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Retailers enjoy a Xmas good turn.

December 29th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

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Retailers won the closely watched holiday skirmish with shoppers, who opened their wallets a little bit despite a still struggling economy, fewer discounts than last year and limited variety on store shelves, according to recently released data. A late boost from last minute shoppers and an extra day of shopping increased total retail sales by 3.6% over the year. According to estimates Shoppers in Britain spent over £130 million pounds online on Christmas Day alone, a 29 percent increase from a year earlier. The number of U.K. customers on Boxing Day, the day after Christmas, also increased, by 19 percent. Retailers avoided last year’s pre-Christmas discounting by cutting inventory to “much healthier” levels, according to Morgan Stanley analysts. Prices, which were slashed by as much as 75 percent in 2008, were down by about 50 percent on London’s Oxford Street shopping district on Dec. 26 at retailers including the Zara clothing chain, House of Fraser Ltd, Bhs and Topshop clothing outlets.

Recent data has shown that demand from house buyers in the UK fell in December for the first time since January 2009, with the number of new buyers registering with agents down 2.2 per cent. The monthly survey showed a slight rise in prices for the month of 0.1 per cent and also noted that about half of all homeowners had no mortgage or owned less than 25 per cent of the value of their home. This is the sole sector of the community said to be behind the increased demand for new houses.

Britain’s recovery from recession has so far been sluggish compared with other developed nations but stronger growth in 2010 should help it narrow the gap. The UK economy is forecast to shrink 4.5 per cent this year and Consensus Economics says that the consensus forecast is for a rebound of 1.4 per cent in 2010. The UK looks set to lag behind the recovery in the US where the consensus forecast suggests growth of 2.7 per cent. The sharp fall in the value of the pound will help UK exporters and the manufacturing sector will see a projected growth of 2.1 per cent.

Recent research has revealed that only one-in-three British businesses believe that plans by Lord Mandelson to boost production industries will do any good. In the survey of 57 manufacturers, only 20 said that the business secretary’s programme of ‘industrial activism’ was likely to benefit UK manufacturers. The remaining 37 said the programme would not help the sector or were unconvinced about its outcomes. However, there was better news regarding manufacturers’ expectations of an industrial recovery, with almost two-thirds of those polled saying the sector was in line for an upturn in 2010.

A spokesman for the Anglo-Dutch steelmaker Corus has said that Britain should shrug off worries about the huge government deficit and prepare to spend ‘tens of billions of pounds’ on infrastructure investment to push the economy out of recession. The spokesman went on to add that that the UK needed to draw up a ‘real industrial policy’ that would make the country more attractive to manufacturers. Lord Mandelson’s efforts to encourage ‘advanced manufacturing’ as a way of rebalancing the economy were worthy of praise, while stating that these initiatives did not go far enough, and that investment programmes should also railways, schools, roads, hospitals and other public amenities.

Virgin Money is reported to be in advanced talks to buy a small UK bank, which will provide an opening for the company to be granted a banking license, completing the Virgin’s long-standing ambition to provide a full range of financial products, including mortgages and current accounts to the British consumer.

The FTSE was closed on Friday as the market awarded itself a long weekend for the Festive Season.

Sterling remained below the $1.60 level on Fridays trading, although rising a little, whilst falling slightly s against the Euro

  • Dollar 1.5962
  • Euro 1.1089

A resurgent dollar is likely to power through to 2010 with its up-trend intact, as a steadily improving economy leads investors to believe U.S. interest rates will increase sooner than had been expected. The demand for riskier currencies has broken down as the year has come to an end, with the dollar now gaining on positive U.S. data. Analysts predict that the U.S. economy continues to show strength, the dollar stands to strengthen even more.

Wall Street was closed on Friday for the Christmas holiday.

In Japan early Monday the Nikkei average hit its highest close in four months on Monday as stronger-than-forecast output data boosted the manufacturing sector. Adding to the upbeat mood in the market, data before the start of trade showed Japan’s industrial output rose a better-than-expected 2.6 per cent in November, the strongest gain in six months as rising exports to Asia bode well for a recovering economy. The benchmark Nikkei climbed 1.3 per cent, or 139.52 points, to 10,634.23, its highest close since August 26.

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Looks like it’s going to be a stay-at-home Christmas as transports strike spreads.

December 18th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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Heathrow baggage handlers and Eurostar train drivers have said they are ready to join British Airways cabin crew and strike in the lead-up to Christmas. Following a breakdown in talks with managers over pay, British Eurostar drivers announced they will go on strike on Friday and Saturday. Unite, the union representing BA cabin crew, said the 500 baggage handlers and check-in staff it covered at Heathrow and Aberdeen airports also planned to strike over pay from Tuesday 24th December, the same day that BA cabin crew are set to commence their 12-day strike action.

Meanwhile an operation is under way to recover the UK thousands of people left stranded after Flyglobespan, Scotland’s biggest airline, collapsed. After their parent company, Globespan, entered administration on Wednesday. Around 4,500 passengers were stranded by the airline’s collapse, mostly in Spain, Portugal, Cyprus and Egypt, with the Civil Aviation Authority expected to be repatriating about 1,100 of those stuck overseas.

A recent poll has shown that UK business leaders have become more gloomy about the recovery of the British economy over the last month, with only 36 percent of business leaders sensing that a financial recovery is in the offing, down from 49 percent in November.

The survey, taken in the five days after Finance Minister Alistair Darling’s pre-budget report last week, found the number of business leaders who had confidence in Darling had fallen five percentage points to 20 percent following the statement. Almost three-quarters of businessmen reckoned that Darling was "out of his depth" while less than a quarter believed he "understands business".

Public sector net borrowing in the UKs hit a record high of £20.3 billion in November, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics.

The public sector net debt as a percentage of overall UK economic output now stands at 60.2%, a considerably rise since the start of the financial crisis.

UK insurance companies also have little positive to report about, with worldwide premium income plunging 18% in 2008 to £215.3 billion, with 2009 also looking to be a fairly tough year. The financial crisis has had a definite effect on insurance rates, with premium income it falling almost 25% to £168.1 billion in 2008. The first nine months of this year, however, do show some promise. Long-term premium income was off 35% relative to the same period in 2008, but general insurance premiums gained 8% to £47.2 billion, mostly due to overseas business.

Virgin Group controlled by billionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson have announced the launch of a new company, designed to come to the rescue of consumers experiencing technical problems with their such as PCs as well as wireless networks not connecting. The opening of this new company, to be known as Virgin Digital Help, is Virgin’s up’s first new UK company in three years offers free online self-help guides such as "speed up" to make computers go faster, or "get connected" to fix links to printers or wireless networks .

Shareholders in Punch Taverns revolted on Wednesday over the pay for executives at Britain’s largest pub owner, voting against its remuneration policies, in one of the biggest shareholder protests over pay this year. 55 per cent of votes on the remuneration policies of the heavily indebted company were cast against them as shareholders objected to the scale of the awards given to executives in a year in which the group suspended dividend payments after its annual pre-tax loss quintupled to £406 million. While the vote on pay was advisory only, a spokesman for Punch announced that they are to conduct “a full review of the remuneration policy and its future implementation” in the wake of the result. The ABI, which represents shareholders that account for about 20 per cent of investments in the UK stock market, signalled its objection to the pay policies by issuing a “red top” alert to its members. Under a long-term incentive plan, Giles Thorley, chief executive, and three other executives were awarded shares worth 200 per cent of their base salary that would vest if total shareholder returns were in the top quartile of the company’s peers over three years. Mr Thorley earned a base salary of £525,000 during the 2008 financial year to August 23. The vote at the annual meeting came after the company warned slowing food sales and patchy trading at its leased estate were depressing profits. Punch shares fell 4.7 per cent to 77.3 pence.

Carphone Warehouse, broadband group TalkTalk and Channel 4 have opted into a joint venture between the BBC, ITV RTL’s AUDK.LU Five and BT to install internet video on television sets. The backing from all public service broadcasters and the UK’s two biggest broadband providers for the project to be known as Project Canvas will help it "secure the future of free-to-air broadcasting" in the Internet age. The venture partners will share an estimated £115 million in yearly costs over the next four years.

Rentokil Initial was among the talking points in the London market on Wednesday, with the stock registering its biggest gain since July.

The pest control-to-package delivery group bounced 4.8 per cent to 105 pence ahead of its relegation from the FTSE 100 next week, with Rentokil management already hinting of a further £150 million of cost savings expected for next year.

Shares in the U.K.’s second-largest drug-maker AstraZeneca Plc climbed 0.5 percent to 2,843 pence after they won a U.S. panel’s backing to expand use of the cholesterol pill Crestor in the prevention of heart disease, a move that, if allowed, could add up to £300 million in annual sales.

Imperial Tobacco Group Plc Europe’s second- largest publicly traded cigarette company, lost 1 percent to 1,894 pence on threat that Japan, the fifth-largest tobacco market, are about to announce further tax increases on cigarettes . U.K. furnishings and clothes chain known for floral pattern Laura Ashley Holdings Plc added 3.8 percent to 13.75 pence, after analysts predicted a better 2010 for the company.

Barclays, Britain’s second-largest bank, slid 6.2 percent to 273.85 pence. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe biggest, fell 3.5 percent to 684.1 pence.

Lloyds, the 43 percent government-owned bank, lost 8.1 percent to 51.1 pence, the steepest slump since May. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc fell 3.5 percent to 30.74 pence.

Sterling lost ground against the dollar and improved against the Euro in sluggish mid week trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6167
  • Pound/Euro 1.1273

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index slid 102.65, or 1.9 percent, to 5,217.61. The index has rebounded 49 percent since March and is heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997 as central banks cut interest rates to record lows and governments worldwide committed about $12 trillion to revive the economy

As had been widely expected, the Federal Reserve have announced that US interest rates will be kept on hold at between 0% and 0.25%, despite continuing signs that the US economy is recovering. The central bank reiterated that rates would stay at the low level for an "extended period".

The Fed’s hand was strengthened by official data showing earlier on Wednesday that US inflation remains under control, rising by just 0.4% in November, as had been predicted.

With inflation continuing to be low, the Fed is not under pressure to increase interest rates as a means to tackle any inflationary pressure.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped more than 130 points to 10, 33.61 while the NASDAQ also dropped to 2,183.55.

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