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Doubts grow about the strength of UK economy’s recovery.

February 2nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks

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While the UK economy snapped back into growth in the fourth quarter of 2009, it did so at a rate considerably less than economists’ forecast. It was thanks to the service industries and manufacturing sector, which expanded just enough to pull Britain out of its longest recession on record. According to figures released by the Office for National Statistics, gross domestic product (GDP) rose by a mere 0.1% from the third quarter. The weakness of the recovery will pose a challenge to Bank of England officials who are due to sit next week to consider week whether the economy is strong enough to begin winding down the Government’s emergency stimulus measures. Prime Minister Gordon Brown’ is regarded as being especially anxious to see and end his government’s propping up of the economy, as delaying it may hamper his efforts to win an election due by June of this year. Much of Brown’s campaigns have been based on promises to curb the budget deficit.

Brown is putting up his case that he is better placed that Conservative leader David Cameron to cut the ballooning budget deficit without hurting the economic recovery. Splits in the Labour Party are beginning to show as election day draws closer with Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling announcing that it would be “absolutely mad” to withdraw stimulus measures now.

The Bank of England’s £200-billion pound asset-purchase facility, designed to keep borrowing costs low and help pull the economy out of the recession also expired this week.

Meanwhile it was announced that the UK economy shrank 4.8% in 2009, making for the biggest annual drop since records began in 1949. It was also reviled that the in the fourth quarter the economy contracted 3.2% compared to records from 2008.

The fourth quarter data, the first to be released by a Group of Seven nation, means Britain is the last member country to exit the recession that was sparked by the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. The US Government was expected to release GDP data for the fourth quarter on late January 29.

The news that the Lloyds Banking Group has succeeded in placing of £2.5 billion pounds of mortgages with investors, has raised new hopes that securitisation markets are beginning to open for banks. A £4 billion issue last September by Lloyds recorded a first attempt by a bank to tap the securitisation markets since the onset of the credit crisis. However Friday’s issue was the first to cause any form of reaction interest among U.S. investors to purchase prime residential mortgage securities

There are strong signs of recovery popping up London’s financial services industry, which took a severe pounding during the credit crunch. Recruitment is already on the up, and a recent survey showed that more than 80 percent of hiring managers are expecting recruitment volumes to rise in 2010. Only five percent of those responding to the survey named handling redundancies as a key personnel challenge for the year ahead, will close to half of those interviewed pointed to the threat of competitors poaching staff as a problem. The main problem for 2010, according to close to two thirds taking part, would, be salaries and particularly of discretionary bonuses. Remuneration has become a major hot potato in the financial industry, as the sector has emerged from the crisis under increased public and regulatory scrutiny.

Irene Rosenfeld, chief executive of Kraft has predicted that Cadbury has a positive future under the ownership of the US conglomerate, whilst adding fears of job losses at the UK company are "greatly overstated" and.

In her first interview since the takeover was agreed by the Cadbury board earlier this month, Rosenfeld announced that Kraft would not be looking for any mergers and acquisitions activity in the "near term" following the purchase of the UK confectionary company. "We acquired Cadbury because we believe it is a fabulous business and it is our intention to protect those assets," Ms. Rosenfeld pointed out. "It is our intention to invest in the business; in fact, if anything, the opportunities for the business will be greater as a result of the combination than perhaps they might have been on a standalone basis, given some of the competitive pressures." She continued.

Speculation is growing that the planned sale of the discount fashion chain Matalan is unlikely to raise the sum in excess of £1.5 billion pounds targeted by the company’s owner John Hargreaves. American private equity firms TPG, Advent International among others are expected to make offers in time for next Friday’s deadline. Analysts fear that the parties involved are wary of paying too high a price for Matalan. A clause in the deal specifying a "break price" of between £1.2 to £1.25 billion pounds, has been inserted by Hargreaves, entitling him to refuse any bids below this figure

Expectations are that the release of British Airways’ results for the three months to the end of December 2009 will expose further heavy losses at the airline. BA is expected to reveal a loss of £151 million for the third quarter of the financial year, making for total losses up to the end of March to £602 million, up almost fifty percent from 2008, which was BA’s previous record loss. The threat of pre Christmas strikes and severe weather conditions are two factors among many that have contributed to the company’s already poor situation.

Carphone Warehouse subsidiary TalkTalk have announced the launch of a new television and mobile phone service. The launch is yet another sign of the telecoms group desire to step up its challenge to their sector rivals. Charles Dunstone, chief executive of Carphone Warehouse, outlined the plans for the new division on Friday as the company also released details of the demerger of its telecoms and retail interests. TalkTalk, due to gain a stock market listing in March, have identified TV and mobile services as potentially strong sources of growth. Carphone Warehouse’s broadband rivals already offer TV services, and the market is rapidly expanding.

UK Coal’s already stagnating share price was sent even lower as the mining and property group announced that were liable to increase by £100 million pounds in 2009. UK Coal has announced that they expect production in 2010 to be roughly seven million tonnes, compared with 7.9 million tonnes last year. The company faced severe technical and geological problems in its underground mines in the second half of 2008. The troubled company’s shares fell 4.5 pence to 61.5 pence.

The pound posted a weekly advance against the euro after the U.K. economy exited recession in the fourth quarter and Bank of England policymaker. Expectations are that the U.K. currency will continue to gain value as the government’s propping up of the economy may not be extended, with the decision to be announced when the Bank of England meets to decide on interest rates on Feb. 4. Sterling also posted a monthly gain against the Euro, when closing for the weekend at 1.532.

The pound strengthened 1.3 percent in the week, its strongest level in five months. It advanced 2.3 percent in the January. The U.K. currency dropped 0.7 percent to $1.5993 for a monthly decline of 0.8 percent.

The pound rose 8.5 percent against the euro in the first month of 2010, the biggest monthly gain since the single European currency was launched in 1999.

The US economy grew by an annual rate of 5.7% between October and December, official figures have shown.

The number, which is a first estimate, is a big rise from the previous quarter’s growth rate of 2.2%.

It suggests the country’s economy is growing at its fastest pace for six years and confirms the US economy has left its year-long recession behind.

But even with the rebound, gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by 2.4% across 2009 as a whole, making for the worst annual performance since 1946.

On the news, the Dow Jones fell again this time by 53.13 points, 135 points, to close on Friday at 10067.33, while the NASDAQ lost another 31 points, to finish for the weekend on 2147.35

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British banks don’t escape Obama’s glare.

January 19th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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U.S. President Barack Obama has celebrated his first year in office by showing a more brittle side to his personality, and in recent statements has been particularly vehement in his comments regarding the US banking system. Obama has stated his intention to raise legislation that would force around 50 banks, insurance companies and large broker-dealers to pay a tax of 0.15 percent on all of their U.S. assets, less their capital and deposits. Falling into that category will be the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Barclays Banks and HSBC who, if the legislation is passed, could be forced to pay more than $10 billion to the U.S. government over the next 10 years. Analysts have already calculated that HSBC could be forced to pay around $3.8 billion dollars and Barclays could face a total bill of around $5.6 billion dollars over ten years. While the RBS will only be paying out around one and half billion dollars, they appear to be already in the process of raising capital to meet the bill, when it comes. They have announced that the Grosvenor House hotel, , is to be put up for sale by the part-nationalised RBS and proceeds for the sale is expected to raise between £600 and £700 million as part of RBS’s unwinding of its property portfolio. The Grosvenor House hotel, which has previously hosted events such as the CBI annual dinner, could be on the market as early as this month.

Meanwhile the Bank of England (BOE) are still feeling the effects of their quantitative easing programme, with the news of the loss of £3.6 billion s on its purchases of government bonds, whilst projecting that capital losses from the purchase, so far of £192 billion pounds in gilts would be £8 billion if these were sold today. The reason for the shortfall is the steep drop in government bond prices as a result of the strengthening economic recovery felt the past month. On the upside, losses will be offset by £4.4 billion pounds, which is the interest payment the BOE has received from the securities.

Construction companies made up more than 20 percent of UK business failures in 2009, a recent survey has disclosed. While the number of companies involved in the construction sector that closed their doors in 2009,

decreased slightly from 2008, there were still 683 who fell into administration during 2009, compared with 716 in 2008. The fourth quarter of 2009 saw a 17 percent decline in construction administrations according to Deloitte with 129 compared with 155 in the third quarter.

Shares in Premier Foods have fallen by more than ten percent after the food manufacturer announced that full-year pre-tax profits would be lower than expected, at around £165 million pounds for the financial year to February 16. Total sales increased by 1.5 percent during the fourth-quarter with sales of the company’s branded goods increasing to around £1.7 billion, making up to two thirds of the total turnover for 2009, compared with 61 percent the previous year.

The bus operator FirstGroup has reported a drop in turnover of around 20 percent for the company’s U.S. Greyhound operation during the first half of their financial year. A little ray of sunshine was that revenue for the third quarter was only down by 11.4 percent and passenger revenue for the group’s UK bus business grew by 0.7 percent during the three months to December 31. On the upside, FirstGroup announced that they remain on course to achieve earnings targets for the year and that trading, was in line with management expectations.

The European electrical groups DSGi, who own and operate the Currys and PC World chains in the UK, have announced trading figures that are in excess of most City analyst’s projections. Group sales rose by eight percent during the 12 weeks to January 9, much higher figure than the three percent expected by most analysts, with the reason attributed to an upturn in consumer sales.

Home Retail Group (HRG) have also updated their predictions for its full-year profits, which they now expect to be around £20 million higher than the £265 million initially forecast, following a four percent improvement in sales at HRG’s DIY chain Homebase.

One of Cadbury’s major shareholders has indicated that US food giant Kraft will have to increase their hostile takeover offer if it wishes to win support.

Legal & General Investment Management, which owns 5% of Cadbury shares, said Kraft’s current offer did not meet "the long term value" of the UK firm. Legal & General’s comments come ahead of Tuesday’s eagerly anticipated deadline for Kraft to increase its offer to Cadbury shareholders.

Reports continue to gather strength that Hershey is also planning a rival bid for Cadbury which may be announced as early as this week. The current state of affairs is that Kraft is currently offering £10.5 billion or 761 pence per Cadbury share, which was rejected by the chocolate-maker’s shareholders. .

Kraft’s current bid is worth less than Cadbury’s share price which closed on Friday at 793.5 pence.

British Telecom (BT) announced their intentions to enter a price war with Sky over the price charged for fans to watch premium sports events on TV, including football and cricket.

The telecoms firm is awaiting the outcome of an Ofcom probe, which will be known in March, examining whether Sky must drop the wholesale price it charges rivals for content.

BT Vision has leaked their intentions to charge about £15 a month for Sky Sports 1, about £10 cheaper than Sky currently charges. A spokesman for BT projected that there would be benefits to the viewing public for choosing BT as they would be getting more choice

Vodafone UK has launched a new online business centre, bringing information and insight on its full range of capabilities in mobile, fixed and unified communications together in one place. The site, www.vodafone.co.uk. Has been designed to make it even easier for private and business customers to find the information they need and the solutions that best suit them. Meanwhile Vodafone (has become the third mobile phone operator in Britain to begin to market the Apple iPhone in the UK. Results are encouraging with a total of 50,000 units delivered on the first day of sales. Until recently, Vodafone had been disallowed from marketing the premier smartphone due to exclusivity rights brokered between Apple and O2.

Vodafone is now the fourth company in the U.K. to carry the iPhone, following O2, Orange and Tesco. While O2 once enjoyed a two-year exclusive deal with Apple to offer the iPhone in the U.K., that exclusivity ended last year and Orange and Tesco began offering the Apple smartphone in November and December, respectively.

Orange sold 30,000 iPhones on its first day of its launch in November 2009 while Tesco has not disclosed any sales figures.

Also enjoying some good trading on the back of the iPhone launch is the Carphone Warehouse. Their trading update for the last quarter of 2009 is expected to show a four percent increase in the number of phone connections compared to the same period in 2008. Sales of the most expensive products, such as the Apple iPhone and BlackBerry, are believed to contribute considerably to sales and profits, while the company’s fixed-line division TalkTalk is reported to have added 46,000 new subscribers during the last three months of last year.

The pound improved a little against the dollar before the weekend, closing at 1.6301, while the Euro being traded at 1.321

The FTSE 100 Index dropped 43 points before closing on Friday finishing on 5,455.37.

Wall Street bank JP Morgan Chase has reported profits of $3.3 billion (£2 billion) for the last three months of 2009, compared with profits of $702 million for the same period in 2008, which was the height of the financial crisis. Total profits for the bank for year were $11.7 billion, with investment banking providing the bulk of the profit.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average took a tumble before closing on Friday down 81 points to 10,609.65. The NASDAQ Composite was also down. 23 points to close on 2287.99

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Looks like it’s going to be a stay-at-home Christmas as transports strike spreads.

December 18th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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Heathrow baggage handlers and Eurostar train drivers have said they are ready to join British Airways cabin crew and strike in the lead-up to Christmas. Following a breakdown in talks with managers over pay, British Eurostar drivers announced they will go on strike on Friday and Saturday. Unite, the union representing BA cabin crew, said the 500 baggage handlers and check-in staff it covered at Heathrow and Aberdeen airports also planned to strike over pay from Tuesday 24th December, the same day that BA cabin crew are set to commence their 12-day strike action.

Meanwhile an operation is under way to recover the UK thousands of people left stranded after Flyglobespan, Scotland’s biggest airline, collapsed. After their parent company, Globespan, entered administration on Wednesday. Around 4,500 passengers were stranded by the airline’s collapse, mostly in Spain, Portugal, Cyprus and Egypt, with the Civil Aviation Authority expected to be repatriating about 1,100 of those stuck overseas.

A recent poll has shown that UK business leaders have become more gloomy about the recovery of the British economy over the last month, with only 36 percent of business leaders sensing that a financial recovery is in the offing, down from 49 percent in November.

The survey, taken in the five days after Finance Minister Alistair Darling’s pre-budget report last week, found the number of business leaders who had confidence in Darling had fallen five percentage points to 20 percent following the statement. Almost three-quarters of businessmen reckoned that Darling was "out of his depth" while less than a quarter believed he "understands business".

Public sector net borrowing in the UKs hit a record high of £20.3 billion in November, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics.

The public sector net debt as a percentage of overall UK economic output now stands at 60.2%, a considerably rise since the start of the financial crisis.

UK insurance companies also have little positive to report about, with worldwide premium income plunging 18% in 2008 to £215.3 billion, with 2009 also looking to be a fairly tough year. The financial crisis has had a definite effect on insurance rates, with premium income it falling almost 25% to £168.1 billion in 2008. The first nine months of this year, however, do show some promise. Long-term premium income was off 35% relative to the same period in 2008, but general insurance premiums gained 8% to £47.2 billion, mostly due to overseas business.

Virgin Group controlled by billionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson have announced the launch of a new company, designed to come to the rescue of consumers experiencing technical problems with their such as PCs as well as wireless networks not connecting. The opening of this new company, to be known as Virgin Digital Help, is Virgin’s up’s first new UK company in three years offers free online self-help guides such as "speed up" to make computers go faster, or "get connected" to fix links to printers or wireless networks .

Shareholders in Punch Taverns revolted on Wednesday over the pay for executives at Britain’s largest pub owner, voting against its remuneration policies, in one of the biggest shareholder protests over pay this year. 55 per cent of votes on the remuneration policies of the heavily indebted company were cast against them as shareholders objected to the scale of the awards given to executives in a year in which the group suspended dividend payments after its annual pre-tax loss quintupled to £406 million. While the vote on pay was advisory only, a spokesman for Punch announced that they are to conduct “a full review of the remuneration policy and its future implementation” in the wake of the result. The ABI, which represents shareholders that account for about 20 per cent of investments in the UK stock market, signalled its objection to the pay policies by issuing a “red top” alert to its members. Under a long-term incentive plan, Giles Thorley, chief executive, and three other executives were awarded shares worth 200 per cent of their base salary that would vest if total shareholder returns were in the top quartile of the company’s peers over three years. Mr Thorley earned a base salary of £525,000 during the 2008 financial year to August 23. The vote at the annual meeting came after the company warned slowing food sales and patchy trading at its leased estate were depressing profits. Punch shares fell 4.7 per cent to 77.3 pence.

Carphone Warehouse, broadband group TalkTalk and Channel 4 have opted into a joint venture between the BBC, ITV RTL’s AUDK.LU Five and BT to install internet video on television sets. The backing from all public service broadcasters and the UK’s two biggest broadband providers for the project to be known as Project Canvas will help it "secure the future of free-to-air broadcasting" in the Internet age. The venture partners will share an estimated £115 million in yearly costs over the next four years.

Rentokil Initial was among the talking points in the London market on Wednesday, with the stock registering its biggest gain since July.

The pest control-to-package delivery group bounced 4.8 per cent to 105 pence ahead of its relegation from the FTSE 100 next week, with Rentokil management already hinting of a further £150 million of cost savings expected for next year.

Shares in the U.K.’s second-largest drug-maker AstraZeneca Plc climbed 0.5 percent to 2,843 pence after they won a U.S. panel’s backing to expand use of the cholesterol pill Crestor in the prevention of heart disease, a move that, if allowed, could add up to £300 million in annual sales.

Imperial Tobacco Group Plc Europe’s second- largest publicly traded cigarette company, lost 1 percent to 1,894 pence on threat that Japan, the fifth-largest tobacco market, are about to announce further tax increases on cigarettes . U.K. furnishings and clothes chain known for floral pattern Laura Ashley Holdings Plc added 3.8 percent to 13.75 pence, after analysts predicted a better 2010 for the company.

Barclays, Britain’s second-largest bank, slid 6.2 percent to 273.85 pence. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe biggest, fell 3.5 percent to 684.1 pence.

Lloyds, the 43 percent government-owned bank, lost 8.1 percent to 51.1 pence, the steepest slump since May. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc fell 3.5 percent to 30.74 pence.

Sterling lost ground against the dollar and improved against the Euro in sluggish mid week trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6167
  • Pound/Euro 1.1273

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index slid 102.65, or 1.9 percent, to 5,217.61. The index has rebounded 49 percent since March and is heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997 as central banks cut interest rates to record lows and governments worldwide committed about $12 trillion to revive the economy

As had been widely expected, the Federal Reserve have announced that US interest rates will be kept on hold at between 0% and 0.25%, despite continuing signs that the US economy is recovering. The central bank reiterated that rates would stay at the low level for an "extended period".

The Fed’s hand was strengthened by official data showing earlier on Wednesday that US inflation remains under control, rising by just 0.4% in November, as had been predicted.

With inflation continuing to be low, the Fed is not under pressure to increase interest rates as a means to tackle any inflationary pressure.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped more than 130 points to 10, 33.61 while the NASDAQ also dropped to 2,183.55.

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UK businesses sweating at the thought of a postal strike.

October 12th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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The announcement made before the weekend that that 121,000 Royal Mail staff had voted overwhelmingly for national strikes over jobs, pay and working conditions had UK business owners and managers in a sweat. Companies fear that national action, on top of the regional strikes that have been taking place over the past three months, will cause widespread disruption to postal deliveries and hinder their long awaited and much needed economic Christmas rush. The Communication Workers Union announced that their members had backed nationwide walkouts by a three to one ratio in protest at the “imposition” of changes to working practices as well as cuts in pay and job losses. Dave Ward, deputy general secretary of the Postal Workers Union, said that representatives of the union were due to meet on Monday to agree its next step and would give the Royal Mail a “final opportunity” to resolve the dispute over the next week or so.

According to Britain’s business secretary, Lord Mandelson Britain is unlikely to accept Magna International’s plan for the takeover of Vauxhall/Opel unless certain “shortcomings” are addressed. In explaining Britain’s role in “signing off” on the deal, Lord Mandelson stated that an impact plan should be agreed even before talks on how much Britain will contribute to the ($3.1 billion ) €4.5 billion) of loan guarantees needed to restructure Opel can begin. While Germany is due to supply most of the loan guarantees, the British government is being called upon to supply €400 million in guarantees. In return Mandelson expects assurances on the fate of Vauxhall’s two UK plants, in Luton and Ellesmere Port, which employ about 5,000 workers between them, before giving the green light.

According to a report from a leading UK global ratings agency, The recent gains in house prices are likely to prove only a temporary respite before a further steep fall next year, The agency has forecast that they expect UK property prices to fall by about 30 per cent in total from their October 2007 peak, despite the fact that property prices have improved for the last three months leading to hopes of a sustained recovery. However prices still remain 13 per cent below their peak in 2007.

Carphone Warehouse, whilst raising their target for the number of residential broadband customers it hopes to capture in 2009/2010 have taken the opportunity to disclose that the number of subscribers that they had hoped to take on board during their recent acquisition of Tiscali UK, were considerably less than the figures quoted. No fewer than 160,000 than the 1.45 million that Tiscali boasted before the acquisition. On the discovery, Carphone Warehouse has announced that they will be renegotiating the £236 million price it agreed to pay for Tiscali UK.

JJB Sports have announced that they are planning to instigate a share placing and open offer that they hope will rise close to £100 million, more than the total market value of the sporting goods retailer. Shares in JJB, who narrowly avoided administration in April, are likely to be priced below 25 pence, a significant discount to Thursday’s close of 34½ pence. On the news, shares fell sharply on Friday’s trading, down 6.5 per cent to 32¼ pence. On the upside, demand for the new shares has been so high that the company expects to rise significantly more than its current market capitalisation of £86.5 million with analysts predicting that it could even reach more than double that amount. .

On the FTSE 100 Friday, Unilever was among the risers on Friday up 2.7 percent to 1816 pence after industry data showed sales of product lines such as ice-cream and deodorant has been very buoyant since July. Confectionary giant Cadbury fared worse on announcement that their sales had fallen sharply below company targets since July, despite that fact that that the company has increased the number of promotions running after they fell into an unwelcome spotlight after last month’s bid from Kraft. Cadbury closed flat at 785 pence. Shares in Whitbread the brewer added 1.6 per cent to 1269 pence in anticipation of positive results due to be issued on Tuesday.

The FTSE 100 continued its steady rise, this time by 7.23 points to close on 5161.87. The index rose 3.5 per cent on the week, thanks largely to the falling US dollar.The FTSE 250 held its ground before closing for the weekend, up a mere 3.86 points to close for the day on 9,377.30

The pound lost some of its pace against the leading currencies, as well as again creeping below the $1.60 mark.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.5843
  • Pound/Euro 1.10757
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 142.1499
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.634

According to figures issued by the Commerce Department, the US trade deficit shrank unexpectedly in August as the weak dollar boosted exports.

The deficit, representing the difference between US imports and exports, fell to $30.7 billion (£19.3 billion) from a revised estimate of $31.9 billion in July.

Exports rose slightly on the back of the weak dollar while imports fell.

The dollar has slipped recently, with traders moving into other currencies as the global economy begins to recover. The sharp fall in the US dollar is giving ammunition to the critics of the Obama administration and fuelling broader concerns about the erosion of America’s reserve currency status.

The Dow Jones index closed strongly for the weekend up 78.07 points to 9864.94. The NASDAQ index continued its consistent rise, up a further 15.35 points to close on 2139.28.

In an unexpected development, but one which is expected to positive implications to the US economy, it was announced on Friday that President Barack Obama has been awarded the Nobel Peace Prize. The award has been granted for the President’s efforts to reduce the world’s stockpile of nuclear weapons and working for world peace. The first African American to hold the country’s highest office, Obama has consistently called for disarmament and since taking office in January has been actively involved in attempting to revive the stalled Middle East peace process.

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King set to be unleashed on Europe

September 24th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, World Banks

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It now appears likely that Bank of England Governor, Mervyn King will be awarded the post of deputy chairman of a Europe-wide board, that will be responsible for the tracking the stability of financial institutions as well as co-coordinating risk supervision by national bank regulators.

King would join the board as number two to the European Central Bank governor Jean-Claude Trichet, who has been invited to chair the new body.

Reports have it that although no formal offer to Mr. King has yet been delivered, if Mr. King was to accept the post as deputy, his presence might help to calm UK fears that the revamp of Europe’s supervisory system would undermine the City’s position as leader in financial services in Europe.

Meanwhile head City regulator, Lord Turner made a robust defence on Tuesday night of his allegations that the “swollen” financial services sector has produced “socially useless” products, He continued by adding that UK banks may become “boring” lower-risk, lower-return investments.

“Banks need to refocus their energies on their core functions of providing savings and credit and payment products to customers,” Turner added at a speech presented at the Mansion House City banquet hosted by the lord mayor of London.

"The huge profits that many banks were expecting to make this year should be attributed to implicit government guarantees and low interest rates, and therefore much of that money should be used to build bigger capital and liquidity buffers rather than paying big bonuses", summed up Lord Turner.

According to recently released information, the pace of business failures slowed in August to its lowest level in almost 12 months. Although statistics gathered continue to suggest the worst of the UK recession may be over, there are wide geographical disparities within the data, with the north-east of England showing a 92.7 percent increase in the number of insolvencies.

In the first deal of its kind since the credit crunch began in the summer of 2007, Lloyds Banking Group are set to sell more than £2.8 billion in new bonds. The bonds are backed by UK residential mortgages.

Understandably, the sale is being closely monitored, due to its potential to reopen the market for residential mortgage backed securities in Europe. The hint of a return to mortgage backed funding for banks, which helped to fuel the boom in mortgage lending before the crunch is reported to be making a few people in the city feel a little hot under the collar.

Meanwhile the Cadbury/ Kraft turnover saga continues. Cadbury has seemingly approached the UK Takeover Panel to ask Kraft to “put up or shut up” on their unsolicited £10. 2 billion takeover approach of three weeks ago.

Cadbury approached the panel to request that Kraft either make a formal takeover proposal or put their advances on hold for the next six months.

Financial experts are predicting that Kraft will be ordered to make a formal offer within the next two and eight weeks, and if no offer is forthcoming, Kraft will not be able to make another offer for Cadbury for at least six months. Meanwhile reports have it that head of Kraft Foods, Irene Rosenfeld, is due to fly in to London this week in an effort to persuade investors to back their £10.2 billion takeover offer.

The chairman and chief executive are scheduled to hold one on one meeting with global shareholders at an investor day organized by Bank of America Corp. A representative for Kraft wasn’t immediately available to comment, while a spokesman for Cadbury stated that it remained unclear whether chief executive Todd Stitzer would be among the company’s senior executives attending the conference, and that no meetings between Stitzer and Rosenfeld had been arranged. In the shadow of such uncertainty, Cadbury’s stock fell 0.5 percent to 788 pence on yesterday’s trading.

According to experts in the UK real estate market, home sellers have raised asking prices in September as confidence in the property market improved and the supply of homes dwindled.

The average cost of a home increased 0.6 percent so far this month to £223,996 after falling 2.2 percent in August. Price gains in London, the southeast and East Anglia outweighed declines in the rest of England and Wales.

The U.K. property market is showing signs of recovery as the country emerge from the recession. The recovery continues to be aided by the Bank of England maintaining the benchmark interest rate at 0.5 percent alongside other moves to stimulate the British economy.

On the FTSE, house builders Barratt Developments were reported to be looking to raise up to £700 million through a share placing and open offer, to reduce their debt level of £1.3 billion as well as to buy land for fresh housing developments. The news failed to either depress or excite the market, and their stock ended flat at 268 ½ pence.

High street retailer Blacks Leisure who operates the Millets and Freespirit chains saw their shares fall a considerable 17.5 per cent to 42 pence after admitting it was likely to breach its terms of borrowing.

A spokesman for the company warned that trading had missed targets and they are likely to be in breach of their lending agreements.

Shares in Carphone Warehouse, gained 4.9 per cent to 192 ½ pence due to positive comments on the company’s growth policies by their brokers.

On the day, the FTSE 100 ended up 8.24 points on yesterday’s trading at 5,142.60, while the FTSE 250, rose by 28.02 points to close on 9,248.67.

The pound made a minor recovery yesterday against the dollar and Euro while falling against the Yen.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6399
  • Pound/Euro 1.1069
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.188
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6767

The Dow Jones Industrial Average re-adjusted itself after losses on Monday, up 51.01 points to 9,829.87. The NASDAQ continued its steady rise, up 8.26 points to 2146.3.

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RBS are doing better- but still have a long way to go

May 11th, 2009 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Recession, Saving, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, savings accounts

In the strange times in which we are forced to live in, when it is considered a major achievement to only make losses of £160 million in a quarter seems to be beyond imagination. But when it is the Royal Bank of Scotland’s (RBS) making that announcement then everything falls into place. And where does the “achievement factor” come in? It comes in when compared to the losses that the bank made in the comparable quarter of 2008. Almost £600 million, making for a recovery of £440.

To be fair to the much maligned bank, income for the period rose from £1.7 billion to £3.7, and much of the losses were attributed to writing off some £2.9billion of the toxic loans handed out by the bank when it was under a different and considerably more reckless management team.
On the results, RBS shares rose by 13.9 per cent (6 pence to 47.4) largely due to the positive performance returned by the bank’s global banking and markets division.

As the weekend closed in, Carphone Warehouse Plc finally announced that it reached an agreement with of Italian broadband firm Tiscali to acquire the company’s U.K. operations for £236 million. And to prove that patience is indeed a virtue, the price that Carphone Warehouse paid is less than half of the offer that the Italians rejected a year ago. Shrewd!

On the FTSE, stocks in the property sectors were underperforming on Friday.
British Land dropped by 9.4 percent (40 pence to 437), while Liberty International fared just as badly dropping by 8.1 percent (32 pence to 404)

Commodities are doing well as forecasts of the global economic recovery begin to gain ground. Vedanta Resources’ shares crept up by 8.4 per cent (105 pence to 1301), while Kazakhmys moved upward 7.1 per cent to (6 pence to 767) as the market appeared to be moving only forward

Equity fund raising fears caused some turbulence in the retail sector. Builders’ merchant Travis Perkins dropped by 3.8 per cent to (30 pence to 753) after rumours that the company is about to launch a rights issue of around £300million.

Retailing group Debenhams were also tarred with the same brush, and their shares dropped by 3.4 per cent (3 pence to 93) as a result.

Also on the hunt for a major cash injection from their shareholders are 3i. Their recently appointed chief executive admitted on Friday that the company’s £800million 2007 share buy-back may have been a trifle premature, and in order to renew their cash reserves they will be to organise a £700 million rights issue.

The FTSE 100 advanced a further 63.4 points on Friday to close on 4,462.1, maintaining a consistent 28 points daily increase since the beginning of 2009. Over, the week FTSE 100 gained a commendable total of 220 points.
The FTSE250 closed on 7,806.18 down 36 points.

The dollar had a bad day on international currency markets, put down to reduced interest rates from Europe and the UK, as well as slightly less encouraging results from the stress tests carried out on the leading US banks and the increase in unemployment statistics, with levels reaching 8.9 percent. 539,000 jobs were lost in April, making for the seventh worst month for job losses since the late nineteen fifties.

Pound/US dollar 1.523

Pound/Euro 1.1168

Pound/Japanese Yen 149.89

Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6823

Wall Street shares rebounded slightly on Friday’s trading, after dropping on the back of the stress tests results. The Dow Jones Average rose by 164.8 to close at 8574.65. NASDAQ rose 22.76 points to close at 1739.0

For the first time since 2001, the Berkshire Hathaway group, headed by legendary investor, Warren Buffett, posted a quarterly loss. While principal blame was attached to the group’s ill timed investment in oil company ConocoPhillips, Buffett admitted that the bulk of the group’s businesses were hurt by the recession. Berkshire Hathaway losses for the first quarter were of $1.53billion, against a profit of $940m for the same period of 2008. .

Another iconic company reporting a loss for many a long year were car maker Toyota who announced a loss of 766billion yen (£5.2billion) as well as issuing a profit warning for the financial year.

The major commodities were down over the weekend, with crude oil averaging a loss of 48cents a barrel at $57.91. 100Oz Gold was also down 30cents an ounce at $914.60 Copper dropped $0.93 to close at $212.70
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Personal guarantees come back to haunt cities businesses

January 21st, 2009 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Debt, Employment, Loans, Money Management, Recession, Retail, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business

A recent worrying trend that has begun to raise it head no doubt as result of the ongoing financial downturn is company directors pledging their share equity in companies as loan security, not necessarily for loans pertaining to their business. In December 2008 , a co-founder of Carphone Warehouse, David Ross, , resigned his post as deputy chairman of the company when he was obliged to admit that he had used his equity to guarantee personal loans on commercial property without his partner’s knowledge.

Yesterday, the city brokerage Icap also revealed that their chief executive Michael Spencer had pledged more than 90 per cent of his company shareholding in the company as security for a loan. Spencer who founded and acts as managing partner for Icap made his announcement as an FSA imposed deadline draws nearer.

It was also announced that towards the end of 2008, that Spencer, had also pledged shares in stockbroker Numis,, where he acts as non-executive chairman and is a major shareholder, as collateral for a loan with HSBC.

The FSA recently announced an amnesty on such undeclared loans giving executives, till the 23rd January 2003 to come clean on any similar arrangements.

On the FTSE, equipment hire group Speedy Hire saw their shares plummet by almost fifty percent to 48.25 pence after issuing a profit warning, based on predictions that revenues for the fourth quarter would be much lower than a year earlier. Forecasts are that Speedy Hire’s pre-tax profits for the year will run around 36 million pounds, a fall of 25% from 2007. . The company said uncertainty in the credit markets had affected confidence in the construction market

Leisure group JD Wetherspoon has announced that it will be cancelling its dividend as well as halting short term expansion plans. These measures are being taken in an attempt to conserve capital holdings, largely due to difficulties in raising funds. A company representative admitted that, as a result of the continuing turmoil in the banking system, refinancing “cannot be taken for granted”.

Britain’s largest real estate investment trust, Land Securities (LAND.L), has announced their intention sell off certain assets as part of a cash-raising initiative. Rental revenues are considerably down as more and more clients are closing down their businesses. Retail clients who have gone into liquidation currently make up around five percent of the company’s annual turnover, a rise from three percent in September.

In banking circles, newly formed Lloyds Banking Group was seen to attempt to strengthen their efforts to fight off government ownership. Their efforts not to follow the Royal Bank of Scotland into government ownership, was strengthened by bond holders injecting capital.

Lloyds, currently 43.4 per cent owned by the taxpayer, will pay state owned banking group GBP 480 million ponds this year

Financial analysts said the deal was good for both Lloyds and its bond holders, while the markets showed their disagreements. Shares in the bank closed 34 per cent down at 65p. Small potatoes when compared to RBOS but still a cause for worry

In the United States, trade was slack with most of the interest focused on the Presidential inauguration. One interesting development was the announcement that Mexican tycoon e Carlos Slim Helu is to invest about £170 ($250m) in the New York Times Company.

Rumours have it that the telecommunications tycoon is poised to shore up the publisher’s ailing finances, with the company’s board expected to meet Wednesday to approve the deal. The terms of the deal would see Slim issued with preferred shares in the company in return for his investment.

Slim, the third richest man on the planet with a wealth of $49bn from telecommunications, retail, construction, banking, insurance, among others, bought a 6.4% stake in the New York Times Company in September 2008 for (£73m) $128m. The New York Times Company publishes the New York Times, the Boston Globe and a string of local newspapers,

As European markets opened, Britain’s FTSE 250 Index fell -64.96 (-1.06%) to 6,077.10o while the FTSE 100 FTSE 100 Index fell -31.06 (-0.76%) to 4,060.34
whilst, Germany’s DAX rose 1.12percent and France’s CAC-40 was up 1.1 percent.

U.S. stock futures suggested a weaker open on Wall Street. Dow futures were down 38 points, or 0.5 percent, at 8,205 and S&P500 futures fell 3.8, or 0.5 percent, to 844.80.

In Asia, financial issues sank. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. fell 3.8 percent, and Mizuho Financial Group Inc. dived 6.2 percent.

Shares of Toyota Motor Corp. bucked the trend, rising 2.3 percent as investors waited for the automaker to name a new leader, which it did after market close.

Akio Toyoda, the 52-year-old grandson of Toyota’s founder, was named to lead the company through its biggest crisis in history, which led to a 4-percent fall in global vehicles sales last year.

Sterling was stable against other major currencies early Tuesday with rates as follows

Pound/US dollar 1.37617
Pound/Euro 1.06785

Pound/Japanese Yen 123.466

Oil prices fell to near $34 a barrel Tuesday in Asia as traders sold the expiring front-month Nymex contract due to a lack of space at a key U.S. storage facility.

On the Asian front Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average lost 2.3 percent to 8,065.79, paring losses in the afternoon after dipping under the key 8,000-level during the morning session.

Natural resource companies were among the hardest-hit after overnight declines in commodity prices. Australia’s BHP Billiton Ltd. plunged 4.7 percent, and Nippon Oil Corp., Japan’s biggest oil distributor, retreated 4.1 percent
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