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U.K. property prices set to extend their recovery

May 7th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

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According to information from the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) property prices in the UK are due to rise in 2010 driven by low borrowing costs and the shortage of homes. Property values are due to rise by five percent and mortgage costs will cheapen as the Bank of England retains a its record low 0.5 percent key interest rate. CEBR have reduced their property price forecast from 6 percent after the tax on home purchases rose and cold weather damped demand for property. Average mortgage interest rates are expected to drop by around one percent by the start of 2011.

US based billionaire investor Warren Buffett, has backed Bank of England Governor Mervyn Jones previous comments by stating that said he doesn’t envy the winner of the UK general election, who will be faced with the need to make "politically very unpopular" decisions to cut the deficit. Speaking after the annual shareholder meeting of Berkshire Hathaway before a crowd of 40,000 , Mr Buffett warned the next occupant of No 10 to fear the bond market, which could turn against the UK if public spending is not brought back into balance over the long term.

Buffet’s comments regarding the UK’s current financial plight echoes previous statements made about growing government debt across the Western world. The debt has been incurred as a result of the economic stimulus measures put in place to prevent a much worse recession after the financial panic of 2008.

It has been reported that the collective wealth of the UKs 1,000 richest people increased by 30 per cent in 2009, largely due to the efforts of London-based steel magnate Lakshmi Mittal. Claiming the top spot for the sixth consecutive year Mittal seen his fortune double from £10,800 million to £22,450 million in the wake of the recovery of the steel industry worldwide.

Chelsea owner Roman Abramovich remains second on the list, whilst adding a mere £400 million to his stack of £7,400 million.

The Duke of Westminster, retains his place as the wealthiest UK born member of the list saw his mainly property based fortune increase to £6,750 million.

According to a recent survey, most of the UK’s small companies feel that the current tax system it too complex, and would like to see it simplified,

Two thousand small and medium sized UK enterprises (SMEs) took part in the survey that found that 77% participating feel that the current system is preventing them from taking advantage of tax benefits and breaks, while

60% were found to be unaware what entitlements they may be suitable for.

While many experts see SMEs as the engine for economic recovery and a key battleground in the upcoming election, many small businesses find the complexity of the tax system frustrating, with almost three quarters with the impression that the tax system was actually acting as a barrier for start-ups.

An ambitious new UK company offering people the chance to rent their neighbours’ cars has had hundreds of drivers registering on the site just a week after launch. The company Whipcar, launched in mid-April, uses the internet to connect owners of underused cars with drivers looking for short-term rentals for a trip to the shops or the school run. But insurance limitations mean that Whipcar has had to turn away a surprisingly large number of sports car owners. Who wanted to become part of take advantage Whipcar’s system, which lets them set their own price before lending their pride and joy to fully insured and vetted neighbours. Whipcar is just one example of a business using the web as a marketplace to bridge the gap between car ownership and traditional rentals. Streetcar, which pioneered car clubs in the UK, was acquired last month for $50 million by Zipcar, an American competitor whose model it was based on.

The FTSE 100 joined stock markets globally in tumbling deep into the red as the Greek bailout failed to ease investor fears. The Footsie fell 2.6%, down 142.2 points to 5411.1,

US-based United Airlines and Continental Airlines have agreed a deal to merge, creating the world’s biggest carrier. The two companies, that both have made losses in recent years, have predicted that the merger, worth around two billion pounds, will allow the now company to cut around five hundred million pounds ($1 billion) a year.

The new company will be trade as United Airlines while using the current Continental colours. News of the deal sent both companies shares upwards of Wall Street.

Shares on Wall Street have fallen sharply as concerns about high levels of European government debt continue to reduce confidence.

The Dow Jones falling by 2%, and NASDAQ by 2.98 %. THE Dow Jones closed down 225 points to 10926.77 while NASDAQ dropped 74.49 points to close on 2924.25

Oil giant BP has acknowledged that they are to be held responsible for cleaning up the huge oil spill which occurred after an accident to one of its wells off the Gulf of Mexico on the US coast.

BP boss Tony Hayward predicted that the spill would need to be contained for two to three months. Since the BP Deepwater Horizon rig sank on 22 April Thousands of barrels of oil have been leaking into the ocean. Meanwhile BP shares hit a seven-month low on about the cost of cleaning up the massive oil spill. Shares in BP fell by 4.3%, (25 pence) to 551 pence in early trading, making for an overall fall of more than 15% since the explosion on the rig two weeks ago.

Despite of forecasts that car sales are not liable to peak again for five years, it has been reported that global car production increased by more than half in the first quarter of this year in comparison to 2009,. Data for 12 of the world’s biggest car markets, accounting for more than three-quarters of world automobile output, showed double-digit increases in the first quarter of 2010. In China, Japan, Canada, Mexico, and the UK, the year-on-year rise was up by almost 75%.

Reaction to the approval of an unprecedented bail-out package to rescue Greece’s embattled economy has been muted. The package, which will see Eurozone members and the IMF loan Greece €110 billion (£95 billion) over three years, had been widely anticipated, but came after the Greek government agreed to make severe budget cuts.

However several Eurozone member countries, with Germany’s voice being loudest heard, have questioned whether the rescue package and budget cuts combined will be sufficient to solve Greece’s deep-seated problems.

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UK property prices to increase by twenty percent by 2014.

February 4th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

According to a recent report by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) UK house prices are liable to rise by about a fifth in the next four years. The forces that will push property prices up are increased lending levels by the banks and interest rates remaining at a low level.

Home values will rise 6.5 percent in 2010 and will have gained around 20 percent by the end of 2013, according to CEBR radically altering their forecast of October 2009, which house prices would increase by only 2.6 percent this year.

CEBR’s announcement strengthens reports from the Nationwide Building Society that showed house prices have begun rising again after the economy returned to growth. However their optimism was dashed by news that potential UK house buyers could soon face a chronic shortage of credit that will see mortgages ‘rationed’.

According to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (COML) as government schemes to keep mortgage lending afloat are due to dry up in 2014, their fears that a funding gap to the tune of £300 billion will open up. COML predicted in their recent report that the UK is at risk of a chronic under-supply of credit, bringing with it the rationing of mortgages for customers that will continue for many years. Before the financial crisis, the funding gap, meaning the difference between what banks took in savers’ deposits and what they lent out, was always covered by the wholesale market in mortgage debt.

As a result of lower oil and gas prices, oil giant BP have reported a 45% drop in annual profit Its replacement cost profit for 2009 was £8.75 billion, compared with £15.39 billion in 2008. The company said that its oil and gas production increased more than 4% in 2009 and its reserves had grown for the 17th year in a row. Profits during the final three months of 2009 were up 33% from the same period a year ago.

However, the fourth quarter results fell short of analysts’ expectations, causing BP shares to fall more than 4% in early trading.

Shares in Northumbrian Water surged 12 percent after press reports that the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan may bid £1.7 billion ($2.7 billion) for the company. The water utilities market in the UK is liable to benefit if the speculation on Northumbrian Water is confirmed as it will establish a higher trading range for the other water stocks. On the news, Northumbrian Water rose by 12 percent to close on 289 pence. The Ontario pension fund already owns 27 percent of the U.K. water company and wants to buy the remaining stake.

Severn Trent caught the wave and added 4 percent to 1,170 pence while United Utilities gained 2.8 percent to 551.5 pence.

South Korea’s National Pension Service, the world’s fifth biggest pension fund, will next week take a 12 per cent stake in Gatwick airport, stressing that investment in Britain will play a significant role in quadrupling its international exposure. The NPS, which is aiming to expand its overall portfolio, came to the attention of Britain’s financial community last year when it bought the headquarters of HSBC in Canary Wharf for £773 million. Gatwick airport was sold late last year to Global Infrastructure Partners, an infrastructure fund backed by Credit Suisse and General Electric, for £1.51 billion.

The longest running saga in recent UK takeover history drew to a happy close as US firm Kraft Foods sealed their takeover of Cadbury after shareholders in the UK chocolate maker voted in favour of the deal.

Cadbury said it had received valid acceptances of the offer from investors representing 71.7% of the firm. Kraft chief executive Irene Rosenfeld celebrated the takeover by announcing: "I warmly welcome Cadbury employees into the Kraft Foods family." Despite the warm welcome, Cadbury employees staged protests in London calling for government support to guarantee jobs

Budget airline Ryanair has raised its full-year profit forecast as passenger numbers continue to rise. The company announced that it said it expects full-year net profits of about 275 million Euros, whilst reporting a 10.9 million Euro; (£9.5 million) loss in fourth quarter of 2009, a considerable improvement on the 101.5 million Euro losses for the same period in 2008.

Ryanair said the result had been helped by a 37% fall in fuel costs and passenger numbers increased by 14%, which had offset a 12% drop in fares.

Europe’s second- largest tobacco company Imperial Tobacco Group Plc have announced a “good start” to the year with business “in line” with company expectations, despite the weak economic climate. Despite the news, their shares declined 1.2 percent, to 2,002 pence. The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc are to allow its top performing employees to convert a large portion of bonuses given in shares into cash within 12 weeks of receiving them, according to a letter sent to investors yesterday. On the day RBS shares rose 7.9 percent, to 34.86 pence.

The pound closed down at 1.5977 against the dollar, while the Euro traded at 1.1438

The FTSE 100 dropped 4.1 percent in January as the U.S. government called for limits on risk-taking by banks and China moved to restrict lending and cool economic growth. The gauge is still 49 percent higher than in March after governments and central banks around the world sought to encourage growth by maintaining low interest rates and committing more than $12 trillion to stimulate the economy.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index added 35.9 points to reach 5,283.31 at the close of trading in London.

US President Barack Obama has announced a $3.8 trillion (£2.4 trillion) budget plan for 2011, which includes increased spending for job creation, but cuts in other areas.

He also forecast the US deficit would rise to a record $1.56 trillion this year.

He scrapped plans to send astronauts back to the Moon and will seek to save $250 billion by capping a range of domestic spending programmes for three years.

Congress must approve the budget for the financial year starting on 1 October for it to take effect.

Mr Obama blamed the huge deficit on the decisions of President George W Bush, previous Congresses and his administration’s moves to prevent an economic collapse.

Stocks continued to extend gains after reports showing the U.S. manufacturing sector expanded more than forecast. The Institute for Supply Management’s factory index showed U.S. manufacturing expanded in January at the fastest pace since August 2004, spearheading the recovery from the worst recession since the nineteen-thirties.

On the news, the Dow Jones rose sharply, to close on 10284.91, while the NASDAQ rose 38 points, to finish on 2185.32

Gold lost some of the previous day’s sharp gains, dropping 0.1 per cent to $1,105. Oil rose 0.5 per cent to $74.81 a barrel.

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