Interest rate hike expected as inflation sores.

With an earlier than expected rise in inflation, which soared to 2.9% in December, interest rates could be rising sooner than expected in 2010.

The reading for the consumer prices index (CPI) came in well above the expected 2.4% figure making for the largest ever rise in inflation over a single month, according to figures issued by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Reasons given were reduced s discounting from retailers in the run-up to Christmas and fuel prices remaining unchanged compared with sharp falls a year earlier.

The Bank of England had already expressed fears that inflation would rise this year, but this high figure will curtail the bank’s efforts to store up inflationary pressures while kick-starting the economy out of recession.

The Bank’s target for CPI inflation for 2010 is 2% and the jump to 2.9% puts its policymakers in a delicate position. While higher than expected inflation would force them to raise rates before the economy has properly recovered.

The head of the International Monetary Fund head has again warned that the global economy could yet experience another downturn, known in financial circles as a double dip recession.

Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said countries should rush to exit from stimulus packages that have bolstered growth through huge amounts of government spending and that it is too early for policy makers to withdraw stimulus that’s driving the global recovery.

“The global economy is recovering, even if its recovery is fragile,” Strauss-Kahn said in a recent speech. "While a plan to withdraw emergency measures “should be designed today” it should not yet be “implemented” because world economies are still dependent on government support and private demand remains weak" Strauss-Kahn has previously voiced his opinion that the world’s economic recovery is occurring “sooner and stronger” than anticipated. More than $2 trillion in government spending around the world has spurred growth, pulling economies out of a recession spurred by a meltdown in the U.S. housing market. Separately, Germany and France raised their growth forecasts for the year. Strauss-Kahn went on to add that China and Asian economies are leading the recovery.

British Airways cabin crew is to vote again on possible strike action, according to a recent announcement from the Unite union.

A spokesman for Unite predicted that a fresh ballot of its members would be held in the near future. The move came after recent talks with BA failed to find a resolution to a long-running dispute. BA announced in reply that they were "saddened but not surprised" by the decision, whilst promising to make every effort to allow talks to continue. If talks fail, a strike could begin as early as March if cabin crew vote in favour of industrial action.

BA had already planned a 12-day strike for Christmas last year which was blocked by a court injunction.

The long protracted takeover of Cadbury by US food company Kraft now appears to be going forward after the Cadbury board approved a new increased bid. Cadburys will now advise their shareholders to accept a new offer of 840 pence a share – valuing the company at £11.5 billion ($18.9 billion). Shareholders will also receive a dividend of 10 pence a share.

The additional cash represents a 90 per cent premium to the Cadbury share price before the deal was announced and a 50 per cent premium to Cadbury’s undisturbed share price of 568 pence before Kraft approached Cadbury in late August

Spokespersons from both Cadbury and Kraft jointly announced that details of the agreement were still being finalising and would make a statement later.

Many city pundits were surprised that the deal eventually went through so smoothly after months of animosity between the two companies.

It is expected that Kraft’s final offer consisting of 500 pence in cash, with the rest made of Kraft shares made the deal much sweeter for Cadbury shareholders. To finance the takeover Kraft will require borrowing around £7 billion ($11.5 billion)

Shares in Cadbury topped the FTSE 100 on Tuesday.

Sterling was among the few currencies to rise against the dollar and the Euro on Tuesday after UK inflation jumped in December, increasing the possibility of monetary tightening and increases in interest rates being brought forward. The pound closed at 1.636 against the dollar, with the Euro being traded at 1.1459

The FTSE 100 index rose 41.6 points to 5,496.9, while the FTSE 250 index added 33.4 points to 9,571.6.

In the US, Citigroup announced losses of $7.6 billion for the last quarter of 2009, large due to their efforts to repay US government bail-out funds, and coming after three consecutive profitable quarters. Citigroup’s ’s loss was in line with Wall Street analysts’ expectations and would amounted to a loss of $1.4 billion, had it not been for its repayment of the $20 billion in funds it received from the troubled asset relief programme. For the same period of a year ago, Citigroup reported a loss of $17.3 billion. In 2009 as a whole, Citigroup made a loss of $1.6 billion on $80.3 billion turnover.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose sharply on early trading after being closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Day. The index rose 115 points to close on 10,725.43. The NASDAQ Composite was also on the up, 32 points to 2320.4

Computer giant IBM has announced that after cost-cutting work helped to increase its earnings by 9% in the last three months of 2009.

They have raised their profit target for 2010. IBM made a net profit of $4.8 billion (£2.9 billion) for the fourth quarter, up from $4.4 billion from the same period in 2008, with turnover for the quarter increased by 1% to $27.2 billion

Crude prices fell to a three week low on Tuesday, with prices averaging around $77.00 a barrel. Traders pointed out the implications in the oil market of the bankruptcy of Japan Airlines, as the Tokyo-based carrier made extensive use of oil derivatives to hedge its cost and the bankruptcy is likely to force investment banks to unwind the hedges.

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