Rumours have it that Bank of England governor Mervyn King may have had some serious explaining to do Chancellor Alasdair Darling as to why the consumer prices index went shooting up to 3.5% added to the worst ever January figures on record with a first time deficit for the traditionally high income month. The deficit was a staggering £4.3 billion, largely due to higher government spending and considerably reduced tax receipts. Estimates were for a £2.6 billion surplus for the month. Income tax receipts were down a massive 20% on January 2009, while corporation tax receipts were 6% lower. The only plus was the 3% upturn on VAT receipts rose by 3% due to the rate hike. However total tax receipts for January still dropped by 9%.

It would appear that Royal Bank of Scotland Chief Executive Stephen Hester has decided to decline his 2009 bonus. According to reports, the bonus was to be around £1.6 million pounds, paid out under terms already announced by the bank. The terms were that the bonus payout would not be in cash, and deferred for three years.

Pressure has increased on both Hester and Eric Daniels, CEO of the Lloyds Banking Group, after top bosses at Barclays turned down their multi-million pound bonus payouts last week, despite the bank announcing bumper profits.

The ever optimistic Gordon Brown announced that the Government was continuing in their determination to invest in measures that will promote growth and preserve jobs in the industries of the future, adding weight to his backing of Chancellor Alistair Darling over his decision to delay spending cuts until next year.

Mr Brown, speaking at the Policy Network conference told the audience: "I say to the British people, this is not the time to put the economy at risk. This is the time to make sure that growth and jobs are secured. 2010 must be the year of growth. It must not be the year when the economy dips back into recession. Instead of admitting the mistakes of private banks and institutions in causing the recession, the well-financed right-wing are not only trying to blame governments for the crisis but trying to use legitimate concerns about deficits to scare people into accepting a bleak and austere picture of the future for the majority, and then to use what’s happening as a pretext for public services to be marginalised at precisely the moment they should become smarter and more personalised. "He summed up

Also on Brown and Darling’s side is UK Business Secretary, Peter Mandelson, who has told his senior colleagues that he intends to backs plans for a state-run investment bank that would use public funds and private capital to back small business and large-scale UK infrastructure projects. The new bank would be modelled on the KfW Bank in Germany, which provides funding for banks to loan to small businesses as well as capital for major projects. Apparently Mandelson has met senior KfW executives to discuss if such a bank could be feasible in the UK. Plans for such a bank are now being surveyed by a Treasury team. Hopefully some form of announcement of the formation of such a bank will be announced in the forthcoming Budget.

Overall Lord Mandelson has been increasingly seen and heard on the public stage these days. The UK Business Secretary was reported to have severely criticised monetarist economists for their involvement in getting Britain into its present economic "pickle". Mandelson has voiced his support for economists who have warned how "reckless" early spending cuts could hamper Britain’s fragile recovery. Mandelson’s comments come as Labour seeks to take advantage of the support for delaying spending cuts until 2011.

Also on the downward slope was mortgage lending with the council of mortgage lenders revealing that gross mortgage lending in January 2010 fell to its lowest level in ten years. Reasons given were that property buyers have been deterred by the end of the stamp duty holiday. Gross mortgages totalled £9.1 billion pounds in January, down almost a third from December 2009. These figures are despite a recent increase in mortgage availability, adding concern that poor market conditions would continue or even worsen as the government withdraws monetary support for banks between 2011 and 2014.

The trend for online purchases in the UK fell to its lowest level last month, according to recent figures. Electrical goods, clothes and holidays were the online sectors that recorded the biggest drop in sales, with monthly growth for January of just five percent compared with 19 percent for the same period in 2009.

On the business front, there appears to be increased optimism regarding lending. Research has shown that the number of private companies that anticipate finance to become more readily available has increased, with around 44 percent under the impression that finance would be more accessible this year, compared with eight percent with the same view in last year’s survey. However, despite rising confidence in the availability of finance, fewer businesses said their lender was more supportive than this time last year.

It now looks like BAA will be looking to sell off Glasgow Airport after new figures revealed it is lagging behind Edinburgh in customer traffic. The Glasgow branch has found it difficult to win new airlines who want to use the airport, and have lost a lot of passenger traffic, apparently around half a million a year after the collapse of Scottish airline Flyglobespan. Meanwhile a spokesman for Scotland’s capital has reported that Edinburgh has managed to fill the gap with new routes and extra flights added by air carriers in January, including Ryanair and Jet2. Their entry on the scene has already replaced the 400,000 Flyglobespan passengers a year that were passing through the airport. .

Sterling enjoyed mix fortunes on Fridays trading. It closed up 0.012 against the dollar at $1.54692 while falling to 1.1374 against the Euro.

Overall, the FTSE 100 added a further 51 points to 5,358.175, before the close of business on Friday.

In US forex trading, the dollar hit a nine-month high against the euro of $1.3477, whilst also rising against a basket of currencies. The rise came after the US Federal Reserve’s surprise increase in interest rates for emergency bank loans, to 0.75%, from 0.5%. Analysts saw the move as a sign that the Fed could soon raise its other key lending rate.

US stocks fell in early trading as investors feared any further rate rises could slow the economic recovery.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up another 9.45 points to 10,402.35 while the NASDAQ Composite also crept up another 2.16 points to 2,243.87 on Friday’s trading.

US consumer prices rose by less than expected in January, easing concerns about growing inflationary pressures. According to the Labor Department, prices increased by 0.2% last month, with analysts forecasting a rise of 0.3%.

The rise was largely driven by energy prices, which rose for the ninth consecutive month. Over the last 12 months, US energy costs have risen by close to 20 percent. Excluding food and energy, prices fell by 0.1% in January – the first monthly drop since December 1982.

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Tags: Alasdair Darling, BAA, Bank, Bank of England, Banking, Barclays, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Employment, Financial News, Flyglobespan, FTSE, Glasgow Airport, Gordon Brown, KfW Bank, Labor Department, Lloyds Banking Group, Mervyn King, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Peter Mandelson, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US forex

Alistair Darling, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer has announced that he is open to discussion on the possibility of scaling back on the interest rate charges which Iceland is required to make on the £3.4 billion pound losses from failed online bank Icesave. After talks between the governments in London, Darling was reported as saying that although British taxpayers "must get their money back" the Treasury could be willing to negotiate terms. The Treasury is considering two options to scale back interest rate charges while insisting that both options must see debts being fully recouped. The Icelandic government is seemingly eager to arrive at a more flexible compromise as opinion polls in the country suggest the initial deal that was hammered out would be more than likely rejected in a forthcoming referendum.

According to a very recent survey, the UK personal computer (PC) market saw fourth quarter growth for the first time in a year, despite a fall in sales from the business sector. Holding the top spot were Acer with 19.1 per cent market share, with HP hot on their heels with an 18.9 per cent market share. Dell was in third place with 16.5 per cent, followed by Toshiba and Samsung with 10.4 per cent and 6.5 per cent respectively. The total UK market in terms of shipments in the fourth quarter of 2010 was 3.8 million units. A market analyst reported that the personal computer market in the UK was becoming increasingly dependent on laptops (mobiles), which accounted for 70 per cent of the total PC market, with growth in demand reaching 24 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2009. However, the report did state that despite the overall growth, the professional PC market declined by 25 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2009.

The much loved general interest magazine Reader’s Digest UK has been forced into administration after failing to gain support from the UK pension’s regulator over an agreement for funding their £125 million pension deficit. The UK subsidiary of U.S. Reader’s Digest Association have recently brokered a deal with trustees of its pension plan and the Pension Protection Fund. The deal would have seen a capital payment alongside the transfer of a one-third interest in the equity of the UK business to the UK pension scheme trustees. The UK is the only branch of the multiple national Readers’ Digest Association with a large pension shortfall. The parent company said the UK insolvency is not liable to have a material impact on its other global operations.

Legal & General (L&G) has revealed plans to supply "longevity insurance" to pension funds, in a move which will see the insurer compete against the major European insurance companies. The launch of the new insurance product by L&G will precede similar plans by others in the insurance sector including Prudential, who are also considering moving into this market. A spokesman for L&G emphasised that the provision of longevity swaps will "develop alongside and not necessarily compete with" L&G’s bulk annuity business. Babcock International and RSA were reported to be the first companies to take out longevity protection in 2009.

Private equity group HgCapital Trust is seeking to raise more capital from investors by preparing a share issue to shore up its finances, amid expectation of a rise in new investments. Industry sources suggest the London-listed group could raise as much as 50 million pounds. As one of the best-performing listed private equity groups with a market capitalisation of 210 million pounds, HgCapital is hoping to appeal to investors from its position of strength by making a placing of ordinary shares with subscription shares attached. A spokesman for the company projected that HgCapital will invest more than it sells, as the market conditions present bargains.

Shares in Barclays were up 2.9 per cent to 302 pence on a positive response to their recent results. Ahead of their results due to be issued next week, Lloyds Banking Group rose 3.2 per cent to 50½ pence and Royal Bank of Scotland took on 1.9 per cent to 34 pence.

Sterling continued to slip against both the Euro and the Dollar. It closed at $1. 5392 while settling on 1.1409 against the Euro.

Overall, the FTSE 100 added 32 points to 5,307.85, meaning that it has risen for seven of the last eight sessions.

According to a report released on Thursday, certain of the states of the U.S. look like facing a total shortfall totaling no less than $1 trillion in their funds for employees’ pensions and retirement benefits. The state of Illinois is reported to be in the worst shape, with only 54 percent of its pension obligations funded, according to the report, taken into account only the fiscal years up to June 2008. That fact makes the picture even less than rosy as the downturn that began in the final six months of 2008 and continued till the end of 2009 – was when many funds’ investment portfolios suffered their most serious devastation. Regardless of stock market fluctuations, pension funds were destined to fall down a budget hole, the non-profit research center who prepared the report pointed out.

The US Federal Reserve has predicted that the US economy is still on target to grow strongly during 2010, but unemployment will remain high, has warned. In its latest forecast, the Fed said that the economy would expand between 2.8% and 3.5% in 2010, with the unemployment rate expected to remain between 9.5% and 9.7% in 2010.

Encouraging January housing starts, better-than-expected earnings and receding fears on the European sovereign debt situation boosted risk appetite prompted Wall Street stocks to rise moderately for the second consecutive session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 93 points to 10,392.9 while the NASDAQ Composite rose 15 points to 2,241.71

Hewlett-Packard (HP) has raised its outlook for its financial year after strong sales over the Christmas period lifted its profits by 25%.

Higher demand for its personal computers and servers saw its net profit for the three months to 31 January total $2.32 billion (£1.48 billion).

This compares with $1.86 billion for the same first quarter period a year earlier. HP’s revenues for the quarter were up 8% to $31.2 billion, as its results came in ahead of market expectations.

The price of oil has risen sharply as the dollar, the currency in which the commodity is priced, weakened against the pound and the euro.

US light crude rose by $3 to $ $77.01 with London Brent settling at $75.68 a barrel.

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Tags: Alistair Darling, Babcock International, Banking, Barclays, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Currency, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Hewlett-Packard, HgCapital, Icesave, Legal & General, Lloyds Banking Group, Money, NASDAQ, Reader's Digest Association, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, RSA, Savings, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Wall Street

Blame can be attached to UK Prime Minister Gordon Brown for many of the nation’s financial woes, rightly or not. On one fact, however, there is a consensus. That he had the foresight to keep the UK out of the euro. The recent financial crisis has shown that the structural weakness of the eurozone, which already seems to be crumbling, with the Greek tragedy exposing the weakness of a system of "mutual guarantees" by 16 different fiscal regimes. Opponents of the UK joining the single currency are basking in the light of their wisdom, but the smiles may soon be wiped from their faces, as it looks like Britain may be pulled into the crisis indirectly. This may happen if the International Monetary Fund (IMF) gets involved although the UK will be nowhere near the front line of a rescue package, unlike the Germans and the French.

Rumors that the problems that Greece, Spain, Portugal and Italy are experiencing– will lead to a break-up of the European currency is far-fetched. Above anything else, the single currency is a Franco-German political project with huge symbolic investment for postwar, post-Iron Curtain Europe.

The problem for Greece and the other Mediterranean counties is that their membership of the single currency means that they cannot devalue its way out of difficulty.

The UK Secretary of State for Business, Lord Mandelson has predicted that a decision on government funding to help rescue the car manufacturer Vauxhall could be completed within weeks. GM.UL is said to be looking for an investment of £2.9 billion pounds from European governments to facilitate a return to growth. Mandelson confirmed that the government is prepared to play a part in the rescue plans and that negotiations have started over what conditions could be imposed in return for government support

Difficult though it may be to accept, a recent survey on the banking sector has revealed that 57 percent of UK bankers and financiers received a bonus increase during 2009. The poll, which took in close to seven hundred financial professionals indicates that the Chancellor’s "super tax" on bankers’ bonuses had caused little effect on lavish remuneration packages.

More than a third of the bankers in the poll saw their bonuses either decrease or at least remain static. However those who fell into the this category did not cite the super tax to be the primary reason for the absence of an increase, preferring to cast the blame, and rightly so, on the performance of their companies with half of those who did miss out on a bonus were reported to be less than satisfied.

Prominent UK property developers the Shaftesbury Group have announced a major upturn in demand for property in the West End of London, with the Christmas and New Year period especially brisk. Shaftesbury announced a significant increase in new tenant agreements approved at rates at or above recent property values for the company’s various assets. While many UK property companies still struggling to honour their various banking covenants, the overall picture denotes that the UK property tide has turned, the company reports.

Lloyds Banking Group (LBG) is looking to sell or spin off major assets from the failing £70 billion pound property. The bank is establishing a review process, which currently in its early stages. The process will seek to reduce the amount of regulatory capital tied up in keeping the assets on Lloyds’ balance sheet, with the strategy expected to be finalised by Easter. At the same time, Lloyds plan to step up their sale of HBOS Integrated Finance, an investment business with stakes in about 60 companies.

Meanwhile the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS), remain sitting on losses of several hundred million pounds after being forced to take back ownership of £1.8 billion in German properties bought at the market’s peak by a fund run by Morgan Stanley. In one of the largest paper losses on property for a UK bank, RBS has taken control of a portfolio of 28 German properties, after lending about €1.9 billion to acquire the portfolio in 2007. RBS are to follow the trend set by LBG to hold on to the properties until they return at least some of the losses..

Mobile telecommunications operator O2 believes that its purchase of Jajah, an Israeli voice over internet protocol (VoIP) company, will help the firm out- perform rival mobile operators and the current VoIP market leader Skype. A spokesman for Telefonica Europe, O2’s parent company, said that the company will use Jajah to attack the international calling card market, currently worth £100 million pounds a month in the UK, rather than to slash mobile call costs.

Fashion chain New Look are giving a lot of indications that they will become the third company in as many days to scrap a planned stock market flotation. The writing seems to be on the wall for New Look’s float, when they called off a proposed £1.7 billion initial public offering (IPO) on Friday, blaming a lack of appetite among potential investors. New Look had planned to raise a total of £650 million pounds from their IPO, using the money to cut debt as well as fund an expansion programme in the UK and overseas.

As the FTSE 100 was switched off for the weekend UK, stocks had receded a little The 100 Index was down 10.03 points to 5,142.45

The pound rose slightly against the dollar, closing at 1.5702 while jumping to 1.1522 against the struggling Euro.

President Barack Obama has signed a law increasing the limit on how much the US government can borrow.

The debt limit was raised to $14.3 trillion (£9.1 trillion) from $12.4 trillion, which will allow the government to function for the rest of the year.

Correspondingly Mr Obama also approved legislation that requires new spending to be offset with cuts elsewhere. The legislation will seek to address the record US budget deficit, which is predicted to reach $1.56 trillion in 2010.

The "pay-as-you-go" or "paygo" rule was in place in the 1990s – the last time there was a federal budget surplus.

On Wall Street things were still looking up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished for the weekend up 41 points at 10099.14. The NASDAQ gained 33 points to close on 2,183.53.

According to the US Commerce Department, retail sales rose at a higher rate than expected in January, boosting hopes that strong economic recovery will continue. Sales grew 0.5% month-on-month, while December’s figure was revised to a 0.1% fall from a first estimate of a 0.3% fall.

Sales were up by 4.7%, Compared with January 2009.

According to preliminary figures released on Friday, Germany’s recovery from recession faltered in the final quarter of 2009, failing to show any signs of growth at all in the last quarter of the year. France did better, reporting a 0.6% rise in GDP for the same three-month period which was higher than forecast. The figures released also showed that the economy in the Eurozone also grew 0.1% in the same quarter.

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Tags: Bank, Banking, Barack Obama, British Economy, British Pound, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Gordon Brown, HBOS Integrated Finance, International Monetary Fund, Jajah, Lloyds Banking Group, Lord Mandelson, Money, Morgan Stanley, NASDAQ, New Look, O2, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland, Shaftesbury Group, Skype, Telefonica, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Vauxhall, Wall Street

As was generally expected, the Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy committee has announced that they will not be extending their quantitative easing programme, under which it has purchased just over £200 billion, mostly in government gilts. The decision came after that the UK economy posted slight growth for the fourth quarter of last year However the BOE did retain their right to resume purchases should circumstances warrant it. At the same meeting, BOE officials voted to continue holding interest rates at their current record lows.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has issued a statement expressing their conviction that government’s plans to cut Britain’s yawning budget deficit after that do not go far enough. Instead the IFS called for "more ambitious plans", suggesting that no less than £13 billion of extra cuts or tax hikes will need to be implemented by 2015 to stabilise the country’s finances. The IFS also called for an independent body to oversee official forecasts for the public finances

In addition, the IFS’s statement pointed out that the UK Government needed to aim for a tightening of around 5 per cent of national income, amounting to a ballpark figure of £70 billion over the five years to 2015, in order to stem up the hole in the country’s public finances. Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling, in his pre-Budget report, pointed to a fiscal tightening of £57 billion in for the same term, which according to the institute would be slightly more than four percent national income for the entire period.

The IFS report is only one of a few that Darling has had to contend with, all of them criticising his plans to address the public finances saying his plans do not go far enough and that his aim of halving the budget deficit as a proportion of national income by the 2013-14 financial year was unlikely to succeed.

According to a report from, the Nationwide Building Society, U.K. consumer confidence rose in January, on news that the economy has eventually emerged from its worst recession on record. The index of sentiment increased 3 points from the previous month to 73, almost double the level of 39 measured in the same month last year.

Meanwhile it appears that the Government faces a battle to pass its flagship digital economy bill before the forthcoming election, largely due to the surprise resignation of one of the ministers charged with pushing it through parliament. Aims to address the UK’s future infrastructure needs, with regards to the digital industry, the bill is scheduled to deal with some controversial measures, including anti-piracy policies and the introduction of a 50 pence-a-month broadband tax on every phone line

Toyota world’s biggest car maker, with around 1.6 million of its cars on UK roads, is to recall millions of cars around the world following an accelerator pedal problem affecting seven of its models. The company’s UK division will be making contact with more than 180,000 UK drivers warning them to arrange repairs after a potential problem with sticking or jamming accelerator pedals was identified, but it will be nearly a week before it can start repairs on cars with defective accelerator pedals

In the meantime, the company’s financial results for the three months to December 2009 show a huge swing back into profit. Toyota announced a net profit of 153 billion yen (£1.06 billion) making for an almost 100% reversal on the same period last year.

Toyota also confirmed that they expect to £1.23 billion in recall costs and lost sales, but said it still expected sales to increase to 7.18 million units in the current financial year.

Broadband provider Virgin Media have announced that their TV subscribers will now be able to access to a high definition (HD) channel from Eurosport, which will be the first of several new services that will be launched on its TV platform over the next few months.

Eurosport typically covers such events as the Tour de France, French Open tennis and the World Touring Car Championships. A spokesperson for Virgin Media was quoted as saying: "With HD ready TVs now common in UK homes, the combination of HD channels as well as our pioneering TV on-demand service gives Virgin TV customers a huge range of HD programming with the unique flexibility to enjoy HD content whenever they want, at the touch of a button."

On the FTSE, U.K. pub chain owner, and brewers of London Pride ale saw their shares rise 1.8 percent, to 537 pence in anticipation of the release of their latest trading statement. Also due to publish their recent earnings are the Vodafone Group Plc. the world’s largest mobile phone company. The news failed to spark too much excitement, and their stock fell 0.6 percent to 134.5 pence. In the same boat were the Yell Group Plc who publish of the U.K.’s yellow pages directory, who are about to publish a trading statement. Their shares dropped 0.5 percent to 36.8 pence.

The pound closed down at 1.5777 against the dollar, while the Euro the dollar was up a little at 1.1458

The FTSE 100 Index dropped 30.16 points to reach 5,253.15 at the close of trading on Thursday. The index has dropped 3.6 percent so far this year while still 49 percent higher than in March of 2009.

Troubled Asset Relief Program (Tarp) paymaster Kenneth Feinburg has called insurance giant AIG’s expected latest round of bonus payments "outrageous".

Feinburg’s comments came as reports say the insurance giant are to announce bonus payouts of around $100 million (£63 million) to its financial products division.

AIG was bailed out from bankruptcy thanks to $182.3 billion of US aid in 2008. Their staff has already been compelled to return $39 million of bonuses paid out last year, with Feinberg "insisting" that AIG workers repay a further $7 million of bonus payments.

Time Warner has announced a major leap in their fourth quarter profits, largely thanks to their two recent hit films Sherlock Holmes and The Hangover. This is the first profit that the company has reported since they

split from AOL in 2008. Net income for the leaner and meaner Time Warner was $627 million (£387 million), compared with a $16 billion loss for the last quarter of 2008, largely due to value write-downs for AOL as well as the company’s cable assets.

Even leaner and meaner AOL also reported fourth quarter results showing a reversal in fortunes from the year before.

Despite encouraging news from the retail sector, an unexpected rise in unemployment benefits claims for sent US stocks sharply lower in early trading on Thursday. On the news, the Dow Jones fell sharply by 192 points, to close on 10092.49, while the NASDAQ dropped 38 points, to finish on 2144.32

Oil prices CL-FT dropped by 5 per cent on Thursday’s trading , the steepest one-day drop since July, due to the fear that demand in debt-laden European economies is liable to fall as well as the rise in U.S. unemployment . U.S. crude for March delivery settled down $3.84 (U.S.) a barrel to $73.14, while London Brent fell $3.79 to $72.13 a barrel.

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Tags: Alastair Darling, AOL, Bank of England, Banking, British Economy, British Pound, Dow Jones, Economy, Eurosport, Financial News, FTSE, Institute for Fiscal Studies, London Pride, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Nationwide Building Society, quantitative easing, Recession, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Toyota, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Virgin Media, Vodafone

Figures released yesterday confirmed that the UK economy grew by 0.1% in the last quarter of 2009, meaning that the recession is finally over, but later and which much less impact than the US or the Eurozone economies. Britain’s economy had been in recession for eighteen months, the longest period since quarterly figures were first recorded in 1955.

The news was widely anticipated with signs such as last week’s UK unemployment figures that fell for the first time in 18 months.

Analysts now predict that no matter which party wins this year’s election when it happens, the loser will be the pound/ Reasons given are that neither David Cameron or Gordon Brown will be able to muster sufficient support in parliament to control the UK’s budget deficit, which is the largest in the in the Group of 20.

Strategists have pruned back their forecasts on the sterling versus dollar pair by as much as 2 percent this month, to the lowest level since June 2009, with Sterling liable to be weighed down by possibility of the first parliamentary stalemate in more than a generation and growth levels that lag far behind Britain’s rival industrialized economies. Add that to a fiscal shortfall that has ballooned to almost 13 percent of gross domestic product and the picture for the pound looks less than rosy.

Previous precedents do not bode well for the pound, as when the last time a U.K. election failed to produce a clear winner in 1974, Sterling fell in value by 28 percent in the next two years, with the government’s failure to fund its deficit leading to the International Monetary Fund stepping in to bail-out the economy.

The UK’s so-called ‘Big Six’ group of energy suppliers is on course for a profits windfall due to the extremely cold weather conditions experienced in the UK during December and early January. Consumers were forced to turn up their thermostats when the country experienced the coldest weather conditions for decades with the daily demand for gas hitting an all-time high on Jan. 7th of 454 million cubic meters. Analysts predict that accumulative profits for the big six (Centrica, EDF, E.ON, Scottish and Southern Energy, ScottishPower and RWE npower) could easily reach an additional £100 million for the period.

The Chelsea and Yorkshire building societies are expected to finalise details of a merger this week. Doing so will mean the creation of the second biggest society in Britain, after the Nationwide. Yorkshire Building Society members are liable to give their thumbs up for the merger, following the lead of the Chelsea Building Society who gave their support to the deal on Friday. A successful deal would mean the consolidated company would have combined assets of £35 billion pounds, around three million members and 180 branch offices around the UK.

On the news that Barclays plans to defer bonuses for top executives including Chief Executive Officer John Varley for up to three years, stock in the company 4.1 percent, to 271.35 pence.

Pilots at British Airways pilots have been warned by the labor unions representing the cabin crews not to become strike breakers if an employment dispute leads to a work stoppage. News that caused BA’s stock to decline 0.8 percent, to 207.9 pence.

Prudential Plc, the U.K.’s largest insurer have announced plans to cut back expansion in developed markets to focus on growth in developing Asian countries, such as Malaysia, Vietnam and Indonesia. Shares in Prudential shares dropped 0.4 percent to 605.5 pence.

Sterling rose slightly against the dollar and the Europe in early week trading. The pound closed at 1.6144 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.146

Shares in the FTSE 100 took a minor downturn, despite the news that the recession was over in the UK. It closed on Tuesday down 26 points to 5,276.85.

A calmer mood prevailed in markets on Monday and Tuesday after a three day downturn that knocked 5 per cent of its values. Reports coming out of Washington over the weekend suggesting that Ben Bernanke looks like being reappointed chairman of the Federal Reserve for another four-year term settled the markets which had closed at fresh a 15-month high as recently as last Tuesday.

The Dow Jones rose by 84 points, to close at 10255.28, while the NASDAQ recovered 14 points, to finish at 2210.53.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) sales of previously-owned US homes fell 16.7% in December, after having risen in the three months from September to November as first-time buyers took advantage of tax credits. However the decline in December came as no surprise as most buyers had rushed to complete deals before the original 30 November deadline. The first-time buyer tax credit has since been extended until 30 April, causing the NAR to predict that there was likely to be another surge in sales in the spring. December sales fell to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.45 million from 6.54 million in November, 15% higher than in the comparable period in December 2008.

Computer giant Apple have announced a 50% increase in profits after seeing a bumper Christmas period, with sales of iPhones doubled from a year ago.

Net income rose to $3.38 billion (£2.08 billion) in the three months to 26 December, from the $2.26 billion in the same period in 2008. A spokesman for Apple announced that they had succeeded in selling 8.7 million iPhones in the quarter. Sales of Macs also rose 33%, although iPod sales fell by 8%.

General Motors (GM) has confirmed that Saab is to be eventually acquired by Dutch luxury carmaker Spyker.

GM has been trying to sell Sweden’s Saab since January 2009 although recently they announced that they would begin the procedure of winding down the company while still continuing their search to find a buyer.

Wind-down activities have now been suspended, "pending the close of the transaction".

Saab lost £255 million in 2008, and has not made a profit since 2001.

In the commodities market, gold took advantage of the relative stability in the dollar, to rise to $1,097 an ounce. Oil also rose by 0.5 percent to $74.92 a barrel.

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Tags: Apple, Banking, Barclays, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, Centrica, Chelsea Building Society, Credit Crunch, David Cameron, Dow Jones, E.ON, Economics, Economy, EdF, Federal Reserve, Financial News, FTSE, General Motors, Gordon Brown, International Monetary Fund, iPhone, John Varley, Money, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, Nationwide, Prudential Plc, Recession, RWE npower, Saab, Scottish and Southern Energy, ScottishPower, Spyker, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Yorkshire Building Society

With an earlier than expected rise in inflation, which soared to 2.9% in December, interest rates could be rising sooner than expected in 2010.

The reading for the consumer prices index (CPI) came in well above the expected 2.4% figure making for the largest ever rise in inflation over a single month, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Reasons given were reduced s discounting from retailers in the run-up to Christmas and fuel prices remaining unchanged compared with sharp falls a year earlier.

The Bank of England had already expressed fears that inflation would rise this year, but this high figure will curtail the bank’s efforts to store up inflationary pressures while kick-starting the economy out of recession.

The Bank’s target for CPI inflation for 2010 is 2% and the jump to 2.9% puts its policymakers in a delicate position. While higher than expected inflation would force them to raise rates before the economy has properly recovered.

The head of the International Monetary Fund head has again warned that the global economy could yet experience another downturn, known in financial circles as a double dip recession.

Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said countries should rush to exit from stimulus packages that have bolstered growth through huge amounts of government spending and that it is too early for policy makers to withdraw stimulus that’s driving the global recovery.

“The global economy is recovering, even if its recovery is fragile,” Strauss-Kahn said in a recent speech. "While a plan to withdraw emergency measures “should be designed today” it should not yet be “implemented” because world economies are still dependent on government support and private demand remains weak" Strauss-Kahn has previously voiced his opinion that the world’s economic recovery is occurring “sooner and stronger” than anticipated. More than $2 trillion in government spending around the world has spurred growth, pulling economies out of a recession spurred by a meltdown in the U.S. housing market. Separately, Germany and France raised their growth forecasts for the year. Strauss-Kahn went on to add that China and Asian economies are leading the recovery.

British Airways cabin crew is to vote again on possible strike action, according to a recent announcement from the Unite union.

A spokesman for Unite predicted that a fresh ballot of its members would be held in the near future. The move came after recent talks with BA failed to find a resolution to a long-running dispute. BA announced in reply that they were "saddened but not surprised" by the decision, whilst promising to make every effort to allow talks to continue. If talks fail, a strike could begin as early as March if cabin crew vote in favour of industrial action.

BA had already planned a 12-day strike for Christmas last year which was blocked by a court injunction.

The long protracted takeover of Cadbury by US food company Kraft now appears to be going forward after the Cadbury board approved a new increased bid. Cadburys will now advise their shareholders to accept a new offer of 840 pence a share – valuing the company at £11.5 billion ($18.9 billion). Shareholders will also receive a dividend of 10 pence a share.

The additional cash represents a 90 per cent premium to the Cadbury share price before the deal was announced and a 50 per cent premium to Cadbury’s undisturbed share price of 568 pence before Kraft approached Cadbury in late August

Spokespersons from both Cadbury and Kraft jointly announced that details of the agreement were still being finalising and would make a statement later.

Many city pundits were surprised that the deal eventually went through so smoothly after months of animosity between the two companies.

It is expected that Kraft’s final offer consisting of 500 pence in cash, with the rest made of Kraft shares made the deal much sweeter for Cadbury shareholders. To finance the takeover Kraft will require borrowing around £7 billion ($11.5 billion)

Shares in Cadbury topped the FTSE 100 on Tuesday.

Sterling was among the few currencies to rise against the dollar and the Euro on Tuesday after UK inflation jumped in December, increasing the possibility of monetary tightening and increases in interest rates being brought forward. The pound closed at 1.636 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.1459

The FTSE 100 index rose 41.6 points to 5,496.9, while the FTSE 250 index added 33.4 points to 9,571.6.

In the US, Citigroup announced losses of $7.6 billion for the last quarter of 2009, large due to their efforts to repay US government bail-out funds, and coming after three consecutive profitable quarters. Citigroup’s ’s loss was in line with Wall Street analysts’ expectations and would amounted to a loss of $1.4 billion, had it not been for its repayment of the $20 billion in funds it received from the troubled asset relief programme. For the same period of a year ago, Citigroup reported a loss of $17.3 billion. In 2009 as a whole, Citigroup made a loss of $1.6 billion on $80.3 billion turnover.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply on early trading after being closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Day. The index rose 115 points to close on 10,725.43. The NASDAQ Composite was also on the up, 32 points to 2320.4

Computer giant IBM has announced that after cost-cutting work helped to increase its earnings by 9% in the last three months of 2009.

They have raised their profit target for 2010. IBM made a net profit of $4.8 billion (£2.9 billion) for the fourth quarter, up from $4.4 billion from the same period in 2008, with turnover for the quarter increased by 1% to $27.2 billion

Crude prices fell to a three week low on Tuesday, with prices averaging around $77.00 a barrel. Traders pointed out the implications in the oil market of the bankruptcy of Japan Airlines, as the Tokyo-based carrier made extensive use of oil derivatives to hedge its cost and the bankruptcy is likely to force investment banks to unwind the hedges.

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Tags: Bank, Bank of England, Banking, British airways, British Economy, British Pound, Cadbury, Citigroup, consumer prices index, Crude oil, Currency, Dominique Strauss-Kahn, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, IBM, Inflation, Interest Rates, International Monetary Fund, Japan Airlines, Kraft, Money, Money Management, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Office for National Statistics, Recession, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Unite, US Government

City Minister Lord Myners said he recognized the need for state-backed banks to compete in the global market, as he signaled the government would not block them from paying large bonuses to staff. Lord Myners told the Scottish affairs committee on Wednesday it was important the Royal Bank of Scotland was able to recruit and motivate employees. His comments came a day after the bank’s chief executive Stephen Hester revealed recruitment posted its biggest problem as RBS was being forced to compete on bonuses.

The number of businesses that went bust in 2009 increased by 18 per cent, but the economic outlook is slightly brighter for 2010. Recent information shows hat from the middle of 2009 onwards, the rate of business failures started to slow down compared to 2008 and early 2009, with a 7.7 per cent year-on-year decrease. This has to be good news for the economy as a whole. Business failures last year were not as extreme as 2008. The number of firms going bust in the fourth quarter of 2009 increased by almost a quarter compared to 2007, still an improvement on 2008, where the year-on-year increase was almost a third.

U.K. manufacturing unexpectedly stalled for a second month in November, a sign the economy is struggling to shake off the longest recession on record.

Factory output stayed unchanged from October, the Office for National Statistics said today in London. Economists predicted an increase of 0.2 percent, according to the median of 25 forecasts in a recent survey.

Bank of England policy makers last week pledged to spend the rest of their £200-billion bond-purchase program as they tried to cement an economic recovery.

Home Retail Group Plc sank 6.2 percent to 265.8 pence, the biggest decline since September, after a company spokesman announced that growth in the industry will be “hard to come by.”

Meanwhile HMV Group Plc slid 8 percent to 84.4 pence, the sharpest drop since December 2008, after saying holiday sales at stores open at least a year were hurt by the performance of its Waterstone’s bookstore chain.

The pound has been little changed against the dollar on recent days, and traded at 1.6245, up 0.5 percent on the day. The Euro was up to 1.262

The FTSE 100 Index added 24.72, or 0.5 percent, to 5,498.20. The FTSE 100 has extended its surge since March last year to 57 percent after central banks cut interest rates to record lows and governments worldwide committed about $12 trillion to revive the economy

Stateside President Barack Obama has ordered Wall Street banks to repay $117 billion (£72 billion) to taxpayers after criticizing banks for their "massive profits and obscene bonuses" culture. The tax is to recoup money US taxpayers are expected to lose from bailing out the banks during the financial crisis. The move follows populist anger at banks, seen as being responsible for causing the recent economic crisis. President Barack Obama will announce a sweeping new levy on about 50 financial institutions that will raise an estimated $90 billion to reduce the federal debt.

US stocks struggled to push higher on Thursday after an unexpected drop in retail sales gave investors reason for caution.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average had gained 0.1 per cent to 10,690.90 and the NASDAQ Composite was also 0.1 per cent higher at 2,310.58.

The market had opened lower after the latest commerce department figures showed retail sales, excluding cars, had fallen 0.2 per cent in December, with analysts forecasting a 0.3 percent increase

According to figures from the US Commerce Department, sales at US retailers saw an unexpected fall in December, casting uncertainty over the recovery of the US economy. Retail sales fell by 0.3% compared with November. Concerns over job security are expected to continue to restrict spending, with unemployment still at 10%. December’s figures end a tough year for US retailers, with total sales for 2009 down 6.2% on the previous year.

On the other hand, the tech industry’s earnings season got off to a flying start on Thursday with Intel reporting demand for its microprocessors boosted fourth-quarter revenues to $10.6 billion, well ahead of analysts’ forecasts of $10.2 billion. The world’s largest chip maker also reported earnings per share a third higher than Wall Street expected, at 40 cents rather than 30 cents.

Compared with a year ago, when orders collapsed in the teeth of the recession, Intel’s profits were 875 per cent higher at $2.3 billion.

Oil prices traded below $80 a barrel on Thursday, consolidating after recent losses triggered by a sharp increase in US crude and oil products inventories The recession has put a dent in future North Sea oil and gas production, with companies tapping fewer new oil reserves in 2009 than in previous years of operations there. Only eight oil and gas fields – expected to produce a combined total of 140 million barrels over their lifetime – began production in 2009, according to industry consultants.

That compares with an average of 600 million barrels of new reserves brought on stream each year between 2004 and 2008.

Production at the North Sea’s old fields has been declining since the start of the last decade increasing UK dependence on foreign oil.

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Tags: Bank of England, Banking, Barack Obama, British Economy, British Pound, Currency, Dow Jones, economic recovery, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, HMV Group Plc, Home Retail Group Plc, Intel, Lord Myners, Money, NASDAQ, North Sea oil, Office for National Statistics, Oil prices, RBS, Recession, Retail, Royal Bank of Scotland, Scottish affairs committee, Stephen Hester, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US Commerce Department, Wall Street, Waterstone's

According to a recent survey conducted by the Confederation for British Industry (CBI), around a third of the UK financial services companies were said to be more optimistic about their situation and that of the sector in general. This makes for the third consecutive quarter that confidence has risen in the financial services industry, making for a 100% increase since the middle of 2009. The increased optimism comes despite slightly weaker volumes being recorded than forecast in the fourth quarter, coupled with some fears that business will contract in the first quarter of this year.

There were smiling faces all around as retailer House of Fraser delivered a trading update on Monday showing a new record for festive sales. Signs that the UK consumer was shrugging off the recession came as the privately-owned department store chain showed sales rising by 7.1 percent in the eight weeks to Jan. 2nd as well as Boxing Day sales figures that were up climbed 27 percent on 2008.

Less happy were the management team at, Tesco, who according to a global study has dropped to fourth place in a league table of the world’s biggest retailers. Tesco dropped one place pushed down by the German retail group, Metro. Sales figures for Tesco for the six weeks to January 9 is expected to report like-for-like sales growth of about three percent for the period.

Some good news for those UK householders whose boilers are rated at G level or lower. In addition to the two combined subsidies from the UK government and British Gas that is liable to cover around a third of the estimated cost of buying and installing a new boiler, British Gas has just added a further £452 in cost savings for those who will be replacing their boiler under the scheme which will come in two forms.

• A set of comprehensive radiator controls for the home or office valued at £248.
• Homecare 200 repairs cover for the boiler costing £204.

Anyone who is liable to receive these subsidies, which in general should include anyone who has a boiler more than 15 years old may be eligible to receive these grants and subsidies, contact British Gas on 0845 074 5991 for a free consolation or click http://www.britishgas.co.uk/yourboiler

Spanish banking group Santander has announced the launch of a marketing campaign aimed at bringing its UK brands under one name. Santander will invest around £30 million pounds refurbishing the 1,000 branches across the UK coming under their label as well as printing new product literature for the Abbey, Bradford & Bingley and Alliance & Leicester banks. To add some glamour, formula one racing driver Lewis Hamilton has been chosen to publicise the company’s new image at a Santander branch to be opened in central London.

Manchester United FC have announced their plans to mount a bond issue intended to raise £500 million in order to refinance the club’s mounting debts.

The announcement came as the club announced pre-tax profits of £48.2 million for the year to 30 June 2009, compared with a loss of £21.4 million last year. The profit was swollen by the £80 million fee received by the club from Real Madrid who purchased the services of Cristiano Ronaldo during the close season. According to information issued by the club’s holding company Red Football Ltd, group turnover rose to £278.5 million from £256.2 million in 2008. Although Red Football disclosed no total debt figure was announced, estimates have it at around £700 million.

British Land has unveiled plans to manage a £300 million pound buy-to-let fund being launched by Charles Russell, the prominent UK law firm. The fund has been established to acquire prime residential real estate in London. British Land will also take a small stake in the fund as the property group rapidly expands its residential business, marking British Land’s first residential investments since selling the majority of its portfolio in 2006.

Revenue at IT services group Computacenter remained weak for 2009, largely due to a shortage of large infrastructure projects. With this factor taken this factor into account, the company instituted a substantial cost-cutting programme which look likely to see them beat profit forecasts for 2009, which could be close to £50 million pounds. On the news shares in Computacenter rose 17.7 pence to 309 pence on Tuesday.

The pound continued its recovery above the dollar in mid week trading, while moving up slightly against the Euro.

• Dollar 1.6207
• Euro 1.118

On Tuesday the FTSE 100 Index fell 0.7 percent, to 5,498.71.

Meanwhile it has been announced that during one of the biggest turn-downs in US financial history the US Federal Reserve announce that they made a profit of $52.1 billion (£32.2 billion) in 2009, marking a rise of 47% over the previous year, allowing them to pay a record $46.1 billion to the US Treasury last year.

The $46.1 billion was the largest amount ever paid by the central bank since it was creation in 1914, and was largely thanks to the Fed’s attempts to support the financial system throughout the ongoing financial crisis.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed Tuesday up slightly, nine points to 10,627. The NASDAQ dropped to close on 2,282.

The recently formed US Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission (FCIC) is to hold their first public hearing on Wednesday.

The 10-member panel was established by Congress to examine the causes of the 2008 US financial crisis. The committee will examine the causes of the crisis, and are scheduled to hear testimony on the current state of the crisis from a cross section of private and public sector leaders.

Witnesses will include top executives from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and Bank of America.

Findings and the report of the panel are due to be presented to Congress and President Barack Obama by 15 December.

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Tags: Abbey, Alliance & Leicester, Bank, Bank of America, Banking, Barack Obama, boiler, Bradford & Bingley, British Economy, British Gas, British Land, British Pound, CBI, Charles Russell, Computacenter, Confederation for British Industry, Credit Crunch, Cristiano Ronaldo, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, FCIC, Financial News, FTSE, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Lewis Hamilton, Manchester United, Metro, Money, Money Markets, Morgan Stanley, NASDAQ, Real Madrid, Recession, Red Football Ltd, Retail, Santander, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, Tesco, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, UK retail, US Federal Reserve, US Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, US Treasury

In an interview held over the weekend, chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling predicted that should the Labour Party be re-elected in this year’s anticipated elections they will be prepared to tightly rein in spending and curb Government borrowing. The treasury chief warned that the UK has little option but reduce the massive budget deficit entailing making the toughest public spending cuts seen in 20 years.

Darling’s comments signaled a change in direction or a possible split in Labour’s election strategy as until recently Gordon Brown’s has pinned the bulk of his preliminary electoral campaign and its possible success on the need to support economic recovery, instead of reducing the country’s current £178-billion-pound deficit. The International Monetary Fund has forecast that the UK’s GDP deficit will peak this year at 13.2 percent.

To the chagrin of many, city bankers look likely to suffer minimal impact from the bonus super tax imposed on them by the government last month.

Most banks who were available for comment hinted they are preparing to absorb if not all at least part of the cost of 50 per cent tax by inflating their bonus pools, and are prepared to run the risk of irritating the government and even their own shareholders in order to keep their staff happy. The banks are unofficially conceding that dividends are likely to be hit by their capitulation, and they are already under pressure as regulators have pressurized banks to increase their capital holdings, which will have a consequent effect on their profit margins.

Meanwhile, the Association of British Insurers (ABI) has written a letter to the remuneration committee chairmen of the UK’s top 350 companies warning boards against paying big bonuses and keeping directors safe from tax increases. ABI are concerned that investors will lose out amid fears that banks will absorb the supertax on bonuses at the expense of dividends. Last year was marked by a number of cases of shareholders rebelling against companies’ plans.

With Christmas trading a fading memory, it has been reported that city analysts are taking a close look at Tesco and attempting to determine how much the extra £100 million pounds’ worth of loyalty vouchers given to customers affected their Christmas trading. Fears are that by Tesco’s inflating their Clubcard loyalty scheme they could have "artificially" inflated their UK sales figures for the period, with estimates that the extra vouchers could have added around 1.5% the supermarket chain’s UK turnover for the Christmas , which is due to be released on Tuesday.

The Crown Estate, owner of the UK’s coastal seabeds, have granted development rights to energy companies that will herald the largest wind energy project ever seen in the world.

The announcement has the potential to see an additional 32 GigaWatts (GW) of clean electricity feeding into the UK grid, on top of 8 GW from previous rounds. 32 GW will mean enough offshore wind energy to supply nearly all the homes in the UK, with projection that investment in UK offshore wind overall could be worth £75 billion and support up to 70,000 jobs by the year 2020.

A total of nine development zones, with a capacity of just over 25 GW, have been allocated to Ten European Companies following a competitive tender.

Plans are currently under approval by the UK Government to construct what will be the fastest railway in Europe. The multi billion pound project would see trains travelling from London to the West Midlands at 250 mph from a new station to be constructed in the capital.

Construction is scheduled to begin in 2017, and the first trains should toll out of London 2025, carrying more than a thousand passengers at a time. The project is expected to cost as much as £60 billion.

Taking a short term view, the UK is currently investigating a variety of options on how to deal with increasing stocks of swine flu vaccines, with the British public showing a lack of interest in taking advantage of the free injection. The department of health is looking at either renegotiating existing contracts with the drug companies, such as GlaxoSmithKline and Baxter International to reduce the consignments. Other last attractive options are to sell the vaccines on to other countries or simply give them away. France and Germany also intend to cancel millions of doses of the H1N1 vaccines because of oversupply.

All of the five UK mobile networks are now reported to be in talks with Google over plans to market their new Nexus One mobile phone. Vodafone are the first operator to officially announce that had sealed a deal to offer the device, while no official launch date has been set as yet. The remaining four UK mobile phone operators. While it is expected that the big four will be providing support and service for the Nexus One, Google will be marketing their new baby exclusively online.

A little reminder that the internet doesn’t yet rule all of the World came with the news that UK greeting cards company Clinton have reported a rise in sales of 3.5 percent on last year for the weeks approaching Christmas, with like-for-like sales in the 22 weeks to Jan. 2 rising. However this upturn in sales appeared to be a drop in the ocean as the company continues to experience difficult trading conditions and has closed 12 of their stores in the last six months.

The pound stuttered slightly above the dollar in pre-weekend trading, while sliding backwards against the Euro.

• Dollar 1.6025
• Euro 1.1116

As brokers set off home for the weekend in their snow ploughs and sleds, the FTSE 100 edged just 7.52 points higher to 5,534.24. For the week the index was up 2.4 per cent, making for the third straight weekly gain.

In the US official figures have shown the unemployment rate holding steady at 10% despite the fact that employers unexpectedly cut 85,000 jobs in December. The US Labor Department had initially estimated that 11,000 jobs were cut in November, but now says that the economy had in fact added 4,000 jobs.

Since the recession began in 2007, 7.2 million jobs have been lost in the US, with 4.2 million of them in 2009 alone.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed for the weekend still on the up, eleven points to 10,618 while the NASDAQ also jumped 17 points to close on 2,3170.71.

General Motors (GM) reluctantly advised that they have begun "winding down" process for Saab, whilst continuing efforts to find a buyer for their Swedish car-making subsidiary.

GM intends to organize an "orderly" winding down at Saab, which they expects to take several months. The US group also confirmed that they are continuing to evaluate the several proposals they had received to acquire Saab, including the one from Formula One boss Bernie Ecclestone.

With the news that the exports had risen by 17.7% in December, China now claims to have overtaken Germany to become the world’s largest exporter.

December’s remarkable rise ends a 13-month decline in trade as a result of the global downturn.

Total Chinese exports for 2009 were £7.5 trillion, which marked a downturn in foreign of 13.9%, as the global economic downturn led to a fall in demand.

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Tags: Alastair Darling, Association of British Insurers, Bank, Banking, Baxter International, Bernie Ecclestone, British Economy, British Pound, budget cuts, Clinton Cards, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, GDP, General Motors, GlaxoSmithKline, Google, Gordon Brown, H1N1, International Monetary Fund, Labour party, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Nexus One, Recession, Retail, Saab, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, super tax, swine flu, Tesco, The Crown Estate, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US labor Department, Vodafone

While the UK and with it almost all of Western Europe and the West Coast of the US are caught in the grip of the longest running and most severe cold spell that it has seen for close to thirty years without a break in the foreseeable future, many analyst are now scratching their heads and asking themselves "what will this do to the price of oil?"

Since the weather began to turn incredibly difficult about a week ago the price of oil has risen steadily from the around $78 to $82 within the space of one week, the highest price it has been all of 2009, and to those of you who may have forgotten, sat on a low of $32 a barrel towards the end of December 2008. With the news that the major economies, and especially China, were starting to build up stockpiles of oil, hopes were that prices would begin to fall and settle around the ideal figure of between $68 to $72 a barrel.

Analysts fear that if the span weather persists, and predictions are that at least in the UK it could continue to the end of January, and the increase in demand could push the price up oil even further, as stocks diminish. Meanwhile leading bodies in UK industry bodies have asked head- teachers to minimize snow-linked school closures to reduce levels of absence from the workplace. Although 61 percent of 200 companies surveyed by the British Chambers of Commerce said less than one in 10 employees was absent, the Federation of Small Businesses warned that childcare-related absences following school closures would become a serious problem. The cold snap looks likely to cost the economy close to £700 million pounds a day, meaning total financial damage of £14.5 billion pounds if, as expected. The bad weather lasts a further three weeks.

As expected UK interest rates will remain unchanged at 0.5%, meaning that the cost of borrowing has remained at a record low since March 2009. Economist are not expecting to see a rates increase s in the near term, despite expectations that the UK will finally have exited recession in the last quarter of 2009.

Formula 1 boss, Bernie Ecclestone is looking to buy a Saab, not the car but the company, and intends to do so in partnership with the Luxembourg-based private investment company, Genii Capital, which recently invested in Renault’s Formula 1 team.

Ecclestone’s dramatic announcement came shortly after the deadline for expressions of interest in the company closed without any public bids.

As well as Ecclestone’s offer, a second bid s also emerged, from the Dutch sports car maker, Spyker Cars.

U.S. food giant Kraft has received a ticking off from the principal shareholder Warren Buffett who has also thrown a spanner in the works of their proposed transaction. The Buffett-owned holding company Berkshire Hathaway who Hold 9.4% of Kraft’s stock announced that they will be voting against it is the proposal to issue up to 370 million shares to facilitate the Cadbury deal.

A spokesman for Kraft reacted to Buffet’s statement by saying that "Mr. Buffett is our largest investor and one of the most respected investors in the world. We take his opinion very seriously. We agree Kraft shares are deeply undervalued. We would not do anything to hurt shareholder value and we intend to remain disciplined in this process." Shares fell 7 pence, or 0.9 percent, to 772 pence on trading.

In their annual Christmas trading statement, Majestic Wine announced a rise in sales of 11.7 percent between Nov. 3 and Jan. 4 in the UK, with champagne sales regaining their seasonal appeal over Christmas. While champagne sales grew 11 percent, fine wine sales climbed 30 percent and online trading rose by 20 percent.

Family-owned brewer Fuller Smith & Turner also managed to increase its profits, sales and dividend in the six months to September, largely bucking the trend prevalent in the brewery sector. With members of the controlling families owning more than half of the company equity and 60 percent of the voting rights, executive chairman Michael Turner pronounced the effect that company’s long-term, risk-averse strategy was paying dividends.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

• Dollar 1,5967
• Euro 1.1126

The U.K.’s largest home builder by market value Persimmon Plc has announced that they completed the sale of 8,976 new homes in 2009 with a total value of around £1.4 billion pounds. On the news their shares gained 1.2 percent, to 469 pence. Wolseley Plc, the world’s largest supplier of heating and plumbing gear seemed to be moving in a positive direction, with their shares added 4.7 percent, to 1,361 pence.

The Vodafone Group PLC expects to be able to offer Google Inc.’s Nexus One smart phone to its U.K. customers in the next few weeks, with their rivals reported to be already in advanced talks with the Internet giant about the device.

Vodafone, the world’s biggest mobile operator, is also in early discussions with Google about supporting the phone in France, Germany and Spain, a Vodafone spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires Wednesday, and hopes to offer it across the rest of Europe through the course of 2010.

JD Sports Fashion Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest sportswear chain said sales at stores rose 6.6 percent in the five weeks up to the Ist of January .2010. On the news their shares jumped 6.2 percent, to 550 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group on Wednesday reported a small increase in third-quarter sales, despite not slashing prices in the run-up to Christmas, as customers snapped up cashmere sweaters and clothing for kids. But the company cautioned that trading will remain challenging this year.

Group sales at the iconic British retailer rose 2.6% in the three months to Dec. 26. In the U.K. same-store sales rose 0.8%, with general merchandise up 1.2% and food up 0.4%. Underlying sales returned to growth for the first time in two years.

Still, the results missed the consensus forecast for a 1.2% increase in same-store sales, partly because this year’s trading period excluded the first day of the company’s post-Christmas sales, when it typically sees a surge in revenue. Online sales increased 32% and international sales climbed 6%

Britain’s Home Delivery Network said it would buy DHL’s UK parcel delivery operations, DHL Domestic, from Deutsche Post DHL (DPWGn.DE), growing its market share in a sector profiting from a boom in online shopping.

With many of the UK s leading retailers, among them John Lewis and Next reporting significant online growth, companies such as Home Delivery Network have felt the impact.

The parcel delivery company, headquartered in Merseyside, northwest England, said the combined businesses would have annual revenues of more than £600 million pounds, delivering over 180 million parcels a year, with a combined market share of 17 percent.

Britain’s currency recovered slightly over the last two days

• Dollar 1,5992
• Euro 1.1198

The FTSE100 finished trading on Thursday in a fairly static position at 5526.72 barely moving on the week’s trading.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Thursday up a further 24 points to 10,607 while the NASDAQ also dropped 8 points to 2,300.71.

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