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U.K. property prices set to extend their recovery

May 7th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Energy Prices, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment

financial news

According to information from the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) property prices in the UK are due to rise in 2010 driven by low borrowing costs and the shortage of homes. Property values are due to rise by five percent and mortgage costs will cheapen as the Bank of England retains a its record low 0.5 percent key interest rate. CEBR have reduced their property price forecast from 6 percent after the tax on home purchases rose and cold weather damped demand for property. Average mortgage interest rates are expected to drop by around one percent by the start of 2011.

US based billionaire investor Warren Buffett, has backed Bank of England Governor Mervyn Jones previous comments by stating that said he doesn’t envy the winner of the UK general election, who will be faced with the need to make "politically very unpopular" decisions to cut the deficit. Speaking after the annual shareholder meeting of Berkshire Hathaway before a crowd of 40,000 , Mr Buffett warned the next occupant of No 10 to fear the bond market, which could turn against the UK if public spending is not brought back into balance over the long term.

Buffet’s comments regarding the UK’s current financial plight echoes previous statements made about growing government debt across the Western world. The debt has been incurred as a result of the economic stimulus measures put in place to prevent a much worse recession after the financial panic of 2008.

It has been reported that the collective wealth of the UKs 1,000 richest people increased by 30 per cent in 2009, largely due to the efforts of London-based steel magnate Lakshmi Mittal. Claiming the top spot for the sixth consecutive year Mittal seen his fortune double from £10,800 million to £22,450 million in the wake of the recovery of the steel industry worldwide.

Chelsea owner Roman Abramovich remains second on the list, whilst adding a mere £400 million to his stack of £7,400 million.

The Duke of Westminster, retains his place as the wealthiest UK born member of the list saw his mainly property based fortune increase to £6,750 million.

According to a recent survey, most of the UK’s small companies feel that the current tax system it too complex, and would like to see it simplified,

Two thousand small and medium sized UK enterprises (SMEs) took part in the survey that found that 77% participating feel that the current system is preventing them from taking advantage of tax benefits and breaks, while

60% were found to be unaware what entitlements they may be suitable for.

While many experts see SMEs as the engine for economic recovery and a key battleground in the upcoming election, many small businesses find the complexity of the tax system frustrating, with almost three quarters with the impression that the tax system was actually acting as a barrier for start-ups.

An ambitious new UK company offering people the chance to rent their neighbours’ cars has had hundreds of drivers registering on the site just a week after launch. The company Whipcar, launched in mid-April, uses the internet to connect owners of underused cars with drivers looking for short-term rentals for a trip to the shops or the school run. But insurance limitations mean that Whipcar has had to turn away a surprisingly large number of sports car owners. Who wanted to become part of take advantage Whipcar’s system, which lets them set their own price before lending their pride and joy to fully insured and vetted neighbours. Whipcar is just one example of a business using the web as a marketplace to bridge the gap between car ownership and traditional rentals. Streetcar, which pioneered car clubs in the UK, was acquired last month for $50 million by Zipcar, an American competitor whose model it was based on.

The FTSE 100 joined stock markets globally in tumbling deep into the red as the Greek bailout failed to ease investor fears. The Footsie fell 2.6%, down 142.2 points to 5411.1,

US-based United Airlines and Continental Airlines have agreed a deal to merge, creating the world’s biggest carrier. The two companies, that both have made losses in recent years, have predicted that the merger, worth around two billion pounds, will allow the now company to cut around five hundred million pounds ($1 billion) a year.

The new company will be trade as United Airlines while using the current Continental colours. News of the deal sent both companies shares upwards of Wall Street.

Shares on Wall Street have fallen sharply as concerns about high levels of European government debt continue to reduce confidence.

The Dow Jones falling by 2%, and NASDAQ by 2.98 %. THE Dow Jones closed down 225 points to 10926.77 while NASDAQ dropped 74.49 points to close on 2924.25

Oil giant BP has acknowledged that they are to be held responsible for cleaning up the huge oil spill which occurred after an accident to one of its wells off the Gulf of Mexico on the US coast.

BP boss Tony Hayward predicted that the spill would need to be contained for two to three months. Since the BP Deepwater Horizon rig sank on 22 April Thousands of barrels of oil have been leaking into the ocean. Meanwhile BP shares hit a seven-month low on about the cost of cleaning up the massive oil spill. Shares in BP fell by 4.3%, (25 pence) to 551 pence in early trading, making for an overall fall of more than 15% since the explosion on the rig two weeks ago.

Despite of forecasts that car sales are not liable to peak again for five years, it has been reported that global car production increased by more than half in the first quarter of this year in comparison to 2009,. Data for 12 of the world’s biggest car markets, accounting for more than three-quarters of world automobile output, showed double-digit increases in the first quarter of 2010. In China, Japan, Canada, Mexico, and the UK, the year-on-year rise was up by almost 75%.

Reaction to the approval of an unprecedented bail-out package to rescue Greece’s embattled economy has been muted. The package, which will see Eurozone members and the IMF loan Greece €110 billion (£95 billion) over three years, had been widely anticipated, but came after the Greek government agreed to make severe budget cuts.

However several Eurozone member countries, with Germany’s voice being loudest heard, have questioned whether the rescue package and budget cuts combined will be sufficient to solve Greece’s deep-seated problems.

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Fears of the Greek malady spreading to the UK grow

May 1st, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Financial analysts fear that Britain could be among the countries that could follow Greece into a financial crisis. The uncertainty comes after Dominique Strauss-Kahn’s head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned of economic "contagion" spreading across Europe.

The IMF urged politicians to finalise a bail-out for the debt-laden Mediterranean country, saying that every day lost in resolving the problems risked spreading the impact "far away".

Strauss-Kahn’s comments came amid growing evidence of Europe’s mounting fiscal problems after Spain’s debt was downgraded following in the footsteps of Portugal as well as Greece.

Late Thursday Germany was holding out for more economic reforms from Greece before agreeing to an unprecedented multi-billion euro bail-out plan.

UK house prices increased by 1% month-on-month in April, according to the latest house price index.

Property experts pointed out that April’s figures did receive an additional boost from the fact that April was one of the weaker months of 2009. However with property values beginning to increase from May last year, it will be difficult to maintain this rate of growth in the coming months.

On the commercial property front, it appears that the appeal of London’s robust shopping demand continues attract the leading for international retail chains to the city. A recent survey has revealed how 58 percent of international retail brands have opened outlets not just in London but throughout the UK, spurred by strong consumer demand.

Preliminary assessments have revealed that the European air transport sector swallowed as much as €2.5 billion in losses from disruption caused by Iceland’s volcanic eruption. The loss assessment conducted by the European Commission could well be the model that an industry bailout will be based on. Some of the airlines affected have argued that flawed computer models used by member states were partially responsible for grounding planes, even when the airlines insisted that was safe for them to resume their services. A spokesman for the UK Department for Transport stated that while the "UK cannot unilaterally provide new aid to affected companies it continues "to explore options" with the Commission. Meanwhile, budget airline EasyJet have cautioned that governments should be prevented from providing aid to "ailing national carriers" who might use the financial damage caused by the volcanic disruption as a pretext for a bailout.

Royal Dutch Shell today announced a 49% surge in first quarter profits as the energy giant joined rival BP in benefiting from higher oil prices.

The Anglo-Dutch group reported earnings of £3.2 billion ($4.9 billion) for the first three months of the year – a day after BP posted a profit of £3.6 billion for the same period. The company’s chief executive explained that rising energy prices and an improved operational performance meant Shell’s profits were sharply higher than the $1.18 billion in the final quarter of 2009.

Shell’s performance has lagged behind BP as it has been forced invest heavily in finding new sources of oil and gas at a time when refining margins are under pressure due to global overcapacity and economic weakness.

Today’s results are back to the levels of the first quarter of 2009, when crude prices averaged just over $41 dollars a barrel, while the figure today stands at an average of $76 dollars a barrel.

Imperial Tobacco has reported a 15 percent rise in profits for the first half of their financial year. The increase comes through an increase in demand in some of their key European markets for cheaper roll-your-own tobacco. From factory-made cigarettes Bristol-based Imperial Tobacco, whose brands include Lambert & Butler and Davidoff reported a pre-tax profit of £974 million for the six months to March 31, on turnover up eight percent at £13.4 billion.

Sterling continues to grow in strength against the dollar closing on $1.5351, whilst falling back slightly against the troubled Euro on €1.155

There was a positive mood on the stock exchange on Thursday, with U.K. stocks mostly on the up. Among the most active were Unilever, the world’s second-largest food and detergent company, whose shares advanced by 3.2 percent. After BSkyB the U.K.’s biggest pay-television provider reported an increase in third-quarter profit their shares rose by the most in more than a year. Also shares in AstraZeneca, the U.K.’s second-largest drug-maker, advanced by 2.3 percent.

The FTSE 100 rose 30.89 points to 5,617.8. The market appears to be rebounding from two days of losses prompted by the downgrading the credit ratings of Greece, Portugal and Spain.

Stateside, the Federal Reserve have conformed their pledge to keep interest rates low for an “extended period”, while offering a slightly more upbeat assessment of the US economy. The Fed’s open market committee reiterated that its main interest rate would remain at its target range of 0-0.25 per cent. The figure has stood at this level since December 2008.

Analysts point out that the financial recovery appears to be gathering steam in the US in recent months, with most economic indicators in line or ahead of previous expectations. However, pressure on policymakers to start raising interest rates has not risen accordingly, with inflation remaining in control.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones made a recovery from early week falls, closing up 122.05 points to 11167.32, while the NASDAQ rose 40.19 points to 2511.92

It appears that American consumers have re-discovered the joys of shopping, with retail sales stronger than forecast. The US housing market, meanwhile, has shown fresh signs of a rebound, with home prices increasing on an annual basis for the first time in three years in February,

In the computer hardware world, the news is that Palm, one of the leading pioneer in the smart phone business, are to acquired by US computer giant Hewlett-Packard (HP) for £657 million ($1 billion)

A spokesman for HP said that Palm’s webOS operating system would help its expansion in the fast-growing market for smart phones and connected mobile devices. Although HP is paying a premium to Palm’s closing share price on Wednesday of $4.63, it is well below the company’s 52-week high of $18.09.

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Big business finds a way to dodge income tax on dividends

April 29th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Recent research has show that close to 50 million pounds was paid out shareholders in the form of dividends, in many cases just a few days before the end of the tax year on April 6. Experts believe that many UK companies are employing this tactic as a means to help some of their big-income employees who are also shareholders to avoid the rise in the rate of income tax. If this is the case, it could cost the Treasury as much as £85 million pounds. Analysts estimate that the main "offenders" are directors in small to medium sized companies who want to minimise the effect of the soon to be effective 50 percent tax rate, due to their greater flexibility over returns.

A rise in UK retail sales, albeit a minor one has been reported for March by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) According to the ONS, retail sales volumes during the month grew by 0.4% from February, which is less than the 0.6% analysts had expected. Sales improved in February after a very poor January, report with retail sales being hard hit by the icy weather.

Overall, sales volumes during the first quarter of 2010 were reported to be down 1.7% from the equivalent quarter of last year.

Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) has announced a series of proposals to toughen performance targets in its executive pay scheme. The announcement from RBS chairman Philip Hampton signals a key trigger point for RBS’s long-term incentive plan, which is to be revised upwards. Under the existing incentive plan bank executives gain a significant proportion of performance-linked rewards when the bank’s share price hits 50 pence. RBS shares are currently well over the fifty pence mark.

HSBC are reports to be on the look out for bankers to help them direct any industry-wide bank levy into government-sponsored venture capital agencies. The bank has toured Europe seeking support from colleagues in the industry for their plan to alter the terms of the ongoing debate about bank regulation. HSBC proposals include varying the capital buffers banks are required to hold, dependant on economic conditions. The bank’s argument is that banks need to hold higher capital in good times to absorb losses when conditions decline.

In an effort to strengthen confidence in its brand before a proposed launch onto the UK high street, the Bank of Ireland (BoI) that would have a spate and UK based board of directors. The UK move would also see BoI, which has operated in the UK in a partnership with Post Office since 2004, being regulated by the Financial Services Authority. Although the group has operated in the UK in various formats since the mid nineteen seventies, till now their operations have always been overseen by the Irish Financial Regulator, with customers protected through Ireland’s deposit guarantee scheme. In the meantime BoI have announced plans to raise £2.9 billion through a rights issue and private placing, in order to finance the expansion and meet its capital needs. The bank is in need to aid its recovery from the financial crisis due to the crash in the Eire economy which has been one of hardest hit, but has now emerged from what was one of Europe’s worst recessions. Irish lenders were particularly hit hard by the housing market crash, which saw billions of Euros-worth of home loans go bad.

UK Coal, Britain’s largest coal mining company, has announced 2009 losses of almost £130 million in what it describes as “an extremely challenging year for the group”.

Total demand fell to 7 million tonnes from 7.9 million in 2008, while the Group’s financial results revealed a pre-tax loss of £129.1 million, compared to a minor loss (£15.6 million) the previous year.

A spokesman for UK Coal commented that while the financial results for 2009 were poor, new contracts and developments to their property portfolio look set to help boost profitability in 2010, with the Group planning to disposal of land for agricultural use expected to help reduce its debt.

As the largest producer of coal in the country, last year UK Coal mined 15% of the total amount of coal burned in the UK.

For the third time in six months mobile phone retailer Carphone Warehouse have raised their full-year profit forecast.

A company spokesman has no predicted that they expect net profits for the year to the end of March to be around the £47 million mark, considerably more than the £40 million to £45 million predicted at the beginning of the year.

Strong growth due to the joint venture with US group Best Buy, cost cutting and strong sales of smart-phones were said to be the principal factors behind the profit growth.

Uncertainty regarding the Euro pushed Sterling up against the dollar while the Euro fell. The pound closed on $1.5263 and €1.580

On the FTSE, stocks plunged at the fasted rate for one day for five months after the economies of both Greece and Portugal were downgraded spurring concern that these heavily in debt European nations are moving closer to default. The index sank 150.33 to 5,603.52, its biggest drop since late November 2009.

Greece has become the first eurozone member to have its debt downgraded to junk level, while Portugal’s debt was also lowered on fears of "contagion", adding to the markets’ rout and a fall in the euro. The German government immediately came out with a statement that it would not "let Greece fall", and there were signs that an aid package could be increased.

Profits at oil giant BP have more than doubled from a year ago on the back of rising oil prices.

Profit for January to March was £3.6 billion, ($5.6 billion) compared with the around £1.45 for the first quarter of 2009 – a 135% rise.

The profit figure is also up on the profit made in the last three months of 2009.

BP has benefited from rising global oil prices, which averaged $76 a barrel in the first three months of 2010, compared to an average of $41 a barrel a year ago.

On the news of Greece’s possible default, shares on Wall Street fell sharply. The Dow Jones dropped 213.04 points to 10991, 99 while NASDAQ fell 51.48 points to 2471.47.

Car giant Ford has reported net income of $2.1 billion for the first three months of 2010, its highest quarterly profit for six years, and cancels out a a loss of $1.43 billion for the same period in 2009.

A spokesman for the company said the result was down to a recovering economy, which meant people were again beginning to buy expensive, one-off items.

Ford also predicted that it will remain in profit every quarter this year.

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UK may be in the same bed with Spain and Greece.

February 10th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

financial news

According to a leading economist the UK should be classed with Greece and Spain, as countries carrying severe debt problems Not in agreement and understandably so are the UK Treasury sources who rebuked the suggestions that the UK was gradually becoming one of the poor relations of Europe by confirming that all of the three major credit-rating agencies had reaffirmed the UK’s triple A credit status.

Meanwhile Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is the man faced with balancing the demands of investors and rating companies who fear that Britain’s top-level credit rating could be at risk, with the hopes of the UK public as well as some of his colleagues for an easing of taxation in the coming budget. Darling has already put the dampers on a lot of people’s hopes that this year’s budget will not be too populist, in a move to win votes for the general election that is due to follow a few months later

“People in the U.K. will want the budget to be realistic,” Darling was quoted as saying. “No one is looking for giveaways; that’s not the mood.” He summed up. Darling said voters realize the need to reduce Britain’s record budget deficit having already vowed to more than halve the £176 billion-pound deficit by 2014 starting next year.

Britain’s budget shortfall, which the Treasury estimates at about 12 percent of gross domestic product this year, is the biggest among the Group of 20 nations.

Dividends paid out shareholders by UK companies were honed back by to the tune of £10 billion in 2009, according to recent research.

Total dividends paid out by British listed companies amounted to £56.9 billion last year, down 15 per cent on 2008. The figures would have been considerably worse for investors if it not had been for the contribution of just five leading UK companies, with almost fifty percent of all dividends paid out coming from them. The e British business heroes were by BP, Shell, HSBC, Vodafone and GlaxoSmithKline. A sign of the shifting sands in the UK trading picture is that as recently as 2007, these companies accounted for 35 percent of the total dividend payout.

All the UK banks combined cut their dividends by half, adding up to around £6 billion less in dividends than in 2008. Performing particularly poorly was the high-street sector whose dividend payouts fell by 62 per cent.

At the recent meeting of the Group of Seven finance ministers’ tacit agreement was reached to draw up as set of common rules designed to force banks to pay for possible failures similar to the current one, which led to taxpayers being forced to take on trillions of dollars in liabilities.

The ministers said the world’s most advanced economies should adopt common rules as long as other major countries also agree. Apparently the G-7 is moving closer to an agreement on a bank insurance levy, one of a range of options proposed by the U.K. in November.

Already Sweden has taken the first step forward by creating a fund financed by their banks to help safeguard its financial system. In terms of the agreement, Swedish banks are required to make annual payments to the fund. The Swedish government injected 15 billion kronor (£1.2 billion) into the fund when it was set up, as well adding funds that had previously held in Sweden’s deposit guarantee fund.

According to government estimates, interest from the funds deposited by banks and on the money in the fund means it will swell to 150 billion kronor, or 2.5 percent of Sweden’s gross domestic product, by 2023.

U.K. stocks rose for first time in four days, led by a rebound in mining companies. The FTSE 100 Index increased 50.2 points to 5,111.84 at close of business in London.

The pound dropped to its lowest level in more than eight months against the dollar as growing concerns over the UK’s fiscal situation began to weigh on the currency. Sterling closed at 1.5701 and at 1.1388 against the Euro. The Euro has lost a lot of its attractions recently and was down to an eight-month low of 1.3583 against the dollar.

On Wall Street things were looking up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished up 74 points at 10058.64. The NASDAQ gained 15 points to close on 2,150.87.

Honda has added close to half a million cars to its existing global safety recall list. The problem this time is over airbag inflation problems mostly affecting cars sold in North America, with others Japan, Mexico, Taiwan and Australia due for recall. There was also further bad news for e Japanese carmakers Toyota after they were forced to recalled nearly half a million hybrid cars over faulty brakes, and millions of other models will need to be brought back to dealerships worldwide, suffering from accelerator and floor mat problems.

General Motors’ (GM) Opel unit has announced their plans to will invest 11 billion Euros (£9.7 billion) in introducing new product ranges over the next five years. Opel’s investment plan to breaking even within two years, a move that will entail cutting 8,300 jobs across Europe as well as the closure of at least one company plant in Antwerp, Belgium. Opel are trying to persuade

European governments to provide them with billions of Euros in loans to help the company’s plan to return to profitability.

India has announced that its economy is looking at growth levels by 7.2% in the year to the end of March. Government stimulus measures helped to maintain strong growth during the global downturn, but attention is now turning towards cooling rising prices, raising the chance that state support could soon be withdrawn. Many financial analysts also expect the government to raise interest rates earlier than expected. Strong growth in manufacturing in India is helping to compensate for falling agricultural output.

Oil prices rose and base metals moved higher as commodity markets managed a partial recovery after a sharp sell-off in the previous week US crude oil prices traded above the $71 a barrel.

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Barclays buy a bank.

October 29th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Saving, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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The U.K.’s second- biggest bank Barclays Plc have announced that they are to acquire Standard Life Plc’s banking assets for a sum of £226 million pounds, In a move designed to expand their UK based savings and mortgage operations, Barclays will receive a major boost in turnover through Standard Life Bank Plc, who currently hold around £ 5.5 billion in deposits as we’ll as £8.8 billion in mortgages. A spokesman for Barclays announced the bank’s intention to continue to explore opportunities in the U.K. retail long term savings and investments industry, working in conjunction with Standard Life, who are the U.K.’s third-biggest insurer.

The bank is seeking to increase revenue at its consumer and corporate-banking division, whilst reducing their reliance on investment banking. The acquisition follows that of the Portuguese credit-card business of Citibank International Plc made last month. Barclays continue to seek more acquisitions in Europe.

Production of new cars in the UK fell by 16.1 percent for the year in September, making for the smallest decline for 12 months, according to figures issued by the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders. 119,616 cars were made in Britain last month, making for an annual total of 694,769, down by 41.2 percent on the same period in 2008. Sales have been boosted by the government’s car scrappage scheme, which allows motorists to trade in cars that are more than 10 years old in return for a 2,000 pound subsidy on a new vehicle.

Oil giant BP has reported third-quarter profits of £2 billion ($4.98 billion) well ahead of analyst’s expectations

BP’s results, boosted by higher than expected cost cuts, was still down by

50% from last year. This is largely due to the fact that oil is currently trading at about $80 a barrel, about half of where it was this time last year. The announcement sent BP’s share price up by almost 4%.

The British Standards Institute (BSI) the national standards body are reportedly deep in the process of developing a voluntary standard of ‘kitemarks’ that will be issued to retail and wholesale financial services firms.

The BSI have been consulting with members of the industry in order to set out a common methodology and good practice standard, which can be implemented alongside existing regulations, with the goal of reducing risks of compliance failures whilst offering greater reassurance to management that regulatory requirements are being met. The British Bankers’ Association (BBA) are apparently offering their whole hearted support for the scheme, with their chief executive quoted as saying that the initiative should improve efficiencies between and amongst compliance teams across the financial service industry .

Sterling continued to rise in value yesterday against the dollar, while falling against the Euro.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6351
  • Pound/Euro 1.1043
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.0922
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6709

Shares in the Anglo-Dutch publishing group Reed Elsevier, were very much in demand on Tuesday, rising 3.3 per cent to 473 pence after the market deduced that concerns over the trading performance of, it’s content archive service division, Lexis-Nexis, had been exaggerated.

Banks didn’t have such a good day on the FTSE, especially the partially nationalised ones. Royal Bank of Scotland were down 8.1 per cent to 40.8 pence while Lloyds Banking Group, also fell 6.1 per cent to 83.8 pence. The reason for their downfall was investor fears regarding the disposals that both banks will be obliged to make in order to satisfy European Commission rules on state aid.

The FTSE 100 made a minor recovery on trading Tuesday, up just 9.23 points to close on 5200.97. The FTSE 250 continued to lose value, yesterday down 44.82 points to close on 9141.28.

Fears about future job prospects was stated as the principal reason why US consumer confidence fell unexpectedly in October. The Important Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board business organisation slipped to 47.7 in October from a revised 53.4 in September. Analysts were caught unawares by the decrease, with expectations that the index would remain unchanged or might even rise slightly.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones hiccupped a little into forward gear, up a mere 14.21 points to 9882.18. The NASDAQ Composite index was still dropping yesterday, a further 25.76 points to 2116.09.

According to the European Central Bank, lending to companies operating in the eurozone fell in September at an annual rate of 0.3%, compared with a modest annual growth of 0.1% in August. The fall is a source of concern for the Eurozone countries is it comes when European governments continue to bolster their economies by increased lending at very low, subsidised interest rates.

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Personal debt in the UK has reduced for the first time since 1993.

September 4th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

A recent report from the Bank of England has revealed that the total amount of personal debt in the UK is lower than it has been for more than 16 years, and probably even more, as that was when records first began.

Factors such as rising unemployment and the economic downturn have caused UK consumers to become increasingly reluctant to increase their levels of personal debt, indicated by borrowing falling by £600 million in July, taking the total personal debt in the UK to a little below £1.5 trillion. Which is still a considerable sum of money.

At the same time, current low interest rates means that the amount of equity outstanding on mortgages is decreasing by £400 million a month at current levels, meaning that many home-owners are managing to repay more of their outstanding mortgage, reducing their deficit.

The manufacturing sector, also doing their best to draw in their horns, complain of increasing price rises from their banks, despite the abundance of Government packages to increase liquidity in the banking system and interest rates being at an all time low. According to the Engineering Employers Federation (EEF), credit terms remain "very tight" for manufacturers. A fact that they claim could hold back an early recovery from the recession, and certainly not in line with the US, Japan and even France and Germany.

Britain retail sectors, living in hope of a good Christmas season, are going to need it, if recent forecasts are correct. The forecast, from a leading firm of accountants and business advisers, forecast that the worst effects of the recession for the retail sector will not be felt until next year. Fears that rising unemployment will hit the high street hard and as many as 5,000 companies will be forced to close their doors throughout the UK.

Some good news for the UK economy is the announcement that British Petroleum (BP) has discovered a massive oil field while drilling of the Gulf of Mexico.

BP, currently the largest producer of oil and gas in that area, have till now produced more than 400,000 barrels of oil a day, with their latest discovery expected to increase that figure considerably. The company had to dig deep, not just in their pockets, but also through the Earth’s core to get to the fast reservoir of crude, reaching a depth of 35,055 feet making it one of the deepest wells drilled in the World.

On the news, BP shares jumped 3.8% to 538 pence, making it star of the show on the FTSE 100 yesterday.

It wasn’t really a major achievement as equities continued to be under pressure on the FTSE yesterday, however late trading did push it back to a reasonable condition. The k index ended just 2 points lower at 4,817.55, following losses of 89 points during the previous session.

Meanwhile the FTSE 250 continued to slide, yesterday dropping a further 99.75 points to close on 8,519.93

Sterling made a minor recovery against the major currencies on Wednesday’s trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6272
  • Pound/Euro 1.1409
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.9756
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7249

In the US, once again Federal Reserve policy-makers are showing increased confidence that the downturn in the US economy is due to officially come to an end. At a recent meeting, chaired by recently re-appointed Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke a more upbeat tone emanated, hinged with an uncertainty about how quickly the economy would grow in 2010. Fears remain that unemployment, which is set to move above 10% this year, may impact on consumer behaviour.

On Wall Street, US stocks were up and down on Wednesday affected by the release of data on job losses, with the release of the Challenger jobs report, which showed that the pace of US job losses has slowed, later offset by data released by the

This was quickly counterbalanced by payroll giant Automatic Data Processing (ADP) stating that employers in the private sector had cut by more than 50,000 the jobs expected in July than the expected 250,000.

On Wall Street, the markets returned to relative stability, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping by 29.93 points to close on 9280.6 while the NASDAQ Composite index stabilised, falling a mere 1.82 points to close on 1967.07

European Union finance ministers have taken up the gauntlet and will press for clearly defined restrictions on bonus pay for bankers in the future. The issue will be at the focus of talks to be held with their US and other G20 counterparts later this month.

Anders Borg, finance minister of Sweden, which holds the EU’s rotating presidency, speaking on Wednesday after a meeting of the EU’s 27 finance ministers designed to set out common positions on bankers’ pay as well as the other hot potato of financial market regulation. Other issues on the table will be how to draw back from the fiscal, monetary and other emergency measures adopted this year to prevent a deep global recession, with financial stability returning.

Gold prices surged to a near three-month high on Wednesday as investors turned to the precious metal after a weak opening in equity markets in New York.

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Mixed signals as house prices rise again in July

August 6th, 2009 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Money Management, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment

financial newsAccording to data released by the Halifax Building Society, property prices increased by more than one percent. Halifax, one of the UK’s leading building societies also reduced their forecast reduced how far they reckoned property values would fall in the remaining part of 2009. Their updated prediction is that house prices will fall by just seven percent in 2009.

Halifax stated hat prices had fallen by 0.8 per cent during the first seven months of 2009, with average house prices at £159,623 in July compared with £160,861 in December 2008. July house prices were 12.1 per cent lower than the same period in 2008, with the annual rate of change showing an improvement for the third consecutive month.

On a more sober note a recent report released by the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors has reiterated their well known standpoint that there is little chance of a quick return to a housing boom, despite the fact that UK prices may well rise in 2010, while standing firm on their forecast of a price fall of 10-15% this year amid a “considerable shift” in the market. Tight credit and job losses are the principal causes for limited transactions in 2009 and if they continue may still cause prices to slip back in 2010.

Despite their expected £4 billion loss in the first half of 2009, shares in Lloyds Banking Group surged by 11% due to mounting bad debts at HBOS. The only reason that analysts could come up with were that most of the bad news that the bank could dish up was now out in the open, and investors now had a clearer picture to build on.

Lloyds Banking Group, of which 43% is owned by UK taxpayers, announced that although they were still sitting on £13 billion of toxic loans and investments, such charges for bad loans would be smaller in the future.

Meanwhile it seems increasingly likely that the sale of the healthy parts of Northern Rock will be held off until after the general election. Alistair Darling, UK chancellor said he was in “no hurry” to offload the bank he nationalised in February 2008 after they announced reasonable half-year losses of around £700 million. The chancellor remains adamant that the rescue operation could still reap a profit for the taxpayer.

A recent study also shows that the pension-plan shortfalls of the U.K.’s top publicly traded companies more than doubled to an unprecedented 96 billion pounds in June.
The deficit of these companies all of whom are listed on the FTSE-100 Index with a 41 billion-pound shortfall in the same period last year, The signs are that employers are cutting back on pension benefits after the global financial crisis eroded profits and stock prices. Europe’s second-largest oil company, BP Plc, announced in June their intention to close its final salary pension plan to new U.K. workers, while Barclays Plc are asking their 18,000 employees to surrender similar benefits that the bank now claim to have become too costly.

Insurance group Legal & General have announced that they have succeeded in “considerably reducing” their losses in the first six months of the year, as well increasing their capital surplus. L&G claimed that the cuts were brought about by reduced workforce headcount, and closing down activities in less profitable business areas.
Despite the fact, the insurance group halved its interim dividend as it pressed ahead with a programme to save costs, causing their shares to drop in value by 5.6 per cent to 62 pence. , For the half year, Legal & General’s showed pre-tax losses decreased by 81 per cent to £74 million on revenues that slid 6 per cent to £3.1 billion.

Industry tycoon Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp announced losses of £2 billion in the financial year to the end of June. A year which Murdoch claimed to have been “their most difficult in recent history”.

The loss, largely due to $8.9 billion in write-downs already announced, compares with a $5.4 billion profit a year earlier.
Revenues at the media giant, owners BSkyB, 20th Century Fox and the Sun newspapers among many others, were down 7.8%.

It appears that ITV is set to sell Friends Reunited to DC Thomson, the Dundee-based publisher, for £25 million, less than four years after the company bought the social network for £170 million, a sum that included £50 million in performance-related bonuses.

The FTSE 100 reversed early gains to close down 24.24 points at 4,647.13.
Meanwhile the FTSE 250 continued to gain, climbing a further 23.57 points to close on 8,266.08

The pound continued its rise against the dollar as well as all the other major currencies on Wednesdays trading.

Pound/US dollar 1.7009
Pound/Euro 1.1799
Pound/Japanese Yen 161.1997
Pound/Swiss Franc 1.8028

As a result of ongoing controversies, the US Senate looks likely to push through their $2 billion extension of the “cash for clunkers” car subsidy programme before it breaks up for its August recess on Friday.

In a change of position from Monday, when senators from both parties expressed reluctance to follow the House of Representatives in extending the highly popular scheme the extension could be passed by the end of the week

Yesterday on Wall Street, the Dow Jones lost a lot of its previous days falling 39.22 points to 9280.97. The NASDAQ also crept back a little, down 18.26 points to close below the 2,000 mark on 1993.05

In the face of the global economic slump computer firm Cisco Systems have announced a fall in its quarterly profits by 46%, $1.1 billion compared with $2 billion for the same period a year earlier. Analysts, who had expected an even steeper decline, also were encouraged as was the company who announced that the quarter may have seen the last of the recession-related downturn.

Following the latest US weekly inventories data, US crude oil prices fell to $71.97 a barrel, after hitting a high of $74.89 in the previous session.
US crude stocks have risen to 1.7 million barrels.

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Darling announces that interest rates will remain low for the time being

April 30th, 2009 by admin | 0 Comments | Filed in Daily News, Recession, Retail, Saving, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks

Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is doing all that he can to create an atmosphere of ” business as usual “. One of his measures announced yesterday is to allow interest rates to remain at the current and unprecedented low levels.
Darling announced to leaders of UK commerce and industry at a conference on Wednesday that interest rates were “low and likely to remain low” for the meantime. The Bank of England, as cut borrowing costs 4.5 percentage points since October.
On the oil market, Royal Dutch Shell reported a sharp fall in first quarter profits followed rival energy group BP who announced a similar fate on Tuesday of this week. The only good news was that the loss was less than analysts had forecast, a net profit after tax of £3.3 billion, down by 50% from the same quarter in 2008.

After a long battle bravely fought and eventually lost, LDV the midlands based light van maker announced that they will have no option but to enter administration on May 6th. LDV regretted that administration would result in several thousand job losses, but they had given all hope of receiving a further bailout from the government, and understand that chances of selling the business as a going concern was now impossible.

The UK private equity company’s 3i’s have annoyed some of their major investors by announcing their intention of launching a rights issue, for up to £700million. The announcement comes after members of 3i’s board were briefed last week by their new chief executive Michael Queen who plans to use the funds to partially reduce the company’s £2billion debt burden. However investors have suggested that 3i could probably cut back on the debt through using existing cash flow as well as disposing of some of their investment portfolio. .
U.K. stocks advanced yesterday on positive trading, encouraged by recoveries from both the banks and metal producers.
The U.K.’s third-largest bank, Barclays, and Lloyds both rose by more than 8 percent, making up for what they had lost in the previous two days trading. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc also jumped by thirteen percent in the wake of positive profit forecasts.
Kazakhstan’s largest copper producer, Kazakhmys increased their shale value by 5.9 percent (21 pence to 511). Vedanta, who holds the largest share of copper production in India, gained 5.7 percent (53 pence to 985.5)
Global education service provider BPP Holdings Plc were the star of the day on the exchange as their shores rose 58 percent (213 pence to 578) on the announcement that the company had received a firm offer from Apollo Global for 620 pence a share.
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Building giant Taylor Wimpey Plc rose by 8.5 percent, (3.5 pence, to 44.5.) on estimates that the company is not liable to announce any capital raising measure when it announces preliminary results tomorrow.
Up and coming Scottish based manufacturer of semiconductors Wolfsan Microelectronics Plc (also jumped yesterday, up 12 percent (13.5 pence, to 125) the company announced that their cash position as well as their order book was strong.

On the day the FTSE 250 index rose by 1.49% or 93.35 points to 6351.92 while the FTSE 100 finished the session up 93.19 points, higher at 4,189.59
Sterling fell slightly against the dollar and the Euro and recovered against the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc:

Pound/US dollar 1.4807

Pound/Euro 1.1145

Pound/Japanese Yen 127.58

Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6425

Wall Street rose despite news that the US economy continues to contract led by the biggest export fall for 40 years in the first quarter of 2009,
The US GDP contracted at a rate of 6.1% annually during the quarter, improving slightly on the 6.3% fall in the last quarter of 2008.
The Dow Jones Average jumped up 168.8 to close at 8185.73. NASDAQ rose 38.13 points to close at over the 1700 mark, at 1711.95

Japan, reputedly the World’s second powerful economy who has been particularly hit hard by the global downturn, reported that their industrial output has risen in March for the first time in six months. Production rose by 1.6% in March following months of dramatic decline.
Shares in Asia were broadly higher on Wednesday thanks to some encouraging signs about company profits and the dissipation of worries about the effect of swine flu on the world economy.
Crude oil prices on Wednesday rose above the $50-a-barrel mark as traders shrugged off a bearish increase in US crude stockpiles and instead focused on a large drop in petrol inventories ahead of the driving season.

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