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UK economy facing more redundancies

February 19th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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A recent report from the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD) has stated that the expected substantial cuts in the public sector, will mean that around one in three of the employers in the sector plan to shed jobs during the first quarter of 2010, which is now halfway through.

Despite the UK emerging from recession, CIPD’s latest quarterly survey found that the jobs outlook had worsened. UK unemployment currently stands at 2.46 million, with the number of people out of work steadily rising since the summer of 2008, despite a surprise fall in the three months to November.

British investors concerned about the outlook for UK inflation, consumer spending and the public finances following the recession, received some news that their fears would be confirmed. Inflation spiked up to a 14-month high of 3.5% in January, data released by the Office for National Statistics confirmed, as effects of the VAT hike and a number of other one-off factors such as the sharply falling oil and food prices of a year ago began to take their toll. The Bank of England’s forecasts suggest inflation should fall below the 2 per cent target in 2011 even though its latest analysis concedes that inflationary pressures are currently stronger than anticipated.

Taxpayers could be forced to wait five years before they start recouping the tens of billions of pounds spent propping up the banks.

UK Financial Investments, which oversees the Government’s stake in RBS, Lloyds and Northern Rock, fears it will be 2015 before it can sell off the shares.

It had hoped to start off-loading sooner after the bailout led by Chancellor Alistair Darling, but now believes that may not be possible without big losses. Officials, who have been careful not to give a timetable that could drive down share prices, are working on the basis of five years, while the Treasury fear that they may be forced to retain their minority stake for much longer.

According to a survey held by the Institute of Directors, sixty percent of UK companies who applied for a bank loan in 2009 ended up getting turned down. This sad and ridiculous situation has even led to company owners and directors being reduced to borrowing on their credit cards. Results of the Institute of Directors’ survey shows that the banks are simply not listening to Gordon Brown and Chancellor Alistair Darling orders to start lending again as payback for pumping £850 billion into the economy.

Even more of a cause for concern is that the report shows that 83% of businesses who were rejected for bank finance are also not receiving any information about alternative finance that may be available to them, including the Government’s Enterprise Finance Guarantee.

The report shows that increasingly more businesses, and especially the smaller ones, are turning to forms of expensive unsecured finance, such as credit cards, to get them through their short-term cash-flow problems. Particularly hard hit by the loan famine are small to medium sized UK companies whose desire to expand will be critical to creating jobs and dragging Britain out of recession.

On the same tack, credit card interest rates in the UK have climbed to their highest level since 1998. Millions now find themselves facing crippling repayments on their debts, despite the historically low Bank of England base rates. Average credit card interest has now soared to a staggering 18.8%, leaving consumers facing the prospect of paying more than 40% on the cash they have borrowed, an increase of 25% in the last four years.

Barclays Bank has announced an increase in their full-year profits of 92% in 2009. There full year profits were an outstanding £11.6 billion ($18.2 billion), with the figure being largely boosted by the sale of its BGI fund management arm to US firm BlackRock last year. Without the input from the sale of BGI, Barclays would have made just £5.3 billion, with £2.5 billion of that coming from their investment banking division…

Barclays, who did not take any direct state help during the financial crisis, also saw the level of its total bonus payouts rise to £2.7 billion, with £1.5 billion of that to be paid out for 2009 and a further £1.2 billion to be paid out over the coming three years.

Virgin Media are believed to be in the final stages of an agreement over the sale of its television channels to rival BSkyB. , the channels that are entirely owned and produced by Virgin Media, Virgin 1, Bravo, Challenge and Living, are due to be sold to BSkyB. Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp has a 39.1 percent share in BSkyB.

Meanwhile, Cheltenham based fashion retailer Supergroup, have announced that they ate to launch a flotation designed to rise up to £125 million pounds. If successful, the valuation of the company is expected to be around £400 million, roughly nine times Supergroup’s forecasted 2011 earnings

The pound fell back against the dollar, closing at 1.5633 while also slumping to 1.1453 against the Euro.

Overall, the FTSE 100 was stronger at 5,244.06, a rise of 58 points, and its sixth rise in seven trading days

Foreign demand for US Treasury bonds and notes in December fell by $53 billion as China was seen to be reducing its holdings. China cut its holdings by $34.2 billion, will still remaining the second-biggest US debt holder after Japan.

On Wall Street the Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to climb up 169.67 points at 10268.81. The NASDAQ gained a further 30.66 points to close on 2,214.19

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UK may be in the same bed with Spain and Greece.

February 10th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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According to a leading economist the UK should be classed with Greece and Spain, as countries carrying severe debt problems Not in agreement and understandably so are the UK Treasury sources who rebuked the suggestions that the UK was gradually becoming one of the poor relations of Europe by confirming that all of the three major credit-rating agencies had reaffirmed the UK’s triple A credit status.

Meanwhile Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling is the man faced with balancing the demands of investors and rating companies who fear that Britain’s top-level credit rating could be at risk, with the hopes of the UK public as well as some of his colleagues for an easing of taxation in the coming budget. Darling has already put the dampers on a lot of people’s hopes that this year’s budget will not be too populist, in a move to win votes for the general election that is due to follow a few months later

“People in the U.K. will want the budget to be realistic,” Darling was quoted as saying. “No one is looking for giveaways; that’s not the mood.” He summed up. Darling said voters realize the need to reduce Britain’s record budget deficit having already vowed to more than halve the £176 billion-pound deficit by 2014 starting next year.

Britain’s budget shortfall, which the Treasury estimates at about 12 percent of gross domestic product this year, is the biggest among the Group of 20 nations.

Dividends paid out shareholders by UK companies were honed back by to the tune of £10 billion in 2009, according to recent research.

Total dividends paid out by British listed companies amounted to £56.9 billion last year, down 15 per cent on 2008. The figures would have been considerably worse for investors if it not had been for the contribution of just five leading UK companies, with almost fifty percent of all dividends paid out coming from them. The e British business heroes were by BP, Shell, HSBC, Vodafone and GlaxoSmithKline. A sign of the shifting sands in the UK trading picture is that as recently as 2007, these companies accounted for 35 percent of the total dividend payout.

All the UK banks combined cut their dividends by half, adding up to around £6 billion less in dividends than in 2008. Performing particularly poorly was the high-street sector whose dividend payouts fell by 62 per cent.

At the recent meeting of the Group of Seven finance ministers’ tacit agreement was reached to draw up as set of common rules designed to force banks to pay for possible failures similar to the current one, which led to taxpayers being forced to take on trillions of dollars in liabilities.

The ministers said the world’s most advanced economies should adopt common rules as long as other major countries also agree. Apparently the G-7 is moving closer to an agreement on a bank insurance levy, one of a range of options proposed by the U.K. in November.

Already Sweden has taken the first step forward by creating a fund financed by their banks to help safeguard its financial system. In terms of the agreement, Swedish banks are required to make annual payments to the fund. The Swedish government injected 15 billion kronor (£1.2 billion) into the fund when it was set up, as well adding funds that had previously held in Sweden’s deposit guarantee fund.

According to government estimates, interest from the funds deposited by banks and on the money in the fund means it will swell to 150 billion kronor, or 2.5 percent of Sweden’s gross domestic product, by 2023.

U.K. stocks rose for first time in four days, led by a rebound in mining companies. The FTSE 100 Index increased 50.2 points to 5,111.84 at close of business in London.

The pound dropped to its lowest level in more than eight months against the dollar as growing concerns over the UK’s fiscal situation began to weigh on the currency. Sterling closed at 1.5701 and at 1.1388 against the Euro. The Euro has lost a lot of its attractions recently and was down to an eight-month low of 1.3583 against the dollar.

On Wall Street things were looking up. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished up 74 points at 10058.64. The NASDAQ gained 15 points to close on 2,150.87.

Honda has added close to half a million cars to its existing global safety recall list. The problem this time is over airbag inflation problems mostly affecting cars sold in North America, with others Japan, Mexico, Taiwan and Australia due for recall. There was also further bad news for e Japanese carmakers Toyota after they were forced to recalled nearly half a million hybrid cars over faulty brakes, and millions of other models will need to be brought back to dealerships worldwide, suffering from accelerator and floor mat problems.

General Motors’ (GM) Opel unit has announced their plans to will invest 11 billion Euros (£9.7 billion) in introducing new product ranges over the next five years. Opel’s investment plan to breaking even within two years, a move that will entail cutting 8,300 jobs across Europe as well as the closure of at least one company plant in Antwerp, Belgium. Opel are trying to persuade

European governments to provide them with billions of Euros in loans to help the company’s plan to return to profitability.

India has announced that its economy is looking at growth levels by 7.2% in the year to the end of March. Government stimulus measures helped to maintain strong growth during the global downturn, but attention is now turning towards cooling rising prices, raising the chance that state support could soon be withdrawn. Many financial analysts also expect the government to raise interest rates earlier than expected. Strong growth in manufacturing in India is helping to compensate for falling agricultural output.

Oil prices rose and base metals moved higher as commodity markets managed a partial recovery after a sharp sell-off in the previous week US crude oil prices traded above the $71 a barrel.

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Myners rules out the Obama way for UK banks

January 25th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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City minister Lord Myners, in a recent speech played down suggestions that Britain might follow in US President Barack Obama’s footsteps in introducing radical reforms to the UK banking system.

Myners stated that the UK had already taken sufficient measures to address the problems in its banking industry.

"President Obama came out with a solution to the idiosyncratic problems that he sees in the American banking system, based particularly around the investment banking" pointed out Milner "It’s worth remembering that proprietary trading, hedge funds, private equity, these were not at the heart of the difficulties that Northern Rock, or Royal Bank of Scotland or HBOS experienced." He summed up.

Alistair Darling, UK chancellor, was also reported to be against duplicating Obama’s moves to split commercial and investment banks.

Meanwhile U.K. Prime Minister Gordon Brown is expected to announce details of the release of £125 million pounds of venture capital aimed towards "low-carbon" businesses. The move is aimed to support his argument that the government should continue spending to bolster the UK economy.

The first slice of money from the Innovation Investment Fund will be released on Jan. 26th, according to an announcement on the prime minister’s official Web site.

“On Tuesday our new innovation investment fund will show our commitment to the industries and the technologies that will create the skilled jobs of the future,” Brown promised. “What is increasingly clear is that determined and active government can and does make a difference.” He continued

Public sector borrowing for December in the UK was lower than forecast,, However the government’s hopes of meeting its deficit target for the fiscal year still remain dependent on January’s tax receipts. However tax income for January, which is a key month for self-assessment, capital gains and corporation tax income, is expected to be down. This is due to reduced income and capital gains for 2008-09, when the UK economy was in the midst of recession. On a positive note UK financial analysts have pointed to the fact that recent receipts were stronger than predicted, with December’s income only 0.4 percent down on the previous year, favourable when compared with the average of 8.1 percent decline for 2009.

The Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) plans to sell its U.S. trading business for $2 billion to JPMorgan could be in doubt following President Obama’s recent ban on banks trading on their own account. RBS has been urgently trying to complete the sale of their a 50 per cent stake in RBS Sempra Commodities, by the end of next week which would have been bound to create a much more positive view of their annual results due to be released by Feb. 25th. On the news of the positive standoff, RBS, saw their shares fall 0.64 pence to 34.68 pence

Northern Rock and the Post Office have announced cuts to their mortgage rates believed to be in response to Skipton Building Society’s shock increase to its standard variable rate, which rose from 3.5 per cent to 4.95 per cent. A spokesman for the Skipton quoted "exceptional circumstances" had forced them to renege on promises that their lending rate would not rise more than three per cent above the Bank of England base rate.

The first two British banks to come under state control are looking increasingly likely to be merged, in a controversial change of direction by the EU in Brussels. The EU is apparently on the verge of approving the state aid package that Bradford & Bingley received from British taxpayers, opening the door for their buy-to-let mortgage book to be merged with Northern Rock’s so-called ‘toxic bank’. The merger, which UK government officials have been working on for several months, comes in the wake of public pressure to remove some of Northern Rock’s taxpayer-funded benefits, including the customer savings guarantees held in the "good of non toxic "part of the bank.

British Airways has issued some fairly heavy threats to their cabin crew who are threatening strike action. If they do so they stand to lose some of the traditional perks of the job, and on a permanent basis. These include the ability to book standby flights for themselves and nominated friends or family at a 90% discount , as well as the standard of hotels that crew are put up in overnight while they are away would be substantially reduced.

The airline says a strike would have serious financial implications leaving them with no option but to cut staff benefits.

British Telecom, in a move to woo broadband customers from rival operators, has unveiled an aggressive pricing strategy. The fixed-line telephone company is to offer consumers high-speed broadband based on optical fibre for £20 pounds, eight pounds cheaper than a comparable service offered by Virgin Media. An executive at BT’s retail unit, announced that the company goal is to attract "customers to come back to BT for all their services." BT’s optical fibre broadband will be predominantly based in towns and cities, and is expected to be capable of servicing more than 40 percent of UK homes by mid-2012.

According to BSkyB their High Definition marketing campaign was a Christmas marketing hit will full details due to be revealed in their forthcoming half year results due to be released this week. The results are expected to show that capitalising on the stay at home ethos typical of a recession was a shrewd move, with Sky offering a free HD box for customers who signed up for their film channels. City analysts are expecting the company to produce strong results, with turnover up by an estimated £2.8 billion, and a customer base up by around 300,000 new HD subscribers.

The fast food chain McDonalds are looking to create 5,000 new jobs in the UK in 2010 after seeing an 11 percent rise in sales over 2009. McDonalds currently operate close to 1200 outlets in the UK. The new jobs would come from the opening of up to 15 new branches in 2010 and the extension of opening hours in existing outlets. The UK jobs being created would take McDonald’s workforce to 85,000 in this country. A spokesman for the company announced that McDonald’s had increased UK like-for-like sales by 30 percent over the last four years.

Triumph, the UK motorcycle maker have announced an amazing upsurge in interest in their product with new bike sales for Triumph were up 26 per cent in 2009, at 7,450. This means that the company outperformed industry leader, the Japanese Kawasaki company for the first time since the early 1980s. Triumph has now captured 13 per cent of the British market and in the past year witnessed their global market share rise from 3.3 per cent to 4.4 per cent. Turnover in 2009 increased seven per cent to £304 million.

Sterling fell slightly against the dollar and the Europe before the weekend. The pound closed at 1.6118 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.1404

Shares in the FTSE 100 recovered some of their earlier falls closing on

Friday down by 0.6% at 5,302.99, Fears that the US President’s sweeping reforms would affect UK banks were seeing to recede.

In the US stock markets tumbled for a second consecutive day, over continued concern over President Obama’s plan to revamp the US banking industry.

The Dow Jones plunged by 216 points, to close at 10172.98, while the NASDAQ fell by 60 points, to finish at 2205.29.

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Iceland takes cold feet on repaying the three billion.

January 7th, 2010 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Recession, Retail, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

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Iceland’s president has refused to sign a controversial bill to repay £3.1 billion previously promised to the UK and the Netherlands. The news came after Iceland’s President Olafur Ragnar Grimsson announced a change of a heart following public protest and instead the country will now hold a referendum on the bill, which was designed to compensate governments forced to bail out their savers with Icesave accounts following Iceland’s banking crisis.

Legislation to repay the money was approved by Iceland’s parliament in December, but the approval of the president is also required before it can be passed into law.

Things must be getting strained again between Alistair Darling and Gordon Brown who were reported to have contradicted each other once again and in public. The contradiction was on that hot potato over how to handle public spending. Darling was reported to have argued that revenue from stronger than expected growth should be used to cut borrowing in a bid to allay the concerns of bond market investors, while Brown was said to be of the view that strong recovery may help to sustain spending, warding off fears of significant cuts to public services. Government officials hastened to deny a split between Brown and the chancellor. But they would, wouldn’t they.

Kraft have announced that they expect to increase the cash proportion in their offer to Cadbury in an attempt to make their bid more attractive to shareholders. The cash will come from the sale of its North American pizza business, strangely enough bought by erstwhile takeover bid competitors, Nestle who paid over £2 billion for a slice (of the company) .Meanwhile and contrary to recent speculation, Nestle have announced that they do not intend to table a takeover bid for Cadbury,. The company having been linked to a possible offer following Kraft Food’s hostile bid for Cadbury that was announced in December.

As part of their new strategic review, the English Premier League is looking to increase its international reach by inviting companies to become an official technology partner, aimed at tapping global opportunities more successfully. With current sponsorship making up just five per cent of the Premier League’s one billion pounds annual turnover, from sponsors that including Nike, Lucozade, Wrigley, and EA Sports, Topps Merlin and Sporting iD and title sponsors Barclays Bank.

One of the companies brave enough to raise their prices to match the return of VAT to its previous 17.5 per cent rate are Apple, who have increased the prices of many products on the Apple Store, including Macs. On 1 Jan 2010 the VAT level in the UK returned to 17.5 per cent, up from the reduced rate of 15 per cent (VAT is the UK term for sales tax). The UK government temporarily reduced the rate of VAT during 2009 to add some life into the UK economy, and it was thought that many of the UK’s leading retailers would continue to subsidise the increase, at least for January.

However Apple’s move seems likely to prompt some discussion surrounding the pricing of Apple products in general, which has steadily increased in the UK over the last two years.

Encouraging evidence of better retail conditions with record sales over the Christmas and New Year period were provided by the John Lewis employee-owned department store and chain. The company reported sales strongly ahead of the last two years that in the five weeks to January 2. John Lewis’s performance offers hope to retailers as they begin to release figures on their trading in the crucial festive period on Tuesday. John Lewis said total sales rose 15.8 per cent in the five weeks to January 2, compared with the same period a year earlier, while sales based on stores open at least a year were up 12.7 per cent.

On the stock exchange, shares in partly-nationalised Royal Bank of Scotland rose 9.9%, helped by analyst’s predictions that the bank is liable to "outperform" in 2010.

The FTSE 100 brought in the New Year and new decade by closing above 5,500 for the first time since the start of September 2008 – before the Lehman Brothers collapse, coming after a 22% rise over the whole of 2009 and a 53% rally from the low last March. The FTSE 100 closed on Tuesday on 5522.5.

Britain’s currency weakened possibly due to U.K. Business Secretary Peter Mandelson hints that the pound’s devaluation aided the economy in the recession.

  • Dollar 1,5967
  • Euro 1.1126

The chairman of the US Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke has blamed poor financial regulation for the financial crisis and defended the record of America’s central bank, whilst calling for urgent improvements to financial oversight to prevent a repeat of an economic storm that he said could ultimately prove to be "the worst in history".

In a recent speech, Mr Bernanke argued that low interest rates in the first five years of the new millennium were "appropriate" for the time and had not caused the "bubble" in US house prices. His reaction came after the Fed has recently come under criticism by certain US economists who argue that it kept rates too low for too long, encouraging an artificial property boom. The subsequent crash led to a surge in repossessions, leaving lenders with huge losses, causing a financial contagion that spread around the world.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed on Tuesday up 144 points to 10,572, while the NASDAQ also rose 39 points to 2,308.71.

According to expert analysts, the US public pension system faces a higher-than-expected shortfall of more than $2,000 billion that will increase pressure on many states’ strained finances and crimp economic growth. Recent estimates of aggregate funding requirement of the US pension system have ranged between $400 billion and $500 billion, however recent speculation has concluded that public funds would need to find more than $2,000 billion to meet future pension obligation

Commodities prices are set to rise further this year as the global economy expands faster, according to an International Monetary Fund forecast, following the biggest annual price increase for raw materials in nearly four decades in 2009

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Looks like it’s going to be a stay-at-home Christmas as transports strike spreads.

December 18th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Exchage Rate, Global Credit Crisis, Recession, Stocks and shares, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

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Heathrow baggage handlers and Eurostar train drivers have said they are ready to join British Airways cabin crew and strike in the lead-up to Christmas. Following a breakdown in talks with managers over pay, British Eurostar drivers announced they will go on strike on Friday and Saturday. Unite, the union representing BA cabin crew, said the 500 baggage handlers and check-in staff it covered at Heathrow and Aberdeen airports also planned to strike over pay from Tuesday 24th December, the same day that BA cabin crew are set to commence their 12-day strike action.

Meanwhile an operation is under way to recover the UK thousands of people left stranded after Flyglobespan, Scotland’s biggest airline, collapsed. After their parent company, Globespan, entered administration on Wednesday. Around 4,500 passengers were stranded by the airline’s collapse, mostly in Spain, Portugal, Cyprus and Egypt, with the Civil Aviation Authority expected to be repatriating about 1,100 of those stuck overseas.

A recent poll has shown that UK business leaders have become more gloomy about the recovery of the British economy over the last month, with only 36 percent of business leaders sensing that a financial recovery is in the offing, down from 49 percent in November.

The survey, taken in the five days after Finance Minister Alistair Darling’s pre-budget report last week, found the number of business leaders who had confidence in Darling had fallen five percentage points to 20 percent following the statement. Almost three-quarters of businessmen reckoned that Darling was "out of his depth" while less than a quarter believed he "understands business".

Public sector net borrowing in the UKs hit a record high of £20.3 billion in November, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics.

The public sector net debt as a percentage of overall UK economic output now stands at 60.2%, a considerably rise since the start of the financial crisis.

UK insurance companies also have little positive to report about, with worldwide premium income plunging 18% in 2008 to £215.3 billion, with 2009 also looking to be a fairly tough year. The financial crisis has had a definite effect on insurance rates, with premium income it falling almost 25% to £168.1 billion in 2008. The first nine months of this year, however, do show some promise. Long-term premium income was off 35% relative to the same period in 2008, but general insurance premiums gained 8% to £47.2 billion, mostly due to overseas business.

Virgin Group controlled by billionaire entrepreneur Richard Branson have announced the launch of a new company, designed to come to the rescue of consumers experiencing technical problems with their such as PCs as well as wireless networks not connecting. The opening of this new company, to be known as Virgin Digital Help, is Virgin’s up’s first new UK company in three years offers free online self-help guides such as "speed up" to make computers go faster, or "get connected" to fix links to printers or wireless networks .

Shareholders in Punch Taverns revolted on Wednesday over the pay for executives at Britain’s largest pub owner, voting against its remuneration policies, in one of the biggest shareholder protests over pay this year. 55 per cent of votes on the remuneration policies of the heavily indebted company were cast against them as shareholders objected to the scale of the awards given to executives in a year in which the group suspended dividend payments after its annual pre-tax loss quintupled to £406 million. While the vote on pay was advisory only, a spokesman for Punch announced that they are to conduct “a full review of the remuneration policy and its future implementation” in the wake of the result. The ABI, which represents shareholders that account for about 20 per cent of investments in the UK stock market, signalled its objection to the pay policies by issuing a “red top” alert to its members. Under a long-term incentive plan, Giles Thorley, chief executive, and three other executives were awarded shares worth 200 per cent of their base salary that would vest if total shareholder returns were in the top quartile of the company’s peers over three years. Mr Thorley earned a base salary of £525,000 during the 2008 financial year to August 23. The vote at the annual meeting came after the company warned slowing food sales and patchy trading at its leased estate were depressing profits. Punch shares fell 4.7 per cent to 77.3 pence.

Carphone Warehouse, broadband group TalkTalk and Channel 4 have opted into a joint venture between the BBC, ITV RTL’s AUDK.LU Five and BT to install internet video on television sets. The backing from all public service broadcasters and the UK’s two biggest broadband providers for the project to be known as Project Canvas will help it "secure the future of free-to-air broadcasting" in the Internet age. The venture partners will share an estimated £115 million in yearly costs over the next four years.

Rentokil Initial was among the talking points in the London market on Wednesday, with the stock registering its biggest gain since July.

The pest control-to-package delivery group bounced 4.8 per cent to 105 pence ahead of its relegation from the FTSE 100 next week, with Rentokil management already hinting of a further £150 million of cost savings expected for next year.

Shares in the U.K.’s second-largest drug-maker AstraZeneca Plc climbed 0.5 percent to 2,843 pence after they won a U.S. panel’s backing to expand use of the cholesterol pill Crestor in the prevention of heart disease, a move that, if allowed, could add up to £300 million in annual sales.

Imperial Tobacco Group Plc Europe’s second- largest publicly traded cigarette company, lost 1 percent to 1,894 pence on threat that Japan, the fifth-largest tobacco market, are about to announce further tax increases on cigarettes . U.K. furnishings and clothes chain known for floral pattern Laura Ashley Holdings Plc added 3.8 percent to 13.75 pence, after analysts predicted a better 2010 for the company.

Barclays, Britain’s second-largest bank, slid 6.2 percent to 273.85 pence. HSBC Holdings Plc, Europe biggest, fell 3.5 percent to 684.1 pence.

Lloyds, the 43 percent government-owned bank, lost 8.1 percent to 51.1 pence, the steepest slump since May. Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc fell 3.5 percent to 30.74 pence.

Sterling lost ground against the dollar and improved against the Euro in sluggish mid week trading.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6167
  • Pound/Euro 1.1273

The benchmark FTSE 100 Index slid 102.65, or 1.9 percent, to 5,217.61. The index has rebounded 49 percent since March and is heading for its biggest annual gain since 1997 as central banks cut interest rates to record lows and governments worldwide committed about $12 trillion to revive the economy

As had been widely expected, the Federal Reserve have announced that US interest rates will be kept on hold at between 0% and 0.25%, despite continuing signs that the US economy is recovering. The central bank reiterated that rates would stay at the low level for an "extended period".

The Fed’s hand was strengthened by official data showing earlier on Wednesday that US inflation remains under control, rising by just 0.4% in November, as had been predicted.

With inflation continuing to be low, the Fed is not under pressure to increase interest rates as a means to tackle any inflationary pressure.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had dropped more than 130 points to 10, 33.61 while the NASDAQ also dropped to 2,183.55.

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Darling back pedals on VAT in pre-budget cuts

December 14th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Mortgages, Recession, Retail, UK Banks, UK Small Business, UK employment, World Banks

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Alistair Darling increased the levels of his undoubted popularity with the UK public by announcing some interesting cuts and about turns in his pre-budget cuts. The first was that VAT cut to 15% as recently as March in the Budget, is to be reversed as of 1 January 2010. Income tax bands are to be tampered with, meaning that people who earn £43,000 or more will feel the pain that little bit earlier. On the plus side national insurance bands are to be reduced downwards by a further 0.5% from April 2011, meaning that those earning less than £20,000 will no longer need to pay any contributions. State pensions and child benefits are also set to rise in April of next year.

Meanwhile it has been reported that U.K. consumer confidence stayed close to the highest level in the past eighteen months in November as shoppers have become more hopeful for the economy’s prospects in the coming year. 2010. The proportion of shoppers expecting the economy to worsen in the next six months fell to its lowest level since the survey began in 2004.

As expected, the Bank of England has held UK interest rates at the record low of 0.5%, whilst announcing that there are to be no changes to its programme of pumping newly-created money into the economy – so-called quantitative easing (QE). The Bank cut interest rates to 0.5% in March of this year in an attempt to boost the recession-hit economy while in November; they announced that another £25 billion would be injected into it, taking the total planned under QE to £200 billion. The bank is expected to wait until the current QE programme runs out in January before considering whether it should be expanded. As Chancellor of the Exchequer Alistair Darling announced earlier this week that he would rather suffer criticism for removing economic support too late than too early, Bank of England policy makers are waiting for the final quarter results to see if Britain has finally escaped the recession, and if the £200 billion spent to aid growth has finally brought some results..

Meanwhile in his pre-budget cuts speech, Darling appeared to back away from the bank bonuses issue, by announcing that there will be no windfall tax on banks, but they will pay a one-off levy of 50% on any bonus above £25,000

The number of loans approved for house purchase rose to 55,300 in October, up 9 percent from September and 43 percent higher on a year ago, the Council of Mortgage Lenders said on Thursday. According to an industry body, the amount of buyers has risen from its lowest point in January 2009 when only 23,000 loans were advanced. The number of loans for remortgaging remained weak, however, unchanged from September’s level of 33,000, one of the lowest levels since the series began in 2002.

Nokia have announced that they are to close their flagship store on London’s Regent Street, as a result of slow sales and poor customer traffic. The remainder of the company’s UK stores are to remain open. Nokia were reported to have spent £4 million creating the Regent Street store that was launched in February 2008, and will close in the first quarter of 2010, Seven other of Nokia’s UK stores, including its Heathrow Terminal 5 outpost, are set to receive a revamp.

Shares in Barclays Plc fell 3.2 percent, to 287.5 pence after allegations that they were withholding a “secret” $5 billion windfall profit from its purchase of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.’s North American brokerage, despite the fact that the gain was publicly disclosed before the sale closed 15 months ago.

Sterling continued to lose ground against the dollar on Thursday whilst rising slightly against the Euro, as implications of the UK government’s pre-Budget report weighed on the currency,

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6278
  • Pound/Euro 1.1058

After the UK finance minister forecast that the UK economy will shrink by 4.75 percent this year, rather than the earlier prediction of a 3.25 percent to 3.75 percent decline, the FTSE 100 fell by 0.37 percent to 5,203.89, while the FTSE 250 dropped by 1.24 percent to 8,919.49.

The US trade deficit unexpectedly narrowed in October as exports rose to their highest level in almost a year, official figures have shown.

The deficit fell to £20.2 billion ($32.9 billion), 7.6% lower than September’s downwardly revised $35.7 billion figure.

Helped by the weaker value of the dollar, US exports increased by 2.6% to $136.8 billion, led by civilian aircraft, cars and computer chips.

Imports rose 0.4% to $169.8 billion. Analysts had predicted the deficit to expand to $36.8 billion.

The value of US exports was the highest since November 2008, the figures from the Commerce Department showed.

The trade deficit is now expected to widen again in 2010 as the US economy continues to recover and consumers buy more imported goods.

On close of trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 120 points to 10,405.83 and the NASDAQ also rose 21 points to close on 2,190.86.

According to the latest figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia’s unemployment rate fell in November to 5.7% from 5.8% in November, The figures came as a surprise to many analysts who had expected an increase to 5.9%. Australia is one of the few developed economies not to have fallen into recession like its counterparts throughout the world. The Australian economy has benefited from an increase in commodity prices, while exports have received a boost due to demand from China for its iron ore and other raw materials.

Official figures have revealed that orders for Japanese machinery orders fell by 4.5% in October compared with the previous month, with analysts expecting a fall of just 4.3%. The figures come just a day after the Cabinet Office revealed that the Japanese economy grew at a far slower rate in the third quarter than previous estimates showed.

Meanwhile, the price of crude oil dropped on new data from the US Energy Information Administration showing that gasoline stockpiles grew last week while demand declined. The price of oil dipped below $70 a barrel, falling to a two-month low, amid continuing concerns over demand.

US crude for January delivery fell 84 cents to $69.81 a barrel, before settling at $70.13 as it lost ground for the seventh consecutive day.

London Brent crude fell 81 cents to $71.58 a barrel.

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Treasury justified in banks bail out

December 7th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, World Banks

financial news

The Treasury was "justified" in using taxpayers’ money to bail out banks to protect the wider financial system, according to an official report.

The National Audit Office (NAO) review said the cost to the UK public so far totalled £850 billion.

"It is difficult to imagine the scale of the consequences for the economy and society if major banks had been allowed to collapse," the NAO said.

It said that the final cost to the taxpayer will not be known for "years".

During the financial crisis, the UK government nationalized Northern Rock and took stakes in the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) and Lloyds Banking Group in return for bailing them out.

RBS also put £282 billion of its assets into a government insurance scheme for toxic assets.

Despite the fact that Royal Bank of Scotland has signaled that it will succumb to pressure to pay its high-flying investment bankers substantially less than rival institutions amid an escalating row with the government, it is feared that Alistair Darling may still be heading for a potentially disastrous showdown with the bank over their plans to pay £1.5 billion in bonuses to its staff.

RBS which is 70 per cent owned by taxpayers, is hoping to avoid the high-stakes showdown after it was forced to give the Treasury the final say over the total size of its bonus pool as a condition of signing up to a scheme that will insure £240 billion in toxic assets, with hints coming from the bank that pay-outs in its investment banking division would be “at the low, low end of the scale”. They also hastened to send out a veiled threat, that reduced pensions and bonuses could meant them losing experienced staff to competitors. The bank is confident of forging an agreement with the government after it emerged that RBS directors had sought legal advice about whether they would have to resign if the Treasury vetoed pay deals agreed by the board, Darling, who to be granted the right to veto bonus payments at the bank, is left with a dilemma of waving through potentially huge bonus pay-outs at RBS just months before a general election or plunging the bank, which has already received unprecedented support from taxpayers despite widespread fury over bonus levels, into further crisis.

The value of UK commercial real estate debt in default or in breach of key lending agreements more than doubled to about £30 billion in the first six months of the year, adding pressure on the banking sector, a survey has revealed. Banks have also extended or refinanced an extra £16 billion in the first-half of the year, rolling over maturing debt that could not be paid back by cash-strapped borrowers or restructuring loans when breaches were threatened owing to the steep fall in values. This strategy has been dubbed “extend and pretend”, with some banks even refusing to test loan covenants, given a reluctance to crystallize losses by selling the property asset or the debt attached to it. De Montfort University, which compiles the most comprehensive study of the sector, announced that banks are beginning to deal with the massive £224 billion of outstanding debt to the real estate sector.

Lord Mandelson, business secretary, on Friday issued a blunt warning to Kraft and hedge fund investors that they will face “huge opposition” from the British government if a takeover of Cadbury is used as a means to make “a fast buck” The comments represent a government intervention that is unprecedented in recent years, extending the business minister’s policy of “industrial activism” into a live bidding situation. Meanwhile a strategy appears to be emerging to fend off a hostile takeover from Kraft. The Cadbury strategy emphasizes the value of its brand image and its emerging markets footprint as well as highlighting the progress made on during their restructuring program

Kingfisher, the owner of B&Q DIY stores, has cut net debt by 90 per cent since the start of 2008 and on Thursday confirmed its debt burden at the end of the financial year will be lighter than previously forecast. Net debt fell to £200 million in the third quarter and Kingfisher forecasts net debt of about £300 million at its year end in January, an improvement on previous guidance, which was for £800 million.

The pound continued to lose value strongly against the dollar and the Euro before the weekend.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.471
  • Pound/Euro 1.1086

U.K. stocks climbed, with the FTSE 100 Index extending this week’s advance, after a government report showed the U.S. rate of unemployment declined in November.

The FTSE 100 climbed 9.36 points to 5,322.36, bringing this week’s gain to 1.5 percent. The measure has rebounded 52 percent from its low on March 3 as governments committed about $12 trillion and central banks cut interest rates to record lows to end the global recession and revive credit markets.

US labor Department figures show that unemployment rate fell in November to 10% from 10.2% in October, meaning that 11,000 jobs went over the month, a figure far lower than expected by most analysts.

On Friday’s trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.2 per cent to 10,388.22 and the NASDAQ was up 1 per cent to 2,194.35.

The price of gold price has taken a surprise slump after surprisingly positive US unemployment data sent the US dollar higher, making gold a less attractive investment.

Gold fell more than $65, or 5%, to $1,161.4 an ounce, down from a record high of $1,226.56 in early trading.

After the release of figures showing that the US jobless rate was on the decrease, the dollar gained 2% on the Japanese yen and 1.3% on the euro.

As the dollar weakened due to low interest rates in the US, gold has hit a number of record highs in recent weeks

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UK – The sick man of Europe

November 23rd, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Retail, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The UK looks like being in the financial doldrums for years to come, largely due to placing too much faith n the financial service sector and not enough on building up the heavy to medium sized industries that once made Britain Great. Financial experts are now convinced that that the reasons why the UK is taking longer than their European rivals to move out of the recession is too much of an emphasis been placed on saving the banks and too little on pushing industry forward as the French and German governments succeeded in doing. The mood on the street is that Britain has got to get a grip on its public finances.

This mood is emphasized by recent statements made by head of the Confederation of British Industry General Richard Lambert who reminded all of us that didn’t know it that how to reduce the 175 billion pound deficit will become a major battleground ahead of the next election, due next year, which the Conservatives are expected to win. General Lambert did point out that in his opinion there is very little to choose between both main parties’ deficit-reduction plans.

Meanwhile public borrowing in 2009 is almost treble what it was the previous t year with some analysts even forecasting that could even surpass the government’s forecast of £175 billion pounds, equivalent to no less than 12 percent of GDP. Chancellor Alistair Darling, who for some reason thinks he will be around to make it happen, has pledged to halve the deficit within the next four years and to even balance the budget by 2018, although he has yet to explain how.

What does appear likely to happen in the near future is that the UK Financial Services Authority (FSA) begins responsibility for financial stability as well as market regulation, consumer protection and investigating financial crime in the UK. Under a new bill that entered Parliament yesterday, to be known as the. Financial Services bill, a formal three-member Council for Financial Stability will be created. The council will consist of the finance minister, the governor of the Bank of England and the head of the FSA, who will be jointly responsible for overseeing UK financial stability. The Treasury will also start be held responsible for publishing annual reports on the stability of the UK financial system. The FSA will also gain long awaited veto power over bankers’ pay arrangements. This new authority will allow them to act if they believe that a bank employee’s contract would damage the bank’s risk management.

A recent survey has predicted that it may take until 2014 for UK property prices to return to the levels they peaked at in 2007 peak, the height of the country’s biggest housing boom.

After a surprise rebound this year, the survey predicts that U.K. house prices will probably fall next year, with predictions of an average drop of about 1.6 percent being bandied about.

The 7 percent gain in average prices in the UK that have been going on since April were driven by a shortage of properties for sale and are unlikely to be sustained, while Britain’s longest recession on record fuels unemployment and makes banks hesitant to lend.

National Grid, the company that operates electricity and gas networks in the UK as well as in the US, has reported a 16 per cent rise in underlying pre-tax profit for the six months to the end of September. The rise comes despite a steep fall in energy use, demonstrating what the company describes the success of their extremely low risk business model. Pre-tax profits, were £649 million in the first half of 2009, up from £91 million from the equivalent period of 2008. The company benefited from the favourable effect of 2008’s high UK retail price inflation, which governs the charges that National Grid is allowed to earn from energy suppliers for using its networks. The company was also helped by the steep fall in interest rates, as about a third of its debt is at floating rates.

The world’s largest maker of household cleaners Reckitt Benckiser is close to a “multibillion pound cross-border transaction,” most likely candidate being industry giant Colgate. The news added 1.1 percent to Reckitt’s shares which closed at 3,140 pence.

Brewers SABMiller Plc who produces the Pilsner Urquell and Miller Genuine Draft beers among others saw their shares rise 3.4 percent to 1,714 pence on trading before the weekend. The rise was a result of their announcement of first-half profits that beat analysts’ estimates, as well their plans to launch a four year cost reduction program to save around £200 million annually by 2014.

U.K. pub owner Fuller Smith & Turner Plc, producers of London Pride ale, has announced first-half profits up 47 percent, as the company benefited from acquisitions and by selling more of its own beer brands. A spokesman for the company said that they expect the second half to be “significantly tougher,” as factors including good weather and the benefits of the purchases are unlikely to be repeated The company has added 11 pubs over the past year, seven in central London acquired from Punch Taverns Plc.

There was a lot of movement on the FTSE 100 before the index closed for the weekend. In the travel sector both Thomas Cook and Tui Travel sank at least 4 percent. Wolseley Plc and Taylor Wimpey Plc led a retreat among home builders after reports that unemployment will continue to force down property prices. Cable & Wireless Plc added 1.8 percent after positive market reports on the company’s performance.

The pound fell against the dollar, the euro and the yen on concern that the U.K.’s worst budget deficit since records began will hamper the nation’s recovery. The pound slid to its lowest level in more than two weeks against the U.S. currency. Britain’s £11.4 billion-pound budget deficit in October was the worst for the month since records began in 1993, according to data released on Friday by the Office for National Statistics.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6504
  • Pound/Euro 1.1099
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 146.7564
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6803

U.K. stocks declined for a fourth day with the benchmark FTSE 100 Index slipped 0.3 percent to 5,251.41, bringing this week’s loss to 0.9 percent. The gauge has rebounded 50 percent from this year’s low on March 3 amid signs government stimulus policies and record-low interest rates are leading the UK economy out of recession, albeit at a slow pace. The FTSE 250 dropped another 70 points to close on 9,167.60

Stateside the Dow Jones average had a quiet day on Friday; closing on 10318.16 The NASDAQ dropped just ten points on the day’s trading to close on 2146.04.

Gold maintained a grip near its all-time high while oil prices dipped and base metals eased as commodity markets paused for breath after their recent strong run.

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BA merger good news for British tourists says Walsh

November 16th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Employment, Energy Prices, Exchage Rate, Gold, Retail, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK employment, World Banks

financial news

The planned merger, between British Airways and Spanish carrier Iberia Lineas Aereas de Espana SA, which is expected to get regulatory backing and be concluded by the end of next year, will create the world’s third largest airline.

According to Willie Walsh, British Airways (BA) chief executive the planned merger with Iberia is "great news for British Airways, our customers and our shareholders". His comments came after British Airways Plc agreed to the $7 billion merger ending more than a year of talks on a tie-up, largely aimed at fighting a slump in travel and closing the gap with competitors.

Under the all-share deal, British Airways investors will own about 55 percent of the business. The merger due to be completed by late 2010 is still subject to cancellation by Iberia if BA fails to resolve their pressing pension deficit issues.

UK engineering firm Rolls-Royce have announced that they have been awarded contracts to produce aircraft engines to the value of £1.2 billion, The engines will be used to power Airbus planes for Air China and Ethiopian Airlines. Rolls Royce made the announcement the first day of the Dubai Airshow on Sunday. The engines are scheduled to be delivered in stages from 2011 to 2017.

According to representatives from one of the UK’s most powerful unions, Unite, the leading banks have still to absorb the reasons behind the current credit crisis, and continue to set unrealistic sales targets for their staff in order for them to earn their salaries. Instead they continue to apply pressure

On staff to promote financial products, often to those who can ill afford them.

The union says that legislation forcing banks to pay theory staff higher basic salaries and placing less emphasis on bonuses should be implemented. The new breed of British bank should instead focus on high standards of customer service and pay fair wages for all staff. The British government will announce legislation next week giving regulators the power to stop bankers from pocketing big bonuses that could destabilize the financial system, a newspaper reported Saturday. Treasury chief Alistair Darling told the Sunday Telegraph that the new Financial Services Bill will allow financial watchdogs to cancel pay packages that reward undue risk-taking. The bill is due to be announced Wednesday as part of the Queen’s Speech, in which the government lays out its plans for the next session of Parliament.

Darling was quoted as saying that the legislation would give the Financial Services Authority the power to cancel contracts that breach a banking remuneration code agreed by the Group of 20 nations earlier this year. The regulator could fine banks that fail to comply.

Liberty International, the U.K.’s biggest shopping-center owner, added 3.9 percent to 504 pence. British Land, the U.K.’s second-largest real estate investment trust, rallied 2.8 percent to 498.2 pence. Land Securities Group Plc, the largest real estate investment trust, added 2.3 percent to 726.5 pence.

Investment Property Databank Ltd. today said the average value of U.K. stores, offices and warehouses rose 1.9 percent in October, a third month of gains, and the steepest advance since December 2005.

The total return for commercial real estate, which measures the change in capital values and rental income, rose by 2.5 percent in October.

U.K. supermarkets are getting a record amount of sales from promotions as they attempt to lure shoppers before the holiday season. At big supermarkets, 35 percent of sales by value are on promotion, compared with 26 percent a year ago. This year’s level is a record high

Recent figures released show a continued improvement in recruitment activity in October, within the UK financial services sector. Job offers in the month increased by approximately 4%, which is accredited to a significant increase in recruitment activity by stock brokers. On the downside, investment banks are reported to be reducing their intake of new people.

Sterling retreated on Friday before the strengthening dollar, gaining only against the Yen.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6668
  • Pound/Euro 1.1201
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 149.3497
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6883

The FTSE closed at a 14-month high, aided by gains in property shares. At end of trading Friday the guide was up 20 points to 5,296.55. The FTSE 250 also rose, up 83 points to 9,373.74.

It is now official- The French and German economies, the Eurozone’s two largest, are out of recession.

Figures recently release show that both economies show both grew between July and September, Germany by 0.7% and France by 0.3%. However, both the French and German economies grew by less than analysts had expected.

Lagging behind is the UK, still apparently bogged down in their longest economic contraction since World War II.

Recent figures show that the US trade deficit unexpectedly widened by the largest amount in 10 years in September.

The trade gap, the difference between US imports and exports, grew 18.2% to $36.5 billion (£21.9 billion) from August.

Imports or the same period rose by 5.8%, the strongest increase since 1993, providing yet another indication that consumer spending is recovering.

The Dow Jones made a late rally on Friday, closing for the weekend up 52.30 points to 10280.22. The NASDAQ was seen to be holding its own, up just three points 2160.96.

Hewlett-Packard has announced that they are to acquire the 3Com company for $2.7 billion. A spokesman for HP projected that the acquisition will give HP an added edge in the data centre networking sector. The deal will give HP capabilities in a number of areas in which the company was lacking, he said. Both 3Com and HP have been strong in the small and mid-size business networking space, However analysts predict that the addition of 3Com to their stable will create for HP an enterprise data switch portfolio to better compete with main rivals, Cisco.

Leaders of the 21 nation Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation group(Apec) who are meeting have gathered in Singapore for the annual meeting of the have proclaimed that Asia is leading the world out of recession. Their claims may be backed by the announcement last month from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that the Asian economy is expected to grow by 2.75% in 2009 and 5.75% in 2010. These projections compare very well with the flat to negative growth in the US and Western Europe. Statistics which can be seen to reflect the shifting balance of power between the US and Asia.

Gold prices were receding before the weekend, after rising above the $1,100 mark in the previous session. On the other hand crude oil prices were steadying after dropping more than $2 a barrel, which analysts interpreted as being because of fears of reduced US demand.

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Its Lloyd and RBS out of the high street, and Richard Branson and PayPal in.

November 4th, 2009 by tom | 0 Comments | Filed in Central banks, Daily News, Debt, Exchage Rate, Gold, Recession, Saving, Stocks and shares, The Markets, UK Banks, UK Small Business, World Banks

financial news

The announcements that Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) and Lloyds Banking Group are to sell off hundreds of branches has added a smile to the face of.

Alistair Darling as well as the European Commission, who had insisted that the banks sell off some of their branches. In a recent statement, the chancellor confirmed his opinion that the sales, were in the "best interest" of the wider UK banking sector.

Lloyds will dispose of more than 600 branches over the next four years, while RBS will sell 318 of their high street outlets. The Spanish banking group, Santander will be allowed to bid for Royal Bank of Scotland’s branches when they are put up for sale. Under competition rules agreed between London and Brussels, Santander will be eligible to bid for some of the branches as the currently hold less than 8 per cent of the UK small business lending market. Meanwhile, Sir Richard Branson is reported to be interested in moving into the world of high street banking as his Virgin Money group has applied to the Financial Services Authority (FSA) for a banking licence.

There are even some contentious rumors around that no less a company than PayPal might find them on the UK high street. Reports have it that PayPal already have an EU banking license, granted to them in May 2007, so why not a place for the outsiders!

Britain’s fourth-biggest supermarket group, WM Morrison have sent a message to their major suppliers that they will be looking for increased support for their increased and more aggressive promotion campaigns, The campaigns are aimed to increase their market share in what has become an increasingly competitive market. Morrison’s move comes as the prices of basic food stuffs begin to drop.

Europe’s biggest low-cost airline Ryanair announced on Monday that it is considering slowing down its rapid expansion program, and instead break with tradition by distributing cash earmarked to buy new aircraft to their shareholders instead. The company raised the possibility of the strategic shift while announcing a 46 per cent rise in second-quarter profits. The company has kept its full-year profit forecast steady, although they expect that figures for the third and fourth quarters will be less than rosy.

Sterling continued to weaken against the dollar, whilst rising slightly against the Euro and holding its own against the rest of the major currencies.

  • Pound/US dollar 1.6398
  • Pound/Euro 1.1168
  • Pound/Japanese Yen 148.3102
  • Pound/Swiss Franc 1.6874

The FTSE spent time under the 5,000-point mark on Tuesday with banking stocks taking the biggest toll. At close of trading, the FTSE 100 was seen to be holding its own on 5,037.2.

The FTSE 250 continues to suffer from a consistent run of heavy losses, falling more than 15% of its peal of 10,000 just a few weeks ago. At close of trading yesterday it was sitting on 8,756.68.

Troubled US commercial lender CIT Group, filed for bankruptcy on Sunday after attempts at a restructuring or bail-out failed. In a statement, CIT, who have been a key figure on the American banking scene for more than a century, announced that they had requested that the court quickly confirm its prepackaged bankruptcy plan. The plan, which has broad support from its debt holders, and in particular from Carl Icahn its billionaire investor. Icahn has agreed to provide a $1 billion line of credit, allowing the company to remain confident that they would be able to emerge from bankruptcy by the end of the year.

The US Dow Jones index made some recoveries from the last two days trading; up 61 points to 9,774.1 The NASDAQ were also fairly stable, reaching 2047.46.

The market was taken by surprise by the announcement of a swing to profitability by the auto manufacturing giant Ford. The company posted its first quarterly profit in more than a year, thanks to the implementation of cost-cutting and the government’s “cash-for-clunkers” rebates helped produce earnings of nearly $billion, or 29 cents a share, during the third quarter. Shares in Ford closed up 8.3 per cent at $7.58.

Australia’s economy continues to be the rising star of the global economies, so much so that it central bank has increased its interest rate for the second consecutive month, up a quarter percent to 3.5%. The Australian economy is the only one in the developed world to expand in the first half of 2009, with the continent largely managing to steer clear of recession, only entering into negative growth for the last quarter of 2008. The bank’s confidence was justifiably increased by the release last week of the lowest inflation figures in Australia for 10 years.

The price of gold price hit a fresh record high on Tuesday as India agreed to buy 200 tonnes of bullion from the International Monetary Fund. The move caused traders to speculate that there would be further purchases by the emerging economies. India’s purchase valued at around $6.7 billion, accounts for half of the IMF’s expected disposal of gold and signals a growing appetite among developing countries’ central banks for bullion in the wake of the global economic and financial crisis, coming after China had revealed earlier in the year that it had quietly almost doubled its gold reserves to become the world’s fifth-biggest holder.

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