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BOE predict stability in the labour market in coming months.

March 17th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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As the UK’s emergence from the recession gains slow but steady momentum recent predictions from the Bank of England show that the number of jobs available on the market are unlikely to deteriorate any further, Reasons given are that most UK companies are doing the maximum to maintain current staff levels to cope with the anticipated upturn in demand.

According to spokesman for the BOE, the banks findings were that although employment had fallen during the recession, it was much less than the comparative fall in output. Figure confirm that although unemployment had risen in the last two years, it was much less pronounced than during the previous two periods of recession in the 1980s and 1990s, although the current recession was much more severe. Despite that slightly rosy report, the fact remains that unemployment benefit claims jumped in January to the highest level since Labour rose to power almost 13 years ago.

According to a European Commission (EC) report due to be published later this week, the UK government’s plans to reduce their budget deficit are far from being realistic as well as lacking in ambition

The EC report went on to warns hand out a warning that if the UK continues on their current path, the will not be able to cut their deficit to meet the deadline set by the EU rules by 2015. The EU are insisting that

Deficits in their member countries must be less than three percent of their gross domestic production (GDP) by then. To show how far the UK is lagging behind is that the GDP in the UK is expected to be as high as 12.6% or £178 billion.

British Airways, facing imminent strike action from their cabin crew, have revealed their contingency plans to cope with the crisis. The plans, if they need arises to put them into action, will allow it to the airline to handle around 60% of its scheduled flights, with 45,000 passengers taking their seats during the first stage of the strike, due to begin on the 20th of March, .

Those who BA will be unable to transport will be given the option of flying with other airlines. Meanwhile plans for the second round of strikes will be announced nearer the date. Of the almost two thousand flights scheduled during the strike dates, more than half will need to be cancelled. However BA expects that all of their long-haul flights and more than half of short-haul flights taking off from Gatwick airport will take place.

Another sign that all is not well with the UK travel industry is the news that UK’s airports handled 7.4% fewer passengers in 2009 than in the previous year, making for the largest decline in traffic in history

The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) also announced that this was the first time that passenger traffic had fallen for two consecutive years, with charter flights being especially hit, down by 17%, in total more than two hundred million passengers passed through UK airports in 2009, the lowest number

since 2004. Overall scheduled airline traffic fell by six percent while.

domestic flight traffic was down by eight percent.

Telecommunications companies are getting hot under the collar about the government’s plans to increase the availability of internet access on mobile phones, with some of them going as far as threatening legal action. Among the companies who are investigating legal action are O2 and Vodafone upset, after UK government ministers finally submitted their proposals designed to end the long-standing dispute between mobile phone operators over radio spectrum. Hopes are that the law will be passed by the government before the end of March and they will give the green light to plans to hold a large air wave auction in early 2011. However UK telecommunications companies with O2 and Vodafone leading the way hope that they will be delay the auction.

On the money markets, Sterling continues to be in the doldrums, sitting on $1.5228 and €1.1046 with no signs or reasons for a recovery in sight. The pound ended two days of minimal gains against the dollar after a private report showed U.K. home sellers raised asking prices by the smallest amount for March on record as the supply of available properties increased.

On the FTSE, things were looking a lot more optimistic, with the 100 index rising 26 points to 5620.43.

In the US, the big news was that industrial production has again increased in February, making it for the eighth consecutive, despite analysts’ predictions that it was likely to fall. According to the Federal Reserve who produces the figure, production would have been even higher had it not been affected by severe winter storms that had plagued the industrialized zones in the North East of the Country in February

Overall industrial output rose by 0.1% in February, from January’s figures while the manufacturing sector dropped by 0.2%. Production in consumer goods fell by 0.4% in February, much of it because of a drop in new car sales.

On Wall Street optimism was in the air, with the Dow Jones rising again, this time by 43.83 points to close on 10658.98. The NASDAQ showed a very commendable rise or 15 points to 2378.01.

The US Federal Reserve has again repeated their pledge to hold interest rates at record lows in order to allow the continuation of the economic recovery. Main interest rate would be kept at the current 0% to 0.25% range, news that was widely expected.

The Feds rate-setting committee announced that the data being gatherer on the US economy described a mixed picture of the recovery from recession.

The troubled Euro succeeded in reaching a five-week high against the yen in money markets over the last two days. The rise was caused by increased speculation that the European Union will announce their bail out plans for Greece. When the plans are eventually released, anticipations are that there will be an increase in demand for the Eurozone currency.

On concerns that the Bank of Japan will announce extra credit-easing steps at its two-day policy meeting, the yen was close to a three-week low versus the dollar. Japanese Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama had sown some seeds of doubt regarding the strength of the currency when he announced last week that his government needed to take steps to arrest the currency’s rise.

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Sterling hits a two months low as the UK continues to lag behind.

August 27th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Loans, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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The British pound continues to fall sharply against the dollar as foreign exchange traders predict that the UK economy will continue to lag behind that of the US and the 16-nation Eurozone.

UK short-term bond yields have hit all-time lows as analysts begin to predict that the Bank of England may go as far as to introduce negative interest rates on its deposits in an attempt to encourage lending to the wider economy.

On that piece of stunning news, Two-year gilt yields, which have an inverse relationship with price, fell to 0.83 per cent – the lowest level since records began. Commercial banks have begun to transfer cash deposits at the Bank of England into gilts. Mervyn King, governor of the BoE has strongly hinted that he is considering charging banks for holding deposits at the central bank because he fears the quantitative easing initiative is being undermined by commercial bank’s lake of desire to circulate money into the economy through increased lending.

According to information issued by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) one in six UK families have at least one unemployed, making for the highest rate since 1999. The number of households where at least one person is unemployed reached 3.3 million in the second quarter of 2009, a rise of almost a quarter of a million from the previous year, with the north-east of England being the hardest hit.

Lord Mandelson has once again displayed his desire to put the UK taxpayer’s money where his mouth is, by announcing that he is willing to invest heavily to ensure commit taxpayers’ money to, in exchange the long-term survival of Vauxhall, about to be sold off by General Motors, the American car group who are in liquidation.

The Business Secretary has again reiterated his pledge of financial help, around £500 million to any one of the three parties interested in buying the UK branch, and save its 5,500 jobs.

The minister is insistent that the party that receives taxpayer funds will be the one that produces a business plan protecting most of the Vauxhall workforce for the long term.

On the FTSE yesterday, it was reported that the U.K.’s mortgage lender, Lloyds Banking Group Plc may have no option but to write off £500 million on loans made to Admiral Taverns Ltd. The news did not inspire the market and their stock fell 0.1 percent, to 107.8 pence.

The FTSE 100 had a flat day’s trading, falling 26.22 points to 4,890.58, while the FTSE 250 took a sudden reverse, dropping 77.60 points to close on 8,783.21

Sterling continued to weaken on Wednesday’s trading, on reports that it was being hindered by poor financial results in the UK.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6228
  • Pound/Euro 1.1391
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 151.8732
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7324

In the US, the latest indications that the state of the world’s largest economy is growing increasingly positive came with the news that sales of durable goods and new home sales both soared last month, Durable goods orders were lifted by the popularity of the government’s "cash for clunkers" car scrappage scheme, helping US car orders to rise 0.9%, in July.

At the same time, the annual rate of sales of new US homes rose 9.6% last month, the biggest rise in sales of new houses since September last year.

On Wall Street, markets drifted from the morning’s highs during the afternoon, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the NASDAQ Composite index both gaining a further 0.3 per cent to 9,539.29 and 2,024.23, respectively.

The Bank of Japan announced on Wednesday that the volume of their exports rose by 2.3 per cent in July from June as stronger demand from Asia and replenishment of inventories boosted manufacturers.

The data suggest that Japan may enjoy another quarter of respectable economic growth from July to September, after last week’s report that output rose at an annualized rate of 3.7 per cent in the April-June quarter

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