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Interest rate hike expected as inflation sores.

January 20th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

With an earlier than expected rise in inflation, which soared to 2.9% in December, interest rates could be rising sooner than expected in 2010.

The reading for the consumer prices index (CPI) came in well above the expected 2.4% figure making for the largest ever rise in inflation over a single month, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Reasons given were reduced s discounting from retailers in the run-up to Christmas and fuel prices remaining unchanged compared with sharp falls a year earlier.

The Bank of England had already expressed fears that inflation would rise this year, but this high figure will curtail the bank’s efforts to store up inflationary pressures while kick-starting the economy out of recession.

The Bank’s target for CPI inflation for 2010 is 2% and the jump to 2.9% puts its policymakers in a delicate position. While higher than expected inflation would force them to raise rates before the economy has properly recovered.

The head of the International Monetary Fund head has again warned that the global economy could yet experience another downturn, known in financial circles as a double dip recession.

Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said countries should rush to exit from stimulus packages that have bolstered growth through huge amounts of government spending and that it is too early for policy makers to withdraw stimulus that’s driving the global recovery.

“The global economy is recovering, even if its recovery is fragile,” Strauss-Kahn said in a recent speech. "While a plan to withdraw emergency measures “should be designed today” it should not yet be “implemented” because world economies are still dependent on government support and private demand remains weak" Strauss-Kahn has previously voiced his opinion that the world’s economic recovery is occurring “sooner and stronger” than anticipated. More than $2 trillion in government spending around the world has spurred growth, pulling economies out of a recession spurred by a meltdown in the U.S. housing market. Separately, Germany and France raised their growth forecasts for the year. Strauss-Kahn went on to add that China and Asian economies are leading the recovery.

British Airways cabin crew is to vote again on possible strike action, according to a recent announcement from the Unite union.

A spokesman for Unite predicted that a fresh ballot of its members would be held in the near future. The move came after recent talks with BA failed to find a resolution to a long-running dispute. BA announced in reply that they were "saddened but not surprised" by the decision, whilst promising to make every effort to allow talks to continue. If talks fail, a strike could begin as early as March if cabin crew vote in favour of industrial action.

BA had already planned a 12-day strike for Christmas last year which was blocked by a court injunction.

The long protracted takeover of Cadbury by US food company Kraft now appears to be going forward after the Cadbury board approved a new increased bid. Cadburys will now advise their shareholders to accept a new offer of 840 pence a share – valuing the company at £11.5 billion ($18.9 billion). Shareholders will also receive a dividend of 10 pence a share.

The additional cash represents a 90 per cent premium to the Cadbury share price before the deal was announced and a 50 per cent premium to Cadbury’s undisturbed share price of 568 pence before Kraft approached Cadbury in late August

Spokespersons from both Cadbury and Kraft jointly announced that details of the agreement were still being finalising and would make a statement later.

Many city pundits were surprised that the deal eventually went through so smoothly after months of animosity between the two companies.

It is expected that Kraft’s final offer consisting of 500 pence in cash, with the rest made of Kraft shares made the deal much sweeter for Cadbury shareholders. To finance the takeover Kraft will require borrowing around £7 billion ($11.5 billion)

Shares in Cadbury topped the FTSE 100 on Tuesday.

Sterling was among the few currencies to rise against the dollar and the Euro on Tuesday after UK inflation jumped in December, increasing the possibility of monetary tightening and increases in interest rates being brought forward. The pound closed at 1.636 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.1459

The FTSE 100 index rose 41.6 points to 5,496.9, while the FTSE 250 index added 33.4 points to 9,571.6.

In the US, Citigroup announced losses of $7.6 billion for the last quarter of 2009, large due to their efforts to repay US government bail-out funds, and coming after three consecutive profitable quarters. Citigroup’s ’s loss was in line with Wall Street analysts’ expectations and would amounted to a loss of $1.4 billion, had it not been for its repayment of the $20 billion in funds it received from the troubled asset relief programme. For the same period of a year ago, Citigroup reported a loss of $17.3 billion. In 2009 as a whole, Citigroup made a loss of $1.6 billion on $80.3 billion turnover.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply on early trading after being closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Day. The index rose 115 points to close on 10,725.43. The NASDAQ Composite was also on the up, 32 points to 2320.4

Computer giant IBM has announced that after cost-cutting work helped to increase its earnings by 9% in the last three months of 2009.

They have raised their profit target for 2010. IBM made a net profit of $4.8 billion (£2.9 billion) for the fourth quarter, up from $4.4 billion from the same period in 2008, with turnover for the quarter increased by 1% to $27.2 billion

Crude prices fell to a three week low on Tuesday, with prices averaging around $77.00 a barrel. Traders pointed out the implications in the oil market of the bankruptcy of Japan Airlines, as the Tokyo-based carrier made extensive use of oil derivatives to hedge its cost and the bankruptcy is likely to force investment banks to unwind the hedges.

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Brown and Darling face a dilemma.

December 9th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown said Monday that his government has identified billions of pounds in additional efficiency savings in the public sector to help pare the country’s record deficit. Mr. Brown said the government can deliver £12 billion ($19.7 billion) in efficiency savings over the next four years, an increase on the target £9 billion that the Treasury had identified in April. Brown’s announcement comes ahead of Wednesday’s Pre-Budget Report, which will map out some measures to cut the budget deficit. Among the measures that have been considered is a tax on bankers’ bonuses and even on the banks themselves. However the issue of a windfall tax on banks or bonuses presents Brown and Chancellor Darling with a serious dilemma as they leave no stone unturned to raise cash without damaging the economy’s return to growth. Eroding banks’ profits to raise fiscal income might weaken these institutions just as the government is trying to provide increased more capital behind them to cover lending to Britain’s credit-starved companies.

Manufacturing output in the UK between September and October was unchanged against expectations for a 0.4 per cent increase. UK house prices rose 1.4 per cent month on month in November – stronger than forecast. The two pieces of news appeared to cancel each other out and sterling and gilts seemed little affected.

U.K. Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is expected on Wednesday to announce a cut in taxes on the use of electric vehicles as company cars as part of efforts to present an environmentally friendly pre-budget report. A U.K. treasury spokesman predicted that from 2012, companies and employees would be exempted from paying taxes on company cars if they were electric vehicles.

Shares in UK government majority owned Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc and Lloyds Banking Group Plc, dropped after Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling refused to rule out a tax on excessive bonus payments. Royal Bank of Scotland retreated 4.7 percent to 33 pence and Lloyds Banking tumbled 4.1 percent to 53.69 pence.

Andrew Bailey, executive director for banking services at the BOE, has stated the bank’s fears that U.K. consumers are hoarding cash due to their lack of confidence in the banking system. Another factor that strengthens the banks theories are the negligible interest that they would earn even if they did invest their money with a financial institution. In a speech made in Washington D.C., Bailey highlighted the ironic connection between the declining need for cash in everyday life and the sharply increasing demand for banknotes during the financial crisis and ensuing recession.

According to a recent report issued by the Engineering Employers Federation, U.K. factory production will begin growing again next year as exports rebound, Production is expected to grow 0.9 percent in 2010 after it had shrunk by 10.4 percent in 2009. The report went on to add that increasing signals point to the fact that the U.K. is emerging from the longest recession on record. The British Chambers of Commerce pointed out that although the recovery has started the Bank of England will probably be required to maintain its bond purchase plan at £200 billion pounds ($331 billion) while it assesses the strength of signs of a rebound.

Shares in travel companies are on the rise, with the Thomas Cook Group and TUI Travel leading the way. Thomas Cook, Europe’s second-biggest tour operator, jumped 1.9 percent to 221.2 pence, while TUI Travel, Europe’s largest tour operator, rose 1.5 percent to 250.5 pence.

Shares in the U.K. waste recycling company Shanks Group Plc surged forward 43 percent to 128.5 pence after the company revealed that they had received a possible bid offer from an unidentified private equity group. Washington-based private equity firm Carlyle Group, have been reported to be in talks to buy the British waste-disposal company Shanks for about £535 million ($875 million) for some time.

Sterling lost ground on Tuesday as disappointing economic data and concerns over the UK government’s pre-Budget report weighed on the currency,

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6292
  • Pound/Euro 1.1040

London equities continued to weaken on Tuesday, with renewed concern about the financial problems in Dubai. Banks especially were hard while talks continued between Dubai World and the creditors to restructure debt at the holding company. It is expected that a group of banks, including the Royal Bank of Scotland, Standard Chartered, HSBC, Lloyds Banking Group as well as two from the United Arab Emirates (UAE) will form a steering committee to be appointed to represent creditors. At the end of the day’s trading, the FTSE 100 had tumbled 1.5 per cent to close on 5,230.5,

According to Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke the US economy is improving, although it is still too early to say that the recovery will last.

Unemployment could stay "elevated", although inflation is likely to remain subdued, while interest rates were likely to stay low for "an extended period",

Following Bernanke’s comments, the dollar lost a lot of the recent gains it had made against the euro.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped 104.82 points to 10,285.292 and the NASDAQ was also down 19,65 points to to 2,169.96

President Obama has said that money not spent under the £425 billion ($700 billion) US bank bail-out package could be used to cut the US deficit and boost jobs. The cost of the "Troubled Asset Relief Program" (Tarp) had turned out to be "much cheaper than expected". Reports say the cost of the Tarp will be £120 billion below the Treasury estimate. Back in August, the Obama administration had estimated that the rescue package would be £200 billion.

Crude oil dropped for a fourth day, trading below $75 a barrel, as the dollar gained amid speculation the U.S. Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates.

The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers announced that Chinese car sales and production both exceeded 12 million between January and November, with expectations that car sales and output will to top 13 million for the full year.

Production of new cars has never topped the 10 million cars in one year mark in the past with state incentives having boosted car sales. The Chinese government has reiterated their plans to continue economic stimulus measures into 2010, Despite the downturn and falling sales at most global car makers, demand for cars in China continues to boom.

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BA merger good news for British tourists says Walsh

November 16th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The planned merger, between British Airways and Spanish carrier Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana SA, which is expected to get regulatory backing and be concluded by the end of next year, will create the world’s third largest airline.

According to Willie Walsh, British Airways (BA) chief executive the planned merger with Iberia is "great news for British Airways, our customers and our shareholders". His comments came after British Airways Plc agreed to the $7 billion merger ending more than a year of talks on a tie-up, largely aimed at fighting a slump in travel and closing the gap with competitors.

Under the all-share deal, British Airways investors will own about 55 percent of the business. The merger due to be completed by late 2010 is still subject to cancellation by Iberia if BA fails to resolve their pressing pension deficit issues.

UK engineering firm Rolls-Royce have announced that they have been awarded contracts to produce aircraft engines to the value of £1.2 billion, The engines will be used to power Airbus planes for Air China and Ethiopian Airlines. Rolls Royce made the announcement the first day of the Dubai Airshow on Sunday. The engines are scheduled to be delivered in stages from 2011 to 2017.

According to representatives from one of the UK’s most powerful unions, Unite, the leading banks have still to absorb the reasons behind the current credit crisis, and continue to set unrealistic sales targets for their staff in order for them to earn their salaries. Instead they continue to apply pressure

On staff to promote financial products, often to those who can ill afford them.

The union says that legislation forcing banks to pay theory staff higher basic salaries and placing less emphasis on bonuses should be implemented. The new breed of British bank should instead focus on high standards of customer service and pay fair wages for all staff. The British government will announce legislation next week giving regulators the power to stop bankers from pocketing big bonuses that could destabilize the financial system, a newspaper reported Saturday. Treasury chief Alistair Darling told the Sunday Telegraph that the new Financial Services Bill will allow financial watchdogs to cancel pay packages that reward undue risk-taking. The bill is due to be announced Wednesday as part of the Queen’s Speech, in which the government lays out its plans for the next session of Parliament.

Darling was quoted as saying that the legislation would give the Financial Services Authority the power to cancel contracts that breach a banking remuneration code agreed by the Group of 20 nations earlier this year. The regulator could fine banks that fail to comply.

Liberty International, the U.K.’s biggest shopping-center owner, added 3.9 percent to 504 pence. British Land, the U.K.’s second-largest real estate investment trust, rallied 2.8 percent to 498.2 pence. Land Securities Group Plc, the largest real estate investment trust, added 2.3 percent to 726.5 pence.

Investment Property Databank Ltd. today said the average value of U.K. stores, offices and warehouses rose 1.9 percent in October, a third month of gains, and the steepest advance since December 2005.

The total return for commercial real estate, which measures the change in capital values and rental income, rose by 2.5 percent in October.

U.K. supermarkets are getting a record amount of sales from promotions as they attempt to lure shoppers before the holiday season. At big supermarkets, 35 percent of sales by value are on promotion, compared with 26 percent a year ago. This year’s level is a record high

Recent figures released show a continued improvement in recruitment activity in October, within the UK financial services sector. Job offers in the month increased by approximately 4%, which is accredited to a significant increase in recruitment activity by stock brokers. On the downside, investment banks are reported to be reducing their intake of new people.

Sterling retreated on Friday before the strengthening dollar, gaining only against the Yen.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6668
  • Pound/Euro 1.1201
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.3497
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6883

The FTSE closed at a 14-month high, aided by gains in property shares. At end of trading Friday the guide was up 20 points to 5,296.55. The FTSE 250 also rose, up 83 points to 9,373.74.

It is now official- The French and German economies, the Eurozone’s two largest, are out of recession.

Figures recently release show that both economies show both grew between July and September, Germany by 0.7% and France by 0.3%. However, both the French and German economies grew by less than analysts had expected.

Lagging behind is the UK, still apparently bogged down in their longest economic contraction since World War II.

Recent figures show that the US trade deficit unexpectedly widened by the largest amount in 10 years in September.

The trade gap, the difference between US imports and exports, grew 18.2% to $36.5 billion (£21.9 billion) from August.

Imports or the same period rose by 5.8%, the strongest increase since 1993, providing yet another indication that consumer spending is recovering.

The Dow Jones made a late rally on Friday, closing for the weekend up 52.30 points to 10280.22. The NASDAQ was seen to be holding its own, up just three points 2160.96.

Hewlett-Packard has announced that they are to acquire the 3Com company for $2.7 billion. A spokesman for HP projected that the acquisition will give HP an added edge in the data centre networking sector. The deal will give HP capabilities in a number of areas in which the company was lacking, he said. Both 3Com and HP have been strong in the small and mid-size business networking space, However analysts predict that the addition of 3Com to their stable will create for HP an enterprise data switch portfolio to better compete with main rivals, Cisco.

Leaders of the 21 nation Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation group(Apec) who are meeting have gathered in Singapore for the annual meeting of the have proclaimed that Asia is leading the world out of recession. Their claims may be backed by the announcement last month from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that the Asian economy is expected to grow by 2.75% in 2009 and 5.75% in 2010. These projections compare very well with the flat to negative growth in the US and Western Europe. Statistics which can be seen to reflect the shifting balance of power between the US and Asia.

Gold prices were receding before the weekend, after rising above the $1,100 mark in the previous session. On the other hand crude oil prices were steadying after dropping more than $2 a barrel, which analysts interpreted as being because of fears of reduced US demand.

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UK economy still in recession.

October 26th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Retail, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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The UK economy was stunned back on its heels on Friday when the eagerly awaited GDP figures were announced. They showed that the UK economy had contracted by 0.4% for the third quarter instead of showing growth of 0.2% that had been. This news means that tat the UK remains in recession. Despite recent euphoria, this setback means that the UK gross domestic product (GDP) has contracted for six consecutive quarters, for the first time since quarterly figures were first released more than half a century ago. However officials from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) have hastened to state that the figures are not final and could still be subject to revision, as they are only the first estimate. There were some recent indications that the expected growth would not be met in the period including July to September, including negative growth in retail sales during September, and a 2.5% decline in industrial output in August.

Sterling fell by more than one percent after it transpired that analysts had incorrectly forecast that the economy would emerge from recession aid record quarterly growth of 0.2 percent. The pound lost some ground against the dollar, while strengthening against the Euro.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6307
  • Pound/Euro 1.10879
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 150.1223
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6758

The FTSE 100 recovered a little of Thursday’s losses, as attention turned to economic data thought likely to show an end to recession in the UK. Despite news to the contrary, the index stood its ground, up 35.21 points to close on 5242.57. The FTSE 250 25 wound up a week of constant fluctuations up just 4.74 points to 9323.65.

The number of US bank failures so far in 2009 has reached more the 100 mark. The figure was reached after US federal regulators shut down a trio of small Florida banks. So far bank failures have cost the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) fund an estimated $25 billion this year, with

More US banks having failed this year than in any year since 1992.

Microsoft, the US software giant announced their third quarter profits were higher than analysts predicted. The company put this down to a mixture of cost-cutting and stronger consumer demand.

Shares of Microsoft rose by 7.9 per cent to $28.68 in pre-market trading.

Despite Microsoft’s success, the Dow Jones took a major tumble before the weekend, down 109.12 points to fall below the 10,000 barrier again, closing on 9972.18. The NASDAQ Composite index dropped a little, down 10.82 points to close on 2,154.47

Sales of previously-owned US homes unexpectedly rose in September, reaching their highest level since 2007.The National Association of Realtors announced that sales had risen by 9.4% last month, making for an annual rate of 5.57 million, up from 5.09 million in August. Analysts were taken by surprise, as they had sales to reach 5.35 million units in September. Meanwhile, the average sale price dropped to £106,937 ($174,900), 8.5% down from a year ago, making for the smallest annual drop in 13 months

Crude oil prices fell by more than $1 a barrel on Thursday after reaching a fresh 2009 high of $82 during the previous session. Gold prices also softened after recent strong gains, trading at an average of $1,058 an ounce

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Is the end near for the dollar? (As the global staple currency)

October 7th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Gold, Recession, The Markets, World Banks

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Rumour has it that meetings have been taking places in countries with emerging economies such as India, China, and Brazil along with some of the current key players in the global economy, particularly certain Gulf States as well as Japan and Russia. These clandestine meetings are being held in the offices of finance ministers and central bank governors and they are discussing what was once considered unthinkable. The replacement of the US dollar as the World’s staple currency, especially when it comes to fixing the price of major commodities, crude oil and gold in particular.

Speculation about the switch is believed to be the force behind the sudden rise in the price of gold.

Apparently, key forces within the American financial institutions are aware of the discussions that are taking place, although they are being kept in the dark regarding specific details. According to unconfirmed reports, the US is particularly upset with their allies in Japan and the Gulf states, and are not expected to accept the matter lying down. By and large, if the dollar loses its place as the number one global currency, a risk of deepening divisions between Russia, China and the US over influence and commodities could become more intense.

Financial analysts predict that the transitional currency, should the move away from dollars actually transpire may not be another currency, and more likely gold. One thing for sure is that if the dollar falls of its plateau, particularly hard hit will the countries such as Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, Kuwait and Qatar who are estimated to be holding more than $2. trillion in dollar reserves.

The decline of American economic power linked to the current global recession has been offset by China’s extraordinary rise as an emerging economic superstar. China today imports around sixty percent of its oil, much of it from the Middle East and Russia, and exports no fewer than 10 per cent of the imports of every country in the Middle East. These imports include a huge range of products from cars to weapon systems, food and clothing making it understandable why China would want to deal away from the now unstable and rapidly weakening dollar, especially when financial sources believe President Barack Obama will to too busy involved in saving the US economy to concentrate on the extraordinary implications of the transition from the dollar in 2018.

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UK property prices continue to recover.

October 1st, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

financial news

The dwindling supply of property and an improving market confidence have combined to boost the average UK house price, with the price climbing to £156,100 up 0.2% from August but remaining 5.6% below the level of September 2008. In August, the average house price bumped 0.1% from July and 6.7% from the year before. Questions still remain as to whether the recent surge in activity will continue, despite the talk of general improvement in property and equities.

According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the global economy has begun to expand again and financial conditions have improved significantly. However, in their most recent World Economic Outlook, the IMF has forecast that the pace of recovery is expected to be slow and unemployment is liable to remain at high levels for a long time. The IMF has cut their previously pessimistic forecast of the amount that banks are likely to lose in bad loans and investments. The revised total for the period between 2007 and 2010 is now $3.4 trillion, down from its previous estimate of $4 trillion. The reduction is attributed to the improved outlook for the global economy.

The squeeze on government finances will be so tight that outsourcing of catering services in the public sector is likely to rise sharply and that catering giant Compass are likely to benefit. A spokesman for the company forecast that mounting pressure on public bodies to cut spending has provided an opportunity for the industry to expand. Compass, the world’s largest industrial catering company have already enjoyed solid performances in its education, healthcare and defence divisions had helped to offset weakness in more discretionary sectors. In a recent trading update, the company announced that rising unemployment had hurt turnover at both their business and industry and sports and leisure divisions.

Despite a recent increase in sales, men’s formal wear retailer Moss Bros failed to prevent first-half losses, that increased by more than 35 percent. Moss Bros., who also own the Hugo Boss brand, were encouraged by increased sales over the last two months, after they had fallen by 2.6 per cent in the six months to the end of July. First-half revenue dipped from £61.1 million to £60.8 million while the company’s pre-tax loss widened from £2.2 million to £3 million.

It appears that with the completion of a debt-for-equity swap with its lender HSBC, high street camera retailing chain, Jessops, have succeeded in staving off insolvency The agreement, which will protect 2,000 jobs in Jessop’s 115 stores in the UK and Ireland, will see investors share a one-off payment of £100,000, equating to five per cent of their current estimated market value. Jessops arrived at the understanding with HSBC after some of its agreements coming in to the Christmas trading period were cast into doubt by the lack of certainty over its future.

The FTSE 100 closed down 25.82 points at 5,133.9, wrapping up the third quarter having risen by 21 percent, making for the largest quarterly gain in its history. Meanwhile the FTSE 250 fell back 62.21 points to 9,153.76 on the day’s trading. During the third quarter, the FTSE 250 has also risen, this time by more than 18 percent.

The pound was still steadily rising against the major currencies on yesterday’s trading. Sterling advanced against the dollar, rising to $1.6015 after an above-forecast jump in September UK consumer confidence.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6015
  • Pound/Euro 1.10996
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 143.953
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.666

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to weaken on Wednesday’s trading, dropping 29.92 points to close on 9,712.28. The NASDAQ remained stable, dropping just 7.19 points to 2122.42.

As the effects of the recession continue to be felt, the unemployment rate across the Eurozone has again risen. The seasonally adjusted rate for August rose to 9.6%, compared with 9.5% in the previous month according to official figures recently released, with the number of jobseekers in the Eurozone reaching 15.2 million. Economists insist that unemployment rates are liable to increase, despite the fact that most of the economies in the region are moving out of the recession.

Crude oil prices rose by more than $1 a barrel ahead of the latest US inventories data while gold regained the $1,000 level and base metals staged a broad advance as sentiment towards commodity markets found support from renewed dollar weakness.

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Unemployment still on the rise in the UK

August 14th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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UK unemployment has risen to its highest level in 14 years despite all the indications that the recession has begun to recede

Recent reports indicate that in the second quarter through June, the number of people seeking work rose from 2.22 million to 2.44 million, an increase of 220,000 making for the highest level of unemployment since 1996. According to the Office for National Statistics, claims for jobless benefit climbed by 24,900 in July to 1.58 million.

A separate statement issued by the Bank of England predicted that unemployment will keep climbing even after the recession is recognized is over, which will hamper the pace of recovery. To soften the unemployment burden, BOE Governor Mervyn King announced that the bank will to expand its bond-buying program.

According to the International Labour Organization, overall UK unemployment rose to 7.8 percent between April and June, compared with 9.4 percent in the U.S. in July, 9.4 percent in the euro region in June and 5.4 percent in Japan.

According to the UK’s Financial Service Authority (FSA) an end to the practice of awarding non performance related bonuses appears to be in the offing at long last. From 2010, UK financial institutions will be disallowed for paying their staff guaranteed bonuses out with the current financial year. Exempt however are senior bank employees who can still have their bonuses spread over two or three years.

Lloyds TSB have announced that its Insight asset management business is to be sold off to the Bank of New York Mellon (BNY) for £235 million.

Analysts say the deal may mark the start of a phase of consolidation and disposals among mid-sized asset management groups facing increasing margin pressure.

BNY Mellon beat off several competitors in the auction for Insight, whose revenues in both 2006 and 2007 were around the £125 million. 2007.

The Lloyds group, 43.5 per cent taxpayer owned is known to be consolidating their activities, in anticipation of talks to be held with the European Commission about state aid approval. Lloyds surged 6.4 percent to 96.83 pence.

Also on the offload trail are RBS who are well into the process of selling or shutting down its businesses in two-thirds of the 54 countries where it has been operating, in the aftermath of suffering the largest trading loss incurred in British corporate history last year.

As part of their campaign, RBS have announced a £53 million deal to sell off 99.4 percent of the Banks branches in Pakistan to the privately owned Muslim Commercial Bank, the country’s biggest lender by market value. The deal is not yet official, requiring regulatory approval which, according to analysts will be a formality. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, the biggest bank owned by the U.K. government, added 5.4 percent to 45.15 pence.

Independent Television Corporation (ITV) the hard pressed and profit starved UK commercial network broadcaster has received a long overdue boost in the shape of a positive recommendation of better times ahead to investors from their bankers. The news pushed their shares up towards its target price of 50 pence, for the first time in a long time.

The U.K.’s largest publicly traded residential landlord Grainger Plc were among the stars on the FTSE on Thursday as their shares shot up by 16 percent, (33.5 pence, to 243.5 ) on news that that they had succeeded in reducing their debt burden by £100 million pounds since March, through disposal of real estate.

The FTSE 100 to a new 10-month high on Thursday, making for an increase of more than a third since early March, as reports of a global economic recovery gains impetus.

The FTSE 100 continued to make up for losses earlier in the week, up 38.70 points to close on 4,755.46. Meanwhile the FTSE 250 took another giant step forward, rising 131.73 points to close on 8,483.66

Sterling has a mixed day on yesterday’s markets, ring slightly against all of the currencies, with the notable exception of the EURO.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6575
  • Pound/Euro 1.1605
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 158.3223
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7751

In the US retail sales fell in July, following two months of rises, as fears of job security appear to have put a block on consumer spending.

The figures proved to be an unpleasant surprise for analysts, who had been expecting a rise of 0.7% in overall sales last month.

On Wall Street, US stocks reached new highs for the year, with the Dow Jones index rising 36.58 points to close on 9398.19, while the NASDAQ again passed the 2,000 point mark, up 10.63 points to finish the day on 2009.35

The big news coming out of Europe was that both the French and German economies have announced an end to the year-long recessions in both of Europe’s strongest economies.

Stronger exports and consumer spending, as well as government stimulus packages, contributed to of 0.3% between April and June

However economic activity in the eurozone fell by 0.1%, a sign that the region is still in the throes of the recession.

The Volkswagen / Porsche takeover deal has finally been finalised. Volkswagen is to pay €3.3 billion for a 42% stake in Porsche’s main production division. Between the lines, the takeover was closer to a rescue for debt-laden Porsche, which will amount to a complete merger of VW and Porsche SE during 2011

Crude oil prices rose by more than $1 a barrel as commodity markets rallied after better-than expected economic data fuelled hopes that the eurozone’s recession was close to ending.

Gold rose 1 per cent to $956 a troy ounce, bolstered by dollar weakness

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