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Mandelson argues that Labour should be allowed to stay in power despite losing the election.

May 7th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

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In the first statement coming out of Labour election headquarters, current U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson has put up an argument stating that the sitting government has the constitutional right for the “first go” in trying to remain in power when no party wins a majority in the House of Commons.

“The rules are, if it’s a hung parliament, it’s not the party with the largest number of seats that has the first go, it’s the sitting government,” Mandelson said. “After three terms in office, of course many people have turned away from the Labour Party but they haven’t embraced the Conservatives.” He added

According to a recent survey, manufacturing output and exports in the UK expanded at their fastest rate in 15 years. These findings meant that whichever party eventually wins the right to govern in the UK, are liable to inherit an economy already showing signs of recovery with manufacturing output growing by as much as two percent in the past three months. A growth level that suggests the manufacturing sector will make a significant contribution to second-quarter gross domestic product growth in the UK.

Recent figures also show that the next government are set to inherit a jobs market that, while currently still looking a little weak, looks is poised for recovery but still fragile. Unemployment stands at 2.5 million, or eight percent of the work force, far below the three million-plus predicted last year.

Channel 4 announced the public service broadcaster would boost the budget of its film division by a fifth this year to 10 million pounds. The decision returns Film 4’s budget to its 2007 level before the recession, and partly reflects a cautious confidence at the group. Chief executive David Abraham said the Digital Economy Act had also influenced the decision to increase investment in Film 4. The Act formally stated that as part of its public service remit, Channel 4 should make "high quality films" for cinema release in the UK.

Alliance Boots has replaced Marks & Spencer at the top of an annual ranking of UK companies by the strength of their corporate reputation. Boots, which enters the Reputation Institute’s UK Pulse Report for the first time, ranks first in the survey that measures corporate reputation among the general public. Other companies in the top 10 include Cadbury, Morrisons and Rolls Royce, with John Lewis Partnership, Debenhams, Sainsbury’s and Tesco among the top 20 places. In broadcasting, the BBC came ahead of ITV and BSkyB, and HSBC has become the top-ranked bank. Companies are selected by the organization based on revenue and visibility among the general public, but can decide whether or not to be included. There is no fee for inclusion.

Followers of Google’s UK-based email will now be able to have @gmail.com addresses, rather than @googlemail.com. The news comes after the search engine marketing giant won an arduous trademark battle with a British research company that had applied for the "gmail" name prior to Google launching its email service. After finally reaching a settlement, Google are now able to offer users that registered after 2005, a change to the shorter address of @gmail.com Google went on to use the @googlemail.com address for those that had registered after this time.

A spokesman for Google stated that the company was satisfied with the conclusion of the proceedings, saying:”We know how important email accounts are to users and we wanted to provide the best user experience possible. We engineered the infrastructure to enable users to switch their accounts to @gmail.com accounts should they choose, as well as directing all new users to set up @gmail.com accounts in the UK.”

Power and oil firm Essar Energy were left wishing that they had timed their entry onto the FTSE a little better than this week, after suffering the worst debut of a big London flotation since the early noughties. The group’s shares plummeted 7.2 percent to 389.5 pence on its first day of trading. The fall from the UK’s largest stock market listing in more than two years is the worst seen since HMV, the music retailer, dropped 7.5 percent in May 2002. Essar’s listing came on a challenging day for the markets, with the FTSE 100 index closing down 2.5 percent on the day

The Euro remains under heavy pressure, falling to below 1.27 against the dollar. The pound strengthened took a late slump against the dollar to 1.463 and at 1.550 against the Euro.

International rating agencies continue to voice concerns over the crisis of confidence which is spreading across Europe, with countries such as Portugal, Italy, Spain, Ireland and Britain looking unstable, as the public and politicians in Athens attempt come to terms with the harsh economic conditions which have come with the EEC and IMF bail-out. The European Commission has said it expects the Greek economy to shrink by 3% this year, amid continued market jitters over the country’s debt crisis.

Banking systems still face "very real, common threats" if doubts were raised about their governments’ abilities to pay debts.

Fears of another round of instability meant another volatile session for the FTSE 100 index, which saw it shed 80.9 points to close in 5261 as the UK also went to the polls, with the prospects of a hung Parliament looking very much a reality.

US mortgage giant Freddie Mac announced a loss of $8 billion (£5.3 billion) for the first three months of 2010. Reports from the company hint that they are liable to ask for a further $10.6 billion in state aid. The firm has made a number of federal cash requests since it was taken over by regulators in September 2008, whilst stating that as the US housing market has not yet fully recovered they would continue to be in need of continued government funding. If the latest request is granted, it will bring the total cost of the Freddie Mac rescue to $61.3 billion.

Stock exchange bosses and regulators were last night scrambling to explain the cause of a plunge in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which took the index down by the largest number of points in its history, setting off a short term panic in an already fragile financial market.

A little over an hour before the close of trading in New York. The result was a period of unprecedented chaos that also dragged in currency and credit markets. At 2.20 pm, EPT the Dow stood at 10,460, already down 400 points, when it suddenly tumbled 600 points with the space of just seven minutes to 9,869, a drop of 9.2 per cent, the largest points fall ever.

The Dow snapped back but continued to swing wildly until the close of trading, when it settled at 10,520.32, down 347.80 points on the day, a fall of 3.2 per cent. The NASDAQ also closed down 82.65 points to 2319.64.

US productivity grew at a better-than -expected annual rate of 3.6% in the first quarter of 2010, while a separate report showed that applications for jobless benefits dropped for a third week in a row.

The US economy has been growing since last summer, but firms have been reluctant to take workers back on, instead pushing smaller workforces to produce more, which has increased productivity – measured as the amount of output per hour of work.

Carmaker BMW has reported a return to profit compared with a year earlier and given an upbeat forecast for sales in the coming year.

The group reported a net profit of €324 million (£277 million) for the first quarter of 2010, compared to a loss of €150 million for the comparative period last year. Turnover was up 8% to €12.4 billion with the company reporting a 100% increase in sales in China as it did a year earlier

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Interest rates likely to be increased in 2010

April 12th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Pensions, Recession, Retail, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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Economists have warned that a rise in interest rates is likely before the end of the year in the event that the current spike in factory output prices continues. High petrol prices have caused manufacturers to absorb rising energy and raw materials prices, with the main being transferred to consumers, stoking fears of a rise in inflation. A five percent rise in year-on-year retail prices in March out-paced analyst expectations, causing them to refigure the probability that the Bank of England will raise rates earlier.

The Halifax Building Society, Group has released its house price index, showing that house prices rose by 1.1 percent in March, partially reversing the 1.6 percent decline in February. The average price for the first quarter of 2010 finished 0.6 percent higher than the same period in 2009. A spokesman for Halifax pointed out that the return of stamp duty on lower-priced homes as well at the severe weather had combined to create a negative effect on house prices in the first two months of the year.

The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) have revealed as increase in new car sales by 26.6 percent during March. March is typically a strong month for new car sales, regularly accounting for a fifth of annual sales in the UK due to the new registration plate. The SMMT predicts that the end of the government scrappage scheme will result in a nine per cent fall in total sales for the year. A spokesman for the SMMT, also pointed out that the UK motor industry has enjoyed a better than anticipated first quarter of 2010 while the coming months likely to remain challenging with registrations of new cars expected to dip. In a related statement, the SMMT recently revealed that the number of vehicles in the UK are at an all time low.

The remaining British motorists pulling will be helping to take part in another record breaking attempt from this week onwards, how much it costs too fill their tank. A spokesman for the AA has speculated that petrol prices are about to hit (and pass) the 120 pence a liter mark, with the previous high being 119.7 pence high seen in July 2008, when crude oil was coasting more than $147.00 a barrel..

Industry sources have rushed to point out that the increase is partly a result of soaring wholesale costs, with the price of oil hitting an 18-month high of $85 a barrel, a third less than it cost during the previous high, although the pound was much stronger them and the effects of Chancellor Alistair Darling’s latest duty rise in last month’s Budget of 1 pence a liter.

In April, 2009, petrol cost 92.44 pence a liter.

Postal operator UK Mail has announced that revenues of £388 million for the financial year up to March 31 despite a drop in demand for their services caused by the financial crisis. After the announcement UK Mail’s share price rose 21.5 pence to 333.5 pence, up 28 percent over the past year.

The number of passengers that flew with budget airline EasyJet has increased by 13.5% on a year-on-year basis. EasyJet flew 3.96 million passengers in March 2010, 13.5 percent more than the 3.49 million carried in March 2009 with rival budget airline Ryanair also reporting a 13 percent rise to 5.3 million for the same period. A spokesman for EasyJet projected that the company had benefited from the British Airways strike, as well recently increased its number of flights across Europe.

Marks & Spencer have reported a 5.1 percent fourth-quarter sales increase at the retailer, ahead of becoming non-executive chairman in May. The figures, reported by outgoing executive chairman Sir Stuart Rose, have surpassed analysts’ expectations with sales driven by strong performance in the group’s formalwear and knitwear divisions. Rose in a somewhat controversial final report called for "greater clarity on economic policy and how this will impact our customers individually" after the election.

Hamley’s, the UK historic toy retailer, took their first step in an ambitious drive into India, with the opening of their first store in Mumbai. The company’s £22 million expansion into Asia’s third-biggest economy will see 20 outlets open across the country in seven years. A spokesman for Hamley’s announced that India was a key part of Hamley’s effort to expand into emerging markets, as they were attracted to the growing population and the potential of a previously restricted retail sector.

Kraft Foods has thrown its support behind a national chain of Cadbury-branded cafés that will offer afternoon teas and a wide range if chocolate products service in a move to compete with the high street coffee shop chains.

Cadbury had been in discussions about the outlets long before Kraft made its hostile bid last September and signed off the deal at the end of January – just before the US company took control of the confectioner.

The US food-maker, who took over Cadburys this year, has now endorsed a 20-year licence to a group of retail entrepreneurs to set up and manage the high street chain, to be called Cadbury Cocoa House.

The group could open as many as 60 cafés in locations around the UK in the next three to five years, and has already begun to negotiate with landlords for the first sites in London, which could be running before the end of 2010.

Following a £13 million ($20 million) management buyout the British arm of Reader’s Digest was pulled out of bankruptcy on Friday, The news means that Reader’s Digest Association Ltd. will now continue to be published under its well-known name.

The U.K. subsidiary of Reader’s Digest took shelter in administration, a form of bankruptcy protection, on Feb. 17 because it had been unable to gain agreement on a plan to close a pension deficit. That decision paved the way for the U.S. parent company to emerge from Chapter 11 reorganization.

Analysts have confirmed that since the start of 2007, the pound has dropped about 25 percent on a trade-weighted basis, making exporters’ goods less expensive overseas. Bank of England policy makers are counting on sterling’s weakness to aid the recovery and reduce domestic spending at a time when the nation faces a record budget deficit.

The pound continues to retain its level above $1.50, closing at $1.5372, while falling back in value ever so slightly against the Euro at 1,1403.

U.K. stocks rose again before the close on Friday, making for the benchmark FTSE 100 Index’s sixth straight weekly gain, the longest stretch of such gains since 2005. The gains were on increased confidence, as the European Union agreed to a contingency rescue package to help Greece cut its budget deficit.

The FTSE 100 advanced 58.28, to 5,770.98, extending this week’s gain to 0.5 percent.

US stock prices dramatically reversed Thursday’s negative start

At the closing bell, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 70 points at 10,927.07 while the NASDAQ Composite was 18 points higher at 2,454.05.

Greek bonds have plunged this week on renewed concern that the country won’t succeed in cutting its budget deficit, the European Union’s largest. Leaders of the nations who share the euro last month endorsed a Franco-German proposal to help Greece with a mix of International Monetary Fund and bilateral loans at market interest rates that would be triggered only if Greece runs out of fund-raising options.

China on Saturday announced a rare deficit in its politically sensitive trade balance for March, the first in six years, bolstering Beijing’s argument that the value of its currency only has a limited impact on international trade flows.

News of the $7.2 billion deficit comes at a fortuitous time for Beijing, which is under pressure particularly from the US to allow the renminbi or the Chinese yuan to appreciate.

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Offers in for Williams and Glyn.

April 10th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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The Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) has reported receiving five offers for their Williams & Glyn’s branch network. RBS were ordered to sell these branches as part of a European Commission state aid ruling in 2009, the business is valued at around £2 billion.

By Tuesday night’s deadline, speculations were that Santander, Virgin Money, National Australia Bank, BBVA and JC Flowers had all submitted bids, with Santander is widely believed to be the favourite bidder, with an offer potentially worth at least £2 billion. Santander recently completed the rebranding their UK operations under their own name

However, with Virgin now being backed by Wilbur Ross, the US billionaire, offering pledges on jobs their offer has to be taken seriously, with elections in a month’s time.

The UK government holds a 70 per cent equity stake in RBS, giving politicians and the public far greater influence over its fate.

The chief executive of U.S. telecommunications company Verizon Communications has said that there is "no compelling reason" for the U.S. Company to merge with British mobile network operator Vodafone. The two companies are continuing talks regarding their strategic options. Vodafone owns 45 percent of Verizon Wireless with Verizon holding the remaining 55 percent. However, there has been some conflict recently; with Vodafone pressuring Verizon to resume paying dividends since the U.S. Company blocked payments in order to reduce its debt burden. Shares in Vodafone dropped 2 pence to 149.6 pence on the statement.

Recent figures released by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT) show that the number of cars on the UK roads has decreased for the first time since records began in 1904. The country’s total car fleet has declined by 0.7 percent in 2009. According to the SMMT factors that had to be taken into account for decline are the recession, the government car scrappage scheme, and new Driver and Vehicle Licensing Agency (DVLA) regulations which remove the details of unlicensed vehicles from the database.

Kraft Foods came under attack in a report from a committee of U.K. lawmakers in a report critical of moves the American company made after its hostile $17.5 billion (£12 billion) takeover of Cadbury, the beloved British chocolate maker. The report by the U.K.’s Business Select Committee accuses Kraft of acting "irresponsibly and unwisely" after reneging on a promise to keep a Cadbury factory in Somerdale open, instead planning to move the plant’s production to Poland, resulting in the loss of 400 jobs. Meanwhile, British union leaders have called for a "Cadbury law" to protect British businesses from aggressive foreign takeovers.

ESPN, the Disney-owned sports television channel, has acquired the rights to deliver Premier League football highlights on UK mobile phones until 2013, supplanting British Sky Broadcasting, which has held the rights since 2007-08. The move strengthens ESPN’s position as a competitor to BSkyB and underlines the US broadcaster’s determination to expand its share of the UK sports market. For the three football seasons from August onwards, ESPN will deliver in-match, post-match and highlights from all 380 Barclays Premier League matches, Purchase of the mobile rights is the latest in a series of additions to ESPN’s sports portfolio.

Research conducted on behalf of the Association of Convenience Stores (ACS), representing an association of 33,500 small shopkeepers, indicates that 85 percent of the public oppose a liberalisation of trading laws that, if passed would allow large retail chains to open for longer on Sundays. The ACS stated that the current regulations assisted small retailers by encouraging local shopping in small stores. Large retailers including Topshop and House of Fraser have recently been lobbying the Business Secretary Lord Mandelson with requests to relax the existing laws.

The pound fell continues to recover if ever so slightly closing on $1.5273, whilst also gaining against the Euro to close on 1.1441

The U.K.’s FTSE 100 Index retreated from a 21-month high after a sell-off in commodity production shares .The benchmark Index lost 67.65 points to 5,712.7.

Former Federal Reserve governor Alan Greenspan has defended his record at a congressional hearing into the financial crisis. In a statement, Mr Greenspan denied that his policy of maintaining low interest rates had been a major factor in the crisis. Consistently low interest rates have been blamed for the expansion in the sub-prime mortgage market which led to the credit crunch. However, Greenspan voiced his opinion that the way the banks repackaged their loans was a major contributing factor to the crisis.

Stocks rallied yesterday after U.S. jobs increased by the most in three years, boosting optimism about the strength of a recovery in the world’s largest economy. Since March last year, the gauge has rebound more than 60 percent.

The Dow Jones closed up 45.87 points to 10943.39, while the NASDAQ index rose 9.15 points to close on 2440.31

As part of a global tie-up of the brands German carmaker Daimler announced that they are to give Renault and Nissan a 3.1% stake in its business, with Daimler taking a 3.1% stakes in both Renault and Nissan, in exchange. Renault and Nissan have held a trading alliance for more than a decade.

The deal will allow the companies to share technology and development costs while remain separate trading entities. According to a spokesman for Nissan, one of the key areas of co-operation will be in the development of electric cars and light commercial vehicles.

European financial markets continue to feel the pressures over the state of Greece’s debt-ridden economy. Banking stocks in particular, not only in Greece but in most of the other leading European countries, have seen sharp falls. Meanwhile it has been reported that the Greek government’s cost of borrowing has risen to record levels, reflecting investors’ concerns that Greece might not be pay back the loans due to the poor state of the country’s public finances.

The Athens Composite share index fell by 3.1%, with banks down 6.4% on average.

All major European markets also suffered, and banks in France and Germany were especially hit due to their exposure to Greece’s borrowing.

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UK business county court judgments on the increase

April 8th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Pensions, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK employment

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Records from the Registry Trust show that the value of County Court Judgments (CCJs) against businesses in England and Wales increased five percent to nearly £ 900 million pounds last year. The number of judgments against businesses increased by nine percent on 2008 to a record 207,100, the fifth year-on-year increase in a row. A spokesman for the Registry Trust said the figures reflected the worsening economy.

U.S. food group Kraft Foods the new owner of confectioner Cadbury, has told 3,600 Cadbury staff that they face a three-year pay freeze unless they leave the company’s final salary pension scheme. Kraft has discovered a clause in Cadbury’s pension trust deed preventing it from changing members’ benefits in any way deemed "unfair or materially detrimental". Kraft is not forbidden from closing the scheme, but if they decided to do so would have to pay the full costs involved. Cadbury’s pension deficit was reported to be around £258 million.

U.K. owner of train tracks and stations Network Rail Ltd have won a court order preventing four days of strikes that would have disrupted journeys for millions of travelers returning from their Easter break. A High Court judge ruled against the National Union of Rail, Maritime and Transport Workers (RMT). Network Rail’s lawyer argued that the RMT hadn’t polled its members accurately, with some workplaces returning more votes than the number of registered members. The union announced their intentions to hold another ballot. Network Rail, the state-owned operator of the U.K.’s rail infrastructure, carries about three and a half million passengers every day. Britain was facing its first national shutdown since 1994 after the RMT voted last month to strike in a dispute over job cuts and working terms after negotiations broke down. The strike was planned due to begin on the 6th of April.

Recent data released by one of the UK’s leading credit card payment acceptance processors shows payments made on credit and debit cards were up 7.1% in February compared to the same month last year. The increase follows on recent figures that show credit and debit card spending was up 3.6% in January 2010 in comparison the same month last year, while February 2010 showed an increase over the previous year, on a month-by-month basis, spending on debit and credit cards declined slightly by 2.5% from January, in line with expectations. The index is based on spending on all credit and debit cards across a wide range of retail sectors.

Marks & Spencer have posted another quarter of sales growth since the turn of the year. M&S’s statement showed a like-for-like sales increase that far outshone the previous quarter’s 0.8% rise with a 1.8% increase. Institutional and private investors have remained cautious on M&S due to economic uncertainty over the last few years, and while the previous quarter saw the first growth in two years, fear were that the Januarys snow may have hampered trading, although Marks and Spencer had managed to keep most of its stores open. M&S’s annual trading results due to be released in May are expected to show annual profits of £625 million, up from £604.4 million the previous year.

The children’s clothing and equipment retailer Mothercare grew total sales by 3.3 per cent in its fourth quarter, but did suffer a decline in UK like-for-like sales because of extreme weather conditions during January. Mothercare, which operates in 1,115 stores, announced in a recent trading update that the adverse weather in the 11 weeks to March 27 forced it to extend its winter sale, while managing to reverse some of the loss of turnover, through implement tight cost controls. Total UK sales in the quarter fell 0.9 per cent and like-for-like sales – sales in stores trading for at least a year, as well as sales in its online divisions – were down 1.6 per cent, weaker than analyst had anticipated.

The UK’s largest mobile phone companies may be forced to cut the price of their calls following new proposals unveiled by Ofcom, the UK telecoms regulator. The watchdog is proposing deep cuts in termination rates on the 02, Orange/T-Mobile, Vodafone and 3UK networks as it works to set the rules on mobile termination rates. By doing so, Ofcom stepped back from an initial proposal last year that could have seen consumers face higher monthly bills if telecoms companies had to cut or scrap charges for connecting calls to their networks. Mobile termination rates are the fees are paid by fixed-line and mobile operators when their customers make calls to people on other networks. The reform is a highly contentious issue among the bigger mobile operators, mainly because they earn more than £2 billion a year from the fees. Ofcom have set a price ceiling on the wholesale fees that mobile operators can levy on each other, as well as fixed-line phone companies led by BT Group

Recent data shows a rise to 57.2 in the UK’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index in March. This positive figure confirms that the sector is continuing to expand and is an improvement on previous forecasts, which had called for a more modest increase February’s reading of 56.6, with expectations that it would be around the 56.8 mark. This improvement in the UK manufacturing sector follows both Germany and the Eurozone’s stronger reading in their March readings. All three economies posted their best numbers since the beginning of the recession. Expansion in the sector comes after a rebound in both consumer demand and export sales.

On the money markets, before the Easter break set in, the pound was beginning to show signs of benefitting from this positive data, despite hitting resistance levels against both the Euro and the US dollar, while the continuing uncertainty over European support for its weakest link pushed the euro as low as $1.3502 on Friday, its weakest level in over two weeks.

The pound fell back slightly, while remaining above the $1.50 mark at $1.5187, whilst and gaining against the Euro to close on 1.1269.

The FTSE was closed for the holiday weekend.

The US government did announce on Friday that the recovering economy had created 162,000 jobs in March last month, whilst the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 9.7 per cent. Temporary hiring by the US government for the public sector only accounted for some 48,000 new jobs in March, meaning the private sector has begun to create new job openings.

China has offered to accelerate free trade agreement talks with India in a bid to balance a burgeoning trade relationship between two of Asia’s largest economies that is heavily skewed in Beijing’s favour. Chinese officials expect trade between the two to rise to $60 billion, (£39.5 billion) in 2010, as the world’s two fast-growing large economies surge forward in their recovery from the global financial crisis. Indian officials described the trade deficit that last year was about $16 billion in Beijing’s favour as “politically unsustainable”, and continue to identify it as a point of friction in a relationship key to Asia’s peace and stability.

Commodities prices ended the week at the highest level since late 2008, with oil hitting $85 a barrel, bolstered by signs of strong manufacturing growth particularly in China and India

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Beware of Greeks asking for loans

March 22nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Gold, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Savings Accounts, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks, savings accounts

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Continued uncertainty regarding cash-strapped Greece’s ability to be granted loans from their Eurozone partners, and if they are granted them if they will agree to accept them, continues to cause uncertainty in both the currency markets and stock exchanges not only in the UK but in all of the Eurozone member countries. Recent reports coming out of Athens have stated that Greece is lacking in confidence that their partners in Europe are either willing or able to provide sufficient and timely aid, and that they may have no option but to turn to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a bail out. The principal stumbling block to the EU loan is Angela Merkel, the German chancellor who HAS repeatedly stated that any other form of loan agreement would be impossible in terms of the European Union’s Maastricht treaty and German constitutional law. Berlin has shared widespread EU hostility towards any involvement of the fund, fearing that such a move would demonstrate Europe’s inability to regulate its own economic and monetary union.

After the release of more positive figures for February and the revision of data for January, it begins to appear that UK government borrowing for 2010 could be less than forecast. According to official figures, government borrowing for February was £12.4, much less than economists had expected.

Borrowing figures for January were also reviewed and sharply downwards, to £43 million from £4.3 billion.

Analysts now predict that UK’s full-year borrowing total may work out a lot less than the government’s original £178 billion forecast.

The Office for National Statistics also announced that the overall effect of the latest revisions to historical data for the year had cut overall borrowing for 2009/10 by £2.9 billion.

The Co-operative which traces its roots to the founding of the co-operative movement in 1844 has reported a major profits surge in its banking division, on the back of thousands of bank account customers disillusioned with Britain’s big banks switching their allegiance to the "co". In addition, the acquisition of the Somerfield supermarket chain coupled with the merger of the Cooperative’s financial services arm with Britannia Building Society have provided a major boost in turnover and profit for the company. As part of a revised tradition, the Co-op will be paying their five million members- a dividend of £55 million, up 16% from 2008. The dividend scheme or "divi" as it is widely known was re-introduced by the group in 2006 after a break of 30 years. The Coop’s banking division reported a 38% jump in new current or 140,000 new customers, taking the total to 1.2 million. The increase effectively doubled their share of the current account market to reach 4%.

To scenes of great excitement, Japanese care manufacturer Nissan have announced that they are to build its new electric car, to be known as the Leaf, at their UK plant in Sunderland. Once production begins in 2013, it will mean that hundreds of jobs are expected to be safeguarded as part of the company’s £420 million investment in electric cars. Nissan’s investment will be backed by a £20.7 million government grant and up to £220 million from the European Investment Bank. About 50,000 Nissan Leaf hatchbacks, which will run entirely on lithium-ion batteries, will roll off the Sunderland production line each year. Business Secretary Lord Mandelson said the development was a "fantastic vote of confidence" in the plant and its "excellent workforce". Mandelson also confirmed the UK government will be providing £360 million in loan guarantees for Ford’s planned £1.5 billion investment in cleaner engines.

At a hearing of the Commons business, innovation and skills committee held on Tuesday, representatives of Kraft Foods made a commitment not to close any more Cadbury factories in the UK or make compulsory redundancies in its domestic manufacturing operations for at least two years, The promises came as Kraft were seen trying to placate furious MPs and union members over its broken promise to save a Bristol factory from closure.

The US food group came under heavy fire for reneging on a pledge made last September to keep open the Somerdale factory, near Bristol, within days of agreeing an £11.7 billion take¬over of Cadbury in January, having overcome hostility from the UK-based maker some of the UK’s favorite chocolates.

On the FTSE, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc had a bad day, their shares dropped by more than 3 percent as the biggest government-controlled bank issued warnings that their £2.9 billion pound ($4.45 billion) pension deficit looks likely to rise. The bank today reported a 46 percent rise in its pension deficit. .

Sterling fell to $1.5229, with the Euro coming under heavy pressure at €1.1181

The FTSE 100 jumped 17 points to close on 5,642.62.

According to official figures US consumer prices have risen very little between January and February.

The report issued by the US Labor Department showed the consumer price index was flat in February, though prices were 2.1% higher than a year ago , indicating that there were little sign of inflationary pressures in the offing for the US economy, allowing interest rates to remain low.

US stocks closed modestly higher on Thursday, aided by some strong corporate results. At close of trade the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.4 per cent at 10,779.17 and the NASDAQ Composite index rose 0.1 per cent at 2,391.28.

Crude oil prices have fallen to an average of $81.85 a barrel, yet still placing them within levels are within Opec’s preferred price band of about $75-85 a barrel. The cartel reasons prices below that band risk choking off investment in new oil projects while prices above it could threaten the recovery of world economies

The fall came after the OPEC oil cartel announced on Wednesday their intention to hold production quotas at the same level for the time being.

The price of gold rose 0.1 per cent to $1,126 a troy ounce after ending Wednesday’s session in New York at $1,124.05.

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UK property prices to increase by twenty percent by 2014.

February 4th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

According to a recent report by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) UK house prices are liable to rise by about a fifth in the next four years. The forces that will push property prices up are increased lending levels by the banks and interest rates remaining at a low level.

Home values will rise 6.5 percent in 2010 and will have gained around 20 percent by the end of 2013, according to CEBR radically altering their forecast of October 2009, which house prices would increase by only 2.6 percent this year.

CEBR’s announcement strengthens reports from the Nationwide Building Society that showed house prices have begun rising again after the economy returned to growth. However their optimism was dashed by news that potential UK house buyers could soon face a chronic shortage of credit that will see mortgages ‘rationed’.

According to the Council of Mortgage Lenders (COML) as government schemes to keep mortgage lending afloat are due to dry up in 2014, their fears that a funding gap to the tune of £300 billion will open up. COML predicted in their recent report that the UK is at risk of a chronic under-supply of credit, bringing with it the rationing of mortgages for customers that will continue for many years. Before the financial crisis, the funding gap, meaning the difference between what banks took in savers’ deposits and what they lent out, was always covered by the wholesale market in mortgage debt.

As a result of lower oil and gas prices, oil giant BP have reported a 45% drop in annual profit Its replacement cost profit for 2009 was £8.75 billion, compared with £15.39 billion in 2008. The company said that its oil and gas production increased more than 4% in 2009 and its reserves had grown for the 17th year in a row. Profits during the final three months of 2009 were up 33% from the same period a year ago.

However, the fourth quarter results fell short of analysts’ expectations, causing BP shares to fall more than 4% in early trading.

Shares in Northumbrian Water surged 12 percent after press reports that the Ontario Teachers’ Pension Plan may bid £1.7 billion ($2.7 billion) for the company. The water utilities market in the UK is liable to benefit if the speculation on Northumbrian Water is confirmed as it will establish a higher trading range for the other water stocks. On the news, Northumbrian Water rose by 12 percent to close on 289 pence. The Ontario pension fund already owns 27 percent of the U.K. water company and wants to buy the remaining stake.

Severn Trent caught the wave and added 4 percent to 1,170 pence while United Utilities gained 2.8 percent to 551.5 pence.

South Korea’s National Pension Service, the world’s fifth biggest pension fund, will next week take a 12 per cent stake in Gatwick airport, stressing that investment in Britain will play a significant role in quadrupling its international exposure. The NPS, which is aiming to expand its overall portfolio, came to the attention of Britain’s financial community last year when it bought the headquarters of HSBC in Canary Wharf for £773 million. Gatwick airport was sold late last year to Global Infrastructure Partners, an infrastructure fund backed by Credit Suisse and General Electric, for £1.51 billion.

The longest running saga in recent UK takeover history drew to a happy close as US firm Kraft Foods sealed their takeover of Cadbury after shareholders in the UK chocolate maker voted in favour of the deal.

Cadbury said it had received valid acceptances of the offer from investors representing 71.7% of the firm. Kraft chief executive Irene Rosenfeld celebrated the takeover by announcing: "I warmly welcome Cadbury employees into the Kraft Foods family." Despite the warm welcome, Cadbury employees staged protests in London calling for government support to guarantee jobs

Budget airline Ryanair has raised its full-year profit forecast as passenger numbers continue to rise. The company announced that it said it expects full-year net profits of about 275 million Euros, whilst reporting a 10.9 million Euro; (£9.5 million) loss in fourth quarter of 2009, a considerable improvement on the 101.5 million Euro losses for the same period in 2008.

Ryanair said the result had been helped by a 37% fall in fuel costs and passenger numbers increased by 14%, which had offset a 12% drop in fares.

Europe’s second- largest tobacco company Imperial Tobacco Group Plc have announced a “good start” to the year with business “in line” with company expectations, despite the weak economic climate. Despite the news, their shares declined 1.2 percent, to 2,002 pence. The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc are to allow its top performing employees to convert a large portion of bonuses given in shares into cash within 12 weeks of receiving them, according to a letter sent to investors yesterday. On the day RBS shares rose 7.9 percent, to 34.86 pence.

The pound closed down at 1.5977 against the dollar, while the Euro traded at 1.1438

The FTSE 100 dropped 4.1 percent in January as the U.S. government called for limits on risk-taking by banks and China moved to restrict lending and cool economic growth. The gauge is still 49 percent higher than in March after governments and central banks around the world sought to encourage growth by maintaining low interest rates and committing more than $12 trillion to stimulate the economy.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index added 35.9 points to reach 5,283.31 at the close of trading in London.

US President Barack Obama has announced a $3.8 trillion (£2.4 trillion) budget plan for 2011, which includes increased spending for job creation, but cuts in other areas.

He also forecast the US deficit would rise to a record $1.56 trillion this year.

He scrapped plans to send astronauts back to the Moon and will seek to save $250 billion by capping a range of domestic spending programmes for three years.

Congress must approve the budget for the financial year starting on 1 October for it to take effect.

Mr Obama blamed the huge deficit on the decisions of President George W Bush, previous Congresses and his administration’s moves to prevent an economic collapse.

Stocks continued to extend gains after reports showing the U.S. manufacturing sector expanded more than forecast. The Institute for Supply Management’s factory index showed U.S. manufacturing expanded in January at the fastest pace since August 2004, spearheading the recovery from the worst recession since the nineteen-thirties.

On the news, the Dow Jones rose sharply, to close on 10284.91, while the NASDAQ rose 38 points, to finish on 2185.32

Gold lost some of the previous day’s sharp gains, dropping 0.1 per cent to $1,105. Oil rose 0.5 per cent to $74.81 a barrel.

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Doubts grow about the strength of UK economy’s recovery.

February 2nd, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks

financial news

While the UK economy snapped back into growth in the fourth quarter of 2009, it did so at a rate considerably less than economists’ forecast. It was thanks to the service industries and manufacturing sector, which expanded just enough to pull Britain out of its longest recession on record. According to figures released by the Office for National Statistics, gross domestic product (GDP) rose by a mere 0.1% from the third quarter. The weakness of the recovery will pose a challenge to Bank of England officials who are due to sit next week to consider week whether the economy is strong enough to begin winding down the Government’s emergency stimulus measures. Prime Minister Gordon Brown’ is regarded as being especially anxious to see and end his government’s propping up of the economy, as delaying it may hamper his efforts to win an election due by June of this year. Much of Brown’s campaigns have been based on promises to curb the budget deficit.

Brown is putting up his case that he is better placed that Conservative leader David Cameron to cut the ballooning budget deficit without hurting the economic recovery. Splits in the Labour Party are beginning to show as election day draws closer with Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling announcing that it would be “absolutely mad” to withdraw stimulus measures now.

The Bank of England’s £200-billion pound asset-purchase facility, designed to keep borrowing costs low and help pull the economy out of the recession also expired this week.

Meanwhile it was announced that the UK economy shrank 4.8% in 2009, making for the biggest annual drop since records began in 1949. It was also reviled that the in the fourth quarter the economy contracted 3.2% compared to records from 2008.

The fourth quarter data, the first to be released by a Group of Seven nation, means Britain is the last member country to exit the recession that was sparked by the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. The US Government was expected to release GDP data for the fourth quarter on late January 29.

The news that the Lloyds Banking Group has succeeded in placing of £2.5 billion pounds of mortgages with investors, has raised new hopes that securitisation markets are beginning to open for banks. A £4 billion issue last September by Lloyds recorded a first attempt by a bank to tap the securitisation markets since the onset of the credit crisis. However Friday’s issue was the first to cause any form of reaction interest among U.S. investors to purchase prime residential mortgage securities

There are strong signs of recovery popping up London’s financial services industry, which took a severe pounding during the credit crunch. Recruitment is already on the up, and a recent survey showed that more than 80 percent of hiring managers are expecting recruitment volumes to rise in 2010. Only five percent of those responding to the survey named handling redundancies as a key personnel challenge for the year ahead, will close to half of those interviewed pointed to the threat of competitors poaching staff as a problem. The main problem for 2010, according to close to two thirds taking part, would, be salaries and particularly of discretionary bonuses. Remuneration has become a major hot potato in the financial industry, as the sector has emerged from the crisis under increased public and regulatory scrutiny.

Irene Rosenfeld, chief executive of Kraft has predicted that Cadbury has a positive future under the ownership of the US conglomerate, whilst adding fears of job losses at the UK company are "greatly overstated" and.

In her first interview since the takeover was agreed by the Cadbury board earlier this month, Rosenfeld announced that Kraft would not be looking for any mergers and acquisitions activity in the "near term" following the purchase of the UK confectionary company. "We acquired Cadbury because we believe it is a fabulous business and it is our intention to protect those assets," Ms. Rosenfeld pointed out. "It is our intention to invest in the business; in fact, if anything, the opportunities for the business will be greater as a result of the combination than perhaps they might have been on a standalone basis, given some of the competitive pressures." She continued.

Speculation is growing that the planned sale of the discount fashion chain Matalan is unlikely to raise the sum in excess of £1.5 billion pounds targeted by the company’s owner John Hargreaves. American private equity firms TPG, Advent International among others are expected to make offers in time for next Friday’s deadline. Analysts fear that the parties involved are wary of paying too high a price for Matalan. A clause in the deal specifying a "break price" of between £1.2 to £1.25 billion pounds, has been inserted by Hargreaves, entitling him to refuse any bids below this figure

Expectations are that the release of British Airways’ results for the three months to the end of December 2009 will expose further heavy losses at the airline. BA is expected to reveal a loss of £151 million for the third quarter of the financial year, making for total losses up to the end of March to £602 million, up almost fifty percent from 2008, which was BA’s previous record loss. The threat of pre Christmas strikes and severe weather conditions are two factors among many that have contributed to the company’s already poor situation.

Carphone Warehouse subsidiary TalkTalk have announced the launch of a new television and mobile phone service. The launch is yet another sign of the telecoms group desire to step up its challenge to their sector rivals. Charles Dunstone, chief executive of Carphone Warehouse, outlined the plans for the new division on Friday as the company also released details of the demerger of its telecoms and retail interests. TalkTalk, due to gain a stock market listing in March, have identified TV and mobile services as potentially strong sources of growth. Carphone Warehouse’s broadband rivals already offer TV services, and the market is rapidly expanding.

UK Coal’s already stagnating share price was sent even lower as the mining and property group announced that were liable to increase by £100 million pounds in 2009. UK Coal has announced that they expect production in 2010 to be roughly seven million tonnes, compared with 7.9 million tonnes last year. The company faced severe technical and geological problems in its underground mines in the second half of 2008. The troubled company’s shares fell 4.5 pence to 61.5 pence.

The pound posted a weekly advance against the euro after the U.K. economy exited recession in the fourth quarter and Bank of England policymaker. Expectations are that the U.K. currency will continue to gain value as the government’s propping up of the economy may not be extended, with the decision to be announced when the Bank of England meets to decide on interest rates on Feb. 4. Sterling also posted a monthly gain against the Euro, when closing for the weekend at 1.532.

The pound strengthened 1.3 percent in the week, its strongest level in five months. It advanced 2.3 percent in the January. The U.K. currency dropped 0.7 percent to $1.5993 for a monthly decline of 0.8 percent.

The pound rose 8.5 percent against the euro in the first month of 2010, the biggest monthly gain since the single European currency was launched in 1999.

The US economy grew by an annual rate of 5.7% between October and December, official figures have shown.

The number, which is a first estimate, is a big rise from the previous quarter’s growth rate of 2.2%.

It suggests the country’s economy is growing at its fastest pace for six years and confirms the US economy has left its year-long recession behind.

But even with the rebound, gross domestic product (GDP) shrank by 2.4% across 2009 as a whole, making for the worst annual performance since 1946.

On the news, the Dow Jones fell again this time by 53.13 points, 135 points, to close on Friday at 10067.33, while the NASDAQ lost another 31 points, to finish for the weekend on 2147.35

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Interest rate hike expected as inflation sores.

January 20th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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With an earlier than expected rise in inflation, which soared to 2.9% in December, interest rates could be rising sooner than expected in 2010.

The reading for the consumer prices index (CPI) came in well above the expected 2.4% figure making for the largest ever rise in inflation over a single month, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Reasons given were reduced s discounting from retailers in the run-up to Christmas and fuel prices remaining unchanged compared with sharp falls a year earlier.

The Bank of England had already expressed fears that inflation would rise this year, but this high figure will curtail the bank’s efforts to store up inflationary pressures while kick-starting the economy out of recession.

The Bank’s target for CPI inflation for 2010 is 2% and the jump to 2.9% puts its policymakers in a delicate position. While higher than expected inflation would force them to raise rates before the economy has properly recovered.

The head of the International Monetary Fund head has again warned that the global economy could yet experience another downturn, known in financial circles as a double dip recession.

Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said countries should rush to exit from stimulus packages that have bolstered growth through huge amounts of government spending and that it is too early for policy makers to withdraw stimulus that’s driving the global recovery.

“The global economy is recovering, even if its recovery is fragile,” Strauss-Kahn said in a recent speech. "While a plan to withdraw emergency measures “should be designed today” it should not yet be “implemented” because world economies are still dependent on government support and private demand remains weak" Strauss-Kahn has previously voiced his opinion that the world’s economic recovery is occurring “sooner and stronger” than anticipated. More than $2 trillion in government spending around the world has spurred growth, pulling economies out of a recession spurred by a meltdown in the U.S. housing market. Separately, Germany and France raised their growth forecasts for the year. Strauss-Kahn went on to add that China and Asian economies are leading the recovery.

British Airways cabin crew is to vote again on possible strike action, according to a recent announcement from the Unite union.

A spokesman for Unite predicted that a fresh ballot of its members would be held in the near future. The move came after recent talks with BA failed to find a resolution to a long-running dispute. BA announced in reply that they were "saddened but not surprised" by the decision, whilst promising to make every effort to allow talks to continue. If talks fail, a strike could begin as early as March if cabin crew vote in favour of industrial action.

BA had already planned a 12-day strike for Christmas last year which was blocked by a court injunction.

The long protracted takeover of Cadbury by US food company Kraft now appears to be going forward after the Cadbury board approved a new increased bid. Cadburys will now advise their shareholders to accept a new offer of 840 pence a share – valuing the company at £11.5 billion ($18.9 billion). Shareholders will also receive a dividend of 10 pence a share.

The additional cash represents a 90 per cent premium to the Cadbury share price before the deal was announced and a 50 per cent premium to Cadbury’s undisturbed share price of 568 pence before Kraft approached Cadbury in late August

Spokespersons from both Cadbury and Kraft jointly announced that details of the agreement were still being finalising and would make a statement later.

Many city pundits were surprised that the deal eventually went through so smoothly after months of animosity between the two companies.

It is expected that Kraft’s final offer consisting of 500 pence in cash, with the rest made of Kraft shares made the deal much sweeter for Cadbury shareholders. To finance the takeover Kraft will require borrowing around £7 billion ($11.5 billion)

Shares in Cadbury topped the FTSE 100 on Tuesday.

Sterling was among the few currencies to rise against the dollar and the Euro on Tuesday after UK inflation jumped in December, increasing the possibility of monetary tightening and increases in interest rates being brought forward. The pound closed at 1.636 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.1459

The FTSE 100 index rose 41.6 points to 5,496.9, while the FTSE 250 index added 33.4 points to 9,571.6.

In the US, Citigroup announced losses of $7.6 billion for the last quarter of 2009, large due to their efforts to repay US government bail-out funds, and coming after three consecutive profitable quarters. Citigroup’s ’s loss was in line with Wall Street analysts’ expectations and would amounted to a loss of $1.4 billion, had it not been for its repayment of the $20 billion in funds it received from the troubled asset relief programme. For the same period of a year ago, Citigroup reported a loss of $17.3 billion. In 2009 as a whole, Citigroup made a loss of $1.6 billion on $80.3 billion turnover.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply on early trading after being closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Day. The index rose 115 points to close on 10,725.43. The NASDAQ Composite was also on the up, 32 points to 2320.4

Computer giant IBM has announced that after cost-cutting work helped to increase its earnings by 9% in the last three months of 2009.

They have raised their profit target for 2010. IBM made a net profit of $4.8 billion (£2.9 billion) for the fourth quarter, up from $4.4 billion from the same period in 2008, with turnover for the quarter increased by 1% to $27.2 billion

Crude prices fell to a three week low on Tuesday, with prices averaging around $77.00 a barrel. Traders pointed out the implications in the oil market of the bankruptcy of Japan Airlines, as the Tokyo-based carrier made extensive use of oil derivatives to hedge its cost and the bankruptcy is likely to force investment banks to unwind the hedges.

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British banks don’t escape Obama’s glare.

January 19th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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U.S. President Barack Obama has celebrated his first year in office by showing a more brittle side to his personality, and in recent statements has been particularly vehement in his comments regarding the US banking system. Obama has stated his intention to raise legislation that would force around 50 banks, insurance companies and large broker-dealers to pay a tax of 0.15 percent on all of their U.S. assets, less their capital and deposits. Falling into that category will be the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), Barclays Banks and HSBC who, if the legislation is passed, could be forced to pay more than $10 billion to the U.S. government over the next 10 years. Analysts have already calculated that HSBC could be forced to pay around $3.8 billion dollars and Barclays could face a total bill of around $5.6 billion dollars over ten years. While the RBS will only be paying out around one and half billion dollars, they appear to be already in the process of raising capital to meet the bill, when it comes. They have announced that the Grosvenor House hotel, , is to be put up for sale by the part-nationalised RBS and proceeds for the sale is expected to raise between £600 and £700 million as part of RBS’s unwinding of its property portfolio. The Grosvenor House hotel, which has previously hosted events such as the CBI annual dinner, could be on the market as early as this month.

Meanwhile the Bank of England (BOE) are still feeling the effects of their quantitative easing programme, with the news of the loss of £3.6 billion s on its purchases of government bonds, whilst projecting that capital losses from the purchase, so far of £192 billion pounds in gilts would be £8 billion if these were sold today. The reason for the shortfall is the steep drop in government bond prices as a result of the strengthening economic recovery felt the past month. On the upside, losses will be offset by £4.4 billion pounds, which is the interest payment the BOE has received from the securities.

Construction companies made up more than 20 percent of UK business failures in 2009, a recent survey has disclosed. While the number of companies involved in the construction sector that closed their doors in 2009,

decreased slightly from 2008, there were still 683 who fell into administration during 2009, compared with 716 in 2008. The fourth quarter of 2009 saw a 17 percent decline in construction administrations according to Deloitte with 129 compared with 155 in the third quarter.

Shares in Premier Foods have fallen by more than ten percent after the food manufacturer announced that full-year pre-tax profits would be lower than expected, at around £165 million pounds for the financial year to February 16. Total sales increased by 1.5 percent during the fourth-quarter with sales of the company’s branded goods increasing to around £1.7 billion, making up to two thirds of the total turnover for 2009, compared with 61 percent the previous year.

The bus operator FirstGroup has reported a drop in turnover of around 20 percent for the company’s U.S. Greyhound operation during the first half of their financial year. A little ray of sunshine was that revenue for the third quarter was only down by 11.4 percent and passenger revenue for the group’s UK bus business grew by 0.7 percent during the three months to December 31. On the upside, FirstGroup announced that they remain on course to achieve earnings targets for the year and that trading, was in line with management expectations.

The European electrical groups DSGi, who own and operate the Currys and PC World chains in the UK, have announced trading figures that are in excess of most City analyst’s projections. Group sales rose by eight percent during the 12 weeks to January 9, much higher figure than the three percent expected by most analysts, with the reason attributed to an upturn in consumer sales.

Home Retail Group (HRG) have also updated their predictions for its full-year profits, which they now expect to be around £20 million higher than the £265 million initially forecast, following a four percent improvement in sales at HRG’s DIY chain Homebase.

One of Cadbury’s major shareholders has indicated that US food giant Kraft will have to increase their hostile takeover offer if it wishes to win support.

Legal & General Investment Management, which owns 5% of Cadbury shares, said Kraft’s current offer did not meet "the long term value" of the UK firm. Legal & General’s comments come ahead of Tuesday’s eagerly anticipated deadline for Kraft to increase its offer to Cadbury shareholders.

Reports continue to gather strength that Hershey is also planning a rival bid for Cadbury which may be announced as early as this week. The current state of affairs is that Kraft is currently offering £10.5 billion or 761 pence per Cadbury share, which was rejected by the chocolate-maker’s shareholders. .

Kraft’s current bid is worth less than Cadbury’s share price which closed on Friday at 793.5 pence.

British Telecom (BT) announced their intentions to enter a price war with Sky over the price charged for fans to watch premium sports events on TV, including football and cricket.

The telecoms firm is awaiting the outcome of an Ofcom probe, which will be known in March, examining whether Sky must drop the wholesale price it charges rivals for content.

BT Vision has leaked their intentions to charge about £15 a month for Sky Sports 1, about £10 cheaper than Sky currently charges. A spokesman for BT projected that there would be benefits to the viewing public for choosing BT as they would be getting more choice

Vodafone UK has launched a new online business centre, bringing information and insight on its full range of capabilities in mobile, fixed and unified communications together in one place. The site, www.vodafone.co.uk. Has been designed to make it even easier for private and business customers to find the information they need and the solutions that best suit them. Meanwhile Vodafone (has become the third mobile phone operator in Britain to begin to market the Apple iPhone in the UK. Results are encouraging with a total of 50,000 units delivered on the first day of sales. Until recently, Vodafone had been disallowed from marketing the premier smartphone due to exclusivity rights brokered between Apple and O2.

Vodafone is now the fourth company in the U.K. to carry the iPhone, following O2, Orange and Tesco. While O2 once enjoyed a two-year exclusive deal with Apple to offer the iPhone in the U.K., that exclusivity ended last year and Orange and Tesco began offering the Apple smartphone in November and December, respectively.

Orange sold 30,000 iPhones on its first day of its launch in November 2009 while Tesco has not disclosed any sales figures.

Also enjoying some good trading on the back of the iPhone launch is the Carphone Warehouse. Their trading update for the last quarter of 2009 is expected to show a four percent increase in the number of phone connections compared to the same period in 2008. Sales of the most expensive products, such as the Apple iPhone and BlackBerry, are believed to contribute considerably to sales and profits, while the company’s fixed-line division TalkTalk is reported to have added 46,000 new subscribers during the last three months of last year.

The pound improved a little against the dollar before the weekend, closing at 1.6301, while the Euro being traded at 1.321

The FTSE 100 Index dropped 43 points before closing on Friday finishing on 5,455.37.

Wall Street bank JP Morgan Chase has reported profits of $3.3 billion (£2 billion) for the last three months of 2009, compared with profits of $702 million for the same period in 2008, which was the height of the financial crisis. Total profits for the bank for year were $11.7 billion, with investment banking providing the bulk of the profit.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average took a tumble before closing on Friday down 81 points to 10,609.65. The NASDAQ Composite was also down. 23 points to close on 2287.99

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Freezing Britain has to weigh up the costs.

January 8th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks

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While the UK and with it almost all of Western Europe and the West Coast of the US are caught in the grip of the longest running and most severe cold spell that it has seen for close to thirty years without a break in the foreseeable future, many analyst are now scratching their heads and asking themselves "what will this do to the price of oil?"

Since the weather began to turn incredibly difficult about a week ago the price of oil has risen steadily from the around $78 to $82 within the space of one week, the highest price it has been all of 2009, and to those of you who may have forgotten, sat on a low of $32 a barrel towards the end of December 2008. With the news that the major economies, and especially China, were starting to build up stockpiles of oil, hopes were that prices would begin to fall and settle around the ideal figure of between $68 to $72 a barrel.

Analysts fear that if the span weather persists, and predictions are that at least in the UK it could continue to the end of January, and the increase in demand could push the price up oil even further, as stocks diminish. Meanwhile leading bodies in UK industry bodies have asked head- teachers to minimize snow-linked school closures to reduce levels of absence from the workplace. Although 61 percent of 200 companies surveyed by the British Chambers of Commerce said less than one in 10 employees was absent, the Federation of Small Businesses warned that childcare-related absences following school closures would become a serious problem. The cold snap looks likely to cost the economy close to £700 million pounds a day, meaning total financial damage of £14.5 billion pounds if, as expected. The bad weather lasts a further three weeks.

As expected UK interest rates will remain unchanged at 0.5%, meaning that the cost of borrowing has remained at a record low since March 2009. Economist are not expecting to see a rates increase s in the near term, despite expectations that the UK will finally have exited recession in the last quarter of 2009.

Formula 1 boss, Bernie Ecclestone is looking to buy a Saab, not the car but the company, and intends to do so in partnership with the Luxembourg-based private investment company, Genii Capital, which recently invested in Renault’s Formula 1 team.

Ecclestone’s dramatic announcement came shortly after the deadline for expressions of interest in the company closed without any public bids.

As well as Ecclestone’s offer, a second bid s also emerged, from the Dutch sports car maker, Spyker Cars.

U.S. food giant Kraft has received a ticking off from the principal shareholder Warren Buffett who has also thrown a spanner in the works of their proposed transaction. The Buffett-owned holding company Berkshire Hathaway who Hold 9.4% of Kraft’s stock announced that they will be voting against it is the proposal to issue up to 370 million shares to facilitate the Cadbury deal.

A spokesman for Kraft reacted to Buffet’s statement by saying that "Mr. Buffett is our largest investor and one of the most respected investors in the world. We take his opinion very seriously. We agree Kraft shares are deeply undervalued. We would not do anything to hurt shareholder value and we intend to remain disciplined in this process." Shares fell 7 pence, or 0.9 percent, to 772 pence on trading.

In their annual Christmas trading statement, Majestic Wine announced a rise in sales of 11.7 percent between Nov. 3 and Jan. 4 in the UK, with champagne sales regaining their seasonal appeal over Christmas. While champagne sales grew 11 percent, fine wine sales climbed 30 percent and online trading rose by 20 percent.

Family-owned brewer Fuller Smith & Turner also managed to increase its profits, sales and dividend in the six months to September, largely bucking the trend prevalent in the brewery sector. With members of the controlling families owning more than half of the company equity and 60 percent of the voting rights, executive chairman Michael Turner pronounced the effect that company’s long-term, risk-averse strategy was paying dividends.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

  • Dollar 1,5967
  • Euro 1.1126

The U.K.’s largest home builder by market value Persimmon Plc has announced that they completed the sale of 8,976 new homes in 2009 with a total value of around £1.4 billion pounds. On the news their shares gained 1.2 percent, to 469 pence. Wolseley Plc, the world’s largest supplier of heating and plumbing gear seemed to be moving in a positive direction, with their shares added 4.7 percent, to 1,361 pence.

The Vodafone Group PLC expects to be able to offer Google Inc.’s Nexus One smart phone to its U.K. customers in the next few weeks, with their rivals reported to be already in advanced talks with the Internet giant about the device.

Vodafone, the world’s biggest mobile operator, is also in early discussions with Google about supporting the phone in France, Germany and Spain, a Vodafone spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires Wednesday, and hopes to offer it across the rest of Europe through the course of 2010.

JD Sports Fashion Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest sportswear chain said sales at stores rose 6.6 percent in the five weeks up to the Ist of January .2010. On the news their shares jumped 6.2 percent, to 550 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group on Wednesday reported a small increase in third-quarter sales, despite not slashing prices in the run-up to Christmas, as customers snapped up cashmere sweaters and clothing for kids. But the company cautioned that trading will remain challenging this year.

Group sales at the iconic British retailer rose 2.6% in the three months to Dec. 26. In the U.K. same-store sales rose 0.8%, with general merchandise up 1.2% and food up 0.4%. Underlying sales returned to growth for the first time in two years.

Still, the results missed the consensus forecast for a 1.2% increase in same-store sales, partly because this year’s trading period excluded the first day of the company’s post-Christmas sales, when it typically sees a surge in revenue. Online sales increased 32% and international sales climbed 6%

Britain’s Home Delivery Network said it would buy DHL’s UK parcel delivery operations, DHL Domestic, from Deutsche Post DHL (DPWGn.DE), growing its market share in a sector profiting from a boom in online shopping.

With many of the UK s leading retailers, among them John Lewis and Next reporting significant online growth, companies such as Home Delivery Network have felt the impact.

The parcel delivery company, headquartered in Merseyside, northwest England, said the combined businesses would have annual revenues of more than £600 million pounds, delivering over 180 million parcels a year, with a combined market share of 17 percent.

Britain’s currency recovered slightly over the last two days

  • Dollar 1,5992
  • Euro 1.1198

The FTSE100 finished trading on Thursday in a fairly static position at 5526.72 barely moving on the week’s trading.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Thursday up a further 24 points to 10,607 while the NASDAQ also dropped 8 points to 2,300.71.

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