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UK Mortgage approvals continue to rise in July

August 26th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

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An increase in July of more than 75% in the number of home purchase loans approved by British banks, made for the most encouraging figures since February 2008, while net mortgage lending growth remained as its weakest level since the year 2000.

The British Bankers’ Association announced 38,181 mortgage applications were approved in July in comparison to 35,564 in June and up from 22,248 in July when demand for properties in the UK were are at an all time low. In addition, average loan values rose from 136,400 pounds in June to 139,700 pounds.

This month’s statistics add further proof that the housing market may be entering into a period of continued stability; however analysts hastened to temper enthusiasm by pointing oath that mortgage approvals remained below the average and were indicative of falling property prices.

Bovis Homes recently reported that they have moved into a positive cash situation, and for the first time in two years, yet another sign that of recovery in the UK’s hard pressed domestic construction industry.

The group’s who were holding a net debt package of £8 million at the end of June, are now in funds to the tune of £7 million.

It appears that the Royal Bank of Scotland have hit a stumbling block with the proposed sale of their retail and commercial assets in China to their preferred bidder, Standard Chartered. The company had entered exclusive talks with the RBS last month to acquire assets in China, India and Malaysia, and were excited at the prospect of closing the deal "within a matter of weeks " However reports now have it Standard Chartered and now a lot less enthusiastic about the deal than they were, which now appears to have been put on hold.

British steel-maker Corus announced recently that they intend to kick start production at its Llanwern works in Wales. Their decision was prompted by a revival in the demand for steel, as the global economic downturn eases and generates a rise in the price of steel. Corus, Europe’s second-biggest steel concern, are to restart production at their hot rolling mill, shut down in January due to lack of demand.

Reactivating the plant will not mean that 500 or more jobs cut by Corus at the time when they put the plant in mothballs will automatically be restored, as the company claims that their operating costs have since risen.

Home improvement chain Focus DIY has reached an agreement with their creditors, particularly their landlords, which will save them from administration.

An overwhelming majority of the company’s creditors voted in favour of the company’s proposal to enter into a Company Voluntary Arrangement (CVA).

Under the terms of the CVA, an increasingly popular insolvency process, Focus will be able to reduce annual overheads by £8.6 million by shedding leases on 38 stores where the company has ceased to operate, and in return Focus has offered their landlords partial compensation. In addition the landlords of the company’s 180 stores have agreed to accept monthly rather than quarterly rent payments until 2011.

Focus, acquired by Cerberus, the US private equity group, has been carrying a heavy debt burden which has been exacerbated by a marked reduction in consumer spending.

On the FTSE, optimism lifted shares in Diageo, producers of Smirnoff vodka and brewers of Guinness beer up 0.9 per cent to 971½ pence, in anticipation that results due to be issued on Wednesday will show that the company’s sales have taken a turn for the better. Demand is expected to be on the increase among US wholesalers with Diageo looking to increase their market share.

Shares in National Express rose to their highest level since January, gaining 3.5 per cent to 395 pence, as speculation increases that that any break-up bid could value the transport group at as much as 450 pence a share.

Shares in the Royal Bank of Scotland rose by 3.9 per cent to 54 pence, fired by speculation that the bank may try to buy back some of the seventy percent stake held by the UK government.

Profit taking weighed on car insurers Admiral Group, whose shares dropped by 2.6 per cent to close on 1044 pence, after the company released first-half results that exactly matched analysts’ expectations. The company’s stock has gained 20 per cent recently.

Increased US consumer confidence and housing data helped the FTSE 100 reverse to close up 20.57 points, at a new 10-month high of 4,916.8, at its highest level for the year. The FTSE 250 rose by a further 28.92 points to close on 8,860.81

Sterling continued to weaken on Tuesday’s trading, remaining in a 10-week trough against the Euro,

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6329
  • Pound/Euro 1.1429
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 153.6205
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7364

The Obama administration is bracing for a political backlash on Tuesday when it issues national debt numbers showing federal debt rising by $9,000 billion over the next decade, a figure significantly higher than forecasts made earlier. In addition the both the White House and Congress have warned that US budget deficit will soar to almost $1.6 trillion (£978bn) this year, the highest on record,.

Fuelled by President Obama’s $787 billion stimulus package and reduced tax revenues due to the recession, this year’s deficit compares with $455 billion for 2008.

The White House also expects that US unemployment will pass a 10% figure during 2009, before slowly beginning to decline in 2010.

US stocks once again rose to record heights for the year on Tuesday as encouraging economic data was enough to keep the rally going as well as optimism sparked by Ben Bernanke staying on for a second term as chairman of the Federal Reserve.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite index both gained 0.3 per cent to 9,539.29 and 2,024.23, respectively.

Commodities markets ticked lower on Tuesday as investors paused for breath following the recent run higher in anticipation for a swift and sustained world economic rebound.

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Ireland in recession

October 6th, 2008 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, UK Banks

The Celtic tiger has turned into a pussycat…its official. Ireland, after a decade or more of break neck economic expansion has slammed on the brakes…and how! It is the first euro zone country to slip into recession and my bet is that it won’t be the last…far from it. Everything has turned south…the service sector, manufacturing, construction, financial services and housing. The banks are they latest to fall foul to the global economic meltdown…with some so close to the edge that a state guarantee of their assets was deemed necessary.

The trend in recent year has been the reversal of the out flows of Ireland’s best and brightest who lerft in droves in the 70s and 80s for any work they could find. You couldn’t walk through Dublin airport without seeing a huge poster begging the brains not to get on the planes back to London and New York after the Christmas holiday to see mammy and daddy has finished. Can this trend reverse once again? It will…if the high tech companies that have called Ireland their European base up stick and jump on an Aer Lingus plane with a one way ticket to Lowtaxville.

Ireland was the jewel of the Euro zone project. The shining beacon to the Baltic States, Poland, and the former soviet republics of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia all eyed Ireland’s remarkable economic turnaround with envy and sweaty, anticipatory palms. “We’ll get ours soon” they all thought, as they admired Ireland from a far like a shy teenager admires the prom queen from across a dancehall.

In reality, they are unlikely to get anything close to what Ireland enjoyed, perhaps with the exception of Latvia which enjoys a well educated workforce and low corporation tax rates. Ireland had a convergence of good fortune and a long time in building a solid base for the prosperity it enjoyed. It trained it workforce, build out its infrastructure with the help of EU handouts and was able to push the corporate tax burden onto its well paid citizens while giving its corporate “guests” a bit of a carrot to do business in Ireland in the form of too hard to refuse corporation tax rates.

The bursting of the property bubble and the slump in construction jobs may well signal a different future for Ireland from its boom times. Will the Irish government be able to resist the temptation to increase corporation tax rates…just a little…to soften the blow to the treasury of all those unemployed former boom town builders who now live off state benefits?

If they can’t resist, it will ensure that the recession becomes deeper and more profound as the very foundation of the Irish boom, well paying high tech jobs from large US tech companies, shifts from rock to quicksand…just as Latvia welcomes Microsoft and Google executives with open arms, keen workers and empty wallets.


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