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UK Business fears a hung parliament

April 14th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Retail, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

According to a recent survey, some of the largest companies in the UK are in fear of the financial effects of a hung parliament would have on the economy. The survey which takes in 141 chief financial officers of leading UK companies, among them 40 whose companies are quoted on the FTSE 100, fear that such as situation will have a negative effect on their own businesses. Current opinion polls suggest that, while the Conservatives hold a relatively strong lead, there is a strong chance that no party will win an overall majority in the rapidly approaching elections

Meanwhile a survey recently conducted shows that business confidence has reached its highest level in four years, with output back to levels not seen since before the recession. The report does go on to warn that a "significant increase" in investment in the private sector is needed in order to sustain the recovery, whilst stressing that business optimism could be "short-lived" without the investment.

Increases of y only 0.05 percent in the total value of UK exports have been reported on final quarter of 2009 compared to the same period of 2008 The figures came despite hopes that the weakness of sterling would be beneficial for the exports sector. According to government figures, the total number of companies exporting goods has fallen l by 3.4 percent to just less than fifty thousand. Both the UK government and the Bank of England have previously predicted that exports would help push the recovery.

The Rail, Maritime and Transport union have met with Network Rail in an attempt to avoid strikes planned by thousands of rail workers. The dispute revolves around Network Rail plans to cut 1,500 jobs and alter rosters to allow more work to be carried out at evenings and weekends. The RMT executive is expected to agree to a timetable for fresh ballots after four days of planned strike action were called off last week when Network Rail launched a successful legal challenge.

BAE Systems (BAE) has topped a list of the world’s 100 largest arms manufacturers, marking the first time that the list has been topped by a company outside the U.S. Figures from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute show that BAE arms sales totaled $32.4 billion in 2008. The record performance was largely down to increased sales at BAE’s U.S. subsidiaries, with sales at the company’s Land and Armaments group in the U.S. rising from $7 billion to $12 billion.

Shares in the Home Retail Group Plc rose to a four-month high in London trading after reports that Wal-Mart Stores Inc.’s Asda may be interested in making an offer for the U.K. company. On the news, Home Retail’s shares gained as much as 5.6 percent and closed up 14.7 pence to 295.1 pence as, valuing the company at £2.59 billion pounds ($4 billion).

Home Retail, owner of the U.K.’s Argos catalog stores, had sales of just less than £6 billion pounds in the year ended Feb. 27. A spokesman for Home Retail, based in Milton Keynes, declined to comment on the report.

Liverpool Football Club’s U.S. owners have appointed Barclays Capital help find a buyer for the Premiership club. Current owners George Gillett and Tom Hicks bought the club in 2007 for £219 million pounds. Gillett and Hicks have in the past hired Merrill Lynch and Rothschild to attract minority investors and their decision to appoint Barclays indicates they are now stepping up efforts to achieve an outright sale.

A study has suggested that a permanent rise in the price of oil would leave the UK economy in better shape than the other major importers, especially Japan, the U.S. and the Euro zone. Although all big oil-importing economies would suffer from a higher oil price, Japan and the U.S. would be hardest hit, while the UK would withstand the shock relatively well, with a $10 price rise contracting its economy by just 0.4 percent.

The pound continues to make some slow momentum, remaining above the $1.50 level at $1.5374, while falling back in value ever so slightly against the Euro at 1.1308.

The FTSE 100 stuttered on some insecure trading, falling 15.99 points to 5761.66.

The euro has jumped sharply against the dollar and the pound after the Eurozone agreed details of a multi-billion euro loan package to debt-ridden Greece.

The Euro rose by more than 2 cents, against the dollar, to close on $1.3672. While rising to 88.408 pence against the pound.

The rise came after the Eurozone member nations eventually agreed to provide loans of up to €30 billion (£27 billion) in the first year of a three-year package. Greece hopes it will not have to ask for the emergency loans and Instead the implementation of an extensive package of austerity measures will help to cut its debt levels and restore confidence in Greek government debt.

In the US it was announced that the trade deficit has widened to $39.7 billion (£20.8 billion) in February, as import growth continued to outpace exports.

According to figures issued by the US Department of Commerce, the overall trade deficit increased by $2.7 billion from January. It also announced that imports were up 20.5% to $182.9 billion from the same month in 2009 while exports were up only 14.3% to $143.2 billion.

The trade figures confirm the trend of resurgent imports outpacing the rebound in exports as the US economy recovers from recession.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to rise, crossing the 11,000 point barrier at 11.0032.46 while the NASDAQ Composite was 21 points higher at 2,4664.86

US chip maker Intel has announced net record incomes for the first quarter of $2.44 billion (£1.59 billion) compared with $629 million reported for the first quarter in 2009, making for almost a quadruple increase. Intel’s turnover was up 44% to $10.3 billion showing recovery from the global recession is well under way in the computer hardware department.

The social networking site Twitter has announced their plans to allow advertising on their site; a spokesperson for Twitter said that for the first time.

Advertisers would be able to buy "Promoted Tweets" that will appear on Twitter’s search results pages, whilst going on to point out that "Promoted Tweets" will differ from traditional adverts. Instead these Tweets must "resonate with users" and delivered in a conversational tone.

Twitter have reportedly already signed up number of big name organisations such as Sony Pictures, coffee chain Starbucks and US retailer Best Buy to tweet.

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Brown and Darling want to knock King off his throne.

October 22nd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Money Management, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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There were one or two petted lips around Westminster yesterday in response to governor of the Bank of England Mervyn King’s call for Britain’s biggest banks to be split up to prevent the possibility of a financial crisis of similar proportions to the one that the UK is going through, in the future. Particularly peeved were Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling who even went as far as rebuking. Mr. King for his comments. King was seemingly unfazed at their comments.

According to Terry Duddy, chief executive of Home Retail Group, owners of the Argos and Homebase chains, the rise in VAT due on January 1 could act as a major for sales of large value items in the weeks leading up to the increase. Whilst announcing that the company had returned to profit in the six months to August 29, , Duddy said went on to announce a rise in consumer confidence and that his company was more optimistic about the outlook for the fourth quarter.

Chocolate kings, Cadbury have subtly increased the pressure on Kraft to raise its proposed £10 billion ($16.6billion) takeover offer. They did so through reporting unexpectedly strong third-quarter trading figures, surpassing even the toughest analysts’ expectations, The Company have succeeded in raising its full-year revenue targets to the “middle” of its 4-6 per cent goal range. Cadbury announced quarterly revenue growth of 7 per cent, which they claimed had been achieved by increasing prices and profit margins, despite a fall in turnover for the period of percent. Correspondingly, Cadbury had made considerable efforts to cut costs and reduce market spending. Since Kraft announced its offer proposal in early September, indications are that investors expect the US food group to pay at least 800 pence per share, while the current cash and shares proposal values Cadbury’s equity at 731pence a share. In the light of the recent results, some investment banks have revalued the target price on Cadbury to 900 pence, however a Kraft offer at this level is considered unlikely, unless counter-bidders suddenly emerge. The consensus is that Kraft will succeed with their offer, if it comes back with a 50-50 split of cash and stock bid of around 825 pence per Cadbury share. Kraft are understood to be considering returning with a formal offer but may wait until after its third-quarter results on November 3, while the UK Takeover Panel has set Kraft a final deadline of November 9 to make a formal offer.

Sterling continued its steady rise against the ever weakening dollar, recovering against the Swiss Franc. whilst faltering against the Euro.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6606
  • Pound/Euro 1.1093
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 151.6918
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6587

The FTSE 100 lost out on some of yesterday’s gains, down 33.79 points to close on 5257.85 The FTSE 250 25 shed all of the previous days gains. Down 143.60 points to close on.9421,04

Morgan Stanley has returned to profit after three quarterly losses in a row, after reporting a net income of £457m in the third quarter of 2008. The bank’s investment banking division fared particularly well with underwriting revenues up 74% from 2008 levels. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo, the country’s fourth-largest bank, reported record $3.2bn profits for the quarter, reporting that revenues from mortgages and consumer credit had surged.

Despite that positive news, the Dow Jones was down for the second consecutive day, yesterday by 92.12 points to crash below the ten thousand points on 9949.36. The NASDAQ Composite index also continued to fall, this time by 12.74 points to close on 2,150.73.

Recent reports continue to speculate that US companies who received billions of dollars of government aid in the financial crisis are to be forced to cut any excessive salary packages awarded to their leading executives. Of the seven companies that received the highest aid from the US Treasury will be obliged to reduce the basic salaries of their 25 best-paid employees, by up to nine tenths of the salary packages, while each firm’s 125 top earners would be see their pay slip cut in half, under the US government plan. There has been widespread outrage in the US over the high level of bonuses paid by firms that not so long ago were forced top go to the government cap in hand and ask for government help to stave of bankruptcy .

Figures just published confirm that China has exceeded its target for economic growth in the third quarter, for the first time this year. Chinese government figures show year on year GDP growth was up 8.9% from 7.9% in the previous quarter. Chinese officials have also said they are sure they will reach their full year target of 8% for economic growth, with the economy grewing by 7.7% in the nine months to September.

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The Bank of England hold interest rates for another month.

September 11th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The Bank of England have announced that they will be holding interest rates firm for the sixth consecutive month, at a record low of 0.5%.

The bank also announced that their quantitative easing program is not to be expanded, remaining at £175 billion.

The ownership saga at National Express seems to be drawing to a close, after the company reached an agreement to allow a consortium comprising its largest shareholder to examine its books. The next step is likely to be a £765 million takeover of the group, which operates both bus and rail networks in the UK. The successful bidders are a consortium headed by Spain’s Cosmen family, who already own 18.5 per cent of the group, private equity firm CVC Capital Group and Stagecoach who operate a similar facility in the UK. The consortium has apparently raised their cash offer to 500 pence per share from 450 pence, which had been magnanimously rejected by the board.

Shareholders in Cadbury are apparently not being coy, and are pressing Kraft to raise their takeover bid for the UK confectionery group and as soon as possible.

Reports have it that some of Cadbury’s principal shareholders are anxious to see the deal go through, as they are afraid to see any takeover become a long drawn out issue. A spokesman for one of Cadbury’s largest shareholders expressed their fears by saying: “The longer Kraft dithers, the more chance of a counter-bidder appearing on the scene."

On the FTSE, the U.K.’s third-largest oil and natural gas company, BG Group Plc, saw their share value rise by 3.8 percent after announcing that the Guara oil field, of which they hold 30 percent, has been found to contain between one to two billion barrels of oil.

Stock in the Hilton Food Group Plc climbed two percent, to 192.5 pence in anticipation of positive half year results. The U.K. meat-packer works with most leading supermarket chains including Tesco Plc. Home Retail Group Plc, owners of the Argos store chain is also scheduled to release their second quarter trading statement. The stock rose 0.6 percent, to 329.7 pence in anticipation of promising results. Not looking quite so promising was the outlook for Kesa Electricals Plc who owns the Comet appliance stores group. Their stock fell 0.9 percent to 151.6 pence pre-release of their first-quarter interim management statement

The FTSE 100 index failed to maintain its above 5,000 points status on a flat days trading on Thursday. The index closed down 16.62 points at 4,987.68

The FTSE 250’s rise was checked yesterday, with the index falling 11.34 points to close on 9,125.71

The pound rose against the Euro for the first time in almost a week, as well as continuing to improve against the dollar, and the other major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.669
  • Pound/Euro 1.1426
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 152.8564
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7312

The Dow Jones Industrial Average continued to rise, up 70.29 points to 9617.51 while the NASDAQ Composite also rose by 20.31 points to close on 2080.7.

General Motors (GM) have finally reached a decision regarding the European based Opel and Vauxhall plants. As expected the successful bidder is the Canadian car parts manufacturer Magna

German Chancellor Angela Merkel was reported to be "very pleased" about GMs decision, especially as Magna, who are Russia’s Sberbank, has made it obvious that all four German plants will remain open.

However the long term future of Vauxhall and its 5,500 UK workers still remains uncertain.

Oil prices have risen above $72 a barrel following Opec’s decision not to change the amount of oil being produced by its members.

US light sweet crude rose 85 cents to $72.16 in Asian trading, as the euro continued to gain ground against the US dollar in currency markets.

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Britain forced to borrow more as tax revenue slumps.

July 23rd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Money Management, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Small Business

financial news

One of the most painful aspects of the long drawn out economic slump is the effects that it has had on UK tax revenues. In June, Britain reported its highest budget deficit for a month for sixteen years, a massive 13 billion pounds, which was an increase of almost 50% from the same month in 2008.

To support these shortfalls, the Treasury has no option but to borrow, and this they have been doing, and in some style. In the first quarter of the UK financial year, which started in April, public sector borrowing reached £41.2 billion, the highest quarterly figure since records began in 1946.

China Investment Corp, (CIC) China’s sovereign wealth fund has acquired 1.1 per cent of the Diageo drinks group for £221million, which makes the fund the UK-based groups’ ninth-largest investor. Shares in Diageo were up 2.4 per cent to 906p after the announcement

CIC manages $200 billion of the country’s $2,132bn held in foreign exchange reserves also holds a 0.5 per cent stake in Tesco, Britain’s largest retailer.

Domino’s Pizza reported a double-digit increase in sales and profits for the six months to the end of June and raised its interim dividend by almost a third.

Continuing to be one of the few consumer-facing companies to defy the recession, the Domino’s Pizza chain, the UK’s largest pizza delivery service with more than 500 outlets, said it expected to beat full-year profit forecasts thanks to unrelenting demand for their takeaways. Domino’s Pizza U.K. & Ireland advanced 7.2 percent to 235.25 pence.

On the FTSE U.K. pub owner and brewer of Old Speckled Hen ale Greene King Plc, added 3.1 percent to close on 432.75 pence.

Food retailers were also among the rising stars shares in Wm Morrison Supermarkets up 8.2 per cent to 274pence after the announcement that they expected full-year profit to exceed current guidance as it reported strong volume growth over the first half.

Sainsbury also added 3.1 per cent to 326p, while Tesco climbed 1.4 per cent to 375p.

The retail sector showed mixed results with fashion retailer Next despite raising their profit forecast for the first half, retained a cautious outlook. On the news shares in Next fell by 1.6 per cent to 1618 pence.

Shares in the Home Retail Group, owners of Argos and Homebase, gained 1.3 per cent to close on 293 pence

London equity markets overcame an early bout of profit taking on Tuesday to extend their winning run to seven sessions.

The benchmark FTSE 100 was up 38 points to 4,481.17, while the FTSE 250 gained 75.95 points to 7,742.58.

The pound lost ground on Tuesday as concerns grew over the health of the UK government’s finances.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6422
  • Pound/Euro 1.1578
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 153.8127
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.7553

Testifying before the House Financial Committee in his twice-yearly report on monetary policy, chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Ben Bernanke announced that US interest rates are likely to remain "exceptionally low" for some time. He went on to explain that low interest rates and a stimulus plan had buoyed the economy.

US stocks lost some of its Monday’s impressive gains on Tuesday, after rising during the morning, but then falling back as Ben Bernanke, addressed Congress about the future of US Federal Reserve policy.

On Wall Street , the Dow Jones continued its steady rise, rising 45.05 points to 8893.2 while the NASDAQ rose 3.55 points to 1912.84.

Sharply falling tax revenues are also beginning to have their effects across the US. Of the 50 states45 reported budget shortfalls and overall tax collections dropped by 11.7 per cent, the largest fall on record.

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