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IMF calls upon governments to act on curbing the increasing power of banks

April 24th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, UK Bank Accounts, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has stated that governments must act to curb the increasing power of banks in the aftermath of the financial crisis. The IMF has called for cooperation from governments to set out future financial regulatory reform agenda, whilst stressing that some of the "too-big-to-fail" institutions had been made even stronger by the financial crisis. The IMF went on to warn that the large government financed deficits run-up during the financial crisis could pose a risk of starting a second credit crunch.

Proposals from the IMF include imposing two new taxes on banks in order to raise funds to pay for potential future bailouts and to penalise excessive profit-making. UK Chancellor Alistair Darling was reported as having welcomed the proposal:

Recent reports show that the number of Britons buying a home for the first time fell to the lowest in almost two decades as tighter lending conditions curbed people’s ability to purchase property. Some 347,000 first-time buyers took out a home loan in the year through February, less than half the peak figure of 700,000 recorded in the period from 2004 to 2005. Reasons given largely include the bank’s policy of squeezing credit as they seek to rebuild their balance sheets To aid first-time buyers, the government last month scrapped a tax on house purchases for those spending less than £250,000 pounds ($384,000) which help a few buyers, However many don’t have the 25 percent deposit lenders that lenders now demand

Official data released on Wednesday showed that the number of people in the U.K. claiming jobless benefits has fallen further than anticipated in March. Overall unemployment rose above 2.5 million, reaching its highest level for more than 15 years. The data drew conflicting responses from the main parties ahead of the May 6 general elections. The Office for National Statistics said the number of people receiving jobseekers allowance fell 32,900 in March to 1.54 million, the fourth decline in five months.

Britain’s largest supermarket chain Tesco has announced plans to l create 16,000 jobs this year, after the company announced a 10 per cent rise in profits for 2009. Tesco pledged 9,000 new jobs for the UK as they confirmed pre-tax profits of £3.2 billion for the financial year to 27 February 2010. 2009

saw a record turnover of £56.9 billion for the retailer, which have now almost trebled in size over the past decade and currently employs 460,000 people in 14 countries. . The company’s non-food business generated £9 billion in UK revenues alone

In a bid to expand their share in Europe’s growing market for the auto rental service, the American company Zipcar Inc. has announced that they are to acquire UK car-sharing peer Streetcar Ltd. The acquisition, valued around $50 million, will give Zipcar a larger presence in the U.K., where Streetcar is the biggest car-sharing company,

Zipcar began operating in London in 2006 and has 12,000 U.K. members who pay a fee to rent cars by the hour or day while Wimbledon based Streetcar, based in Wimbledon, has 50,000 members in the U.K. Its revenue last year was about $25 million.

Online fashion retailer ASOS have announced that they anticipate profits of around £20 million pounds ($32.09 million) after an increase of turnover of around one third to £223 million for the year to the end of March. A spokesman for the company announced "another excellent year" and that ASOS are approaching this year with considerably more confidence."

Tui Travel announced that they have raised £500 million of fresh financing in anticipation of cash flow problems in the wake of travel disruption caused by the volcanic ash cloud. The holiday operator warned yesterday that it was losing up to six million pounds a day. A spokesman for the company said the new finance would be largely used to "exploit its strong pipeline of attractive acquisition opportunities". Analysts said the finance would also allow Tui Travel to partially repay a £600 million pound loan that they took from Tui AG, the German travel group who are majority shareholders in Tui Travel.

Sterling rose to a two-month high against the euro and advanced against the dollar on Thursday after the minutes of the Bank of England’s policy meeting earlier this month showed a more positive outlook. The pound closed against the dollar on 1.5388 while the Euro stood at 1.1157

London’s FTSE 100 failed to keep intraday gains on Wednesday as a recovery rally among banks faded coupled with concerns about the potential impact of the disruption caused by the volcanic eruption in Iceland on the recovering economy.

London’s benchmark index fell 62 points, to 5,665.33, turning round from modest opening gains as financial stocks joined resource companies at the bottom of the market.

US President Barack Obama has again attacked critics of his banking reforms. In a speech which warned that without change the financial crisis will be repeated, Obama pointed out that reckless practices and financial firms that acted like "bandits" should never be allowed to operate again.

Regulatory reform was in the financial sector’s interests, the president said adding that "bankers and lobbyists should not fight against it ".

President Obama made his speech to an audience of bankers and financial experts in New York

US stock prices dropped on Thursday after rising on Wednesday morning, boosted by earnings results from Apple that smashed analyst expectations, with Morgan Stanley and Boeing also posting higher than anticipated first-quarter figures. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on 11,134.29 while the Nasdaq Composite was up on 2,509.10.

Apple led the technology stocks in the Dow higher, rising 6.3 per cent as the company reported a 90 per cent increase in second-quarter profit and a 49 per cent increase in revenue after the session’s close on Tuesday, far surpassing analysts’ estimates. The consumer technology products group had been expected to record sales of around $12 billion; instead, it reported sales of $13.5 billion in the first quarter.

Software giants Microsoft announced a profits leap by 35% in the first three months of 2010, largely due to the continued success of their Windows 7 operating system. Microsoft’s net profits for the quarter of £2.6 billion ($4 billion) were also attributed to "strong growth" from its Bing search engine business and XBox Live. Sales hit a record $14.5 billion, up 6% on the same period in 2009.

Doing less well were Yahoo, whose share dropped by almost five percent as the search engine provider forecast lower-than-expected second-quarter sales citing losing market share.

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UK limps out of the recession.

January 28th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, World Banks

financial news

Figures released yesterday confirmed that the UK economy grew by 0.1% in the last quarter of 2009, meaning that the recession is finally over, but later and which much less impact than the US or the Eurozone economies. Britain’s economy had been in recession for eighteen months, the longest period since quarterly figures were first recorded in 1955.

The news was widely anticipated with signs such as last week’s UK unemployment figures that fell for the first time in 18 months.

Analysts now predict that no matter which party wins this year’s election when it happens, the loser will be the pound/ Reasons given are that neither David Cameron or Gordon Brown will be able to muster sufficient support in parliament to control the UK’s budget deficit, which is the largest in the in the Group of 20.

Strategists have pruned back their forecasts on the sterling versus dollar pair by as much as 2 percent this month, to the lowest level since June 2009, with Sterling liable to be weighed down by possibility of the first parliamentary stalemate in more than a generation and growth levels that lag far behind Britain’s rival industrialized economies. Add that to a fiscal shortfall that has ballooned to almost 13 percent of gross domestic product and the picture for the pound looks less than rosy.

Previous precedents do not bode well for the pound, as when the last time a U.K. election failed to produce a clear winner in 1974, Sterling fell in value by 28 percent in the next two years, with the government’s failure to fund its deficit leading to the International Monetary Fund stepping in to bail-out the economy.

The UK’s so-called ‘Big Six’ group of energy suppliers is on course for a profits windfall due to the extremely cold weather conditions experienced in the UK during December and early January. Consumers were forced to turn up their thermostats when the country experienced the coldest weather conditions for decades with the daily demand for gas hitting an all-time high on Jan. 7th of 454 million cubic meters. Analysts predict that accumulative profits for the big six (Centrica, EDF, E.ON, Scottish and Southern Energy, ScottishPower and RWE npower) could easily reach an additional £100 million for the period.

The Chelsea and Yorkshire building societies are expected to finalise details of a merger this week. Doing so will mean the creation of the second biggest society in Britain, after the Nationwide. Yorkshire Building Society members are liable to give their thumbs up for the merger, following the lead of the Chelsea Building Society who gave their support to the deal on Friday. A successful deal would mean the consolidated company would have combined assets of £35 billion pounds, around three million members and 180 branch offices around the UK.

On the news that Barclays plans to defer bonuses for top executives including Chief Executive Officer John Varley for up to three years, stock in the company 4.1 percent, to 271.35 pence.

Pilots at British Airways pilots have been warned by the labor unions representing the cabin crews not to become strike breakers if an employment dispute leads to a work stoppage. News that caused BA’s stock to decline 0.8 percent, to 207.9 pence.

Prudential Plc, the U.K.’s largest insurer have announced plans to cut back expansion in developed markets to focus on growth in developing Asian countries, such as Malaysia, Vietnam and Indonesia. Shares in Prudential shares dropped 0.4 percent to 605.5 pence.

Sterling rose slightly against the dollar and the Europe in early week trading. The pound closed at 1.6144 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.146

Shares in the FTSE 100 took a minor downturn, despite the news that the recession was over in the UK. It closed on Tuesday down 26 points to 5,276.85.

A calmer mood prevailed in markets on Monday and Tuesday after a three day downturn that knocked 5 per cent of its values. Reports coming out of Washington over the weekend suggesting that Ben Bernanke looks like being reappointed chairman of the Federal Reserve for another four-year term settled the markets which had closed at fresh a 15-month high as recently as last Tuesday.

The Dow Jones rose by 84 points, to close at 10255.28, while the NASDAQ recovered 14 points, to finish at 2210.53.

According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR) sales of previously-owned US homes fell 16.7% in December, after having risen in the three months from September to November as first-time buyers took advantage of tax credits. However the decline in December came as no surprise as most buyers had rushed to complete deals before the original 30 November deadline. The first-time buyer tax credit has since been extended until 30 April, causing the NAR to predict that there was likely to be another surge in sales in the spring. December sales fell to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 5.45 million from 6.54 million in November, 15% higher than in the comparable period in December 2008.

Computer giant Apple have announced a 50% increase in profits after seeing a bumper Christmas period, with sales of iPhones doubled from a year ago.

Net income rose to $3.38 billion (£2.08 billion) in the three months to 26 December, from the $2.26 billion in the same period in 2008. A spokesman for Apple announced that they had succeeded in selling 8.7 million iPhones in the quarter. Sales of Macs also rose 33%, although iPod sales fell by 8%.

General Motors (GM) has confirmed that Saab is to be eventually acquired by Dutch luxury carmaker Spyker.

GM has been trying to sell Sweden’s Saab since January 2009 although recently they announced that they would begin the procedure of winding down the company while still continuing their search to find a buyer.

Wind-down activities have now been suspended, "pending the close of the transaction".

Saab lost £255 million in 2008, and has not made a profit since 2001.

In the commodities market, gold took advantage of the relative stability in the dollar, to rise to $1,097 an ounce. Oil also rose by 0.5 percent to $74.92 a barrel.

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Iceland takes cold feet on repaying the three billion.

January 7th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

Iceland’s president has refused to sign a controversial bill to repay £3.1 billion previously promised to the UK and the Netherlands. The news came after Iceland’s President Olafur Ragnar Grimsson announced a change of a heart following public protest and instead the country will now hold a referendum on the bill, which was designed to compensate governments forced to bail out their savers with Icesave accounts following Iceland’s banking crisis.

Legislation to repay the money was approved by Iceland’s parliament in December, but the approval of the president is also required before it can be passed into law.

Things must be getting strained again between Alistair Darling and Gordon Brown who were reported to have contradicted each other once again and in public. The contradiction was on that hot potato over how to handle public spending. Darling was reported to have argued that revenue from stronger than expected growth should be used to cut borrowing in a bid to allay the concerns of bond market investors, while Brown was said to be of the view that strong recovery may help to sustain spending, warding off fears of significant cuts to public services. Government officials hastened to deny a split between Brown and the chancellor. But they would, wouldn’t they.

Kraft have announced that they expect to increase the cash proportion in their offer to Cadbury in an attempt to make their bid more attractive to shareholders. The cash will come from the sale of its North American pizza business, strangely enough bought by erstwhile takeover bid competitors, Nestle who paid over £2 billion for a slice (of the company) .Meanwhile and contrary to recent speculation, Nestle have announced that they do not intend to table a takeover bid for Cadbury,. The company having been linked to a possible offer following Kraft Food’s hostile bid for Cadbury that was announced in December.

As part of their new strategic review, the English Premier League is looking to increase its international reach by inviting companies to become an official technology partner, aimed at tapping global opportunities more successfully. With current sponsorship making up just five per cent of the Premier League’s one billion pounds annual turnover, from sponsors that including Nike, Lucozade, Wrigley, and EA Sports, Topps Merlin and Sporting iD and title sponsors Barclays Bank.

One of the companies brave enough to raise their prices to match the return of VAT to its previous 17.5 per cent rate are Apple, who have increased the prices of many products on the Apple Store, including Macs. On 1 Jan 2010 the VAT level in the UK returned to 17.5 per cent, up from the reduced rate of 15 per cent (VAT is the UK term for sales tax). The UK government temporarily reduced the rate of VAT during 2009 to add some life into the UK economy, and it was thought that many of the UK’s leading retailers would continue to subsidise the increase, at least for January.

However Apple’s move seems likely to prompt some discussion surrounding the pricing of Apple products in general, which has steadily increased in the UK over the last two years.

Encouraging evidence of better retail conditions with record sales over the Christmas and New Year period were provided by the John Lewis employee-owned department store and chain. The company reported sales strongly ahead of the last two years that in the five weeks to January 2. John Lewis’s performance offers hope to retailers as they begin to release figures on their trading in the crucial festive period on Tuesday. John Lewis said total sales rose 15.8 per cent in the five weeks to January 2, compared with the same period a year earlier, while sales based on stores open at least a year were up 12.7 per cent.

On the stock exchange, shares in partly-nationalised Royal Bank of Scotland rose 9.9%, helped by analyst’s predictions that the bank is liable to "outperform" in 2010.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

  • Dollar 1,5967
  • Euro 1.1126

The chairman of the US Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke has blamed poor financial regulation for the financial crisis and defended the record of America’s central bank, whilst calling for urgent improvements to financial oversight to prevent a repeat of an economic storm that he said could ultimately prove to be "the worst in history".

In a recent speech, Mr Bernanke argued that low interest rates in the first five years of the new millennium were "appropriate" for the time and had not caused the "bubble" in US house prices. His reaction came after the Fed has recently come under criticism by certain US economists who argue that it kept rates too low for too long, encouraging an artificial property boom. The subsequent crash led to a surge in repossessions, leaving lenders with huge losses, causing a financial contagion that spread around the world.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Tuesday up 144 points to 10,572, while the NASDAQ also rose 39 points to 2,308.71.

According to expert analysts, the US public pension system faces a higher-than-expected shortfall of more than $2,000 billion that will increase pressure on many states’ strained finances and crimp economic growth. Recent estimates of aggregate funding requirement of the US pension system have ranged between $400 billion and $500 billion, however recent speculation has concluded that public funds would need to find more than $2,000 billion to meet future pension obligation

Commodities prices are set to rise further this year as the global economy expands faster, according to an International Monetary Fund forecast, following the biggest annual price increase for raw materials in nearly four decades in 2009

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UK economy continues to shrink.

September 30th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment

financial news

The UK economy has contracted at a reduced rate for the April to June quarter. Gross domestic product (GDP) was reported to have fallen by 0.6% compared with the previous quarter, an improvement on the previous estimate of a 0.7% contraction. The latest improvement, coming mostly from the manufacturing and construction sectors, suggests that the UK is in recovery mode, and may even have grown in the third quarter.

Union leaders have accused Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) bosses of "taking another trip to Fantasy Island" over promises that there would be no job losses when a West Midlands plant is closed. Dave Osborne, national secretary for the UK car industry for Unite the union, launched a ferocious attack on JLR’s plans to close either Land Rover at Solihull or Jaguar at Castle Bromwich. Meanwhile, politicians in Coventry have reacted with surprise and sadness at Jaguar’s decision to close its wood veneer manufacturing centre at its Browns Lane plant, employing close to 400 people, within the next two years. In a recent interview, a JLR executive pledged that no job losses would come from the plant closure. However Osborne remained skeptical vowing that unions would not accept attacks on pensions nor reduced salary levels for new recruits

The word is that high street giant Marks & Spencer could have better news for investors after a difficult 18 months in second-quarter trading figures due out this week. After a 40% fall in annual profits shareholders had been hit by the first M&S dividend cut in nine years. However, recently chief executive Sir Stuart Rose has indicated that business had been steadily improving. First-quarter sales figures showed a further decline but were better than expected, causing M&S shares to increase in value by almost 25% since the end of May. At the time of the results, Sir Stuart warned that margins would shrink by up to 1.75% in the current year as the firm invested in price cuts and as a weaker pound harmed purchasing power.

Orange rated the UK’s third largest mobile operator in terms of subscribers, has pulled off a coup by signing a deal with Apple to market its popular iPhone in Britain. The deal, represents a significant setback for O2, currently the largest mobile operator in the country, who had held the exclusive British network for the iPhone. Orange is expected to start selling the iPhone in October, in time for the Christmas sales period.

The world’s leading supplier of heating and plumbing products Wolseley, have issued a warning of more job cuts, stating that it was impossible to predict when the difficult trading conditions might end. Wolseley have had to take drastic action to cope with the recession, among them reducing staff by 28,073, representing almost one third of their workforce. The company also initiated a £1 billion rights issue earlier this year as well as spinning its US building materials business, Stock Building Supply, into a joint venture.

London equities moved a little lower by the close after US markets slipped backwards following disappointing consumer confidence data. Financial stocks kept the FTSE 100 anchored over the 5,100-point mark. On yesterday’s trading, the FTSE 100 held firm, dropping just 5.98 points to close on 5,159.72, while the FTSE 250 continued to rise, up a further 46.17 points to 9,215.57

The pound made a recovery yesterday against the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.5928
  • Pound/Euro 1.10939
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 143.6783
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6531

The Dow Jones Industrial Average made a minor downwards adjustment dropping 6.8 points to close on 9,782.56. The NASDAQ remained stable, dropping just 1.13 points to 2129.61.

An unexpected fall in US consumer confidence for September, suggests that Americans are not as convinced that the economic recovery is as close as US policymakers would have them believe. The Consumer Confidence Index from the Conference Board business organisation slipped to 53.1 in September from 54.5 in August.

Meanwhile Japan’s core consumer prices dropped for the fourth successive month, 2.4% in August year-on-year, largely due to lower petrol and other energy costs as well as weak domestic demand.

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