According to information released by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) it looks increasingly likely that further price increases in the domestic property market may be put on hold, as more properties continue to come on to the market. RICS announced that in February more instructions to sell came on the market than enquiries to buy, making for the second month in a row that this has happened. Analysts have always speculated that

The rise in house prices during 2009 has been because there was a shortage of both new and second hand properties for sale. In spite of the rise in volumes, however, the average price paid for private homes during the year fell 9 per cent to £166,000.

That well known bearer of bad news and inaccurate predictions the Confederation for British Industry (CBI) have come up with another winner. This time they suggest that the cash-strapped U.K. government should aim to balance its budget two years earlier than currently planned. The CBI say that such a move would go a long way to calming investor fears that Britain could lose its top-notch credit rating. They have yet to come up with suggestions of how Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling or whoever is lucky enough to replace him should go about this mammoth task, although the traditional spending cuts and reforms to public services were mentioned rather than tax increases.

In the last few weeks, newspaper polls continue to point in the direction of a coalition government for Britain in the coming elections. This will mean the first minority government since 1974, and those who remember that far back, don’t recall it as a particularly pleasant experience.

It appears that the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has their feet more firmly on the ground than some of the other public bodies. They have proved it once again by suggesting that the UK government reduce their economic growth target for 2011 from 2.3 percent down to 2.1 percent. At same time, the BCC issued a strongly worded suggestion to the government to abandon proposals to raise national insurance. To complete a cheery picture, the UK trade organisation also suggested that the UK government should rapidly address public sector pensions as well as taking a close look at public sector levels to make any progress on tackling the UK’s ever increasing budget deficit.

One of the biggest clouds hanging over the future of the Royal Mail service has finally been lifted after an agreement was reached with postal workers which means that they could be eligible to salary increase of around seven percent over the next three years, as well as a more stable job security. In return for these favours, the Communication Workers Union (CWU) need to promise to cooperate in structural changes to the organisation that will eventually transform it .

The deal, which is still to be accepted in a ballot vote by CWU members, is designed to avert the threat of further union disruption and give the green light for the Royal Mail to proceed with their proposed £2 billion modernisation programme. With their union troubles hopefully behind them, the stage will be set for Royal Mail to face some of their other challenges, including revaluating their pension fund deficit, which currently stand as £3.4 billion to at least three times that sum.

The company that manages the Channel Tunnel, the aptly named Eurotunnel, announce that they had succeed in making a £1.3 million last year, despite the effects of the "poor economic environment" as well as one or two setbacks that they experienced in 2009, which they must hope will be one-offs. These included the tunnel being closed after the fire in late 2008, not returning to normal levels until February of last year, as well as the heavy snow that made it impassible in December of 2009.

There is a buzz in the city that states that Northern Rock are about to announce multi-million pound losses in 2009, and for the third year running, Pre-tax losses are expected to be around 400 million pounds, meaning that . The bank has made losses totaling of £2 billion since being bailed out by the UK government in 2007.

Sir Richard Branson’s Virgin Money, who at one time were said to be interest in acquiring Northern Rock, and are to launch themselves as a retail bank later this year, have come with a fairly innovative new proposal for potential customers. The proposal we that Virgin Bank will charge a fixed monthly fee for current account customers, payable in advance. A spokesman for the company did hasten to point out that the fees will be low and will replace high overdraft charges.

Virgin Money’s launch comes at a time when consumers have lost confidence in existing High Street banks and Virgin’s high profile as a high street trader who gets things done.

Another major UK retailer, supermarket giant Tesco are also set to expand into the banking industry, already offering credit cards, savings accounts and insurance via its Tesco Personal Finance (TPF) brand through their in-store banks.

In the meantime, supermarket chain WM Morrison are expected to report a 16 percent increase of their in full-year pre-tax profit for 2009 to £757 million when its results are announced on Thursday. Sales are expected to have risen to £15.5 billion. The supermarket’s increased penetration in the south of England has led to industry-beating sales growth and large gains in market share.

Money markets continued to be unfavourable for Sterling with the pound closing yesterday on $1.499 while also falling against the Euro on €1.1028.

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index slowed down after a few days of heavy rises, up just five points, to close on 5,602.3.

Stateside, ailing insurance giant AIG have announced that they are to sell of yet another of their overseas insurance business, American Life Insurance Company (Alico) to rival MetLife for $15.5 billion (£10.3 billion), in a drive to raise funds to pay off their $182.3 billion federal bail-out.

MetLife will pay out $6.8 billion in cash and a further $8.7 billion in shares for Alico, which operates in more than 50 countries.

The announcement comes a week after AIG agreed to sell its Asian business AIA to UK group Prudential for $35.5 billion.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was holding its own, closing up 21 points on 10,585.62. The NASDAQ Composite was still climbing, rising 21 points to close on 2,347.13

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Tags: Alico, American Life Insurance, Bank, Banking, British Chambers of Commerce, British Economy, Channel Tunnel, Communication Workers Union, Confederation for British Industry, Credit Crunch, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Employment, Eurotunnel, Financial News, FTSE, House Prices, MetLife, Money, NASDAQ, Northern Rock, Recession, Retail, Richard Branson, RICS, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, Royal Mail, Savings, Tesco, Tesco Personal Finance, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Virgin Money, Wall Street, WM Morrison

While the UK and with it almost all of Western Europe and the West Coast of the US are caught in the grip of the longest running and most severe cold spell that it has seen for close to thirty years without a break in the foreseeable future, many analyst are now scratching their heads and asking themselves "what will this do to the price of oil?"

Since the weather began to turn incredibly difficult about a week ago the price of oil has risen steadily from the around $78 to $82 within the space of one week, the highest price it has been all of 2009, and to those of you who may have forgotten, sat on a low of $32 a barrel towards the end of December 2008. With the news that the major economies, and especially China, were starting to build up stockpiles of oil, hopes were that prices would begin to fall and settle around the ideal figure of between $68 to $72 a barrel.

Analysts fear that if the span weather persists, and predictions are that at least in the UK it could continue to the end of January, and the increase in demand could push the price up oil even further, as stocks diminish. Meanwhile leading bodies in UK industry bodies have asked head- teachers to minimize snow-linked school closures to reduce levels of absence from the workplace. Although 61 percent of 200 companies surveyed by the British Chambers of Commerce said less than one in 10 employees was absent, the Federation of Small Businesses warned that childcare-related absences following school closures would become a serious problem. The cold snap looks likely to cost the economy close to £700 million pounds a day, meaning total financial damage of £14.5 billion pounds if, as expected. The bad weather lasts a further three weeks.

As expected UK interest rates will remain unchanged at 0.5%, meaning that the cost of borrowing has remained at a record low since March 2009. Economist are not expecting to see a rates increase s in the near term, despite expectations that the UK will finally have exited recession in the last quarter of 2009.

Formula 1 boss, Bernie Ecclestone is looking to buy a Saab, not the car but the company, and intends to do so in partnership with the Luxembourg-based private investment company, Genii Capital, which recently invested in Renault’s Formula 1 team.

Ecclestone’s dramatic announcement came shortly after the deadline for expressions of interest in the company closed without any public bids.

As well as Ecclestone’s offer, a second bid s also emerged, from the Dutch sports car maker, Spyker Cars.

U.S. food giant Kraft has received a ticking off from the principal shareholder Warren Buffett who has also thrown a spanner in the works of their proposed transaction. The Buffett-owned holding company Berkshire Hathaway who Hold 9.4% of Kraft’s stock announced that they will be voting against it is the proposal to issue up to 370 million shares to facilitate the Cadbury deal.

A spokesman for Kraft reacted to Buffet’s statement by saying that "Mr. Buffett is our largest investor and one of the most respected investors in the world. We take his opinion very seriously. We agree Kraft shares are deeply undervalued. We would not do anything to hurt shareholder value and we intend to remain disciplined in this process." Shares fell 7 pence, or 0.9 percent, to 772 pence on trading.

In their annual Christmas trading statement, Majestic Wine announced a rise in sales of 11.7 percent between Nov. 3 and Jan. 4 in the UK, with champagne sales regaining their seasonal appeal over Christmas. While champagne sales grew 11 percent, fine wine sales climbed 30 percent and online trading rose by 20 percent.

Family-owned brewer Fuller Smith & Turner also managed to increase its profits, sales and dividend in the six months to September, largely bucking the trend prevalent in the brewery sector. With members of the controlling families owning more than half of the company equity and 60 percent of the voting rights, executive chairman Michael Turner pronounced the effect that company’s long-term, risk-averse strategy was paying dividends.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

• Dollar 1,5967
• Euro 1.1126

The U.K.’s largest home builder by market value Persimmon Plc has announced that they completed the sale of 8,976 new homes in 2009 with a total value of around £1.4 billion pounds. On the news their shares gained 1.2 percent, to 469 pence. Wolseley Plc, the world’s largest supplier of heating and plumbing gear seemed to be moving in a positive direction, with their shares added 4.7 percent, to 1,361 pence.

The Vodafone Group PLC expects to be able to offer Google Inc.’s Nexus One smart phone to its U.K. customers in the next few weeks, with their rivals reported to be already in advanced talks with the Internet giant about the device.

Vodafone, the world’s biggest mobile operator, is also in early discussions with Google about supporting the phone in France, Germany and Spain, a Vodafone spokesman told Dow Jones Newswires Wednesday, and hopes to offer it across the rest of Europe through the course of 2010.

JD Sports Fashion Plc, the U.K.’s second- largest sportswear chain said sales at stores rose 6.6 percent in the five weeks up to the Ist of January .2010. On the news their shares jumped 6.2 percent, to 550 pence.

Marks & Spencer Group on Wednesday reported a small increase in third-quarter sales, despite not slashing prices in the run-up to Christmas, as customers snapped up cashmere sweaters and clothing for kids. But the company cautioned that trading will remain challenging this year.

Group sales at the iconic British retailer rose 2.6% in the three months to Dec. 26. In the U.K. same-store sales rose 0.8%, with general merchandise up 1.2% and food up 0.4%. Underlying sales returned to growth for the first time in two years.

Still, the results missed the consensus forecast for a 1.2% increase in same-store sales, partly because this year’s trading period excluded the first day of the company’s post-Christmas sales, when it typically sees a surge in revenue. Online sales increased 32% and international sales climbed 6%

Britain’s Home Delivery Network said it would buy DHL’s UK parcel delivery operations, DHL Domestic, from Deutsche Post DHL (DPWGn.DE), growing its market share in a sector profiting from a boom in online shopping.

With many of the UK s leading retailers, among them John Lewis and Next reporting significant online growth, companies such as Home Delivery Network have felt the impact.

The parcel delivery company, headquartered in Merseyside, northwest England, said the combined businesses would have annual revenues of more than £600 million pounds, delivering over 180 million parcels a year, with a combined market share of 17 percent.

Britain’s currency recovered slightly over the last two days

• Dollar 1,5992
• Euro 1.1198

The FTSE100 finished trading on Thursday in a fairly static position at 5526.72 barely moving on the week’s trading.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Thursday up a further 24 points to 10,607 while the NASDAQ also dropped 8 points to 2,300.71.

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Tags: Bank, Banking, Bernie Ecclestone, British Chambers of Commerce, British Economy, British Pound, Cadbury, Currency, DHL, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Federation of Small Businesses, Financial News, Freezing Britain, FTSE, Fuller Smith & Turner, Genii Capital, Home Delivery Network, Interest Rates, JD Sports Fashion Plc, John Lewis, Kraft, Lehman Brothers, Majestic Wine, Marks & Spencer, Michael Turner, Money, Money Markets, NASDAQ, Nexus One, Oil, Persimmon Plc, Peter Mandelson, Recession, Saab, Spyker Cars, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Vodafone, Wall Street, Warren Buffett, Wolseley Plc

The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) has predicted that house prices are unlikely to rise by much more than one to two percent in 2010. The nation’s chief surveyors’ body did however raise the possibility that more properties would change hands in 2010. In their report, RICS pointed out that the housing market had come through the past year in better shape than many had predicted but said it believed several factors would limit price rises.

According to figures issued by the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC), the UK economy shrank by 0.2% between July and September, which is less than the previous estimate of a 0.3% contraction. While the news confirms that the country is not yet out of the recession, it does add weight to predictions that fourth quarter figures will show the economy is finally returning to growth.

The UK recession, which began in the second quarter of 2008, has seen the UK economy contract by 6%. Meanwhile the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has forecast that in 2010 recovery for the UK economy will be at best ‘fragile’. The CBI confirmed that the UK economy was likely to come out of recession in the fourth quarter this year, driven by increased spending from consumers looking to buy before the January VAT increase. However, they went on to warn that economic growth would be weak, at around 0.3%, for the first two quarters of 2010, with wage freezes continuing into spring and job losses until the autumn

Lehman Brothers, one of the first major investment banks to collapse during the current financial downturn are back to their old ways, is hiring new staff on fat salary/bonus packages as well as paying generous bonuses in London to existing staff, to stop them from defecting. The bank is reportedly recruiting middle and back office staff in order that their administrators PwC can wade through the millions of transactions that must be reconciled with clients and trading partners to determine what is owed or can be claimed. Meanwhile the judge overseeing Lehman’s US bankruptcy in New York last week approved an extra $50 million (£30 million) in bonus pay-outs to some 230 derivatives traders working to help to untangle the dead bank’s $10 billion portfolio. The bonus pay-outs come as bankers face anger and derision over probable bonuses at the end of this year.

British Telecom (BT) are reported to by pushing forward the launch of its super fast broadband network to make sure that the infrastructure is completed in time for the 2012 Olympic Games in London. Britain’s broadband speeds lag behind those of many industrialized countries and BT is under pressure to fix the problem. The company is planning to spend £1.5 billion on a new broadband network based on optical fiber, but it will run past only 40 per cent of homes, mainly in towns and cities. BT originally pronounced that it could take until March 2013 to build the urban-focused network, but, following successful trials, it now appears that the project will be completed by June 2012, with the Olympics beginning the following month. When it does get going, the new network is designed to increase broadband download speeds 10-fold, to about 40 megabits per second, to cope with the rise of bandwidth-hungry services such as high-definition video.

BAA has won its appeal against the Competition Commission but remains unsure whether the judgment means the company will have to sell airports in London and Scotland. In March of this year, the UK’s largest airport operator was ordered to sell three of its seven airports: Gatwick, Stansted and either Glasgow or Edinburgh. The company won their appeal on a number of arguments, one of them that a decline in passenger numbers should have been considered in the decision

The Competition Commission (CC) has finally cleared the merger of ticket agent Ticketmaster and concert promoter Live Nation. The UK regulator has confirmed that the merger would "not result in a substantial lessening of competition in the market" in the UK.

CC’s decision marks a reversal from their provisional ruling, where they vetoed the merger, stating that they were concerned about its ramifications.

The US Justice Department is also investigating the proposed merger, which was originally closed in February.

According to a new poll by the Auto Trader magazine, the Ford Focus has been voted the UK’s most popular car of the decade. The small family car beat our sports cars, SUVs and city cars to take first place. Despite the company being rocked by financial issues in the past ten years, Ford has retained its place as an iconic motoring brand, with two of its other models, the Fiesta and Mondeo, ranking high in the list of most loved cars by the British public. The Auto Trader poll, designed to analyse the key motoring trends over the past ten years, also looked at categories including ‘greenest’ car and ‘best value for money’ car.

Sterling was seen to be weakening in mid week trading against the dollar and the Euro.

• Dollar 1.5956
• Euro 1.111922

On the FTSE house builders edged higher after analysts announced that the sector valuation was looking brighter after a period of under performance that left them trading below book value. Forecasts are that UK house prices are to fall by 5 to 10 per cent as unemployment peaks in the second quarter of 2010, and saw rising interest rates damping the recovery for the next two years. Despite the less than encouraging forecasts, Taylor Wimpey was up 4 percent to 35¾ pence while Barratt rose 1.7 per cent to 116 pence. However, Redrow fell 0.2 per cent to 131½ pence.

The FTSE 100 gained for a second day, adding 34.67 points to close on 5,328.66, just 54 points off its 2009 high.

Official figures show that the US economy grew by less than originally estimated in the third quarter, with the latest estimate showing an annual growth pace of 2.2%, the figure was down from the previous estimate of 2.8%. In any case, July- September was the first quarter in which the US economy returned to growth, after four quarters of decline.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.8 per cent to 10,414.14 while the Nasdaq Composite was 1.2 per cent higher at 2,237.66, a welcome recovery after losses last week as the dollar strengthened and concern grew over the prospect of a tighter monetary policy.

A report issued by the National Association of Realtors (NAOR) showed new home sales in the US rose 7.4% in November, apparently spurred on by government incentives. NAOR also announced that property sales rose in the month to an annual rate of 6.5 million, making for the highest level in more than two years.

On Tuesday the OPEC oil cartel provided its strongest indication yet that it aims to keep oil prices at $70-$80 a barrel next year as it tries to support the economic recovery. As a first step, the cartel, which controls more than 40 per cent of the world’s oil output, agreed to leave its production levels unchanged at least until the end of the first quarter of 2010.

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Tags: 2012 Olympic Games, Auto Trader, BAA, Bank, Barrat, Barratt, Barratt Developments, BCC, British Chambers of Commerce, British Economy, British Pound, British Telecom, BT, CBI, Competition Commission, Confederation of British Industry, Currency, Dow Jones, Economics, Economy, Financial News, FTSE, Gatwick, House Prices, Lehman Brothers, Money, Money Markets, Mortgage, Mortgages, NASDAQ, National Association of Realtors, OPEC, Property Prices, Recession, Redrow, RICS, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, Stansted, Taylor Wimpey, Ticketmaster, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, US Justice Department, Wall Street

The Financial Services Authority has banned Royal Bank of Scotland from making repayments on bonds worth £920 million pounds next month. They are doing so as a result of concerns that the partly nationalised bank is too reliant on billions of pounds of taxpayer’s money to remain afloat. RBS is in advanced talks with the European Commission (EC) to decide the nature of fiscal restraints to be imposed on the bank in return for its government funding. Among other measures, the EC is likely to force the bank to cut its share in the small-business banking market.

The British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) has predicted that the UK economy should bounce back next year. They did hasten to add that the risk of the economy relapsing still remains high. The BCC announced in a recent statement that they expect the economy to grow 1.1% in 2010, almost double their previous forecast of 0.6% made as recently as June. According the report, unemployment will peak at around 3 million, fewer than the 3.2 million forecast previously.

At a weekend meeting of the G20 in London, finance ministers representing the world’s most powerful economies have reached agreement on a series of measures designed to regulate the global banking system.

The ministers are interested in implementing a system that will reward long-term performance rather than short-term risk-taking among the global banking community, without reaching agreement on specific limits on the amounts individual bankers get paid.

Britain, the US and Canada were reported to be against the proposal, which is due for further discussion at the summit of G20 leaders in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania later this month.

The UK economy should bounce back next year but the risk of a relapse remains high, a business group has warned.

The British Chambers of Commerce expects the economy to grow 1.1% in 2010, almost double its previous forecast of 0.6% made in June.

It says unemployment will peak at just above 3 million, fewer than the 3.2 million forecast previously.

However, it said that sustaining the recovery would prove challenging given the UK’s debt burden.

Vodafone and O2 have both tabled bids of about £3.5 billion to buy T-Mobile UK from owner Deutsche Telecom, with a successful bid from either firm liable to make them the largest mobile phone operator in the UK.

High street retail chain, Wilkinsons have succeeded in filling a large part of the vacuum left when Woolworths closed their doors towards the end of 2008. The company reported annual sales up by 6.2 percent to 1.4 billion pounds in the year to the end of January, a record for the family-owned group. Wilkinsons have announced their plans for expansion, in which they will open 15 new outlets by 2009, as they drive to reach a target of at least 500 outlets by 2012.

The U.K.’s largest recruitment company Hays Plc retreated 3.7 percent to 96.1 pence on the announcement that their full-year profit had declined by 44 percent due to reduced hiring in the recession.

The U.K. developer of software for William Hill Plc’s Web-gambling site Playtech Ltd announced a 38% increase on pre-tax profits. Their shares rose in value by 13.25 pence to 346 on the news.

Shares in Premier Farnell Plc the U.K. electronic and industrial products distributor dropped 7.2 percent to 151.3 pence after they reported earnings and turnover and profit that fell behind analysts’ estimates.

The FTSE 100 index ended a further 54.95 points higher at 4,851.70. The index has now risen by 38 percent from its six-year low in early March, on hopes that the worst of the global recession is behind us in the UK.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 rose again on Friday, up 141.05 points to close on 8,745.85.

The pound rose against the dollar, yen and Swiss franc, yet continued to falter against the Euro.

• Pound/US dollar 1.6398
• Pound/Euro 1.1449
• Pound/Japanese Yen 152.6881
• Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7361

The number of US workers claiming unemployment benefits has fallen last week but continued to be a cause for concern, with fears that unemployment figures will remain high even after the US moves out of recession.

New jobless claims fell by 4,000 to 570,000; however the number of workers continuing to claim unemployment benefits rose by 92,000 to 6.23 million.

Wall Street on Friday saw the markets continuing to rise, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 99.66 points to close on 9441.27 while the NASDAQ Composite index hurdled the 2,000 mark yet again, closing for the weekend on 2018.78.

The European Central Bank (ECB) remain cautious on the state of economy in the 16 nation Eurozone, forecasting that growth would be very gradual and is capable of being thrown into reverse again.

Evidence of the ECB’s continued wariness, was the news that they had left their main interest rate unchanged for the fourth consecutive month at 1 per cent, which is a record low.

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Tags: Bank, Banking, British Chambers of Commerce, British Economy, British Pound, Credit Crunch, Currency, Dow Jones, Economy, Employment, European Central Bank, European Commission, Financial News, Financial Services Authority, FSA, FTSE, Global Credit Crisis, Money Markets, NASDAQ, O2, Playtech Ltd, Premier Farnell Plc, RBS, Recession, Royal Bank of Scotland, Stock Markets, Stocks and shares, T-Mobile, UK Banks, UK Economy, UK government, UK Recession, Unemployment, Vodafone, Wall Street, Wilkinsons, William Hill, Woolworths