A new round of tougher stress tests have been ordered by regulators for the UK banks to make sure that if a forecasted "double dip" in the UK economy should occur , they will be able to withstand it in better shape than they did in the " first dip." The banks will be required to prove that their "tier core one capital ratio" would be capable of remaining above the minimum four percent level even if the economy contracted an additional 2.3 percent. These figures were part of a projection provided by the Financial Services Authority said in their annual Financial Risk Outlook.

Official statistics revealed on Thursday that UK industrial output fell 0.9% in January, making for the first drop in five months. The news out a damper on speculation of continued expansion of industrial output, and put further strain on the pound which is still hovering around the $1.50 mark.

The British Property Federation (BPF) has warned against possible abuse of insolvency practices in Britain’s frail real estate market as profitable tenants seek to renegotiate leases signed in better economic times.

The industry body, representing blue chip landlords such as Land Securities and British Land, has condemned the trend. A spokesperson for the BPF explained their standpoint as follows. "Landlords are caught between rock and a hard place when it comes to bailing out occupiers at the expense of their shareholders or facing the prospect of empty space and the costs that come with it,"

BPF has called for tightening of insolvency rules that she said unfairly penalised property company shareholders, among them under fire pension funds, for badly negotiating leases.

Sterling continued to be in the doldrums, with the pound closing yesterday up slightly on $1.5123 while falling against the Euro to €1.1011.

On the FTSE, the star of the show was undoubtedly the Tullett Prebon Company. Tullett Prebon are an interdealer broker, whose shares rose by 25.7% as speculation mounted that the company was in the throes of talks regarding a possible sale of the company to with the Bank of China being marked as potential bidders.

UK equities continued to rally in midweek, despite the weaker-than-forecast manufacturing data. Investors appeared to be focusing their efforts on the financial and mining sectors.

The FTSE 100 index took on 23.0 points to close on 5617. 26 it’s highest level since June 2008, closing at 5,617.26.

The US government announced that they had recorded a budget deficit of $221 billion (£147.6 billion) in February, making for their largest monthly deficit in s history.

Figures from the US treasury now show that the United States total deficit since the beginning of the fiscal year which began in October 2009 now stands at $651.6 billion, putting it well on track to beat last year’s record annual budget deficit of $1.4 trillion, with Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner calling the deficit "unsustainable".

On the Wall Street the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped back a little, down 21 points to close on 10,566.95. The NASDAQ Composite was still climbing, rising just 9 points to close on 2,356.27

China’s exports jumped by 46% in February compared with a year ago, raising hopes of a strong recovery in global trade.

The increase was higher than analysts’ expectations of a rise of between 35% and 40%.

It is likely to increase pressure on the Chinese government to raise the value of the yuan, which the US in particular complains is undervalued.

China’s imports also rose strongly, increasing by 44.7% last month

Microsoft founder Bill Gates must have been feeling a little dizzy yesterday after it was announced that he had been knocked down from one of his many pedestals, This one was to second place in Forbes magazine’s billionaire’s list, and not by his close friend US investor Warren Buffet who was in third, but by Mexican telecom giant Carlos Slim, which made for the first time since 1994 that an American has not led the who has got the most cash rankings. Mr Slam’s fortune rose by $18.5 billion (£12.4 billion) from last year to $53.5 billion. The Gates fortune now totals $53 billion, while investment guru Buffet has fallen on hard times, now worth only $43 billion.

2009 was all in all a tough year for billionaires with 332 of them being reduced to being mere multi-millionaires, while around two hundred news ones being accepted to the club, according to the Forbes list.

In the UK, the sixth Duke of Westminster Gerald Grosvenor remained the wealthiest Briton with a net worth of $12 billion as he improved his finances by $1 billion despite the UK property slump. The improving health of the global economy meant that 55 countries were represented in the Forbes, among them China. In fact if you take in Hong Kong, the Chinese now account for 89 of the world’s billionaires, second only to the United States with 403 billionaires.

One or two of them must come from the Chinese automotive industry, which increase capacity at an alarming rate in order to meet demand. Changan Automobile, the 4th largest domestic producer by sales (and a strategic partner of Ford) announced 2009 total revenues up by 88.4%, with an almost two-thirds increase in total units sold. Announcing the figures, the company also said that they expect liberal government policies will continue to support industry growth at the present pace for the foreseeable and that facility expansion will likely continue. Changan is not alone in ramping up capacity, with the Chery Company announcing the launch of a new factory in Mongolia despite the fact that their new facilities in Wuhu and Dalian have not yet been completed. Chery are best known for their range of compact cars.

Signals from Beijing do seem to indicate that the automotive industry will continue to receive special support even as tightening measures are implemented broadly. In a newspaper interview yesterday, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Industry reaffirmed the Chinese government’s commitment to provide subsidies for green automotive technology to help achieved the official target of half a million green cars before 2013.

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UK house prices go back into neutral

March 10th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Savings Accounts, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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According to information released by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) it looks increasingly likely that further price increases in the domestic property market may be put on hold, as more properties continue to come on to the market. RICS announced that in February more instructions to sell came on the market than enquiries to buy, making for the second month in a row that this has happened. Analysts have always speculated that

The rise in house prices during 2009 has been because there was a shortage of both new and second hand properties for sale. In spite of the rise in volumes, however, the average price paid for private homes during the year fell 9 per cent to £166,000.

That well known bearer of bad news and inaccurate predictions the Confederation for British Industry (CBI) have come up with another winner. This time they suggest that the cash-strapped U.K. government should aim to balance its budget two years earlier than currently planned. The CBI say that such a move would go a long way to calming investor fears that Britain could lose its top-notch credit rating. They have yet to come up with suggestions of how Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling or whoever is lucky enough to replace him should go about this mammoth task, although the traditional spending cuts and reforms to public services were mentioned rather than tax increases.

In the last few weeks, newspaper polls continue to point in the direction of a coalition government for Britain in the coming elections. This will mean the first minority government since 1974, and those who remember that far back, don’t recall it as a particularly pleasant experience.

It appears that the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has their feet more firmly on the ground than some of the other public bodies. They have proved it once again by suggesting that the UK government reduce their economic growth target for 2011 from 2.3 percent down to 2.1 percent. At same time, the BCC issued a strongly worded suggestion to the government to abandon proposals to raise national insurance. To complete a cheery picture, the UK trade organisation also suggested that the UK government should rapidly address public sector pensions as well as taking a close look at public sector levels to make any progress on tackling the UK’s ever increasing budget deficit.

One of the biggest clouds hanging over the future of the Royal Mail service has finally been lifted after an agreement was reached with postal workers which means that they could be eligible to salary increase of around seven percent over the next three years, as well as a more stable job security. In return for these favours, the Communication Workers Union (CWU) need to promise to cooperate in structural changes to the organisation that will eventually transform it .

The deal, which is still to be accepted in a ballot vote by CWU members, is designed to avert the threat of further union disruption and give the green light for the Royal Mail to proceed with their proposed £2 billion modernisation programme. With their union troubles hopefully behind them, the stage will be set for Royal Mail to face some of their other challenges, including revaluating their pension fund deficit, which currently stand as £3.4 billion to at least three times that sum.

The company that manages the Channel Tunnel, the aptly named Eurotunnel, announce that they had succeed in making a £1.3 million last year, despite the effects of the "poor economic environment" as well as one or two setbacks that they experienced in 2009, which they must hope will be one-offs. These included the tunnel being closed after the fire in late 2008, not returning to normal levels until February of last year, as well as the heavy snow that made it impassible in December of 2009.

There is a buzz in the city that states that Northern Rock are about to announce multi-million pound losses in 2009, and for the third year running, Pre-tax losses are expected to be around 400 million pounds, meaning that . The bank has made losses totaling of £2 billion since being bailed out by the UK government in 2007.

Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Money, who at one time were said to be interest in acquiring Northern Rock, and are to launch themselves as a retail bank later this year, have come with a fairly innovative new proposal for potential customers. The proposal we that Virgin Bank will charge a fixed monthly fee for current account customers, payable in advance. A spokesman for the company did hasten to point out that the fees will be low and will replace high overdraft charges.

Virgin Money’s launch comes at a time when consumers have lost confidence in existing High Street banks and Virgin’s high profile as a high street trader who gets things done.

Another major UK retailer, supermarket giant Tesco are also set to expand into the banking industry, already offering credit cards, savings accounts and insurance via its Tesco Personal Finance (TPF) brand through their in-store banks.

In the meantime, supermarket chain WM Morrison are expected to report a 16 percent increase of their in full-year pre-tax profit for 2009 to £757 million when its results are announced on Thursday. Sales are expected to have risen to £15.5 billion. The supermarket’s increased penetration in the south of England has led to industry-beating sales growth and large gains in market share.

Money markets continued to be unfavourable for Sterling with the pound closing yesterday on $1.499 while also falling against the Euro on €1.1028.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index slowed down after a few days of heavy rises, up just five points, to close on 5,602.3.

Stateside, ailing insurance giant AIG have announced that they are to sell of yet another of their overseas insurance business, American Life Insurance Company (Alico) to rival MetLife for $15.5 billion (£10.3 billion), in a drive to raise funds to pay off their $182.3 billion federal bail-out.

MetLife will pay out $6.8 billion in cash and a further $8.7 billion in shares for Alico, which operates in more than 50 countries.

The announcement comes a week after AIG agreed to sell its Asian business AIA to UK group Prudential for $35.5 billion.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was holding its own, closing up 21 points on 10,585.62. The NASDAQ Composite was still climbing, rising 21 points to close on 2,347.13

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UK companies seeking suitors from abroad

March 10th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Global Credit Crisis, Mortgages, Recession, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Every cloud still appears to have a silver lining and the silver this time round will be coming from both the United States and Europe. UK fund managers are anticipating a wave of takeover activity as companies with some surplus cash sitting around might be looking to take advantage of the weak pound to snaps UN some bargains in acquiring smaller British firms.

Also expecting a windfall in the near future is the HM Revenue & Custom (HMRC). As a result of the unexpected success of their business payment support,

The sum of corporate tax rescheduled service has reached five billion pounds, with more than 160,000 UK businesses having negotiated a "time-to-pay" agreement, since the launch of the in late November 2008. Since that time, the Enterprise Finance Guarantee scheme has secured £862 million of loans for more than right thousand UK businesses.

Britain’s one-time tax on bank bonuses could bring in more than £2.5 billion ($3.7 billion) to the government’s coffers this financial year, which works out at almost three times the £550 million estimated by Chancellor of the Exchequer, Alistair Darling. Darling announced the fifty percent levy for bank bonuses over £25,000 pounds in December last year.

Darling is expected to unveil the Governments plans to use the extra funds for “small targeted measures” during his budget speech later this month.

The people of Iceland are preparing to organise a referendum, on which they will decide to repay the UK and the Netherlands governments, the money owed to them after the collapse of Icesave bank.

The UK and the Netherlands want reimbursement for the £3.4 billion (€3.8 billion) paid out in compensation to customers in 2008.

Talks between the three countries broke down on Friday without agreement.

The Icelandic government had hoped to avoid the vote by agreeing a new repayment plan before the weekend, with the country’s Prime Minister Johanna Sigurdardottir calling for further talks to take place before the referendum card is called.

The serious concerns that residents of the North East are having regarding the possibility that the steel processing plant run by Corus on Teesside will be closed are to be aired at a meeting in London this week. The meeting will be between the Government department who are handling the Corus file on behalf of the government, and a group of local politicians and potential investors. The group is thought to be interested in acquiring the Teesside Cast Products plant, which is due to close. The plant began lying off the first of 1,600 staff before the weekend. .

Redcar MP Vera Baird said a sale of TCP was “the best outcome we could have” and urged patience while a deal was put together.

With prices up by an average of 3.2 percent, February showed the strongest monthly growth in house prices since August 2007 in central London. Strongest risers were properties in the £5 million pound bracket, which exceeded even the prices of March 2008 when the market was as its precession peak. Elsewhere in the UK figures show a drop in the average house prices for the first time in months, Reasons given were the bad weather experienced in January, as well as an increase in number of properties hitting the market. The weakening pound may also account for the fact that almost half of the properties worth £2 million pounds or more have been snapped up by buyers from overseas during the last year,

Equity strategists believe a weakening pound will cause shares in London-listed companies to rise over the coming weeks. The feeling is that asset managers are rebalancing their UK portfolios and issuing new stock recommendations following sterling’s continued poor performance in the currency market. Strategists are apparently encouraging investors to take long positions in UK firms with ties to foreign markets, will steering clear of UK businesses who rely extensively on the domestic economy.

The Financial Services Authority (FSA) has granted a licence to Metro Bank, which will mean a whole new face on the UK high street, and within the coming months. Metro’s plans are to create a network of over 200 Greater London branches, offering a "superior service", with branches open seven days a week.

The continuing uncertainty around the pound has caused a lot of ups and downs over the last week. At close of trading on Friday the pound closed on $1.5056, as well as 1.1044 against the Euro.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index jumped 72 points, to close for the weekend on 5,597.76.

The US Labor Department has today revealed that unemployment rate remained unchanged at 9.7% in February, lower than the 10% rate that was expected. According to figures issued by the Labor Department, there were just 36,000 job cuts last month, considerably less than the 50,000 analysts had predicted. Since the beginning of the financial downturn in December 2007, employment has fallen by 8.4 million, making for almost 15 million unemployed people in the US.

These figures conform to the Federal Reserve’s forecast unemployment rate. The rate is expected to remain at between 9.5% and 9.7% for all of 2010, and could ease to as low as 8.2% in 2011.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to thrive, closing for the weekend up 122.06 points to close on 10,566.2. The NASDAQ Composite was still climbing also, rising 34 points to close on 2,326.35

According to official figures from the US Commerce Department the US economy grew at a faster rate than previous estimates in the fourth quarter.

The economy grew by an annual 5.9% between the October and December period, an improvement on the 5.7% previously estimated.

For the whole of 2009, the GDP declined at of 2.4%, making for the largest full-year contraction since the 10.9% fall immediately after the end of World War Two.

A spokesman for the Swedish venture capitalists Investor, has announced their approval to buy half of defence group BAE System’s stake in Swedish defence firm Saab. The statement read that Investor’s acquisition of half of BAE’s 20.5 percent stake "clarified the ownership structure in Saab" in a climate where there had been "less alignment of interests and the emergence of some overlapping businesses" between the two aerospace firms.

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Congratulations. It’s been a year now since the Bank of England increased their interest rates.

March 5th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Loans, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Saving, Savings Accounts, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, World Banks, savings accounts

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It came as no big surprise to anybody when the Bank of England (BOE) announced that they will be holding interest rates at their record low of 0.5%, and for the twelfth consecutive month.

The BOE’s decision gained a consensus of approval by UK economists, who pronounced, individually and collectively that rises in the cost of borrowing could set the UK’s fragile economic recovery back into the red.

The announcement that the bank will be standing firm on the amount of money that will be pumped into quantitative easing program (QE) programme was also met with a similar apathy.

BOE governor Mervyn King has long since made clear his opinion on increasing interest rates raising QE quotas, and all the rest of the UK’s financial programs by simply stating that that it was “far too soon” to make any changes to the status quo.

Sterling has now dropped in value for six consecutive trading days, with the bulk of opinion on the Pound’s increasingly weak position being because of speculation that the forthcoming general election is liable to see a hung parliament which translates to a government that will be too weak to mend the UK’s financial problems. Since the beginning of 2010, the pound has dropped by seven percent against the dollar, reaching a ten month low of $1.4783 on March the 2nd. The pound closed on Thursday on $1.5051 while the Euro was stabilising at 1.1078.

Financial Service Institute (FSA) chairman Lord Turner has voiced his opinion that that the size of banks was also not the main reason behind the economic turmoil, and even some of the UK’s smaller financial institutions could have been pronounced equally guilty of “over-exuberant lending” and taking “risky short-term wholesale deposits, Turner explained “Everyone was seduced by the long boom and were often led astray in the past by complicated mathematical rules. The Bank’s regulators were the ones who failed to notice the inherent weakness in that position.”

The FSA chairman also went on to explain that when the time comes to add up the cost of bailing out the financial services industry at the height of the global financial crisis may in the end turn out to be a lot less than first predicted.

“It is quite possible that the total overt costs of the UK’s big bank rescues may not exceed five-ten per cent of GDP," Turner predicted in a recent interview "and perhaps considerably less as indeed was the case in the Swedish banking crisis of the 1990s.” He summed up.

Recent research is pointing to a situation that increasingly adds weight to the theory that the UK’s property rental sector is heading towards a similar model of the mainland European countries of increasingly longer tenancy agreements.

According to one of the UKs largest letting agencies, during the last year and a half, a fairly dramatic increase in demand for rented accommodation has been observed, with potential tenants being especially interested in properties with long term tenure periods.

Reasons given for this new phenomena in property rental appears to be largely causes by increasing difficulties of young families to raise the new and higher deposit levels required to be granted a mortgage, while around a third confessed that they were unsure that the conditions were ripe to put their toe in the still turbulent waters of the UK property market. With almost 40 percent of potential first-time home buyers opting to remain tenants in the meantime, because of the current tough mortgage-lending criteria and 14% of those questioned said they preferred life as a tenant to that of a homeowner.

Home ownership in the UK has fallen by three percent since 2003 with the trend likely to continue. Several of the UK’s leading property management companies now believe that the UK Government now needs to ensure that renting a home offers the stability levels that are currently only afforded to home owners.

British Airways, once again under strike threat have dug in by saying that more than one thousand of the staff have volunteered to work as cabin crew if indeed the threatened strike goes ahead.

As a further back up, BA announced that they also intended to hire no less than 23 fully crewed planes from a leading European owned charter company. The company’s role will be to help run flights from Heathrow Airport should the strike threats eventually materialise.

The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) recently announced that new car sales in the UK increased by 26.4% in February compared with the same month in 2009, with the main push in demand coming because of the Government’s scrappage scheme.

Launched in May of last year in an effort to boost the ailing car industry, the £400 million initiative, which allowed owners of cars at least 10 years old would be offered a £2,000 discount off the price of a new vehicle, with half of the grant being provided by the UK Government and the other £1,000 coming from the lucky carmaker. Figures from the SMMT show that almost 20 percent of new car sales in February came a result of the scheme, which is due to be wound up by the end of March.

On the stock market, Barclays Plc’s Asian partner, the China Development Bank announced that they will be reviewing their “ties” with the bank, U.K.’s second-biggest. The announcement caused shares in Barclays to rise one percent, to 333.1 pence.

The U.K.’s third-largest supermarket owner J Sainsbury Plc has announced plans to expand their activities into non-food products. They will be marketing electronics, entertainment and sports equipment among others through their Web site. Despite the excitement, Sainsbury shares 0.2 percent, to close on 335.4 pence.

Michael Page International Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest recruitment company announced a drop in full-year pretax profit of no less than 85 percent to £21.1 million pounds. Despite the reversal, their shares climbed 6 1.7 percent, to close on 395 pence.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index fell 0.1 percent, to close on Thursday at 5,527.16.

On Wall Street, for the Dow Jones Industrial Average the only way was up, this time rising 47.38 points to close on 10,444.14. The NASDAQ Composite also held its own, rising 11 points to close on 2,292.31.

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For Greece read Britain.

March 3rd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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According to a recent statement from the Office for National Statistics, the state of public finances in the UK, are even worse than that of Greece. The latest figures on government borrowing show that in January there was a net shortfall of £4.3 billion, which is much higher than even the most pessimistic of forecasts. January is traditionally the month where a healthy balance of payments is the norm. If the trend continues, the UK will be looking at a deficit of £180 billion for 2010, equivalent to 12.8 per cent of GDP, which will even beat Greece into second place in the "whose going skint fastest" race.

The reasons given for the UK’s poor performance included considerably reduced earnings in the financial sector as well as general weaknesses in the economy. These factors combined to push cash receipts down by 9 per cent overall compared with last year tax, while public spending was up by 15 per cent up in January, driven higher by the rise in unemployment benefits.

The only positive piece of news coming out of the report was that the total national debt carried by Britain remains lower than Greece as well as the fellow financially challenged European countries, Portugal, Italy, Ireland, and Spain.

HSBC have announced a 24 per cent fall in profits for 2009. Their profits fell to £4.65 billion ($7.1 billion) with the main factor being increased loan impairment charges, which largely cancelled out the bank’s strong investment banking performance. Undeterred, HSBC have announced that they would be paying out a total of £4.6 billion in pay and bonuses to staff at their profit earning investment banking division. HSBC shares fell almost 6 per cent to 679 pence on the news.

After months of speculation, retailer to the upper echelons Liberty, have finally confirmed their plans for the sale and leaseback of their landmark mock-Tudor flagship store situated on Great Marlborough Street in London’s West End. The company, which was founded in 1876, and are partially owned by the MWB Group, announced that they had issued instructions to put the building up for sale, and it is expected to fetch around £40 million. A few of the London based property owners are believed to be interested in acquiring the property for lease back to Liberty, but are likely to face strong competition from overseas. A spokesman for Liberty announced that that turnover for the store in 2009 had jumped by 16 per cent.

Despite winning the Carling Cup Final at the weekend, all is not well at Manchester United, but not on the playing field, instead in the boardroom.

The problem is that United, owned by the Glazer family, are running a very high level of debt, some £716.5 million, a fact that has caused much discomfort and loads of speculation among their huge band of supporters. So much so that a group of city financiers, under the title the "Red Knights" have met to discuss the feasibility of setting up what will be a possible hostile takeover of the club. An immediate response from the Glazers was that Manchester United is not for sale."

However, it may not be that easy, as United’s owners are facing a two-pronged attack over their control of the club with the Manchester United Supporters’ Trust (Must) running a campaign to bring about a change of ownership, which might even involve fans boycotting the clubs matches, and with a 76,000 seater stadium to fill, that may well be too bitter a pill for the Glazers to absorb.

The fact that the British general election appears to be getting closer and is now expected in May is having a very negative effect on Sterling. The currency took another pounding on foreign exchange markets, with the possibility that the election may bring of a hung parliament looking an increasing possibility. The uncertainty has caused the pound to drop nearly four cents, reaching a low of $1.4984 at one point before rallying to close $1.5056. The pound also closed at 1.1044 against the Euro.

On the FTSE 100 supermarket chain Tesco were among the FTSE 100’s top performers as America’s second-richest man Warren Buffett raised his stake in the company. Share values rose by 3.2 per cent to 433 pence, after Mr Buffett announced to his Berkshire Hathaway shareholders that their holding had increased to 3 per cent. Berkshire Hathaway has been gradually raising their stockholding in Tesco since 2006 when the retailer announced their plans to enter the US market. Since making their first stock purchase, the American conglomerate is believed to have become Tesco’s sixth largest shareholder.

As the markets closed for the day, the FTSE 100 was up 134 points to 5,484.06.

According to Lawrence Summers, head of the White House National Economic Council, the impact of Barack Obama’s $800 billion fiscal stimulus is yet to be fully felt, and its impact will increasingly be sensed over the coming months. Summers has praised the fiscal stimulus as being an enormous achievement and the many projects that the stimulus funded throughout the country are running exactly as planned.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to creep upwards. It rose 80 points to close on 10,405.98 while the NASDAQ Composite jumped by 42 points to close on 2,280.79.

According to date from the Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (BEPA), global trade in goods has continued its rapid recovery from its huge fall in 2009, when the recession was at its peak. Data from BEPA also indicate that the world trading system suffered very little permanent damage to global trade has been done to by the financial crisis. The bureau’s composite index reported that the volume of goods trade worldwide rose at 4.8 per cent in December, making for the most rapid monthly increase in December for any year in its 19-year history, with three monthly index, traditionally less volatile, also rising by a record rate in the fourth quarter of last year, finishing six percent higher than third quarter.

On the other side of the World, things are looking better. So much better that for the fourth time since October, Australia’s central bank has seen fit to raise their interest rates, as it seeks to cool its growing economy.

The increase, from 3.75%, to 4% was widely expected by economists.

Australia was not only the only major economy to avoid recession, but also the first to raise interest rates from half century lows as the economic crisis eased. Australia’s ability to avoid the worst of the global turndown was partially attributed to increased demand for its commodities from China.

However Australia’s boom times may be slowing down with the news that China’s manufacturing activity shrunk a little in February. However economists rushed to point out that while China’s recovery faced some flat periods, it was expected that industrial activity would continue to grow in the coming months.

After the massive earthquake that struck Chile, copper prices jumped more than five per cent on early trading on Monday. Chile is the world’s largest producer of the red metal, and the earthquake has severely disrupted mining operations in the country, consequently triggering a spree of panic buying in the major commodity centres.

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UK property prices take a fall in February.

March 3rd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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After a nine-month run of steady increases, UK house prices were reported to have fallen in February, while the three-month rate registered a rise of 1.6 per cent. The three month property rise comparison chart was down from the 2 per cent increase seen in the three months to January as well as its peak of 3.7 per cent the three months to September 2009. According to the, prices fell by 1.0 per cent month on month in February,, although on a year on year level, house prices rose by 9.2 per cent against 8.6 per cent in January.

It now transpires that Britain’s escape from recession was stronger than previously thought in the final three months of last year, as the services sector bounced back.

According to the Office for National Statistics, the UK economy grew by 0.3% in the fourth quarter, rather than 0.1% as previously estimated, which marked the first time the economy had grown since the first quarter of 2008, when the UK’s deepest and longest postwar recession on record began.

City economists, who had predicted 0.2% growth, hastened to point out that the figures did not change the overall economic picture; with some of them even warning that the economy could even slip back into recession in the first three months of this year.

Before the weekend, the extent of the beating that the Lloyds Banking Group took through the acquisition of HBOS was revealed. The bank, who are partially owned by the UK public, revealed that no less than £30 billion had been set aside over the past two years to cover toxic debt hat Lloyds had inherited from the deal, with the bank indicating that they expect a further £12 billion of charges on HBOS loans this year, showing what a white elephant the bank had purchased for what then appeared to be a bargain price of £8 billion.

All these negative figures contributed to Lloyds announcing a worse-than-expected pre-tax loss of £6.3 billion for 2009. The figures make a somber contrast to those of Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland who over the last ten days announced figures that beat market projections. Lloyds also came under a lot of stick over the issue of whether it had met lending targets agreed with the UK government.

Understandably shares in the bank fell heavily after having increased by 18 per cent in the previous nine days on what proved to be false optimism about its 2009 figures. In the event, Lloyd’s report of a series of unexpected bad debts for the fourth quarter sent their shares falling by 4.4 per cent to 52½ pence. Royal Bank of Scotland shares also faded 1.9 per cent to 37½ pence after analysts reduced their ratings which they claimed painted a too optimistic picture.

Financially troubled US insurer AIG are apparently on the brink of selling AIA, the US life group’s Asian business, to the UK’s largest insurer Prudential for about $35 billion in cash, shares and other securities The is deal expected to become official on Monday 1st March. The announcement will come after a weekend of talks, after which the AIG board decided to press ahead with the sale of AIA, one of the jewels in AIG’s crown, in preference to a planned partial listing of the unit. Under the terms supposedly being discussed, Prudential would pay about $25 billion in cash and the remaining $10 billion in shares and other securities for AIA. If the deal does go through, analysts prophesy that it would transfer would more than double the size of Prudential and mean that its business would be dominated by Asian sales and profits.

The UK’s oldest building society Chesham has agreed to merge with the Skipton Building Society, to create a mutual society with more than £15 billion. The merger brings to an end 165 years of high street presence for the society, although their name will continue to be used for the society’s existing share accounts and deposit accounts of assets. A spokesman for Chesham, who service over 20,000 members from their three branches, welcomed the merger, saying it would provide the security of being part of a larger group. In the past year Skipton Building Society, has seen annual profits increase to £63.5 million

According to a recent survey, the cost of car insurance jumped 12.7 percent in Britain in 2009 with the average quoted premium rising to £507 at the end of 2009 compared with £450 pounds a year earlier, The pace of the increase accelerated in the second half of the year, with prices rising by 6.3 percent in the final quarter alone. British car insurance prices have been held in check by stiff competition between providers, largely due to the spread of price comparison websites.

Write-offs at their troubled T-Mobile UK subsidiary helped to pushed Deutsche Telekom’s profits down by 77% in 2009, with profit slipping to €353 million from €1.5 billion in 2008, due to write-offs worth €2.3 billion on goodwill in T-Mobile. Deutsche Telekom and France Telecom have agreed to merge their UK mobile operations. They are awaiting regulatory approval for the deal, which will make the jointly-owned company the biggest UK mobile network operator with some 29.5 million subscribers.

Portsmouth Football Club have lost their battle to avoid entering administration as the Premier League side finally admitted defeat in their struggle to overcome a mountain of debt totalling £60 million, of which – g more than £12 million is owed to HM Revenue and Customs.

The process of administration automatically means that the club will be docked nine points by league bosses, making relegation almost certain and probably a welcome relief for the club’s supporters/ .

Portsmouth has already changed hands four times this season and has been at the bottom of the Premier League for most of it. .

On the foreign exchanges, the pound continued to fall . At close of trade Friday it was $1.5117, while standing at 1.1121 against the Euro.

As the markets closed for the weekend, the FTSE 100 was up 76.3 points, to 5,354.52. The rise erased most of the week’s trading losses, and made for a gain of 3.2 per cent for February.

According to revised figures, the US economy grew at an annual rate of 5.9% in the last quarter of 2009, higher than the first estimate of 5.7%.

According to economists, the rise was down to an increase in manufacturing output rather than stronger consumer spending; with the figures confirming that the world’s largest economy is moving rapidly away from recession.

On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to creep upwards, but at a much slower pace. It rose just 4.23 points to close on 10,325.26 while the NASDAQ Composite also rose by 4.04 points to close on 2,238.26

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Royal Bank of Scotland shows a rise of twenty billion in profits from 2008.

February 26th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Pensions, Recession, Retail, Saving, Savings Accounts, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks, savings accounts

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That would make for very good news if only the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) hadn’t succeeded in making a loss of £24.3 billion shortfall in 2008. For 2009 RBS has announced losses for 2009 of just £3.6 billion after losing their struggle to recover billions of pounds of bad loans. Considering that city analysts had expected losses of around five billion, this is not a bad result for the bank whose Chief executive Stephen Hester said had "exceeded all the principal milestones" set for the first year of their turnaround plan.

Hester went on to add that t the group’s core business saw profits rise from £4.4 billion in 2008 to £8.3 billion last year, while bad debt increased to £13.9 billion from £7.7 billion in 2008. On an optimistic note, RBS announced positive signs of a peaking in the number of "toxic loans" being held by the bank, with the fourth quarter looking better for corporate clients.

Hester also revealed that in discussions with the Government about altering its lending commitments to "reflect the economic circumstances" over the next year, that they were very open to increasing its lending levels to

customers. However, strained economic environment still remained a factor that had caused many of the bank’s customers to reduce their borrowings.

As part of its bailout terms, the firm agreed to make an extra £25 billion available to customers in loans with £9 billion being allocated for mortgages and the remaining £16 billion for business lending.

Mr Hester summed up by saying that 2009 was "a year of substantial progress" for the bank.

On the controversial subject of bonuses, Hester requested that RBS should not be singled out and that the financial community as well as the UK public should recognise that that important staff would leave if pay was not competitive. Alistair Darling obviously agrees, because he has cleared the payment of £1.32 billion in bonuses to staff at the bank.

The announcement came just a few days after Stephen Hester opted not to take his £1.6 million bonus, with the CEO apparently still waiting to see if any of his colleagues at the bank will follow suit.

Also subject to change will be Northern Rock’s 100% savings deposit guarantee that is now to be lifted on the 24th May.

From that date, the UK government has decided that their deposits guarantee will no longer apply. The day has obviously been timed to specifically allow, savers exactly 12 weeks to decide what to do about any money that they have on deposit with the north east based building society, As was the case before the Rock began to crumble, savers who still have deposits worth up to £50,000 will be covered by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme. However those holding larger amounts will no longer enjoy the government’s protection. .

The decision may have come as result of complaints by other banks and building societies that the 100% guarantee has given an unfair advantage to the bank, with an increasing large number of deposit holders happy to deposit large amounts there, despite lower interest rates due to the 100% protection.

Leaders of the leading British unions have described a “still fragile” the labour market , despite the fact that recently released figures showed that unemployment surprisingly fell by 7,000 in the quarter to November 2009 to just below 2.5 million. Correspondingly e the number of people claiming jobseeker’s allowance was also around 15,000 lower in December at 1.6 million. However, the union leaders claim, thousands of job losses have only been announced in recent weeks, raising fears that unemployment will start to climb in the flat period that typically occurs in the run-up to a general election.

The TUC said it will be looking for a number of key signs in today’s figures, including a fall of more than 30,000 in unemployment and a reduction in the number of “involuntary” temporary workers. According to the TUC, the number of people taking temporary or part-time jobs because they can’t find permanent work has risen considerably. .

Operating profits at British Gas soared by 58% last year to £595 million, compared with £379 million in 2008. Its parent company Centrica said the figures beat the previous high of £573 million in 2007.

British Gas announced earlier this month it was reducing its gas prices by seven percent.

The U.K.’s second- largest department-store retailer Debenhams Plc, who recently acquired the Denmark based Magasin du Nord retail chain, are considering acquiring similar companies in the future. A spokesman for Debenhams stated that the company would like to become less reliant on the difficult home market. According to the British Retail Consortium Retail sales in the UK rose at the slowest pace in 15 years last month with London-based Debenhams, who operate 142 stores in the UK, obviously feeling the pinch. Until January’s acquisition of the six-store chain for £12.3 million pounds Debenhams’s overseas presence had been restricted to 11 stores in neighboring Ireland and about 50 franchised outlets.

On the foreign exchanges, the pound continued to fall, reaching $1.5266, whilst reaching .1245 against the Euro.

U.K. stocks dropped after a report showed confidence among U.S. consumers fell in February to the lowest level since April 2009. In London, the FTSE 100 dropped 64.69 points to close on 5278.83.

Overall, the FTSE 100 has gained around five percent since early February. as U.K. companies continue to confound the experts and expectations grow that the strengthening global economic recovery will signal further economic growth.

Confidence among U.S. consumers fell more than anticipated in February to the lowest level since April 2009 as the outlook for jobs diminished, a report showed today.

Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said there was a "nascent economic recovery" in a testimony before Congress.

US stocks jumped more than 1%, led by banks, as some had feared that the cost of borrowing would start rising soon.

Although the US economy is growing, some worries remain about its strength because unemployment remains high, meaning that the "Fed "has begun to gradually undo some of the emergency measures that they had implemented during the financial crisis.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 47 points to close on 10,321.03 while the NASDAQ Composite also recovered by 25 points to close on 2,234.22

Ben Bernanke is taking a very close look at the role of Wall Street firms in helping Greece to cover up the extent of their financial troubles, with Goldman Sachs apparently under closer scrutiny than most.

Bernanke hinted that both the Fed and the US financial watchdog were "looking into a number of questions" related to banks’ arrangements with Greece, whilst stopping short on the question of whether an official inquiry was under way

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UK needs to work harder to encourage foreign investment.

February 25th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown received a polite warning yesterday from international leaders who attended a conference in central London that Britain’s tax regime and infrastructure must be improved if the country is to continue attracting investment. Brown and business secretary, Lord Mandelson stressed that the UK still remained a competitive place to do business despite the turmoil caused by the recession.

Following in the footsteps of his opposite numbers at Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland is Eric Daniels, chief executive of the taxpayer-supported Lloyds Banking Group. Daniels has joined them in waiving his right to a bonus for 2009 of around £2.25 million. Lloyds Banking Group have announced that they would pay 2009 bonuses to those who were entitled to them, whilst emphasising that these awards would be paid in shares and subject to clawback.

Criticism has been rained on the government’s planned 50 pence monthly tax on telephone lines designed to subsidise the cost of superfast broadband has come from all places, by a Labour-dominated group of MPs.

The Commons Business Committee said the new tax, which is expected to raise £175 million per year, would hit poorer families who were less likely to pay for faster broadband. The committee went on to add that the “regressive” tax would “place a disproportionate cost on a majority who will not, or are unable to, reap the benefits of that charge”.

The UK’s largest airports operator of airports BAA, announced on Monday that their pre-tax losses for 2009 had widened, partly because of losses of £277.3 million from the sale of Gatwick Airport, London’s second-largest. The £1.5 billion sale of the airport to Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP) took place just before the end of the financial year. GIP is an infrastructure fund backed by Credit Suisse and General Electric. Competition authorities had ordered a sale to meet concerns about BAA’s market dominance.

The loss on the sale helped inflate losses at BAA owned by a consortium led by Spanish group by Spanish group Ferrovial, from £324.2 million to £821.9 million. Total revenue for the year to December at the group’s London airports, including Gatwick, rose from £2.3 billion to £2.4 billion. Figures for the group excluded BAA’s other airports around the country at Glasgow, Edinburgh, Aberdeen and Southampton

The prospect of a strike is again raising its head for British Airway’s cabin crew. Their proposed strike action looks likely to cause travel chaos for hundreds of thousands of air passengers across the UK. The vote in favour of industrial action by the 12,000 member BA cabin crew comes as a reaction to ongoing disputes over pay and working conditions.

The cabin crew’s union Unite had already decided on a walkout in December, but that BA strike threat was defused by an eleventh-hour High Court ruling.

Meanwhile a strike by around four thousand German airline Lufthansa pilots has been suspended, with union officials agreeing to resume negotiations on disputes covering job security and pay issues.

The action, scheduled to run for four days, was suspended after less than 24 hours, and caused delays and cancellations for passengers. According to the pilot’s union, there will be no further action until at least March 9, the union said.

According to a company spokesman, electronics giant Samsung will introduce its 3D-enabled TVs to the UK within the coming month. No less than twenty different 3D-capable products, with Blu-ray players and the required 3D glasses are expected to be included in the range. To keep pace with demand, TV shows with 3D content will be making their debut in or around the same time, to a partnership with DreamWorks. The rapidly approaching 2010 soccer World Cup will also be broadcast in 3D.

Sterling fell on Tuesday after Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of England, said he could not rule out the possibility of further quantitative easing. Speaking before the Treasury select committee King confessed his concern over scant evidence of a pick-up in UK trade in spite of the weakness of the pound. The pound, which had risen to a high of $1.5575 ahead of the Bank’s statement, fell more than a cent to $1.5441, whilst rising to 1.1415 against the Euro.

The FTSE 100 turned negative on Tuesday following King’s gloomy assessment of the UK economy. The index closing 0.7 per cent lower at 5,315.09.

The US Senate on Monday voted to move forward on a $15 billion jobs bill.

The 62-30 vote in favour of ended months of gridlock in Congress, and is expected to pave the way for a jobs bill to clear the Senate, just as other critical employment benefits are set to expire.

The scaled-back measure is expected to create 250,000 jobs through an array of tax credits and payroll tax exemptions to stimulate hiring. The bill frees businesses from payroll taxes on workers who are hired after more than 60 days of unemployment and gives them a tax credit of $1,000 for new hires that they keep for more than a year.

A number of retail giants reporting positive earnings surprises were not enough to offset Tuesday’s poor macro data, as investors grow concerned that last week’s rally overshot.

Consumer confidence index dropped dramatically to 46.0 in February versus 56.5 in January, the lowest level since last April.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 126.41 points to 10,276.97 while the NASDAQ Composite also crept back by a significant 34 points to close on 2,209.6.

Chinese premier Wen Jiabao has announced his concern regarding the stability of his country’s investments in US bonds.

China disposed of $34 billion (£21.5 billion) of US government bonds in December 2009, raising fears that Beijing is losing confidence in American economic policy.

US treasury figures show that China is once again no longer the largest overseas holder of US treasury bonds. Beijing ended the year sitting on $755. Billion worth of US government debt, compared to Japan’s $768 billion.

Oil prices retreated below $80 a barrel Tuesday as r sluggish US crude demand justified a 14 percent rally over the last three weeks.

Benchmark crude for April delivery was down 34 cents to $79.97 a barrel, later rising 25 cents to settle at $80.31 on Monday.

Oil had jumped from $69.59 a barrel in early February due to optimism that the global economy will rebound strongly from recession last year. Yet growing inventories of crude, gasoline and diesel fuel suggest demand in the US remains weak.

Some analysts expect crude demand in the US and Japan will gradually follow overall economic growth and lift prices, with crude expected to trade at between $85 and $95 a barrel for most of 2010.

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UK financial picture continues to look bleak.

February 22nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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Rumours have it that Bank of England governor Mervyn King may have had some serious explaining to do Chancellor Alasdair Darling as to why the consumer prices index went shooting up to 3.5% added to the worst ever January figures on record with a first time deficit for the traditionally high income month. The deficit was a staggering £4.3 billion, largely due to higher government spending and considerably reduced tax receipts. Estimates were for a £2.6 billion surplus for the month. Income tax receipts were down a massive 20% on January 2009, while corporation tax receipts were 6% lower. The only plus was the 3% upturn on VAT receipts rose by 3% due to the rate hike. However total tax receipts for January still dropped by 9%.

It would appear that Royal Bank of Scotland Chief Executive Stephen Hester has decided to decline his 2009 bonus. According to reports, the bonus was to be around £1.6 million pounds, paid out under terms already announced by the bank. The terms were that the bonus payout would not be in cash, and deferred for three years.

Pressure has increased on both Hester and Eric Daniels, CEO of the Lloyds Banking Group, after top bosses at Barclays turned down their multi-million pound bonus payouts last week, despite the bank announcing bumper profits.

The ever optimistic Gordon Brown announced that the Government was continuing in their determination to invest in measures that will promote growth and preserve jobs in the industries of the future, adding weight to his backing of Chancellor Alistair Darling over his decision to delay spending cuts until next year.

Mr Brown, speaking at the Policy Network conference told the audience: "I say to the British people, this is not the time to put the economy at risk. This is the time to make sure that growth and jobs are secured. 2010 must be the year of growth. It must not be the year when the economy dips back into recession. Instead of admitting the mistakes of private banks and institutions in causing the recession, the well-financed right-wing are not only trying to blame governments for the crisis but trying to use legitimate concerns about deficits to scare people into accepting a bleak and austere picture of the future for the majority, and then to use what’s happening as a pretext for public services to be marginalised at precisely the moment they should become smarter and more personalised. "He summed up

Also on Brown and Darling’s side is UK Business Secretary, Peter Mandelson, who has told his senior colleagues that he intends to backs plans for a state-run investment bank that would use public funds and private capital to back small business and large-scale UK infrastructure projects. The new bank would be modelled on the KfW Bank in Germany, which provides funding for banks to loan to small businesses as well as capital for major projects. Apparently Mandelson has met senior KfW executives to discuss if such a bank could be feasible in the UK. Plans for such a bank are now being surveyed by a Treasury team. Hopefully some form of announcement of the formation of such a bank will be announced in the forthcoming Budget.

Overall Lord Mandelson has been increasingly seen and heard on the public stage these days. The UK Business Secretary was reported to have severely criticised monetarist economists for their involvement in getting Britain into its present economic "pickle". Mandelson has voiced his support for economists who have warned how "reckless" early spending cuts could hamper Britain’s fragile recovery. Mandelson’s comments come as Labour seeks to take advantage of the support for delaying spending cuts until 2011.

Also on the downward slope was mortgage lending with the council of mortgage lenders revealing that gross mortgage lending in January 2010 fell to its lowest level in ten years. Reasons given were that property buyers have been deterred by the end of the stamp duty holiday. Gross mortgages totalled £9.1 billion pounds in January, down almost a third from December 2009. These figures are despite a recent increase in mortgage availability, adding concern that poor market conditions would continue or even worsen as the government withdraws monetary support for banks between 2011 and 2014.

The trend for online purchases in the UK fell to its lowest level last month, according to recent figures. Electrical goods, clothes and holidays were the online sectors that recorded the biggest drop in sales, with monthly growth for January of just five percent compared with 19 percent for the same period in 2009.

On the business front, there appears to be increased optimism regarding lending. Research has shown that the number of private companies that anticipate finance to become more readily available has increased, with around 44 percent under the impression that finance would be more accessible this year, compared with eight percent with the same view in last year’s survey. However, despite rising confidence in the availability of finance, fewer businesses said their lender was more supportive than this time last year.

It now looks like BAA will be looking to sell off Glasgow Airport after new figures revealed it is lagging behind Edinburgh in customer traffic. The Glasgow branch has found it difficult to win new airlines who want to use the airport, and have lost a lot of passenger traffic, apparently around half a million a year after the collapse of Scottish airline Flyglobespan. Meanwhile a spokesman for Scotland’s capital has reported that Edinburgh has managed to fill the gap with new routes and extra flights added by air carriers in January, including Ryanair and Jet2. Their entry on the scene has already replaced the 400,000 Flyglobespan passengers a year that were passing through the airport. .

Sterling enjoyed mix fortunes on Fridays trading. It closed up 0.012 against the dollar at $1.54692 while falling to 1.1374 against the Euro.

Overall, the FTSE 100 added a further 51 points to 5,358.175, before the close of business on Friday.

In US forex trading, the dollar hit a nine-month high against the euro of $1.3477, whilst also rising against a basket of currencies. The rise came after the US Federal Reserve’s surprise increase in interest rates for emergency bank loans, to 0.75%, from 0.5%. Analysts saw the move as a sign that the Fed could soon raise its other key lending rate.

US stocks fell in early trading as investors feared any further rate rises could slow the economic recovery.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up another 9.45 points to 10,402.35 while the NASDAQ Composite also crept up another 2.16 points to 2,243.87 on Friday’s trading.

US consumer prices rose by less than expected in January, easing concerns about growing inflationary pressures. According to the Labor Department, prices increased by 0.2% last month, with analysts forecasting a rise of 0.3%.

The rise was largely driven by energy prices, which rose for the ninth consecutive month. Over the last 12 months, US energy costs have risen by close to 20 percent. Excluding food and energy, prices fell by 0.1% in January – the first monthly drop since December 1982.

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